Category

Daily Briefs

Daily Brief United States: Caterpillar Inc, Nike, Amgen Inc, GRAIL, Fortinet Inc, Williams Cos, Csx Corp, Crude Oil, Airbnb , Biomarin Pharmaceutical and more

By | Daily Briefs, United States

In today’s briefing:

  • Caterpillar Inc.: These Are The 7 Pivotal Factors Driving Its Performance In 2025 & Beyond! – Financial Forecasts
  • Nike Inc’s Downslide Reversed? Bill Ackman’s Pershing Square Thinks So! – Here’s Why! (8/24)
  • Amgen Inc.: Expansion of MariTide and Pipeline Advancement! – Major Drivers
  • GRAIL: Focus on MCED Tests, New Restructuring Plan and Solid 2Q Print With +43% Y/Y Revenue Growth
  • Fortinet Inc.: Will Their Revitalized Focus On Next-Generation Firewalls & New Technologies Pay Off? – Major Drivers
  • The Williams Companies: A Bear’s Perspective! – Major Drivers
  • CSX Corporation: How Are They Capitalizing on Industrial Development Projects? – Major Drivers
  • EIA and OPEC Cut Demand Forecasts Amid China Slowdown; EIA Predicts Limited Oil Price Growth
  • Airbnb Inc.: Will The Enhanced International Expansion Efforts Pay Off? – Major Drivers
  • BioMarin Pharmaceutical Inc.: Enhanced Geographic Focus and Streamlined Operations for Roctavian Driving Our Optimism! – Major Drivers


Caterpillar Inc.: These Are The 7 Pivotal Factors Driving Its Performance In 2025 & Beyond! – Financial Forecasts

By Baptista Research

  • Caterpillar Inc.’s Second Quarter of 2024 earnings showcased a mixed set of results reflective of both the robust execution of the company’s strategic initiatives and some market-induced challenges.
  • Jim Umpleby, Chairman and CEO, emphasized resilience through the diversified market presence and the sound execution of long-term growth strategies.
  • Despite facing a slight decline in sales and revenues, which fell by 4% from the previous year, Caterpillar recorded an increase in its adjusted operating profit and a noteworthy improvement in operating profit margins.

Nike Inc’s Downslide Reversed? Bill Ackman’s Pershing Square Thinks So! – Here’s Why! (8/24)

By Baptista Research

  • Nike Inc has long been a dominant player in the global sportswear industry, renowned for its innovation and strong brand presence.
  • However, recent challenges, including macroeconomic headwinds and market dynamics, have led to a downslide in its stock performance.
  • Enter Pershing Square Capital Management, led by billionaire investor Bill Ackman, which recently disclosed a $229 million stake in Nike.

Amgen Inc.: Expansion of MariTide and Pipeline Advancement! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Amgen’s second quarter 2024 financial results signify a substantial 20% year-over-year increase reaching $8.4 billion in revenue, representing a robust period for the company.
  • Notably, this is credited to a widespread growth across multiple product lines, with particular strength observed in medicines like Repatha, EVENITY, BLINCYTO, TEZSPIRE, and others in the inflammation and oncology sectors.
  • Baptista Research looks to evaluate the different factors that could influence the company’s price in the near future and attempts to carry out an independent valuation of the company using a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) methodology.

GRAIL: Focus on MCED Tests, New Restructuring Plan and Solid 2Q Print With +43% Y/Y Revenue Growth

By Andrei Zakharov

  • GRAIL, a commercial-stage healthcare company and maker of MCED blood test called Galleri, reported its quarterly results for the first time as independent publicly traded company.
  • The 2Q print was solid, with +43% y/y revenue growth, ~35,200 Galleri tests sold and ~$32M total revenue all better than expected.
  • Finally, management expects moderate revenue growth rates in 2025 and subsequent years due to cost reductions and decreasing investment in other programs beyond Galleri.

Fortinet Inc.: Will Their Revitalized Focus On Next-Generation Firewalls & New Technologies Pay Off? – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Fortinet’s second quarter 2024 financial performance presents a mixed but fundamentally robust picture.
  • Starting with the positive facets, the company achieved record operating margins at 35%, a significant improvement by 820 basis points year-over-year.
  • This financial efficiency was underpinned by a strategic blend of operational prowess and thoughtfully channeled investments toward high-growth markets such as Unified Security Access Service Edge (SASE) and Secure Operations (SecOps).

The Williams Companies: A Bear’s Perspective! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • The Williams Companies presented a strong narrative of growth and resilience in their latest earnings call for the second quarter of 2024.
  • Highlighted by the expansion of their Transmission and Storage business, the company reported record results despite the headwinds from low natural gas prices that impacted their Gathering and Processing business.
  • Prominent themes throughout the report included consistent execution of strategic projects, optimization efforts in their portfolio, and sustainability practices.

CSX Corporation: How Are They Capitalizing on Industrial Development Projects? – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • CSX Corporation’s Q2 2024 earnings revealed a complex yet fundamentally strong operational and financial performance, tempered by challenges from external factors such as Hurricane Debbie and infrastructure issues at the Port of Baltimore.
  • The leadership team led by Joseph Hinrichs, focused on several critical areas including safety, operational efficiency, cost management, and customer partnership strategies to drive overall growth amidst volatile market conditions.
  • Baptista Research looks to evaluate the different factors that could influence the company’s price in the near future and attempts to carry out an independent valuation of the company using a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) methodology.

EIA and OPEC Cut Demand Forecasts Amid China Slowdown; EIA Predicts Limited Oil Price Growth

By Suhas Reddy

  • EIA maintained its 2024 oil demand forecast but cut its 2025 estimate by 160k bpd. OPEC reduced its 2024 and 2025 forecasts by 135k and 65k bpd, respectively.
  • Total production of OPEC members obliged to implement supply cuts averaged 21.45m bpd in July, exceeding the target by 1%.
  • EIA lowered its 2024 and 2025 oil price forecasts due to slower demand growth. However, it still expects prices to rise in H22024 led by a decline in inventories.

Airbnb Inc.: Will The Enhanced International Expansion Efforts Pay Off? – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Airbnb’s earnings for Q2 2024 revealed both substantial achievements and challenges.
  • The company reported an 11% increase in revenue year-over-year, reaching $2.75 billion.
  • Moreover, Airbnb achieved a net income of $555 million, translating to a 20% net income margin, and generated $1 billion of free cash flow.

BioMarin Pharmaceutical Inc.: Enhanced Geographic Focus and Streamlined Operations for Roctavian Driving Our Optimism! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • BioMarin Pharmaceutical Inc. reported a strong performance in its second quarter of 2024 earnings, achieving several milestones while continuing to refine its strategic priorities to enhance profitability and drive sustainable growth.
  • Beginning with the financial performance, BioMarin announced a 20% year-over-year growth in total revenues, reaching $712 million for the quarter.
  • This growth was notably driven by the robust demand for Voxzogo, which itself experienced a substantial 62% revenue increase to $184 million.

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Daily Brief India: Ola Electric, Prataap Snacks Ltd, Yuexiu Real Estate Investment Trust and more

By | Daily Briefs, India

In today’s briefing:

  • Ola Electric: Takes Aim at India Motorcycle Mass Market with Competitive Pricing
  • Prataap Snacks: Market Expansion, Challenges, and Future Plans
  • Morning Views Asia: Lenovo, Citicore Renewable Energy, Vedanta Resources
  • Ola Electric (OLAELEC): EV Maker Receives Turbo Boost from Lock-Up Expiries for Index Inclusion
  • Morning Views Asia: Lenovo, Citicore Renewable Energy, Vedanta Resources


Ola Electric: Takes Aim at India Motorcycle Mass Market with Competitive Pricing

By Devi Subhakesan

  • Ola Electric (OLAELEC IN)  launched its highly anticipated electric motorcycles, offering models from mass market to super premium.
  • With entry-level e-bikes priced to compete directly with Hero Motocorp (HMCL IN)’s popular models, Ola could disrupt India’s high-volume, competitive motorcycle market.
  • Ola’s ebike volumes could ramp up quickly if its performance meets expectations of the value conscious customer base in the mass-end of the market.

Prataap Snacks: Market Expansion, Challenges, and Future Plans

By Sudarshan Bhandari

  • Prataap Snacks Ltd (DIAMOND IN)‘s acquisition of Avadh Snacks and recent manufacturing expansions, including new facilities in Kolkata, Jammu, and Rajkot, align with its growth strategy.
  • PSL reported an 8.7% revenue increase in Q1 FY25, despite facing raw material cost inflation and rising overheads. The company has streamlined distribution and cost management to sustain margins.
  • PSL’s focus on expanding high-margin segments and leveraging cost efficiencies positions it as a resilient and cheapest player in the snack industry.

Morning Views Asia: Lenovo, Citicore Renewable Energy, Vedanta Resources

By Leonard Law, CFA

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.


Ola Electric (OLAELEC): EV Maker Receives Turbo Boost from Lock-Up Expiries for Index Inclusion

By Dimitris Ioannidis

  • Ola Electric (OLAELEC IN) is likely to get added at the March 2025 review following the lock-up expiry in November 2024 which increases the fcap way above the fcap threshold.
  • Current fcap for February 2025 review is ~$1.2bn following the lock-up expiry in November 2024. Inclusion is based on whether fcap passes the prevailing fcap threshold.
  • The lock-up expiry in February 2025, increases the probability of addition in May 2025 review if it fails inclusion in February. 

Morning Views Asia: Lenovo, Citicore Renewable Energy, Vedanta Resources

By Leonard Law, CFA

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.


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Daily Brief China: Alibaba Group Holding , JD.com Inc (ADR), Cainiao Smart Logistics Network, Yuexiu Real Estate Investment Trust and more

By | China, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • Alibaba (BABA US): Strategy at Work
  • JD.com (JD US):  Strong Profitability And Upsized Share Buyback in 2Q24
  • CaiNiao Q1FY Results: Most Interesting Read-Through Is Dramatic Slowdown in X-Border Activity
  • Morning Views Asia: Lenovo, Citicore Renewable Energy, Vedanta Resources
  • Morning Views Asia: Lenovo, Citicore Renewable Energy, Vedanta Resources
  • Morning Views Asia: Lenovo, Citicore Renewable Energy, Vedanta Resources
  • Morning Views Asia: Lenovo, Citicore Renewable Energy, Vedanta Resources


Alibaba (BABA US): Strategy at Work

By Eric Chen

  • Mixed June quarter results at first glance suggest corporate overhaul strategy is working, with clear evidence Taobao/Tmall is stabilizing in terms of market share and profitability.
  • Better platform monetization and clear timetable for achieving break-even by non-e-commerce business segments mean double-digit earnings CAGR by FY26 in our view.
  • We expect Alibaba’s upswing business cycle and moderating headwind of housing market slump are paving the way for the stock’s re-rating in the next 12-24 months. 

JD.com (JD US):  Strong Profitability And Upsized Share Buyback in 2Q24

By Steve Zhou, CFA

  • Profitability of the business surprised on the upside, as the net profit margin of JD.com increased from 3% in 2Q23 to 5% in 2Q24.
  • Share buyback accelerated in 2Q24, as the company bought USD2.1bn worth of stock in the quarter, up from USD1.2bn in 1Q24. 
  • The stock is trading at 7x 2024 PE, with a yield of >10% through dividend and buyback.

CaiNiao Q1FY Results: Most Interesting Read-Through Is Dramatic Slowdown in X-Border Activity

By Daniel Hellberg

  • Alibaba logistics arm CaiNiao’s revenue growth slowed in the June quarter
  • Our main takeaway is that Chinese X-border eComm continues to slow
  • We believe all of the large X-border eComm platforms may be affected

Morning Views Asia: Lenovo, Citicore Renewable Energy, Vedanta Resources

By Leonard Law, CFA

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.


Morning Views Asia: Lenovo, Citicore Renewable Energy, Vedanta Resources

By Leonard Law, CFA

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.


Morning Views Asia: Lenovo, Citicore Renewable Energy, Vedanta Resources

By Leonard Law, CFA

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.


Morning Views Asia: Lenovo, Citicore Renewable Energy, Vedanta Resources

By Leonard Law, CFA

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.


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Daily Brief Japan: Sun Corp, SCREEN Holdings, Dentsu Inc and more

By | Daily Briefs, Japan

In today’s briefing:

  • Sun Corp (6736) – The Future Is Bright
  • Screen Holdings (7735 JP): Still a Buy for the Bounce
  • Dentsu Group – Positive momentum


Sun Corp (6736) – The Future Is Bright

By Travis Lundy

  • The reason why Sun Corp (6736 JP) has traditionally traded at a large discount to its potential outcome is the possibility of inefficient or delayed value realisation. 
  • Materially ALL of the value of the company is in its holding in Cellebrite DI (CLBT US). True Wind Capital, the SPAC sponsor of CLBT, just bought 19% of SunCorp. 
  • They bought that for the CLBT, or the value realisation thereof. And now with the slightly surprising Tender Offer result, the chances of a better outcome are now higher.

Screen Holdings (7735 JP): Still a Buy for the Bounce

By Scott Foster

  • Screen has rebounded from its recent low, but strong 1H results, the recent weakening of the Yen and reasonable valuation point to further short-term upside. 
  • However, management is guiding for slightly lower operating profit in 2H, and Intel’s capex cuts also support a cautious outlook. 
  • Screen expects slower growth in 2025 wafer fab equipment demand than SEMI, and neither appear to have factored in concern over insufficient return on investment in AI. 

Dentsu Group – Positive momentum

By Edison Investment Research

Dentsu’s H124 figures show sequential quarterly improvements, with the group posting organic growth of 0.2% in Q2. Encouragingly, this is in part ascribed to improved pitch win rates in all four reporting regions, underpinning growth projections through H224 and into FY25, despite the persistent difficult macroeconomic backdrop. The One dentsu initiative is driving collaborative efforts across group capabilities and geographies and we expect this to be at the heart of the new medium-term strategy, to be unveiled in H2. In the meantime, the Business transformation (BX) offering is proving effective in Japan and is now to be rolled out more widely. The shares continue to be valued well below peers and we would expect this discount to narrow with improving operational performance.


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Daily Brief Industrials: SCREEN Holdings, Caterpillar Inc, Csx Corp, Transdigm Group, Uber Technologies , Jacobs Solutions , AST SpaceMobile Inc and more

By | Daily Briefs, Industrials

In today’s briefing:

  • Screen Holdings (7735 JP): Still a Buy for the Bounce
  • Caterpillar Inc.: These Are The 7 Pivotal Factors Driving Its Performance In 2025 & Beyond! – Financial Forecasts
  • CSX Corporation: How Are They Capitalizing on Industrial Development Projects? – Major Drivers
  • TransDigm Group Incorporated: Will The Acquisition of CPI’s Electron Device Business Be A Game Changer? – Major Drivers
  • Uber Technologies Inc.: What Are Their Advancements in Autonomous Vehicle (AV) Technology? – Major Drivers
  • Jacobs Solutions: Challenges & Strategies In The Engineering & Construction Sector! – Major Drivers
  • AST SpaceMobile: How We Had Foreseen This Rally & What Lies Ahead!


Screen Holdings (7735 JP): Still a Buy for the Bounce

By Scott Foster

  • Screen has rebounded from its recent low, but strong 1H results, the recent weakening of the Yen and reasonable valuation point to further short-term upside. 
  • However, management is guiding for slightly lower operating profit in 2H, and Intel’s capex cuts also support a cautious outlook. 
  • Screen expects slower growth in 2025 wafer fab equipment demand than SEMI, and neither appear to have factored in concern over insufficient return on investment in AI. 

Caterpillar Inc.: These Are The 7 Pivotal Factors Driving Its Performance In 2025 & Beyond! – Financial Forecasts

By Baptista Research

  • Caterpillar Inc.’s Second Quarter of 2024 earnings showcased a mixed set of results reflective of both the robust execution of the company’s strategic initiatives and some market-induced challenges.
  • Jim Umpleby, Chairman and CEO, emphasized resilience through the diversified market presence and the sound execution of long-term growth strategies.
  • Despite facing a slight decline in sales and revenues, which fell by 4% from the previous year, Caterpillar recorded an increase in its adjusted operating profit and a noteworthy improvement in operating profit margins.

CSX Corporation: How Are They Capitalizing on Industrial Development Projects? – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • CSX Corporation’s Q2 2024 earnings revealed a complex yet fundamentally strong operational and financial performance, tempered by challenges from external factors such as Hurricane Debbie and infrastructure issues at the Port of Baltimore.
  • The leadership team led by Joseph Hinrichs, focused on several critical areas including safety, operational efficiency, cost management, and customer partnership strategies to drive overall growth amidst volatile market conditions.
  • Baptista Research looks to evaluate the different factors that could influence the company’s price in the near future and attempts to carry out an independent valuation of the company using a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) methodology.

TransDigm Group Incorporated: Will The Acquisition of CPI’s Electron Device Business Be A Game Changer? – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • TransDigm Group Inc.’s fiscal 2024 third-quarter earnings outlined the company’s performance and plans amidst ongoing challenges and opportunities within the aerospace sector.
  • With a focus on aftermarket services and mergers and acquisitions (M&A) strategies, TransDigm continues to assert its robust market position, though not without facing industry-wide and operational challenges.
  • Baptista Research looks to evaluate the different factors that could influence the company’s price in the near future and attempts to carry out an independent valuation of the company using a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) methodology.

Uber Technologies Inc.: What Are Their Advancements in Autonomous Vehicle (AV) Technology? – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Uber Technologies Inc. demonstrated a solid performance in the second quarter of 2024, indicating a robust growth trajectory despite potential global economic uncertainties.
  • The company reported a significant 21% growth in gross bookings on a constant currency basis, which was consistently aligned with trip growth.
  • This growth was supported by an increase in both the user base, which expanded by 14%, and frequency of use, which grew by 6%.

Jacobs Solutions: Challenges & Strategies In The Engineering & Construction Sector! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • In analyzing Jacobs Solutions’ Third Quarter 2024 financial performance, it is important to recognize both the achievements and potential areas of concern that influence the company’s overall business operations and financial health.
  • Jacobs Solutions delivered a solid financial performance, reporting a consolidated adjusted EBITDA of $392 million, reflecting an approximate 11% year-over-year increase.
  • This growth underscores effective margin management and robust operational efficiency, with the adjusted EBITDA margin standing at a commendable 11.5%.

AST SpaceMobile: How We Had Foreseen This Rally & What Lies Ahead!

By Baptista Research

  • Our previous report on AST SpaceMobile, a pioneer in space-based cellular broadband, spoke about the company’s IMMENSE growth potential.
  • As we had predicted, the company has seen a dramatic rise in its stock price, reflecting growing investor confidence in its groundbreaking technology and strategic partnerships.
  • The company’s market capitalization has surged, making it one of the highest-valued space businesses globally.

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Daily Brief TMT/Internet: Fortinet Inc, Fidelity National Info Serv, Fox , GLOBALFOUNDRIES , Trimble Navigation, ZoomInfo Technologies and more

By | Daily Briefs, TMT/Internet

In today’s briefing:

  • Fortinet Inc.: Will Their Revitalized Focus On Next-Generation Firewalls & New Technologies Pay Off? – Major Drivers
  • Fidelity National Information Services: Expansion into Digital and Payment Solutions While Strengthening Core Banking Services! – Major Drivers
  • Fox Corporation: Leveraging Sports Broadcasting Rights Propelling Near Term Growth! – Major Drivers
  • Globalfoundries Inc.: Expansion in Automotive Market Applications & Other Major Drivers
  • Trimble Inc.: A Software-Centric Business Model Transition Driving Our Optimism! – Major Drivers
  • ZoomInfo Technologies: A Market-focused Sales Strategy and Resource Allocation! – Major Drivers


Fortinet Inc.: Will Their Revitalized Focus On Next-Generation Firewalls & New Technologies Pay Off? – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Fortinet’s second quarter 2024 financial performance presents a mixed but fundamentally robust picture.
  • Starting with the positive facets, the company achieved record operating margins at 35%, a significant improvement by 820 basis points year-over-year.
  • This financial efficiency was underpinned by a strategic blend of operational prowess and thoughtfully channeled investments toward high-growth markets such as Unified Security Access Service Edge (SASE) and Secure Operations (SecOps).

Fidelity National Information Services: Expansion into Digital and Payment Solutions While Strengthening Core Banking Services! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • The latest earnings announcement by Fidelity National Information Services (FIS) reflects a company leveraging its core strengths and strategic initiatives to navigate through a competitive and dynamic financial technology landscape.
  • Under the leadership of CEO Stephanie Ferris and CFO James Kehoe, the company has demonstrated a sustained focus on accelerating profitable revenue growth and has reported a notable improvement in both revenue and profit margins.
  • Baptista Research looks to evaluate the different factors that could influence the company’s price in the near future and attempts to carry out an independent valuation of the company using a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) methodology.

Fox Corporation: Leveraging Sports Broadcasting Rights Propelling Near Term Growth! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Fox Corporation recently concluded its fiscal year 2024, reporting significant financial stability and operational successes.
  • The company highlighted a revenue of nearly $14 billion and an EBITDA of $2.88 billion for the fiscal year, exemplifying strong performance even in the absence of high-profile events like the Super Bowl or the FIFA Men’s World Cup.
  • The adaptations and growth in Fox’s various segments, especially Tubi, Fox News, and Fox Sports, underscore the company’s strategic execution and market adaptability.

Globalfoundries Inc.: Expansion in Automotive Market Applications & Other Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • GlobalFoundries reported its financial results for the second quarter of fiscal year 2024, which showed a performance exceeding the midpoint of the company’s guidance ranges.
  • Revenue for the quarter reached $1.632 billion, marking a sequential increase of 5% but representing a 12% decline year-over-year.
  • This revenue performance was attributed to various dynamics across different market segments the company serves.

Trimble Inc.: A Software-Centric Business Model Transition Driving Our Optimism! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Trimble’s recent financial results reflect a dual narrative of ongoing strategic execution and areas necessitating cautious optimism.
  • Their Q2 2024 earnings evidenced some robust aspects of their business model as well as areas that are currently more stagnant, or in the process of readjustment and scrutiny.
  • The company used the earnings call to highlight the actions it’s taking towards overcoming specific challenges while capitalizing on its strategic initiatives.

ZoomInfo Technologies: A Market-focused Sales Strategy and Resource Allocation! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • ZoomInfo Technologies Inc. reported its financial results for the second quarter of 2024, revealing some challenging areas as well as positive strides in specific segments of its business.
  • The report included details about a significant one-time charge due to prior period sales write-offs, particularly with SMBs. This led the company to revise its full-year guidance downward.
  • Nonetheless, there were also considerable improvements and highpoints, particularly in new business contributions and product launches such as ZoomInfo Copilot.

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Daily Brief Energy/Materials: Medco Energi, Williams Cos, Crude Oil, Marathon Petroleum, Intl Flavors & Fragrances, MPLX LP, Oneok Inc, Permian Resources , Vulcan Materials Co, Westlake Chemical and more

By | Daily Briefs, Energy & Materials Sector

In today’s briefing:

  • Medco Energi – ESG Report – Lucror Analytics
  • The Williams Companies: A Bear’s Perspective! – Major Drivers
  • EIA and OPEC Cut Demand Forecasts Amid China Slowdown; EIA Predicts Limited Oil Price Growth
  • Marathon Petroleum Corporation: A Tale Of Refinery Optimization and Competitive Cost Structure! – Major Drivers
  • International Flavors & Fragrances (IFF): An Insight Into The Strategic Clarity and Enhanced Investment in Business Units! – Major Drivers
  • MPLX LP: Expansion in Natural Gas and NGL Infrastructure! – Major Drivers
  • ONEOK Inc.: A Story Of Commodity Pricing and Ethane Recovery Tailwinds! – Major Drivers
  • Permian Resources Corporation: How They Are Leveraging Midstream Assets! – Major Drivers
  • Vulcan Materials Company: Focused Investment in Infrastructure and Public Projects Catalyzing Top-Line Growth! – Major Drivers
  • Westlake Chemical Corporation: 4 Major Growth Drivers & 4 Biggest Challenges In Its Path! – Financial Forecasts


Medco Energi – ESG Report – Lucror Analytics

By Leonard Law, CFA

Lucror Analytics’ ESG Scores are based on a 3-tiered scale and are adjusted for Controversies (if applicable).
We assess Medco Energi’s ESG as “Adequate”, in line with its scores for the Environmental, Social and Governance pillars. Controversies are “Immaterial” and Disclosure is “Adequate”.


The Williams Companies: A Bear’s Perspective! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • The Williams Companies presented a strong narrative of growth and resilience in their latest earnings call for the second quarter of 2024.
  • Highlighted by the expansion of their Transmission and Storage business, the company reported record results despite the headwinds from low natural gas prices that impacted their Gathering and Processing business.
  • Prominent themes throughout the report included consistent execution of strategic projects, optimization efforts in their portfolio, and sustainability practices.

EIA and OPEC Cut Demand Forecasts Amid China Slowdown; EIA Predicts Limited Oil Price Growth

By Suhas Reddy

  • EIA maintained its 2024 oil demand forecast but cut its 2025 estimate by 160k bpd. OPEC reduced its 2024 and 2025 forecasts by 135k and 65k bpd, respectively.
  • Total production of OPEC members obliged to implement supply cuts averaged 21.45m bpd in July, exceeding the target by 1%.
  • EIA lowered its 2024 and 2025 oil price forecasts due to slower demand growth. However, it still expects prices to rise in H22024 led by a decline in inventories.

Marathon Petroleum Corporation: A Tale Of Refinery Optimization and Competitive Cost Structure! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Marathon Petroleum Corporation has reported its results for the second quarter of 2024, underlining resilience in its operational and financial performance despite varying market conditions.
  • This period marked a continuation of strategic initiatives aimed at enhancing long-term shareholder value and adapting to global market demands.
  • Positively, Marathon Petroleum demonstrated constructive operational execution with refinery utilization rates reaching 97%, a notable achievement that underscores its capacity to operate efficiently and effectively.

International Flavors & Fragrances (IFF): An Insight Into The Strategic Clarity and Enhanced Investment in Business Units! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • International Flavors & Fragrances Inc. (IFF) has communicated noteworthy strides in its strategic and operational framework during its second quarter 2024 earnings call, underscoring a period of transition and adaptive strategies within its operational model.
  • Highlighting the positives, IFF reported significant volume growth marked by progress in areas like Scent, Health & Biosciences, and Nourish.
  • The company achieved double-digit growth across these business lines, demonstrating robust demand for its product offerings and successful execution of strategic initiatives.

MPLX LP: Expansion in Natural Gas and NGL Infrastructure! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • MPLX’s second quarter 2024 earnings reveal a company navigating its expansions and capital allocations with a steadfast focus on growth, particularly in robust regions such as the Marcellus, Utica, and Permian basins.
  • MPLX reported a year-over-year increase in adjusted EBITDA by 8% and a 7% rise in distributable cash flow.
  • These results underline the company’s robust operational efficiency and strategic asset utilizations, particularly in zones with rich liquid-natural gas intersections.

ONEOK Inc.: A Story Of Commodity Pricing and Ethane Recovery Tailwinds! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • ONEOK’s Second Quarter 2024 Earnings illustrates strong financial and operational performance, underpinned by key strategic moves, acquisitions, and organic growth initiatives.
  • The integration and synergy realization post acquisition has been a significant positive driver.
  • The financial highlights from the quarter include a net income of $780 million or $1.33 per share, a substantial increase of 28% year over year, complemented with a 22% quarter over quarter rise.

Permian Resources Corporation: How They Are Leveraging Midstream Assets! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Permian Resources Corporation demonstrated solid performance in the second quarter of 2024, continuing to enhance operational efficiencies and strategically expand through acquisitions.
  • Operational successes have allowed the company to revise its production forecasts upward for the second consecutive quarter.
  • The inclusion of the newly acquired Barilla Draw assets poses an opportunity to further enhance Permian Resources Corporation’s asset base and cash flow profiles.

Vulcan Materials Company: Focused Investment in Infrastructure and Public Projects Catalyzing Top-Line Growth! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Vulcan Materials Company, specializing in aggregates, demonstrated resilience in its second quarter earnings despite facing operational challenges, including unfavorable weather conditions.
  • The company reported significant advancements in unit profitability and margins despite a year-over-year decline in aggregate shipments due to numerous rain-impact days across its key markets.
  • Baptista Research looks to evaluate the different factors that could influence the company’s price in the near future and attempts to carry out an independent valuation of the company using a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) methodology.

Westlake Chemical Corporation: 4 Major Growth Drivers & 4 Biggest Challenges In Its Path! – Financial Forecasts

By Baptista Research

  • Westlake Corporation delivered a commendable performance in the second quarter of 2024, particularly in its Housing and Infrastructure Products (HIP) segment, which achieved record quarterly results.
  • The company reported increased net sales of $3.2 billion, an EBITDA of $744 million, and a net income of $313 million or $2.40 per share.
  • These figures represent improvements over the results of the second quarter of 2023.

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Daily Brief Industrials: SCREEN Holdings, Caterpillar Inc, Csx Corp, Transdigm Group, Uber Technologies , Jacobs Solutions , AST SpaceMobile Inc and more

By | Daily Briefs, Industrials

In today’s briefing:

  • Screen Holdings (7735 JP): Still a Buy for the Bounce
  • Caterpillar Inc.: These Are The 7 Pivotal Factors Driving Its Performance In 2025 & Beyond! – Financial Forecasts
  • CSX Corporation: How Are They Capitalizing on Industrial Development Projects? – Major Drivers
  • TransDigm Group Incorporated: Will The Acquisition of CPI’s Electron Device Business Be A Game Changer? – Major Drivers
  • Uber Technologies Inc.: What Are Their Advancements in Autonomous Vehicle (AV) Technology? – Major Drivers
  • Jacobs Solutions: Challenges & Strategies In The Engineering & Construction Sector! – Major Drivers
  • AST SpaceMobile: How We Had Foreseen This Rally & What Lies Ahead!


Screen Holdings (7735 JP): Still a Buy for the Bounce

By Scott Foster

  • Screen has rebounded from its recent low, but strong 1H results, the recent weakening of the Yen and reasonable valuation point to further short-term upside. 
  • However, management is guiding for slightly lower operating profit in 2H, and Intel’s capex cuts also support a cautious outlook. 
  • Screen expects slower growth in 2025 wafer fab equipment demand than SEMI, and neither appear to have factored in concern over insufficient return on investment in AI. 

Caterpillar Inc.: These Are The 7 Pivotal Factors Driving Its Performance In 2025 & Beyond! – Financial Forecasts

By Baptista Research

  • Caterpillar Inc.’s Second Quarter of 2024 earnings showcased a mixed set of results reflective of both the robust execution of the company’s strategic initiatives and some market-induced challenges.
  • Jim Umpleby, Chairman and CEO, emphasized resilience through the diversified market presence and the sound execution of long-term growth strategies.
  • Despite facing a slight decline in sales and revenues, which fell by 4% from the previous year, Caterpillar recorded an increase in its adjusted operating profit and a noteworthy improvement in operating profit margins.

CSX Corporation: How Are They Capitalizing on Industrial Development Projects? – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • CSX Corporation’s Q2 2024 earnings revealed a complex yet fundamentally strong operational and financial performance, tempered by challenges from external factors such as Hurricane Debbie and infrastructure issues at the Port of Baltimore.
  • The leadership team led by Joseph Hinrichs, focused on several critical areas including safety, operational efficiency, cost management, and customer partnership strategies to drive overall growth amidst volatile market conditions.
  • Baptista Research looks to evaluate the different factors that could influence the company’s price in the near future and attempts to carry out an independent valuation of the company using a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) methodology.

TransDigm Group Incorporated: Will The Acquisition of CPI’s Electron Device Business Be A Game Changer? – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • TransDigm Group Inc.’s fiscal 2024 third-quarter earnings outlined the company’s performance and plans amidst ongoing challenges and opportunities within the aerospace sector.
  • With a focus on aftermarket services and mergers and acquisitions (M&A) strategies, TransDigm continues to assert its robust market position, though not without facing industry-wide and operational challenges.
  • Baptista Research looks to evaluate the different factors that could influence the company’s price in the near future and attempts to carry out an independent valuation of the company using a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) methodology.

Uber Technologies Inc.: What Are Their Advancements in Autonomous Vehicle (AV) Technology? – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Uber Technologies Inc. demonstrated a solid performance in the second quarter of 2024, indicating a robust growth trajectory despite potential global economic uncertainties.
  • The company reported a significant 21% growth in gross bookings on a constant currency basis, which was consistently aligned with trip growth.
  • This growth was supported by an increase in both the user base, which expanded by 14%, and frequency of use, which grew by 6%.

Jacobs Solutions: Challenges & Strategies In The Engineering & Construction Sector! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • In analyzing Jacobs Solutions’ Third Quarter 2024 financial performance, it is important to recognize both the achievements and potential areas of concern that influence the company’s overall business operations and financial health.
  • Jacobs Solutions delivered a solid financial performance, reporting a consolidated adjusted EBITDA of $392 million, reflecting an approximate 11% year-over-year increase.
  • This growth underscores effective margin management and robust operational efficiency, with the adjusted EBITDA margin standing at a commendable 11.5%.

AST SpaceMobile: How We Had Foreseen This Rally & What Lies Ahead!

By Baptista Research

  • Our previous report on AST SpaceMobile, a pioneer in space-based cellular broadband, spoke about the company’s IMMENSE growth potential.
  • As we had predicted, the company has seen a dramatic rise in its stock price, reflecting growing investor confidence in its groundbreaking technology and strategic partnerships.
  • The company’s market capitalization has surged, making it one of the highest-valued space businesses globally.

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Daily Brief Health Care: Celltrion Inc, Amgen Inc, GRAIL, Biomarin Pharmaceutical, BioNTech , Baxter International, Davita Healthcare Partners, Zoetis Inc, Illumina Inc and more

By | Daily Briefs, Healthcare

In today’s briefing:

  • Merger Between Celltrion Inc and Celltrion Pharm Is Cancelled
  • Amgen Inc.: Expansion of MariTide and Pipeline Advancement! – Major Drivers
  • GRAIL: Focus on MCED Tests, New Restructuring Plan and Solid 2Q Print With +43% Y/Y Revenue Growth
  • BioMarin Pharmaceutical Inc.: Enhanced Geographic Focus and Streamlined Operations for Roctavian Driving Our Optimism! – Major Drivers
  • BioNTech SE: Expansion of MRNA Technology Applications & Major Drivers
  • Baxter International Inc.: An Insight Into The Market Share and Competitiveness in Kidney Care! – Major Drivers
  • DaVita Inc.: A Bear’s Perspective! – Major Drivers
  • Zoetis Inc.: Enhanced Direct-to-Consumer Marketing and ROI Focus Driving Our Optimism! – Major Drivers
  • Illumina Inc.: The Tale Of Global Market Penetration and Expansion! – Major Drivers


Merger Between Celltrion Inc and Celltrion Pharm Is Cancelled

By Douglas Kim

  • Celltrion Inc announced that its proposed merger with Celltrion Pharm has been cancelled due to disapproval of this deal among an overwhelming percentage of Celltrion Inc shareholders.
  • This cancellation of a merger between Celltrion Inc and Celltrion Pharm is likely to continue to have a positive impact on Celltrion Inc and negative impact on Celltrion Pharm.
  • The major reason is because Celltrion Pharm trades at high valuation multiples while Celltrion Inc trades at lower valuation multiples. Celltrion Pharm’s P/B valuation is more than 3x Celltrion Inc’s.

Amgen Inc.: Expansion of MariTide and Pipeline Advancement! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Amgen’s second quarter 2024 financial results signify a substantial 20% year-over-year increase reaching $8.4 billion in revenue, representing a robust period for the company.
  • Notably, this is credited to a widespread growth across multiple product lines, with particular strength observed in medicines like Repatha, EVENITY, BLINCYTO, TEZSPIRE, and others in the inflammation and oncology sectors.
  • Baptista Research looks to evaluate the different factors that could influence the company’s price in the near future and attempts to carry out an independent valuation of the company using a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) methodology.

GRAIL: Focus on MCED Tests, New Restructuring Plan and Solid 2Q Print With +43% Y/Y Revenue Growth

By Andrei Zakharov

  • GRAIL, a commercial-stage healthcare company and maker of MCED blood test called Galleri, reported its quarterly results for the first time as independent publicly traded company.
  • The 2Q print was solid, with +43% y/y revenue growth, ~35,200 Galleri tests sold and ~$32M total revenue all better than expected.
  • Finally, management expects moderate revenue growth rates in 2025 and subsequent years due to cost reductions and decreasing investment in other programs beyond Galleri.

BioMarin Pharmaceutical Inc.: Enhanced Geographic Focus and Streamlined Operations for Roctavian Driving Our Optimism! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • BioMarin Pharmaceutical Inc. reported a strong performance in its second quarter of 2024 earnings, achieving several milestones while continuing to refine its strategic priorities to enhance profitability and drive sustainable growth.
  • Beginning with the financial performance, BioMarin announced a 20% year-over-year growth in total revenues, reaching $712 million for the quarter.
  • This growth was notably driven by the robust demand for Voxzogo, which itself experienced a substantial 62% revenue increase to $184 million.

BioNTech SE: Expansion of MRNA Technology Applications & Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • BioNTech’s second quarter of 2024 earnings revealed a company navigating both ongoing strides in its primary COVID-19 vaccine franchise and advancing its footprint in the oncology sector.
  • The call demonstrated BioNTech’s commitment to expanding its product offerings while managing the shifts in market demands and regulatory landscapes.
  • For the second quarter of 2024, the total revenue reported by BioNTech was approximately EUR 129 million, a decline from EUR 168 million in the same quarter the previous year.

Baxter International Inc.: An Insight Into The Market Share and Competitiveness in Kidney Care! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Baxter International Inc. presented its second quarter 2024 earnings, displaying significant progress stemming from its strategic overhaul and operational enhancements.
  • The results surpassed the expected guidance in both revenue and earnings per share (EPS), prompting an uplifting revision in the full-year financial forecast.
  • This positive outcome is indicative of the successful implementation of operational efficiencies and a centralized business model that is beginning to bear fruit.

DaVita Inc.: A Bear’s Perspective! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • DaVita reported another robust quarter in Q2 2024, demonstrating solid performance metrics that underline the company’s ongoing efforts to enhance its services and fiscal management.
  • Under the leadership of CEO Javier Rodriguez, DaVita has maintained a positive growth trajectory, albeit with some hurdles that were also highlighted during the earnings call.
  • This analysis includes critical insights gathered from the earnings discussions, focusing on both the positive outcomes and areas posing challenges for the company.

Zoetis Inc.: Enhanced Direct-to-Consumer Marketing and ROI Focus Driving Our Optimism! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Zoetis reported strong financial results in the second quarter of 2024, showcasing a robust operational growth across various segments and products.
  • Revenue increased by 11% operationally, while adjusted net income saw a significant operational growth of 18%.
  • The well-balanced growth was evident with a 12% increase in the U.S. and a 10% operational rise internationally, demonstrating the company’s effective market strategies and innovative product offerings.

Illumina Inc.: The Tale Of Global Market Penetration and Expansion! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • In the second quarter of 2024, Illumina posted revenue results that exceeded expectations.
  • While the revenue from core Illumina stood at $1.1 billion, demonstrating solid execution against strategic priorities, the company admits facing challenges due to extended sales cycles and concerns over global economic pressures which affected equipment orders.
  • Despite these hurdles, consumption of sequencing activity consumables saw a significant rise primarily driven by the NovaSeq X Plus, emphasizing an ongoing transition that spells potential future growth.

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Daily Brief Financials: Woori Financial Group , S&P/ASX 200, Yuexiu Real Estate Investment Trust, Vista Land & Lifescapes and more

By | Daily Briefs, Financials

In today’s briefing:

  • Value-Up Flow Trading Opportunities Arising from NPS’s 10% Ownership Ceiling on Banks
  • EQD | The ASX200 Can Rally Higher (If This Is A Rally…)
  • Morning Views Asia: Lenovo, Citicore Renewable Energy, Vedanta Resources
  • Vista Land & Lifescapes – Earnings Flash – H1 FY 2024 Results – Lucror Analytics
  • Morning Views Asia: Lenovo, Citicore Renewable Energy, Vedanta Resources


Value-Up Flow Trading Opportunities Arising from NPS’s 10% Ownership Ceiling on Banks

By Sanghyun Park

  • NPS is concerned that aggressive value-up measures by bank holding companies and ongoing cancellations might quickly use up their room up to the 10% ownership limit.
  • With their stake already at mid-8%, they may not buy as much as the index suggests, creating new trading opportunities in the four major bank holding companies.
  • Woori Financial has more room for buying, so as the year ends, NPS’s skewed-buying could give it a better price impact than other bank holding companies.

EQD | The ASX200 Can Rally Higher (If This Is A Rally…)

By Nico Rosti

  • The S&P/ASX 200 has been quietly rallying since its (modest) -11% correction in 2023, mostly unaffected by global turmoils, even the latest sell-off in US, Asia and Europe was “non-damaging”.
  • The index has already recovered a large part of the losses suffered for only 1 week, very brief if we consider that the SPX INDEX had corrected for 4 weeks.
  • Now that the S&P/ASX 200 has rallied strongly we want to analyze its pattern model, to identify the area where it could pull back again (or slow down).

Morning Views Asia: Lenovo, Citicore Renewable Energy, Vedanta Resources

By Leonard Law, CFA

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.


Vista Land & Lifescapes – Earnings Flash – H1 FY 2024 Results – Lucror Analytics

By Leonard Law, CFA

Vista Land & Lifescapes’ (VLL) H1/24 results were acceptable, with improved earnings and margin expansion. That said, cash flows stayed negative and debt continued to rise. Hence, leverage remained moderately weak.

VLL maintains a sizeable portfolio of securities investment and investment properties, which generate recurring income and support the balance sheet. The investments could also be monetised if needed, albeit their market value is unclear. We expect the company’s liquidity needs to be manageable, given VLL’s reasonable access to funding.


Morning Views Asia: Lenovo, Citicore Renewable Energy, Vedanta Resources

By Leonard Law, CFA

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.


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