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Daily Briefs

Daily Brief Macro: Monthly Monitor: China Activity Data (May 2024) and more

By | Daily Briefs, Macro

In today’s briefing:

  • Monthly Monitor: China Activity Data (May 2024)
  • Revisiting the Japanese Market – Time to Increase Allocations?
  • CHINA: Do You Like AI? BUY Utilities!
  • CX Daily: Maternity Wards Are Latest Victim of China’s Falling Birthrate
  • BoE Rolls Hints to August
  • Indonesia Policy Rate 6.25% (consensus 6.2) in Jun-24
  • Norway Policy Rate 4.5% (consensus 4.5%) in Jun-24


Monthly Monitor: China Activity Data (May 2024)

By Alex Ng

  • Weak industrial output and urban fixed asset investment pose concerns to the health of the economy
  • The beat in retail sales is likely due to holiday season in May and thus its significance should be discounted
  • Going forward, we expect these three activity data to be weak unless the authorities launch more fiscal and monetary stimuli.

Revisiting the Japanese Market – Time to Increase Allocations?

By Rikki Malik

  • The main Japanese indices have been moving sideways this year
  • Continued weakness in the JPY has diminished returns in USD terms
  • Technically the market has similar weak underlying breadth as the US market

CHINA: Do You Like AI? BUY Utilities!

By David Mudd

  • AI is poised to drive a large increase in power consumption on the mainland.  Data demand from generative AI necessitates more data centers and consequently more power.
  • China energy consumption is at the beginning of a super cycle as AI becomes integral to everyday corporate and eventually personal lives.
  • China’s clean energy names will benefit from the China’s energy strategy as its power needs from data centers surge.

CX Daily: Maternity Wards Are Latest Victim of China’s Falling Birthrate

By Caixin Global

  • Maternity / In Depth: Maternity wards are latest victim of China’s falling birthrate
  • Flood / Fatal flooding leaves 13 dead in South China

  • Monetary policy / China’s monetary policy will stay ‘accommodative’ despite deflated data, PBOC chief says


BoE Rolls Hints to August

By Phil Rush

  • The BoE unsurprisingly maintained the Bank rate at 5.25% with only two dovish dissents. However, the decision was “finely balanced” for probably at least four others.
  • August is explicitly identified as an occasion to review the Bank rate in light of the forecast round. High services inflation is being downplayed in at least the interim.
  • We see a lower hurdle to an August cut, reinforcing our call for that, although we still see it as a premature step that risks a reversal through rate hikes in 2025.

Indonesia Policy Rate 6.25% (consensus 6.2) in Jun-24

By Heteronomics AI

  • Bank Indonesia kept the BI-Rate unchanged at 6.25%, aligning with market expectations to manage inflation and stabilize the Rupiah amid global uncertainties.
  • Future interest rate decisions will be influenced by global financial market dynamics, particularly US monetary policy shifts, and the strong performance of the domestic economy driven by robust consumption and investment.
  • Ensuring Rupiah stability and maintaining inflation within the 2.5 ± 1% target range remain central to Bank Indonesia’s strategy, supported by monetary, macroprudential, and payment system policies to foster sustainable economic growth.
This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

Norway Policy Rate 4.5% (consensus 4.5%) in Jun-24

By Heteronomics AI

  • The Norges Bank kept the policy rate at 4.5%, aligning with expectations, to maintain a tight monetary stance amid high but slowing inflation.
  • Despite low growth, economic activity exceeded projections in Q1, and employment remains high, supporting household consumption and overall economic stability.
  • While inflation has slowed, it remains above target, necessitating the continuation of a tight monetary policy; adjustments will depend on inflation trends, economic growth, and global factors.
This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

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Daily Brief Australia: Mma Offshore, Capitol Health, Tamboran Resources and more

By | Australia, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • MMA Offshore (MRM AU): Disappointing Final Offer Poses a Vote Risk
  • Capitol Health (CAJ AU)/Integral Diagnostics (IDX AU): An Improved Image
  • Tamboran Resources US Offering – Strong Recent Momentum but CDIs Have Been Volatile Since Listing


MMA Offshore (MRM AU): Disappointing Final Offer Poses a Vote Risk

By Arun George

  • Cyan Renewables has bumped its Mma Offshore (MRM AU) offer to A$2.70 per share, a 3.8% premium to the previous A$2.60 offer.
  • The bump is derisory in the context of recent earnings upgrades. Since the binding proposal, MMA has upgraded its FY24 EBITDA and EBIT guidance by 9.8% and 15.5%, respectively.
  • The AFR reported that around 30% of the register opposed the previous offer. A cursory 3.8% bump is unlikely to sway most of these dissenters to change their views.

Capitol Health (CAJ AU)/Integral Diagnostics (IDX AU): An Improved Image

By David Blennerhassett

  • Diagnostic imaging provider Capitol Health (CAJ AU) has announced it has entered into a process deed with Integral Diagnostics (IDX AU)
  • This non-binding indicative Offer, by way of a Scheme, involves 0.12849 new IDX shares for each share of Capitol.  The next step is four weeks of two-way confirmatory due diligence.
  • The implied Offer Price under the scrip terms is A$0.3284/share. Should the transaction complete, Integral would hold 63% in the combined group. This is the second Integral/Capitol merger attempt.

Tamboran Resources US Offering – Strong Recent Momentum but CDIs Have Been Volatile Since Listing

By Clarence Chu

  • Tamboran Resources (TBN AU) is looking to raise US$175m from listing its shares in the US.
  • Tamboran Resources is an early stage, independent natural gas exploration and production company.
  • In this note, we talk about the deal dynamics and the listing impact.

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Daily Brief Indonesia: Barito Renewables Energy and more

By | Daily Briefs, Indonesia

In today’s briefing:

  • Barito Renewables Energy (BREN IJ): Back to Normal Trading & Index Implications


Barito Renewables Energy (BREN IJ): Back to Normal Trading & Index Implications

By Brian Freitas


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Daily Brief South Korea: SK Innovation and more

By | Daily Briefs, South Korea

In today’s briefing:

  • Digging into Chosun Ilbo’s Report on SK Group’s SK Innovation & SK E&S Merger Plans


Digging into Chosun Ilbo’s Report on SK Group’s SK Innovation & SK E&S Merger Plans

By Sanghyun Park

  • SK Group plans to merge SK Innovation and 90%-owned SK E&S by month-end. Chosun Ilbo’s report solidifies market confidence due to its credibility and likely intentional leak by SK Group.
  • Initially considered but deemed lower priority than SK IE Technology sale; SK Group opts for this alternative due to challenging market conditions for SKITE sale.
  • SK Innovation and SKIET rise with hopes of resolving liquidity issues and avoiding sacrifice. SK Inc is negatively impacted by concerns over valuation double counting from this merger.

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Daily Brief United States: Perfect , J & J Snack Foods, SharkNinja , Kontoor Brands , Adient PLC, Office Properties Income Trust, Abercrombie & Fitch Co Cl A, Pvh Corp and more

By | Daily Briefs, United States

In today’s briefing:

  • Perfect Corp.
  • J&J Snack Foods Corp.: Initiation Of Coverage – Growth from Branded Products & 3 Other Major Drivers
  • Sharkninja (SN) – Thursday, Mar 21, 2024
  • Kontoor Brands: Initiation Of Coverage – Are Its DTC & Tech Investments Yielding The Necessary Results? – Major Drivers
  • Adient plc: Initiation Of Coverage – What Is Its Business Strategy & How Is It Growing In China? – Major Drivers
  • Office Properties Incom Trust (OPI 4.5 2025) – Thursday, Mar 21, 2024
  • Abercrombie & Fitch Co Cl A – AKA: Snapping the Store: Building Unique Brands; Retierate Buy, $25 PT
  • Pvh Corp – VNCE: 1Q Review: Multiple Positives Coming to the Fore; Reiterate Buy, $3 PT


Perfect Corp.

By Zacks Small Cap Research

  • Perfect Corp. provides an AI and machine learning based B2B SaaS platform for virtual try on and marketing of beauty and fashion products as well as six mobile apps sold B2C for makeup suggestions, try-on, tutorials, photo and video editing and most recently, Gen AI creation and editing.
  • It is expanding its offering to new verticals and has strong IP as well as the largest database for AI training in the industry.
  • It has a dominant market share and serves almost all the major beauty brands worldwide.

J&J Snack Foods Corp.: Initiation Of Coverage – Growth from Branded Products & 3 Other Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • The first quarter earnings of J&J Snack Foods Corporation (J&J) highlights several aspects of the company’s financial health and operational performance.
  • The company’s Q1 2024 results were influenced by a challenging consumer environment, with many customers witnessing yearly declines in consumer traffic and consumption.
  • To counteract these trends, J&J leveraged its popular brands to optimize sales opportunities, resulting in less than a 1% sales decline.

Sharkninja (SN) – Thursday, Mar 21, 2024

By Value Investors Club

  • SharkNinja is a newly listed company with popular consumer brands Shark and Ninja
  • Despite challenges in brand-building and international markets, the company achieved a 15% operating margin in 2023
  • Analysts project an annualized return of 18-20% based on current earnings yield and expected organic earnings growth

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


Kontoor Brands: Initiation Of Coverage – Are Its DTC & Tech Investments Yielding The Necessary Results? – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • This is our first report on apparel major, Kontoor Brands Inc. The company released its financial results for the fourth quarter and fiscal year 2023 in its recent earnings conference call.
  • The company’s Vice President, President, Chief Executive Officer, Co-Chief Operating Officer, and Chief Financial Officer were on the call to provide insights on Kontoor’s business accomplishments and forecasts.
  • One crucial undertaking announced in the conference call was Project Jeanius.

Adient plc: Initiation Of Coverage – What Is Its Business Strategy & How Is It Growing In China? – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • This is our first report on Adient, a global leader in automotive seating.
  • The company has continued to focus on business performance, launch execution, and continuous improvement in FY 2024.
  • Some highlights in the first fiscal quarter of 2024 include a total revenue of $3.7 billion, a slight decrease compared to the previous year’s first quarter, and an adjusted EBITDA totalling $216 million, reflecting an increase of 2%.

Office Properties Incom Trust (OPI 4.5 2025) – Thursday, Mar 21, 2024

By Value Investors Club

  • Buy long positions in OPI 4.5 2/1/25 bonds, currently trading at 83 with a 28% yield
  • Company has 11 months to refinance bonds with Moelis assisting in debt restructuring
  • With 5.3B in total assets and 1.74B already pledged as collateral, company has enough to secure upcoming 650M maturity

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


Abercrombie & Fitch Co Cl A – AKA: Snapping the Store: Building Unique Brands; Retierate Buy, $25 PT

By Small Cap Consumer Research

  • We are reiterating our Buy rating, $25 price target and projections of a.k.a. Brands after touring the company’s Culture Kings store in Las Vegas and Princess Polly unit in Los Angeles.
  • We believe both locations represent impressive retail units which will allow for continued growth (and high returns) going forward, as a.k.a. expands their retail footprint, with three new Princess Polly stores on track for a 2H24 opening.
  • As such, we remain excited by the potential for the ongoing turn at the company, which we believe will be even further driven by continued retail expansion, and reiterate our Buy rating and $25 price target for AKA.

Pvh Corp – VNCE: 1Q Review: Multiple Positives Coming to the Fore; Reiterate Buy, $3 PT

By Small Cap Consumer Research

  • We are reiterating our Buy rating and $3 price target for Vince Holding Corp. after the company reported slightly better-than expected 1QFY24 (April) results and reiterated FY24 guidance.
  • We believe, as the Vince operating model continues to normalize in FY24, it will become increasingly clear to investors the material positives at Vince, from a focus on full price selling, strong wholesale order book, continuing emphasis on higher overall returns and a strengthening balance sheet, which we believe will drive a higher valuation for VNCE, especially with momentum ramping even higher from a “normalized” 2HFY24.
  • As such, we reiterate our Buy rating and $3 price target for VNCE.

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Daily Brief India: Muthoot Microfin, Hyundai Motor India and more

By | Daily Briefs, India

In today’s briefing:

  • Muthoot Microfin Lockup Expiry – Pre-IPO Investors Well in the Money Despite the Stock’s Performance
  • Hyundai Motor India: Can It Thrive Amidst a Rapidly Evolving Mobility Landscape?


Muthoot Microfin Lockup Expiry – Pre-IPO Investors Well in the Money Despite the Stock’s Performance

By Ethan Aw

  • Muthoot Microfin (MUTHOOTM IN) raised around US$115m in its Indian IPO, after pricing the deal at the top end of its IPO range at INR291/share.
  • Muthoot Microfin is a microfinance institution providing micro-loans to women customers with a focus on the rural regions of India.
  • In this note, we will talk about the lock-up dynamics and updates since our last note.

Hyundai Motor India: Can It Thrive Amidst a Rapidly Evolving Mobility Landscape?

By Devi Subhakesan

  • India’s passenger vehicle industry is shifting towards alternative fuels and facing intense competition, amidst changing customer preferences.
  • Despite a growing vehicle market, Hyundai Motor India (HMIL) faces a tough battle to defend its market share given changing industry dynamics.
  • With more competitors in the fray, including its parent group company Kia and EV leader BYD, Hyundai Motor India is in for a challenging ride.

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Daily Brief Japan: SBI Sumishin Net Bank , Mimasu Semiconductor Industry, Tatsuta Electric Wire & Cable, Ryohin Keikaku, Takeda Pharmaceutical , Mixi Inc and more

By | Daily Briefs, Japan

In today’s briefing:

  • TOPIX Market Consultation: Wider Next-Gen Universe in a Couple of Years; But Stocks Moving Already
  • Shin-Etsu Chem TOB for Rest of Mimasu Semi (8155) – Far Too Cheap, But No Squeaky Wheel No Grease
  • Tatsuta Electric (5809 JP): Eneos Refuses to Bump, Board Capitulates
  • ENEOS Launches Tatsuta Elec (5809) “Minority” Takeout at Same Price as 18mos Ago
  • Sep24 Nikkei 225 Rebal – Still 1 ADD, 1 DELETE, 1 Dark Horse, But #2-Ranked ADD Is Close
  • Mimasu Semiconductor (8155 JP): Shin-Etsu (4063 JP)’s Tender Offer Launches
  • Additional Points Add to Our Recent Bearish View on Takeda.
  • MIXI Inc. (2121 JP) – At an Inflection Point to Generate Shareholder Value


TOPIX Market Consultation: Wider Next-Gen Universe in a Couple of Years; But Stocks Moving Already

By Brian Freitas

  • JPX has commenced a market consultation on changes to the TSE Tokyo Price Index TOPIX (TPX INDEX) including expansion of the universe and periodic stock selection.
  • Based on current market cap/ liquidity, there could be 38 adds and 447 deletions for the TSE Tokyo Price Index TOPIX, though the changes only start in October 2026. 
  • The deletions will be phased out of the index in 8 steps that will end in July 2028 and most of the stocks will move to the TOPIX Next-tier. 

Shin-Etsu Chem TOB for Rest of Mimasu Semi (8155) – Far Too Cheap, But No Squeaky Wheel No Grease

By Travis Lundy

  • Shin Etsu Chemical (4063 JP), owner of a 44% stake in Mimasu Semiconductor Industry (8155 JP), will launch the TOB to buy out Mimasu minority holders, as pre-announced 2mos ago.
  • Not surprising. They bought in 19yrs ago, raised to 40+% 18yrs ago, then waited. Finally, we have a deal. It’s too cheap but in 18yrs, I recall zero activism here.
  • Shin-Etsu starts with ~45%, and crossholders and the chairman get it to 53%. Then they need a bit to get them to 67% but it should be straightforward.

Tatsuta Electric (5809 JP): Eneos Refuses to Bump, Board Capitulates

By Arun George

  • 18 months after announcing the offer, ENEOS Holdings (5020 JP) launched the Tatsuta Electric Wire & Cable (5809 JP) tender offer at unchanged JPY720, 4.9% below the last close price.  
  • The Board requested a bump, but Eneos refused due to Tatsuta’s missed targets, no competing offer and the supportive updated IFA valuation
  • The lack of a bump, no vocal opposition, deal fatigue, the Board’s unexpected recommendation, weak earnings and 73.9% takeover premium will help acceptance.

ENEOS Launches Tatsuta Elec (5809) “Minority” Takeout at Same Price as 18mos Ago

By Travis Lundy

  • ENEOS announced its deal for Tatsuta Electric Wire & Cable (5809 JP) 18mos ago. China approval took a while. Now they have launched. 
  • The TOPIX Non-Ferrous Metals sector has returned 60%. TOPIX 50%. There is a new TSE Sheriff in town asking for PBR 1.0x. BVPS is up. Presumably, forward CF is up.
  • But the TOB Price is unchanged. That is disappointing. One reason why a higher price was rejected was that no other buyer approached to take over the company. 🤷🏻‍♂️

Sep24 Nikkei 225 Rebal – Still 1 ADD, 1 DELETE, 1 Dark Horse, But #2-Ranked ADD Is Close

By Travis Lundy

  • The Sep 2024 Nikkei 225 Review base date is six weeks away. One can no extrapolate results quite accurately. It still gives us one ADD, one DELETE, and capping fun.
  • Recently, Yanai-san sold more Fast Retailing (9983 JP). More active holders own more stock (which may mean less interest to buy later), and only 1% to go to avoid capping.
  • There should be one DELETE, one ADD. There is a low-probability Dark Horse ADD but I expect Kokusai Electric (6525) to be added in March 2025. 

Mimasu Semiconductor (8155 JP): Shin-Etsu (4063 JP)’s Tender Offer Launches

By Arun George

  • Mimasu Semiconductor Industry (8155 JP) notes that the pre-condition for Shin Etsu Chemical (4063 JP)’s JPY3,700 tender offer has been satisfied. The tender runs from 21 June to 5 August.
  • The share price has traded at or above the offer on 15 out of 38 trading days, partly due to expectations of a counteroffer. 
  • While the offer is below the midpoint of the IFA DCF valuation range, it represents an all-time high. The lack of activists or competing offers suggests a done deal.

Additional Points Add to Our Recent Bearish View on Takeda.

By Avien Pillay

  • Production problems of Vyvanse generics seem to be largely resolved with nine of the ten suppliers back in stock.
  • Safety concerns with Takeda’s approved psoriasis competitor does raise further concerns as they are both TYK-2 inhibitors.
  • The company’s $900 m big restructure and cited areas for margin improvement are not “convincing” and lack detail.   

MIXI Inc. (2121 JP) – At an Inflection Point to Generate Shareholder Value

By Astris Advisory Japan

  • Approaching a transformational phase – MIXI Inc. is a digital content company generating earnings from its ‘MONSTER STRIKE’ mobile gaming franchise.
  • Operating in a mature domestic gaming market, the company has successfully diversified into lifestyle and sports, but to date has experienced limited earnings contribution.
  • We believe this is about to change, driven by the new monetization strategy for the ‘FamilyAlbum’ video and photo- sharing service app in FY3/25. 

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Daily Brief China: Taste Gourmet, SenseTime Group , PC Partner, Hengdeli Holdings, Shanghai Rural Commercial Bank, Sa Sa International Hldgs, China Merchants China Direct Investments, Road King Infrastructure and more

By | China, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • Taste Gourmet (8371 HK): Strong FY24, 6.7x PE, Cash ~23% of Mkt Cap and >8% Dividend Yield
  • Sensetime Placement – Seems Highly Opportunistic
  • PC Partners (1263 HK) Muses SGX Listing & HKEx Withdrawal
  • Hengdeli Holdings (3389 HK)’s Pitiful Partial Offer
  • Quiddity Leaderboard CSI 300/​​500 Dec 24:  A Long-Short Basket Trade Idea with High Momentum
  • Sa Sa Intl (178 HK): Every Coin Has Two Sides
  • CMCDI Update: Warning Shot Fired At AGM Despite Kan’s Successful Re-Election
  • Morning Views Asia: Road King Infrastructure


Taste Gourmet (8371 HK): Strong FY24, 6.7x PE, Cash ~23% of Mkt Cap and >8% Dividend Yield

By Sameer Taneja

  • Taste Gourmet (8371 HK) reported revenues up 37% YoY and profits up 29% YoY (lower than our expectation of 39% profit growth) due to a slightly weaker-than-expected Q4.
  • Dividends for H2 were 7.4 cents/share (overall FY24:12.9 cents), implying an 8.1% dividend yield. Net cash on the balance sheet was 143 mn HKD (23% of market cap).
  • Trading at 6.7x PE FY24 (March end) and with an excellent execution track record, we believe that the company will be able to post more robust numbers in FY25. 

Sensetime Placement – Seems Highly Opportunistic

By Sumeet Singh

  • SenseTime Group (20 HK)  aims to raise up to US$263m via selling around 4.5% stake.
  • Sensetime hasn’t had the best of times since listing, however, the shares have rebounded recently on generative AI buzz around the stock.
  • In this note, we will talk about the placement and run the deal through our ECM framework.

PC Partners (1263 HK) Muses SGX Listing & HKEx Withdrawal

By David Blennerhassett

  • On the 18th June, personal computer (PC) parts and accessories play PC Partner (1263 HK) announced a profit alert for 1H24. 
  • That’s positive. What is also interesting is that the board is considering an SGX listing, by way of introduction, and applying for the withdrawal of the HKEx listing.
  • Precedents are thin on the ground. And for good reason. The process is not straightforward.

Hengdeli Holdings (3389 HK)’s Pitiful Partial Offer

By David Blennerhassett

  • After watch accessory play Hengdeli Holdings (3389 HK) was suspended on the 17th June pursuant to the Takeovers Code, I didn’t hold out high hopes of a knock-out Offer.
  • And on cue, CEO Tony Cheung (16%), son of founder Zhang Yuping (holding 17%), has made a Partial Offer (for 15% of shares outstanding) at HK$0.16/share, towards gaining majority control.
  • That’s a 18.5% premium to last close … and a 80% discount to NAV, and a 47% discount to Hengdeli’s net cash as at 31 December 2023.

Quiddity Leaderboard CSI 300/​​500 Dec 24:  A Long-Short Basket Trade Idea with High Momentum

By Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

  • CSI 300 represents the 300 largest stocks by market cap and liquidity from the Shanghai and Shenzhen Exchanges. CSI 500 is the next 500.
  • In this insight, we take a look at the potential ADDs and DELs leading the race for the semiannual index rebal event in December 2024.
  • Currently, we see 16 ADDs/DELs for the CSI 300 index and 50 ADDs/DELs for the CSI 500 index.

Sa Sa Intl (178 HK): Every Coin Has Two Sides

By Osbert Tang, CFA

  • Despite missing market consensus, Sa Sa International Hldgs (178 HK)‘s FY24 result still have silver linings. Its resumption of dividends with a 70% payout ratio is welcoming.
  • Tax credit in 2H23 has distorted comparison. At pre-tax level, 2H24 profit has gone up by 29.5%. Cost management is solid, generating a 0.9pp FY24 operating margin expansion. 
  • While overall 1Q25 sales have dropped, mainland China sales surged 83.9%. The macro environment should have bottomed and government efforts to attract tourists will pay off.  

CMCDI Update: Warning Shot Fired At AGM Despite Kan’s Successful Re-Election

By Alec Tseung

  • While Elizabeth Kan barely survived the AGM vote, ASM has effectively mobilized minority shareholders.
  • Lazard (owns 15% of CMCDI) probably voted alongside ASM (owns 9%). Other than China Merchants Group and Victor Chu, almost no “outside shareholders” voted in favor of Kan, .
  • The next battleground is a vote in November when CMCDI needs to renew its investment management agreement. Intense behind-the-scene negotiations are expected, given the bargaining power ASM now demonstrated.

Morning Views Asia: Road King Infrastructure

By Leonard Law, CFA

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.


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Daily Brief Utilities: Barito Renewables Energy and more

By | Daily Briefs, Utilities Sector

In today’s briefing:

  • Barito Renewables Energy (BREN IJ): Back to Normal Trading & Index Implications


Barito Renewables Energy (BREN IJ): Back to Normal Trading & Index Implications

By Brian Freitas


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Daily Brief Industrials: Tatsuta Electric Wire & Cable, Mma Offshore, SharkNinja and more

By | Daily Briefs, Industrials

In today’s briefing:

  • Tatsuta Electric (5809 JP): Eneos Refuses to Bump, Board Capitulates
  • ENEOS Launches Tatsuta Elec (5809) “Minority” Takeout at Same Price as 18mos Ago
  • MMA Offshore (MRM AU): Disappointing Final Offer Poses a Vote Risk
  • Sharkninja (SN) – Thursday, Mar 21, 2024


Tatsuta Electric (5809 JP): Eneos Refuses to Bump, Board Capitulates

By Arun George

  • 18 months after announcing the offer, ENEOS Holdings (5020 JP) launched the Tatsuta Electric Wire & Cable (5809 JP) tender offer at unchanged JPY720, 4.9% below the last close price.  
  • The Board requested a bump, but Eneos refused due to Tatsuta’s missed targets, no competing offer and the supportive updated IFA valuation
  • The lack of a bump, no vocal opposition, deal fatigue, the Board’s unexpected recommendation, weak earnings and 73.9% takeover premium will help acceptance.

ENEOS Launches Tatsuta Elec (5809) “Minority” Takeout at Same Price as 18mos Ago

By Travis Lundy

  • ENEOS announced its deal for Tatsuta Electric Wire & Cable (5809 JP) 18mos ago. China approval took a while. Now they have launched. 
  • The TOPIX Non-Ferrous Metals sector has returned 60%. TOPIX 50%. There is a new TSE Sheriff in town asking for PBR 1.0x. BVPS is up. Presumably, forward CF is up.
  • But the TOB Price is unchanged. That is disappointing. One reason why a higher price was rejected was that no other buyer approached to take over the company. 🤷🏻‍♂️

MMA Offshore (MRM AU): Disappointing Final Offer Poses a Vote Risk

By Arun George

  • Cyan Renewables has bumped its Mma Offshore (MRM AU) offer to A$2.70 per share, a 3.8% premium to the previous A$2.60 offer.
  • The bump is derisory in the context of recent earnings upgrades. Since the binding proposal, MMA has upgraded its FY24 EBITDA and EBIT guidance by 9.8% and 15.5%, respectively.
  • The AFR reported that around 30% of the register opposed the previous offer. A cursory 3.8% bump is unlikely to sway most of these dissenters to change their views.

Sharkninja (SN) – Thursday, Mar 21, 2024

By Value Investors Club

  • SharkNinja is a newly listed company with popular consumer brands Shark and Ninja
  • Despite challenges in brand-building and international markets, the company achieved a 15% operating margin in 2023
  • Analysts project an annualized return of 18-20% based on current earnings yield and expected organic earnings growth

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


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