Category

Daily Briefs

Daily Brief Equity Bottom-Up: Smartkarma Corporate Webinar | Miniso: Leveraging China’s Manufacturing Capacity for the Global Market and more

By | Daily Briefs, Equity Bottom-Up

In today’s briefing:

  • Smartkarma Corporate Webinar | Miniso: Leveraging China’s Manufacturing Capacity for the Global Market
  • Splits Amplify Stock Prices & Stoke Volatility; What Next for NVIDIA After Upsetting the Apple Cart?
  • The Beat Ideas- Patel Engineering: Turnaround Play?
  • Marui: A Data Mining Dream Coming True
  • CPMC Holdings (906 HK): Will Baowu Raise the Offer Price After ORG?
  • Suzlon Independent Director Resignation Raises Concerns and Reiterates Past CG Issues
  • Concord Biotech Ltd (CONCORDB IN): Accelerated Growth Ahead; Recent Pullback Comforted Valuation
  • Abbvie Inc – Regenerative Healthcare – Stem Cells & ALS Thematic 10062024
  • avic (9554 Jp) – 2Q Follow Up
  • Pulsar Helium Inc. (TSX-V: PLSR)


Smartkarma Corporate Webinar | Miniso: Leveraging China’s Manufacturing Capacity for the Global Market

By Smartkarma Research

For our next Corporate Webinar, we are glad to welcome Miniso Group Holding Limited’s Investor Relation Specialist, Ms. Allis-Yueling Chen. 

In the upcoming webinar, Allis will share a short company presentation after which, she will engage in a fireside chat with Smartkarma Insight Provider, Eric Wen. The Corporate Webinar will include a live Q&A session.

The Corporate Webinar will be hosted on Thursday, 20 June 2024, 16:00 SGT.

About Miniso Group Holding Limited

Miniso Group Holding Limited is a global value retailer offering a variety of trendy lifestyle products featuring IP design. Since Miniso Group opened its first store in China in 2013, they have successfully incubated two brands, “MINISO” and “TOP TOY”. The flagship brand “MINISO” is a globally recognized retail brand and have established a store network worldwide of 6,630 stores in more than 200 countries. The flagship brand “MINISO” offers a frequently-refreshed assortment of lifestyle products covering diverse consumer needs, and consumers are attracted to their products’ trendiness, creativeness, high quality and affordability.


Splits Amplify Stock Prices & Stoke Volatility; What Next for NVIDIA After Upsetting the Apple Cart?

By Uttkarsh Kohli

  • Firms that split their shares show an avg. return of +25.4% one year after split. That’s more than 2x the average return of the S&P 500 during those periods. 
  • Critically, returns post stock splits are mainly seen from announcement to actual split date. Mega caps have shown 9.3% absolute returns 12 months post split. Be cautious of misleading averages.
  • On relative terms (v/s S&P500) price returns were down 6.3% 12-months after stock splits. All splits generated negative returns except for Tesla in 2020.

The Beat Ideas- Patel Engineering: Turnaround Play?

By Sudarshan Bhandari

  • Patel Engineering (PEC IN) ‘s large order book, strategic sectors focus, and successful debt reduction through QIP and restructuring.
  • Strong financial resilience, projected revenue growth, and robust order pipeline signal promising future prospects.
  • Poised for growth strong order pipeline and increased government focus on Infrastructure, Hydro Power segment and Irrigation segment.

Marui: A Data Mining Dream Coming True

By Michael Causton

  • While Marui’s credit card business now has in excess of ¥4 trillion in GTVs, its shopping buildings are also doing outperforming the mall sector.
  • Sales for all 22 buildings rose 14.5% last year but as much as 24% at some buildings.
  • This is the result of new tenants, more services and better marketing based on vast in-house data sources. This data-mining capability will get better and is unique to Marui.

CPMC Holdings (906 HK): Will Baowu Raise the Offer Price After ORG?

By Osbert Tang, CFA

  • With ORG offering a 4.9% higher price and securing Zhang Wei’s acceptance, the ball is now back in Baowu’s hands. Good reasons exist for Baowu to raise its offer price. 
  • Baowu’s subsidiary Shanghai Baosteel Packaging-A (601968 CH) needs CPMC Holdings (906 HK) more than ORG, given its smaller market share and weaker profitability.
  • At ORG’s offer price, CPMC’s PERs for FY24 and FY25 of 15.4x and 14.2x are cheaper than Baosteel Packaging’s 22x and 18.7x. This gives additional justifications for a higher offer. 

Suzlon Independent Director Resignation Raises Concerns and Reiterates Past CG Issues

By Nimish Maheshwari

  • Independent Director’s resignation highlights the lack of strong corporate governance practices within Suzlon. 
  • Suzlon Energy’s response to the outgoing director’s concerns demonstrates a willingness to address issues and make necessary changes to enhance corporate governance.
  • Though it does not raise concerns on any financial irregularities and legal violation but resolution of issues remains a key event to watch for.

Concord Biotech Ltd (CONCORDB IN): Accelerated Growth Ahead; Recent Pullback Comforted Valuation

By Tina Banerjee

  • Concord Biotech Ltd (CONCORDB IN) reported 19% revenue growth in FY24. EBITDA and PAT grew at a faster pace of 26% and 28%, YoY, respectively.  
  • With focus on deeper market penetration, acquiring new customers, and introducing new products in niche categories, Concord is well-positioned for 25% revenue CAGR in 3–5 years.
  • Despite a huge run-up from the IPO price, Concord shares are trading at forward P/E of 38.9x, which is lower than peers.

Abbvie Inc – Regenerative Healthcare – Stem Cells & ALS Thematic 10062024

By ACF Equity Research

  • Regenerative medicine remains an extremely exciting area of healthcare with vast investment potential.
  • In spite of the usual setbacks in valuation and strategy, the sub-sector has pivoted and the market remains innovative and attracts investment capital.
  • Rather than replace entire tissues, which is a complex activity, we believe the immediate future for stem cells is more likely to be in the successful stimulation of the bodies on repair mechanisms.

avic (9554 Jp) – 2Q Follow Up

By Sessa Investment Research

  • AViC upwardly revised its full-year FY24/9 earnings forecast at the time of its 1H earnings announcement, demonstrating renewed and accelerated growth after recovering from the temporary slowdown in growth caused by business conditions and funding difficulties among startups and other emerging companies in FY23/9.
  • While many of its competitors are showing sluggish business performance, the Company has been able to pursue growth on its own by committing to improving both client advertising efficiency and in-house productivity through meticulous and data-driven business operations as well as executing its fast-paced Plan-Do-Check-Act (PDCA) cycle.
  • Meanwhile, its share price has not risen in line with the boost in EPS, with the latest P/E ratio hovering around 20x based on the revised earnings forecast.

Pulsar Helium Inc. (TSX-V: PLSR)

By Auctus Advisors

  • The Jetstream # 1 appraisal well has been tested at a rate of up to 0.8 mmcf/d with helium concentration of 8.7%-14.5%.
  • The flow rate initially reached 0.15 mmcf/d with flowing tubing head pressure of 34 psi. The bottom hole pressure was 162 psi.
  • A compressor was then installed at the well head to reduce the flowing tubing head pressure to 20 psi, thereby increasing the difference between the flowing pressure and the reservoir pressure.

💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars



Daily Brief Macro: Malaysia Economics: Is “Digital Tiger” Malaysia About to Roar Again? and more

By | Daily Briefs, Macro

In today’s briefing:

  • Malaysia Economics: Is “Digital Tiger” Malaysia About to Roar Again?
  • The Week at A Glance: Everything you need to know ahead of the FOMC and CPI
  • Indonesia Economics: New Capital Faces More Than Just Personnel Woes
  • Champion Iron (CIA AU): Q4 Results Update and Future Outlook
  • Yield Curve Inverts Further on Rising Recession Risk
  • Why China loves Gold & a Beautiful Setup in Bitcoin
  • The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma – Alfamart Uncut, CP Axtra Revealed, and Jardine Matheson
  • UK Politics: Labour’s Energy Policies


Malaysia Economics: Is “Digital Tiger” Malaysia About to Roar Again?

By Manu Bhaskaran

  • After a period of economic and political turbulence, Malaysia is now re-entering the spotlight, performing admirably in attracting technology-focused investments.
  • The success in luring semiconductor and data centre investments is not down to pure luck; policymakers have worked hard to ensure that the country friendly to global tech business.
  • If momentum on business investments and policy reform can be maintained, the country may be on the verge of a virtuous cycle that helps it escape the middle-income trap.

The Week at A Glance: Everything you need to know ahead of the FOMC and CPI

By Andreas Steno

  • Welcome to our concise weekly overview of key events, expectations, and positioning strategies.
  • This week, we focus on the Federal Reserve meeting, US inflation data, and the crucial Bank of Japan meeting.
  • As usual, the most crucial forward-looking inflation evidence is found in the NFIB report released ahead of the CPI report.

Indonesia Economics: New Capital Faces More Than Just Personnel Woes

By Manu Bhaskaran

  • Reading between the lines, the resignations of two senior officials of the New Capital Authority strikes us as a de facto sacking. 
  • While there may be gripes with the pace of delivery in developing Nusantara, the fundamental problem remains that the economics of the new capital are unfavourable. 
  • Incoming president Prabowo should also not be assumed to continue placing the same priority on Nusantara as his predecessor Widodo currently does. 

Champion Iron (CIA AU): Q4 Results Update and Future Outlook

By Sameer Taneja

  • Champion Iron (CIA AU) reported an inline result for FY24, with revenue/profits up 9%/16% YoY.  Q4 revenue/profits were -28%YoY/-73%YoY due to lower pricing on 60% of volumes in transit. 
  • The company-guided production volumes have reached the annualized 15 mnt mark, but logistics continued to be challenging in Q1. Easing is expected in August, and base case a 1.5-year destock.
  • The name carries some risks trading at 7x PE FY25 (March end), but it could be one to watch in case the 65-62 spread widens.

Yield Curve Inverts Further on Rising Recession Risk

By Pranay Yadav

  • Discrepancies between establishment and household job surveys highlight economic stress; full-time employment declines, indicating households remain stressed even as non-farm payrolls rise.
  • Subsequent bond yield movements, particularly the persistent inversion of the 30Y-2Y spread, reflect investor skepticism about long-term economic stability and delayed rate cuts.
  • Upcoming U.S. elections and this week’s economic reports, including the May CPI and revised Federal Reserve projections, may push rate cut expectations even further ahead.

Why China loves Gold & a Beautiful Setup in Bitcoin

By The Commodity Report

  • Unpredictable Corn Supply from South America The grain supply from South America, especially corn, is among the most unpredictable globally.
  • During the 2022-23 season, Argentina’s corn production dropped by nearly 29% due to drought, but then surged by 26% in the 2023-24 season, influenced by the El Niño phenomenon.
  • Similarly, favorable weather conditions boosted Brazil’s corn production by approximately 17% in 2022-23. However, in 2023-24, it declined by 16% due to varying weather patterns.

The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma – Alfamart Uncut, CP Axtra Revealed, and Jardine Matheson

By Angus Mackintosh


UK Politics: Labour’s Energy Policies

By Alastair Newton

  • Labour’s flagship energy proposals have received a considerable amount of criticism, some of which is purely political.
  • There are numerous legitimate and significant doubts about whether the party can fulfill its proposed agenda.
  • This agenda is crucial for the decarbonisation process and the overall economic prospects of the UK.

💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars



Daily Brief South Korea: LG Energy Solution, Jeisys Medical and more

By | Daily Briefs, South Korea

In today’s briefing:

  • Mandatory Block Deal Pre-Announcement Requirement in Korea Starting 24 July: Impact on Block Deals
  • Tender Offer of Jeisys Medical by Archimed Group


Mandatory Block Deal Pre-Announcement Requirement in Korea Starting 24 July: Impact on Block Deals

By Douglas Kim

  • Starting 24 July, there will be a mandatory pre-announcement requirement for block deal sales in Korea. 
  • In other words, the major shareholders of the Korean companies need to report publicly prior to their actual sales of their stakes in these companies through block deal sales.
  • The potential block deal sales candidates could continue to underperform on average the companies that are selling these stocks in potential block deal sales in the next several weeks. 

Tender Offer of Jeisys Medical by Archimed Group

By Douglas Kim

  • On 10 June, it was announced that France’s Archimed Group is conducting a tender offer of 55.72 million shares of Jeisys Medical (287410 KS) (72% of outstanding shares). 
  • The tender offer period will run from 10 June to 22 July. The tender offer price is 13,000 won.
  • Archimed also signed a contract to purchase the entire stake (23.2%) held by Kang Don-Hwan (Chairman of Jeisys Medical) and (3.2%) held by a Director Myung-Hoon Lee.

💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars



Daily Brief Australia: Wisetech Global, Guzman Y Gomez, Iron Ore and more

By | Australia, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • S&P/​​​​ASX Index Rebalance (June 2024): Changes, Flows, Impact, Shorts & Positioning
  • Guzman Y Gomez IPO – Peer Comp and Thoughts on Valuations
  • Champion Iron (CIA AU): Q4 Results Update and Future Outlook


S&P/​​​​ASX Index Rebalance (June 2024): Changes, Flows, Impact, Shorts & Positioning

By Brian Freitas

  • There is 1 change for the S&P/ASX20 Index, 1 change for the S&P/ASX50 Index, 2 changes for the S&P/ASX100 Index, and no regular changes for the S&P/ASX200 INDEX in June.
  • The surprise inclusion of Wisetech Global (WTC AU) means that positioning is likely to be lower than the passive buying and there could be a move higher in the stock.
  • There will be one adhoc inclusion to the S&P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX) at the close on 19 June following Cie De Saint-Gobain (SGO FP)’s acquisition of CSR Ltd (CSR AU). 

Guzman Y Gomez IPO – Peer Comp and Thoughts on Valuations

By Sumeet Singh

  • Guzman Y Gomez (GYG) now plans to raise US$221m, an increase from its earlier target of US$160m, in its Australian IPO.
  • GYG is a quick service restaurant business with more than 200 restaurants globally. It mainly focuses on fresh, made-to-order, Mexican-inspired food.
  • We have looked at the company’s performance in our past notes. In this note, we talk about valuations.

Champion Iron (CIA AU): Q4 Results Update and Future Outlook

By Sameer Taneja

  • Champion Iron (CIA AU) reported an inline result for FY24, with revenue/profits up 9%/16% YoY.  Q4 revenue/profits were -28%YoY/-73%YoY due to lower pricing on 60% of volumes in transit. 
  • The company-guided production volumes have reached the annualized 15 mnt mark, but logistics continued to be challenging in Q1. Easing is expected in August, and base case a 1.5-year destock.
  • The name carries some risks trading at 7x PE FY25 (March end), but it could be one to watch in case the 65-62 spread widens.

💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars



Daily Brief Singapore: Genting Singapore and more

By | Daily Briefs, Singapore

In today’s briefing:

  • Real estate directors building up their company stakes


Real estate directors building up their company stakes

By Geoff Howie

  • Institutions were net sellers of Singapore stocks over the five trading sessions through to Jun 6, with S$106.8 million of net institutional outflow, as 17 primary-listed companies conducted buybacks with a total consideration of S$55.8 million.
  • Leading the net institutional outflow over the five sessions were City Developments Ltd, Seatrium, Mapletree Logistics Trust, Mapletree Pan Asia Commercial Trust, Genting Singapore , Jardine Cycle & Carriage, NetLink NBN Trust, Golden Agri-Resources, Venture Corporation and Raffles Medical Group.
  • With a consideration of S$315,000, this increased his total interest in the regional premium real estate group from 74.86 to 74.97 per cent.

💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars



Daily Brief United States: NVIDIA Corp, KKR & Co, Gold, Abbvie Inc, Bitcoin, BioLine RX , Air Lease Corp, POET Technologies and more

By | Daily Briefs, United States

In today’s briefing:

  • Splits Amplify Stock Prices & Stoke Volatility; What Next for NVIDIA After Upsetting the Apple Cart?
  • Jun24 S&P 500/400/600 Index Rebal – Both More and Less Interesting Than You Think, But 3 Big Buys
  • Why China loves Gold & a Beautiful Setup in Bitcoin
  • Abbvie Inc – Regenerative Healthcare – Stem Cells & ALS Thematic 10062024
  • Crypto Crisp: How Much of the Bitcoin ETF Inflow Comes from Basis Trading?
  • BLRX: First Quarter 2024 Results
  • Air Lease Corp (AL) – Monday, Mar 11, 2024
  • POET Emerges as Pure Play AI Hardware Company Solidified By Foxconn Interconnect Technology (FIT) Deal


Splits Amplify Stock Prices & Stoke Volatility; What Next for NVIDIA After Upsetting the Apple Cart?

By Uttkarsh Kohli

  • Firms that split their shares show an avg. return of +25.4% one year after split. That’s more than 2x the average return of the S&P 500 during those periods. 
  • Critically, returns post stock splits are mainly seen from announcement to actual split date. Mega caps have shown 9.3% absolute returns 12 months post split. Be cautious of misleading averages.
  • On relative terms (v/s S&P500) price returns were down 6.3% 12-months after stock splits. All splits generated negative returns except for Tesla in 2020.

Jun24 S&P 500/400/600 Index Rebal – Both More and Less Interesting Than You Think, But 3 Big Buys

By Travis Lundy

  • On Friday, the S&P index committee announced the June 2024 changes to the three major indices in the S&P1500 universe. 
  • KKR, Crowdstrike (CRWD), and GoDaddy (GDDY) replace Robert Half (RHI), Comerica (CMA), and Illumina (ILMN) in the S&P500. There are 6 ADDs to S&PMidCap400, 13 DELETEs from Sm600. 
  • There are some BIG and impactful flows here. Some are very big. Netted 2-way flow on 21 June is ~US$66-80bn. But as always, details matter. 

Why China loves Gold & a Beautiful Setup in Bitcoin

By The Commodity Report

  • Unpredictable Corn Supply from South America The grain supply from South America, especially corn, is among the most unpredictable globally.
  • During the 2022-23 season, Argentina’s corn production dropped by nearly 29% due to drought, but then surged by 26% in the 2023-24 season, influenced by the El Niño phenomenon.
  • Similarly, favorable weather conditions boosted Brazil’s corn production by approximately 17% in 2022-23. However, in 2023-24, it declined by 16% due to varying weather patterns.

Abbvie Inc – Regenerative Healthcare – Stem Cells & ALS Thematic 10062024

By ACF Equity Research

  • Regenerative medicine remains an extremely exciting area of healthcare with vast investment potential.
  • In spite of the usual setbacks in valuation and strategy, the sub-sector has pivoted and the market remains innovative and attracts investment capital.
  • Rather than replace entire tissues, which is a complex activity, we believe the immediate future for stem cells is more likely to be in the successful stimulation of the bodies on repair mechanisms.

Crypto Crisp: How Much of the Bitcoin ETF Inflow Comes from Basis Trading?

By Mads Eberhardt

  • Here is to another week in crypto, following an exceptionally strong performance for U.S.-based Bitcoin spot ETFs last week.
  • Over the five trading sessions, these Bitcoin spot ETFs saw total net inflows of $1.829 billion.
  • Last Tuesday was particularly notable, with the ETFs experiencing their second-best day since their launch on January 11, bringing in a net inflow of $887 million.

BLRX: First Quarter 2024 Results

By Zacks Small Cap Research

  • BioLineRx is a commercial stage biopharmaceutical company with a development portfolio advancing motixafortide, a platform molecule targeting indications in stem cell mobilization (SCM) & in the treatment of advanced pancreatic cancer.
  • The candidate is approved in the US for SCM and is undergoing studies for use in gene therapy and in pancreatic cancer.
  • Partner Gloria Biosciences is developing motixafortide in Asia & is expected to be conducting bridging studies in the near term for SCM and longer-term studies for other indications.

Air Lease Corp (AL) – Monday, Mar 11, 2024

By Value Investors Club

  • AL provides airlines with flexibility in fleet planning and finance
  • Recent challenges such as the Boeing 737 Max grounding and global pandemic have impacted AL’s financial performance
  • AL is well-positioned for future growth and improvement in returns due to strong management, diverse aircraft portfolio, positive industry trends, lower interest rates, and self-help initiatives.

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


POET Emerges as Pure Play AI Hardware Company Solidified By Foxconn Interconnect Technology (FIT) Deal

By Zacks Small Cap Research

  • POET Technologies is a startup disrupting the photonics industry with a new technology that eliminates parts of an optical transceiver and replaces them with a single integrated device which is smaller, cheaper, faster, more scalable and with much lower power consumption than the current solutions.
  • It has a $50M joint venture with Sanan IC to make and sell optical engines to data centers and telecom.
  • Its solution can be produced at wafer scale, eliminating costly manual steps, and allowing it to be easily produced in large quantities and at low cost.

💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars



Daily Brief China: MINISO Group Holding , CPMC Holdings, Lalatech Holdings Co Ltd, Minieye Technology, China Jinmao Holdings and more

By | China, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • Smartkarma Corporate Webinar | Miniso: Leveraging China’s Manufacturing Capacity for the Global Market
  • CPMC Holdings (906.HK) – ORG Can’t Afford to Lose, But Baosteel Is a Step Ahead
  • CPMC Holdings (906 HK): Will Baowu Raise the Offer Price After ORG?
  • Lalatech IPO: Using YMM:US as Main Comp, Equity Valuation of US$11-12 Bn (Or More) Justifiable
  • Minieye Technology Pre-IPO Tearsheet
  • Morning Views Asia: China Jinmao Holdings


Smartkarma Corporate Webinar | Miniso: Leveraging China’s Manufacturing Capacity for the Global Market

By Smartkarma Research

For our next Corporate Webinar, we are glad to welcome Miniso Group Holding Limited’s Investor Relation Specialist, Ms. Allis-Yueling Chen. 

In the upcoming webinar, Allis will share a short company presentation after which, she will engage in a fireside chat with Smartkarma Insight Provider, Eric Wen. The Corporate Webinar will include a live Q&A session.

The Corporate Webinar will be hosted on Thursday, 20 June 2024, 16:00 SGT.

About Miniso Group Holding Limited

Miniso Group Holding Limited is a global value retailer offering a variety of trendy lifestyle products featuring IP design. Since Miniso Group opened its first store in China in 2013, they have successfully incubated two brands, “MINISO” and “TOP TOY”. The flagship brand “MINISO” is a globally recognized retail brand and have established a store network worldwide of 6,630 stores in more than 200 countries. The flagship brand “MINISO” offers a frequently-refreshed assortment of lifestyle products covering diverse consumer needs, and consumers are attracted to their products’ trendiness, creativeness, high quality and affordability.


CPMC Holdings (906.HK) – ORG Can’t Afford to Lose, But Baosteel Is a Step Ahead

By Xinyao (Criss) Wang

  • Baosteel’s SOE background helps bring more advantages- This deal is a consolidation of assets under SASAC, which may involve some strategic intent at national level. Baosteel has an upper hand. 
  • ORG cannot afford to fail considering the strategic significance of CMPC for ORG. Major shareholder of CPMC Zhang Wei has picked ORG side, making it maintain the hope of winning.
  • For arbitrageurs, the good news is CPMC would be acquired by either Changping Industrial or ORG, with high certainty.Baosteel is also worth watching since it could be a new leader. 

CPMC Holdings (906 HK): Will Baowu Raise the Offer Price After ORG?

By Osbert Tang, CFA

  • With ORG offering a 4.9% higher price and securing Zhang Wei’s acceptance, the ball is now back in Baowu’s hands. Good reasons exist for Baowu to raise its offer price. 
  • Baowu’s subsidiary Shanghai Baosteel Packaging-A (601968 CH) needs CPMC Holdings (906 HK) more than ORG, given its smaller market share and weaker profitability.
  • At ORG’s offer price, CPMC’s PERs for FY24 and FY25 of 15.4x and 14.2x are cheaper than Baosteel Packaging’s 22x and 18.7x. This gives additional justifications for a higher offer. 

Lalatech IPO: Using YMM:US as Main Comp, Equity Valuation of US$11-12 Bn (Or More) Justifiable

By Daniel Hellberg

  • Based on returns and margins, US-listed Full Truck Alliance is best comp
  • Lalatech probably deserves premium valuation multiples vs Full Truck Alliance 
  • An equity valuation of US$11bn+ justifiable; will investors look at recent flops?

Minieye Technology Pre-IPO Tearsheet

By Clarence Chu

  • Minieye Technology (1426169D CH) is looking to raise US$150m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO. The bookrunners on the deal are Citic Securities and CICC.
  • Minieye Technology (Minieye) is an intelligent driving and cabin solutions provider in China, offering solutions for critical aspects of the driving experience, including piloting, parking and in-cabin functions.
  • Providing Level 0-Level 2++ intelligent driving solutions that are full-stack in-house developed and proven by mass production, the firm has also been developing advanced Level 4 autonomous driving technologies.

Morning Views Asia: China Jinmao Holdings

By Leonard Law, CFA

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.


💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars



Daily Brief India: Patel Engineering, InterGlobe Aviation Ltd, Suzlon Energy, Concord Biotech Ltd and more

By | Daily Briefs, India

In today’s briefing:

  • The Beat Ideas- Patel Engineering: Turnaround Play?
  • Interglobe Aviation : Block Deal Trade Special Situations and Tactical Trade Strategy
  • Suzlon Independent Director Resignation Raises Concerns and Reiterates Past CG Issues
  • Concord Biotech Ltd (CONCORDB IN): Accelerated Growth Ahead; Recent Pullback Comforted Valuation


The Beat Ideas- Patel Engineering: Turnaround Play?

By Sudarshan Bhandari

  • Patel Engineering (PEC IN) ‘s large order book, strategic sectors focus, and successful debt reduction through QIP and restructuring.
  • Strong financial resilience, projected revenue growth, and robust order pipeline signal promising future prospects.
  • Poised for growth strong order pipeline and increased government focus on Infrastructure, Hydro Power segment and Irrigation segment.

Interglobe Aviation : Block Deal Trade Special Situations and Tactical Trade Strategy

By Nimish Maheshwari

  • Impending block deals which generally create supply over-hang on the stock leads to a negative impact on the stock.
  • These block deals generally include selling promoters and big funds at a price discount to its current market price.
  • Historically, such events suggest once the block deal is done; stock reacts positively creating a Special Situation Opportunity

Suzlon Independent Director Resignation Raises Concerns and Reiterates Past CG Issues

By Nimish Maheshwari

  • Independent Director’s resignation highlights the lack of strong corporate governance practices within Suzlon. 
  • Suzlon Energy’s response to the outgoing director’s concerns demonstrates a willingness to address issues and make necessary changes to enhance corporate governance.
  • Though it does not raise concerns on any financial irregularities and legal violation but resolution of issues remains a key event to watch for.

Concord Biotech Ltd (CONCORDB IN): Accelerated Growth Ahead; Recent Pullback Comforted Valuation

By Tina Banerjee

  • Concord Biotech Ltd (CONCORDB IN) reported 19% revenue growth in FY24. EBITDA and PAT grew at a faster pace of 26% and 28%, YoY, respectively.  
  • With focus on deeper market penetration, acquiring new customers, and introducing new products in niche categories, Concord is well-positioned for 25% revenue CAGR in 3–5 years.
  • Despite a huge run-up from the IPO price, Concord shares are trading at forward P/E of 38.9x, which is lower than peers.

💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars



Daily Brief Japan: Sun Corp, Marui Group, AViC and more

By | Daily Briefs, Japan

In today’s briefing:

  • Unsolicited Partial Offer for 19% of Sun Corp (6736 JP) – Play on Cellebrite from SPAC Sponsor
  • Sun Corporation (6736 JP): True Wind’s Hostile Partial Offer
  • Marui: A Data Mining Dream Coming True
  • avic (9554 Jp) – 2Q Follow Up


Unsolicited Partial Offer for 19% of Sun Corp (6736 JP) – Play on Cellebrite from SPAC Sponsor

By Travis Lundy

  • Sun Corp (6736 JP) for years has been a play on its investment holding in Cellebrite DI (CLBT US), brought to market in a $2.4bn SPAC deal announced 30Aug2021.  
  • The SPAC entity was an entity called TWC Tech Holdings II Corp (TWC = “True Wind Capital”). The next day, Cellebrite DI (CLBT US) was born, trading up to US$11.00+.
  • Sun Corp (6736 JP)‘s value realisation path had begun. Today, a True Winds entity announced a Partial Tender Offer – unsolicited, unannounced previously – on Sun Corp, for 19.0%.

Sun Corporation (6736 JP): True Wind’s Hostile Partial Offer

By Arun George

  • True Wind has launched a hostile partial tender offer for Sun Corp (6736 JP) for a minimum (3.8m) and maximum (4.2m) shares at JPY4,400, 19.2% premium to the undisturbed price.
  • The offer was prompted by frustration with the Board’s lack of urgency in closing the disparity between Sun Corp’s market cap and the value of its Cellebrite DI (CLBT US) stake.
  • The Board has three options: do nothing (low probability), find a white knight bidder (high probability), or commit to selling/distributing its Cellebrite stake (medium probability).

Marui: A Data Mining Dream Coming True

By Michael Causton

  • While Marui’s credit card business now has in excess of ¥4 trillion in GTVs, its shopping buildings are also doing outperforming the mall sector.
  • Sales for all 22 buildings rose 14.5% last year but as much as 24% at some buildings.
  • This is the result of new tenants, more services and better marketing based on vast in-house data sources. This data-mining capability will get better and is unique to Marui.

avic (9554 Jp) – 2Q Follow Up

By Sessa Investment Research

  • AViC upwardly revised its full-year FY24/9 earnings forecast at the time of its 1H earnings announcement, demonstrating renewed and accelerated growth after recovering from the temporary slowdown in growth caused by business conditions and funding difficulties among startups and other emerging companies in FY23/9.
  • While many of its competitors are showing sluggish business performance, the Company has been able to pursue growth on its own by committing to improving both client advertising efficiency and in-house productivity through meticulous and data-driven business operations as well as executing its fast-paced Plan-Do-Check-Act (PDCA) cycle.
  • Meanwhile, its share price has not risen in line with the boost in EPS, with the latest P/E ratio hovering around 20x based on the revised earnings forecast.

💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars



Daily Brief Energy/Materials: CPMC Holdings, Iron Ore, Gold, Pulsar Helium, Scorpio Tankers, Zephyr Energy and more

By | Daily Briefs, Energy & Materials Sector

In today’s briefing:

  • CPMC Holdings (906.HK) – ORG Can’t Afford to Lose, But Baosteel Is a Step Ahead
  • CPMC Holdings (906 HK): Will Baowu Raise the Offer Price After ORG?
  • Champion Iron (CIA AU): Q4 Results Update and Future Outlook
  • Why China loves Gold & a Beautiful Setup in Bitcoin
  • Pulsar Helium Inc. (TSX-V: PLSR)
  • Scorpio Tankers Inc (STNG) – Monday, Mar 11, 2024
  • Zephyr Energy Plc (AIM: ZPHR): Spotless Execution at Twinning of High Impact Well.


CPMC Holdings (906.HK) – ORG Can’t Afford to Lose, But Baosteel Is a Step Ahead

By Xinyao (Criss) Wang

  • Baosteel’s SOE background helps bring more advantages- This deal is a consolidation of assets under SASAC, which may involve some strategic intent at national level. Baosteel has an upper hand. 
  • ORG cannot afford to fail considering the strategic significance of CMPC for ORG. Major shareholder of CPMC Zhang Wei has picked ORG side, making it maintain the hope of winning.
  • For arbitrageurs, the good news is CPMC would be acquired by either Changping Industrial or ORG, with high certainty.Baosteel is also worth watching since it could be a new leader. 

CPMC Holdings (906 HK): Will Baowu Raise the Offer Price After ORG?

By Osbert Tang, CFA

  • With ORG offering a 4.9% higher price and securing Zhang Wei’s acceptance, the ball is now back in Baowu’s hands. Good reasons exist for Baowu to raise its offer price. 
  • Baowu’s subsidiary Shanghai Baosteel Packaging-A (601968 CH) needs CPMC Holdings (906 HK) more than ORG, given its smaller market share and weaker profitability.
  • At ORG’s offer price, CPMC’s PERs for FY24 and FY25 of 15.4x and 14.2x are cheaper than Baosteel Packaging’s 22x and 18.7x. This gives additional justifications for a higher offer. 

Champion Iron (CIA AU): Q4 Results Update and Future Outlook

By Sameer Taneja

  • Champion Iron (CIA AU) reported an inline result for FY24, with revenue/profits up 9%/16% YoY.  Q4 revenue/profits were -28%YoY/-73%YoY due to lower pricing on 60% of volumes in transit. 
  • The company-guided production volumes have reached the annualized 15 mnt mark, but logistics continued to be challenging in Q1. Easing is expected in August, and base case a 1.5-year destock.
  • The name carries some risks trading at 7x PE FY25 (March end), but it could be one to watch in case the 65-62 spread widens.

Why China loves Gold & a Beautiful Setup in Bitcoin

By The Commodity Report

  • Unpredictable Corn Supply from South America The grain supply from South America, especially corn, is among the most unpredictable globally.
  • During the 2022-23 season, Argentina’s corn production dropped by nearly 29% due to drought, but then surged by 26% in the 2023-24 season, influenced by the El Niño phenomenon.
  • Similarly, favorable weather conditions boosted Brazil’s corn production by approximately 17% in 2022-23. However, in 2023-24, it declined by 16% due to varying weather patterns.

Pulsar Helium Inc. (TSX-V: PLSR)

By Auctus Advisors

  • The Jetstream # 1 appraisal well has been tested at a rate of up to 0.8 mmcf/d with helium concentration of 8.7%-14.5%.
  • The flow rate initially reached 0.15 mmcf/d with flowing tubing head pressure of 34 psi. The bottom hole pressure was 162 psi.
  • A compressor was then installed at the well head to reduce the flowing tubing head pressure to 20 psi, thereby increasing the difference between the flowing pressure and the reservoir pressure.

Scorpio Tankers Inc (STNG) – Monday, Mar 11, 2024

By Value Investors Club

  • Author discusses investment in STNG for over-earning potential and short-term catalyst
  • Mentions other stocks like VAL, TDW, and TNK in oil & gas industry
  • Believes STNG stock price won’t fall significantly and discusses intrinsic value in comparison to bitcoin volatility through haiku

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


Zephyr Energy Plc (AIM: ZPHR): Spotless Execution at Twinning of High Impact Well.

By Auctus Advisors

  • The State 36-2R well has reached TD.
  • The well penetrated a folded and naturally fractured section of the Cane Creek reservoir, encountering drilling mud gas shows of a similar magnitude to the original well.
  • Pore pressure analysis suggests formation pressures estimated at approximately 9,300 psi (which is broadly consistent with previously drilled offset wells).

💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars