Category

Daily Briefs

Daily Brief TMT/Internet: Apple , Fujitsu Ltd, Money Forward , Black Sesame Technologies, Power Integrations and more

By | Daily Briefs, TMT/Internet

In today’s briefing:

  • Episode 72: Apple Intelligence and Closed Loop Private Computing
  • Tech Supply Chain Tracker (20-Jun-2024): Fujitsu launches new AI customization platform.
  • Money Forward (3994) | Looking Forward to Q2
  • Black Sesame Pre-IPO – PHIP Updates – Unable to Shake off Its Loss-Making Tendencies
  • Power Integrations Inc (POWI) – Wednesday, Mar 20, 2024


Episode 72: Apple Intelligence and Closed Loop Private Computing

By The Circuit

  • Apple announced Apple intelligence, integrating AI in a feature-centric way for on-device use
  • The approach focused on useful features rather than spotlighting AI technology
  • Apple’s implementation of AI on iPhone 15 Pro and newer devices showcases their focus on personal intelligence and user-centric design

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.


Tech Supply Chain Tracker (20-Jun-2024): Fujitsu launches new AI customization platform.

By Tech Supply Chain Tracker

  • Fujitsu launches GenAI platform for advanced AI capabilities, enhancing customization options for users.
  • CuspAI receives US$30M funding, partners with Geoffrey Hinton to address climate change using advanced materials.
  • Global IC fab capacity expected to grow by 6% in 2024 and 7% in 2025, with Taiwan playing a key role in AI innovation.

Money Forward (3994) | Looking Forward to Q2

By Mark Chadwick

  • Money Forward’s share price has declined by around 16% since reporting Q1 results.
  • The company will report Q2 results in early July. We expect continued solid momentum
  • We believe the stock price has around 30% upside potential to our target price of ¥6,600

Black Sesame Pre-IPO – PHIP Updates – Unable to Shake off Its Loss-Making Tendencies

By Clarence Chu

  • Black Sesame Technologies (BLACKSES HK) is looking to raise around US$300m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO.
  • Black Sesame International Holdings (BSIH) is an automotive-grade computing SoC and SoC-based intelligent vehicle solution provider.
  • In our previous note we looked at the company’s past performance. In this note, we discuss Black Sesame’s PHIP updates.

Power Integrations Inc (POWI) – Wednesday, Mar 20, 2024

By Value Investors Club

  • Power Integrations (POWI) is facing persistently low earnings quality over the past five quarters due to a channel inventory adjustment, which they claim is almost complete
  • Revenues have dropped by 37% since 2021, casting doubt on whether the adjustment fully explains the decline
  • Financial performance in 2024 could lead to a shift in the investment narrative towards normalized revenues below recent peaks and increased competition from Chinese semiconductor vendors, potentially affecting earnings and forward multiples

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


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Daily Brief Energy/Materials: West China Cement, Tidewater , Dyna Mac Holdings, Afentra and more

By | Daily Briefs, Energy & Materials Sector

In today’s briefing:

  • West China Cement (2233 HK):  African Cement Play At 4x 2024E PE
  • Tidewater Midstream Infrastr (TWM.) – Wednesday, Mar 20, 2024
  • kopi-C with Dyna-Mac’s CEO: ‘We went from near-bankruptcy to having a record order book’
  • Afentra (AET LN) – Wednesday, Mar 20, 2024


West China Cement (2233 HK):  African Cement Play At 4x 2024E PE

By Steve Zhou, CFA

  • West China Cement (2233 HK) is a cement company based in Western China.  Sales volume in Africa in 2023 was 2.6 million tons, up 117% from 1.2 million tons in 2022. 
  • The company has 2 million tons of cement capacity in Mozambique, 1.5 million tons in Congo, and 1.3 million tons in Ethiopia. 
  • The company is trading at 4x 2024E PE.  I believe the risk reward is quite high here. 

Tidewater Midstream Infrastr (TWM.) – Wednesday, Mar 20, 2024

By Value Investors Club

  • Tidewater Midstream & Infrastructure is a Canadian refining and midstream business with the Prince George Refinery as its primary asset
  • Recent events, including the sale of gas processing plants and reaching capacity at the HDRD facility, have led to positive cash flow for the company for the first time
  • TWM is focused on using its newfound cash flow for share repurchases and new investments in neglected assets, with projected upside potential of ~3x

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


kopi-C with Dyna-Mac’s CEO: ‘We went from near-bankruptcy to having a record order book’

By Geoff Howie

  • kopi-C with Dyna-Mac’s CEO: ‘We went from near-bankruptcy to having a record order book’ Offshore oil and gas contractor Dyna-Mac’s CEO AC Lim shares how he overhauled the company’s business practices to bring it back from the brink and achieve remarkable growth.
  • When Lim Ah Cheng, also known as AC Lim, became offshore oil and gas contractor Dyna-Mac’s chief executive officer in 2020, the firm was in crisis.

Afentra (AET LN) – Wednesday, Mar 20, 2024

By Value Investors Club

  • Afentra focuses on acquiring marginal or late-life oil fields from oil majors and NOCs to pursue renewable energy or scale
  • The company specifically targets Africa to establish a low-cost basis in acquired assets and deliver value through industrial expertise
  • Leveraging in-house management expertise and track record in the energy sector, Afentra plans to enhance acquired subsurface acreage through field development techniques and enhancements

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


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Daily Brief India: Bajaj Housing Finance, Delhi International Airport Limited and more

By | Daily Briefs, India

In today’s briefing:

  • Bajaj Housing Finance Pre-IPO – The Negatives – Carrying More Risky Loans
  • Morning Views Asia:


Bajaj Housing Finance Pre-IPO – The Negatives – Carrying More Risky Loans

By Sumeet Singh

  • Bajaj Housing Finance (BHF IN) is looking to raise around US$830m in its upcoming India IPO.
  • BHF is a non-deposit taking housing finance company engaged in mortgage lending since FY18. Its mortgage products include home loans, loans against property, lease rental discounting and developer financing.
  • In this note, we talk about the not-so-positive aspects of the deal.

Morning Views Asia:

By Leonard Law, CFA

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.


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    Daily Brief Industrials: Innospace, Cosco Shipping Energy Transportation Co. Ltd. (H), ZIM Integrated Shipping Services, Mma Offshore, Enerpac Tool Group , Core & Main , Delhi International Airport Limited and more

    By | Daily Briefs, Industrials

    In today’s briefing:

    • Innospace IPO Bookbuilding Results Analysis
    • Recent Sell-Off in Tanker Stocks Provides an Opportunity in Cosco Shipping Energy – 1138.HK
    • Monthly Container Shipping Tracker | Pricing Surged in May | Did Volume Growth Wobble? | (June 2024)
    • MMA Offshore (MRM AU): Cyan Lifts Offer
    • Enerpac Tool Group Corp (EPAC) – Wednesday, Mar 20, 2024
    • Core & Main Inc.: Initiation of Coverage – An Insight Into Their Acquisition Strategy & Key Growth Drivers
    • Morning Views Asia:


    Innospace IPO Bookbuilding Results Analysis

    By Douglas Kim

    • Innospace reported solid IPO bookbuilding results. Innospace’s IPO price has been determined at 43,300 won won, which is at the high end of the IPO price range.
    • Our base case valuation of Innospace is target price of 51,481 won per share (12 month view), which is 19% higher than the IPO price.
    • Innospace is involved in the satellite launch vehicle production and launch service business.

    Recent Sell-Off in Tanker Stocks Provides an Opportunity in Cosco Shipping Energy – 1138.HK

    By Rikki Malik

    • All the business fundamentals continue to trend in the right direction
    • The sector has sold off with the general commodity sell-off
    • Investors not giving the benefit of the doubt to future oil demand

    Monthly Container Shipping Tracker | Pricing Surged in May | Did Volume Growth Wobble? | (June 2024)

    By Daniel Hellberg

    • Deep-Sea container rates surged in May, yielding best read since June 2022
    • But volume growth into North American WC ports slowed noticeably…
    • We believe Q224 results will impress, and still like our Long/Short pairs

    MMA Offshore (MRM AU): Cyan Lifts Offer

    By David Blennerhassett

    • Back on 25 March, marine and subsea services provider MMA Offshore (MRM AU) entered into a Scheme with Singapore’s Cyan Renewables, a wholly-owned vehicle of Seraya Partners.
    • The A$2.60/share Offer in cash, a 11% premium to last close, was within the IE’s fair value range of A$2.03 to A$2.83. However, shares have consistently traded through terms.
    • Cyna has now bumped the Offer to A$2.70/share – best & final. Thorney (7.95% of shares out) is supportive. The Scheme Meeting will still be held on the 1 July.

    Enerpac Tool Group Corp (EPAC) – Wednesday, Mar 20, 2024

    By Value Investors Club

    • Enerpac Tool Group (EPAC) designs, manufactures, and distributes hydraulic tools with a strong market position and reputation for reliability
    • Despite its strong competitive position, growth opportunities, and operational execution, Enerpac’s P/E multiple is at a five-year low, offering a significant discount to its peers
    • With a new management team implementing operational improvements, investors have the opportunity to invest in a potentially undervalued stock with long-term potential for growth and value creation

    This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


    Core & Main Inc.: Initiation of Coverage – An Insight Into Their Acquisition Strategy & Key Growth Drivers

    By Baptista Research

    • Based on a rigorous examination of Core & Main’s first quarter fiscal 2024 results, a nuanced investment thesis for the company can be deduced by delving into various facets of its operations and financial performance.
    • Core & Main, a prominent distributor of water, wastewater, storm drainage, and fire protection products, has marketed itself effectively as an indispensable partner to municipalities, private water companies, and professional contractors.
    • Positively, Core & Main reported a robust 11% growth in net sales reaching a record $1.74 billion for the quarter.

    Morning Views Asia:

    By Leonard Law, CFA

    Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.


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      Daily Brief China: Cosco Shipping Energy Transportation Co. Ltd. (H), West China Cement, Black Sesame Technologies, Bloks Group, Soft International Group and more

      By | China, Daily Briefs

      In today’s briefing:

      • Recent Sell-Off in Tanker Stocks Provides an Opportunity in Cosco Shipping Energy – 1138.HK
      • West China Cement (2233 HK):  African Cement Play At 4x 2024E PE
      • Black Sesame Pre-IPO – PHIP Updates – Unable to Shake off Its Loss-Making Tendencies
      • Bloks Group IPO: Exceptional Revenue Hyper-Growth and Profitability Are Unique Among Toy Makers
      • Pre-IPO Soft International Group – Whether Performance Growth Can Be Sustained Is a Question Mark


      Recent Sell-Off in Tanker Stocks Provides an Opportunity in Cosco Shipping Energy – 1138.HK

      By Rikki Malik

      • All the business fundamentals continue to trend in the right direction
      • The sector has sold off with the general commodity sell-off
      • Investors not giving the benefit of the doubt to future oil demand

      West China Cement (2233 HK):  African Cement Play At 4x 2024E PE

      By Steve Zhou, CFA

      • West China Cement (2233 HK) is a cement company based in Western China.  Sales volume in Africa in 2023 was 2.6 million tons, up 117% from 1.2 million tons in 2022. 
      • The company has 2 million tons of cement capacity in Mozambique, 1.5 million tons in Congo, and 1.3 million tons in Ethiopia. 
      • The company is trading at 4x 2024E PE.  I believe the risk reward is quite high here. 

      Black Sesame Pre-IPO – PHIP Updates – Unable to Shake off Its Loss-Making Tendencies

      By Clarence Chu

      • Black Sesame Technologies (BLACKSES HK) is looking to raise around US$300m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO.
      • Black Sesame International Holdings (BSIH) is an automotive-grade computing SoC and SoC-based intelligent vehicle solution provider.
      • In our previous note we looked at the company’s past performance. In this note, we discuss Black Sesame’s PHIP updates.

      Bloks Group IPO: Exceptional Revenue Hyper-Growth and Profitability Are Unique Among Toy Makers

      By Andrei Zakharov

      • Bloks Group, a fast-growing toy company and leader of assembly character toys, filed for a Hong Kong IPO. The company is headquartered in Shanghai, PRC, and has 410 full-time employees.
      • Bloks Group has raised $200M+ to date from investors, including YF Capital, Legend Capital, Source Code Capital, Gaorong Capital and SinoMedia Asia Pacific.
      • The Chinese toy maker has delivered an exceptional revenue hyper-growth of 169% y/y in 2023. Elite operating metrics and impressive financial profile make IPO attractive for investors.

      Pre-IPO Soft International Group – Whether Performance Growth Can Be Sustained Is a Question Mark

      By Xinyao (Criss) Wang

      • The top two biggest markets of Soft International (China and Russia) are encountering the challenge of slowing growth or even growth stagnation due to decreasing birth rate and increasing competition.
      • Single-Digit net profit margin is not satisfactory for a company with strong consumption attributes. This makes us wonder if the personal hygienic disposables is not a money-making business. 
      • Overreliance on Russian Top-tier Retailer would bring risks to the business.Both revenue growth and profitability could decrease sharply if adverse situations occur. Soft International’s valuation could be lower than peers.

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      Daily Brief Health Care: Capitol Health, Eoflow, Telix Pharmaceuticals, Soft International Group and more

      By | Daily Briefs, Healthcare

      In today’s briefing:

      • Capitol Health (CAJ AU): All-Scrip Non-Binding Merger with Integral Diagnostics
      • Another Major Win for Eoflow [U.S. Federal Appeals Court Issues a Decision]
      • Telix Pharmaceuticals (TLX AU): Nasdaq IPO Plan Dropped; Future Growth Prospect Remains Intact
      • Pre-IPO Soft International Group – Whether Performance Growth Can Be Sustained Is a Question Mark


      Capitol Health (CAJ AU): All-Scrip Non-Binding Merger with Integral Diagnostics

      By Arun George

      • On 17 June, Capitol Health (CAJ AU) disclosed a non-binding merger proposal from Integral Diagnostics (IDX AU) at 0.12849 Integral shares per Capitol share.
      • Integral has been granted a four-week exclusivity period that ends on 15 July. The transaction will require approval from the ACCC and Capitol shareholders. 
      • The offer is attractive compared to historical exchange ratios, trading ranges and peer multiples. At the last close, the gross spread was 11.7%.  

      Another Major Win for Eoflow [U.S. Federal Appeals Court Issues a Decision]

      By Douglas Kim

      • On 19 June, Eoflow announced that the U.S. Federal Appeals Court issued a decision to overturn the provisional injunction.
      • In other words, the U.S. federal court ordered the first trial’s preliminary injunction banning overseas sales of Eoflow to be overturned. 
      • A jury trial is set at end of November 2024. Depending on the ruling, either side may appeal and a second trial may follow or there may be a settlement.

      Telix Pharmaceuticals (TLX AU): Nasdaq IPO Plan Dropped; Future Growth Prospect Remains Intact

      By Tina Banerjee

      • Telix Pharmaceuticals (TLX AU) has withdrawn its proposed IPO in the U.S. due to unfavorable market condition. The proposed Nasdaq listing was not predicated on the need to raise capital.
      • As a profitable, cash generative company, Telix is confident that its existing and upcoming cash resources will be sufficient to meet R&D and commercialization needs.
      • Following the successful commercial launch of Illuccix, Telix has demonstrated its ability to develop and commercialize innovative product portfolio, which should accelerate its growth trajectory.

      Pre-IPO Soft International Group – Whether Performance Growth Can Be Sustained Is a Question Mark

      By Xinyao (Criss) Wang

      • The top two biggest markets of Soft International (China and Russia) are encountering the challenge of slowing growth or even growth stagnation due to decreasing birth rate and increasing competition.
      • Single-Digit net profit margin is not satisfactory for a company with strong consumption attributes. This makes us wonder if the personal hygienic disposables is not a money-making business. 
      • Overreliance on Russian Top-tier Retailer would bring risks to the business.Both revenue growth and profitability could decrease sharply if adverse situations occur. Soft International’s valuation could be lower than peers.

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      Daily Brief Japan: Mcdonald’s Japan, Money Forward , Mizuho Financial Group, Juroku Financial Group, United Arrows, TSE Tokyo Price Index TOPIX, Geo Holdings, Goldwin Inc and more

      By | Daily Briefs, Japan

      In today’s briefing:

      • JPX Proposes BIG Changes To TOPIX Rules, Affects IPOs More Than Market
      • Money Forward (3994) | Looking Forward to Q2
      • Mizuho Cross-Shareholding – US$11bn of Cross-Shareholding, with at Least US$2bn to Sell over FY24-26
      • Japanese Regional Banks – Adding a Smaller Cap to Our Key Positive Picks
      • United Arrows: Premium Growth
      • The Key to Higher Valuations for Mid-To-Small Caps Is Management’s Strong Will to Achieve Its Goals
      • Geo Holdings (2681 JP) – Investing for Growth
      • Goldwin Focusing on Core Brands, Aims for Global Success


      JPX Proposes BIG Changes To TOPIX Rules, Affects IPOs More Than Market

      By Travis Lundy

      • In 2021 the JPX established new Listing Rules, and in April 2022 introduced new market segments (Prime/Standard/Growth) to much fanfare. Today, the TSE basically said those changes were meaningless.
      • Today, the TSE announced proposed new rules for TOPIX constituent selection. There is a 2-month consultation period, then rules come out end-Sep 2024. Expect few changes from the Proposal.
      • NextGen TOPIX will be created October 2026. 3-4 dozen ADDs, 500-600 DELETEs to create an index of 1,100-1,200 names. Some obvious large impacts 2+yrs from now, but this changes IPOs.

      Money Forward (3994) | Looking Forward to Q2

      By Mark Chadwick

      • Money Forward’s share price has declined by around 16% since reporting Q1 results.
      • The company will report Q2 results in early July. We expect continued solid momentum
      • We believe the stock price has around 30% upside potential to our target price of ¥6,600

      Mizuho Cross-Shareholding – US$11bn of Cross-Shareholding, with at Least US$2bn to Sell over FY24-26

      By Sumeet Singh

      • Following up on our earlier cross-shareholding notes, in this note we look at Mizuho Financial Group (8411 JP)‘s cross-shareholding.
      • Mizuho had a stake over US$100m in at least 34 listed Japanese stocks, amounting to a total of around US$7bn.
      • In this note, we take a look at its stakes in various companies to see which ones could possibly be candidates for further selldowns.

      Japanese Regional Banks – Adding a Smaller Cap to Our Key Positive Picks

      By Victor Galliano

      • We update twelve Japanese regional banks, and add two new names, to target beneficiaries of the improving interest rate outlook; also banks with attractive credit quality, capital adequacy and valuations
      • We identify the value of equity holdings for disposal among these banks; the lack of near-term easing prospects at the US Fed should support JGB yields and domestic bank valuations
      • We add smaller cap Juroku Financial to our buy list of Tokyo Kiraboshi Financial, Gunma Bank and higher risk option Suruga Bank

      United Arrows: Premium Growth

      By Michael Causton

      • The premium fashion market in Japan is growing again and it is not just department stores.
      • One of the leader is United Arrows, whose main urban chains are on a roll, up double digits, but is being held back by lower priced suburban chains.
      • It will now focus more  on the premium market through aggressive category expansion, new brands and M&A.

      The Key to Higher Valuations for Mid-To-Small Caps Is Management’s Strong Will to Achieve Its Goals

      By Aki Matsumoto

      • Even companies with high valuations and return on capital have room to further raise their return on capital and valuations because of cash allocation challenges.
      • Companies whose valuations have not changed over the past year have low ROE and ROA, yet have high policy shareholdings. They have not taken steps to improve return on capital.
      • As for whether many companies without high foreign ownership can raise their return on capital and valuations, strong will of management to achieve their goals is necessary.

      Geo Holdings (2681 JP) – Investing for Growth

      By Astris Advisory Japan

      • Market leader with growth potential – GEO HOLDINGS operates second-hand store chains 2nd STREET, GEO, OKURA, and off-price chain store Luck Rack.
      • Its 2,027 domestic stores give it the leading market share in Japan.
      • The company is making significant investments to extend its home advantage and build on its 2018 expansion overseas where it has 81 stores. 

      Goldwin Focusing on Core Brands, Aims for Global Success

      By Michael Causton

      • As expected, Goldwin posted another record year of sales and profits in FY2023.
      • The sports firm is now narrowing its focus on a smaller number of high profile brands to maximise sales and investment spending.
      • The big promise is its own brand, Goldwin, which is proving as popular overseas as in Japan and looks set to become a global premium sports brand longer-term.

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      Daily Brief Financials: Juroku Financial Group, Mizuho Financial Group, EXOR NV, Bajaj Housing Finance, Iron Mountain, Selective Insurance, Coinshares International, F&G Annuities & Life , Hanover Insurance Group and more

      By | Daily Briefs, Financials

      In today’s briefing:

      • Japanese Regional Banks – Adding a Smaller Cap to Our Key Positive Picks
      • Mizuho Cross-Shareholding – US$11bn of Cross-Shareholding, with at Least US$2bn to Sell over FY24-26
      • Exor CEO John Elkann: Family Ownership, Football and Ferrari
      • Bajaj Housing Finance Pre-IPO – The Negatives – Carrying More Risky Loans
      • Iron Mountain (IRM) – Wednesday, Mar 20, 2024
      • Selective Insurance Group Inc.: Initiation of Coverage – Focus on Investment Strategy and Asset Allocation! – Major Drivers
      • CoinShares International – Pursuing a transatlantic strategy in digital assets
      • F&G Annuities & Life Inc.: Initiation of Coverage – Expansion of Product Portfolio and Penetration into New Demographics! – Major Drivers
      • The Hanover Insurance Group Inc.: Initiation of Coverage


      Japanese Regional Banks – Adding a Smaller Cap to Our Key Positive Picks

      By Victor Galliano

      • We update twelve Japanese regional banks, and add two new names, to target beneficiaries of the improving interest rate outlook; also banks with attractive credit quality, capital adequacy and valuations
      • We identify the value of equity holdings for disposal among these banks; the lack of near-term easing prospects at the US Fed should support JGB yields and domestic bank valuations
      • We add smaller cap Juroku Financial to our buy list of Tokyo Kiraboshi Financial, Gunma Bank and higher risk option Suruga Bank

      Mizuho Cross-Shareholding – US$11bn of Cross-Shareholding, with at Least US$2bn to Sell over FY24-26

      By Sumeet Singh

      • Following up on our earlier cross-shareholding notes, in this note we look at Mizuho Financial Group (8411 JP)‘s cross-shareholding.
      • Mizuho had a stake over US$100m in at least 34 listed Japanese stocks, amounting to a total of around US$7bn.
      • In this note, we take a look at its stakes in various companies to see which ones could possibly be candidates for further selldowns.

      Exor CEO John Elkann: Family Ownership, Football and Ferrari

      By In Good Company with Nicolai Tangen

      • Practice of committing to ownership, governance, and leadership alignment with companies similar to other respected examples like Berkshire Hathaway and the Walnbergs in Sweden
      • Focus on long-term thinking, staying current through innovation, and renewing oneself to ensure enduring success in business
      • Importance of family ownership, stability, and long-term thinking in combination with the benefits of being a public company; John Elkann’s background and path to leadership within the family-owned company.

      This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.


      Bajaj Housing Finance Pre-IPO – The Negatives – Carrying More Risky Loans

      By Sumeet Singh

      • Bajaj Housing Finance (BHF IN) is looking to raise around US$830m in its upcoming India IPO.
      • BHF is a non-deposit taking housing finance company engaged in mortgage lending since FY18. Its mortgage products include home loans, loans against property, lease rental discounting and developer financing.
      • In this note, we talk about the not-so-positive aspects of the deal.

      Iron Mountain (IRM) – Wednesday, Mar 20, 2024

      By Value Investors Club

      • Short recommendation for IRM due to reliance on core document storage business and highly leveraged balance sheet
      • Weak cash flow generation and recurring addbacks in adjusted metrics make stock appear more expensive than it is
      • Concerns about terminal value and ability to meet cash needs raise doubts about long-term viability of the business

      This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


      Selective Insurance Group Inc.: Initiation of Coverage – Focus on Investment Strategy and Asset Allocation! – Major Drivers

      By Baptista Research

      • Selective Insurance Group recently disclosed its financial results for the first quarter of 2024, providing a mixed picture of achievements and challenges that offer a nuanced view for investors.
      • The company posted an operating return on equity (ROE) of 11.7% and reported a 16% growth in net premiums written, driven primarily by strong pricing, steady retention, and continued exposure increases.
      • However, these positive developments were somewhat overshadowed by a combined ratio of 98.2%, which was above the target of 95%, largely due to increased reserving actions.

      CoinShares International – Pursuing a transatlantic strategy in digital assets

      By Edison Investment Research

      CoinShares International (CS) is a pioneer and a well-established player in the nascent, high-growth digital asset industry. The company recently introduced a dividend policy to pay out between 20% and 40% of its total comprehensive income adjusted for currency translation differences. This is underpinned by the steady income from management fees and capital market infrastructure activities, including rewards from staking digital assets, most notably Ether following the recent major upgrades to the Ethereum blockchain network.


      F&G Annuities & Life Inc.: Initiation of Coverage – Expansion of Product Portfolio and Penetration into New Demographics! – Major Drivers

      By Baptista Research

      • F&G started the year with robust first-quarter results, demonstrating a strategic focus on growth and maintaining a balanced capital management process while transitioning into more capital-light strategies.
      • The company reported gross sales of $3.5 billion, marking its second-highest gross sales performance on record, which was a 6% increase from the previous year.
      • This performance was driven by sustainable momentum across their multi channel new business platform and strong demand in a volatile and higher interest rate environment.

      The Hanover Insurance Group Inc.: Initiation of Coverage

      By Baptista Research

      • The Hanover Insurance Group has demonstrated a strong start to the year with robust financial and operational performance in the first quarter.
      • The company’s disciplined approach towards margin recapture, effective catastrophe management, and strategic growth initiatives are likely to continue supporting its profitability and shareholder value in the medium to long term.
      • The Hanover Insurance Group reported after-tax operating income of $112 million or $3.08 per diluted share in the first quarter, representing an operating return on equity of 15%.

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      Daily Brief Consumer: Mcdonald’s Japan, Guzman Y Gomez, Hyundai Motor, Netflix Inc, Webtoon Entertainment, Bloks Group, United Arrows, TSE Tokyo Price Index TOPIX, Geo Holdings and more

      By | Consumer, Daily Briefs

      In today’s briefing:

      • JPX Proposes BIG Changes To TOPIX Rules, Affects IPOs More Than Market
      • Guzman Y Gomez IPO: Listing & Index Inclusion Timeline
      • Hyundai Motor’s Special Shareholder Return Plan Likely Unveiled in August IR Event
      • How Netflix bring Asian Content to the Global Audience with Minyoung Kim
      • Webtoon Entertainment IPO – Further Thoughts on Valuation – Acquisitions, Buyouts
      • Guzman Y Gomez IPO Trading – Strong Demand, Not All Shares in Escrow
      • Bloks Group IPO: Exceptional Revenue Hyper-Growth and Profitability Are Unique Among Toy Makers
      • United Arrows: Premium Growth
      • The Key to Higher Valuations for Mid-To-Small Caps Is Management’s Strong Will to Achieve Its Goals
      • Geo Holdings (2681 JP) – Investing for Growth


      JPX Proposes BIG Changes To TOPIX Rules, Affects IPOs More Than Market

      By Travis Lundy

      • In 2021 the JPX established new Listing Rules, and in April 2022 introduced new market segments (Prime/Standard/Growth) to much fanfare. Today, the TSE basically said those changes were meaningless.
      • Today, the TSE announced proposed new rules for TOPIX constituent selection. There is a 2-month consultation period, then rules come out end-Sep 2024. Expect few changes from the Proposal.
      • NextGen TOPIX will be created October 2026. 3-4 dozen ADDs, 500-600 DELETEs to create an index of 1,100-1,200 names. Some obvious large impacts 2+yrs from now, but this changes IPOs.

      Guzman Y Gomez IPO: Listing & Index Inclusion Timeline

      By Brian Freitas

      • Guzman Y Gomez (0817833D AU) has raised A$335.1m in a primary + secondary offering, valuing the company at A$2.23bn. The stock starts trading on the ASX Ltd (ASX AU) today.
      • Just over 54% of the shares are escrowed which means there is a lot of stock that will be available for sale on listing day.
      • Guzman Y Gomez (0817833D AU) could be added to the S&P/ASX 300 Index in September and there could be global index inclusions in November and December.

      Hyundai Motor’s Special Shareholder Return Plan Likely Unveiled in August IR Event

      By Sanghyun Park

      • Hyundai’s IR team appears to have communicated that a new shareholder return policy would be unveiled at the rescheduled CEO Investor Day in August.
      • Hyundai aims to boost shareholder returns above 30% by canceling ₩800B to ₩1T in shares annually. The new dividend strategy won’t debut in August; last year’s three-year plan stands.
      • Equal cancellation ratios apply to common and three types of preferred shares. August’s timing, with ISA tax reforms potentially favoring preferred shares, may enhance prefs’ price impact relative to ords.

      How Netflix bring Asian Content to the Global Audience with Minyoung Kim

      By Analyse Asia with Bernard Leong

      • Understanding the audience is the number one rule in content creation and building relationships is important globally
      • Min Yong Kim started her career in food and nutrition but transitioned to the entertainment industry, eventually joining Netflix
      • Lessons learned include the importance of knowing your audience and the shift in thinking about content from traditional media to digital platforms

      This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.


      Webtoon Entertainment IPO – Further Thoughts on Valuation – Acquisitions, Buyouts

      By Ethan Aw

      • Webtoon Entertainment (WBTN US) is looking to raise up to US$315m in its US IPO, down from an earlier reported float of US$500m.
      • Webtoon Entertainment is a global storytelling platform where a community of creators and users discover, create and share new content.
      • In our previous notes, we talked about the company’s historical performance, undertook a peer comparison and shared our thoughts on valuation. In this note, we share additional thoughts on valuation.

      Guzman Y Gomez IPO Trading – Strong Demand, Not All Shares in Escrow

      By Sumeet Singh

      • Guzman Y Gomez  raised around US$221m in its upsized Australian IPO. 
      • GYG is a quick service restaurant business with more than 200 restaurants globally. It mainly focuses on fresh, made-to-order, Mexican-inspired food.
      • We have looked at the company’s performance  and valuation in our past notes. In this note, we talk about the trading dynamics.

      Bloks Group IPO: Exceptional Revenue Hyper-Growth and Profitability Are Unique Among Toy Makers

      By Andrei Zakharov

      • Bloks Group, a fast-growing toy company and leader of assembly character toys, filed for a Hong Kong IPO. The company is headquartered in Shanghai, PRC, and has 410 full-time employees.
      • Bloks Group has raised $200M+ to date from investors, including YF Capital, Legend Capital, Source Code Capital, Gaorong Capital and SinoMedia Asia Pacific.
      • The Chinese toy maker has delivered an exceptional revenue hyper-growth of 169% y/y in 2023. Elite operating metrics and impressive financial profile make IPO attractive for investors.

      United Arrows: Premium Growth

      By Michael Causton

      • The premium fashion market in Japan is growing again and it is not just department stores.
      • One of the leader is United Arrows, whose main urban chains are on a roll, up double digits, but is being held back by lower priced suburban chains.
      • It will now focus more  on the premium market through aggressive category expansion, new brands and M&A.

      The Key to Higher Valuations for Mid-To-Small Caps Is Management’s Strong Will to Achieve Its Goals

      By Aki Matsumoto

      • Even companies with high valuations and return on capital have room to further raise their return on capital and valuations because of cash allocation challenges.
      • Companies whose valuations have not changed over the past year have low ROE and ROA, yet have high policy shareholdings. They have not taken steps to improve return on capital.
      • As for whether many companies without high foreign ownership can raise their return on capital and valuations, strong will of management to achieve their goals is necessary.

      Geo Holdings (2681 JP) – Investing for Growth

      By Astris Advisory Japan

      • Market leader with growth potential – GEO HOLDINGS operates second-hand store chains 2nd STREET, GEO, OKURA, and off-price chain store Luck Rack.
      • Its 2,027 domestic stores give it the leading market share in Japan.
      • The company is making significant investments to extend its home advantage and build on its 2018 expansion overseas where it has 81 stores. 

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      Most Read: Mcdonald’s Japan, Infocom Corp, Exedy Corp, Guzman Y Gomez, Hyundai Motor, Lawson Inc, Webtoon Entertainment, Capitol Health and more

      By | Daily Briefs, Most Read

      In today’s briefing:

      • JPX Proposes BIG Changes To TOPIX Rules, Affects IPOs More Than Market
      • Blackstone Does a BIG Deal for Infocom (4348) – Minorities Get ¥6,060/Share
      • [JAPAN ACTIVISM] – Murakami Group Goes Activisting on Exedy (7278) – Room To Run
      • Guzman Y Gomez IPO: Listing & Index Inclusion Timeline
      • Hyundai Motor’s Special Shareholder Return Plan Likely Unveiled in August IR Event
      • Hong Kong Property: In Need Of A Good Story
      • KDDI and Lawson: Loyalty Points Just the Start
      • Webtoon Entertainment IPO – Further Thoughts on Valuation – Acquisitions, Buyouts
      • Capitol Health (CAJ AU): All-Scrip Non-Binding Merger with Integral Diagnostics
      • Guzman Y Gomez IPO Trading – Strong Demand, Not All Shares in Escrow


      JPX Proposes BIG Changes To TOPIX Rules, Affects IPOs More Than Market

      By Travis Lundy

      • In 2021 the JPX established new Listing Rules, and in April 2022 introduced new market segments (Prime/Standard/Growth) to much fanfare. Today, the TSE basically said those changes were meaningless.
      • Today, the TSE announced proposed new rules for TOPIX constituent selection. There is a 2-month consultation period, then rules come out end-Sep 2024. Expect few changes from the Proposal.
      • NextGen TOPIX will be created October 2026. 3-4 dozen ADDs, 500-600 DELETEs to create an index of 1,100-1,200 names. Some obvious large impacts 2+yrs from now, but this changes IPOs.

      Blackstone Does a BIG Deal for Infocom (4348) – Minorities Get ¥6,060/Share

      By Travis Lundy

      • 15 weeks ago, a specialised media outlet suggested Teijin Ltd (3401 JP) was in process to sell its stake in Infocom Corp (4348 JP)
      • I caught up later, after the stock had run up significantly, but writing bullishly here and here. Since then, the stock is up another 33-35%.
      • Today we finally got the announced deal. Blackstone will buy the stock at a valuation of ¥280bn, paying ¥6,060/share for the minority stake, and buying back Teijin’s stake at ¥4,340/share.

      [JAPAN ACTIVISM] – Murakami Group Goes Activisting on Exedy (7278) – Room To Run

      By Travis Lundy

      • Late May, Aisin (7259 JP) announced a sell-down of its 34% stake in Exedy Corp (7278 JP) – a big non-dilutive offering, pricing 11% below undisturbed. Exedy announced a buyback.
      • Announced on the 27th of May, shares fell sharply the next day, it priced on the 3rd, and offering shares traded on the 10th. Then the price started climbing back.
      • My first and second pieces argued that buyback accretion, index impact, and change in register shape all meant it was a buy. Activist Murakami agreed, now he has 6.5%. 

      Guzman Y Gomez IPO: Listing & Index Inclusion Timeline

      By Brian Freitas

      • Guzman Y Gomez (0817833D AU) has raised A$335.1m in a primary + secondary offering, valuing the company at A$2.23bn. The stock starts trading on the ASX Ltd (ASX AU) today.
      • Just over 54% of the shares are escrowed which means there is a lot of stock that will be available for sale on listing day.
      • Guzman Y Gomez (0817833D AU) could be added to the S&P/ASX 300 Index in September and there could be global index inclusions in November and December.

      Hyundai Motor’s Special Shareholder Return Plan Likely Unveiled in August IR Event

      By Sanghyun Park

      • Hyundai’s IR team appears to have communicated that a new shareholder return policy would be unveiled at the rescheduled CEO Investor Day in August.
      • Hyundai aims to boost shareholder returns above 30% by canceling ₩800B to ₩1T in shares annually. The new dividend strategy won’t debut in August; last year’s three-year plan stands.
      • Equal cancellation ratios apply to common and three types of preferred shares. August’s timing, with ISA tax reforms potentially favoring preferred shares, may enhance prefs’ price impact relative to ords.

      Hong Kong Property: In Need Of A Good Story

      By David Blennerhassett

      • When property advisors (JLL, Knight Frank, CBRE etc) debate the bottom of Hong Kong’s office/retail market, such commentary is often infused with cautious optimism. 
      • And for good reason, as vacancies increase, and rents soften.
      • Recent press articles and anecdotal evidence suggests market uncertainty lingers, prompting  landlords to (further) assess their stance on rents.

      KDDI and Lawson: Loyalty Points Just the Start

      By Michael Causton

      • KDDI will complete its acquisition of a 50% share in Lawson this month and the chain will then delist.
      • KDDI is promising a rapid introduction of services and fresh ideas to leverage its new retail arm.
      • It will begin by unifying premium loyalty point membership under the Ponta brand and offer new services that it hopes will help boost share. What out LY.

      Webtoon Entertainment IPO – Further Thoughts on Valuation – Acquisitions, Buyouts

      By Ethan Aw

      • Webtoon Entertainment (WBTN US) is looking to raise up to US$315m in its US IPO, down from an earlier reported float of US$500m.
      • Webtoon Entertainment is a global storytelling platform where a community of creators and users discover, create and share new content.
      • In our previous notes, we talked about the company’s historical performance, undertook a peer comparison and shared our thoughts on valuation. In this note, we share additional thoughts on valuation.

      Capitol Health (CAJ AU): All-Scrip Non-Binding Merger with Integral Diagnostics

      By Arun George

      • On 17 June, Capitol Health (CAJ AU) disclosed a non-binding merger proposal from Integral Diagnostics (IDX AU) at 0.12849 Integral shares per Capitol share.
      • Integral has been granted a four-week exclusivity period that ends on 15 July. The transaction will require approval from the ACCC and Capitol shareholders. 
      • The offer is attractive compared to historical exchange ratios, trading ranges and peer multiples. At the last close, the gross spread was 11.7%.  

      Guzman Y Gomez IPO Trading – Strong Demand, Not All Shares in Escrow

      By Sumeet Singh

      • Guzman Y Gomez  raised around US$221m in its upsized Australian IPO. 
      • GYG is a quick service restaurant business with more than 200 restaurants globally. It mainly focuses on fresh, made-to-order, Mexican-inspired food.
      • We have looked at the company’s performance  and valuation in our past notes. In this note, we talk about the trading dynamics.

      💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

      Sign Up for Free

      The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

      • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
      • ✓ Personalised Alerts
      • ✓ Custom Watchlists
      • ✓ Company Analytics and News
      • ✓ Events & Webinars