Category

Daily Briefs

Daily Brief Energy/Materials: Korea Zinc, Resolute Mining, Waaree Energies, Chemours Co/The, Pbf Energy Inc Class A, SGX Rubber Future TSR20, DT Midstream Inc, Noble Corp Plc and more

By | Daily Briefs, Energy & Materials Sector

In today’s briefing:

  • Entry Opportunities from Delisting Risk Due to Korea Zinc’s Post-Buyback Volume Drying Up
  • Korea Zinc: Court Dismisses the Second Injunction Filed by MBK
  • Quiddity Leaderboard ASX Dec 24: Clarity Pharma and Resolute Mining Competing for ASX 200 Spot
  • Waaree Energies IPO Update- Forensic Analysis
  • The Chemours Company: Expansion of Fluoropolymer Applications & Dealing With Fluctuating Demand! – Major Drivers
  • PBF Energy Inc.: Tackling The Challenges of Maintaining Competitive Market Positioning! – Major Drivers
  • Helixtap China Report: Declining Inventory Point At Improved Demand; Sustainability Questionable
  • DT Midstream Inc.: Leveraging LNG Growth & Commercial Growth Opportunities To Change The Game! – Major Drivers
  • Noble Corporation Plc: Enhancement of Fleet Utilization Driving Our Optimism! – Major Drivers
  • US Rig Count Falls for the Fourth Time in Five Weeks


Entry Opportunities from Delisting Risk Due to Korea Zinc’s Post-Buyback Volume Drying Up

By Sanghyun Park

  • Korea Zinc’s delisting daily trading volume cutoff is 20K, about 0.12% of the total. We might see volumes plummet, making it tough to maintain even that 20K level.
  • Keep an eye on trading opportunities; we have some time with delisting risks, but low trading volume could lead to being booted from the KOSPI 200 and Global Index.
  • This sell-off could spike short-term volatility and create great entry points for trading, especially after the court approved the buyback tender, denying MBK’s injunction.

Korea Zinc: Court Dismisses the Second Injunction Filed by MBK

By Douglas Kim

  • The Seoul Central District Court dismissed the second injunction filed by MBK Partners and Young Poong to suspend the share buyback/tender offer by Korea Zinc Chairman Choi and his allies.
  • As a result of the court dismissing the second injunction filed by MBK, the M&A fight for Korea Zinc is likely to continue until the AGM in March 2025. 
  • Depending upon Korea Zinc’s tender offer subscription, there is a possibility of MBK buying more shares directly from the market if the subscription falls below the proposed amounts. 

Quiddity Leaderboard ASX Dec 24: Clarity Pharma and Resolute Mining Competing for ASX 200 Spot

By Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

  • In this insight, we take a look at the potential index changes for ASX200, 100, 50, and 20 in the run-up to the December 2024 index rebal event.
  • We currently do not see any index changes for ASX 20 and ASX 100.
  • We continue to expect one change for ASX 50. However, our expectations for ASX 200 have changed since our last insight (link).

Waaree Energies IPO Update- Forensic Analysis

By Nitin Mangal

  • Waaree Energies (0656504D IN) awaited IPO is about to open on October 21. The IPO comprises of fresh issue worth INR 36 bn and OFS worth INR 7.2 bn. 
  • This insight is an update to the previous note on the company Waaree Energies IPO- Forensic Analysis , on the forensics front. 
  • The company still faces some of the forensic setbacks we found in the DRHP. These include capital purchases from related parties, heated receivables, bizarre lease accounting, unpaid dues, etc.

The Chemours Company: Expansion of Fluoropolymer Applications & Dealing With Fluctuating Demand! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • The Chemours Company faced various challenges in the second quarter of 2024, yet demonstrated resilience and adaptability in managing these issues.
  • Key points from the earnings call include the impact of a severe drought on their titanium dioxide production at Altamira, Mexico, which led to unplanned downtime and an $8 million cost for the quarter.
  • Despite this, Chemours was proactive in addressing the immediate needs of affected employees and the community while optimizing production to meet customer demands, achieving a 16% increase in volumes compared to the first quarter.

PBF Energy Inc.: Tackling The Challenges of Maintaining Competitive Market Positioning! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • PBF Energy’s second quarter 2024 earnings presentation reveals a mixed financial landscape marked by challenges and strategic achievements.
  • Despite experiencing weaker-than-expected earnings, the company successfully maintained a robust cash position and further advanced its operational goals.
  • The quarter faced unusual market conditions where RIN-adjusted crack spreads saw a significant decrease, contributing to tighter margins across the board.

Helixtap China Report: Declining Inventory Point At Improved Demand; Sustainability Questionable

By Arusha Das

  • Inventory lowest since February 2024
  • Arbitrage widens for African and Indonesian rubber
  • Expansion in imports & exports in August

DT Midstream Inc.: Leveraging LNG Growth & Commercial Growth Opportunities To Change The Game! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • DT Midstream reported strong financial results in the second quarter of 2024, continuing to align with their full-year plans.
  • President and CEO David Slater confirmed the reaffirmation of their 2024 adjusted EBITDA guidance range and provided a positive outlook for 2025.
  • The quarter highlighted several strategic advancements, particularly in organic growth projects which are expected to drive future earnings.

Noble Corporation Plc: Enhancement of Fleet Utilization Driving Our Optimism! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Noble Corporation delivered a robust performance in its second quarter of 2024 results, reflecting a 50% increase in adjusted EBITDA compared to the previous quarter.
  • President and CEO Robert Eifler highlighted the commencement of key contracts and the solid execution of shipyard programs as significant contributors to the company’s positive trajectory.
  • These contract start-ups, particularly noted with rigs like the Noble Regina Allen and Noble Discoverer, underscored operational efficiency and led to an upward revision in EBITDA guidance to a range of $950 million to $1 billion for the year.

US Rig Count Falls for the Fourth Time in Five Weeks

By Suhas Reddy

  • The US oil and gas rig count fell by one to 585 for the week ending 18/Oct, marking the fourth decline in five weeks.
  • The US oil rig count increased by one to 482. Meanwhile, gas rigs decreased by two to 99, falling below 100 again.
  • For the week ending 18/Oct, US energy producers added one rig each in Colorado and Oklahoma but cut two in Texas.

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Daily Brief TMT/Internet: Fuji Soft Inc, Shinko Electric Industries, Horizon Robotics, International Games System, nCino, Iridium Communications, Marathon Digital Holdings, Ate Energy International Co, Wix.Com Ltd, Haivision Systems and more

By | Daily Briefs, TMT/Internet

In today’s briefing:

  • Fuji Soft (9749 JP) – The Fine Print Is Worth Reading
  • Shinko Electric (6967 JP) Takeover – THIS Is a Dip to Buy
  • Horizon Robotics (9660 HK) IPO: Valuation Insights
  • International Games System (3293 TT): Positioning & Potential Passive Buying
  • nCino Inc.: The Tale Of International Market Penetration & Product Localization! – Major Drivers
  • IRDM: The Matrix of Metric Changes
  • Marathon Digital Holdings: The Story Of Synergistic AI & Bitcoin Mining Operations! – Major Drivers
  • Tech Supply Chain Tracker (22-Oct-2024): Southern Taiwan Science Park output value hits record high in 2024.
  • Wix.com Ltd.: Will Their Expanding Offering in Commerce & Payment Solutions Be A Game Changer?
  • Haivision Systems Inc (HAI.) – Monday, Jul 22, 2024


Fuji Soft (9749 JP) – The Fine Print Is Worth Reading

By Travis Lundy

  • On 11-Oct, Bain submitted a binding proposal for Fuji Soft Inc (9749 JP). On 15-Oct, FSI acknowledged, but questioned the Nozawa family commitment.  Founder Nozawa wrote letters the 17th.
  • O 18-Oct, FSI reiterated support for the KKR First Tender in a late night drop. It included fine print, but no media coverage. Today, FSI filed a Target Opinion Amendment.
  • That filing included yet more fine print not in the public filing Friday. And KKR extended. The new fine print is nuanced. But worth reading.

Shinko Electric (6967 JP) Takeover – THIS Is a Dip to Buy

By Travis Lundy

  • Over the last few days, Shinko Electric Industries (6967 JP) shares have dipped lower than the previous standard trading range. 
  • I expect this weakness is related to investors in other deals deciding to sell this deal too. I believe it is not related to Shinko specifically.
  • For that, while gap risk remains somewhat high, I still see break risk as low and see this as a great opportunity to buy the dip.

Horizon Robotics (9660 HK) IPO: Valuation Insights

By Arun George


International Games System (3293 TT): Positioning & Potential Passive Buying

By Brian Freitas

  • International Games System (3293 TT) could be added to a global index at the end of November and there will be a lot of buying in the stock.
  • The big rally in the stock has led to International Games System (3293 TT) trading expensive to its regional peers.
  • There has been an increase in cumulative excess volume over the last month. But there could still be more to go over the next week.

nCino Inc.: The Tale Of International Market Penetration & Product Localization! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • nCino has posted its financial results for the second quarter of fiscal year 2025, delivering performance that exceeded initial forecasts in several key areas, including subscription revenues and non-GAAP operating income.
  • The company has observed a notable improvement in the financial services industry in the United States compared to the previous year.
  • nCino’s growth in the U.S. has been robust, particularly within its existing customer base which seems keen on leveraging the company’s expanded platform capabilities.

IRDM: The Matrix of Metric Changes

By Hamed Khorsand

  • IRDM started 2024 with changes to its reporting metrics and that trend continued when with Q3. 
  • When IRDM reported third quarter 2024 results, the Company disclosed it would experience a decline in reported IOT subscriber metrics.   
  • The change subscriber count would not impact IRDM’s revenue due to contract pricing. It could create negative headwind in 2025

Marathon Digital Holdings: The Story Of Synergistic AI & Bitcoin Mining Operations! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Marathon Holdings’s second quarter of 2024 brought both the continuation of bold initiatives and a renewal of challenges marked by increased operational expenses and pressure on profitability.
  • The company underlined its commitment to expanding operations and scaling infrastructure, leading to notable achievements such as strategic acquisitions and technological advancements.
  • Noteworthy is the growth in the company’s hash rate and the acquisition of the Garden City data center, which collectively aim to steer Marathon Holdings towards reaching an operational hash rate of 50 exahash by year-end.

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (22-Oct-2024): Southern Taiwan Science Park output value hits record high in 2024.

By Tech Supply Chain Tracker

  • Southern Taiwan Science Park’s output value is projected to hit a new high in 2024, indicating growth in the technology sector of Taiwan.
  • Taiwan is looking for global solutions to tackle its green energy deficit, highlighting the government’s efforts to promote renewable energy sources.
  • Chinese security measures impact tech giants like Micron, Intel, and Tesla, while Samsung resolves labor dispute in India and adjusts HBM production target.

Wix.com Ltd.: Will Their Expanding Offering in Commerce & Payment Solutions Be A Game Changer?

By Baptista Research

  • Wix, the leading platform enabling users and businesses to create and manage online presence, has reported its second quarter results for the financial year 2024, showcasing considerable financial and strategic achievements, along with disclosing its enhanced focus on AI and commerce capabilities to bolster growth.
  • The company’s revenue growth stood at 12%, hitting $436 million, and bookings observed a 15% year-over-year increase, reaching $458 million.
  • This bookings growth is an acceleration from the 10% seen in Q1, indicating a strengthening demand for Wix’s offerings.

Haivision Systems Inc (HAI.) – Monday, Jul 22, 2024

By Value Investors Club

  • Haivision Systems Inc. is a publicly traded company with a current stock price of CAD 4.20, but analysts believe it is worth at least CAD 7.60
  • The company has seen strong sales growth and high gross margins in recent years, and is debt-free
  • Haivision competes with larger companies like Evertz and EVS Broadcast Equipment in the video solutions market for live broadcasts, making it an attractive investment opportunity for smaller capital pools.

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


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Daily Brief Health Care: Haemonetics Corp, QuidelOrtho , China Shineway Pharmaceutical, Perrigo, Merit Medical Systems, Glaukos Corp, BB Biotech AG, Mira Pharmaceuticals and more

By | Daily Briefs, Healthcare

In today’s briefing:

  • Haemonetics Corporation: Expansion of the Vascular Closure Market & Other Major Drivers
  • QuidelOrtho Corporation: These Are The 4 Biggest Factors Driving Our ‘Buy’ Rating! – Major Drivers
  • China Shineway Pharmaceutical (2877.HK) – Performance Would Pick up in 24H2
  • Perrigo Company plc: Its Competitive Positioning Driving Our Bullish Rating? – Major Drivers
  • Merit Medical Systems: The Story Of Its Expanding Global Footprint & Critical Acquisitions! – Major Drivers
  • Glaukos Corporation: These Are The 4 Reasons Why We Are Relatively Less Optimistic! – Major Drivers
  • BB Biotech – A key milestone with significance for the sector
  • MIRA: Raising Price Target on Study Results


Haemonetics Corporation: Expansion of the Vascular Closure Market & Other Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Haemonetics Corporation’s first quarter fiscal year 2025 results reveal mixed outcomes in a challenging market scenario.
  • The company reported a revenue of $336 million, which represents an 8% increase on a reported basis and a 3% organic growth.
  • Despite the revenue growth, the adjusted earnings per diluted share decreased by 3% to $1.02, reflecting some strain from operational challenges and the dynamic market conditions.

QuidelOrtho Corporation: These Are The 4 Biggest Factors Driving Our ‘Buy’ Rating! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • QuidelOrtho’s second quarter 2024 financial results were guided by substantial review and restructuring as the new CEO, Brian Blaser, begins to imprint his strategy on the company’s operations.
  • The company reported $637 million in revenue and an adjusted EBITDA of $90 million.
  • These figures align with the company’s expectations, indicating stable performance across its diverse geographical and operational spectrum.

China Shineway Pharmaceutical (2877.HK) – Performance Would Pick up in 24H2

By Xinyao (Criss) Wang

  • Shineway’s revenue experienced negative growth in 24H1 as expected, but net profit performance beat expectations (up 27.5% YoY). However, if excluding those one-time gains, net profit was down 14% YoY.
  • In 24H2, Shineway’s performance is expected to pick up, and YoY revenue growth 2024 full-year would return to positive (e.g. 5-10% YoY). The only concern is TCM formula granule VBP.
  • China Shineway Pharmaceutical (2877 HK)’s overall financial position is healthy.  However, even with large cash balance, the current dividend is not satisfactory, which has more room to improve.

Perrigo Company plc: Its Competitive Positioning Driving Our Bullish Rating? – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Perrigo Company plc’s recent earnings for Q2 2024 revealed both strengths and challenges within its portfolio of products and strategic initiatives.
  • Under the leadership of CEO Patrick Lockwood-Taylor, the company has made significant progress in restructuring its operations and cost management, which is reflected in select financial strengths and strategic positioning evident in the quarterly outcomes.
  • Baptista Research looks to evaluate the different factors that could influence the company’s price in the near future and attempts to carry out an independent valuation of the company using a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) methodology.

Merit Medical Systems: The Story Of Its Expanding Global Footprint & Critical Acquisitions! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Merit Medical Systems Inc. showcased robust fiscal progress in its second-quarter 2024 earnings.
  • The company witnessed total revenue growth of 5.6% on a GAAP basis and 6.6% on a constant currency basis, amounting to $338 million, exceeding the forecasted performance.
  • This growth was fueled by strong organic expansion and modest contributions from acquired products, with particularly notable performance in the Cardiovascular and Endoscopy segments.

Glaukos Corporation: These Are The 4 Reasons Why We Are Relatively Less Optimistic! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Glaukos Corporation’s second quarter earnings for 2024 revealed a 19% increase in consolidated net sales which amounted to $95.7 million, reflecting consistent growth across both U.S. and international markets, particularly in the glaucoma division.
  • The company has upwardly revised its full-year net sales guidance for 2024 to $370 million – $376 million, indicating optimistic projections based on current performance.
  • Baptista Research looks to evaluate the different factors that could influence the company’s price in the near future and attempts to carry out an independent valuation of the company using a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) methodology.

BB Biotech – A key milestone with significance for the sector

By Edison Investment Research

BB Biotech (BION) invests in innovative, rapidly expanding biotech companies. BION’s portfolio company Wave Life Sciences (Wave) recently announced a significant milestone in the field of genetic medicine: the first successful therapeutic RNA editing in humans. This news lifted Wave’s share price by c 60%. It follows recent positive developments in three of BION’s largest holdings, Alnylam, Intra-Cellular Therapies and Agios, which all saw substantial improvements in their longer-term revenue prospects after positive Phase III readouts. Wave’s news adds to the recent positive momentum in BION’s NAV, which rose by 5.2% in the year ended 30 September 2024, after several years of annual declines, although this return lagged the Nasdaq Biotech Index’s 12.3% rise. Yet the company’s share price declined by 8.1% over this period and the share price discount to NAV is currently over 15%, in stark contrast to an average NAV premium of c 10% over the past 10 years. With interest rates falling and the outlook for the biotech sector potentially brightening accordingly, as we argued in our August 2024 update, this may represent an opportunity for investors to acquire access to the exciting opportunities offered by this industry at what may be an uncommonly wide discount.


MIRA: Raising Price Target on Study Results

By Zacks Small Cap Research

  • MIRA Pharmaceuticals(MIRA) Company Sponsored Research Report

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Daily Brief Consumer: JD.com , Hyundai Motor India , Delfi Ltd, TSE Tokyo Price Index TOPIX, JNBY Design Ltd, Nexstar Broadcasting Group, Inc and more

By | Consumer, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • Hang Seng Internet & IT Index (HSIII) Rebalance Preview: Capping Flows in December
  • Hyundai Motor India IPO Trading – Set for a Tricky Start
  • Hyundai Motor India IPO: Little Downside. Low Retail Interest-Myopia, Misguidance, Misinterpretation
  • Hyundai Motor India IPO: How Far to Fast Entry?
  • Hyundai Motor India: Trading Strategy on the First Day of Trading
  • Delfi Ltd (DELFI SP) – Sweeter Times Ahead?
  • JD.com (9618-HK): Positive Technical Analysis Signals
  • Human Capital Initiatives Can Also Be Viewed as Part of Such Autonomous “kaizen” Activities
  • JNBY (3306 HK): >34% ROCE Track Record/10% Dividend Yield/Net Cash Business
  • Nexstar Media Group: Will Its Strategic Focus on Political Advertising Result In A Solid Financial Performance? – Major Drivers


Hang Seng Internet & IT Index (HSIII) Rebalance Preview: Capping Flows in December

By Brian Freitas

  • The December rebalance for the HSIII Index only involves capping to limit stocks to 12% of the index weight. There will not be any constituent changes.
  • Estimated one-way turnover at the rebalance is 4.4% resulting in a round-trip trade of HK$2.9bn (US$378m).
  • The largest outflows are expected to be from Meituan (3690 HK) and JD.com (9618 HK) with inflows spread across the other index constituents.

Hyundai Motor India IPO Trading – Set for a Tricky Start

By Sumeet Singh

  • Hyundai Motor (005387 KS) raised around US$3.3bn via listing its India unit, Hyundai Motor India. HMI is a wholly owned subsidiary of the Hyundai Motor Group.
  • HMI primarily manufactures and sells four-wheeler passenger vehicles and parts. Currently its vehicle portfolio includes 13 passenger vehicle models across sedans, hatchbacks, SUVs and battery EVs.
  • In our previous notes, we looked at the company’s past performance and valuations. In this note, we will talk about the trading dynamics.

Hyundai Motor India IPO: Little Downside. Low Retail Interest-Myopia, Misguidance, Misinterpretation

By Devi Subhakesan

  • Hyundai Motor India   is expected to close flat or slightly positive today, as low retail participation and modest expectations for gains on listing day could limit selling pressure.
  • Many retail investors skipped the IPO, influenced by ‘finfluencers’ who had largely advised against it based on misinterpreted valuation comparison with Maruti Suzuki India (MSIL IN) .
  • Hyundai Motor India’s meaningful discount to Maruti Suzuki on operating profit based valuation multiples suggest room for outperformance in the medium term.

Hyundai Motor India IPO: How Far to Fast Entry?

By Brian Freitas

  • Hyundai Motor (005380 KS) raised INR 279bn (US$3.3bn) by selling some of its stake in Hyundai Motor India (1342Z IN), valuing Hyundai India at INR 1,593bn (US$18.95bn).
  • The anchor investor book was fully subscribed. The non-institutional and retail books were undersubscribed, so institutions got more stock. And that changes the free float estimates for one global index.
  • Even with the higher float, Hyundai Motor India (1342Z IN) is unlikely to get Fast Entry to one global index later this month. Index inclusions should commence in February 2025.

Hyundai Motor India: Trading Strategy on the First Day of Trading

By Douglas Kim

  • Hyundai Motor India (1342Z IN) shares start trading on 22 October. The IPO price is 1,960 INR. 
  • Although there has been some solid interest on this IPO among many institutional investors, there have been a lower interest among retail investors. 
  • There has also been relatively low grey market premium. If the share price reaches in the positive upper single digits, we expect many traders to sell into this short-term rally. 

Delfi Ltd (DELFI SP) – Sweeter Times Ahead?

By Angus Mackintosh

  • Delfi Ltd (DELFI SP) saw some impact from the weaker IDR and higher cocoa prices in 1H2024 but prospects for 2H2024 look more promising with less expected disruption.
  • The company continues to roll out new distribution across modern trade independent and general trade as well as new variants for existing best-selling brands such as Silver Queen chocolate.
  • The company remains confident that the cocoa price will decline from current levels although it may remain higher than historic levels. Valuations remain attractive. 

JD.com (9618-HK): Positive Technical Analysis Signals

By Wium Malan, CFA

  • Despite a share price correction this month, JD.com (9618 HK) remains firmly amid an earnings upgrade cycle driven by improved profitability expectations.
  • Following significant share price volatility over the past 2 months, JD.com’s near-term momentum indicators currently display bullish signals.
  • JD.com still trades at more than one standard deviation below its 5-year historic average forward PE ratio, and near the lowest level it has ever been.

Human Capital Initiatives Can Also Be Viewed as Part of Such Autonomous “kaizen” Activities

By Aki Matsumoto

  • A year after human capital disclosure became mandatory, little progress was made, but few companies, even those in top 100 in market capitalization, have self-assessed their milestones and actual progress.
  • While it was favored that companies with higher scores on human capital disclosure outperformed in stock price, it is reasonable to assume that multiple other factors had an impact. 
  • Some companies formulated growth strategies by presenting clear cash/capital allocations and have actually achieved improved capital profitability. Human capital initiatives can be viewed as part of such autonomous “kaizen” activities.

JNBY (3306 HK): >34% ROCE Track Record/10% Dividend Yield/Net Cash Business

By Sameer Taneja


Nexstar Media Group: Will Its Strategic Focus on Political Advertising Result In A Solid Financial Performance? – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Nexstar Media Group’s second quarter of 2024 delivered robust overall performance as the company continued to showcase its ability to navigate challenging market dynamics effectively.
  • As discussed during the recent earnings call, Nexstar achieved record total net revenue and distribution revenue, underscoring its strategic success in optimizing revenue streams amid continued industry shifts.
  • Particularly noteworthy was the substantial growth in adjusted EBITDA and adjusted free cash flow, which highlights disciplined execution across operational facets.

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Daily Brief Financials: Uniswap, KMC Properties and more

By | Daily Briefs, Financials

In today’s briefing:

  • Crypto Moves #48 – Uniswap’s Unichain Is Net Positive, End of Story
  • Kmc Properties Asa (KMCP) – Monday, Jul 22, 2024


Crypto Moves #48 – Uniswap’s Unichain Is Net Positive, End of Story

By Mads Eberhardt

  • Last Thursday, Uniswap, the leading decentralized spot exchange, announced its upcoming Layer 2, also known as rollup, on Ethereum, called Unichain.
  • For a detailed explanation of Ethereum rollups, please see Crypto Moves #16.
  • This new rollup will be based on Optimism’s Superchain technology, which also powers Coinbase’s Base rollup and the soon-to-launch Layer 2 from Sony.

Kmc Properties Asa (KMCP) – Monday, Jul 22, 2024

By Value Investors Club

  • KMC Properties ASA and Logistea AB have announced a merger expected to be completed by end of Q3 or beginning of Q4
  • Potential 23% return in around 3 months by going long on KMC-P ASA and shorting Logistea AB
  • Merger involves Logistea acquiring all assets of KMC Properties and issuing consideration shares in two tranches, with the first already distributed and second expected soon

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


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Daily Brief Industrials: Tokyo Metro, Doosan Robotics , S.F. Holding, T.S. Lines, Danaher Corp, Ocean Wilsons Holdings, General Dynamics, Amaero International Ltd and more

By | Daily Briefs, Industrials

In today’s briefing:

  • Tokyo Metro (9023 JP) IPO: Trading Debut
  • Doosan’s Tweaked Restructuring Play: My Take on Hitting Robotics’ 13% Spread
  • SF Holding Pre-IPO: Proposed Interim & Special Dividends of 1.40 CNY Per Share Ahead of HK Listing
  • T.S. Lines Pre-IPO – PHIP Updates – Shipping Volumes Improved, However Paid Another Large Dividend
  • Tokyo Metro IPO Trading – Robust Demand for Quality Asset
  • Danaher Corp (DHR) – Monday, Jul 22, 2024
  • Ocean Wilsons Holdings – Sale of Wilson Sons investment
  • General Dynamics Corp (GD) – Friday, Jul 19, 2024
  • Amaero International Ltd – First commercial sales achieved in Q1


Tokyo Metro (9023 JP) IPO: Trading Debut

By Arun George


Doosan’s Tweaked Restructuring Play: My Take on Hitting Robotics’ 13% Spread

By Sanghyun Park

  • The big question is how to cash in on the dissenters’ rights spread for Robotics. The main concern is cancellation risk, but the FSS doesn’t seem too negative on approval.
  • To sustain nuclear momentum, Enerbility needs heavy borrowing for facility investments, requiring a lower debt ratio. Offloading debt-heavy Bobcat is a move shareholders might support.
  • With NPS unlikely to ignore the government’s nuclear push, Robotics’ spread could narrow quickly. Despite cancellation risk and no hedge, the remaining juice makes an outright position worth considering.

SF Holding Pre-IPO: Proposed Interim & Special Dividends of 1.40 CNY Per Share Ahead of HK Listing

By Daniel Hellberg

  • SF Holding proposes interim & special dividends for owners of A-shares
  • Combined cash dividend totals 1.40 CNY per share, yielding about 3.3%
  • Meeting October 29 to approve dividends, Q3 results, planned HK listing

T.S. Lines Pre-IPO – PHIP Updates – Shipping Volumes Improved, However Paid Another Large Dividend

By Clarence Chu

  • T.S. Lines (TSL HK) is looking to raise at least US$100m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO.
  • T.S. Lines (TSL) is a container shipping firm primarily operating in the Asia Pacific (APAC) region.
  • In a previous note, we looked at the firm’s past performance. In this note, we talk about the recent updates from its filings.

Tokyo Metro IPO Trading – Robust Demand for Quality Asset

By Sumeet Singh

  • Tokyo Metro (9023 JP)‘s shareholders raised around US$2.4bn in its Japan IPO. 
  • Tokyo Metro (TKM) is one of the two metro network operators in the Tokyo region. It operates nine subway lines with a total of 180 stations.
  • We have looked at the company’s past performance and valuations in our previous notes. In this note, we will talk about the trading dynamics.

Danaher Corp (DHR) – Monday, Jul 22, 2024

By Value Investors Club

  • Danaher has a history of long-term growth, with a 15% increase in stock price over the past 10 years.
  • Founded in the 1980s by Steven and Mitchell Rales, Danaher focused on acquiring industrial companies with a private equity strategy.
  • Strategic management and operational improvements have allowed Danaher to consistently grow its free cash flow per share at a double-digit rate, making it a solid investment despite its current valuation.

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


Ocean Wilsons Holdings – Sale of Wilson Sons investment

By Edison Investment Research

Ocean Wilsons announced today that it has agreed to sell its 56.47% stake in Wilson Sons to SAS Shipping Agencies Services, a wholly owned subsidiary of MSC Mediterranean Shipping Company, for R$4.4bn (equivalent to R$17.50 per share). The consideration will be converted into US dollars, which, at the current exchange rate, implies a purchase price of US$768m. The transaction is expected to trigger a Brazilian withholding tax liability of up to US$142m and to ultimately realise net cash proceeds of ‘at least US$593m’. The transaction is expected to complete in H225. A ‘meaningful’ proportion of the proceeds will be returned to shareholders and some may be reinvested in Ocean Wilsons.


General Dynamics Corp (GD) – Friday, Jul 19, 2024

By Value Investors Club

  • General Dynamics is a global aerospace and defense firm with a diverse portfolio of businesses and strong market presence
  • The company has solid financial performance with $42.3 billion in revenue, $3.3 billion in net income, and a strong balance sheet with $8.2 billion in net debt
  • The investment thesis is focused on the strength of Gulfstream business, with a healthy backlog of $21 billion, new product introductions, and a leading position in the business/private jet market, making it a promising investment opportunity.

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


Amaero International Ltd – First commercial sales achieved in Q1

By Research as a Service (RaaS)

  • RaaS Research Group has published an update report on advanced materials manufacturing group Amaero International (ASX:3DA) following its Q1 result in which it reported first commercial revenues of $1.0m, marking its first quarter of material commercial revenue from its Tennessee operation.
  • The revenue includes approximately $0.6m from powder sales and $0.45m from PM HIP manufacturing.
  • The powder sales made during the quarter included test material to ADDMAN Group, with which the company has a five-year preferred supplier agreement, as well as custom atomisation of C103 for a NYSE-listed materials company, custom atomisation of C103 for a US government-funded laboratory and custom atomisation of a development refractory alloy for another US government-funded laboratory.

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Daily Brief Quantitative Analysis: TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Oct 18th): Ase Industrial and more

By | Daily Briefs, Quantitative Analysis

In today’s briefing:

  • TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Oct 18th): Ase Industrial, Asia Vital Components, Taishin Financial
  • TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Oct 18th): Hon Hai Precision Industry, TSMC, Quanta Computer
  • KRX Foreign Holding Weekly (Oct 18th): Sk Hynix, Samsung Electronics, Korzinc, Kia
  • Northbound Flows (3Q2024): Wait and See Mode


TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Oct 18th): Ase Industrial, Asia Vital Components, Taishin Financial

By Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

  • We analyzed the changes in short interest of TWSE Stocks as of Oct 18th which has an aggregated short interest worth USD20.7bn.
  • We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases & decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
  • We highlight short interest changes in Ase Industrial, Asia Vital Components, Taishin Financial, Century Iron And Steel Industrial, Quanta Computer, Wistron, Via Technologies, Mediatek.

TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Oct 18th): Hon Hai Precision Industry, TSMC, Quanta Computer

By Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

  • We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of Oct 18th which has an aggregated holding worth USD1,053.9bn.
  • We estimate that foreign flows to be inflows of USD1,488mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.
  • We highlight changes of foreign holdings in Hon Hai Precision Industry, TSMC, Quanta Computer, Delta Electronics, Fubon Financial, United Microelectronics.

KRX Foreign Holding Weekly (Oct 18th): Sk Hynix, Samsung Electronics, Korzinc, Kia

By Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

  • We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of KRX stocks as of Oct 18th which has an aggregated holding worth USD524.8bn.
  • We estimate that foreign flows to be outflows of USD1,097mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.
  • We highlight changes of foreign holdings in Sk Hynix, Samsung Electronics, Korzinc, Kia.

Northbound Flows (3Q2024): Wait and See Mode

By Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

  • We analyze the 3Q2024 Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine as the exchange changed the rule to only disclose north bound position once a quarter.
  • We estimate that the inflows in 3Q were US$7,684 million and holdings were USD340bn.
  • We highlight flows for Midea, Moutai, Ping An Insurance, Catl, Yangtze Power.

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Daily Brief Thematic (Sector/Industry): Japan Morning Connection: Recruit’s 20% ADV Buyback Should Run Out of Bullets Early Nov and more

By | Daily Briefs, Thematic (Sector/Industry)

In today’s briefing:

  • Japan Morning Connection: Recruit’s 20% ADV Buyback Should Run Out of Bullets Early Nov
  • Ohayo Japan | U.S. Stocks Closed at Record High


Japan Morning Connection: Recruit’s 20% ADV Buyback Should Run Out of Bullets Early Nov

By Andrew Jackson

  • New highs for Intuitive Surgical on the success on its Da Vinci surgical robot sets a good tone for Sysmex.
  • R/E related plays including homebuilders jumping with Blackstone +8% in 2-sessions Thurs/Fri.
  • Recruit is rapidly running out of buyback bullets, and while it may reload it is priced to perfection and is looking vulnerable to correction.

Ohayo Japan | U.S. Stocks Closed at Record High

By Mark Chadwick

  • U.S. stocks closed at record highs Friday, continuing a robust streak fueled by Netflix’s strong earnings
  • In commodities, gold prices surged to a record $2,700 per ounce, driven by investor demand for safe-haven assets amid ongoing Middle East tensions.
  • Essilor Luxottica, the world’s largest eyeglass manufacturer, increased its stake in Nikon from 5.10% to 7.38%

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Daily Brief ECM: ECM Weekly (21st Oct 2024) – Tokyo Metro and more

By | Daily Briefs, ECM

In today’s briefing:

  • ECM Weekly (21st Oct 2024) – Tokyo Metro, China Resources, Horizon Robotics, Hyundai India, Waaree
  • Pre-IPO China Resources Beverage – Due to the Pain Points, High Valuation Is Not Justified


ECM Weekly (21st Oct 2024) – Tokyo Metro, China Resources, Horizon Robotics, Hyundai India, Waaree

By Sumeet Singh

  • Aequitas Research’s weekly update on the IPOs, placements, lockup expiry and other ECM linked events that were covered by the team over the past week.
  • On the live IPOs front,  the coming week will see a whole lot of listings across the region.
  • On the placements front, there were mainly deals in Australia this week.

Pre-IPO China Resources Beverage – Due to the Pain Points, High Valuation Is Not Justified

By Xinyao (Criss) Wang

  • The whole industry has entered a medium to low-speed growth stage, and the industry’s future growth rate will remain single-digit growth. So, CR Beverage’s future performance decline is inevitable.
  • Due to serious homogenization/competition of packaged drinking water market, there’s not much room for innovation/iteration. CR Beverage’s sales-driven model is hard to bring “new story” to break through the dilemma. 
  • CR Beverage is clearly inferior to Nongfu Spring. Its valuation should be lower than Nongfu Spring. We think reasonable valuation of CR Beverage is about US$4 billion (or lower).

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Daily Brief Event-Driven: Fuji Soft (9749 JP): The Board’s Unchanged Recommendation Caps the Upside and more

By | Daily Briefs, Event-Driven

In today’s briefing:

  • Fuji Soft (9749 JP): The Board’s Unchanged Recommendation Caps the Upside
  • China Healthcare Weekly (Oct.20)-A Big Lesson from China TCM’s Deal Break, “Must Option” of Biotech
  • Fujikura (5803 JP): Positioning & Potential Passive Buying
  • Merger Arb Mondays (21 Oct) – Seven & I, Fuji Soft, Henlius, Canvest, GA Pack, Dyna-Mac
  • Korea Value-Up Index: Estimated Passive Flows as ETF Launches Coming
  • [JAPAN ACTIVISM] Murakami Group Now 23.5% on Exedy (7278) – LOTS of Room Left To Run
  • SSE50 Index Rebalance Preview: Potential Inclusions Continue to Outperform; Trim into Strength
  • EQD | Nikkei 225 Option Implied Volatility Analysis – Focus on Bank of Japan Rate Decision Catalyst
  • EQD / NSE Vol Update / Options Mkt. Structural Changes Incoming: 15x Position Limits + 3x Lot Size


Fuji Soft (9749 JP): The Board’s Unchanged Recommendation Caps the Upside

By Arun George

  • The Fuji Soft Inc (9749 JP) Board has maintained its recommendation of KKR’s first-stage tender offer. However, the recommendation was not unanimous, with four dissenting directors. 
  • Bain’s likely next move is to waive the precondition and launch its offer. To bring KKR to the negotiating table, Bain will want to acquire as many shares as possible. 
  • KKR’s first stage closes on 21 October. Success requires KKR to either work with Bain or match terms. As shares trade through Bain’s terms, there is little or no upside. 

China Healthcare Weekly (Oct.20)-A Big Lesson from China TCM’s Deal Break, “Must Option” of Biotech

By Xinyao (Criss) Wang

  • The “industry clearing”  of innovative drug companies is far longer and more brutal than imagined. But Chinese innovative drug ecosystem will ultimately usher in a better innovation pattern in the future.
  • For every innovative pharmaceutical company with ambitious goals, globalization is a “must option”. With more and more Chinese biotech achieving success, the internationalization prospects will become better and better.
  • China TCM’s privatization failure made us realize large SOEs we always believe in would violate their commitments to market/investors.Now, we need to get back to the fundamentals to minimize losses.

Fujikura (5803 JP): Positioning & Potential Passive Buying

By Brian Freitas

  • Fujikura Ltd (5803 JP) could be added to a global index at the end of November and there will be a lot of buying in the stock.
  • Following the rally in the stock, Fujikura Ltd (5803 JP) trades expensive to the average and median of its peers on most valuation metrics.
  • The increase in cumulative excess volume in Fujikura Ltd (5803 JP) over the last 3 months far outpaces the increase in its peers.


Korea Value-Up Index: Estimated Passive Flows as ETF Launches Coming

By Brian Freitas

  • The KRX announced the 100 constituents of the much-awaited Korea Value-Up Index on 24 September. There were hits and misses but broad consensus was that the index is a miss.
  • Following market feedback, the KRX could conduct a special rebalance of the index in December. But this could be after the launch of ETFs tracking the index.
  • With a big overlap and similar characteristics as the KOSPI 200 Index, there could be limited assets benchmarked to the Korea Value-Up Index in the short-term.

[JAPAN ACTIVISM] Murakami Group Now 23.5% on Exedy (7278) – LOTS of Room Left To Run

By Travis Lundy

  • This past week, activist Murakami-san’s City Index Eleventh announced that the companies which jointly report now own 20.3%, which translates to 23.5% of voting rights. Average in-price?  ¥2,928/share.
  • The 2030 Plan from April saw 8% ROE by 2030, 6% by 2026. They’ve since bought back 11% of shares out. Better, but 1/4 of market cap is net cash+securities.
  • If one assumes they spend the net cash+securities to buy back stock 10% higher than here, pro-forma PBR is <0.6x. ROE would be 7+%. There’s room to run here, still. 

SSE50 Index Rebalance Preview: Potential Inclusions Continue to Outperform; Trim into Strength

By Brian Freitas

  • With over 95% of the review period complete, 4 non-constituents are in inclusion zone and 6 constituents are in deletion zone.
  • We estimate one-way turnover of 6.5% at the December rebalance leading to a one-way trade of CNY 11.95bn (US$1.7bn). Index arb balances could increase the impact on the stocks.
  • The potential adds have continued to outperform the potential deletes. There has been a big jump in the last few weeks as markets have rallied. Trim positions into strength.

EQD | Nikkei 225 Option Implied Volatility Analysis – Focus on Bank of Japan Rate Decision Catalyst

By Gaudenz Schneider

  • Nikkei 225 (NKY INDEX) option implied volatility is stabilizing at an elevated level. This Insight analyses term structure, skew, open interest, and more.
  • We identify a tactical option opportunity that profits from the current volatility structure.
  • Are Consumer Price Index and Bank of Japan interest rate decision announcements systematically followed by unusually large market moves? We run the numbers. 

EQD / NSE Vol Update / Options Mkt. Structural Changes Incoming: 15x Position Limits + 3x Lot Size

By Sankalp Singh

  • SEBI-Mandated structural changes continue to percolate through for Options Markets. Position limits & lot sizes have been increased drastically, tilting regulations away from Retail & towards more Institutional participation.
  • IV levels are in the middle of their 12-month ranges. Vol-Regime Model currently in “High & Down” state – grind lower in IVs projected. 
  • In spite of a stronger underlying index, upcoming Bank earnings results have supported BankNifty IVs.  

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