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Daily Briefs

Daily Brief Energy/Materials: Seadrill and more

By | Daily Briefs, Energy & Materials Sector

In today’s briefing:

  • Seadrill Ltd (SDRL) – Sunday, Mar 31, 2024


Seadrill Ltd (SDRL) – Sunday, Mar 31, 2024

By Value Investors Club

  • Seadrill is a $3.4 billion offshore drilling company headquartered in Houston, TX.
  • The company is expected to generate significant EBITDA and free cash flow in 2023.
  • Seadrill has a net cash position and is in a strong strategic position compared to its competitors, potentially yielding a return of 175-200% within the next two years.

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


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Daily Brief Japan: Fancl Corp, Timee Inc, TSE Tokyo Price Index TOPIX, Aisin and more

By | Daily Briefs, Japan

In today’s briefing:

  • (Mostly) Asia M&A, June 2024: Fancl, Capitol Health, Infocom,Jeisys Medical, Nagatanien, Henlius Bio
  • Timee Pre-IPO – Peer Comparison – Stronger Growth Has Allowed It to Close the Margin Gap
  • Is the Gap Between the Skills Matrix and the Board Personnel Needed Widening?
  • ECM Weekly (1st July 2024)-Aisin, Mitsui, Japan Hotel, Allied Blenders, Webtoon, Hyundai India


(Mostly) Asia M&A, June 2024: Fancl, Capitol Health, Infocom,Jeisys Medical, Nagatanien, Henlius Bio

By David Blennerhassett

  • For the month of June 2024, 8 new transactions (firm and non-binding) were discussed on Smartkarma with an overall announced deal size of ~US$6bn.
  • The average premium for the new transactions announced (or first discussed) in June was ~52%. The average premium YTD is ~47%
  • This compares to the average premium for transactions in 2023 (117 transactions), 2022 (106), 2021 (165), 2020 (158), and 2019 (145 ) of 39%, 41%, 33%, 31%, and 31% respectively.

Timee Pre-IPO – Peer Comparison – Stronger Growth Has Allowed It to Close the Margin Gap

By Clarence Chu

  • Timee Inc (215A JP) is looking to raise US$290m from its Japan IPO. The IPO will be a 100% secondary selldown by existing shareholders.
  • Timee operates an on-demand staffing platform that connects part-time jobseekers with businesses in Japan. 
  • In an earlier note, we looked at the firm’s past performance. In this note, we undertake a peer comparison.

Is the Gap Between the Skills Matrix and the Board Personnel Needed Widening?

By Aki Matsumoto

  • While it’s commendable that more companies are publishing their skills matrices, it’s not enough to verify that the skill items are useful in expanding the value of the company.
  • Since management strategies vary from company to company, the skills required to formulate and execute a company’s strategy are not likely to be the same as those of other companies.
  • Director candidates should be selected based on the skills needed to expand the value of the company in future and skills that complement the skills lacking in the current directors.

ECM Weekly (1st July 2024)-Aisin, Mitsui, Japan Hotel, Allied Blenders, Webtoon, Hyundai India

By Sumeet Singh

  • Aequitas Research’s weekly update on the IPOs, placements, lockup expiry and other ECM linked events that were covered by the team over the past week.
  • On the IPO front, we looked at the upcoming mega-listing for Hyundai Motor India.
  • On the placement front, the week was dominated by the cross-shareholding unwinds in Aisin (7259 JP) and Mitsui & Co Ltd (8031 JP)

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Daily Brief TMT/Internet: Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) – ADR, Vanguard Intl Semiconductor, Asustek Computer, Tencent, Integral Ad Science Holding and more

By | Daily Briefs, TMT/Internet

In today’s briefing:

  • Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC Premium Rangebound; UMC Hits Upper End of Range
  • TIP Taiwan Technology Dividend Highlight Index Rebalance: 12 Changes & US$4bn Round-Trip Trade
  • PC Monitor: Growth Expectations Have Increased Recently; HPE Signals Enterprise AI Acceleration
  • China Consumption Weekly (1 Jul 2024): Douyin, Green Tea, Alibaba, Tencent, Haidilao
  • Integral Ad Science Holding Corp.: Does Their Innovative Product Roadmap & AI Investments Make Them A ‘Buy’? – Major Drivers


Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC Premium Rangebound; UMC Hits Upper End of Range

By Vincent Fernando, CFA

  • TSMC: +16.7% Premium, Has Remained Rangebound; Watching for Over 20% or Under 15%
  • UMC: +2% Premium, Upper End of Trading Range, Can Consider Shorting
  • ASE: +9.9% Premium; Spread Could Have Further Room to Bounce Higher

TIP Taiwan Technology Dividend Highlight Index Rebalance: 12 Changes & US$4bn Round-Trip Trade

By Brian Freitas

  • There are 12 changes for the TIP Taiwan Technology Dividend Highlight Index in June/July. The Fuh Hwa Taiwan Technology Dividend Highlight ETF (00929 TW) has an AUM of US$7.16bn.
  • One-Way turnover is estimated at 35% and that will result in a round-trip trade of TWD 134.7bn (US$4.1bn). There are 8 stocks that could have over 5x ADV to trade.
  • The ETF started rebalancing their portfolio on Friday and will continue to trade the stock over the next 7 trading days.

PC Monitor: Growth Expectations Have Increased Recently; HPE Signals Enterprise AI Acceleration

By Vincent Fernando, CFA

  • PC & Server solutions names have fallen moderately from highs in June, however enterprise server company HPE soared 20% on AI strength.
  • Despite the market pullback from highs, we note that 2025E forward growth expectations have generally increased for the universe over the last month.
  • Latest Taiwan PC company revenues indicate healthy growth and HPE’s management guided for Enterprise AI orders to accelerate.

China Consumption Weekly (1 Jul 2024): Douyin, Green Tea, Alibaba, Tencent, Haidilao

By Ming Lu

  • Douyin’ GMV increased by 300% YoY in the “June 18” sales season.
  • The revenue of a pre-IPO restaurant chain, Green Tea, increased by 55% in 2023.
  • Alibaba’s supermarket chain, Freshippo, opened 12 new stores in June.

Integral Ad Science Holding Corp.: Does Their Innovative Product Roadmap & AI Investments Make Them A ‘Buy’? – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Integral Ad Science (IAS) had a constructive start to 2024 as highlighted in their recent financial performance discussion.
  • The company reported that revenue and adjusted EBITDA for the first quarter surpassed previous forecasts, demonstrating a robust economic position and potential upward trajectory in its financial metrics.
  • Revenue increased by 8% to $114.5 million, which was above the company’s guidance range of $111 million to $113 million.

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Daily Brief Industrials: Hyundai Glovis, Timee Inc, GMS Inc, Griffon Corp, Siteone Landscape Supply and more

By | Daily Briefs, Industrials

In today’s briefing:

  • Potential Recurrence of Local Flow Trade Patterns in Hyundai Glovis’s Stock Dividend Event
  • Timee Pre-IPO – Peer Comparison – Stronger Growth Has Allowed It to Close the Margin Gap
  • GMS Inc.: How Are They Navigating Price Dynamics in Key Product Segments? – Major Drivers
  • Griffon Corporation: Can The Expansion of Global Sourcing Actually Streamline Operations & Expand The Bottom-Line? – Major Drivers
  • SiteOne Landscape Supply Inc.: A Tale Of Market Share Expansion and Diverse End Markets! – Major Drivers


Potential Recurrence of Local Flow Trade Patterns in Hyundai Glovis’s Stock Dividend Event

By Sanghyun Park

  • Finding a trading entry point during a stock dividend event is tough, but locally, stock prices often rise post-ex-rights date and stabilize after listing, over 70% of the time.
  • There’s speculation that local flow trading, mainly driven by local prop traders, might target this pattern in Glovis’s stock dividend as well.
  • While I wouldn’t recommend banking on this probabilistic trading setup, it’s important to be aware that this could significantly impact stock movements from the ex-rights date to the listing date.

Timee Pre-IPO – Peer Comparison – Stronger Growth Has Allowed It to Close the Margin Gap

By Clarence Chu

  • Timee Inc (215A JP) is looking to raise US$290m from its Japan IPO. The IPO will be a 100% secondary selldown by existing shareholders.
  • Timee operates an on-demand staffing platform that connects part-time jobseekers with businesses in Japan. 
  • In an earlier note, we looked at the firm’s past performance. In this note, we undertake a peer comparison.

GMS Inc.: How Are They Navigating Price Dynamics in Key Product Segments? – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • GMS Inc. reported a robust fiscal year 2024, marked by record net sales of $5.5 billion, a testament to volume growth across all four product categories—Wallboard, Ceilings, Complementary Products, and Steel Framing.
  • In particular, the resilience in Wallboard pricing and inflation adjustments in Ceilings and Complementary Products significantly contributed to the revenue.
  • These results underscore the company’s strong position in the market, benefiting from ongoing demand in multifamily and steady commercial activity levels.

Griffon Corporation: Can The Expansion of Global Sourcing Actually Streamline Operations & Expand The Bottom-Line? – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Griffon Corporation delivered a mixed set of financial results in the fiscal second quarter of 2024, presenting a complex landscape for potential investors.
  • On the positive front, Griffon reported a robust start to the year, with healthier performances particularly noted in the Home and Building Products (HBP) segment which outperformed expectations partly due to unexpectedly high residential order volumes that defied typical seasonal trends.
  • Furthermore, the Consumer and Professional Products (CPP) segment also showed improvement, registered in an increased EBITDA, attributed to lower production costs in North America, offsetting a decline in revenue by 11% due to dampened demand.

SiteOne Landscape Supply Inc.: A Tale Of Market Share Expansion and Diverse End Markets! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • SiteOne Landscape Supply, Inc. reported its first quarter results for the fiscal year 2024, which were met with mixed outcomes as the company navigated through various market challenges such as commodity price deflation and adverse weather impacts in some markets.
  • Despite these challenges, the company managed to post an 8% increase in net sales, demonstrating resilience in its operational strategy and a boosted performance through recent acquisitions.
  • Baptista Research looks to evaluate the different factors that could influence the company’s price in the near future and attempts to carry out an independent valuation of the company using a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) methodology.

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Daily Brief Health Care: Shanghai Henlius Biotech , China Resources Medical, Grifols SA, Shenyang Xingqi Pharmaceutical, Clinica Baviera and more

By | Daily Briefs, Healthcare

In today’s briefing:

  • Merger Arb Mondays (01 Jul) – Henlius, China TCM, GA Pack, CPMC, Asia Cement, Great Eastern
  • China Healthcare Weekly (Jun.30) – TCM Companies Witness Soaring Costs, Rising Stars in ADC, 1515.HK
  • Another Debt Downgrade
  • Shenyang Xingqi Pharmaceutical (300573.CH)-Looking Forward to a Leap in Valuation and Rich Dividends
  • Clinica Baviera ($CBAV) – Seeing Beyond



China Healthcare Weekly (Jun.30) – TCM Companies Witness Soaring Costs, Rising Stars in ADC, 1515.HK

By Xinyao (Criss) Wang

  • Investors should be aware of the increasing prices of TCM raw materials, which could lead to fluctuations in profit margins of TCM companies. Investors should prepare for these potential impacts.
  • After years of “fast-follow”, we’ve finally seen products from Chinese pharmaceutical companies stand at the center of the stage for the first time in the new generation of ADC.
  • China Resources Medical’s profitability outlook is not promising due to issues within the Chinese healthcare system. The bottom line is P/B above 1 and P/E above 10x.

Another Debt Downgrade

By Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

  • Moody’s Ratings downgraded Grifols’ corporate family rating to B3 from B2, with a stable outlook, due to high leverage, and complex, opaque corporate governance involving related-party transactions.
  • Moody’s considers Grifols’s liquidity to still be “fragile,” noting that “while adequate for the next 12 months, beyond that, maintaining adequate liquidity will depend on returning to positive FCF generation.
  • For risk-tolerant investors, the current low share price could present a long-term buying opportunity if Grifols successfully executes its strategic initiatives.

Shenyang Xingqi Pharmaceutical (300573.CH)-Looking Forward to a Leap in Valuation and Rich Dividends

By Xinyao (Criss) Wang

  • Xingqi’s 0.01% atropine sulfate eye drops got approved for marketing this March, which is expected to monopolize the domestic market for at least 2.5-3 years, and enjoy higher gross margin.
  • Peak sales of 0.01% atropine sulfate eye drops would reach RMB5 billion at least. Together with other products, Xingqi’s total revenue would reach at least RMB6 billion in the future.
  • Due to attractive dividend policy, this stock is worth holding for the long term.Xingqi’s market value could even reach RMB50 billion if the sales exclusivity period is longer than expected. 

Clinica Baviera ($CBAV) – Seeing Beyond

By Sanabria Equity Research

  • Introduction Clínica Baviera is an ophthalmology group founded in 1992 in Spain by Eduardo Baviera (current CEO) and other members of Baviera´s family and friends.
  • It specializes in refractive surgeries like LASIK, cataract surgeries, and treatments for various eye conditions as myopia, hyperopia, and astigmatism.
  • The company focus on services that are not covered by public health systems such as surgeries to correct the need for glasses or contact lenses.

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Daily Brief Consumer: Fancl Corp, Selamat Sempurna, TSE Tokyo Price Index TOPIX, Perfect Medical Health, Delfi Ltd, Aisin , Pilgrim’S Pride, Post Holdings, Burberry, Life Time Group Holdings and more

By | Consumer, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • (Mostly) Asia M&A, June 2024: Fancl, Capitol Health, Infocom,Jeisys Medical, Nagatanien, Henlius Bio
  • Selamat Sempurna (SMSM IJ) – Filter Champion
  • Is the Gap Between the Skills Matrix and the Board Personnel Needed Widening?
  • Perfect Medical (1830 HK): Resilient FY24 And 12.5% Trailing Dividend Yield
  • Delfi Ltd (DELFI.SI) – Friday, Mar 29, 2024
  • ECM Weekly (1st July 2024)-Aisin, Mitsui, Japan Hotel, Allied Blenders, Webtoon, Hyundai India
  • Pilgrim’s Pride Corporation: A Story Of Changing Market Dynamics & Industry Positioning! – Major Drivers
  • Post Holdings Inc.: Consumer Market Pricing Strategy & 3 Pivotal Factors Influencing Its Performance In 2025 & Beyond! – Major Drivers
  • Burberry (BRBY) – Sunday, Mar 31, 2024
  • Life Time Group Holdings Inc.: The Enhanced Member Retention & 3 Critical Factors Driving Our Optimism! – Financial Forecasts


(Mostly) Asia M&A, June 2024: Fancl, Capitol Health, Infocom,Jeisys Medical, Nagatanien, Henlius Bio

By David Blennerhassett

  • For the month of June 2024, 8 new transactions (firm and non-binding) were discussed on Smartkarma with an overall announced deal size of ~US$6bn.
  • The average premium for the new transactions announced (or first discussed) in June was ~52%. The average premium YTD is ~47%
  • This compares to the average premium for transactions in 2023 (117 transactions), 2022 (106), 2021 (165), 2020 (158), and 2019 (145 ) of 39%, 41%, 33%, 31%, and 31% respectively.

Selamat Sempurna (SMSM IJ) – Filter Champion

By Angus Mackintosh

  • Selamat Sempurna is one of the most interesting industrial companies in Indonesia, with a leading market share in filters for auto and heavy equipment markets in Indonesia and overseas.
  • 1Q2024 was impacted by a seasonal slowdow ahead of Lebaran and a decline in sales to Russia, offset by strong US sales. Management remains confident in the outlook for FY2024.
  • Selamat Sempurna will continue to benefit from growth in the filter replacement market for both auto and heavy equipment markets and already has exposure to EVs. Valuations are attractive. 

Is the Gap Between the Skills Matrix and the Board Personnel Needed Widening?

By Aki Matsumoto

  • While it’s commendable that more companies are publishing their skills matrices, it’s not enough to verify that the skill items are useful in expanding the value of the company.
  • Since management strategies vary from company to company, the skills required to formulate and execute a company’s strategy are not likely to be the same as those of other companies.
  • Director candidates should be selected based on the skills needed to expand the value of the company in future and skills that complement the skills lacking in the current directors.

Perfect Medical (1830 HK): Resilient FY24 And 12.5% Trailing Dividend Yield

By Sameer Taneja

  • Perfect Medical Health (1830 HK) reported flat revenue/profit growth for FY24 due to a weak Q4 that plagued the entire HK consumer space. H2FY24  revenue/profit growth was -6.3%/-12.5%
  • The company paid a generous dividend of 31.5 cents for FY24 (vs. 30.0 cents), resulting in a 12.5% dividend yield.
  • We will follow up with more details after the earnings call and presentation. 

Delfi Ltd (DELFI.SI) – Friday, Mar 29, 2024

By Value Investors Club

Key points

  • Delfi, the leading chocolate company in Indonesia, is experiencing challenges due to rising cocoa prices
  • Despite a decrease in share price, analysts remain optimistic about Delfi’s future prospects
  • The company’s management team is implementing strategic measures to protect profit margins and improve financial performance, with initiatives planned for 2024 expected to mitigate the impact of cocoa price increases

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


ECM Weekly (1st July 2024)-Aisin, Mitsui, Japan Hotel, Allied Blenders, Webtoon, Hyundai India

By Sumeet Singh

  • Aequitas Research’s weekly update on the IPOs, placements, lockup expiry and other ECM linked events that were covered by the team over the past week.
  • On the IPO front, we looked at the upcoming mega-listing for Hyundai Motor India.
  • On the placement front, the week was dominated by the cross-shareholding unwinds in Aisin (7259 JP) and Mitsui & Co Ltd (8031 JP)

Pilgrim’s Pride Corporation: A Story Of Changing Market Dynamics & Industry Positioning! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Pilgrim’s Pride Corporation reported positive financial results for the first quarter of 2024, demonstrating significant growth and operational efficiency despite challenging market conditions.
  • The company recorded net revenues of $4.4 billion, marking a 4.7% increase from the previous year.
  • Moreover, the adjusted EBITDA reached $372 million, which is a 145% rise compared to Q1 2023, and the adjusted EBITDA margin expanded from 3.6% to 8.5%.

Post Holdings Inc.: Consumer Market Pricing Strategy & 3 Pivotal Factors Influencing Its Performance In 2025 & Beyond! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Post Holdings delivered robust performance in the second quarter of 2024, anchored by strong execution across core segments such as Consumer Brands and Foodservices, despite notable challenges including volume declines in several categories.
  • The company’s proactive management, highlighted by strategic price adjustments and rigorous cost control, have enabled Post to navigate a complex economic landscape defined by shifting consumer behaviors.
  • Baptista Research looks to evaluate the different factors that could influence the company’s price in the near future and attempts to carry out an independent valuation of the company using a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) methodology.

Burberry (BRBY) – Sunday, Mar 31, 2024

By Value Investors Club

  • Luxury sector experiencing challenges after period of record-high growth
  • Key players like LVMH, Hermes, and Richemont facing corrections in share prices
  • Burberry facing short thesis due to concerns about navigating changing market dynamics

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


Life Time Group Holdings Inc.: The Enhanced Member Retention & 3 Critical Factors Driving Our Optimism! – Financial Forecasts

By Baptista Research

  • Life Time Group Holdings, Inc. showcased a strong financial performance in the first quarter of 2024, although there were some mixed aspects within the results.
  • The company reported a notable increase in total revenue, which rose by 16.8% to $596.7 million from the year earlier.
  • This rise was predominantly fueled by a 19% growth in membership dues and enrollment fees and a 10.5% uptick in in-center revenue.

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Daily Brief Financials: Bandhan Bank Ltd, Nuvama Wealth Management, NIFTY Index, Metalpha Technology Holding Lt and more

By | Daily Briefs, Financials

In today’s briefing:

  • India Channel Insight | Bandhan Bank (BANDHAN IN) | The Other Shoe to Drop
  • Nuvama: Continues to Deliver Strong
  • EQD / NSE Vol Update / IVs Rise in Conjunction with Equities Counter to Regular Spot-Vol Correlation
  • Metalpha (MATH) – Sunday, Mar 31, 2024


India Channel Insight | Bandhan Bank (BANDHAN IN) | The Other Shoe to Drop

By Pranav Bhavsar

  • While the street is getting excited about Bandhan Bank (assuming a change in management, end of a bad asset cycle, and lower valuations), we are not.
  • We believe the next set of problems for the bank are yet to be unleashed, and a change in management will only intensify the challenges ahead.
  • We believe the worst is yet to come for the bank. 

Nuvama: Continues to Deliver Strong

By Ankit Agrawal, CFA

  • Nuvama Wealth Management (“Nuvama”)  continues to report strong growth with Q4FY24 revenue at INR 596cr, a growth of 35% YoY. Q4FY24 PAT grew 57% YoY to reach INR 181cr. 
  • Overall, FY24 revenue and PAT ended strong at INR 2063cr (YoY growth of 31%) and INR 597cr (YoY growth of 62%), respectively.
  • FY24 growth was led by the capital markets (revenue grew 64% YoY) segment, aided by favorable cycle and market-share gains. Wealth and asset management segments are also scaling up well.

EQD / NSE Vol Update / IVs Rise in Conjunction with Equities Counter to Regular Spot-Vol Correlation

By Sankalp Singh

  • Implied Volatilities (IVs) continued to rise as the underlying index tried to break above critical resistance – marking a break-down of usual spot-vol correlations.
  • Vol surface smile & skew characteristics held steady at the 25-Delta point of curve, while dynamics at the 10-Delta zone extended further.
  • Nifty50 Back-end Term Structure is in Backwardation as Monthly options enjoy markups based on July-end Indian Budget release.   

Metalpha (MATH) – Sunday, Mar 31, 2024

By Value Investors Club

  • Metalpha is a small-cap Chinese supply chain company that has transitioned into an OTC underwriter focused on crypto derivatives through a reverse-merger.
  • Despite being one of the smallest market cap crypto companies, it is not perceived as a “crypto” play by investors leading to low trading volume and lack of visibility.
  • As the company gains recognition and the team continues to deliver results, it is expected to see a significant increase in valuation, potentially offering 4-17x returns to shareholders in the next 24-36 months.

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


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Most Read: Keisei Electric Railway Co, Telix Pharmaceuticals, Lunit , China Traditional Chinese Medicine, Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) – ADR, Vanguard Intl Semiconductor, Shanghai Henlius Biotech , Fancl Corp and more

By | Daily Briefs, Most Read

In today’s briefing:

  • Last Week in Event SPACE: Keisei Electric, China Merchants, Great Eastern, Jardine Matheson/JCNC
  • Quiddity Leaderboard ASX Sep 24 Rebal: Altium to Trigger Two Intra-Review Replacements in July
  • End of Mandatory Lock-Up Periods for 55 Companies in Korea in July 2024
  • Weekly Deals Digest (30 Jun) – China TCM, Henlius, Midea RE, MMG, Aisin, Sanil, Shift Up
  • (Mostly) Asia-Pac M&A: TCM, Henlius Bio, Mideal Real Estate, Malaysia Airports, S Line, Best World
  • Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC Premium Rangebound; UMC Hits Upper End of Range
  • Ohayo Japan | First Half Done
  • TIP Taiwan Technology Dividend Highlight Index Rebalance: 12 Changes & US$4bn Round-Trip Trade
  • Merger Arb Mondays (01 Jul) – Henlius, China TCM, GA Pack, CPMC, Asia Cement, Great Eastern
  • (Mostly) Asia M&A, June 2024: Fancl, Capitol Health, Infocom,Jeisys Medical, Nagatanien, Henlius Bio


Last Week in Event SPACE: Keisei Electric, China Merchants, Great Eastern, Jardine Matheson/JCNC

By David Blennerhassett

  • No surprise: Keisei Electric Railway (9009 JP) shareholders voted down Palliser’s proposal. If the vote was close, Palliser may ups its rhetorical game, and takes a harder stance.
  • Argyle failed to boot one CMCDI (133 HK) director. They’ll next target the management agreement renewal; and agitate the company buy back 20% of shares outstanding at 90% of NAV.
  • The Offeror now has 90.16% in Great Eastern Holdings (GE SP) – so this will get suspended at the close of the Offer.

Quiddity Leaderboard ASX Sep 24 Rebal: Altium to Trigger Two Intra-Review Replacements in July

By Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

  • In this insight, we take a look at the potential index changes for ASX 200, 100, 50, and 20 in the run-up to the September 2024 index rebal event.
  • In July 2024, a couple of important Australian M&A deals could close and one of them could trigger intra-review additions for ASX 100 and ASX 200.
  • Separately, we see one ASX 100 change and one ASX 200 change during the September 2024 rebalance. For ASX 300, there could be 13 ADDs and 6 DELs.

End of Mandatory Lock-Up Periods for 55 Companies in Korea in July 2024

By Douglas Kim

  • We discuss the end of the mandatory lock-up periods for 55 stocks in Korea in July 2024, among which 6 are in KOSPI and 49 are in KOSDAQ.
  • These 55 stocks on average could be subject to further selling pressures in July and could underperform relative to the market.
  • The top three market cap stocks including those of which at least 1% of outstanding shares could be sold in July include Lunit, Mezzion Pharma, and DS Dansuk.

Weekly Deals Digest (30 Jun) – China TCM, Henlius, Midea RE, MMG, Aisin, Sanil, Shift Up

By Arun George


(Mostly) Asia-Pac M&A: TCM, Henlius Bio, Mideal Real Estate, Malaysia Airports, S Line, Best World

By David Blennerhassett


Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC Premium Rangebound; UMC Hits Upper End of Range

By Vincent Fernando, CFA

  • TSMC: +16.7% Premium, Has Remained Rangebound; Watching for Over 20% or Under 15%
  • UMC: +2% Premium, Upper End of Trading Range, Can Consider Shorting
  • ASE: +9.9% Premium; Spread Could Have Further Room to Bounce Higher

Ohayo Japan | First Half Done

By Mark Chadwick

  • U.S. stocks dipped on Friday as investors processed economic data signaling slowing inflation. Nike down 20%. 
  • Japan’s Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications and KDDI will collaborate on developing generative AI
  • NTT DATA plans to launch multiple satellites by 2026 to create a space-based observation network, enhancing disaster monitoring and national security

TIP Taiwan Technology Dividend Highlight Index Rebalance: 12 Changes & US$4bn Round-Trip Trade

By Brian Freitas

  • There are 12 changes for the TIP Taiwan Technology Dividend Highlight Index in June/July. The Fuh Hwa Taiwan Technology Dividend Highlight ETF (00929 TW) has an AUM of US$7.16bn.
  • One-Way turnover is estimated at 35% and that will result in a round-trip trade of TWD 134.7bn (US$4.1bn). There are 8 stocks that could have over 5x ADV to trade.
  • The ETF started rebalancing their portfolio on Friday and will continue to trade the stock over the next 7 trading days.


(Mostly) Asia M&A, June 2024: Fancl, Capitol Health, Infocom,Jeisys Medical, Nagatanien, Henlius Bio

By David Blennerhassett

  • For the month of June 2024, 8 new transactions (firm and non-binding) were discussed on Smartkarma with an overall announced deal size of ~US$6bn.
  • The average premium for the new transactions announced (or first discussed) in June was ~52%. The average premium YTD is ~47%
  • This compares to the average premium for transactions in 2023 (117 transactions), 2022 (106), 2021 (165), 2020 (158), and 2019 (145 ) of 39%, 41%, 33%, 31%, and 31% respectively.

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Daily Brief Quantitative Analysis: Hong Kong Connect Flows (Jun 28th): CCB and more

By | Daily Briefs, Quantitative Analysis

In today’s briefing:

  • Hong Kong Connect Flows (Jun 28th): CCB, ICBC, Tencent
  • A-H Premium Weekly (Jun 28th): China Tourism, Ganfeng Lithium, Air China, PetroChina, China Telecom
  • Northbound Flows (Jun 28th): Foxconn Industrial Internet, Wanhua Chemical, BYD
  • KRX Foreign Holding Weekly (Jun 28th): Samsung Electronics, Sk Hynix, Samsung SDI, Celltrion
  • HK Short Interest Weekly: Zijin Mining, Lenovo, HSBC, Kuaishou, CK Asset, Yankuang Energy
  • TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Jun 28th): Innolux, Evergreen Marine, Largan Precision, Ap Memory Tech
  • TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Jun 28th): Highwealth, Acer, King Yuan Elec, Bora Pharma, Auo, TSMC


Hong Kong Connect Flows (Jun 28th): CCB, ICBC, Tencent

By Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

  • We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of June 28th.
  • The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.
  • We highlight flows for CCB (939 HK), ICBC (1398 HK), Tencent (700 HK).

A-H Premium Weekly (Jun 28th): China Tourism, Ganfeng Lithium, Air China, PetroChina, China Telecom

By Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

  • We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 146 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 104.9% as of Jun 28th.
  • The average A-H premium changed by 1.3ppt week-on-week, led by materials, consumer discretionary, energy and offset by real estate, health care, consumer staples.
  • We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for China Tourism, Ganfeng Lithium, Air China, PetroChina, China Telecom.

Northbound Flows (Jun 28th): Foxconn Industrial Internet, Wanhua Chemical, BYD

By Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

  • We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of June 28th.
  • We estimate the weekly outflows to be US$1,763.0 million, led by information technology, consumer staples, consumer discretionary, and offset by utilities.
  • We highlight flows for Foxconn Industrial Internet, Zhejiang Sanhua Intelligent Controls, Wanhua Chemical, BYD.

KRX Foreign Holding Weekly (Jun 28th): Samsung Electronics, Sk Hynix, Samsung SDI, Celltrion

By Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

  • We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of KRX Stocks as of Jun 28th which has an aggregated holding worth USD564.4bn.
  • We estimate that foreign flows to be inflows of USD33mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.
  • We highlight foreign changes in Samsung Electronics, Sk Hynix, Samsung SDI, Celltrion.

HK Short Interest Weekly: Zijin Mining, Lenovo, HSBC, Kuaishou, CK Asset, Yankuang Energy

By Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

  • We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Jun 21st.
  • Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. 
  • We highlight short changes in Zijin Mining, Lenovo, HSBC, Kuaishou, CK Asset, Yankuang Energy, China Longyuan.

TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Jun 28th): Innolux, Evergreen Marine, Largan Precision, Ap Memory Tech

By Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

  • We analyzed the changes in short interest of TWSE Stocks as of Jun 28th which has an aggregated short interest worth USD100.9bn.
  • We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases & decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
  • We highlight short interest changes in Innolux, Evergreen Marine, Largan Precision, Ap Memory Tech, Wistron, Highwealth, Hon Hai, Synnex Tech Intl, Inventec.

TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Jun 28th): Highwealth, Acer, King Yuan Elec, Bora Pharma, Auo, TSMC

By Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

  • We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of Jun 28th which has an aggregated holding worth USD4,832.6bn.
  • We estimate that foreign flows to be outflows of USD11,267mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.
  • We highlight foreign changes in Highwealth, Acer, King Yuan Elec, Bora Pharma, Auo, TSMC, Novatek, Mediatek, Chailease, Umc.

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Daily Brief ESG: Is the Gap Between the Skills Matrix and the Board Personnel Needed Widening? and more

By | Daily Briefs, ESG

In today’s briefing:

  • Is the Gap Between the Skills Matrix and the Board Personnel Needed Widening?


Is the Gap Between the Skills Matrix and the Board Personnel Needed Widening?

By Aki Matsumoto

  • While it’s commendable that more companies are publishing their skills matrices, it’s not enough to verify that the skill items are useful in expanding the value of the company.
  • Since management strategies vary from company to company, the skills required to formulate and execute a company’s strategy are not likely to be the same as those of other companies.
  • Director candidates should be selected based on the skills needed to expand the value of the company in future and skills that complement the skills lacking in the current directors.

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