Category

Daily Briefs

Daily Brief China: MINISO Group Holding , CPMC Holdings, Lalatech Holdings Co Ltd, Minieye Technology, China Jinmao Holdings and more

By | China, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • Smartkarma Corporate Webinar | Miniso: Leveraging China’s Manufacturing Capacity for the Global Market
  • CPMC Holdings (906.HK) – ORG Can’t Afford to Lose, But Baosteel Is a Step Ahead
  • CPMC Holdings (906 HK): Will Baowu Raise the Offer Price After ORG?
  • Lalatech IPO: Using YMM:US as Main Comp, Equity Valuation of US$11-12 Bn (Or More) Justifiable
  • Minieye Technology Pre-IPO Tearsheet
  • Morning Views Asia: China Jinmao Holdings


Smartkarma Corporate Webinar | Miniso: Leveraging China’s Manufacturing Capacity for the Global Market

By Smartkarma Research

For our next Corporate Webinar, we are glad to welcome Miniso Group Holding Limited’s Investor Relation Specialist, Ms. Allis-Yueling Chen. 

In the upcoming webinar, Allis will share a short company presentation after which, she will engage in a fireside chat with Smartkarma Insight Provider, Eric Wen. The Corporate Webinar will include a live Q&A session.

The Corporate Webinar will be hosted on Thursday, 20 June 2024, 16:00 SGT.

About Miniso Group Holding Limited

Miniso Group Holding Limited is a global value retailer offering a variety of trendy lifestyle products featuring IP design. Since Miniso Group opened its first store in China in 2013, they have successfully incubated two brands, “MINISO” and “TOP TOY”. The flagship brand “MINISO” is a globally recognized retail brand and have established a store network worldwide of 6,630 stores in more than 200 countries. The flagship brand “MINISO” offers a frequently-refreshed assortment of lifestyle products covering diverse consumer needs, and consumers are attracted to their products’ trendiness, creativeness, high quality and affordability.


CPMC Holdings (906.HK) – ORG Can’t Afford to Lose, But Baosteel Is a Step Ahead

By Xinyao (Criss) Wang

  • Baosteel’s SOE background helps bring more advantages- This deal is a consolidation of assets under SASAC, which may involve some strategic intent at national level. Baosteel has an upper hand. 
  • ORG cannot afford to fail considering the strategic significance of CMPC for ORG. Major shareholder of CPMC Zhang Wei has picked ORG side, making it maintain the hope of winning.
  • For arbitrageurs, the good news is CPMC would be acquired by either Changping Industrial or ORG, with high certainty.Baosteel is also worth watching since it could be a new leader. 

CPMC Holdings (906 HK): Will Baowu Raise the Offer Price After ORG?

By Osbert Tang, CFA

  • With ORG offering a 4.9% higher price and securing Zhang Wei’s acceptance, the ball is now back in Baowu’s hands. Good reasons exist for Baowu to raise its offer price. 
  • Baowu’s subsidiary Shanghai Baosteel Packaging-A (601968 CH) needs CPMC Holdings (906 HK) more than ORG, given its smaller market share and weaker profitability.
  • At ORG’s offer price, CPMC’s PERs for FY24 and FY25 of 15.4x and 14.2x are cheaper than Baosteel Packaging’s 22x and 18.7x. This gives additional justifications for a higher offer. 

Lalatech IPO: Using YMM:US as Main Comp, Equity Valuation of US$11-12 Bn (Or More) Justifiable

By Daniel Hellberg

  • Based on returns and margins, US-listed Full Truck Alliance is best comp
  • Lalatech probably deserves premium valuation multiples vs Full Truck Alliance 
  • An equity valuation of US$11bn+ justifiable; will investors look at recent flops?

Minieye Technology Pre-IPO Tearsheet

By Clarence Chu

  • Minieye Technology (1426169D CH) is looking to raise US$150m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO. The bookrunners on the deal are Citic Securities and CICC.
  • Minieye Technology (Minieye) is an intelligent driving and cabin solutions provider in China, offering solutions for critical aspects of the driving experience, including piloting, parking and in-cabin functions.
  • Providing Level 0-Level 2++ intelligent driving solutions that are full-stack in-house developed and proven by mass production, the firm has also been developing advanced Level 4 autonomous driving technologies.

Morning Views Asia: China Jinmao Holdings

By Leonard Law, CFA

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.


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Daily Brief India: Patel Engineering, InterGlobe Aviation Ltd, Suzlon Energy, Concord Biotech Ltd and more

By | Daily Briefs, India

In today’s briefing:

  • The Beat Ideas- Patel Engineering: Turnaround Play?
  • Interglobe Aviation : Block Deal Trade Special Situations and Tactical Trade Strategy
  • Suzlon Independent Director Resignation Raises Concerns and Reiterates Past CG Issues
  • Concord Biotech Ltd (CONCORDB IN): Accelerated Growth Ahead; Recent Pullback Comforted Valuation


The Beat Ideas- Patel Engineering: Turnaround Play?

By Sudarshan Bhandari

  • Patel Engineering (PEC IN) ‘s large order book, strategic sectors focus, and successful debt reduction through QIP and restructuring.
  • Strong financial resilience, projected revenue growth, and robust order pipeline signal promising future prospects.
  • Poised for growth strong order pipeline and increased government focus on Infrastructure, Hydro Power segment and Irrigation segment.

Interglobe Aviation : Block Deal Trade Special Situations and Tactical Trade Strategy

By Nimish Maheshwari

  • Impending block deals which generally create supply over-hang on the stock leads to a negative impact on the stock.
  • These block deals generally include selling promoters and big funds at a price discount to its current market price.
  • Historically, such events suggest once the block deal is done; stock reacts positively creating a Special Situation Opportunity

Suzlon Independent Director Resignation Raises Concerns and Reiterates Past CG Issues

By Nimish Maheshwari

  • Independent Director’s resignation highlights the lack of strong corporate governance practices within Suzlon. 
  • Suzlon Energy’s response to the outgoing director’s concerns demonstrates a willingness to address issues and make necessary changes to enhance corporate governance.
  • Though it does not raise concerns on any financial irregularities and legal violation but resolution of issues remains a key event to watch for.

Concord Biotech Ltd (CONCORDB IN): Accelerated Growth Ahead; Recent Pullback Comforted Valuation

By Tina Banerjee

  • Concord Biotech Ltd (CONCORDB IN) reported 19% revenue growth in FY24. EBITDA and PAT grew at a faster pace of 26% and 28%, YoY, respectively.  
  • With focus on deeper market penetration, acquiring new customers, and introducing new products in niche categories, Concord is well-positioned for 25% revenue CAGR in 3–5 years.
  • Despite a huge run-up from the IPO price, Concord shares are trading at forward P/E of 38.9x, which is lower than peers.

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Daily Brief Japan: Sun Corp, Marui Group, AViC and more

By | Daily Briefs, Japan

In today’s briefing:

  • Unsolicited Partial Offer for 19% of Sun Corp (6736 JP) – Play on Cellebrite from SPAC Sponsor
  • Sun Corporation (6736 JP): True Wind’s Hostile Partial Offer
  • Marui: A Data Mining Dream Coming True
  • avic (9554 Jp) – 2Q Follow Up


Unsolicited Partial Offer for 19% of Sun Corp (6736 JP) – Play on Cellebrite from SPAC Sponsor

By Travis Lundy

  • Sun Corp (6736 JP) for years has been a play on its investment holding in Cellebrite DI (CLBT US), brought to market in a $2.4bn SPAC deal announced 30Aug2021.  
  • The SPAC entity was an entity called TWC Tech Holdings II Corp (TWC = “True Wind Capital”). The next day, Cellebrite DI (CLBT US) was born, trading up to US$11.00+.
  • Sun Corp (6736 JP)‘s value realisation path had begun. Today, a True Winds entity announced a Partial Tender Offer – unsolicited, unannounced previously – on Sun Corp, for 19.0%.

Sun Corporation (6736 JP): True Wind’s Hostile Partial Offer

By Arun George

  • True Wind has launched a hostile partial tender offer for Sun Corp (6736 JP) for a minimum (3.8m) and maximum (4.2m) shares at JPY4,400, 19.2% premium to the undisturbed price.
  • The offer was prompted by frustration with the Board’s lack of urgency in closing the disparity between Sun Corp’s market cap and the value of its Cellebrite DI (CLBT US) stake.
  • The Board has three options: do nothing (low probability), find a white knight bidder (high probability), or commit to selling/distributing its Cellebrite stake (medium probability).

Marui: A Data Mining Dream Coming True

By Michael Causton

  • While Marui’s credit card business now has in excess of ¥4 trillion in GTVs, its shopping buildings are also doing outperforming the mall sector.
  • Sales for all 22 buildings rose 14.5% last year but as much as 24% at some buildings.
  • This is the result of new tenants, more services and better marketing based on vast in-house data sources. This data-mining capability will get better and is unique to Marui.

avic (9554 Jp) – 2Q Follow Up

By Sessa Investment Research

  • AViC upwardly revised its full-year FY24/9 earnings forecast at the time of its 1H earnings announcement, demonstrating renewed and accelerated growth after recovering from the temporary slowdown in growth caused by business conditions and funding difficulties among startups and other emerging companies in FY23/9.
  • While many of its competitors are showing sluggish business performance, the Company has been able to pursue growth on its own by committing to improving both client advertising efficiency and in-house productivity through meticulous and data-driven business operations as well as executing its fast-paced Plan-Do-Check-Act (PDCA) cycle.
  • Meanwhile, its share price has not risen in line with the boost in EPS, with the latest P/E ratio hovering around 20x based on the revised earnings forecast.

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Daily Brief Energy/Materials: CPMC Holdings, Iron Ore, Gold, Pulsar Helium, Scorpio Tankers, Zephyr Energy and more

By | Daily Briefs, Energy & Materials Sector

In today’s briefing:

  • CPMC Holdings (906.HK) – ORG Can’t Afford to Lose, But Baosteel Is a Step Ahead
  • CPMC Holdings (906 HK): Will Baowu Raise the Offer Price After ORG?
  • Champion Iron (CIA AU): Q4 Results Update and Future Outlook
  • Why China loves Gold & a Beautiful Setup in Bitcoin
  • Pulsar Helium Inc. (TSX-V: PLSR)
  • Scorpio Tankers Inc (STNG) – Monday, Mar 11, 2024
  • Zephyr Energy Plc (AIM: ZPHR): Spotless Execution at Twinning of High Impact Well.


CPMC Holdings (906.HK) – ORG Can’t Afford to Lose, But Baosteel Is a Step Ahead

By Xinyao (Criss) Wang

  • Baosteel’s SOE background helps bring more advantages- This deal is a consolidation of assets under SASAC, which may involve some strategic intent at national level. Baosteel has an upper hand. 
  • ORG cannot afford to fail considering the strategic significance of CMPC for ORG. Major shareholder of CPMC Zhang Wei has picked ORG side, making it maintain the hope of winning.
  • For arbitrageurs, the good news is CPMC would be acquired by either Changping Industrial or ORG, with high certainty.Baosteel is also worth watching since it could be a new leader. 

CPMC Holdings (906 HK): Will Baowu Raise the Offer Price After ORG?

By Osbert Tang, CFA

  • With ORG offering a 4.9% higher price and securing Zhang Wei’s acceptance, the ball is now back in Baowu’s hands. Good reasons exist for Baowu to raise its offer price. 
  • Baowu’s subsidiary Shanghai Baosteel Packaging-A (601968 CH) needs CPMC Holdings (906 HK) more than ORG, given its smaller market share and weaker profitability.
  • At ORG’s offer price, CPMC’s PERs for FY24 and FY25 of 15.4x and 14.2x are cheaper than Baosteel Packaging’s 22x and 18.7x. This gives additional justifications for a higher offer. 

Champion Iron (CIA AU): Q4 Results Update and Future Outlook

By Sameer Taneja

  • Champion Iron (CIA AU) reported an inline result for FY24, with revenue/profits up 9%/16% YoY.  Q4 revenue/profits were -28%YoY/-73%YoY due to lower pricing on 60% of volumes in transit. 
  • The company-guided production volumes have reached the annualized 15 mnt mark, but logistics continued to be challenging in Q1. Easing is expected in August, and base case a 1.5-year destock.
  • The name carries some risks trading at 7x PE FY25 (March end), but it could be one to watch in case the 65-62 spread widens.

Why China loves Gold & a Beautiful Setup in Bitcoin

By The Commodity Report

  • Unpredictable Corn Supply from South America The grain supply from South America, especially corn, is among the most unpredictable globally.
  • During the 2022-23 season, Argentina’s corn production dropped by nearly 29% due to drought, but then surged by 26% in the 2023-24 season, influenced by the El Niño phenomenon.
  • Similarly, favorable weather conditions boosted Brazil’s corn production by approximately 17% in 2022-23. However, in 2023-24, it declined by 16% due to varying weather patterns.

Pulsar Helium Inc. (TSX-V: PLSR)

By Auctus Advisors

  • The Jetstream # 1 appraisal well has been tested at a rate of up to 0.8 mmcf/d with helium concentration of 8.7%-14.5%.
  • The flow rate initially reached 0.15 mmcf/d with flowing tubing head pressure of 34 psi. The bottom hole pressure was 162 psi.
  • A compressor was then installed at the well head to reduce the flowing tubing head pressure to 20 psi, thereby increasing the difference between the flowing pressure and the reservoir pressure.

Scorpio Tankers Inc (STNG) – Monday, Mar 11, 2024

By Value Investors Club

  • Author discusses investment in STNG for over-earning potential and short-term catalyst
  • Mentions other stocks like VAL, TDW, and TNK in oil & gas industry
  • Believes STNG stock price won’t fall significantly and discusses intrinsic value in comparison to bitcoin volatility through haiku

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


Zephyr Energy Plc (AIM: ZPHR): Spotless Execution at Twinning of High Impact Well.

By Auctus Advisors

  • The State 36-2R well has reached TD.
  • The well penetrated a folded and naturally fractured section of the Cane Creek reservoir, encountering drilling mud gas shows of a similar magnitude to the original well.
  • Pore pressure analysis suggests formation pressures estimated at approximately 9,300 psi (which is broadly consistent with previously drilled offset wells).

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Daily Brief Industrials: Patel Engineering, InterGlobe Aviation Ltd, Suzlon Energy, Minieye Technology, Air Lease Corp and more

By | Daily Briefs, Industrials

In today’s briefing:

  • The Beat Ideas- Patel Engineering: Turnaround Play?
  • Interglobe Aviation : Block Deal Trade Special Situations and Tactical Trade Strategy
  • Suzlon Independent Director Resignation Raises Concerns and Reiterates Past CG Issues
  • Minieye Technology Pre-IPO Tearsheet
  • Air Lease Corp (AL) – Monday, Mar 11, 2024


The Beat Ideas- Patel Engineering: Turnaround Play?

By Sudarshan Bhandari

  • Patel Engineering (PEC IN) ‘s large order book, strategic sectors focus, and successful debt reduction through QIP and restructuring.
  • Strong financial resilience, projected revenue growth, and robust order pipeline signal promising future prospects.
  • Poised for growth strong order pipeline and increased government focus on Infrastructure, Hydro Power segment and Irrigation segment.

Interglobe Aviation : Block Deal Trade Special Situations and Tactical Trade Strategy

By Nimish Maheshwari

  • Impending block deals which generally create supply over-hang on the stock leads to a negative impact on the stock.
  • These block deals generally include selling promoters and big funds at a price discount to its current market price.
  • Historically, such events suggest once the block deal is done; stock reacts positively creating a Special Situation Opportunity

Suzlon Independent Director Resignation Raises Concerns and Reiterates Past CG Issues

By Nimish Maheshwari

  • Independent Director’s resignation highlights the lack of strong corporate governance practices within Suzlon. 
  • Suzlon Energy’s response to the outgoing director’s concerns demonstrates a willingness to address issues and make necessary changes to enhance corporate governance.
  • Though it does not raise concerns on any financial irregularities and legal violation but resolution of issues remains a key event to watch for.

Minieye Technology Pre-IPO Tearsheet

By Clarence Chu

  • Minieye Technology (1426169D CH) is looking to raise US$150m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO. The bookrunners on the deal are Citic Securities and CICC.
  • Minieye Technology (Minieye) is an intelligent driving and cabin solutions provider in China, offering solutions for critical aspects of the driving experience, including piloting, parking and in-cabin functions.
  • Providing Level 0-Level 2++ intelligent driving solutions that are full-stack in-house developed and proven by mass production, the firm has also been developing advanced Level 4 autonomous driving technologies.

Air Lease Corp (AL) – Monday, Mar 11, 2024

By Value Investors Club

  • AL provides airlines with flexibility in fleet planning and finance
  • Recent challenges such as the Boeing 737 Max grounding and global pandemic have impacted AL’s financial performance
  • AL is well-positioned for future growth and improvement in returns due to strong management, diverse aircraft portfolio, positive industry trends, lower interest rates, and self-help initiatives.

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


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Daily Brief TMT/Internet: Nan Ya Printed Circuit Board, LG Energy Solution, Wisetech Global, NVIDIA Corp, Asia Vital Components, Lalatech Holdings Co Ltd, AViC , Ceragon Networks , POET Technologies , Acal PLC and more

By | Daily Briefs, TMT/Internet

In today’s briefing:

  • Yuanta/​P-Shares Taiwan Div+ ETF Rebalance: One Surprise as Round-Trip Trade Hits US$2.3bn
  • Mandatory Block Deal Pre-Announcement Requirement in Korea Starting 24 July: Impact on Block Deals
  • S&P/​​​​ASX Index Rebalance (June 2024): Changes, Flows, Impact, Shorts & Positioning
  • Splits Amplify Stock Prices & Stoke Volatility; What Next for NVIDIA After Upsetting the Apple Cart?
  • Taiwan Top 50 ETF Rebalance: Asia Vital Components to Replace Chang Hwa Commercial Bank
  • Lalatech IPO: Using YMM:US as Main Comp, Equity Valuation of US$11-12 Bn (Or More) Justifiable
  • avic (9554 Jp) – 2Q Follow Up
  • Ceragon Networks Ltd (CRNT) – Monday, Mar 11, 2024
  • POET Emerges as Pure Play AI Hardware Company Solidified By Foxconn Interconnect Technology (FIT) Deal
  • discoverIE Group – FY24 demonstrates resilient business model


Yuanta/​P-Shares Taiwan Div+ ETF Rebalance: One Surprise as Round-Trip Trade Hits US$2.3bn

By Brian Freitas

  • There are 5 adds and 5 deletes to the Yuanta/​P-Shares Taiwan Dividend Plus ETF in June with implementation taking place from 21-27 June.
  • The constituent changes and capping changes result in an estimated one-way turnover of 12.8% and in a one-way trade of TWD 37.2bn (US$1.15bn).
  • The changes are in line with our forecasts with one exception. Uni President Enterprises (1216 TT) was not added and Yulon Finance (9941 TT) was added instead.

Mandatory Block Deal Pre-Announcement Requirement in Korea Starting 24 July: Impact on Block Deals

By Douglas Kim

  • Starting 24 July, there will be a mandatory pre-announcement requirement for block deal sales in Korea. 
  • In other words, the major shareholders of the Korean companies need to report publicly prior to their actual sales of their stakes in these companies through block deal sales.
  • The potential block deal sales candidates could continue to underperform on average the companies that are selling these stocks in potential block deal sales in the next several weeks. 

S&P/​​​​ASX Index Rebalance (June 2024): Changes, Flows, Impact, Shorts & Positioning

By Brian Freitas

  • There is 1 change for the S&P/ASX20 Index, 1 change for the S&P/ASX50 Index, 2 changes for the S&P/ASX100 Index, and no regular changes for the S&P/ASX200 INDEX in June.
  • The surprise inclusion of Wisetech Global (WTC AU) means that positioning is likely to be lower than the passive buying and there could be a move higher in the stock.
  • There will be one adhoc inclusion to the S&P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX) at the close on 19 June following Cie De Saint-Gobain (SGO FP)’s acquisition of CSR Ltd (CSR AU). 

Splits Amplify Stock Prices & Stoke Volatility; What Next for NVIDIA After Upsetting the Apple Cart?

By Uttkarsh Kohli

  • Firms that split their shares show an avg. return of +25.4% one year after split. That’s more than 2x the average return of the S&P 500 during those periods. 
  • Critically, returns post stock splits are mainly seen from announcement to actual split date. Mega caps have shown 9.3% absolute returns 12 months post split. Be cautious of misleading averages.
  • On relative terms (v/s S&P500) price returns were down 6.3% 12-months after stock splits. All splits generated negative returns except for Tesla in 2020.

Taiwan Top 50 ETF Rebalance: Asia Vital Components to Replace Chang Hwa Commercial Bank

By Brian Freitas


Lalatech IPO: Using YMM:US as Main Comp, Equity Valuation of US$11-12 Bn (Or More) Justifiable

By Daniel Hellberg

  • Based on returns and margins, US-listed Full Truck Alliance is best comp
  • Lalatech probably deserves premium valuation multiples vs Full Truck Alliance 
  • An equity valuation of US$11bn+ justifiable; will investors look at recent flops?

avic (9554 Jp) – 2Q Follow Up

By Sessa Investment Research

  • AViC upwardly revised its full-year FY24/9 earnings forecast at the time of its 1H earnings announcement, demonstrating renewed and accelerated growth after recovering from the temporary slowdown in growth caused by business conditions and funding difficulties among startups and other emerging companies in FY23/9.
  • While many of its competitors are showing sluggish business performance, the Company has been able to pursue growth on its own by committing to improving both client advertising efficiency and in-house productivity through meticulous and data-driven business operations as well as executing its fast-paced Plan-Do-Check-Act (PDCA) cycle.
  • Meanwhile, its share price has not risen in line with the boost in EPS, with the latest P/E ratio hovering around 20x based on the revised earnings forecast.

Ceragon Networks Ltd (CRNT) – Monday, Mar 11, 2024

By Value Investors Club

  • Ceragon Networks is a wireless backhaul solutions provider helping customers transition to 5G connectivity
  • Faces competition from companies like Aviat Networks and Airspan Networks
  • Recent unsolicited acquisition offer from AVNW rejected, with potential 83% upside in stock price according to 18-month price target

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


POET Emerges as Pure Play AI Hardware Company Solidified By Foxconn Interconnect Technology (FIT) Deal

By Zacks Small Cap Research

  • POET Technologies is a startup disrupting the photonics industry with a new technology that eliminates parts of an optical transceiver and replaces them with a single integrated device which is smaller, cheaper, faster, more scalable and with much lower power consumption than the current solutions.
  • It has a $50M joint venture with Sanan IC to make and sell optical engines to data centers and telecom.
  • Its solution can be produced at wafer scale, eliminating costly manual steps, and allowing it to be easily produced in large quantities and at low cost.

discoverIE Group – FY24 demonstrates resilient business model

By Edison Investment Research

In a difficult trading environment, with customers in the largest target market in a digestion phase after widespread supply chain disruption, discoverIE reported strong underlying operating profit growth and margin expansion. Despite higher net finance costs and currency headwinds, underlying EPS increased 5% y-o-y (+10% at constant exchange rates). We forecast modest growth in FY25 and FY26 and continued margin expansion in line with company targets and expect further M&A to boost growth.


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Most Read: SK Bioscience , Sun Corp, Nan Ya Printed Circuit Board, Asia Cement China, LG Energy Solution, Siemens Ltd, Jeisys Medical, Wisetech Global, Asia Vital Components and more

By | Daily Briefs, Most Read

In today’s briefing:

  • Block Deal Prospects Arising from SK Group’s Corporate Reshuffle
  • Unsolicited Partial Offer for 19% of Sun Corp (6736 JP) – Play on Cellebrite from SPAC Sponsor
  • Yuanta/​P-Shares Taiwan Div+ ETF Rebalance: One Surprise as Round-Trip Trade Hits US$2.3bn
  • Asia Cement China (743.HK) Privatization- There May Be “Surprises” Despite Disappointing Offer Price
  • Mandatory Block Deal Pre-Announcement Requirement in Korea Starting 24 July: Impact on Block Deals
  • Sun Corporation (6736 JP): True Wind’s Hostile Partial Offer
  • NIFTY200 Momentum30 Index Rebalance: 13 Changes, 42% Turnover, Momentum Recovers After Selloff
  • Tender Offer of Jeisys Medical by Archimed Group
  • S&P/​​​​ASX Index Rebalance (June 2024): Changes, Flows, Impact, Shorts & Positioning
  • Taiwan Top 50 ETF Rebalance: Asia Vital Components to Replace Chang Hwa Commercial Bank


Block Deal Prospects Arising from SK Group’s Corporate Reshuffle

By Sanghyun Park

  • The declining appeal of the separator business prompts SK to seek buyers for SKIET through block deals amid financial pressures. The first deal is anticipated despite recent stock price drops.
  • SK Ecoplant looks to sell its 37.6% stake in SK Oceanplant. Negotiations stall over the former major shareholder’s 20% stake, prompting consideration of a block deal.
  • SK Bioscience, under SK Discovery, faces possible sale amid SK’s bio company reshuffle. SK Chemicals may bring SK Biopharm under its wing to help SK Inc focus on semiconductors/batteries.

Unsolicited Partial Offer for 19% of Sun Corp (6736 JP) – Play on Cellebrite from SPAC Sponsor

By Travis Lundy

  • Sun Corp (6736 JP) for years has been a play on its investment holding in Cellebrite DI (CLBT US), brought to market in a $2.4bn SPAC deal announced 30Aug2021.  
  • The SPAC entity was an entity called TWC Tech Holdings II Corp (TWC = “True Wind Capital”). The next day, Cellebrite DI (CLBT US) was born, trading up to US$11.00+.
  • Sun Corp (6736 JP)‘s value realisation path had begun. Today, a True Winds entity announced a Partial Tender Offer – unsolicited, unannounced previously – on Sun Corp, for 19.0%.

Yuanta/​P-Shares Taiwan Div+ ETF Rebalance: One Surprise as Round-Trip Trade Hits US$2.3bn

By Brian Freitas

  • There are 5 adds and 5 deletes to the Yuanta/​P-Shares Taiwan Dividend Plus ETF in June with implementation taking place from 21-27 June.
  • The constituent changes and capping changes result in an estimated one-way turnover of 12.8% and in a one-way trade of TWD 37.2bn (US$1.15bn).
  • The changes are in line with our forecasts with one exception. Uni President Enterprises (1216 TT) was not added and Yulon Finance (9941 TT) was added instead.

Asia Cement China (743.HK) Privatization- There May Be “Surprises” Despite Disappointing Offer Price

By Xinyao (Criss) Wang

  • Since the China/Taiwan situation looks increasingly tense, Xu Xudong/Far Eastern Group may be eager to privatize ACC considering geopolitical conflicts and political risks. Its business is subject to strict regulation.
  • HK$3.22 Offer Price is disappointing, but the privatization isn’t completely impossible (The headcount does not apply now). A certain number of investors are still willing to accept the Offer Price. 
  • For arbitrageurs, the return looks not bad. However, considering the high uncertainties/failure risks, we still advise investors to be cautious. HK$2.5/share is a price point worth participating in.

Mandatory Block Deal Pre-Announcement Requirement in Korea Starting 24 July: Impact on Block Deals

By Douglas Kim

  • Starting 24 July, there will be a mandatory pre-announcement requirement for block deal sales in Korea. 
  • In other words, the major shareholders of the Korean companies need to report publicly prior to their actual sales of their stakes in these companies through block deal sales.
  • The potential block deal sales candidates could continue to underperform on average the companies that are selling these stocks in potential block deal sales in the next several weeks. 

Sun Corporation (6736 JP): True Wind’s Hostile Partial Offer

By Arun George

  • True Wind has launched a hostile partial tender offer for Sun Corp (6736 JP) for a minimum (3.8m) and maximum (4.2m) shares at JPY4,400, 19.2% premium to the undisturbed price.
  • The offer was prompted by frustration with the Board’s lack of urgency in closing the disparity between Sun Corp’s market cap and the value of its Cellebrite DI (CLBT US) stake.
  • The Board has three options: do nothing (low probability), find a white knight bidder (high probability), or commit to selling/distributing its Cellebrite stake (medium probability).

NIFTY200 Momentum30 Index Rebalance: 13 Changes, 42% Turnover, Momentum Recovers After Selloff

By Brian Freitas

  • There are 13 changes for the Nifty200 Momentum 30 Index that will be implemented at the close on 27 June.
  • Estimated one-way turnover is 42.3% resulting in a one-way trade of INR 32bn (US$384m). There are 13 stocks with over 0.5x ADV to trade, mostly on the deletes.
  • After steady outperformance over the last few months, there was a selloff in momentum names following the announcement of the election results. There has been a recovery since then.

Tender Offer of Jeisys Medical by Archimed Group

By Douglas Kim

  • On 10 June, it was announced that France’s Archimed Group is conducting a tender offer of 55.72 million shares of Jeisys Medical (287410 KS) (72% of outstanding shares). 
  • The tender offer period will run from 10 June to 22 July. The tender offer price is 13,000 won.
  • Archimed also signed a contract to purchase the entire stake (23.2%) held by Kang Don-Hwan (Chairman of Jeisys Medical) and (3.2%) held by a Director Myung-Hoon Lee.

S&P/​​​​ASX Index Rebalance (June 2024): Changes, Flows, Impact, Shorts & Positioning

By Brian Freitas

  • There is 1 change for the S&P/ASX20 Index, 1 change for the S&P/ASX50 Index, 2 changes for the S&P/ASX100 Index, and no regular changes for the S&P/ASX200 INDEX in June.
  • The surprise inclusion of Wisetech Global (WTC AU) means that positioning is likely to be lower than the passive buying and there could be a move higher in the stock.
  • There will be one adhoc inclusion to the S&P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX) at the close on 19 June following Cie De Saint-Gobain (SGO FP)’s acquisition of CSR Ltd (CSR AU). 

Taiwan Top 50 ETF Rebalance: Asia Vital Components to Replace Chang Hwa Commercial Bank

By Brian Freitas


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Daily Brief Health Care: Jeisys Medical, Concord Biotech Ltd, Abbvie Inc, BioLine RX and more

By | Daily Briefs, Healthcare

In today’s briefing:

  • Tender Offer of Jeisys Medical by Archimed Group
  • Concord Biotech Ltd (CONCORDB IN): Accelerated Growth Ahead; Recent Pullback Comforted Valuation
  • Abbvie Inc – Regenerative Healthcare – Stem Cells & ALS Thematic 10062024
  • BLRX: First Quarter 2024 Results


Tender Offer of Jeisys Medical by Archimed Group

By Douglas Kim

  • On 10 June, it was announced that France’s Archimed Group is conducting a tender offer of 55.72 million shares of Jeisys Medical (287410 KS) (72% of outstanding shares). 
  • The tender offer period will run from 10 June to 22 July. The tender offer price is 13,000 won.
  • Archimed also signed a contract to purchase the entire stake (23.2%) held by Kang Don-Hwan (Chairman of Jeisys Medical) and (3.2%) held by a Director Myung-Hoon Lee.

Concord Biotech Ltd (CONCORDB IN): Accelerated Growth Ahead; Recent Pullback Comforted Valuation

By Tina Banerjee

  • Concord Biotech Ltd (CONCORDB IN) reported 19% revenue growth in FY24. EBITDA and PAT grew at a faster pace of 26% and 28%, YoY, respectively.  
  • With focus on deeper market penetration, acquiring new customers, and introducing new products in niche categories, Concord is well-positioned for 25% revenue CAGR in 3–5 years.
  • Despite a huge run-up from the IPO price, Concord shares are trading at forward P/E of 38.9x, which is lower than peers.

Abbvie Inc – Regenerative Healthcare – Stem Cells & ALS Thematic 10062024

By ACF Equity Research

  • Regenerative medicine remains an extremely exciting area of healthcare with vast investment potential.
  • In spite of the usual setbacks in valuation and strategy, the sub-sector has pivoted and the market remains innovative and attracts investment capital.
  • Rather than replace entire tissues, which is a complex activity, we believe the immediate future for stem cells is more likely to be in the successful stimulation of the bodies on repair mechanisms.

BLRX: First Quarter 2024 Results

By Zacks Small Cap Research

  • BioLineRx is a commercial stage biopharmaceutical company with a development portfolio advancing motixafortide, a platform molecule targeting indications in stem cell mobilization (SCM) & in the treatment of advanced pancreatic cancer.
  • The candidate is approved in the US for SCM and is undergoing studies for use in gene therapy and in pancreatic cancer.
  • Partner Gloria Biosciences is developing motixafortide in Asia & is expected to be conducting bridging studies in the near term for SCM and longer-term studies for other indications.

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Daily Brief Industrials: Patel Engineering, InterGlobe Aviation Ltd, Suzlon Energy, Minieye Technology, Air Lease Corp and more

By | Daily Briefs, Industrials

In today’s briefing:

  • The Beat Ideas- Patel Engineering: Turnaround Play?
  • Interglobe Aviation : Block Deal Trade Special Situations and Tactical Trade Strategy
  • Suzlon Independent Director Resignation Raises Concerns and Reiterates Past CG Issues
  • Minieye Technology Pre-IPO Tearsheet
  • Air Lease Corp (AL) – Monday, Mar 11, 2024


The Beat Ideas- Patel Engineering: Turnaround Play?

By Sudarshan Bhandari

  • Patel Engineering (PEC IN) ‘s large order book, strategic sectors focus, and successful debt reduction through QIP and restructuring.
  • Strong financial resilience, projected revenue growth, and robust order pipeline signal promising future prospects.
  • Poised for growth strong order pipeline and increased government focus on Infrastructure, Hydro Power segment and Irrigation segment.

Interglobe Aviation : Block Deal Trade Special Situations and Tactical Trade Strategy

By Nimish Maheshwari

  • Impending block deals which generally create supply over-hang on the stock leads to a negative impact on the stock.
  • These block deals generally include selling promoters and big funds at a price discount to its current market price.
  • Historically, such events suggest once the block deal is done; stock reacts positively creating a Special Situation Opportunity

Suzlon Independent Director Resignation Raises Concerns and Reiterates Past CG Issues

By Nimish Maheshwari

  • Independent Director’s resignation highlights the lack of strong corporate governance practices within Suzlon. 
  • Suzlon Energy’s response to the outgoing director’s concerns demonstrates a willingness to address issues and make necessary changes to enhance corporate governance.
  • Though it does not raise concerns on any financial irregularities and legal violation but resolution of issues remains a key event to watch for.

Minieye Technology Pre-IPO Tearsheet

By Clarence Chu

  • Minieye Technology (1426169D CH) is looking to raise US$150m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO. The bookrunners on the deal are Citic Securities and CICC.
  • Minieye Technology (Minieye) is an intelligent driving and cabin solutions provider in China, offering solutions for critical aspects of the driving experience, including piloting, parking and in-cabin functions.
  • Providing Level 0-Level 2++ intelligent driving solutions that are full-stack in-house developed and proven by mass production, the firm has also been developing advanced Level 4 autonomous driving technologies.

Air Lease Corp (AL) – Monday, Mar 11, 2024

By Value Investors Club

  • AL provides airlines with flexibility in fleet planning and finance
  • Recent challenges such as the Boeing 737 Max grounding and global pandemic have impacted AL’s financial performance
  • AL is well-positioned for future growth and improvement in returns due to strong management, diverse aircraft portfolio, positive industry trends, lower interest rates, and self-help initiatives.

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


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Daily Brief Financials: KKR & Co, Bitcoin, China Jinmao Holdings and more

By | Daily Briefs, Financials

In today’s briefing:

  • Jun24 S&P 500/400/600 Index Rebal – Both More and Less Interesting Than You Think, But 3 Big Buys
  • Crypto Crisp: How Much of the Bitcoin ETF Inflow Comes from Basis Trading?
  • Morning Views Asia: China Jinmao Holdings


Jun24 S&P 500/400/600 Index Rebal – Both More and Less Interesting Than You Think, But 3 Big Buys

By Travis Lundy

  • On Friday, the S&P index committee announced the June 2024 changes to the three major indices in the S&P1500 universe. 
  • KKR, Crowdstrike (CRWD), and GoDaddy (GDDY) replace Robert Half (RHI), Comerica (CMA), and Illumina (ILMN) in the S&P500. There are 6 ADDs to S&PMidCap400, 13 DELETEs from Sm600. 
  • There are some BIG and impactful flows here. Some are very big. Netted 2-way flow on 21 June is ~US$66-80bn. But as always, details matter. 

Crypto Crisp: How Much of the Bitcoin ETF Inflow Comes from Basis Trading?

By Mads Eberhardt

  • Here is to another week in crypto, following an exceptionally strong performance for U.S.-based Bitcoin spot ETFs last week.
  • Over the five trading sessions, these Bitcoin spot ETFs saw total net inflows of $1.829 billion.
  • Last Tuesday was particularly notable, with the ETFs experiencing their second-best day since their launch on January 11, bringing in a net inflow of $887 million.

Morning Views Asia: China Jinmao Holdings

By Leonard Law, CFA

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.


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