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Daily Briefs

Daily Brief Equity Bottom-Up: Aisin (7259) | Nine Months Ago and more

By | Daily Briefs, Equity Bottom-Up

In today’s briefing:

  • Aisin (7259) | Nine Months Ago
  • Korean Holdcos Vs Opcos Gap Trading Opportunities in 3Q 2024
  • Precot Limited: A Niche Technical Textile Player
  • Gap Trades in Korean Prefs Vs Common Share Pairs in 3Q 2024
  • Elon Wins $56B Package Re-Vote and Shift to Texas. Now What for Tesla?
  • Toyo Corporation (8151 JP) – Initiating Coverage
  • Tech Supply Chain Tracker (02-Jul-2024): India boosts smartphone exports with iPhone manufacturers.
  • Shortlist Of High Conviction Ideas: Income, Value, and Margin of Safety – July 2024
  • 3Q FOLLOW-UP – Carta Holdings (3688 JP)
  • Target Healthcare REIT – Enhanced portfolio metrics and interest savings


Aisin (7259) | Nine Months Ago

By Mark Chadwick

  • Nine months have passed since Aisin announced a transformative MTP. Investors remain sceptical that it will deliver higher returns. 
  • Improving margins on hybrid transmissions, new products for BEVs and better capital allocation could deliver 70% upside for investors.
  • The key risk is the assumption that operating margins can rise above 8% versus the historical average of 5%. 

Korean Holdcos Vs Opcos Gap Trading Opportunities in 3Q 2024

By Douglas Kim

  • In this insight, we highlight the recent pricing gap divergences of the major Korean holdcos and opcos which could provide trading opportunities in 3Q 2024.
  • Of the 38 pair trades, 21 of them involved holdcos outperforming opcos in the past six months, suggesting increased capital allocation to Korean holdcos relative to their opcos.
  • These pairs could generate trading opportunities in terms of their pricing gaps closing reversal (Doosan Corp vs. Doosan Enerbility; Hyundai Mobis vs Hyundai Motor).

Precot Limited: A Niche Technical Textile Player

By Sudarshan Bhandari

  • Niche Player in Cotton yarn spinning and Technical Textile with decadal experience.
  • Expansion in Technical Textile during FY24 will significantly improve the margin profile and revenue for the company.
  • Peer Comparison and assessment at multiple metrics to assess the suitability of investment.

Gap Trades in Korean Prefs Vs Common Share Pairs in 3Q 2024

By Douglas Kim

  • In this insight, we discuss numerous gap trades involving Korean preferred and common shares in 3Q 2024.
  • The recent push for Korea Value Up program has helped to push up prices of numerous Korean preferred stocks including Hyundai Motor (005385 KS)
  • On a longer timeframe (3-4 years), we believe this discount could narrow further to the 20-25% range, which provides additional opportunities for the Korean preferred shares to further make gains.

Elon Wins $56B Package Re-Vote and Shift to Texas. Now What for Tesla?

By Uttkarsh Kohli

  • Despite achieving significant milestones, Elon Musk’s $56 billion compensation package was voided in January 2024 due to a flawed approval process, ruled a Delaware judge.
  • Tesla’s shareholders voted to reinstate Musk’s package in June 2024, but the lawsuit continues, and the contract’s future remains uncertain.
  • Tesla faces challenges with slow EV sales growth, rising competition, and the need for lower-cost models, which may impact stock performance despite Musk’s ongoing leadership.

Toyo Corporation (8151 JP) – Initiating Coverage

By Astris Advisory Japan

  • Toyo Corporation is a trading company specializing in measurement technologies.
  • With several initiatives and strong structural demand in the electric vehicles space in particular, we expect the company to achieve higher revenue and profitability.
  • Higher recurring revenue and proprietary product ratios will support a margin improvement in the future. 

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (02-Jul-2024): India boosts smartphone exports with iPhone manufacturers.

By Tech Supply Chain Tracker

  • Indian smartphone exports boosted by iPhone makers as Xiphera introduces quantum security improvements in crypto solutions
  • Ola Electric pioneers solid-state batteries for electric vehicles, while SK Hynix invests $75 billion to dominate HBM Market for AI Chips
  • China nationalizes rare earth resources as airlines struggle with high costs to achieve sustainable fuel goals, Foxconn denies mistreating married women in India

Shortlist Of High Conviction Ideas: Income, Value, and Margin of Safety – July 2024

By Sameer Taneja


3Q FOLLOW-UP – Carta Holdings (3688 JP)

By Sessa Investment Research

  • Operating profit for 1Q (Jan-Mar) FY2024/12 was ¥985 mn, already achieving 65.7% of progress in 1Q against the full-year target.
  • Reason: a steady growth in programmatic advertising business including the collaboration business with Dentsu and the drastic cost reduction implemented in 2023 helped, while the bottoming out of reservation-based advertising business was not yet recognized in 1Q FY2024/12.
  • In addition, the phasing out of the use of third-party Cookies in Google Chrome, which was included in the initial performance plan as a downside risk, has been postponed to 2025 or later. 

Target Healthcare REIT – Enhanced portfolio metrics and interest savings

By Edison Investment Research

Target Healthcare REIT has sold four of its care homes for £44.5m to the incumbent tenant, modestly ahead of the carried value. The homes have performed well since being acquired as part of the significant portfolio transaction in late 2021, but their sale enhances key portfolio average metrics such as age, floor space and unexpired lease term, has been completed at a lower yield than the portfolio average and enables the company to reduce exposure to more expensive debt.


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Daily Brief Macro: Steno Signals #106 – The cycle is improving. Not weakening. and more

By | Daily Briefs, Macro

In today’s briefing:

  • Steno Signals #106 – The cycle is improving. Not weakening.
  • Berkshire’s Bullish Bet on Occidental Fails to Sway Market Sentiments
  • The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma – Grab’s Lead, Bank Rakyat Indonesia, and CLEO’s Pure Water
  • Energy Cable: Increases in freight rates not transferring into goods inflation (for now)
  • HEM: Doves Stay the Course


Steno Signals #106 – The cycle is improving. Not weakening.

By Andreas Steno

  • We spent most of last week examining cycle leads and lags as we continue to observe solid signs of re-acceleration in economies with low duration profiles and high sensitivities to interest rates and exports.
  • The Riksbank in Sweden, the BoC in Canada, and partially the ECB in Europe have all cut interest rates amidst an already improving cyclical environment.
  • We are already starting to see the positive ripple effects.

Berkshire’s Bullish Bet on Occidental Fails to Sway Market Sentiments

By Suhas Reddy

  • Occidental trades at higher PE and PB valuations than Exxon Mobil, Chevron, Shell, TotalEnergies, and BP. European oil majors are cheaper than American peers.  
  • Occidental has been the Permian Basin’s leading oil and gas producer for the past five years. 
  • Occidental expects to close the USD 12 billion CrownRock acquisition by August. The deal is anticipated to boost its oil output by 170k bpd. 

The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma – Grab’s Lead, Bank Rakyat Indonesia, and CLEO’s Pure Water

By Angus Mackintosh


Energy Cable: Increases in freight rates not transferring into goods inflation (for now)

By Ulrik Simmelholt

  • Greetings from Copenhagen! We’ll take a look at freight rates, copper, and crude from an inflation angle.
  • But before we do that, let’s have a quick look at Henry Hub.
  • The front-month Henry Hub natural gas prices continue to face downward pressure, primarily influenced by an abundance in gas stock levels.

HEM: Doves Stay the Course

By Phil Rush

  • The Bank of England appears eager to implement a rate cut in August, which some view as overly dovish.
  • The European Central Bank’s potential rate cut in September is contingent on the Federal Reserve initiating their cut at the same time.
  • There is a risk of inflating economic bubbles due to premature stimulus, similar to the situation in 1998. Additionally, the excessive growth in labour costs is being underestimated.

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Daily Brief South Korea: Hyundai Glovis and more

By | Daily Briefs, South Korea

In today’s briefing:

  • Potential Recurrence of Local Flow Trade Patterns in Hyundai Glovis’s Stock Dividend Event


Potential Recurrence of Local Flow Trade Patterns in Hyundai Glovis’s Stock Dividend Event

By Sanghyun Park

  • Finding a trading entry point during a stock dividend event is tough, but locally, stock prices often rise post-ex-rights date and stabilize after listing, over 70% of the time.
  • There’s speculation that local flow trading, mainly driven by local prop traders, might target this pattern in Glovis’s stock dividend as well.
  • While I wouldn’t recommend banking on this probabilistic trading setup, it’s important to be aware that this could significantly impact stock movements from the ex-rights date to the listing date.

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Daily Brief Singapore: Delfi Ltd and more

By | Daily Briefs, Singapore

In today’s briefing:

  • Delfi Ltd (DELFI.SI) – Friday, Mar 29, 2024


Delfi Ltd (DELFI.SI) – Friday, Mar 29, 2024

By Value Investors Club

Key points

  • Delfi, the leading chocolate company in Indonesia, is experiencing challenges due to rising cocoa prices
  • Despite a decrease in share price, analysts remain optimistic about Delfi’s future prospects
  • The company’s management team is implementing strategic measures to protect profit margins and improve financial performance, with initiatives planned for 2024 expected to mitigate the impact of cocoa price increases

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


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Daily Brief Indonesia: Selamat Sempurna and more

By | Daily Briefs, Indonesia

In today’s briefing:

  • Selamat Sempurna (SMSM IJ) – Filter Champion


Selamat Sempurna (SMSM IJ) – Filter Champion

By Angus Mackintosh

  • Selamat Sempurna is one of the most interesting industrial companies in Indonesia, with a leading market share in filters for auto and heavy equipment markets in Indonesia and overseas.
  • 1Q2024 was impacted by a seasonal slowdow ahead of Lebaran and a decline in sales to Russia, offset by strong US sales. Management remains confident in the outlook for FY2024.
  • Selamat Sempurna will continue to benefit from growth in the filter replacement market for both auto and heavy equipment markets and already has exposure to EVs. Valuations are attractive. 

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Daily Brief Utilities: China Water Affairs and more

By | Daily Briefs, Utilities Sector

In today’s briefing:

  • Morning Views Asia: China Water Affairs, Health And Happiness (H&H)


Morning Views Asia: China Water Affairs, Health And Happiness (H&H)

By Leonard Law, CFA

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.


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Daily Brief United States: Leggett & Platt, Life Time Group Holdings, Shake Shack Inc Class A, Pilgrim’S Pride, Post Holdings, Fox Factory Holding, GMS Inc, Griffon Corp, Helen Of Troy, Integral Ad Science Holding and more

By | Daily Briefs, United States

In today’s briefing:

  • Leggett & Platt Incorporated: Will There Be A Negative Impact Of Broader Macro-Economic Trends? – Major Drivers
  • Life Time Group Holdings Inc.: The Enhanced Member Retention & 3 Critical Factors Driving Our Optimism! – Financial Forecasts
  • Shake Shack Inc.: Brand Enhancement Through Marketing and Promotions! – Major Drivers
  • Pilgrim’s Pride Corporation: A Story Of Changing Market Dynamics & Industry Positioning! – Major Drivers
  • Post Holdings Inc.: Consumer Market Pricing Strategy & 3 Pivotal Factors Influencing Its Performance In 2025 & Beyond! – Major Drivers
  • Fox Factory Holding Corp.: A Story Of Market Diversification and Segment Expansion! – Major Drivers
  • GMS Inc.: How Are They Navigating Price Dynamics in Key Product Segments? – Major Drivers
  • Griffon Corporation: Can The Expansion of Global Sourcing Actually Streamline Operations & Expand The Bottom-Line? – Major Drivers
  • Helen of Troy Limited: How Are They Tackling Strategic Acquisition & Integration Issues…
  • Integral Ad Science Holding Corp.: Does Their Innovative Product Roadmap & AI Investments Make Them A ‘Buy’? – Major Drivers


Leggett & Platt Incorporated: Will There Be A Negative Impact Of Broader Macro-Economic Trends? – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Leggett & Platt, a prominent engineered product manufacturer, recently revealed its financial and strategic direction in its first quarter 2024 earnings analysis.
  • The company is engaged in multiple business segments, notably Bedding Products, Specialized Products, and Furniture, Flooring & Textile Products.
  • The reported period reflects a mix of strategic restructuring, operational challenges, and financial adjustments aimed at long-term sustainability and growth.

Life Time Group Holdings Inc.: The Enhanced Member Retention & 3 Critical Factors Driving Our Optimism! – Financial Forecasts

By Baptista Research

  • Life Time Group Holdings, Inc. showcased a strong financial performance in the first quarter of 2024, although there were some mixed aspects within the results.
  • The company reported a notable increase in total revenue, which rose by 16.8% to $596.7 million from the year earlier.
  • This rise was predominantly fueled by a 19% growth in membership dues and enrollment fees and a 10.5% uptick in in-center revenue.

Shake Shack Inc.: Brand Enhancement Through Marketing and Promotions! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Shake Shack reported a promising performance for the first quarter of 2024, demonstrating substantial growth and improvement across several key metrics.
  • Total revenue increased by 14.7% year-over-year to $290.5 million, supported by a 1.6% rise in Same-Shack sales and robust system-wide sales growth of 12.3% to $443 million.
  • This consistent revenue growth underscores the company’s ability to expand its operational footprint effectively, with 8 new Shacks opened during the quarter contributing to this upward trajectory.

Pilgrim’s Pride Corporation: A Story Of Changing Market Dynamics & Industry Positioning! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Pilgrim’s Pride Corporation reported positive financial results for the first quarter of 2024, demonstrating significant growth and operational efficiency despite challenging market conditions.
  • The company recorded net revenues of $4.4 billion, marking a 4.7% increase from the previous year.
  • Moreover, the adjusted EBITDA reached $372 million, which is a 145% rise compared to Q1 2023, and the adjusted EBITDA margin expanded from 3.6% to 8.5%.

Post Holdings Inc.: Consumer Market Pricing Strategy & 3 Pivotal Factors Influencing Its Performance In 2025 & Beyond! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Post Holdings delivered robust performance in the second quarter of 2024, anchored by strong execution across core segments such as Consumer Brands and Foodservices, despite notable challenges including volume declines in several categories.
  • The company’s proactive management, highlighted by strategic price adjustments and rigorous cost control, have enabled Post to navigate a complex economic landscape defined by shifting consumer behaviors.
  • Baptista Research looks to evaluate the different factors that could influence the company’s price in the near future and attempts to carry out an independent valuation of the company using a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) methodology.

Fox Factory Holding Corp.: A Story Of Market Diversification and Segment Expansion! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Fox Factory Holding Corporation presented a comprehensive review of their first quarter fiscal 2022 performance alongside future projections and strategic outlooks.
  • The company reported revenue of $333.5 million which met their expectations, and adjusted earnings per share of $0.29, surpassing their projections.
  • Given the diversified nature of their product portfolio, spanning multiple sectors and markets, Fox Factory has shown resilience amid industry cyclicality, mitigating risk while aligning with avenues for future growth.

GMS Inc.: How Are They Navigating Price Dynamics in Key Product Segments? – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • GMS Inc. reported a robust fiscal year 2024, marked by record net sales of $5.5 billion, a testament to volume growth across all four product categories—Wallboard, Ceilings, Complementary Products, and Steel Framing.
  • In particular, the resilience in Wallboard pricing and inflation adjustments in Ceilings and Complementary Products significantly contributed to the revenue.
  • These results underscore the company’s strong position in the market, benefiting from ongoing demand in multifamily and steady commercial activity levels.

Griffon Corporation: Can The Expansion of Global Sourcing Actually Streamline Operations & Expand The Bottom-Line? – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Griffon Corporation delivered a mixed set of financial results in the fiscal second quarter of 2024, presenting a complex landscape for potential investors.
  • On the positive front, Griffon reported a robust start to the year, with healthier performances particularly noted in the Home and Building Products (HBP) segment which outperformed expectations partly due to unexpectedly high residential order volumes that defied typical seasonal trends.
  • Furthermore, the Consumer and Professional Products (CPP) segment also showed improvement, registered in an increased EBITDA, attributed to lower production costs in North America, offsetting a decline in revenue by 11% due to dampened demand.

Helen of Troy Limited: How Are They Tackling Strategic Acquisition & Integration Issues…

By Baptista Research

  • Helen of Troy Limited reported its fourth quarter fiscal 2024 results, which exceeded expectations in terms of both consolidated net sales and adjusted EPS.
  • The firm effectively expanded its gross profit margin by 390 basis points and grew its adjusted operating margin by 50 basis points over the fiscal year.
  • This accomplishment was particularly noteworthy given the challenging macroeconomic conditions faced during the year, including inflationary pressures and geopolitical upheaval.

Integral Ad Science Holding Corp.: Does Their Innovative Product Roadmap & AI Investments Make Them A ‘Buy’? – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Integral Ad Science (IAS) had a constructive start to 2024 as highlighted in their recent financial performance discussion.
  • The company reported that revenue and adjusted EBITDA for the first quarter surpassed previous forecasts, demonstrating a robust economic position and potential upward trajectory in its financial metrics.
  • Revenue increased by 8% to $114.5 million, which was above the company’s guidance range of $111 million to $113 million.

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Daily Brief China: Shanghai Henlius Biotech , China Resources Medical, Tencent, Perfect Medical Health, Shenyang Xingqi Pharmaceutical, China Water Affairs, Metalpha Technology Holding Lt and more

By | China, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • Merger Arb Mondays (01 Jul) – Henlius, China TCM, GA Pack, CPMC, Asia Cement, Great Eastern
  • China Healthcare Weekly (Jun.30) – TCM Companies Witness Soaring Costs, Rising Stars in ADC, 1515.HK
  • China Consumption Weekly (1 Jul 2024): Douyin, Green Tea, Alibaba, Tencent, Haidilao
  • Perfect Medical (1830 HK): Resilient FY24 And 12.5% Trailing Dividend Yield
  • Shenyang Xingqi Pharmaceutical (300573.CH)-Looking Forward to a Leap in Valuation and Rich Dividends
  • Morning Views Asia: China Water Affairs, Health And Happiness (H&H)
  • Metalpha (MATH) – Sunday, Mar 31, 2024



China Healthcare Weekly (Jun.30) – TCM Companies Witness Soaring Costs, Rising Stars in ADC, 1515.HK

By Xinyao (Criss) Wang

  • Investors should be aware of the increasing prices of TCM raw materials, which could lead to fluctuations in profit margins of TCM companies. Investors should prepare for these potential impacts.
  • After years of “fast-follow”, we’ve finally seen products from Chinese pharmaceutical companies stand at the center of the stage for the first time in the new generation of ADC.
  • China Resources Medical’s profitability outlook is not promising due to issues within the Chinese healthcare system. The bottom line is P/B above 1 and P/E above 10x.

China Consumption Weekly (1 Jul 2024): Douyin, Green Tea, Alibaba, Tencent, Haidilao

By Ming Lu

  • Douyin’ GMV increased by 300% YoY in the “June 18” sales season.
  • The revenue of a pre-IPO restaurant chain, Green Tea, increased by 55% in 2023.
  • Alibaba’s supermarket chain, Freshippo, opened 12 new stores in June.

Perfect Medical (1830 HK): Resilient FY24 And 12.5% Trailing Dividend Yield

By Sameer Taneja

  • Perfect Medical Health (1830 HK) reported flat revenue/profit growth for FY24 due to a weak Q4 that plagued the entire HK consumer space. H2FY24  revenue/profit growth was -6.3%/-12.5%
  • The company paid a generous dividend of 31.5 cents for FY24 (vs. 30.0 cents), resulting in a 12.5% dividend yield.
  • We will follow up with more details after the earnings call and presentation. 

Shenyang Xingqi Pharmaceutical (300573.CH)-Looking Forward to a Leap in Valuation and Rich Dividends

By Xinyao (Criss) Wang

  • Xingqi’s 0.01% atropine sulfate eye drops got approved for marketing this March, which is expected to monopolize the domestic market for at least 2.5-3 years, and enjoy higher gross margin.
  • Peak sales of 0.01% atropine sulfate eye drops would reach RMB5 billion at least. Together with other products, Xingqi’s total revenue would reach at least RMB6 billion in the future.
  • Due to attractive dividend policy, this stock is worth holding for the long term.Xingqi’s market value could even reach RMB50 billion if the sales exclusivity period is longer than expected. 

Morning Views Asia: China Water Affairs, Health And Happiness (H&H)

By Leonard Law, CFA

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.


Metalpha (MATH) – Sunday, Mar 31, 2024

By Value Investors Club

  • Metalpha is a small-cap Chinese supply chain company that has transitioned into an OTC underwriter focused on crypto derivatives through a reverse-merger.
  • Despite being one of the smallest market cap crypto companies, it is not perceived as a “crypto” play by investors leading to low trading volume and lack of visibility.
  • As the company gains recognition and the team continues to deliver results, it is expected to see a significant increase in valuation, potentially offering 4-17x returns to shareholders in the next 24-36 months.

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


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Daily Brief India: Bandhan Bank Ltd, Nuvama Wealth Management, NIFTY Index and more

By | Daily Briefs, India

In today’s briefing:

  • India Channel Insight | Bandhan Bank (BANDHAN IN) | The Other Shoe to Drop
  • Nuvama: Continues to Deliver Strong
  • EQD / NSE Vol Update / IVs Rise in Conjunction with Equities Counter to Regular Spot-Vol Correlation


India Channel Insight | Bandhan Bank (BANDHAN IN) | The Other Shoe to Drop

By Pranav Bhavsar

  • While the street is getting excited about Bandhan Bank (assuming a change in management, end of a bad asset cycle, and lower valuations), we are not.
  • We believe the next set of problems for the bank are yet to be unleashed, and a change in management will only intensify the challenges ahead.
  • We believe the worst is yet to come for the bank. 

Nuvama: Continues to Deliver Strong

By Ankit Agrawal, CFA

  • Nuvama Wealth Management (“Nuvama”)  continues to report strong growth with Q4FY24 revenue at INR 596cr, a growth of 35% YoY. Q4FY24 PAT grew 57% YoY to reach INR 181cr. 
  • Overall, FY24 revenue and PAT ended strong at INR 2063cr (YoY growth of 31%) and INR 597cr (YoY growth of 62%), respectively.
  • FY24 growth was led by the capital markets (revenue grew 64% YoY) segment, aided by favorable cycle and market-share gains. Wealth and asset management segments are also scaling up well.

EQD / NSE Vol Update / IVs Rise in Conjunction with Equities Counter to Regular Spot-Vol Correlation

By Sankalp Singh

  • Implied Volatilities (IVs) continued to rise as the underlying index tried to break above critical resistance – marking a break-down of usual spot-vol correlations.
  • Vol surface smile & skew characteristics held steady at the 25-Delta point of curve, while dynamics at the 10-Delta zone extended further.
  • Nifty50 Back-end Term Structure is in Backwardation as Monthly options enjoy markups based on July-end Indian Budget release.   

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Daily Brief Industrials: Hyundai Glovis, Timee Inc, GMS Inc, Griffon Corp, Siteone Landscape Supply and more

By | Daily Briefs, Industrials

In today’s briefing:

  • Potential Recurrence of Local Flow Trade Patterns in Hyundai Glovis’s Stock Dividend Event
  • Timee Pre-IPO – Peer Comparison – Stronger Growth Has Allowed It to Close the Margin Gap
  • GMS Inc.: How Are They Navigating Price Dynamics in Key Product Segments? – Major Drivers
  • Griffon Corporation: Can The Expansion of Global Sourcing Actually Streamline Operations & Expand The Bottom-Line? – Major Drivers
  • SiteOne Landscape Supply Inc.: A Tale Of Market Share Expansion and Diverse End Markets! – Major Drivers


Potential Recurrence of Local Flow Trade Patterns in Hyundai Glovis’s Stock Dividend Event

By Sanghyun Park

  • Finding a trading entry point during a stock dividend event is tough, but locally, stock prices often rise post-ex-rights date and stabilize after listing, over 70% of the time.
  • There’s speculation that local flow trading, mainly driven by local prop traders, might target this pattern in Glovis’s stock dividend as well.
  • While I wouldn’t recommend banking on this probabilistic trading setup, it’s important to be aware that this could significantly impact stock movements from the ex-rights date to the listing date.

Timee Pre-IPO – Peer Comparison – Stronger Growth Has Allowed It to Close the Margin Gap

By Clarence Chu

  • Timee Inc (215A JP) is looking to raise US$290m from its Japan IPO. The IPO will be a 100% secondary selldown by existing shareholders.
  • Timee operates an on-demand staffing platform that connects part-time jobseekers with businesses in Japan. 
  • In an earlier note, we looked at the firm’s past performance. In this note, we undertake a peer comparison.

GMS Inc.: How Are They Navigating Price Dynamics in Key Product Segments? – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • GMS Inc. reported a robust fiscal year 2024, marked by record net sales of $5.5 billion, a testament to volume growth across all four product categories—Wallboard, Ceilings, Complementary Products, and Steel Framing.
  • In particular, the resilience in Wallboard pricing and inflation adjustments in Ceilings and Complementary Products significantly contributed to the revenue.
  • These results underscore the company’s strong position in the market, benefiting from ongoing demand in multifamily and steady commercial activity levels.

Griffon Corporation: Can The Expansion of Global Sourcing Actually Streamline Operations & Expand The Bottom-Line? – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Griffon Corporation delivered a mixed set of financial results in the fiscal second quarter of 2024, presenting a complex landscape for potential investors.
  • On the positive front, Griffon reported a robust start to the year, with healthier performances particularly noted in the Home and Building Products (HBP) segment which outperformed expectations partly due to unexpectedly high residential order volumes that defied typical seasonal trends.
  • Furthermore, the Consumer and Professional Products (CPP) segment also showed improvement, registered in an increased EBITDA, attributed to lower production costs in North America, offsetting a decline in revenue by 11% due to dampened demand.

SiteOne Landscape Supply Inc.: A Tale Of Market Share Expansion and Diverse End Markets! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • SiteOne Landscape Supply, Inc. reported its first quarter results for the fiscal year 2024, which were met with mixed outcomes as the company navigated through various market challenges such as commodity price deflation and adverse weather impacts in some markets.
  • Despite these challenges, the company managed to post an 8% increase in net sales, demonstrating resilience in its operational strategy and a boosted performance through recent acquisitions.
  • Baptista Research looks to evaluate the different factors that could influence the company’s price in the near future and attempts to carry out an independent valuation of the company using a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) methodology.

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