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Daily Briefs

Daily Brief Thematic (Sector/Industry): Ohayo Japan | Concerns over Deficit Spending Post-Election and more

By | Daily Briefs, Thematic (Sector/Industry)

In today’s briefing:

  • Ohayo Japan | Concerns over Deficit Spending Post-Election
  • Japan Morning Connection: Tokyo Metro IPO Should See Strong Demand
  • [Blue Lotus Daily-TMT Update]:BABA US/700 HK/NTES US/JD US/PDD US/BABA US/VIPS US/1024 HK
  • [Blue Lotus Daily]:XPEV US/1810 HK/MNSO US/1519 HK/ZTO US/Macro News Update/Travel Market Update
  • Furniture/Furnishings Weekly: BYON Strikes Deals with TCS and KIRK for Bed Bath & Beyond Brand
  • Biopharma Week in Review – October 21, 2024
  • Sustainable Investing Surveyor – October 21, 2024


Ohayo Japan | Concerns over Deficit Spending Post-Election

By Mark Chadwick

  • U.S. stocks ended mixed on Tuesday as investors assessed rising Treasury yields and concerns over deficit spending post-election
  • Ahead of Japan’s October 27 election, PM Ishiba and major parties pledge to raise minimum wage to 1,500 yen ($9.94) by 2029, a 40% increase from current 1,054 yen
  • Aerospace stocks generally weaker overnight despite relatively strong results. GE Aerospace (-9%), Lockheed Martin (-6%) and RTX (-1%). 

Japan Morning Connection: Tokyo Metro IPO Should See Strong Demand

By Andrew Jackson

  • Nervous markets overnight with a number of earnings misses adding downside pressure.
  • Tokyo Metro IPO kicks off today which should see strong demand especially from risk-adverse retail investors.
  • Tokyo Metro grey market last Y1400 vs Y1200 listing price, although bookrunners are calling higher levels to start.

[Blue Lotus Daily-TMT Update]:BABA US/700 HK/NTES US/JD US/PDD US/BABA US/VIPS US/1024 HK

By Ying Pan

  • 700 HK: Tencent’s <Delta Force> Global Version Launch Scheduled for December 5 (+)
  • 700 HK: Tencent Meeting Announces Free Meeting Time Limit Reduced to 40 Minutes (+)
  • BABA US/700 HK: New user installs reach new high in September (+/+)

[Blue Lotus Daily]:XPEV US/1810 HK/MNSO US/1519 HK/ZTO US/Macro News Update/Travel Market Update

By Eric Wen

  • XPEV US: Xpeng MONA M03 suffers large scale delivery delays (/)
  • 1810 HK: Government official announces that Xiaomi has developed a 3nm smartphone SoC (+)
  • MNSO US: Toptoy Expands Stores to Southeast Asia (/ )

Furniture/Furnishings Weekly: BYON Strikes Deals with TCS and KIRK for Bed Bath & Beyond Brand

By Water Tower Research

  • A relatively quiet week for the markets as earnings growth through the start of earnings season, increasing confidence around the no/soft landing scenario, and China stimulus offset growing concerns over luxury spend.
  • The WTR Commercial/Contract Furniture Index was up 2.2% and the WTR Residential Manufacturers & Suppliers Index was up 1%, while the WTR Home Goods Retailers Index was down 0.9%.
  • The DJ30 and S&P 500 were both flat at +0.1%, while the R2K was up 1.2%. The WTR Mass Retailers Index was up 0.7%.

Biopharma Week in Review – October 21, 2024

By Water Tower Research

  • We review last week’s biopharma news for meaningful clinical data, regulatory updates, research innovation, and M&A.
  • Last week, LBPH was acquired, providing a boost to comps PRAX, MRNS, JAZZ, and DRUG.
  • Biopharma M&A may start seeing an uptick after a slow summer.

Sustainable Investing Surveyor – October 21, 2024

By Water Tower Research

  • The WTR Sustainable Index was down 1.9% W/W versus the S&P 500 Index (up 0.9%), the Russell 2000 Index (up 1.9%) and the Nasdaq Index (up 0.3%).
  • Energy Technology (13.2% of the index) was down 0.9%, while Industrial Climate and Ag Technology (48.4% of the index) was up 1.1%, ClimateTech Mining was down 5.8%, and Advanced Transportation Solutions (20.2% of index) was down 5.7%.
  • Top 10 Performers: LTBR, AZRE, GEVO, NXH, HTOO, NGPHF, SMR, NRGV, PEGY, FTCI

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Daily Brief ECM: China Resources Beverage IPO Trading – Still a Bit of Fizz Left and more

By | Daily Briefs, ECM

In today’s briefing:

  • China Resources Beverage IPO Trading – Still a Bit of Fizz Left
  • CR Beverage (2460 HK) IPO: Trading Debut
  • Ajax Engineering Limited Pre-IPO Tearsheet


China Resources Beverage IPO Trading – Still a Bit of Fizz Left

By Sumeet Singh

  • China Resources Beverage (2460 HK) raised around US$750m in its Hong Kong IPO, after pricing at the top-end.
  • China Resources Beverage manufactures and sells packaged drinking water and RTD soft beverages in China.
  • We have looked at the company’s past performance and valuations in our previous notes. In this note, we will talk about the trading dynamics.

CR Beverage (2460 HK) IPO: Trading Debut

By Arun George


Ajax Engineering Limited Pre-IPO Tearsheet

By Rosita Fernandes

  • Ajax Engineering Limited (0896529D IN) is looking to raise about US$100m through its upcoming IPO in India. The lead bookrunners for the deal are ICICI , CITI, JM, Nuvama, SBI 
  • Ajax Engineering Limited (AEL) is one of the leading concrete equipment manufacturers with a comprehensive range of concrete equipment, services and solutions across the concrete application value chain. 
  • It is one of the top three global SLCM manufacturers, holding about 75% market share in India. In FY24, SLCMs contributed to 12% of India’s concrete production.

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Daily Brief Credit: Morning Views Asia: Adani Green Energy and more

By | Credit, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • Morning Views Asia: Adani Green Energy, CIFI Holdings, Medco Energi


Morning Views Asia: Adani Green Energy, CIFI Holdings, Medco Energi

By Leonard Law, CFA

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.


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Daily Brief Equity Bottom-Up: Japan Value | Effissimo Takes Significant Stake in Konica and more

By | Daily Briefs, Equity Bottom-Up

In today’s briefing:

  • Japan Value | Effissimo Takes Significant Stake in Konica
  • CMCDI (133 HK): Concessions Don’t Go Far Enough
  • Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) Crushes Q3 Expectations with 54% Profit Surge—What’s Fueling This Chip Giant’s Growth?
  • What the Ellison allegations mean for MinRes
  • Revisiting the Disney Thesis
  • The Heat Is On: News Flow and Sentiment in CHINA / HONG KONG (October 22)
  • Nextracker Inc.: Will The Acquisition of Solar Pile International Up The Ante? – Major Drivers
  • Conch Venture (586 HK): Interesting Angles, yet Undervalued
  • Tech Supply Chain Tracker (23-Oct-2024): Foxconn focuses on SDV for smart car evolution.
  • Netflix Revenue Soars to $9.83 Billion—What’s Next in 2025’s Bold New Plans?


Japan Value | Effissimo Takes Significant Stake in Konica

By Mark Chadwick

  • Konica Minolta, a key player in the Japanese office equipment market, presents an attractive investment opportunity, particularly in light of the recent actions by activist investor Effissimo.
  • The investment case for Konica Minolta hinges on several factors, including potential structural reforms, M&A activity, and undervaluation.
  • Given Effissimo’s track record with Ricoh and the broader industry dynamics, the thesis for a bullish outlook on Konica Minolta is compelling.

CMCDI (133 HK): Concessions Don’t Go Far Enough

By David Blennerhassett

  • On the 27th September, China Merchants China Direct Investments (133 HK) (CMCDI) teased a share buyback and a special dividend. But as of today. no firm details have been forthcoming. 
  • CMCDI has also now offered to reduce management fees by 25 basis points in the new management agreement, which will be voted on  by independent shareholders in November/December.
  • This concession does not go far enough. Especially when 45% of the management fees are received by founder Victor Chu. 

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) Crushes Q3 Expectations with 54% Profit Surge—What’s Fueling This Chip Giant’s Growth?

By Baptista Research

  • Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSMC) has reported a robust performance in the third quarter of 2024, underscored by significant revenue growth driven by both smartphone and AI-related demand.
  • The company’s industry-leading 3-nanometer and 5-nanometer technologies have been at the forefront of this demand surge.
  • Revenue for the third quarter increased sequentially by 12.8% in New Taiwan dollars, reflecting not only strong demand but also higher capacity utilization and cost improvement efforts.

What the Ellison allegations mean for MinRes

By Money of Mine

  • Neil Chenoweth wrote a detailed investigative piece on Min Res founder Chris Allison and former top executives, alleging a tax evasion scheme using shareholder funds.
  • The scheme involved buying machinery with inflated prices from a company named Far East Equipment Holdings in the British Virgin Islands.
  • Min Res stock dropped 13% in response to the article, with implications on leadership and governance of the company.

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.


Revisiting the Disney Thesis

By Value Punks

  • A lot has happened since we published our Disney thesis back in February.
  • On the corporate front, Disney emerged victorious from its proxy battle with Nelson Peltz and managed to patch things up with Florida Governor Ron DeSantis.
  • In media, Disney posted its first streaming profit—ahead of schedule—and secured the NBA’s coveted “A Package,” though it came with a hefty price tag.

The Heat Is On: News Flow and Sentiment in CHINA / HONG KONG (October 22)

By David Mudd

  • Hong Kong markets continue to outperform globally this year with short selling declining and mainland buying increasing.  These trends should accelerate going into next year.
  • Sun Art Retail (6808 HK)resumed trading after announcing that the company is entertaining one or more potential acquisition plans for the company.  The company also announced strong 1H25 earnings.
  • Shanghai Electric Group Company (2727 HK) announce a buyback plan for 10% of A and H shares outstanding.  The company also announced the acquisition of the China Fanuc robotics business.

Nextracker Inc.: Will The Acquisition of Solar Pile International Up The Ante? – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Nextracker’s first-quarter earnings for the fiscal year 2025 have offered a mixed yet promising insight into the company’s financial and operational trajectory.
  • The company reported a significant 50% year-on-year growth in revenue and recorded its highest-ever adjusted EBITDA.
  • These figures underscore Nextracker’s strong performance, particularly in a financial landscape characterized by a keen focus on renewable energy solutions.

Conch Venture (586 HK): Interesting Angles, yet Undervalued

By Osbert Tang, CFA

  • China Conch Venture Holdings (586 HK) is sitting on a steep discount of 59% to its NAV. Its holding in Anhui Conch Cement (600585 CH) is already valued at HK$13.3/share.
  • Its waste-to-energy business has a value of Rmb4.4bn by assuming 5x PER, but this business has a net book value of Rmb10bn. Pipeline capacity equals 21.7% of operational capacity.
  • The new energy segment, including lithium battery recycling and the manufacture of positive and negative electrode materials, has solid prospects but is overlooked by the market.

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (23-Oct-2024): Foxconn focuses on SDV for smart car evolution.

By Tech Supply Chain Tracker

  • Foxconn is expanding its SDV development efforts to further the advancement of smart car technology.
  • Intel is seeking collaboration with Samsung to better compete with TSMC in the competitive foundry market.
  • Nvidia is collaborating with Indian partners to develop a custom chip for the Indian market, while Xiaomi launches China’s first 3nm SoC.

Netflix Revenue Soars to $9.83 Billion—What’s Next in 2025’s Bold New Plans?

By Baptista Research

  • Netflix’s third-quarter performance for 2024 highlights several key developments that provide a nuanced view of its position in the competitive streaming market.
  • On the financial front, Netflix delivered strong results, surpassing expectations on both earnings per share ($5.40 vs. $5.12 expected) and revenue ($9.83 billion vs. $9.77 billion expected), reflecting a 15% year-on-year growth.
  • The company added 5.1 million new subscribers, slightly above Wall Street expectations, bringing its total membership to 282.7 million.

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Daily Brief Event-Driven: Tokyo Metro (9023 JP): Listing Tomorrow; Div Yield and Index Flows Should Take It Higher and more

By | Daily Briefs, Event-Driven

In today’s briefing:

  • Tokyo Metro (9023 JP): Listing Tomorrow; Div Yield and Index Flows Should Take It Higher
  • The Tokyo Metro (9023 JP) IPO And Aftermarket – What To Look For
  • Australia: Potential Passive Selling in November Will Be Big
  • Shinko Electric (6967 JP): A Casualty of the China TCM Deal Break
  • Quiddity Leaderboard T50/​​​100 Dec 24: Two Important Takeaways for the TDIV Index
  • KRX’s Final Call on Value-Up ETF Launch & December Rebalancing Preview
  • Quiddity Leaderboard TDIV Dec 24: Trade Successful; +9.5% in Three Weeks; More Upside Possible.
  • NIFTY200 Momentum30 Index Rebalance Preview: 56% Turnover, Big Trade & Strong Momentum
  • CEMEX’s Low-Balled MTO. For Good Reason
  • Laopu Gold (6181 HK): IPO Lock-Up Expiry Might Prove Golden for Global Index Inclusion


Tokyo Metro (9023 JP): Listing Tomorrow; Div Yield and Index Flows Should Take It Higher

By Brian Freitas

  • Tokyo Metro (9023 JP) priced its IPO at the top end (JPY 1200/share), raised JPY 348.6bn (US$2.3bn) and the company is valued at JPY 697bn (US$4.62bn).
  • The stock starts to trade today, and the grey market is indicating an open 20% higher. Not surprising considering that the IPO was heavily oversubscribed.
  • Even at a price of JPY 1440/share, the estimated dividend yield is 2.78% and that should keep the stock supported. Index inclusions will result in more buying next week.

The Tokyo Metro (9023 JP) IPO And Aftermarket – What To Look For

By Travis Lundy

  • The Tokyo Metro (9023 JP) IPO is one of the largest IPOs of recent years, well-flagged, and it is hot hot hot!  A super stable, well-known, well-respected, service provider.
  • There are numerous attractions but I expect people have not thought too deeply about the demand and supply dynamics of different holder types. It’s worth thinking about. 
  • This was priced “cheap” but everyone knows that so there may be flippers. This is probably more Japan Post Bank than Japan Post Insurance.

Australia: Potential Passive Selling in November Will Be Big

By Brian Freitas

  • There could be two or three Aussie names that are deleted from global passive portfolios in November. In each of the cases, there is a lot to sell from passives.
  • One name is very high probability while the deletion of the others depends on the day of the week chosen.
  • Shorts have been built up on the stocks and there are strong indications of positioning. But the extent of the positioning varies, and the stocks could have differently.

Shinko Electric (6967 JP): A Casualty of the China TCM Deal Break

By Arun George

  • At first glance, the Shinko Electric Industries (6967 JP) and China TCM merger arb has little or no similarities regarding the region, precondition, sector, type of offeror, or offer structure.
  • The aftermath of China Traditional Chinese Medicine (570 HK) has resulted in funds resizing well-held merger arb positions, mainly long-dated names with tail event risks. This has increased the Shinko spread. 
  • Shinko’s tail event risk (no SAMR approval) remains low. Timing remains the primary risk, as a delay is possible. At the last close, the gross/annualised spread was 8.9%/29.2%.

Quiddity Leaderboard T50/​​​100 Dec 24: Two Important Takeaways for the TDIV Index

By Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

  • The T50 index represents the top 50 largest stocks by market capitalization in the Taiwan Stock Exchange (TWSE). The T100 index represents the next 100 largest names (51-150 ranks).
  • In this insight, we take a look at the potential ADDs and DELs for the December 2024 index rebal event.
  • Currently, we see one change for T50 and two changes for T100 but there are four more weeks to the base date and our expectations can change until then.

KRX’s Final Call on Value-Up ETF Launch & December Rebalancing Preview

By Sanghyun Park

  • Despite feedback from ETF managers, KRX is moving forward with the simultaneous listing of 12 ETFs tracking the Value-Up Index on November 4th.
  • Government-Backed organizations are launching a 200 billion KRW Value-Up Fund for the Value-Up Index stocks, targeting an AUM boost to over 1 trillion KRW by year-end.
  • For new additions in the December rebalancing, the safest bets are POSCO Holdings, JB Financial Group, and HK inno.N.

Quiddity Leaderboard TDIV Dec 24: Trade Successful; +9.5% in Three Weeks; More Upside Possible.

By Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

  • In this insight, we take look at Quiddity’s expectations for index changes and capping flows for the TDIV Index for the December 2024 index rebal event.
  • I currently see 5 ADDs and 4 DELs but some of these names are different from what we had last time (link).
  • The current estimate for one-way flow in December 2024 is US$1.54bn.

NIFTY200 Momentum30 Index Rebalance Preview: 56% Turnover, Big Trade & Strong Momentum

By Brian Freitas

  • There could be 16 changes for the Nifty200 Momentum 30 Index that will be implemented at the close on 30 December.
  • If all changes are on expected lines, one-way turnover is estimated at 55.6% and that will result in a one-way trade of INR 62bn (US$736m).
  • Since June, the potential adds to the index have outperformed the index and the potential deletes by a big margin. Momentum could keep the outperformance going till implementation date.

CEMEX’s Low-Balled MTO. For Good Reason

By David Blennerhassett

  • Back on the 25th April 2024, a Dacon/DMCI Holdings (DMC PM)-led consortium entered into a SPA to acquire 89.86% in CEXMEX (CHP PM) from Cemex SAB de CV (CEMEXCPO MM).
  • The completion of the sale triggered a mandatory tender offer for the remaining 10.14% of shares out. The Offer Price is ₱1.42/share (before considerable fees), a 8% discount to undisturbed.
  • The Offer Period spans October 23 to November 21. There’s the possibility of a technical bump. Don’t expect a follow-on delisting Offer. The Bidders’ intention is to maintain CEMEX’s listing.

Laopu Gold (6181 HK): IPO Lock-Up Expiry Might Prove Golden for Global Index Inclusion

By Dimitris Ioannidis

  • Laopu Gold (6181 HK) is expected to fail the fcap threshold at the December 2024 review due to low free float unless its price surges ~22% in the next week.
  • The 6-month lock-up expiry will lift the fcap closely above the threshold significantly increasing the probability of inclusion at the March 2025 review.
  • If the mcap qualifies for the small-cap segment, its inclusion is possible at the November 2024 review due to lower fcap requirements. 

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Daily Brief Crypto: Crypto Crisp: Excessive Futures Open Interest and more

By | Crypto, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • Crypto Crisp: Excessive Futures Open Interest


Crypto Crisp: Excessive Futures Open Interest

By Mads Eberhardt

  • A new all-time high for Bitcoin is within reach, which aligns with the strength we anticipated in last week’s Crypto Crisp.
  • As we have repeatedly emphasized, this quarter is primed for significant price growth due to a convergence of favorable factors.
  • These include increased U.S. Dollar liquidity, strong seasonal trends, Chinese economic stimulus, and the post-fourth Bitcoin halving phase, which has historically led to substantial returns.

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Daily Brief Macro: Steno Signals #122 – Markets have abandoned the cutting narrative (outside of EZ) and more

By | Daily Briefs, Macro

In today’s briefing:

  • Steno Signals #122 – Markets have abandoned the cutting narrative (outside of EZ)
  • CX Daily: China Tries New Tack to Spur Economic Growth Through Stimulus Effort
  • Mexico: More Institutional Changes in the Pipeline
  • The week at a Glance – The cleanest shirt in the dirty laundry
  • Actinver Research – Lower Housing Prices Will Result in Margin Contractions (3Q24 Preview)
  • Comment on Exchange Rate EUR/JPY – September 27, 2024


Steno Signals #122 – Markets have abandoned the cutting narrative (outside of EZ)

By Andreas Steno

  • Morning from Copenhagen, I spent my Sunday evening in the company of Interpol (the band, not the police, doh!), allowing myself a day off for once after the big announcements we made last week.
  • As a result, Steno Signals was released this Monday morning instead.
  • The recent repricing of EUR rates versus peers is extremely interesting, as the ECB is suddenly considered the only G3 central bank with a feasible path to 50bp cuts.

CX Daily: China Tries New Tack to Spur Economic Growth Through Stimulus Effort

By Caixin Global

  • Stimulus / Cover Story: China tries new tack to spur economic growth through stimulus effort
  • High-speed railway /: The view from Indonesia’s China-built high-speed railway, one year on

  • Export /Caixin explains: China’s new export controls and how they will work


Mexico: More Institutional Changes in the Pipeline

By Alex Ng

  • Morena’s political dominance has strengthened with Claudia Sheinbaum’s election and judicial reforms, allowing them to shape the Supreme Court.
  • This boosts their ability to push controversial policies, like state control of Mexico’s energy sector.
  • However, economic slowdown and potential U.S. political shifts, such as a Trump victory, could dampen investor confidence and derail nearshoring momentum by 2025.

The week at a Glance – The cleanest shirt in the dirty laundry

By Andreas Steno

  • Happy Monday from Copenhagen.
  • Our nowcasts of the US economy have proven useful in predicting the direction of incoming macro releases over the past couple of months, accurately capturing both the downtrend in July and the subsequent strength observed throughout September and October relative to expectations.
  • The US economy is performing much better than feared at the moment, resulting in stronger equities, higher rates, and a stronger USD.

Actinver Research – Lower Housing Prices Will Result in Margin Contractions (3Q24 Preview)

By Actinver

  • In the Mexican housing sector, total sales will continue with their positive trend; however, a mix oriented to the affordable segment and lower land sales will result in margin contractions.
  • The sector’s total sales will advance 8%, supported by higher volume sales.
  • In contrast, the sector’s EBITDA is expected to gain 3%, mainly explained by a sales mix oriented to houses with lower prices.

Comment on Exchange Rate EUR/JPY – September 27, 2024

By VRS (Valuation & Research Specialists)

  • During the period under consideration, i.e. August 28th, 2024 to September 27th, 2024, the EUR/JPY exchange rate fluctuated between 155.97 and 162.63.
  • The MA-10 line was moving above the MA-20 line for the first week, and then it crossed below the MA-20, maintaining a steady downward movement until it crossed over it again on September 26th MA-20 line retained an immovable declining trend throughout the entire period.
  • Based on Graph 2, the CCI (red line) was moving in a descending trend at the beginning of the period under consideration but after September 6th the movement changed to the opposite direction, reaching the price of 100 and ending up slightly above the 50 level.

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Daily Brief Australia: Dexus Property, Mineral Resources, Auswide Bank and more

By | Australia, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • Australia: Potential Passive Selling in November Will Be Big
  • What the Ellison allegations mean for MinRes
  • Auswide Bank (ABA AU)/MyState Ltd (MYS AU): 2nd Dec Merger Vote


Australia: Potential Passive Selling in November Will Be Big

By Brian Freitas

  • There could be two or three Aussie names that are deleted from global passive portfolios in November. In each of the cases, there is a lot to sell from passives.
  • One name is very high probability while the deletion of the others depends on the day of the week chosen.
  • Shorts have been built up on the stocks and there are strong indications of positioning. But the extent of the positioning varies, and the stocks could have differently.

What the Ellison allegations mean for MinRes

By Money of Mine

  • Neil Chenoweth wrote a detailed investigative piece on Min Res founder Chris Allison and former top executives, alleging a tax evasion scheme using shareholder funds.
  • The scheme involved buying machinery with inflated prices from a company named Far East Equipment Holdings in the British Virgin Islands.
  • Min Res stock dropped 13% in response to the article, with implications on leadership and governance of the company.

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.


Auswide Bank (ABA AU)/MyState Ltd (MYS AU): 2nd Dec Merger Vote

By David Blennerhassett

  • On the 19th August, MyState Ltd (MYS AU), Tassie’s largest bank, entered into a merger agreement by way of a Scheme with Queensland-based Auswide Bank (ABA AU).
  • MyState will issue 1.112 new shares for every share held by Auswide shareholders, with MyState/Auswide investors holding 65.9%/34.1% ownership in the MergeCo.  
  • The Scheme Booklet is now out, with a Scheme Meeting to be held on the 2nd December Expected implementation on the 18th December. The IE (Kroll) says fair & reasonable.

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Daily Brief South Korea: POSCO Holdings, Doosan Bobcat Inc and more

By | Daily Briefs, South Korea

In today’s briefing:

  • KRX’s Final Call on Value-Up ETF Launch & December Rebalancing Preview
  • New Reorganization Plan Increases Overhang Risk for Doosan Bobcat


KRX’s Final Call on Value-Up ETF Launch & December Rebalancing Preview

By Sanghyun Park

  • Despite feedback from ETF managers, KRX is moving forward with the simultaneous listing of 12 ETFs tracking the Value-Up Index on November 4th.
  • Government-Backed organizations are launching a 200 billion KRW Value-Up Fund for the Value-Up Index stocks, targeting an AUM boost to over 1 trillion KRW by year-end.
  • For new additions in the December rebalancing, the safest bets are POSCO Holdings, JB Financial Group, and HK inno.N.

New Reorganization Plan Increases Overhang Risk for Doosan Bobcat

By Douglas Kim

  • Our overall assessment of the new reorganization plan by the Doosan Group continues to be Negative, because Doosan has not given up trying to eventually merge Bobcat and Robotics.
  • Doosan Group’s new reorganization plan is the opposite of KISS strategy, involving several moving parts and complicated deal structure.
  • We have also provided three main recommendations on how to raise the valuation of Doosan Bobcat without rushing to merge Bobcat and Robotics.

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Daily Brief Indonesia: Medco Energi and more

By | Daily Briefs, Indonesia

In today’s briefing:

  • Morning Views Asia: Adani Green Energy, CIFI Holdings, Medco Energi


Morning Views Asia: Adani Green Energy, CIFI Holdings, Medco Energi

By Leonard Law, CFA

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.


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