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Daily Briefs

Daily Brief Quantitative Analysis: Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Flows (To 14 June 2024): Large Tech Buying and more

By | Daily Briefs, Quantitative Analysis

In today’s briefing:

  • Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Flows (To 14 June 2024): Large Tech Buying, Large Consumer Selling
  • A/H Premium Tracker (To 14 Jun 2024):  H Underperform A; the More Liquid, the Worse the Performance.
  • HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 14 June 2024); Energy/Utes/Banks/Tech Bought Bigly
  • Northbound Flows (Jun 14th): CATL, Mindray, Luxshare Precision, Xinghuacun Fen Wine
  • Hong Kong Connect Flows (Jun 14th): China Mobile, BOC, CNOOC, China Shenhua Energy, CCB
  • KRX Foreign Holding Weekly (Jun 14th): Sk Hynix, Samsung Electronics, Hanmi Semicon, Kia
  • A-H Premium Weekly (Jun 14th): China Tourism, CGN Power, Huadian Power, Hua Hong Semi, Huaneng Power
  • TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Jun 14th): Hon Hai, Ctbc Financial, Realtek Semi, TSMC, Lite-On Tech
  • TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Jun 14th): Hon Hai, TSMC, Mediatek, Quanta Computer, Realtek Semi


Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Flows (To 14 June 2024): Large Tech Buying, Large Consumer Selling

By Travis Lundy

  • The Quiddity Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Monitor. Like the A/H Premium Monitor and HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Monitor. Lots of Flows/Position Tables and Charts with which to play.
  • Last week saw NORTHBOUND net SELL RMB 21.9bn of A-shares. NORTHBOUND bought tech and sold everything else, especially consumer names. Kweichow Moutai, Midea, appliances and renewables.
  • Ongoing questions as to whether the NORTHBOUND volumes to the buy side are all foreigners. Some suspect there is national team buying mixed in, as was expected from earlier announcements.

A/H Premium Tracker (To 14 Jun 2024):  H Underperform A; the More Liquid, the Worse the Performance.

By Travis Lundy

  • The New/Better A-H Premium Tracker has tables, charts, measures galore to track A/H premium positioning, southbound and northbound positioning/volatility in pairs over time, etc.
  • SOUTHBOUND’s buy streak continues unabated. NORTHBOUND was heavy to sell. Only Tech bought. Consumer sold heavily.
  • AH Premia lowish in 52-week range, but still high for many pairs. I continue to expect further “convergence” among spreads.

HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 14 June 2024); Energy/Utes/Banks/Tech Bought Bigly

By Travis Lundy

  • SOUTHBOUND was again a net buyer, for HK$27.0bn this week, on small two-way volumes. Energy, banks, utilities, tech all saw inflows. 
  • It is not clear how much of this is H/A discounts, expected dividend tax removal, KPIs for SOE CEOs to raise prices and payout ratios, or upcoming Third Plenum policy…
  • But valuations are acceptable. Flows are good. Policy changes are afoot. SOUTHBOUND may continue to see inflows – national team and otherwise.

Northbound Flows (Jun 14th): CATL, Mindray, Luxshare Precision, Xinghuacun Fen Wine

By Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

  • We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of June 14th.
  • We estimate the weekly outflows to be US$3,126.0 million, led by consumer staples, consumer discretionary, financials, and offset by information technology.
  • We highlight flows for CATL, Mindray, Luxshare Precision, Shanxi Xinghuacun Fen Wine Factory, China Citic Bank, Moutai, Bank Of Communications, Wuliangye, China Yangtze Power, Midea.

Hong Kong Connect Flows (Jun 14th): China Mobile, BOC, CNOOC, China Shenhua Energy, CCB

By Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

  • We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of June 14th.
  • The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.
  • We highlight flows for China Mobile, BOC, CNOOC, China Shenhua Energy, CCB.

KRX Foreign Holding Weekly (Jun 14th): Sk Hynix, Samsung Electronics, Hanmi Semicon, Kia

By Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

  • We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of KRX Stocks as of Jun 14th which has an aggregated holding worth USD547.8bn.
  • We estimate that foreign flows to be inflows of USD1,575mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.
  • We highlight foreign changes in Sk Hynix, Samsung Electronics, Hanmi Semicon, Kia.

A-H Premium Weekly (Jun 14th): China Tourism, CGN Power, Huadian Power, Hua Hong Semi, Huaneng Power

By Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

  • We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 146 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 105.3% as of Jun 14th.
  • The average A-H premium changed by 1.6ppt week-on-week, led by consumer discretionary, information technology, financials and offset by consumer staples, utilities, real estate.
  • We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for  China Tourism, CGN Power, Huadian Power, Hua Hong Semi, Huaneng Power.

TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Jun 14th): Hon Hai, Ctbc Financial, Realtek Semi, TSMC, Lite-On Tech

By Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

  • We analyzed the changes in short interest of TWSE Stocks as of Jun 14th which has an aggregated short interest worth USD102.4bn.
  • We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases & decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
  • We highlight short interest changes in Hon Hai, Ctbc Financial, Realtek Semi, TSMC, Lite-On Tech, Asmedia Tech, Asustek Computer.

TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Jun 14th): Hon Hai, TSMC, Mediatek, Quanta Computer, Realtek Semi

By Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

  • We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of Jun 14th which has an aggregated holding worth USD4,617.2bn.
  • We estimate that foreign flows to be inflows of USD6,436mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.
  • We highlight foreign changes in Hon Hai, TSMC, Mediatek, Quanta Computer, Realtek Semi, Evergreen Marine, Ctbc Financial, Eva Airways, Asia Vital, Asmedia Tech.

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Daily Brief Thematic (Sector/Industry): Ohayo Japan | A Quieter Week Ahead and more

By | Daily Briefs, Thematic (Sector/Industry)

In today’s briefing:

  • Ohayo Japan | A Quieter Week Ahead
  • US Bank HFD – CRE Loans Down A Lot, CRE Loan Growth Can Worsen Much More, Smaller Banks Exposed


Ohayo Japan | A Quieter Week Ahead

By Mark Chadwick

  • Hopes of easing inflation supported a weekly rise of 1.6% for the S&P 500 and 3.2% for the Nasdaq.
  • Sakana AI, founded in July 2023 by ex-Google researchers and a former Japanese official, is set to raise $125 million at a $1.1 billion valuation, becoming Japan’s fastest unicorn
  • Kirin Holdings plans to acquire additional shares of FANCL Corporation through a tender offer and share warrants to make FANCL a wholly-owned subsidiary

US Bank HFD – CRE Loans Down A Lot, CRE Loan Growth Can Worsen Much More, Smaller Banks Exposed

By Daniel Tabbush

  • New HFD shows CRE loan decline in the most recent week sizeable, a greater decline than in any week so far this year
  • Risk aversion and demand will be drivers, and still CRE loan growth now at -2.4% YoY can see this rate of contraction far lower
  • Credit costs are the key concern for banks (risk weightings can too be an issue), where smaller banks are infinitely more exposed than the largest US banks

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Daily Brief ECM: Webtoon Entertainment (WBTN US) IPO: The Bear Case and more

By | Daily Briefs, ECM

In today’s briefing:

  • Webtoon Entertainment (WBTN US) IPO: The Bear Case
  • Growth of SHEIN, Temu Appears to Be Boosting Asia-US Air Cargo Volume & Pricing
  • Hyundai Motor India IPO: Key Facts and Financials at a Glance
  • Kagome Placement – Very Well Flagged Deal but Liquidity Might Be a Concern
  • ECM Weekly (17th June 2024)-Shift Up, Webtoon, Quantum, Guzman, MaoGeping, Johor Plant, Telix, Atour
  • Johor Plantations IPO – ASPs to Remain Resilient, Downside Appears Limited
  • Pre-IPO Fangzhou Inc. (PHIP Updates) – Some Points Worth the Attention


Webtoon Entertainment (WBTN US) IPO: The Bear Case

By Arun George

  • Webtoon Entertainment (WBTN US), a global storytelling platform, seeks to raise up to US$500 million through a Nasdaq IPO.
  • In Webtoon Entertainment IPO: The Bull Case, we highlighted the key elements of the bull case. In this note, we outline the bear case.
  • The bear case rests on declining organic revenue, declining Korean paying ratio, a peaking Japan growth driver, optimistic market sizing, and unsustainable low marketing spending.

Growth of SHEIN, Temu Appears to Be Boosting Asia-US Air Cargo Volume & Pricing

By Daniel Hellberg

  • For first time since 2022, carriers’ cargo revenue, yield, load factor all rising
  • Asia outbound, US inbound air cargo tons both improving in early 2024
  • SHEIN, Temu could account for 40%+ of US inbound air tons from CH, HK, TW

Hyundai Motor India IPO: Key Facts and Financials at a Glance

By Devi Subhakesan

  • Hyundai Motor India’s proposed IPO is an offer for sale by its parent, Hyundai Motor Company, Korea, and reported to raise USD3 billion, potentially making it India’s largest IPO ever.  
  • Hyundai Motor India’s sales growth has been driven by strong domestic and export sales, both in volume and unit realisation.
  • With SUVs now making up 62% of Hyundai Motor India’s domestic volumes, up from 45% in FY2021, the shift towards premium models has boosted profit margins.

Kagome Placement – Very Well Flagged Deal but Liquidity Might Be a Concern

By Sumeet Singh

  • Kagome Co Ltd (2811 JP) aims to raise around US$140m to repay debt used to fund the acquisition of Ingomar in Jan 2024.
  • At the time of the acquisition, the company has stated its intention to part finance the acquisition via issuance of treasury shares
  • In this note, we will talk about the placement and run the deal through our ECM framework.

ECM Weekly (17th June 2024)-Shift Up, Webtoon, Quantum, Guzman, MaoGeping, Johor Plant, Telix, Atour

By Sumeet Singh


Johor Plantations IPO – ASPs to Remain Resilient, Downside Appears Limited

By Clarence Chu

  • Johor Plantations Group (2368120D MK) is looking to raise US$156m in its Malaysia IPO. The IPO will consist of both primary and secondary shares.
  • Johor Plantations Group (JPG) is an upstream oil palm plantation firm operating predominantly in Johor, Malaysia.
  • In this note, we look at the updates since, and share our thoughts on valuation.

Pre-IPO Fangzhou Inc. (PHIP Updates) – Some Points Worth the Attention

By Xinyao (Criss) Wang

  • Fangzhou cannot get around the decreasing unit-price of drugs and the increasing role of medical insurance in chronic-disease treatment.It’s challenging to find patients willing to pay out of own pockets.
  • The internal dispute between the Founder and shareholders hasn’t ended, and related litigation is still pending. This makes us concerned about the stability of future business development and corporate governance. 
  • Fangzhou has significant cash flow pressure. In the case of increasingly fierce competition in the industry, without successful business diversification/transformation, growth prospects is gloomy, Valuation should be lower than peers. 

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Daily Brief Credit: Morning Views Asia: Bharti Airtel and more

By | Credit, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • Morning Views Asia: Bharti Airtel, China Vanke , Nickel Industries


Morning Views Asia: Bharti Airtel, China Vanke , Nickel Industries

By Leonard Law, CFA

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.


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Daily Brief Australia: Red 5 Ltd, China Vanke and more

By | Australia, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • MV Global Junior Gold Miners Index Rebalance: Round-Trip Trade of Over US$400m
  • Morning Views Asia: Bharti Airtel, China Vanke , Nickel Industries


MV Global Junior Gold Miners Index Rebalance: Round-Trip Trade of Over US$400m

By Brian Freitas


Morning Views Asia: Bharti Airtel, China Vanke , Nickel Industries

By Leonard Law, CFA

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.


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Daily Brief Event-Driven: Unexpected Inheritance Tax Rate Reduction Included in July Tax Reform: Impact on Value-Up Trading and more

By | Daily Briefs, Event-Driven

In today’s briefing:

  • Unexpected Inheritance Tax Rate Reduction Included in July Tax Reform: Impact on Value-Up Trading
  • Merger Arb Mondays (17 Jun) – Fancl, Tatsuta, A8, China TCM, GAPack, CPMC, Malaysia Airports, Bapcor
  • MV Global Junior Gold Miners Index Rebalance: Round-Trip Trade of Over US$400m
  • NASDAQ 100 Index Rebalance: Arm Holdings Replaces Sirius XM
  • Great Eastern (GE SP): Inching Towards Suspension
  • EQD / Weekly Vol Update / Positive Risk-Sentiment & Short Trading Week Put Pressure on IV Levels
  • Liquid Universe of European Ordinary and Preferred Shares: June‘24 Report


Unexpected Inheritance Tax Rate Reduction Included in July Tax Reform: Impact on Value-Up Trading

By Sanghyun Park

  • Senior Presidential Secretary said this morning that a tax reform, including reducing inheritance tax rates to the OECD average, will be disclosed in late July with the tax reform plan.
  • Stocks sensitive to reduced inheritance tax, notably Hyundai Motor Group subsidiaries like Hyundai Glovis and Hyundai Motor, could see significant attention amid governance restructuring efforts under Chung Eui-sun.
  • Retroactive application and its extent may impact markets, potentially affecting groups like Samsung, influencing diverse investment strategies based on specifics.


MV Global Junior Gold Miners Index Rebalance: Round-Trip Trade of Over US$400m

By Brian Freitas


NASDAQ 100 Index Rebalance: Arm Holdings Replaces Sirius XM

By Brian Freitas


Great Eastern (GE SP): Inching Towards Suspension

By David Blennerhassett

  • Back on the 10th May, OCBC (OCBC SP) made a voluntary unconditional general Offer for the 11.56% in life/non-life insurer Great Eastern Holdings (GE SP) not held.
  • At a 36.9% premium to last close, the S$25.60/share Offer Price appeared fair. Yet GE has consistently traded through terms, potentially as someone seeks to block delisting, and negotiate terms.
  • OCBC has now declared terms final. The IFA says “not fair, but reasonable” – and recommends shareholders accept the Offer. GE will be suspended at the close of the Offer.

EQD / Weekly Vol Update / Positive Risk-Sentiment & Short Trading Week Put Pressure on IV Levels

By Sankalp Singh

  • IVs move lower at an accelerated pace driven by holiday shortened week & risk-seeking sentiment.  
  • Vol-Regime has switched to “High & Down” state, projecting an elongated period of falling IV levels. 
  • Nifty50 Smile & Skew dynamics continue to compress. Vol term structure has moved from Backwardation to Contango in conjunction with falling IVs

Liquid Universe of European Ordinary and Preferred Shares: June‘24 Report

By Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

  • Since mid-May, share-price spreads have not shown a clear trend across our European liquid universe of ordinary and preferred shares (9 have tightened, 7 widened, 1 remained at same level).
  • Recommended trades long preferred / short ordinary shares: Atlas Copco, Grifols, Media-for-Europe, Sixt, Volkswagen.
  • Recommended trades long ordinary / short preferred shares: Henkel, SSAB Svenska Stal.

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Daily Brief Equity Bottom-Up: TSMC (2330.TT; TSM.US): CoWoS Demand Continues to Increase in 2024. and more

By | Daily Briefs, Equity Bottom-Up

In today’s briefing:

  • TSMC (2330.TT; TSM.US): CoWoS Demand Continues to Increase in 2024.
  • China Healthcare Weekly (Jun16)-WuXi Get A “Reprieve”, Vaccine Company in Trouble, Insurance Surplus
  • MediaTek (2454.TT): 2Q24 Guidance Is Achievable; to Take Advantage of the AI PC Replacement Trend.
  • 4Paradigm: Sage AI Platform 5.0. Could Drive ~30% Y/Y Revenue Growth in 2024, PT Raised To HK$100
  • China Consumption Weekly (17 Jun 2024): BYD, Geely, Zeekr, Zhihu, China Literature, Tencent
  • China CRSC (3969 HK): Well Worth the Premium
  • Unpacking NVIDIA’s NVentures; When a Doctor Gets Clinical On Early Stage Investments
  • Sun Corporation (6736) – Sunday, Mar 17, 2024
  • Ascentage Pharma (6855.HK) Signs $1.3B Deal with Takeda – Finally on the Right Path
  • TechChain Insights: Q&A with TSMC Supplier Kinik; Diamond Capex Implies Industry Strength Visibility


TSMC (2330.TT; TSM.US): CoWoS Demand Continues to Increase in 2024.

By Patrick Liao

  • The yearly growth target could approach 25% YoY in 2024.
  • TSMC’s CoWoS demand continues to rise, with capacity expected to increase by approximately another 5% in 2024.
  • TSMC’s stock price has risen by 55% in Taiwan and by 66.3% in US markets this year. We believe it has the potential to continue increasing further.

China Healthcare Weekly (Jun16)-WuXi Get A “Reprieve”, Vaccine Company in Trouble, Insurance Surplus

By Xinyao (Criss) Wang

  • Due to increasing competition/price reduction/overcapacity issue, outlook of domestic vaccine companies isn’t optimistic, which has been reflected in 24Q1 results. However, there’s also a “special one” that deserves investors’ attention.
  • The status of medical insurance funds is improving rather than deteriorating, but we’re currently in the first half of the decade with the highest pressure on medical insurance.
  • As the H.R.8333 proposal faced obstacles in the process of being included in NDAA, WuXi AppTec/WuXi Bio’s shares once rebounded.We remain conservative as situation is not as simple as imagined.

MediaTek (2454.TT): 2Q24 Guidance Is Achievable; to Take Advantage of the AI PC Replacement Trend.

By Patrick Liao

  • Mediatek Inc (2454 TT)’s 3Q24 is expected to experience a quarter-on-quarter increase of about 5%.  
  • MediaTek is currently developing new processors based on Arm architecture and natively supporting the Microsoft Windows operating system.
  • It is believed that MediaTek will tape out with TSMC 3nm technology, targeting the 1H25 market.

4Paradigm: Sage AI Platform 5.0. Could Drive ~30% Y/Y Revenue Growth in 2024, PT Raised To HK$100

By Andrei Zakharov

  • 4Paradigm, China’s AI software company with focus on enterprise-level solutions, performed well and achieved solid growth in 2023 and Q1 2024. 
  • In my insight, I discuss valuation framework for comparable company analysis and set a new 12-month PT for 4Paradigm.
  • The company’s management has set a clear goal of profitability. I like 4Paradigm’s leadership position and hyper-growth in revenue from the Sage AI Platform.

China Consumption Weekly (17 Jun 2024): BYD, Geely, Zeekr, Zhihu, China Literature, Tencent

By Ming Lu

  • European Commission will impose provisional tariffs on imported Chinese battery electric vehicles.
  • Zeekr’s deliveries increased by 117% YoY in 1Q24 and by 112% YoY in the first five months of 2024.
  • Ant Group will pay RMB1 billion to sponsor content creators on AliPay.

China CRSC (3969 HK): Well Worth the Premium

By Osbert Tang, CFA

  • China Railway Signal & Communication (3969 HK)‘s latest order backlog is estimated to be Rmb173.7bn, enough to cover FY24F revenue by 4.4x.
  • Gross margin has sustained expansion, reaching a record high of 27.8% in 1Q24. Higher R&D expenses will benefit its medium-term earnings.
  • Net cash equals 59% of the share price, allowing it to maintain over 50% payout and potentially higher going forward. Operating cash flow has also turned around to positive.

Unpacking NVIDIA’s NVentures; When a Doctor Gets Clinical On Early Stage Investments

By Srinidhi Raghavendra

  • NVIDIA deploys a three-pronged strategy to support the rapidly growing AI ecosystem. First, Corporate Investments. Second, NVentures. Third, NVIDIA Inception.
  • NVentures supports innovators who are deeply relevant to NVIDIA. NVentures aims to produce solid financial returns while growing the ecosystem.
  • NVIDIA participated in 35 deals in 2023 (6x more than in 2022). It has been more active than firm like Andreessen Horowitz and Sequoia.

Sun Corporation (6736) – Sunday, Mar 17, 2024

By Value Investors Club

  • Sun Corporation is trading at 40% of its net asset value and has valuable SaaS business with Cellebrite
  • Activist investor involvement may unlock trapped value in the company
  • Cellebrite is a top digital forensics platform serving law enforcement agencies, making Sun Corp a promising investment choice in the Japanese market

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


Ascentage Pharma (6855.HK) Signs $1.3B Deal with Takeda – Finally on the Right Path

By Xinyao (Criss) Wang

  • Ascentage was originally in an extremely difficult situation, but the cooperation with Takeda turned things around. Ascentage has obtained urgently needed cash flow to solve the survival problem.
  • At this stage, it’s possible for Ascentage to hit about 50% market value of HCM.  Investors are interested to know if APG-2575 would also be out-licensed, which however is not easy.
  • Ascentage’s current strength isn’t sufficient to self-build sales system. While this deal is a good start, if Ascentage still chooses to do commercialization on its own, it’s time to sell. 

TechChain Insights: Q&A with TSMC Supplier Kinik; Diamond Capex Implies Industry Strength Visibility

By Vincent Fernando, CFA

  • We conducted a Q&A with Kinik, who is a key supplier to companies including TSMC, UMC, and Micron.
  • Kinik is dramatically expanding its diamond disk capacity; these products are critical to the production of wafers for advanced semiconductor nodes.
  • We believe Kinik has high visibility into future industry demand. Gross margins are likely to expand in the coming years as advanced diamond products become increasingly important to wafer production.

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Daily Brief Singapore: Great Eastern Holdings and more

By | Daily Briefs, Singapore

In today’s briefing:

  • Great Eastern (GE SP): Inching Towards Suspension


Great Eastern (GE SP): Inching Towards Suspension

By David Blennerhassett

  • Back on the 10th May, OCBC (OCBC SP) made a voluntary unconditional general Offer for the 11.56% in life/non-life insurer Great Eastern Holdings (GE SP) not held.
  • At a 36.9% premium to last close, the S$25.60/share Offer Price appeared fair. Yet GE has consistently traded through terms, potentially as someone seeks to block delisting, and negotiate terms.
  • OCBC has now declared terms final. The IFA says “not fair, but reasonable” – and recommends shareholders accept the Offer. GE will be suspended at the close of the Offer.

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Daily Brief South Korea: Samsung C&T, Webtoon Entertainment and more

By | Daily Briefs, South Korea

In today’s briefing:

  • Unexpected Inheritance Tax Rate Reduction Included in July Tax Reform: Impact on Value-Up Trading
  • Webtoon Entertainment (WBTN US) IPO: The Bear Case


Unexpected Inheritance Tax Rate Reduction Included in July Tax Reform: Impact on Value-Up Trading

By Sanghyun Park

  • Senior Presidential Secretary said this morning that a tax reform, including reducing inheritance tax rates to the OECD average, will be disclosed in late July with the tax reform plan.
  • Stocks sensitive to reduced inheritance tax, notably Hyundai Motor Group subsidiaries like Hyundai Glovis and Hyundai Motor, could see significant attention amid governance restructuring efforts under Chung Eui-sun.
  • Retroactive application and its extent may impact markets, potentially affecting groups like Samsung, influencing diverse investment strategies based on specifics.

Webtoon Entertainment (WBTN US) IPO: The Bear Case

By Arun George

  • Webtoon Entertainment (WBTN US), a global storytelling platform, seeks to raise up to US$500 million through a Nasdaq IPO.
  • In Webtoon Entertainment IPO: The Bull Case, we highlighted the key elements of the bull case. In this note, we outline the bear case.
  • The bear case rests on declining organic revenue, declining Korean paying ratio, a peaking Japan growth driver, optimistic market sizing, and unsustainable low marketing spending.

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Daily Brief United States: NVIDIA Corp, Rumble and more

By | Daily Briefs, United States

In today’s briefing:

  • Unpacking NVIDIA’s NVentures; When a Doctor Gets Clinical On Early Stage Investments
  • Rumble Inc (RUM) – Sunday, Mar 17, 2024


Unpacking NVIDIA’s NVentures; When a Doctor Gets Clinical On Early Stage Investments

By Srinidhi Raghavendra

  • NVIDIA deploys a three-pronged strategy to support the rapidly growing AI ecosystem. First, Corporate Investments. Second, NVentures. Third, NVIDIA Inception.
  • NVentures supports innovators who are deeply relevant to NVIDIA. NVentures aims to produce solid financial returns while growing the ecosystem.
  • NVIDIA participated in 35 deals in 2023 (6x more than in 2022). It has been more active than firm like Andreessen Horowitz and Sequoia.

Rumble Inc (RUM) – Sunday, Mar 17, 2024

By Value Investors Club

  • Short Rumble with a price target of $0.90 per share, representing an 88% downside
  • Despite recent partnerships and market cap boost, company faces challenges like negative cash flow, declining user numbers, and inexperienced management
  • Investment is risky due to technical factors like limited available shares and high borrowing costs, advises monitoring stock performance and adjusting position sizes based on upcoming election结果

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


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