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Daily Briefs

Daily Brief South Korea: Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200, Shift Up and more

By | Daily Briefs, South Korea

In today’s briefing:

  • July Short Selling Resumption in Korea: Local Market Info & Trading Considerations
  • Shift Up IPO Valuation Analysis


July Short Selling Resumption in Korea: Local Market Info & Trading Considerations

By Sanghyun Park

  • According to market information confirmed so far, the resumption is set for July 1st, and short selling will be restricted to the constituents of KOSPI 200 and KOSDAQ 150.
  • The surge in trading volume likely stemmed from the return of long-short positions post-short-selling ban, leading to an overall market volume increase.
  • Another critical factor is the buying pressure on value-up stocks resuming in early July. We should aim at the price impacts of intersecting long-short flows and value-up stock purchases.

Shift Up IPO Valuation Analysis

By Douglas Kim

  • Our base case valuation of Shift Up is target price of 95,510 won, which is 59% higher than the high end of the IPO price range (60,000 won).
  • We believe Shift Up deserves higher valuation multiples than its peers mainly due to higher sales growth, much higher operating margins, and higher ROE.
  • Since its launch in April of this year, Stellar Blade (PS console game) has ranked first in sales in eight countries, including the United States, United Kingdom, Canada, and Japan.

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Daily Brief Singapore: PropertyGuru , Delhi International Airport Limited and more

By | Daily Briefs, Singapore

In today’s briefing:

  • PropertyGuru (PGRU US): KKR/TPG Mulling a Buyout
  • Morning Views Asia: Lippo Malls Indonesia Retail Trust


PropertyGuru (PGRU US): KKR/TPG Mulling a Buyout

By Arun George

  • Bloomberg reports that KKR and TPG are exploring options, including a buyout of PropertyGuru (PGRU US), and are gauging initial interest from other global investors.
  • The favoured privatisation option for US ADRs with the Cayman Islands incorporation is a statutory merger requiring a two-thirds voting approval threshold. 
  • The concentrated shareholder register would suggest that TPG/KKR would aim for irrevocable from the other three substantial shareholders, facilitating a modest takeover premium. 

Morning Views Asia: Lippo Malls Indonesia Retail Trust

By Leonard Law, CFA

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.


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Daily Brief Indonesia: Kalbe Farma and more

By | Daily Briefs, Indonesia

In today’s briefing:

  • Kalbe Farma (KLBF IJ) – Back to Fighting Fit Form


Kalbe Farma (KLBF IJ) – Back to Fighting Fit Form

By Angus Mackintosh

  • Kalbe Farma had a tough year in 2023, with high raw material prices and product mix impacting margins but these headwinds have abated in 1Q2024 with promising growth ahead. 
  • Distribution & Logistics and the pharmaceutical segment led growth in 1Q2024, with growth in the latter driven by more specialty drugs and unbranded generics.
  • Consumer health and nutritionals give Kalbe a consumer edge, with price rises in 1Q2024 and new products helping to drive profitability. Valuations look reasonable versus history with lustre around profits. 

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Daily Brief United States: Applied Materials, Innodata , NVIDIA Corp, Guess? Inc, Staples Inc, Glatfelter, Aethlon Medical , Tuya Inc, Kinetik Holdings , Mira Pharmaceuticals and more

By | Daily Briefs, United States

In today’s briefing:

  • AMAT. No Beat, No Raise, No Slump. But Why?
  • INOD: Profitable AI, Initiating
  • Nvidia Up Sharply Again – Can This Last?
  • GES: Snapping the Store: Accessories, Shorts Strong; Reiterate Buy, $37 PT
  • Staples Nad (SPLS) – Thursday, Feb 22, 2024
  • Glatfelter Corp (GLT) – Wednesday, Feb 21, 2024
  • AEMD: Data From In Vitro Study Supports Advancing Planned Oncology Clinical Trial
  • Tuya, Inc. – 1Q24 Earnings Strong
  • Kinetik Holdings Inc. (KNTK) – Wednesday, Feb 21, 2024
  • MIRA: In Advanced Discussions with Major Potential Partner


AMAT. No Beat, No Raise, No Slump. But Why?

By William Keating

  • AMAT Q124 revenues of $6.65 billion, in line with guidance and essentially flat both QoQ and YoY. Current quarter guidance also flat sequentially
  • WFE valuations are at all time record highs while revenues remain on life support from China
  • If China revenues fall off before non-China returns to growth, the WFE segment could be in for a world of pain.

INOD: Profitable AI, Initiating

By Hamed Khorsand

  • INOD is benefiting from the movement to incorporate artificial intelligence (“A.I.”) into many applications
  • INOD provides the datasets required for training A.I. and it has quickly become a leading provider of such service
  • The Company is now on pace to grow at a faster pace than expected and should lead to higher earnings and free cash flow in coming quarters

Nvidia Up Sharply Again – Can This Last?

By Jim Handy

  • Nvidia announced another sharp sales increase to $26 billion in quarterly revenues
  • The company’s growth is far greater than hyperscaler CapEx growth, as standard servers yield to AI servers: Bad news for Intel & AMD
  • Some of this may stem from an inventory build at the hyperscaler, which may lead to another Boom/Bust cycle similar to 2018 and 2022

GES: Snapping the Store: Accessories, Shorts Strong; Reiterate Buy, $37 PT

By Small Cap Consumer Research

  • We are reiterating our Buy rating, $37 price target and projections after visiting Guess?
  • stores in the New York City Metro area and Long Island.
  • We believe the company continued to drive strong momentum in May, with Mother’s Day solid and the company’s focus on key fashion items, such as cargo pants, shorts, handbags, watches and active wear a plus.

Staples Nad (SPLS) – Thursday, Feb 22, 2024

By Value Investors Club

  • Recommendation to buy SPLS 10.75% Senior Unsecured Notes due Apr-27 in the 78c area
  • Company is a B2B distributor of office supplies and professional categories in the US, with no retail stores
  • Potential for 45% total return if refinanced at par one year before maturity, with current yield of 13.8%

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


Glatfelter Corp (GLT) – Wednesday, Feb 21, 2024

By Value Investors Club

  • Glatfelter faced solvency issues after overpaying for Jacob Holm in late 2021
  • Turnaround CEO Thomas Fahnemann appointed in July 2022 to address liquidity issues
  • Reverse Morris Trust transaction with Berry Packaging leads to 60% increase in stock price, creating NewCo for potential successful turnaround.

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


AEMD: Data From In Vitro Study Supports Advancing Planned Oncology Clinical Trial

By Zacks Small Cap Research

  • The in vitro testing examined the removal of EVs directly from plasma & was reviewed and examined by an independent 3rd party commercial lab & by NAMSA, AEMD’s CRO for its planned Australian oncology study.
  • The data is a critical element enabling the company to move the Hemopurifier forward in clinical oncology studies towards potential regulatory approval and commercialization.
  • The next step is for AEMD to add the data to its Clinical Investigator Brochure, which it will then submit to the Ethics Committees at clinical sites interested in participating in the planned trials in Australia and India.

Tuya, Inc. – 1Q24 Earnings Strong

By Water Tower Research

  • Tuya reported a strong 1Q24, with revenue of $61.7 million, up 30% Y/Y (consensus was for ~15% Y/Y growth).
  • Gross margin continued to grow, up 360 bps Y/Y to 47.8% (a company record). IoT PaaS revenue grew 36% Y/Y to $45.6 million.
  • Its 590-bp Y/Y margin improvement was significant to corporate margin growth. 

Kinetik Holdings Inc. (KNTK) – Wednesday, Feb 21, 2024

By Value Investors Club

  • Kinetic is a Permian midstream business formed from the merger of Altus Midstream and Blackstone’s Raptor I and Raptor II G&P businesses
  • The company is the only large, pure-play Permian midstream business, with two business units focused on Midstream Logistics and Pipeline Transportation
  • Kinetic, still 50% owned by Blackstone, is expected to generate reasonable profits in the foreseeable future and presents a stable investment option in the current market environment

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


MIRA: In Advanced Discussions with Major Potential Partner

By Zacks Small Cap Research

  • MIRA Pharmaceuticals is a preclinical-stage pharmaceutical company focused on the development and commercialization of new molecular synthetic cannabinoid analog for the treatment of adult patients with neuropathic pain as well as anxiety and cognitive decline typically associated with early-stage dementia.
  • The company announced it is in advanced discussions with a top cancer hospital to study Ketamir-2 for the treatment of cancer-related pain and depression.

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Daily Brief India: Go Digit General Insurance, Indusind Bank, Trent Ltd, Delhi International Airport Limited, Bharti Airtel and more

By | Daily Briefs, India

In today’s briefing:

  • Go Digit IPO Trading – Low Subscription Rate, Not All Shares Are Locked Up
  • Indian Banks Screener FYE24, Part 2: Bandhan and UBI added to the buy list
  • NIFTY50 Index Rebalance Preview: Two High Probability Changes in September; Adds Are Flying
  • Morning Views Asia: Lippo Malls Indonesia Retail Trust
  • NIFTY100 Low Volatility 30 Index Rebalance Preview: Bharti Could Replace Power Grid


Go Digit IPO Trading – Low Subscription Rate, Not All Shares Are Locked Up

By Sumeet Singh

  • Go Digit General Insurance raised around US$315m in its India IPO.
  • Go Digit General Insurance is a digital full stack insurance company, offering motor insurance, health insurance, travel insurance, property insurance, marine insurance, liability insurance and other insurance products.
  • We have looked at the company’s performance in our past note. In this note, we talk about the trading dynamics.

Indian Banks Screener FYE24, Part 2: Bandhan and UBI added to the buy list

By Victor Galliano

  • We add value plays Bandhan and UBI to the buy list alongside HDFC Bank and Baroda, turning neutral from negative on SBI. Bandhan is our core Indian bank pick, UBI benefits from improving return trends

NIFTY50 Index Rebalance Preview: Two High Probability Changes in September; Adds Are Flying

By Brian Freitas


Morning Views Asia: Lippo Malls Indonesia Retail Trust

By Leonard Law, CFA

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.


NIFTY100 Low Volatility 30 Index Rebalance Preview: Bharti Could Replace Power Grid

By Brian Freitas

  • With a week left in the review period, Bharti Airtel (BHARTI IN) could replace Power Grid Corporation Of India (PWGR IN) in the Nifty100 Low Volatility 30 Index in June.
  • Constituent changes, volatility changes and capping changes will result in one-way turnover of 6.4% resulting in a one-way trade of INR 2.3bn.
  • The flows on the stocks are not very large but there will be same side and offsetting flows from other index trackers at the same time.

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Daily Brief China: Hong Kong Television Network, PDD Holdings, Li Auto , Kuaishou Technology, Contemporary Amperex Technology (CATL), Shanghai Cell Therapy Group, SJM Holdings and more

By | China, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • HKTV (1137 HK): Co-Founders’ Ruse to Increase Their Grip Through a Share Buyback at HK$2.15
  • PDD (PDD US): 1Q24, Rev Up by 131% and Margin Reaching Historical High
  • [Li Auto (LI US, BUY, TP US$25) TP Change]: Delaying BEV Is the Wrong Approach to Competition
  • KS / Kuaishou (1024 HK): 1Q24, Strong GMV and Historical High Op Margin Again
  • New Experiments in China’s Crowded EV Space
  • Pre-IPO Shanghai Cell Therapy Group – Commercialization Prospects and Profitability Are Pessimistic
  • Morning Views Asia: SJM Holdings, Softbank Group, Yankuang Energy Group


HKTV (1137 HK): Co-Founders’ Ruse to Increase Their Grip Through a Share Buyback at HK$2.15

By Arun George

  • Hong Kong Television Network (1137 HK) has launched a share buyback to acquire a maximum of 100.0m shares (11.25% of shares) at HK$2.15, a 20.8% premium to the undisturbed price.
  • The offer is conditional on approval by the requisite majority of shareholders and the approval of the whitewash waiver. There is no minimum acceptance condition, and the offer price is final.
  • The offer is unattractive and is an inefficient use of cash to increase the co-founders’ grip on the shares. Nevertheless, the EGM vote is likely to get up.   

PDD (PDD US): 1Q24, Rev Up by 131% and Margin Reaching Historical High

By Ming Lu

  • Total revenue rose by 131% in 1Q24 with advertising up by 56% YoY and commission up by 327% YoY.
  • In 1Q24, both the operating profit and the operating margin reached record highs.
  • The historical price / sales ratios suggests a significant upside. Buy.

[Li Auto (LI US, BUY, TP US$25) TP Change]: Delaying BEV Is the Wrong Approach to Competition

By Eric Wen

  • LI Auto’s decision to push out its BEV launch to 2025 is a delay of multi-faces at a time when China’s EV market is chaotically.
  • We keep rating @BUY because LI still possesses the SUV niche, enjoys a healthy margin and have ample cash. 
  • We cut TP from US$40 to US$25 and maintain BUY.

KS / Kuaishou (1024 HK): 1Q24, Strong GMV and Historical High Op Margin Again

By Ming Lu

  • In 1Q24, revenue grew by 17% YoY and e-commerce GMV grew by 28% YoY.
  • Both the operating margin and the operating profit reached historical highs in 1Q24.
  • We set an upside of 47% and the price target at HK$86.00. Buy.

New Experiments in China’s Crowded EV Space

By Eric Wen

  • Making EV itself doesn’t make money, which is why independents like Nio and XPeng are thinking alternative ways to breakeven;
  • Tesla envisioned to make money through scale, of which BYD bettered. Tesla also envisioned to make money from autonomous driving (ADS);
  • Nio plans to sell its battery swapping service while XPeng is selling ADS to Volkswagen. Both are experiments aiming at breakeven. Both also have new models to launch.

Pre-IPO Shanghai Cell Therapy Group – Commercialization Prospects and Profitability Are Pessimistic

By Xinyao (Criss) Wang

  • The biggest problem of cell therapy in China is the uncertain prospect of commercialization. Medical practitioners also have reservations regarding the usefulness of cryopreserved cells for clinical application.
  • Shanghai Cell Therapy could be in a long-term loss making state, and both of its R&D and commercialization capabilities need to be verified. Then, how would investors obtain expected returns?
  • Post-Investment valuation already reached above RMB7.1 billion after Series D financing. However, market value of comparable companies are quite low, which makes us worry about stock price performance after IPO.

Morning Views Asia: SJM Holdings, Softbank Group, Yankuang Energy Group

By Leonard Law, CFA

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.


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Daily Brief Japan: Chilled & Frozen Logistics Holdings, Fancl Corp, Daifuku Co Ltd, SJM Holdings and more

By | Daily Briefs, Japan

In today’s briefing:

  • Chilled & Frozen Logistics (9099) Gone Ballistic – Reminder of Structure, Price, and Incentives
  • Fancl (4921 JP):  Worth A Bet Given Negative Impact Of Kobayashi Products Recall Subsiding
  • Daifuku (6383) | Time to Pick up Global Leader
  • Morning Views Asia: SJM Holdings, Softbank Group, Yankuang Energy Group


Chilled & Frozen Logistics (9099) Gone Ballistic – Reminder of Structure, Price, and Incentives

By Travis Lundy

  • In late March, AZ-Com Maruwa Holdings (9090 JP) made an unsolicited (“hostile”) bid for Chilled & Frozen Logistics Holdings (9099 JP) at a near 50% premium at ¥3,000/share.
  • It traded through, then C&F ran a bid solicitation process, got four bids. Since the day AFTER that announcement, the stock is up 56%. We approach Alps Logistics multiples.
  • This deal doesn’t get the split price benefit that HTS and Alps Logistics did. And it is a fundamentally different logistics business. And target management dynamics are different.

Fancl (4921 JP):  Worth A Bet Given Negative Impact Of Kobayashi Products Recall Subsiding

By Steve Zhou, CFA

  • Fancl Corp (4921 JP)‘s share price has declined 18% year-to-date, greatly under-performing the Nikkei 225 (NKY INDEX) which was up 17% year-to-date. 
  • The company recently announced FY24 results (fiscal year ending March).  Sales grew 7% yoy and operating profit grew 60% yoy in FY24. 
  • I believe the stock price is attractive at 23x 2024 PE with 15% expected earnings CAGR for the next 3 years.

Daifuku (6383) | Time to Pick up Global Leader

By Mark Chadwick

  • Daifuku released FY3/24 results on 10 May. Since then the share price has declined by 15%, giving investors an attractive entry point.
  • Daifuku is a key beneficiary of warehouse automation, which is forecast to grow at a CAGR of over 6%, with industry spend projected to reach $37 billion by 2030
  • We expect the market to price in an order recovery in the core electronics segment and believe that the MTP is yet to be factored into the current share price.

Morning Views Asia: SJM Holdings, Softbank Group, Yankuang Energy Group

By Leonard Law, CFA

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.


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Most Read: Renesas Electronics, Anglo American, Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200, Chilled & Frozen Logistics Holdings, Hong Kong Television Network, Ls Industrial Systems, IDP Education, Go Digit General Insurance and more

By | Daily Briefs, Most Read

In today’s briefing:

  • Renesas (6723) – Denso Selldown Starts; Fourth Large Renesas Block in 6mos (Two More To Come)
  • BHP/Anglo American: A Decarbonising Solution
  • July Short Selling Resumption in Korea: Local Market Info & Trading Considerations
  • Chilled & Frozen Logistics (9099) Gone Ballistic – Reminder of Structure, Price, and Incentives
  • HKTV (1137 HK): $2.15/Share Buy-Back
  • KOSPI Size Indices: Potential Migrations in September Are Moving
  • Tax-Loss Selling in Australia 2024 – A Trade Basket [Updated]
  • HKTV (1137 HK): Co-Founders’ Ruse to Increase Their Grip Through a Share Buyback at HK$2.15
  • Go Digit IPO Trading – Low Subscription Rate, Not All Shares Are Locked Up
  • Ohayo Japan | Nvidia Does Not Disappoint


Renesas (6723) – Denso Selldown Starts; Fourth Large Renesas Block in 6mos (Two More To Come)

By Travis Lundy

  • Today post-close, Denso Corp (6902 JP) (via BofA) announced a selldown of 78,127,800 shares of Renesas Electronics (6723 JP). This is the latest in a line of block exits.  
  • There was the 130mm offering in November last year by INCJ. There was 123mm shares in Jan 2024 by NEC and Hitachi. A month later, 50mm shares from Mitsubishi Electric.
  • In general, they have been absorbed, but one hasn’t needed to buy in the market. Some have broken price. Here, the pricing range is aggressive.

BHP/Anglo American: A Decarbonising Solution

By David Blennerhassett

  • BHP (BHP AU)‘s all-scrip unsolicited Offer for Anglo American (AAL LN), zeroes in on AAL’s copper assets as demand for the metal increases for use in EVs and renewable power.
  • The proposal has been labelled highly opportunistic by some shareholders and South African politicians. And that the value of AAL’s Chilian/Peruvian copper mines are obscured by its sprawling business interests.
  • The Offer remains conditional and non-binding. A transaction hinges off AAL spinning off its South African iron ore and platinum businesses. Expect AAL to reject terms, but remain engaged. 

July Short Selling Resumption in Korea: Local Market Info & Trading Considerations

By Sanghyun Park

  • According to market information confirmed so far, the resumption is set for July 1st, and short selling will be restricted to the constituents of KOSPI 200 and KOSDAQ 150.
  • The surge in trading volume likely stemmed from the return of long-short positions post-short-selling ban, leading to an overall market volume increase.
  • Another critical factor is the buying pressure on value-up stocks resuming in early July. We should aim at the price impacts of intersecting long-short flows and value-up stock purchases.

Chilled & Frozen Logistics (9099) Gone Ballistic – Reminder of Structure, Price, and Incentives

By Travis Lundy

  • In late March, AZ-Com Maruwa Holdings (9090 JP) made an unsolicited (“hostile”) bid for Chilled & Frozen Logistics Holdings (9099 JP) at a near 50% premium at ¥3,000/share.
  • It traded through, then C&F ran a bid solicitation process, got four bids. Since the day AFTER that announcement, the stock is up 56%. We approach Alps Logistics multiples.
  • This deal doesn’t get the split price benefit that HTS and Alps Logistics did. And it is a fundamentally different logistics business. And target management dynamics are different.

HKTV (1137 HK): $2.15/Share Buy-Back

By David Blennerhassett

  • Online shopping platform play Hong Kong Television Network (1137 HK) (better known as HKTV) has announced a buy-back of 11.25% of shares out, at $2.15/share, a 20.8% premium to undisturbed.
  • If successful, the Offer elevates co-founder Ricky Wong’s stake, together with concert parties, to 51.55% (before exercising options), up from 45.75% currently. 
  • HKTV has been in the news lately for all the wrong reasons: claims of non-payments to suppliers; and delaying its 2026 target after a 79% decline in FY23’s net profit.

KOSPI Size Indices: Potential Migrations in September Are Moving

By Brian Freitas

  • The review period for the September rebalance of the KOSPI Size Indices will run from 1 June to 31 August.
  • We see 6 migrations from MidCap to LargeCap, 1 new addition to LargeCap, 6 stocks moving from SmallCap to MidCap and 3 new additions to MidCap.
  • Stocks migrating upward have outperformed stocks migrating lower. But there are still stocks trading at a Price to Book of less than 1.

Tax-Loss Selling in Australia 2024 – A Trade Basket [Updated]

By Travis Lundy

  • Three weeks after instantiation of Phase 1, the ASX200 vs LiquidBasket is +1.8% if you traded the basket VWAP the next day. vs LessLiquid it is +8.5%. 
  • Equal weight all names in the two is +3.1%. Trade VWAP over two days it is +0.7%, +7.6%, and +2.7%. So far things are OK. 
  • Next week one would add another basket, then in the last week of June, one would cover and reverse the trade and hold on for 30-40 trading days or so.

HKTV (1137 HK): Co-Founders’ Ruse to Increase Their Grip Through a Share Buyback at HK$2.15

By Arun George

  • Hong Kong Television Network (1137 HK) has launched a share buyback to acquire a maximum of 100.0m shares (11.25% of shares) at HK$2.15, a 20.8% premium to the undisturbed price.
  • The offer is conditional on approval by the requisite majority of shareholders and the approval of the whitewash waiver. There is no minimum acceptance condition, and the offer price is final.
  • The offer is unattractive and is an inefficient use of cash to increase the co-founders’ grip on the shares. Nevertheless, the EGM vote is likely to get up.   

Go Digit IPO Trading – Low Subscription Rate, Not All Shares Are Locked Up

By Sumeet Singh

  • Go Digit General Insurance raised around US$315m in its India IPO.
  • Go Digit General Insurance is a digital full stack insurance company, offering motor insurance, health insurance, travel insurance, property insurance, marine insurance, liability insurance and other insurance products.
  • We have looked at the company’s performance in our past note. In this note, we talk about the trading dynamics.

Ohayo Japan | Nvidia Does Not Disappoint

By Mark Chadwick

  • U.S. stocks fell Wednesday as Fed minutes revealed concerns about persistent inflation, dimming hopes for imminent rate cuts
  • Nvidia shares surged 5% as the company reported robust earnings, with data-center revenue skyrocketing 427% year-over-year to $22.6 billion, surpassing Wall Street’s expectations.
  • Nissan to halt the development of two EVs initially set for production at its Canton plant in Mississippi, due to a slowdown in EV sales growth in North America

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Daily Brief Utilities: Naturgy Energy Group SA and more

By | Daily Briefs, Utilities Sector

In today’s briefing:

  • TAQA & Criteria/Naturgy: Imminent Offer


TAQA & Criteria/Naturgy: Imminent Offer

By Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

  • Press reports that CriteriaCaixa and TAQA will launch their takeover bid for Naturgy at €27/share imminently, with conversations between CriteriaCaixa and TAQA on the distribution of control practically finished. 
  • The offer will target approximately 54% of the share capital of Naturgy. TAQA must go through an exhaustive permit request process due to the highly regulated businesses of Naturgy.
  • The shares look fairly priced vs. comparables. At the closing share price of 22 May of €24.92/share, I would be long Naturgy (gross spread to hypothetical offer is 7.7%).

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Daily Brief Energy/Materials: Ferrexpo Plc, Glatfelter, Hellenic Petroleum Sa, Kinetik Holdings and more

By | Daily Briefs, Energy & Materials Sector

In today’s briefing:

  • Quiddity Leaderboard F100/​​​250 Jun 24: Names Lurking Close to The Border Should Be Monitored
  • Glatfelter Corp (GLT) – Wednesday, Feb 21, 2024
  • HELLENiQ ENERGY – Solid Q1, with a strong operational performance
  • Kinetik Holdings Inc. (KNTK) – Wednesday, Feb 21, 2024


Quiddity Leaderboard F100/​​​250 Jun 24: Names Lurking Close to The Border Should Be Monitored

By Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

  • In this insight, we take a look at the potential index changes for F100 and F250 in the run-up to the June 2024 index rebal event.
  • Based on the current numbers, we see two F100 expected ADDs/DELs and three other F250 expected ADDs/DELs. The final changes will be decided based 4th June 2024 closing prices.
  • There are several names just outside the border requiring small price changes to trigger more index changes. An intra-review change is also possible.

Glatfelter Corp (GLT) – Wednesday, Feb 21, 2024

By Value Investors Club

  • Glatfelter faced solvency issues after overpaying for Jacob Holm in late 2021
  • Turnaround CEO Thomas Fahnemann appointed in July 2022 to address liquidity issues
  • Reverse Morris Trust transaction with Berry Packaging leads to 60% increase in stock price, creating NewCo for potential successful turnaround.

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


HELLENiQ ENERGY – Solid Q1, with a strong operational performance

By Edison Investment Research

HELLENiQ ENERGY delivered solid Q124 results, with group sales of €3,278m up 5.3% y-o-y, IFRS EBITDA of €350m up 25.4% y-o-y and adjusted EBITDA (mainly stripping out inventory effects) of €338m down 16% compared with Q123. The decrease in adjusted EBITDA was primarily due to the y-o-y decline in refining margins. Net income was up 16% y-o-y to €179m, while adjusted net income fell 35% y o y to €164m, for the same reason. HELLENIQ’s refining business had a good quarter, with volumes increasing 8.1% to 3.987m tonnes and sales increasing 5.5% to €2,963m. The company made progress on its debt restructuring, refinancing €1bn of facilities at a notable margin reduction, extending the average maturity profile by one year.


Kinetik Holdings Inc. (KNTK) – Wednesday, Feb 21, 2024

By Value Investors Club

  • Kinetic is a Permian midstream business formed from the merger of Altus Midstream and Blackstone’s Raptor I and Raptor II G&P businesses
  • The company is the only large, pure-play Permian midstream business, with two business units focused on Midstream Logistics and Pipeline Transportation
  • Kinetic, still 50% owned by Blackstone, is expected to generate reasonable profits in the foreseeable future and presents a stable investment option in the current market environment

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


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