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Daily Briefs

Daily Brief TMT/Internet: Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) – ADR, Core Scientific, Salesforce.Com Inc, SmartRent, Instructure Holdings , BigCommerce Holdings, Solid State PLC, DXC Technology Co and more

By | Daily Briefs, TMT/Internet

In today’s briefing:

  • Taiwan Tech Weekly: Apple Unveils New AI Capabilities at WDC; PC Makers Feel the Love from Chip CEOs
  • Core Scientific Rejects The CoreWeave Unsolicited Offer But What Value Could They Be Expecting? What Makes Them So Attractive? – Financial Forecasts
  • Tech Supply Chain Tracker (12-Jun-2024): AI aids sustainability but poses environmental challenges.
  • SmartRent Exploring A Potential Sale! – Strategic Expansion in Community WiFi Solutions & 3 Other Factors Making It An Attractive Acquisition Target! – Financial Forecasts
  • Instructure Inc. – Special Report
  • BigCommerce Holdings – Special M&A Report – What Valuation Can It Extract In The Event Of A Potential Acquisition? – Financial Forecasts
  • Solid State: Compounding Shareholder Capital in Industries with High Regulatory Barriers to Entry
  • DXC Technology Company – Special M&A Report – What Would Be A Fair Offer From Kyndryl & Apollo? – Financial Forecasts


Taiwan Tech Weekly: Apple Unveils New AI Capabilities at WDC; PC Makers Feel the Love from Chip CEOs

By Vincent Fernando, CFA

  • Apple Announces New AI Features at WDC; Shares Surge to New All-Time Highs
  • Top Movers: Major Computex Exhibitors See Share Prices Fall Despite Strong Presence
  • Computex 2024: Chip Companies Notably Competing to Win PC Makers

Core Scientific Rejects The CoreWeave Unsolicited Offer But What Value Could They Be Expecting? What Makes Them So Attractive? – Financial Forecasts

By Baptista Research

  • Core Scientific, a leading entity in the cryptocurrency mining and data center sector, has recently positioned itself as a pivotal player in the evolving digital infrastructure landscape.
  • The firm reported robust financials for the first quarter of Fiscal Year 2024, showcasing significant growth and operational efficiency.
  • Notably, Core Scientific rejected an unsolicited acquisition proposal from CoreWeave, an event that merits analysis concerning its impact on shareholder value and corporate strategy.

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (12-Jun-2024): AI aids sustainability but poses environmental challenges.

By Tech Supply Chain Tracker

  • AI technology is driving sustainability efforts while posing environmental risks, as discussed by Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang at London Tech Week 2024.
  • AI is revolutionizing computing and task optimization through advanced PCs and architectures, with AMD CEO predicting its dominance in the future and emphasizing Taiwan’s crucial role in the tech industry.
  • Google is investing $5 billion in expanding its Singapore Data Center and Cloud Region campus, Apple is introducing VisionOS for spatial computing, and the UK is seeking Taiwanese partnerships for high-tech collaborations, while also focusing on privacy with Apple Intelligence at WWDC.

SmartRent Exploring A Potential Sale! – Strategic Expansion in Community WiFi Solutions & 3 Other Factors Making It An Attractive Acquisition Target! – Financial Forecasts

By Baptista Research

  • SmartRent has provided a noteworthy set of results for the first quarter of 2024, accompanied by the company’s initiative of exploring a potential sale.
  • In the recent report, SmartRent disclosed a revenue for the quarter amounting to $50.5 million, with $12 million attributable to SaaS (Software as a Service) recurring revenue products, representing a year-over-year increase of 32%.
  • This growth is largely driven by the scaling of total deployed units and new gains from cross-selling strategies, demonstrating an effective execution of their business and product expansion strategy.

Instructure Inc. – Special Report

By Baptista Research

  • Instructure’s latest financial performance presents a nuanced picture for potential investors and acquirers, reflecting both strengths and challenges.
  • The company, anchored by its market-leading Canvas Learning Management System (LMS) in North America, reported robust first-quarter results.
  • Total revenue reached $155.5 million, marking a 20.7% year-over-year increase, with organic constant currency revenue growth at 6.8%.

BigCommerce Holdings – Special M&A Report – What Valuation Can It Extract In The Event Of A Potential Acquisition? – Financial Forecasts

By Baptista Research

  • BigCommerce has made notable strides in improving its business model and focusing on efficient revenue growth, particularly in the first quarter of 2024.
  • As expressed by the company’s CEO, Brent Bellm, and CFO, Daniel Lentz, on their latest financial results, BigCommerce reported a 12% year-over-year revenue increase to approximately $80 million.
  • This growth combined with an adjusted EBITDA of just over $4 million, indicating a trajectory towards sustainable profitability.

Solid State: Compounding Shareholder Capital in Industries with High Regulatory Barriers to Entry

By Contrarian Cashflows

  • Solid State (SOLI) is a British electronics manufacturer and distributor specializing in mission-critical components and systems for industries with high regulatory barriers.

  • The founding families still lead the company, owning over 13% of outstanding shares. Since 2010, the CEO has driven annual sales and EPS growth of 18%.

  • Despite this strong track record, the shares trade at a normalized 7.3% owner earnings yield and an 11.1 adj. EV/EBIT.


DXC Technology Company – Special M&A Report – What Would Be A Fair Offer From Kyndryl & Apollo? – Financial Forecasts

By Baptista Research

  • DXC Technology reported its financial results for the fourth quarter of the fiscal year 2024, displaying a mixed performance amidst challenging market conditions.
  • Total revenue experienced a decline of 5% on a constant currency basis, outpacing expectations slightly but reflecting broader industry and economic challenges.
  • The adjusted EBIT margin decreased by 50 basis points year over-year to 8.4%, indicating pressure on profitability despite efforts to optimize costs.

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Daily Brief Health Care: Jeisys Medical, Medical Data Vision, Sciclone Pharmaceuticals, Hugel Inc, BrainStorm Cell Therapeutics I, Scilex Holding and more

By | Daily Briefs, Healthcare

In today’s briefing:

  • Jeisys Medical (287410 KS): Archimed’s Delisting Offer
  • Medical Data Vision (3902) – SBI Upping Their Stake AGAIN In The Market
  • Sciclone Pharmaceuticals (6600.HK) Privatization Update – Some “Unstable Factors” During Voting
  • Hugel Inc (145020 KS): Favorable Court Ruling Paves US Entry; Record High 1Q Sales
  • BrainStorm Cell Therapeutics (BCLI) Initiation 11062024
  • SCLX: Product Gets FDA Approval and Hits Market


Jeisys Medical (287410 KS): Archimed’s Delisting Offer

By David Blennerhassett

  • Aesthetic laser maker Jeisys Medical (287410 KS) has announced French PE outfit Archimed SAS is seeking to delist the company.
  • Archimed intends to acquire 72% of Jeisys at ₩13,000, a 20.82% premium to undisturbed. Archimed has also inked agreements with founders/directors for 26.44%, taking its possible % acquisition to 98.44%. 
  • A Korean medical device maker – not another Eoflow (294090 KS)?! Jeisys did face a patent infringement case from Syneron Medical (ELOS US) in 2018; but since resolved. 

Medical Data Vision (3902) – SBI Upping Their Stake AGAIN In The Market

By Travis Lundy

  • Today after the close, SBI Holdings (8473 JP) – which currently owns 32.4% of Medical Data Vision (3902 JP) – announced it would buy another 1.91mm shares over 7mos.
  • This market purchase would lift them to ~37.4% by year-end. Interestingly, they plan to go through the one-third level without a Tender Offer. But their buying history hasn’t been great. 
  • SBI bought 20% in 2020. It fell by half. They bought another 5%. Then it dropped 50%, so they bought another 5%. Now -25% so they are buying another 5%.

Sciclone Pharmaceuticals (6600.HK) Privatization Update – Some “Unstable Factors” During Voting

By Xinyao (Criss) Wang

  • Some shareholders have confirmed to be acting in concert at the Court Meeting, but long-term investors may vote against the privatization because they are not satisfied with the Cancellation Price.
  • The success rate of SciClone’s privatization is lower than that of China TCM and L’Occitane. If fails, there’s a high probability that the share price will fall back to HK$14/share.
  • The current share price cannot provide decent returns. Together with exchange rate risk, potential failure risks, etc., there’s no need for investors to take risks at this share price level.

Hugel Inc (145020 KS): Favorable Court Ruling Paves US Entry; Record High 1Q Sales

By Tina Banerjee

  • Hugel Inc (145020 KS) got favorable preliminary ruling in US for its litigation with Medytox. The ruling revealed that the competitor’s claim of strain theft by Hugel is baseless.  
  • In March, Hugel received FDA approval for BTX product, Letybo in US. The company plans to launch Letybo in 2H24, while final ruling for the litigation is scheduled in October.
  • As BTX and HA filler grew steadily in domestic and overseas markets, 1Q24 sales grew 15% YoY to KRW74.3B, achieving the highest ever performance in the first quarter.

BrainStorm Cell Therapeutics (BCLI) Initiation 11062024

By ACF Equity Research

  • BrainStorm Cell Therapeutics Inc. (Nasdaq: BCLI, Biotech) is focused on developing autologous mesenchymal stem cell (MSC) therapies for the treatment of neurodegenerative diseases (NDDs) – BCLI’s primary target is the fatal amyotrophic lateral sclerosis (ALS/MND/Lou Gehrig’s).
  • Post hoc analysis of BCLI’s PIII trial data shows BCLI’s NurOwn® (debamestrocel, MSC-NTF), has statistically significant clinical effects on early-stage ALS sufferers and that placebo trialists deteriorate faster.
  • Peer reviewed research (Mar 2024) indicated that BCLI’s NurOwn® has a positive impact on NfL biomarkers for ALS.

SCLX: Product Gets FDA Approval and Hits Market

By Zacks Small Cap Research

  • SCLX is filling a much-needed area of the health care sector, that of developing non-opioid pain relief products.
  • The company already has commercialized products that are proven to improve patients’ lives.
  • The company recently added to its important line on non-opioid drugs by announcing the FDA approved the commercial manufacturing of Gloperba and that the product is being stocked in many national pharmacy chains and independent pharmacies.

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Daily Brief Industrials: Keisei Electric Railway Co, GFL Environmental and more

By | Daily Briefs, Industrials

In today’s briefing:

  • [JAPAN ACTIVISM] Palliser Gets ISS/GL Nods for Keisei AGM Proposals – How Will The Swing Vote Swing?
  • GFL Environmental – Why Is It An Attractive M&A Target Amidst The Current Market Frenzy & At What Valuation? – Financial Forecasts


[JAPAN ACTIVISM] Palliser Gets ISS/GL Nods for Keisei AGM Proposals – How Will The Swing Vote Swing?

By Travis Lundy

  • In Oct2023, activist Palliser Capital launched a campaign on well-known “stub trade” Keisei Electric Railway Co (9009 JP) (1.6% stake). The proposal? Monetise OLC, invest for growth, be shareholder friendly.
  • Keisei responded 3+mos ago: buyback and 1% OLC stake sale but said OLC would remain an equity affiliate. Palliser re-engaged in late April (Japanese/English and two AGM agenda items). Keisei objected.
  • Palliser made their case, Glass Lewis and ISS support Palliser. Palliser likely cannot win. The goal here isn’t to win though. It is to get enough to raise management consciousness. 

GFL Environmental – Why Is It An Attractive M&A Target Amidst The Current Market Frenzy & At What Valuation? – Financial Forecasts

By Baptista Research

  • GFL Environmental Inc., having begun the year with strong performance, has reported first quarter results that exceeded expectations, driven by robust execution and strategic growth initiatives.
  • The company showcases a balanced approach between organic growth and strategic acquisitions, which could attract potential suitors, considering the company is exploring sales options.
  • GFL Environmental’s Q1 revenue reached $1.8 billion, a 6.5% increase year-over-year, driven by better-than anticipated pricing and volume adjustments.

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Daily Brief Consumer: Samsonite, Bapcor Ltd, Fast Retailing, Samyang Foods, New Gonow Recreational Vehicles, Wardwizard Innovations & Mobility, SSI Group Inc, Cuckoo Holdings, S&P 500 INDEX and more

By | Consumer, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • Samsonite (1910 HK):  Time To Revisit After >20% Pullback + Just Announced Share Buyback
  • Bapcor (BAP AU): Bain’s Opportunistic A$5.40 Offer
  • Fast Retailing (9983) | Positive Q3 Outlook, but Priced In
  • Korean Food Goes Global
  • Bapcor (BAP AU): Bain Kicks Some Tyres
  • New Gonow Recreational Vehicles Pre-IPO Tearsheet
  • Wardwizard Innovations: Promoter Dumped Stake Under the Billion Dollar Illusion
  • Ssi Group (SSI PM) – Tuesday, Mar 12, 2024
  • Cuckoo Holdings (192400) – Tuesday, Mar 12, 2024
  • Weekly Compass – Mixed Signals, Reasons for Caution


Samsonite (1910 HK):  Time To Revisit After >20% Pullback + Just Announced Share Buyback

By Steve Zhou, CFA

  • Samsonite is similar to another HK-listed company that I have written extensively about, L’Occitane (973 HK), in that they are both western brands selling globally but somehow listed on HKSE.  
  • The company announced a share buyback program this morning.  The company targets to repurchase up to USD200m, which is around 4.3% of the total shares outstanding.
  • With the announcement of the share buyback plan, it offers an attractive entry point for the stock, as I like the fundamentals of the company and the valuation is cheap. 

Bapcor (BAP AU): Bain’s Opportunistic A$5.40 Offer

By Arun George

  • In response to media speculation, Bapcor Ltd (BAP AU) disclosed an indicative non-binding proposal from Bain Capital at A$5.40 per share, a 23.9% premium to the last close.
  • The offer is opportunistically timed to take advantage of the share price collapse precipitating from the profit warning on 2 May. 
  • The offer is unattractive. Several substantial shareholders and a high retail base suggest Bain needs to bump. Bain’s offer could also draw other suitors. 

Fast Retailing (9983) | Positive Q3 Outlook, but Priced In

By Mark Chadwick

  • Fast Retailing is due to report Q3 results on 11 July. We update our views on the outlook for the stock heading into the announcement.
  • Uniqlo Japan has already released monthly sales data for the March to May quarter. Performance in May was again strong, slightly surpassing our estimates
  • We maintain our full year earnings estimates. The stock has declined by around 6% since Q2 results, but remains fully valued.

Korean Food Goes Global

By Douglas Kim

  • One of the key themes this year that has worked well has been Korean food & beverage stocks that have significantly outperformed KOSPI. 
  • Some of the best selling Korean foods (especially overseas) include Samyang Foods’ instant noodles, CJ Seafood’s seaweed products, and Wooyang’s frozen gimbab. 
  • We prefer a basket approach to investing in Korean F&B stocks. A basket of top 10 F&B stocks in Korea has outperformed the market YTD and this outperformance could continue.

Bapcor (BAP AU): Bain Kicks Some Tyres

By David Blennerhassett

  • Back in February 2022, automotive aftermarket parts provider Bapcor Ltd (BAP AU) was  reportedly subject to multiple buyout proposals. BGH Capital, Quadrant, and Pacific Equity Partners were touted.
  • That all came to nought. Shares drifted sideways. Then down. Shares touched a four year low late last month.
  • After the incoming CEO had a change of heart, and weaker FY24E guidance, Bain has now tabled a cheeky A$5.40/share indicative Offer. That won’t fly; but value is evidently emerging. 

New Gonow Recreational Vehicles Pre-IPO Tearsheet

By Clarence Chu

  • New Gonow Recreational Vehicles (NGRV HK) is looking to raise US$100m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO. The bookrunner on the deal is Huatai International.
  • New Gonow Recreational Vehicles (NGRV) is a recreational vehicle (RV) platform with an extensive presence in Australasia that designs, develops, manufactures and sells bespoke towable RVs.
  • According to Frost & Sullivan (F&S), the firm held the second-largest market share in Australasia’s RV industry in terms of 2023 sales volume.

Wardwizard Innovations: Promoter Dumped Stake Under the Billion Dollar Illusion

By Nimish Maheshwari

  • The billion-dollar order that had initially seemed like a game-changer for Wardwizard Innovations turned out to be its downfall as it happens to be a Non Binding MoU. 
  • While for an INR 300 crore revenue company billion dollar order was huge, hence stock price rose on the back of rosy picture.
  • Promoter used the situation to dump the shares via stake sale as the news of order led to 20% rise in the stock price which eventually raises Corporate Governance Concerns

Ssi Group (SSI PM) – Tuesday, Mar 12, 2024

By Value Investors Club

  • SSI grew and expanded, but underwent restructuring after market downturn in 2015
  • Share price has not fully reflected improved fundamentals post-restructuring
  • Undervalued at P$3.8 per share, with fair value estimate of P$10 per share, offering 160% potential upside for investors

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


Cuckoo Holdings (192400) – Tuesday, Mar 12, 2024

By Value Investors Club

  • Cuckoo Holdings is known for its high-quality rice cookers popular among Asians, particularly Koreans
  • Stock price of the company has increased due to its success, with dividends rising from 800 to 1,100 per share
  • South Korea’s “value-up” program may further boost the company’s growth and attract more investors as the importance of rice in Korean cuisine creates a strong market for its products

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


Weekly Compass – Mixed Signals, Reasons for Caution

By Joe Jasper

  • The U.S. dollar has staged a false breakdown and is now on the cusp of a reversal.
  • False breakdown on 10-yr yield at the critical 4.35% level. Simply put, higher yields tend to pressure the equity markets.
  • IWM breaking to new RS lows, violating 7-month RS support. Quality related names continue to be leadership within the market, and Technology continues to dominate relative performance.

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Daily Brief Financials: Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200, Atour Lifestyle Holdings, Aozora Bank Ltd, Judo Capital, Rakuten Bank, China Merchants China Direct Investments, Housing and Urban Development Corporation Limited, Bitcoin Pro, Bakkt and more

By | Daily Briefs, Financials

In today’s briefing:

  • Korea’s Finalized Short-Selling Rules Include Limiting 90-Day Short Position Extensions
  • Atour Lifestyle Holdings Placement – Well Flagged Deal, past Selldowns Have Done Well
  • Daiwa to Buy More Aozora (8304) Shares – Murakami-San Escapes
  • ASX200 Index Adhoc Rebalance: Judo Capital to Replace CSR; Positioning Appears Light
  • Rakuten Bank (5838 JP) – The Bank in Current Form and the Promise of FinTech Reorganization
  • CMCDI (133 HK): AGM Outcome May Provide Another Leg-Up
  • AMFI Stock Reclassification Preview (June 2024): Potential Changes as Momentum Recovers
  • ETF Flows Shine As BTC Flirts With Range Highs
  • Bakkt Holdings Weighing A Potential Sale But Can It Get Acquired? At What Value? – Financial Forecasts


Korea’s Finalized Short-Selling Rules Include Limiting 90-Day Short Position Extensions

By Sanghyun Park

  • The government will announce short selling improvements Thursday. A leaked detail includes limiting 90-day short position extensions.
  • Limiting the 90-day short position holding period may ease local investor concerns, but it could shrink the short selling market, potentially affecting overseas fund outflows.
  • Resuming short selling in early July may bring new flow patterns due to temporary distortions from mandatory repayment within 90 days and limitations on position extensions, increasing price impacts.

Atour Lifestyle Holdings Placement – Well Flagged Deal, past Selldowns Have Done Well

By Sumeet Singh

  • Legend Capital (LC), one of the principal shareholders of Atour Lifestyle Holdings (ATAT US), is looking to raise around US$168m through a secondary selldown.
  • This will be the third selldown by Legend Capital in just over a year’s time. Hence, the deal is well flagged.
  • In this note, we will talk about the placement and run the deal through our ECM framework.

Daiwa to Buy More Aozora (8304) Shares – Murakami-San Escapes

By Travis Lundy

  • In February, Aozora Bank Ltd (8304 JP) extended its writedowns and the shares fell sharply. By end-Feb, we found out Japanese activist Murakami-san had bought shares. 
  • I didn’t see the endgame. The pump worked, but he didn’t dump. Then Aozora got Daiwa to be a lead investor through a 3rd party share allotment, diluting Murakami-san.
  • Last week we got news the FSA had approved the Daiwa transaction. Yesterday, we got news the Murakami Group would sell its whole stake to Daiwa. 

ASX200 Index Adhoc Rebalance: Judo Capital to Replace CSR; Positioning Appears Light

By Brian Freitas


Rakuten Bank (5838 JP) – The Bank in Current Form and the Promise of FinTech Reorganization

By Victor Galliano

  • Rakuten Bank, in its present form, is positioned to benefit from rising interest rates in Japan, with its low LDR, high cash balances, growing loan book and healthy capital ratio
  • The proposed FinTech reorganization of the group around the bank should drive further potential shareholder benefits; higher ROE, lower customer acquisition costs, increased active account penetration and lower operating costs
  • We believe that there will be effective governance checks and balances in place to ensure fair valuations of the FinTech segments pre-reorganization; we include our base valuations in this report

CMCDI (133 HK): AGM Outcome May Provide Another Leg-Up

By David Blennerhassett

  • Activist Argyle Street’s approach to closed-end investment company China Merchants China Direct Investments (133 HK) (CMCDI) has a certain David Webb-like quality.
  • Apart from the deep value angle, the analysis of director Elizabeth Kan’s potential conflict of interest is particularly insightful. Argle will vote against Kan’s re-election at the 20th June AGM
  • Given this upcoming vote, as I’ve done with Giordano (709 HK) and L’Occitane (973 HK) previously, it’s useful to investigate the lesser-known shareholder register, a byproduct of investigative disclosure reports.

AMFI Stock Reclassification Preview (June 2024): Potential Changes as Momentum Recovers

By Brian Freitas

  • We see 7 stocks moving from MidCap to LargeCap and vice versa, 17 stocks from SmallCap to MidCap, 19 stocks from MidCap to SmallCap and 2 new additions to MidCap.
  • The expected migrations from SmallCap to MidCap have outperformed the other potential migrations with all stocks moving higher over the last six months.
  • Momentum on the upward migrations could sustain as active managers reposition their portfolios. Some stocks will have passive flows over the next few months.

ETF Flows Shine As BTC Flirts With Range Highs

By Delphi Digital

  • BTC Spot ETFs see record inflows, signaling strong market interest despite flat prices.
  • Market structure remains bullish as BTC consolidates near all-time highs, indicating potential breakout.
  • Altcoins suffer double-digit drawdowns amid BTC’s resilience, highlighting market dispersion.

Bakkt Holdings Weighing A Potential Sale But Can It Get Acquired? At What Value? – Financial Forecasts

By Baptista Research

  • Bakkt Holdings, a crypto platform company, has recently reported its financial results for the first quarter of 2024, showcasing various strengths and facing some challenges as it explores potential sale opportunities.
  • The CEO emphasized the focus on growing the client network, enhancing the product portfolio, and aligning costs with strategic priorities.
  • The CFO outlined financial details, stressing cost management and asset growth.

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Daily Brief Thematic (Sector/Industry): Ohayo Japan | S&P 500 and Nasdaq Hit New Highs and more

By | Daily Briefs, Thematic (Sector/Industry)

In today’s briefing:

  • Ohayo Japan | S&P 500 and Nasdaq Hit New Highs
  • Computex 2024 & The Drama Of The CoPilot+ PC Launch
  • Thematic Report: Capex Fueling Economic Growth and Development
  • #11 India Insight: GAIL 60000Cr Project, Paytm Layoff, Suzlon CG Issues, Axiscades Drone Order
  • NVIDIA’s $3T Valuation: Absurd Or Not?
  • #15Business Buzz: Noble Acquires Diamond Offshore, Southwest Stock Jumps, Europe Attracts Chinese EV
  • Furniture/Furnishings Weekly – June 10, 2024
  • The Highlights – Cannabis News for the Week Ending June 7, 2024


Ohayo Japan | S&P 500 and Nasdaq Hit New Highs

By Mark Chadwick

  • Nvidia’s 0.8% rise, following its 10-for-1 stock split, and Meta Platforms’ nearly 2% jump propelled the S&P 500’s tech sector up by 0.3%
  • At WWDC24, Apple unveiled major updates, including “Apple Intelligence” AI features across its devices, and integration of OpenAI’s ChatGPT with Siri.
  • Hitachi Energy plans an additional $4.5 billion investment by 2027 to enhance its global manufacturing, R&D, and digital capabilities, doubling its recent three-year investments

Computex 2024 & The Drama Of The CoPilot+ PC Launch

By William Keating

  • Intel, AMD & Qualcomm all lined up in support of Microsoft’s CoPilot+ PC program during the Computex 2024 keynotes last week.  
  • While Qualcomm is all in and AMD mostly too, Intel’s support is more passive agressive in nature. We outline how & why this is the case
  • On Friday June 7, reacting to customer feedback, Microsoft announced that their CoPilot+ Recall feature will now become disabled out of the box by default. Ouch!

Thematic Report: Capex Fueling Economic Growth and Development

By Sudarshan Bhandari

  • Overall, the surge in CAPEX in India reflects a positive outlook for the economy, with investments in infrastructure and emerging sectors driving growth and innovation.  come.
  • The strong balance sheet of companies and healthy tax collections further support this trend, indicating a sustainable path towards economic development. 
  • As CAPEX continues to rise and investments in key sectors increase, India is poised for continued growth and prosperity in the years to

#11 India Insight: GAIL 60000Cr Project, Paytm Layoff, Suzlon CG Issues, Axiscades Drone Order

By Sudarshan Bhandari


NVIDIA’s $3T Valuation: Absurd Or Not?

By Value Investing

  • Much ado has been made about Nvidia’s valuation recently surpassing Apple’s, standing at a gobsmacking $3 trillion.
  • For context, it would take you nearly 100,000 years to count to 1 trillion.
  • But where there’s sky there’s limit, and NVDA is no exception. So the question begs: has NVDA’s valuation flown too close to the sun?

#15Business Buzz: Noble Acquires Diamond Offshore, Southwest Stock Jumps, Europe Attracts Chinese EV

By Nimish Maheshwari

  • Noble expands fleet and operations, acquiring Diamond Offshore in major merger
  • Southwest shares soar as Elliott Investment plans $2 billion recovery strategy
  • Europe attracts Chinese EV makers with incentives despite looming EU tariffs

Furniture/Furnishings Weekly – June 10, 2024

By Water Tower Research

  • A rough week for smaller-cap stocks without AI exposure.
  • The WTR Commercial/Contract Furniture Index (-6.9%), Residential Manufacturers & Suppliers Index (-1.4%), and Home Goods Retailers Index (-1.3%) underperformed the Dow (+1.2%), S&P 500 (+1.2%), and Mass Retailers Index (+1.9%), all of which benefited from the growing AI hype this week.
  • This performance seems to be partly due to the overall weakness of small caps, with the Russell 2000 clocking in (-1.7%).

The Highlights – Cannabis News for the Week Ending June 7, 2024

By Water Tower Research

  • It was a lackluster week for cannabis stocks, with the US cannabis MSOS ETF sliding 3.87%, while the global YOLO dropped 4.27%.
  • Green Thumb Industries (CSE: GTII, OTCQX: GTBIF) was the only major MSO in the black, as investors were modestly encouraged by the Boston Beer Company (NASDAQ: SAM) conversation.
  • Last Tuesday, we learned Green Thumb Founder, Chairman, and CEO Ben Kovler sent a letter to Boston Beer’s Founder and Chairman James Koch proposing a merger between the two companies. 

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Daily Brief Credit: Morning Views Asia: China Jinmao Holdings and more

By | Credit, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • Morning Views Asia: China Jinmao Holdings


Morning Views Asia: China Jinmao Holdings

By Leonard Law, CFA

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.


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Daily Brief ECM: Guzman Y Gomez IPO – Peer Comp and Thoughts on Valuations and more

By | Daily Briefs, ECM

In today’s briefing:

  • Guzman Y Gomez IPO – Peer Comp and Thoughts on Valuations
  • Lalatech IPO: Using YMM:US as Main Comp, Equity Valuation of US$11-12 Bn (Or More) Justifiable
  • Minieye Technology Pre-IPO Tearsheet


Guzman Y Gomez IPO – Peer Comp and Thoughts on Valuations

By Sumeet Singh

  • Guzman Y Gomez (GYG) now plans to raise US$221m, an increase from its earlier target of US$160m, in its Australian IPO.
  • GYG is a quick service restaurant business with more than 200 restaurants globally. It mainly focuses on fresh, made-to-order, Mexican-inspired food.
  • We have looked at the company’s performance in our past notes. In this note, we talk about valuations.

Lalatech IPO: Using YMM:US as Main Comp, Equity Valuation of US$11-12 Bn (Or More) Justifiable

By Daniel Hellberg

  • Based on returns and margins, US-listed Full Truck Alliance is best comp
  • Lalatech probably deserves premium valuation multiples vs Full Truck Alliance 
  • An equity valuation of US$11bn+ justifiable; will investors look at recent flops?

Minieye Technology Pre-IPO Tearsheet

By Clarence Chu

  • Minieye Technology (1426169D CH) is looking to raise US$150m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO. The bookrunners on the deal are Citic Securities and CICC.
  • Minieye Technology (Minieye) is an intelligent driving and cabin solutions provider in China, offering solutions for critical aspects of the driving experience, including piloting, parking and in-cabin functions.
  • Providing Level 0-Level 2++ intelligent driving solutions that are full-stack in-house developed and proven by mass production, the firm has also been developing advanced Level 4 autonomous driving technologies.

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Daily Brief Event-Driven: Unsolicited Partial Offer for 19% of Sun Corp (6736 JP) – Play on Cellebrite from SPAC Sponsor and more

By | Daily Briefs, Event-Driven

In today’s briefing:

  • Unsolicited Partial Offer for 19% of Sun Corp (6736 JP) – Play on Cellebrite from SPAC Sponsor
  • Yuanta/​P-Shares Taiwan Div+ ETF Rebalance: One Surprise as Round-Trip Trade Hits US$2.3bn
  • Mandatory Block Deal Pre-Announcement Requirement in Korea Starting 24 July: Impact on Block Deals
  • Sun Corporation (6736 JP): True Wind’s Hostile Partial Offer
  • Tender Offer of Jeisys Medical by Archimed Group
  • S&P/​​​​ASX Index Rebalance (June 2024): Changes, Flows, Impact, Shorts & Positioning
  • Taiwan Top 50 ETF Rebalance: Asia Vital Components to Replace Chang Hwa Commercial Bank
  • Jun24 S&P 500/400/600 Index Rebal – Both More and Less Interesting Than You Think, But 3 Big Buys
  • CPMC Holdings (906.HK) – ORG Can’t Afford to Lose, But Baosteel Is a Step Ahead
  • Interglobe Aviation : Block Deal Trade Special Situations and Tactical Trade Strategy


Unsolicited Partial Offer for 19% of Sun Corp (6736 JP) – Play on Cellebrite from SPAC Sponsor

By Travis Lundy

  • Sun Corp (6736 JP) for years has been a play on its investment holding in Cellebrite DI (CLBT US), brought to market in a $2.4bn SPAC deal announced 30Aug2021.  
  • The SPAC entity was an entity called TWC Tech Holdings II Corp (TWC = “True Wind Capital”). The next day, Cellebrite DI (CLBT US) was born, trading up to US$11.00+.
  • Sun Corp (6736 JP)‘s value realisation path had begun. Today, a True Winds entity announced a Partial Tender Offer – unsolicited, unannounced previously – on Sun Corp, for 19.0%.

Yuanta/​P-Shares Taiwan Div+ ETF Rebalance: One Surprise as Round-Trip Trade Hits US$2.3bn

By Brian Freitas

  • There are 5 adds and 5 deletes to the Yuanta/​P-Shares Taiwan Dividend Plus ETF in June with implementation taking place from 21-27 June.
  • The constituent changes and capping changes result in an estimated one-way turnover of 12.8% and in a one-way trade of TWD 37.2bn (US$1.15bn).
  • The changes are in line with our forecasts with one exception. Uni President Enterprises (1216 TT) was not added and Yulon Finance (9941 TT) was added instead.

Mandatory Block Deal Pre-Announcement Requirement in Korea Starting 24 July: Impact on Block Deals

By Douglas Kim

  • Starting 24 July, there will be a mandatory pre-announcement requirement for block deal sales in Korea. 
  • In other words, the major shareholders of the Korean companies need to report publicly prior to their actual sales of their stakes in these companies through block deal sales.
  • The potential block deal sales candidates could continue to underperform on average the companies that are selling these stocks in potential block deal sales in the next several weeks. 

Sun Corporation (6736 JP): True Wind’s Hostile Partial Offer

By Arun George

  • True Wind has launched a hostile partial tender offer for Sun Corp (6736 JP) for a minimum (3.8m) and maximum (4.2m) shares at JPY4,400, 19.2% premium to the undisturbed price.
  • The offer was prompted by frustration with the Board’s lack of urgency in closing the disparity between Sun Corp’s market cap and the value of its Cellebrite DI (CLBT US) stake.
  • The Board has three options: do nothing (low probability), find a white knight bidder (high probability), or commit to selling/distributing its Cellebrite stake (medium probability).

Tender Offer of Jeisys Medical by Archimed Group

By Douglas Kim

  • On 10 June, it was announced that France’s Archimed Group is conducting a tender offer of 55.72 million shares of Jeisys Medical (287410 KS) (72% of outstanding shares). 
  • The tender offer period will run from 10 June to 22 July. The tender offer price is 13,000 won.
  • Archimed also signed a contract to purchase the entire stake (23.2%) held by Kang Don-Hwan (Chairman of Jeisys Medical) and (3.2%) held by a Director Myung-Hoon Lee.

S&P/​​​​ASX Index Rebalance (June 2024): Changes, Flows, Impact, Shorts & Positioning

By Brian Freitas

  • There is 1 change for the S&P/ASX20 Index, 1 change for the S&P/ASX50 Index, 2 changes for the S&P/ASX100 Index, and no regular changes for the S&P/ASX200 INDEX in June.
  • The surprise inclusion of Wisetech Global (WTC AU) means that positioning is likely to be lower than the passive buying and there could be a move higher in the stock.
  • There will be one adhoc inclusion to the S&P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX) at the close on 19 June following Cie De Saint-Gobain (SGO FP)’s acquisition of CSR Ltd (CSR AU). 

Taiwan Top 50 ETF Rebalance: Asia Vital Components to Replace Chang Hwa Commercial Bank

By Brian Freitas


Jun24 S&P 500/400/600 Index Rebal – Both More and Less Interesting Than You Think, But 3 Big Buys

By Travis Lundy

  • On Friday, the S&P index committee announced the June 2024 changes to the three major indices in the S&P1500 universe. 
  • KKR, Crowdstrike (CRWD), and GoDaddy (GDDY) replace Robert Half (RHI), Comerica (CMA), and Illumina (ILMN) in the S&P500. There are 6 ADDs to S&PMidCap400, 13 DELETEs from Sm600. 
  • There are some BIG and impactful flows here. Some are very big. Netted 2-way flow on 21 June is ~US$66-80bn. But as always, details matter. 

CPMC Holdings (906.HK) – ORG Can’t Afford to Lose, But Baosteel Is a Step Ahead

By Xinyao (Criss) Wang

  • Baosteel’s SOE background helps bring more advantages- This deal is a consolidation of assets under SASAC, which may involve some strategic intent at national level. Baosteel has an upper hand. 
  • ORG cannot afford to fail considering the strategic significance of CMPC for ORG. Major shareholder of CPMC Zhang Wei has picked ORG side, making it maintain the hope of winning.
  • For arbitrageurs, the good news is CPMC would be acquired by either Changping Industrial or ORG, with high certainty.Baosteel is also worth watching since it could be a new leader. 

Interglobe Aviation : Block Deal Trade Special Situations and Tactical Trade Strategy

By Nimish Maheshwari

  • Impending block deals which generally create supply over-hang on the stock leads to a negative impact on the stock.
  • These block deals generally include selling promoters and big funds at a price discount to its current market price.
  • Historically, such events suggest once the block deal is done; stock reacts positively creating a Special Situation Opportunity

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Daily Brief Crypto: Crypto Crisp: How Much of the Bitcoin ETF Inflow Comes from Basis Trading? and more

By | Crypto, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • Crypto Crisp: How Much of the Bitcoin ETF Inflow Comes from Basis Trading?


Crypto Crisp: How Much of the Bitcoin ETF Inflow Comes from Basis Trading?

By Mads Eberhardt

  • Here is to another week in crypto, following an exceptionally strong performance for U.S.-based Bitcoin spot ETFs last week.
  • Over the five trading sessions, these Bitcoin spot ETFs saw total net inflows of $1.829 billion.
  • Last Tuesday was particularly notable, with the ETFs experiencing their second-best day since their launch on January 11, bringing in a net inflow of $887 million.

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