Category

Daily Briefs

Daily Brief Singapore: AEM, Lippo Malls Indonesia Retail Trust and more

By | Daily Briefs, Singapore

In today’s briefing:

  • AEM Holdings: More Short-Term Pain; Highly Attractive Valuation for Long-Term Investors
  • Lippo Malls Indonesia – Event Flash – Exchange Offer For 2024 Notes; Q1 Results – Lucror Analytics


AEM Holdings: More Short-Term Pain; Highly Attractive Valuation for Long-Term Investors

By Nicolas Van Broekhoven

  • AEM (AEM SP) published dismal 1Q24 results and kept its modest guidance for 1H24.
  • AEM has announced new customer wins going into FY25 which should improve results materially next year. The sell-side has downgraded estimates aggressively making room for upside surprises next year.
  • AEM has seen an implosion in investor confidence because of the inventory issues, and slow orders from its key customer Intel Corp (INTC US). Long-term investors should accumulate here. 

Lippo Malls Indonesia – Event Flash – Exchange Offer For 2024 Notes; Q1 Results – Lucror Analytics

By Trung Nguyen

Yesterday, Lippo Malls Indonesia Retail Trust (LMIRT) launched an exchange offer for the USD 7.25% 2024 notes maturing on June 19th, with an outstanding amount of USD 138.4 mn. The company has offered to exchange each of the USD 1,000 principal of the notes for USD 432 of USD 7.5% 2026 notes and a USD 600 cash payment. The funding will come from a credit facility of up to IDR 1.5 tn.

We recommend that holders of the 2024 notes participate in the offer. Considering that it requires 70% of holders to take part, holding out could cause the transaction to fall through, with LMIRT then defaulting on the notes.


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Daily Brief Indonesia: Sido Muncul, Lippo Karawaci and more

By | Daily Briefs, Indonesia

In today’s briefing:

  • Sido Muncul (SIDO): Take Your Win First
  • Morning Views Asia: China Oil And Gas, Lippo Karawaci, SJM Holdings, Softbank Group


Sido Muncul (SIDO): Take Your Win First

By Henry Soediarko

  • Sido Muncul (SIDO IJ) had a poor Q2-Q3 numbers, and investors sold off. 
  • The recent uptick is driven by revenue growth and cost cutting exercises (mainly in wages) that improve margins.  
  • Productivity may not stay at the same level thus Q2 24 numbers are key. Take your win first. 

Morning Views Asia: China Oil And Gas, Lippo Karawaci, SJM Holdings, Softbank Group

By Leonard Law, CFA

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.


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Daily Brief United States: Crude Oil, PetroTal, Ethereum, Xperi, VAALCO Energy, Inter Parfums, Rani Therapeutics Holdings , Abercrombie & Fitch Co Cl A, Valvoline , WillScot Mobile Mini Holdings and more

By | Daily Briefs, United States

In today’s briefing:

  • Balanced Fundamentals To Soften Crude Oil Prices
  • PetroTal Corp (AIM: PTAL): Acquisition in Peru – More than Meets the Eye
  • Crypto Moves #27 – Rollups Leave Ethereum in the Dust
  • XPER: Design Wins into Revenue
  • VAALCO Energy (NYSE: EGY): Good quarter. Gearing-up for growth
  • IPAR: Aroma of a Release Schedule
  • RANI: 1Q:24 Results
  • Abercrombie & Fitch Co Cl A – AKA: 1Q Beginning of a Powerful Turn; Raising PT to $25, Reiterate Buy
  • Valvoline Inc (VVV) – Thursday, Feb 8, 2024
  • Willscot Mobile Mini Holding (WSC) – Thursday, Feb 8, 2024


Balanced Fundamentals To Soften Crude Oil Prices

By Suhas Reddy

  • US commercial crude oil inventory fell by 1.36 million barrels for the week ending on 3/May, after rising by 7.3 million barrels the week before.
  • EIA increased its global liquid fuels production for 2024 and 2025 by 110,000 bpd and 40,000 bpd, respectively.
  • EIA forecasts OPEC’s spare production capacity around 4 million bpd through 2025.

PetroTal Corp (AIM: PTAL): Acquisition in Peru – More than Meets the Eye

By Auctus Advisors

  • PetroTal is acquiring Block 131 onshore Peru including the Los Angeles field from CEPSA for US$5 mm.
  • The field produces ~900 boe/d from 4 existing wells and holds 4.9 mmbbl of 40-45 deg API oil 2P reserves.
  • We estimate that 3 new wells (at ~US$12 mm per well) could increase production to 2-3 mbbl/d.

Crypto Moves #27 – Rollups Leave Ethereum in the Dust

By Mads Eberhardt

  • On March 13, nearly two months ago, Ethereum implemented its most significant upgrade in the past 20 months, marking a notable development since the Ethereum Merge on September 15, 2022.
  • Known as Dencun or Cancun-Deneb, this upgrade introduced the highly anticipated Proto-Danksharding feature, designed to significantly improve the scalability of Ethereum’s Layer 2 solutions, also known as rollups.
  • This enhancement has allowed rollups to drastically reduce transaction costs by approximately five to 10 times, while also stabilizing their cost fluctuations.

XPER: Design Wins into Revenue

By Hamed Khorsand

  • XPER made further progress on product placement in the first quarter contributing to expecting revenue acceleration heading into the second half of 2024.
  • XPER reported first quarter results that included the announcement of a new Japanese TV brand that would begin using TiVo in a line of its TVs
  • Over the last couple of quarters XPER has announced several wins for its connected car and media platform segments. These wins have developed into revenue for XPER

VAALCO Energy (NYSE: EGY): Good quarter. Gearing-up for growth

By Auctus Advisors

  • 1Q24 WI production was 21,807 boe/d, in line with our expectations.
  • VAALCO held ~US$113 mm in cash at the end of March, which is also in line.
  • With the completion of the acquisition of Svenska, the company now expects to produce 23.6-26.5 mboe/d in FY24.

IPAR: Aroma of a Release Schedule

By Hamed Khorsand

  • IPAR reported first quarter results detailing how consumer demand for fragrances has yet to wane even in a difficult to compare period
  • In a change of strategy than prior years, IPAR is spending more in the early parts of the year to build awareness for its lineup of products 
  • With one quarter past, we believe Lacoste and Roberto Cavalli are additive to the investment story and not the year’s only topic

RANI: 1Q:24 Results

By Zacks Small Cap Research

  • Rani is a clinical-stage biotherapeutics company developing the ingestible robotic RaniPill (RP) that enables oral delivery of biologics & other large molecules.
  • Its pipeline features clinical assets RT-102 (teriparatide for osteoporosis) & RT-111 (ustekinumab for psoriasis).
  • Both programs have completed Ph1 trials characterizing safety tolerability & pharmaco-kinetics.

Abercrombie & Fitch Co Cl A – AKA: 1Q Beginning of a Powerful Turn; Raising PT to $25, Reiterate Buy

By Small Cap Consumer Research

  • We are reiterating our Buy rating, raising our pice target to $25 (from $14), and upping our projections for a.k.a. Brands after the company registered better-than-expected revenue and Adjusted EBITDA for 1Q24 and raised 2024 guidance, driven by strong domestic results, as all the company’s concepts continue to gain market share in the United States via new stores, expanding digital marketplace relationships and the “test and repeat” method driving newness and fashion excitement.
  • Further, we believe the Australian operations, especially Culture Kings, are setting up for a 2H24 turn, with leaner inventories and better product mix.
  • As such, even after raising our projections, we believe upside remains in 2H24 and 2025 and are confident raising our price target to $25 and reiterating our Buy rating on AKA.

Valvoline Inc (VVV) – Thursday, Feb 8, 2024

By Value Investors Club

  • Valvoline is the largest pure-play operator in the oil change industry, trading at around 16 times estimated FY25 EPS
  • The company plans to accelerate unit growth from 140 to 250 openings per year over the next five years
  • Valvoline has a focus on driving incremental ticket growth and strong competition in the market, positioning it for success with a solid foundation from its long history in the industry

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


Willscot Mobile Mini Holding (WSC) – Thursday, Feb 8, 2024

By Value Investors Club

  • WillScot Mobile Mini has completed significant acquisitions to strengthen its leadership position in modular office and mobile storage industries.
  • The company believes in seizing no-brainer opportunities for acquisitions despite warnings from renowned investors like Warren Buffett and Charlie Munger.
  • WillScot Mobile Mini focuses on strategic advantages, organic growth, high returns on investment, and disciplined valuation methodologies to create long-term shareholder value.

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


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Daily Brief China: Melco International Development, H World Group , Shouhui Tech, Anhui Conch Cement, Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corp (SMIC), Lippo Karawaci and more

By | China, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • HK CEO & Director Dealings (9 May 2024): Lawrence Adds More Melco; Ng Adds More Sino Land
  • H World Group Limited (HTHT) – Thursday, Feb 8, 2024
  • Shouhui Tech Pre-IPO – Profitability Recovered but Hardly Stands Out as a Middleman
  • Anhui Conch Cement (914 HK): Increasingly Favourable Odds
  • SMIC (981.HK): 1Q24 Outlook Was Improved, and The 2Q24 Outlook Appears to Be Better than 1Q24.
  • Morning Views Asia: China Oil And Gas, Lippo Karawaci, SJM Holdings, Softbank Group


HK CEO & Director Dealings (9 May 2024): Lawrence Adds More Melco; Ng Adds More Sino Land

By David Blennerhassett

  • The data in this insight is collated from the “shareholding disclosure” link on the HKEx website.
  • Often there is a corresponding HKEx announcement on the increase – or decrease – in the shareholding by directors. Or pledging. However, such disclosures are by no means an absolute.
  • The key stocks mentioned in this regular insight include Melco International Development (200 HK), Sino Land Co (83 HK), and ZJLD Group (6979 HK).

H World Group Limited (HTHT) – Thursday, Feb 8, 2024

By Value Investors Club

  • Hotel rooms in China decreased by 5.4% compared to the previous year
  • H World has maintained its position as a leading hotel operator in China with a diverse portfolio of brands
  • Founder Qi Ji’s strong track record in the hospitality industry has contributed to H World’s success in navigating challenges and growing its presence in the industry.

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


Shouhui Tech Pre-IPO – Profitability Recovered but Hardly Stands Out as a Middleman

By Ethan Aw

  • Shouhui Tech (SHOU HK) is looking to raise around US$200m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO.
  • Shouhui Tech (Shouhui) is an online life and health insurance intermediary service provider in China.
  • In this note, we talk about the firm’s historical performance.

Anhui Conch Cement (914 HK): Increasingly Favourable Odds

By Osbert Tang, CFA

  • Stable cement price, good cost control, and a better base for comparison will lift Anhui Conch Cement (914 HK)‘s profitability recovery in 2-4Q24.  
  • Anhui Conch’s earnings outperformed in 1Q24. Its peers are making losses and hence will reduce excess supply. Stabilisation of the real estate market will lower the pressure on demand.
  • Net cash equals 46% of the current share price, and its valuations (both PER and P/B) are inexpensive relative to peers and ROE.  

SMIC (981.HK): 1Q24 Outlook Was Improved, and The 2Q24 Outlook Appears to Be Better than 1Q24.

By Patrick Liao

  • It’s an exciting 1Q24 result that revenue and GM beat the prior guidance.
  • The 2Q24 outlook appears to be better than 1Q24, with revenue expected to increase by 5% to 7% QoQ and GM by 9% to 11%.
  • We consider the primary bottleneck is the embargo of EUV machines to China from the Netherlands.

Morning Views Asia: China Oil And Gas, Lippo Karawaci, SJM Holdings, Softbank Group

By Leonard Law, CFA

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.


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Daily Brief Japan: Infocom Corp, Alps Logistics, CELSYS, Daikin Industries, Shofu Inc, Nitto Kogyo, Lippo Karawaci, TSE Tokyo Price Index TOPIX and more

By | Daily Briefs, Japan

In today’s briefing:

  • Infocom (4348 JP): Rumoured Tender Offer as Teijin Seeks to Exit
  • Logisteed/KKR Bid BIGLY for Alps Logistics (9055). A Gobsmacking Price/Multiple
  • Alps Logistics (9055 JP): KKR’s Knockout Pre-Conditional Offer at JPY5,774
  • TOPIX Inclusions: Who Is Ready (May 2024)
  • Daikin (6367) | Keep Cool
  • Shofu (7979 JP) – Hiking Production and Demonstrating Confidence in Future Growth
  • Nitto Kogyo Corporation (6651 JP) – News and Imprecation
  • Morning Views Asia: China Oil And Gas, Lippo Karawaci, SJM Holdings, Softbank Group
  • Any Manager Can Simply Implement Shareholder Returns


Infocom (4348 JP): Rumoured Tender Offer as Teijin Seeks to Exit

By Arun George

  • Bloomberg reports that Teijin Ltd (3401 JP) wants to sell its 55% stake in Infocom Corp (4348 JP). The rumoured bidders are Sony Corp (6758 JP), Blackstone and KKR. 
  • Based on precedents, the offer structure will likely be structured such that Teijin provides an irrevocable NOT to accept but vote in favour of share consolidation at the EGM.
  • Bloomberg suggests that Infocom could be valued at JPY200 billion. If this refers to market cap, the tender offer is JPY3,472, a 16.5% premium to the last close.

Logisteed/KKR Bid BIGLY for Alps Logistics (9055). A Gobsmacking Price/Multiple

By Travis Lundy

  • In late February, a specialty media outlet noted Alps Logistics (9055 JP) was up for sale. I missed that. Yesterday pre-close, a headline crossed the wires. A deal was imminent.
  • Nikkei overnight said “¥150bn+ market cap”. I thought KKR might slightly overpay the Hitachi Transport System (9086 JP) multiple paid. That meant +13% today was full-ish. I was wrong.
  • KKR is paying ¥5,774 to minorities, and about ¥4,084-ish to the parent, who is reinvesting at ¥5,774. This is a total knock-out price paid. HUGE MINORITY WIN.

Alps Logistics (9055 JP): KKR’s Knockout Pre-Conditional Offer at JPY5,774

By Arun George

  • Alps Logistics (9055 JP) recommended a pre-conditional tender offer from a KKR & Co (KKR US) subsidiary at JPY5,774, 32.7% and 69.8% premium to the last close and undisturbed price, respectively. 
  • The pre-condition is approvals under competition laws of Japan, China, the EU, South Korea and Vietnam. The tender offer is expected to start in mid-August.
  • The offer represents an all-time high and is a knockout bid. While the timing of regulatory approvals is a risk, the transaction is a done deal. 

TOPIX Inclusions: Who Is Ready (May 2024)

By Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

  • Quiddity’s “Who is Ready” series of insights aims to objectively identify names listed on the Tokyo Stock Exchange that are potential additions to the TOPIX Index in future.
  • Dozens of companies have been able to meet the key Section Transfer requirements on paper for several months but there have been no TOPIX Inclusions announcements in 2024 so far. 
  • However, there are some pre-event candidates we believe are worth monitoring as they have previously confirmed their desire to move to the Prime Market.

Daikin (6367) | Keep Cool

By Mark Chadwick

  • FY2023 Success: Daikin achieved record-high sales and profit, driven by FX impacts. Despite challenges like reduced demand, the Air Conditioning business expanded in key markets.
  • Ambitious Targets: FY3/25 targets include surpassing previous financial records, despite continued sluggish demand.
  • Cautious Outlook: While optimistic about market share gains, reservations persist, particularly regarding heat pumps. Stock performance remains steady, trading in line with historical averages.

Shofu (7979 JP) – Hiking Production and Demonstrating Confidence in Future Growth

By Astris Advisory Japan

  • Committing to raising production capacity –Shofu announced its fifth medium-term plan, covering the four years from FY3/25 to FY3/28.
  • The core message is that the company has competitive products and high demand visibility in overseas markets, and is reaching the point of attaining annual sales volume of ¥50bn.
  • The plan will involve significant capital allocation to raise production capacity and other business investments to meet its goals. zed.

Nitto Kogyo Corporation (6651 JP) – News and Imprecation

By Sessa Investment Research

  • News: The Nikkei on April 25th reported, “A dark cloud is hovering over the future of the electric car (EV) market.
  • The low prices of Chinese EV manufacturers, backed by Chinese government subsidies, are adversely affecting the performance of related companies such as motor giant Nidec Corporation (TSE Prime: 6594).
  • The spread of low-cost EVs will substantially change the structure of the industry, and investors are beginning to look out for companies that will benefit from the commoditization of EVs.

Morning Views Asia: China Oil And Gas, Lippo Karawaci, SJM Holdings, Softbank Group

By Leonard Law, CFA

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.


Any Manager Can Simply Implement Shareholder Returns

By Aki Matsumoto

  • Profit margins boosted by cuts in personnel, R&D, CapEx, and corporate tax rates. Much of the improved free cash flow went onto the balance sheet instead of being invested.
  • OP Margin’s sluggish growth indicates that the cost-cutting model is no longer working. Investments are needed to create products with higher gross margins.
  • While the limitations of the cost-cutting model can be seen, ROE, which indicates the achievement of the management goal of increasing medium-to-long-term shareholder returns, is sluggish in many companies.

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Daily Brief ESG: Any Manager Can Simply Implement Shareholder Returns and more

By | Daily Briefs, ESG

In today’s briefing:

  • Any Manager Can Simply Implement Shareholder Returns


Any Manager Can Simply Implement Shareholder Returns

By Aki Matsumoto

  • Profit margins boosted by cuts in personnel, R&D, CapEx, and corporate tax rates. Much of the improved free cash flow went onto the balance sheet instead of being invested.
  • OP Margin’s sluggish growth indicates that the cost-cutting model is no longer working. Investments are needed to create products with higher gross margins.
  • While the limitations of the cost-cutting model can be seen, ROE, which indicates the achievement of the management goal of increasing medium-to-long-term shareholder returns, is sluggish in many companies.

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Daily Brief Thematic (Sector/Industry): Leaders and Laggards in Advanced Asia-Domiciled Insurance Sector and more

By | Daily Briefs, Thematic (Sector/Industry)

In today’s briefing:

  • Leaders and Laggards in Advanced Asia-Domiciled Insurance Sector
  • Ohayo Japan | Dow Leads
  • Asian Healthcare Spend as a Percentage of GDP – the Laggards


Leaders and Laggards in Advanced Asia-Domiciled Insurance Sector

By Raghav Chandra Mathur

  • Insurers domiciled in Advanced Asian Economies have reaped the benefits of the higher-for-longer interest rate environment that has buoyed profitability for the sub-sector, even though operational headwinds and policy uncertainty remain key challenges for the sector in the latter half of the year.
  • Suffice to say the trend in Insurers’ credit risk profiles, measured using Criat’s Credit Cycle Indices (CCCIs), has been non-homogenous across the continent with firms domiciled in economies such as South Korea and Hong Kong facing a substantially higher risk than those domiciled in Singapore, Japan, and Taiwan.
  • Strong net investment returns over the past year have helped boost profitability for most of the sub-sector that has increased its exposure to government securities. 

Ohayo Japan | Dow Leads

By Mark Chadwick

  • Stocks surged Thursday, extending the Dow Jones Industrial Average’s winning streak to seven days
  • Japan’s major trading houses aim for double-digit returns on equity (ROE) by optimizing portfolios and enhancing shareholder returns.
  • Sony Group, among other interested parties, is exploring the acquisition of online comic store operator Infocom Corp, with a potential deal valued at up to 200 billion yen

Asian Healthcare Spend as a Percentage of GDP – the Laggards

By Avien Pillay

  • China’s healthcare spend has been growing faster than GDP, however it still lags a number of the other emerging markets especially in Latin America.
  • India’s healthcare spend is very concerning and has been stagnant/declining despite the high growth in GDP over the past few decades.
  • China and India need to drastically increase spend to address their critical healthcare issues or face a declining growth rate.

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Daily Brief ECM: Shouhui Tech Pre-IPO – Profitability Recovered but Hardly Stands Out as a Middleman and more

By | Daily Briefs, ECM

In today’s briefing:

  • Shouhui Tech Pre-IPO – Profitability Recovered but Hardly Stands Out as a Middleman


Shouhui Tech Pre-IPO – Profitability Recovered but Hardly Stands Out as a Middleman

By Ethan Aw

  • Shouhui Tech (SHOU HK) is looking to raise around US$200m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO.
  • Shouhui Tech (Shouhui) is an online life and health insurance intermediary service provider in China.
  • In this note, we talk about the firm’s historical performance.

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Daily Brief Credit: Lippo Malls Indonesia – Event Flash – Exchange Offer For 2024 Notes; Q1 Results – Lucror Analytics and more

By | Credit, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • Lippo Malls Indonesia – Event Flash – Exchange Offer For 2024 Notes; Q1 Results – Lucror Analytics
  • Morning Views Asia: China Oil And Gas, Lippo Karawaci, SJM Holdings, Softbank Group


Lippo Malls Indonesia – Event Flash – Exchange Offer For 2024 Notes; Q1 Results – Lucror Analytics

By Trung Nguyen

Yesterday, Lippo Malls Indonesia Retail Trust (LMIRT) launched an exchange offer for the USD 7.25% 2024 notes maturing on June 19th, with an outstanding amount of USD 138.4 mn. The company has offered to exchange each of the USD 1,000 principal of the notes for USD 432 of USD 7.5% 2026 notes and a USD 600 cash payment. The funding will come from a credit facility of up to IDR 1.5 tn.

We recommend that holders of the 2024 notes participate in the offer. Considering that it requires 70% of holders to take part, holding out could cause the transaction to fall through, with LMIRT then defaulting on the notes.


Morning Views Asia: China Oil And Gas, Lippo Karawaci, SJM Holdings, Softbank Group

By Leonard Law, CFA

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.


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Daily Brief Equity Bottom-Up: AEM Holdings: More Short-Term Pain; Highly Attractive Valuation for Long-Term Investors and more

By | Daily Briefs, Equity Bottom-Up

In today’s briefing:

  • AEM Holdings: More Short-Term Pain; Highly Attractive Valuation for Long-Term Investors
  • Tech Supply Chain Tracker (10-May-2024): Samsung and LG launch new gaming/ AI monitors in market recovery.
  • H World Group Limited (HTHT) – Thursday, Feb 8, 2024
  • Daikin (6367) | Keep Cool
  • TSEM: Tower’s Revenues May Have Bottomed Sequential Improvement is Expected Going Forward
  • Anhui Conch Cement (914 HK): Increasingly Favourable Odds
  • Shofu (7979 JP) – Hiking Production and Demonstrating Confidence in Future Growth
  • SMIC (981.HK): 1Q24 Outlook Was Improved, and The 2Q24 Outlook Appears to Be Better than 1Q24.
  • Classys (214150 KS): Beautiful Journey Continues; Record High Revenue and Operating Profit in 1Q24
  • Sido Muncul (SIDO): Take Your Win First


AEM Holdings: More Short-Term Pain; Highly Attractive Valuation for Long-Term Investors

By Nicolas Van Broekhoven

  • AEM (AEM SP) published dismal 1Q24 results and kept its modest guidance for 1H24.
  • AEM has announced new customer wins going into FY25 which should improve results materially next year. The sell-side has downgraded estimates aggressively making room for upside surprises next year.
  • AEM has seen an implosion in investor confidence because of the inventory issues, and slow orders from its key customer Intel Corp (INTC US). Long-term investors should accumulate here. 

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (10-May-2024): Samsung and LG launch new gaming/ AI monitors in market recovery.

By Tech Supply Chain Tracker

  • Samsung and LG are launching new gaming and AI-focused monitors to take advantage of the recovering market.
  • Tata Elxsi is collaborating with Arm on self-driving vehicle solutions, while Saudi fund considers cutting ties with China for US chips and AI.
  • Samsung and SK Hynix are competing in the HBM market, driven by demand for high-bandwidth memory solutions. Toyota plans to invest JPY2 trillion in supply chain, EV, and SDV, with Tata making progress in semiconductor manufacturing.

H World Group Limited (HTHT) – Thursday, Feb 8, 2024

By Value Investors Club

  • Hotel rooms in China decreased by 5.4% compared to the previous year
  • H World has maintained its position as a leading hotel operator in China with a diverse portfolio of brands
  • Founder Qi Ji’s strong track record in the hospitality industry has contributed to H World’s success in navigating challenges and growing its presence in the industry.

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


Daikin (6367) | Keep Cool

By Mark Chadwick

  • FY2023 Success: Daikin achieved record-high sales and profit, driven by FX impacts. Despite challenges like reduced demand, the Air Conditioning business expanded in key markets.
  • Ambitious Targets: FY3/25 targets include surpassing previous financial records, despite continued sluggish demand.
  • Cautious Outlook: While optimistic about market share gains, reservations persist, particularly regarding heat pumps. Stock performance remains steady, trading in line with historical averages.

TSEM: Tower’s Revenues May Have Bottomed Sequential Improvement is Expected Going Forward

By Zacks Small Cap Research

  • Tower is a pure-play analog semiconductor wafer foundry that manufactures SiGe, MEMS, RF, embedded flash-based memory, analog/mixed-signal, and CMOS image-sensor devices in the US, Israel, and Japan.
  • It is serving markets in mobile such as RF High Position analog, as well as in CMOS image sensors, and power management.
  • It also added a new fab in Italy in partnership with STMicro that has just started shipping product and whose capacity will continue to ramp over the next two years.

Anhui Conch Cement (914 HK): Increasingly Favourable Odds

By Osbert Tang, CFA

  • Stable cement price, good cost control, and a better base for comparison will lift Anhui Conch Cement (914 HK)‘s profitability recovery in 2-4Q24.  
  • Anhui Conch’s earnings outperformed in 1Q24. Its peers are making losses and hence will reduce excess supply. Stabilisation of the real estate market will lower the pressure on demand.
  • Net cash equals 46% of the current share price, and its valuations (both PER and P/B) are inexpensive relative to peers and ROE.  

Shofu (7979 JP) – Hiking Production and Demonstrating Confidence in Future Growth

By Astris Advisory Japan

  • Committing to raising production capacity –Shofu announced its fifth medium-term plan, covering the four years from FY3/25 to FY3/28.
  • The core message is that the company has competitive products and high demand visibility in overseas markets, and is reaching the point of attaining annual sales volume of ¥50bn.
  • The plan will involve significant capital allocation to raise production capacity and other business investments to meet its goals. zed.

SMIC (981.HK): 1Q24 Outlook Was Improved, and The 2Q24 Outlook Appears to Be Better than 1Q24.

By Patrick Liao

  • It’s an exciting 1Q24 result that revenue and GM beat the prior guidance.
  • The 2Q24 outlook appears to be better than 1Q24, with revenue expected to increase by 5% to 7% QoQ and GM by 9% to 11%.
  • We consider the primary bottleneck is the embargo of EUV machines to China from the Netherlands.

Classys (214150 KS): Beautiful Journey Continues; Record High Revenue and Operating Profit in 1Q24

By Tina Banerjee

  • Classys (214150 KS) started 2024 on a strong note with highest ever quarterly revenue and operating profit in 1Q24. Faster-than-expected consumables orders from overseas markets drove the overall performance.
  • The proportion of consumable sales rose to 53% (1Q23: 48% and 4Q23: 43%), increasing by 42% and 32% QoQ. Increasing contribution from high-margin consumables sales improved the profitability substantially.
  • Favorable industry tailwind, global expansion, and new launches remain main growth drivers. Classys still expects 2024 revenue of KRW225B, up 25% YoY. In April, Classys obtained FDA approval for Volnewmer.

Sido Muncul (SIDO): Take Your Win First

By Henry Soediarko

  • Sido Muncul (SIDO IJ) had a poor Q2-Q3 numbers, and investors sold off. 
  • The recent uptick is driven by revenue growth and cost cutting exercises (mainly in wages) that improve margins.  
  • Productivity may not stay at the same level thus Q2 24 numbers are key. Take your win first. 

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