Category

Daily Briefs

Daily Brief Consumer: Guangzhou Automobile Group, TSE Tokyo Price Index TOPIX, Webtoon Entertainment and more

By | Consumer, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • China Consumption Weekly (24 Jun 2024): Kuaishou, Bilibili, NetEase, GAC, Honda Motor, Chow Tai Fook
  • What Lies Behind the Inability to Come up with Flexible Cash Usage Is
  • ECM Weekly (24th June 2024)-Webtoon, Guzman, Black Ses, Johor Plant, Bajaj Housing, Infratil, Mizuho


China Consumption Weekly (24 Jun 2024): Kuaishou, Bilibili, NetEase, GAC, Honda Motor, Chow Tai Fook

By Ming Lu

  • Kuaishou and Bilibili’s GMV surged YoY during “June 18” sales.
  • World of Warcraft: Wrath of the Lich King, will formally start on June 27.
  • GAC Honda Automobile Ltd planned to dismiss 1700 employees, about 14% of total.

What Lies Behind the Inability to Come up with Flexible Cash Usage Is

By Aki Matsumoto

  • Many Japanese managers have little idea that what belongs to shareholders is net profit and not free cash flow. This has created two problems.
  • If Japanese companies, mostly manufacturers, use dividend payout ratios as a criterion for shareholder returns, cash on hand will not decline even if shareholder returns are increased to some extent.
  • The inability to move beyond the concept of allocating investment and shareholder returns based on increases or decreases in cash may be the reason for the unclear cash allocation policy.

ECM Weekly (24th June 2024)-Webtoon, Guzman, Black Ses, Johor Plant, Bajaj Housing, Infratil, Mizuho

By Sumeet Singh

  • Aequitas Research’s weekly update on the IPOs, placements, lockup expiry and other ECM linked events that were covered by the team over the past week.
  • On the IPO front, Guzman provided some hope to the Australian market, while Webtoon Entertainment (WBTN US) and Allied Blenders & Distillers will soon test their respective markets.
  • There was no dearth of placement this week, with large deals in Hong Kong, New Zealand and India.

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Daily Brief Health Care: YSB, Acotec Scientific Holdings, Aclaris Therapeutics and more

By | Daily Briefs, Healthcare

In today’s briefing:

  • China Healthcare Weekly (Jun23)-Retail Pharmacy’s Dilemma, Logic to Biotech’s Stock Price,YSB’s Risk
  • Acotec Scientific Holdings (6669.HK) – The Company Is Now In Trouble
  • Aclaris Therapeutics Inc (ACRS) – Sunday, Mar 24, 2024


China Healthcare Weekly (Jun23)-Retail Pharmacy’s Dilemma, Logic to Biotech’s Stock Price,YSB’s Risk

By Xinyao (Criss) Wang

  • Retail pharmacies experienced performance decline in April and May. Due to negative policies, retail pharmacies will experience industry clearance. Therefore, we do not recommend investors to bottom-fish related stocks now.
  • There is a logic to biotech’s performance from 2023 to present.The clearer the path of sustainable development, the better the stock price performance. They can be divided into three types.
  • YSB faces big risks and the outlook is not optimistic. If the final valuation of the Company is lower than China Resources Pharmaceutical and Shanghai Pharmaceuticals, we wouldn’t be too surprised.

Acotec Scientific Holdings (6669.HK) – The Company Is Now In Trouble

By Xinyao (Criss) Wang

  • Acotec’s 2023 performance was unsatisfactory. Core products suffered weak growth. Positive trend of continuing to optimize revenue structure was broken. Sales of latecomers’ competing products would expand rapidly in 2024/2025. 
  • Revenue proportion in overseas markets was still below 5% in 2023. If no highlights in Acotec’s cooperation with Boston Scientific in 2024, this collaboration could be considered a failure.
  • Due to VBP, margin could further decline. If it’s just the current situation, then Acotec is not as good as Zylox-Tonbridge. So, its valuation should also be lower than Zylox-Tonbridge.

Aclaris Therapeutics Inc (ACRS) – Sunday, Mar 24, 2024

By Value Investors Club

  • ACRC is a biotech pharma micro-cap company trading below its net cash value
  • Downsized workforce after a failed phase 2 trial, CEO and CMO left prompting strategic evaluation
  • Activist investors involved, potential for monetization of stakes to benefit shareholders.

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


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Daily Brief Quantitative Analysis: Hong Kong Connect Flows (Jun 21st): BOC and more

By | Daily Briefs, Quantitative Analysis

In today’s briefing:

  • Hong Kong Connect Flows (Jun 21st): BOC, CNOOC, CCB, BYD, Zijin Mining
  • Northbound Flows (Jun 21st): Seres, Luxshare Precision, Zhongji Innolight, Eoptolink, Moutai, Midea
  • KRX Foreign Holding Weekly (Jun 21st): Samsung Electronics, Kia
  • A-H Premium Weekly (Jun 21st): China Tourism, Shenhua, China Telecom, CNOOC, Hua Hong Semi, YOFC
  • HK Short Interest Weekly: Baba, Kuaishou, Lenovo, CCB, Yankuang Energy, AIA
  • TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Jun 21st): Quanta Computer, Asmedia Tech, Delta Elec, Nanya Tech
  • TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Jun 21st): Hon Hai, Wiwynn, Shihlin Elec&Eng, Tatung, Asia Vital


Hong Kong Connect Flows (Jun 21st): BOC, CNOOC, CCB, BYD, Zijin Mining

By Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

  • We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of June 21st.
  • The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.
  • We highlight flows for BOC, CNOOC, CCB, BYD, Zijin Mining.

Northbound Flows (Jun 21st): Seres, Luxshare Precision, Zhongji Innolight, Eoptolink, Moutai, Midea

By Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

  • We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of June 21st.
  • We estimate the weekly outflows to be US$2,274.9 million, led by consumer staples, consumer discretionary, financials, and offset by information technology, energy.
  • We highlight flows for Seres, Luxshare Precision, Zhongji Innolight, Eoptolink Technology Inc.,, Moutai, Midea, China Yangtze Power, Zijin Mining, Inner Mongolia Yili Industrial.

KRX Foreign Holding Weekly (Jun 21st): Samsung Electronics, Kia

By Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

  • We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of KRX Stocks as of Jun 21st which has an aggregated holding worth USD554.3bn.
  • We estimate that foreign flows to be inflows of USD1,302mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.
  • We highlight foreign changes in Samsung Electronics (005930 KS), Kia (000270 KS).

A-H Premium Weekly (Jun 21st): China Tourism, Shenhua, China Telecom, CNOOC, Hua Hong Semi, YOFC

By Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

  • We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 146 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 103.3% as of Jun 21st.
  • The average A-H premium changed by -1.5ppt week-on-week, led by real estate, communication services, consumer staples and offset by utilities, information technology.
  • We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for China Tourism, Shenhua, China Telecom, CNOOC, Hua Hong Semi, YOFC, Huadian.

HK Short Interest Weekly: Baba, Kuaishou, Lenovo, CCB, Yankuang Energy, AIA

By Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

  • We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Jun 14th.
  • Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. 
  • We highlight short changes in Baba, Kuaishou, Lenovo, CCB, Yankuang Energy, AIA.

TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Jun 21st): Quanta Computer, Asmedia Tech, Delta Elec, Nanya Tech

By Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

  • We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of Jun 21st which has an aggregated holding worth USD4,865.2bn.
  • We estimate that foreign flows to be inflows of USD7,730mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.
  • We highlight foreign changes in Quanta Computer, Asmedia Tech, Delta Elec, Nanya Tech, Wiwynn, Evergreen Marine, Asia Vital, Alchip Tech, TSMC, Chailease.

TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Jun 21st): Hon Hai, Wiwynn, Shihlin Elec&Eng, Tatung, Asia Vital

By Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

  • We analyzed the changes in short interest of TWSE Stocks as of Jun 21st which has an aggregated short interest worth USD104.4bn.
  • We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases & decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
  • We highlight short interest changes in Hon Hai, Wiwynn, Shihlin Elec&Eng, Tatung, Asia Vital, Ctbc Financial, TSMC, Inventec, Shin Zu Shing.

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Daily Brief ESG: What Lies Behind the Inability to Come up with Flexible Cash Usage Is and more

By | Daily Briefs, ESG

In today’s briefing:

  • What Lies Behind the Inability to Come up with Flexible Cash Usage Is


What Lies Behind the Inability to Come up with Flexible Cash Usage Is

By Aki Matsumoto

  • Many Japanese managers have little idea that what belongs to shareholders is net profit and not free cash flow. This has created two problems.
  • If Japanese companies, mostly manufacturers, use dividend payout ratios as a criterion for shareholder returns, cash on hand will not decline even if shareholder returns are increased to some extent.
  • The inability to move beyond the concept of allocating investment and shareholder returns based on increases or decreases in cash may be the reason for the unclear cash allocation policy.

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Daily Brief ECM: MMG (1208 HK): Rights Trade Playbook and more

By | Daily Briefs, ECM

In today’s briefing:

  • MMG (1208 HK): Rights Trade Playbook
  • Local Capital Market Movements Targeting July Implementation of Block Deal Pre-Disclosure Rule
  • Sanil Electric IPO Preview
  • ECM Weekly (24th June 2024)-Webtoon, Guzman, Black Ses, Johor Plant, Bajaj Housing, Infratil, Mizuho


MMG (1208 HK): Rights Trade Playbook

By Arun George

  • On 4 June, MMG (1208 HK) announced plans to raise HK$9.1bn (US$1.2bn) through 2 rights shares for every five existing shares rights offering, with a rights price of HK$2.62.
  • Since the rights issue announcement, MMG shares have declined by 16.2% to the undisturbed price and by 8.0% compared to the TERP of HK$3.48 per share. 
  • MMG’s trading pattern has diverged from Link REIT/Yuexiu’s rights trading due to the statement on 18 May that the Peruvian mine is not liable for a 30% withholding tax.

Local Capital Market Movements Targeting July Implementation of Block Deal Pre-Disclosure Rule

By Sanghyun Park

  • The new pre-disclosure rule starting July 24th will reshape business practices. Local institutions are now preparing by launching dedicated block deal funds, targeting 40 to 80 deals annually.
  • No rule bars short-sellers from block deals post-pre-disclosure. Local institutions are planning to exploit this, anticipating sellers favoring club deals under new July rules, potentially stabilizing prices for hedge strategies.
  • Access to club deals will be crucial post-July in Korea’s block deal market. Effective short-selling instruments are also vital with the ban extended until March next year.

Sanil Electric IPO Preview

By Douglas Kim

  • Sanil Electric is getting ready to complete its IPO in late July in KOSPI. The IPO price range is from 24,000 won to 30,000 won per share. 
  • The company is planning is raise between 182.4 billion won and 228 billion won in this IPO. The book building for the institutional investors lasts from 9 to 15 July. 
  • Sanil Electric is best known for making special transformers used for special purposes in environments with severe weather changes, such as offshore wind power, solar power, and offshore plants. 

ECM Weekly (24th June 2024)-Webtoon, Guzman, Black Ses, Johor Plant, Bajaj Housing, Infratil, Mizuho

By Sumeet Singh

  • Aequitas Research’s weekly update on the IPOs, placements, lockup expiry and other ECM linked events that were covered by the team over the past week.
  • On the IPO front, Guzman provided some hope to the Australian market, while Webtoon Entertainment (WBTN US) and Allied Blenders & Distillers will soon test their respective markets.
  • There was no dearth of placement this week, with large deals in Hong Kong, New Zealand and India.

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Daily Brief Thematic (Sector/Industry): Ohayo Japan | Vast Cobalt Mineral Resources Found and more

By | Daily Briefs, Thematic (Sector/Industry)

In today’s briefing:

  • Ohayo Japan | Vast Cobalt Mineral Resources Found


Ohayo Japan | Vast Cobalt Mineral Resources Found

By Mark Chadwick

  • On Friday, the S&P 500 edged down 0.16% to close at 5,464.62, with Nvidia leading losses for a second consecutive day
  • Researchers discovered vast mineral resources, including 75 years of Japan’s cobalt needs and 11 years of nickel, near Minami-Torishima island
  • Japan’s the deficit for digital-related services more than doubled since 2015 to 5.35 trillion yen ($33.7 billion) last year.

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Daily Brief Credit: Morning Views Asia: Greentown China and more

By | Credit, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • Morning Views Asia: Greentown China


Morning Views Asia: Greentown China

By Leonard Law, CFA

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.


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Daily Brief Event-Driven: MMG (1208 HK) Rights Trading Dynamics and more

By | Daily Briefs, Event-Driven

In today’s briefing:

  • MMG (1208 HK) Rights Trading Dynamics
  • Swire Properties (1972 HK): Potential Passive Selling & Trade Ideas
  • Merger Arb Mondays (24 Jun) – Malaysia Airports, GA Pack, Infocom, Mimasu, Tatsuta, Capitol, MMA
  • DMA | JSE June ’24 Rebalance: Estimated Flows (Buys: Banks, Sells: NPN, PRX)
  • EQD / NSE Vol Update / IVs Stabilize After Falling Dramatically over past 2 Weeks


MMG (1208 HK) Rights Trading Dynamics

By Travis Lundy

  • The MMG (1208 HK) rights, designed to raise US$1.15bn to pay off loans to the parent for the purchase of a large copper asset, start trading 24 June 2024. 
  • There is some risk up for grabs, and it is likely to trade according to standard Hong Kong Rights Trading Dynamics. Shorts are down somewhat, but covering should be expected. 
  • There is path-dependency to the Rights Trading, and while they trade for 7 trading days through Tuesday next, one should expect the volume to trade this week. 

Swire Properties (1972 HK): Potential Passive Selling & Trade Ideas

By Brian Freitas



DMA | JSE June ’24 Rebalance: Estimated Flows (Buys: Banks, Sells: NPN, PRX)

By Charlotte van Tiddens, CFA

  • In this note we show flow estimates based on passive AUM tracking and hedging the Capped Top 40 SWIX (DCAP), Top 40 SWIX (DTOP & TOPI) and Capped ALSI SWIX.
  • Relative to the March rebalance, we expect turnover in the closing auction to be much lower.
  • Turnover for the day was R59bn, R44bn traded in the closing auction (harmonisation implemented).

EQD / NSE Vol Update / IVs Stabilize After Falling Dramatically over past 2 Weeks

By Sankalp Singh

  • Implied Volatilities (IVs) stabilized over the week after falling dramatically since the 04-June-2024 India General Election results.
  • No tactical changes required while IVs are stable & “High & Down” Vol-state is maintained.
  • Vol Curve continues to be in Contango. Lack of significant event risk should keep term structure locked in its current orientation. 

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Daily Brief Equity Bottom-Up: Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC & ASE Premiums Drop Sharply; ChipMOS Extreme Discount and more

By | Daily Briefs, Equity Bottom-Up

In today’s briefing:

  • Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC & ASE Premiums Drop Sharply; ChipMOS Extreme Discount
  • Cathay Pacific (293 HK): Multiple Positive Developments
  • China Healthcare Weekly (Jun23)-Retail Pharmacy’s Dilemma, Logic to Biotech’s Stock Price,YSB’s Risk
  • China Consumption Weekly (24 Jun 2024): Kuaishou, Bilibili, NetEase, GAC, Honda Motor, Chow Tai Fook
  • Everest Group (EG) – Sunday, Mar 24, 2024
  • Acotec Scientific Holdings (6669.HK) – The Company Is Now In Trouble
  • Aclaris Therapeutics Inc (ACRS) – Sunday, Mar 24, 2024
  • Erajaya Swasembada (ERAA IJ) – Less New Stores with Higher Volumes


Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC & ASE Premiums Drop Sharply; ChipMOS Extreme Discount

By Vincent Fernando, CFA

  • TSMC: +16.1% Premium, After Sharp Drop, Will Be Interesting to See If Spread Will Remain Within the Recent ~15-25% Range
  • ASE: +7.4% Premium; Can Consider Going Long the Spread Given Recent Trading Range
  • ChipMOS: -2.4% Discount Repesents Extreme Low of End of Range; Can Consider Going Long the Spread

Cathay Pacific (293 HK): Multiple Positive Developments

By Osbert Tang, CFA

  • With more foreign countries being granted visa-free visits to China, Cathay Pacific Airways (293 HK) will benefit from more transfer traffic via Hong Kong.
  • Recovery is decent with passenger traffic rising 37.5% in 5M24. CX’s capacity already returned to 80% of pre-pandemic in 2Q24, and this will reach 100% in 1Q25. 
  • YTD, CX is still a laggard relative to many global airlines. Its P/B valuation is not stretched at 0.8x, given ROE of 11% over the next 3 years.  

China Healthcare Weekly (Jun23)-Retail Pharmacy’s Dilemma, Logic to Biotech’s Stock Price,YSB’s Risk

By Xinyao (Criss) Wang

  • Retail pharmacies experienced performance decline in April and May. Due to negative policies, retail pharmacies will experience industry clearance. Therefore, we do not recommend investors to bottom-fish related stocks now.
  • There is a logic to biotech’s performance from 2023 to present.The clearer the path of sustainable development, the better the stock price performance. They can be divided into three types.
  • YSB faces big risks and the outlook is not optimistic. If the final valuation of the Company is lower than China Resources Pharmaceutical and Shanghai Pharmaceuticals, we wouldn’t be too surprised.

China Consumption Weekly (24 Jun 2024): Kuaishou, Bilibili, NetEase, GAC, Honda Motor, Chow Tai Fook

By Ming Lu

  • Kuaishou and Bilibili’s GMV surged YoY during “June 18” sales.
  • World of Warcraft: Wrath of the Lich King, will formally start on June 27.
  • GAC Honda Automobile Ltd planned to dismiss 1700 employees, about 14% of total.

Everest Group (EG) – Sunday, Mar 24, 2024

By Value Investors Club

  • Everest Group has sustainable and improving 15-20% ROEs
  • Stock trades at a valuation of 1.2x book and 6x P/E
  • Poised for future success with accelerating casualty pricing, stable property-cat rates, and potential for hitting 90 combined ratio target

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


Acotec Scientific Holdings (6669.HK) – The Company Is Now In Trouble

By Xinyao (Criss) Wang

  • Acotec’s 2023 performance was unsatisfactory. Core products suffered weak growth. Positive trend of continuing to optimize revenue structure was broken. Sales of latecomers’ competing products would expand rapidly in 2024/2025. 
  • Revenue proportion in overseas markets was still below 5% in 2023. If no highlights in Acotec’s cooperation with Boston Scientific in 2024, this collaboration could be considered a failure.
  • Due to VBP, margin could further decline. If it’s just the current situation, then Acotec is not as good as Zylox-Tonbridge. So, its valuation should also be lower than Zylox-Tonbridge.

Aclaris Therapeutics Inc (ACRS) – Sunday, Mar 24, 2024

By Value Investors Club

  • ACRC is a biotech pharma micro-cap company trading below its net cash value
  • Downsized workforce after a failed phase 2 trial, CEO and CMO left prompting strategic evaluation
  • Activist investors involved, potential for monetization of stakes to benefit shareholders.

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


Erajaya Swasembada (ERAA IJ) – Less New Stores with Higher Volumes

By Angus Mackintosh

  • Erajaya Swasembada (ERAA IJ) is back on track with its handset business, with stronger volume growth driven by more affordable models from Infinix and Techno brands.
  • The company’s buildout of its electrical retailer Erablue, a JV with Mobile World, is gaining momentum and should become a significant growth driver along with Grand Lucky supermarket.
  • Erajaya will slow its store buildout this year as it focuses on productivity ny it still expected to add 200 new stores over in Indonesia. Valuation is attractive.

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Daily Brief Macro: Why the November Election Matters to Gold and more

By | Daily Briefs, Macro

In today’s briefing:

  • Why the November Election Matters to Gold
  • Why the Breadth Divergence May Not Be Bearish
  • VALE US: Exposure to High-Grade Iron Ore With >8% Dividend Yield
  • Commodity Analysis – Crude Oil WTI Futures
  • US Financial Markets Underprice Geopolitical Risks as Equities Flirt With Another Melt-Up
  • Canadian Economy – June 12, 2024
  • Greek Economy – May 20, 2024
  • Comment on Exchange Rate EUR/USD – May 3, 2024


Why the November Election Matters to Gold

By Cam Hui

  • The latest CBO fiscal update raises the odds of upside inflation surprises in the coming years, which would be bullish for gold.
  • The intermediate-term outlook for inflation will largely depend on the outcome of the November election.
  • We project that a Biden win would be bearish for bond prices and mildly bullish for stock prices. A Trump win would be bond and USD bearish and gold bullish.

Why the Breadth Divergence May Not Be Bearish

By Cam Hui

  • Anxiety has been increasing among the technical analysis community over the blatant instances of narrow market leadership and negative breadth divergence. 
  • The bearish consequences of a negative breadth divergence can take over a year to be realized. Instead, they are warnings of bearish conditions than actionable tactical sell signals.
  • We interpret current market conditions as highly extended that can pull back at any time, but investors should also recognize that the situation could resolve itself in a benign manner.

VALE US: Exposure to High-Grade Iron Ore With >8% Dividend Yield

By Sameer Taneja

  • We like Vale (VALE US) for its exposure to high-grade iron ore (95% of EBITDA) and capital return discipline, with a current dividend yield of 8% and 3.5x EV-EBITDA. 
  • The cash flows from the iron ore business could be used to invest in base metals, such as copper, nickel, etc., to enhance the portfolio. 
  • The key risk remains the overhang from the Mariana Dam disaster being settled for  ~25.7 billion USD (vs. the current market cap of 50 billion USD). 

Commodity Analysis – Crude Oil WTI Futures

By VRS (Valuation & Research Specialists)

  • According to Graph 1, during the period February 28th , 2024 – May 31st , 2024, a mixed trend was reflected in the prices of crude oil futures amid fluctuations.
  • During the period under consideration, there was a notable increase in the price of crude oil until April 8th , 2024, whereas thereafter crude oil prices followed a downward trend returning to the levels seen at end of February 2024.
  • The MA- 10 was recorded to perform higher than MA-20 from the beginning, whereas on April 23rd the MA-20 took over and started trading above the MA 10 until the end of the period under consideration.

US Financial Markets Underprice Geopolitical Risks as Equities Flirt With Another Melt-Up

By Said Desaque

  • US equities have discounted the arrival of a lower federal funds rate (FFR). Upbeat corporate profit expectations and a lower FFR could easily produce an H2 equity market melt-up.
  • Financial markets have largely ignored geopolitical risks. Holding assets in Western financial institutions now has counterparty risks. High budget deficits driven by defence spending are bearish for productivity and profitability.
  • The appetite of private investors to buy longer-dated Treasuries will be tested by the arrival of persistently large budget deficits. Notably, the outlook for foreign participation is less certain. 

Canadian Economy – June 12, 2024

By VRS (Valuation & Research Specialists)

  • In the first quarter of 2024, Canada’s economy managed to grow by 1.6% (QoQ).
  • This growth is mainly attributed to real private and final consumption expenditures but also to real fixed capital formation as they increased by about 1.2% to 1.6% (QoQ) each.
  • Net exports slightly fell from 0.17% of GDP in fourth quarter of 2023 to 0.13% in the first quarter of 2024.

Greek Economy – May 20, 2024

By VRS (Valuation & Research Specialists)

  • The 2024 GDP projections for Greece show a 2.07% growth rate, so that Real GDP would reach €198.512 billion, lower than the previous projections of €199.205 billion.
  • In 2024, the IMF, OECD, and EU forecast an average growth rate of 2.07% for 2024 and 2.24% for 2025.
  • The Public Debt is projected to increase from € 356.695 billion to €362.856 billion in 2024 but with a lower Debt-to-GDP ratio than the previous year of 156.3% (161.9% in 2023). 

Comment on Exchange Rate EUR/USD – May 3, 2024

By VRS (Valuation & Research Specialists)

  • During the period under consideration, i.e. April 3rd, 2024 to May 3rd, 2024, the EUR/USD pair posted both downward and upward swings.
  • In the beginning, it faced a slight increase, while from April 9th until April 18th the pair faced a sharp decrease.
  • After that, it fluctuated sideways and by the end of the period the pair traded at a higher level but still below the price level of the start of April. 

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