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Daily Briefs

Daily Brief Singapore: Raffles Medical Group, Yangzijiang Shipbuilding, China Vanke , Singtel and more

By | Daily Briefs, Singapore

In today’s briefing:

  • Raffles Medical (RFMD SP): Loo Sees A Bargain
  • Yangzijiang Shipbuilding (YZJSGD SP): Cheaper than Peers with Index Inclusion Kicker
  • Morning Views Asia: China Vanke , Lippo Malls Indonesia Retail Trust
  • STI Chalks up 5.7% Total Return in 1H24


Raffles Medical (RFMD SP): Loo Sees A Bargain

By David Blennerhassett

  • Shares of integrated private healthcare provider Raffles Medical Group (RFMD SP) are currently languishing around a three low. RMG does look attractive compared to regional healthcare plays. 
  • FY23 numbers did no favours – top/bottom line y-o-y contraction of 14.1% and 37.1% respectively.  Yet its emerging China ops show promise. 
  • Of interest is Loo Choon Yong, RMG’s founder and major shareholder, who continues adding to his stake, and now holds 54.944%, up from 53.033% at the beginning of the year.

Yangzijiang Shipbuilding (YZJSGD SP): Cheaper than Peers with Index Inclusion Kicker

By Brian Freitas

  • The rally in Yangzijiang Shipbuilding (YZJSGD SP) over the last month should result in the stock being added to global passive portfolios late next month.
  • Yangzijiang Shipbuilding (YZJSGD SP) trades cheaper than peers on forward PE but there has been a big rally in the stock over the last month.
  • There has been an increase in cumulative excess volume since mid-May and there will be positioning for the event, but there could be further gains in the stock.

Morning Views Asia: China Vanke , Lippo Malls Indonesia Retail Trust

By Leonard Law, CFA

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.


STI Chalks up 5.7% Total Return in 1H24

By Geoff Howie

  • The STI generated a 2.9% gain to 3,332.8, with dividends boosting the total return to 5.7% in 1H24.
  • The trio of STI Banks, YZJ Shipbuilding & Singtel led the STI gains in 1H24.
  • The net institutional flow (NIF) of the stock Sectors in 1H24 are illustrated below, with the Energy Sector seeing S$29 million of net institutional inflow, representing 1.0% of the combined S$2.9 billion Sector market capitalisation as of 30 June, to the S-REIT Sector net institutional outflow representing 1.2% of its Sector market capitalisation as of 30 June.

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Daily Brief United States: Blackrock Inc, Cirrus Aircraft, Newell Rubbermaid, Capri Holdings , Newmarket Corp, Medpace Holdings Inc, Natera Inc, Neurocrine Biosciences, Roivant Sciences Ltd, Simply Good Foods Co and more

By | Daily Briefs, United States

In today’s briefing:

  • Best Of: BlackRock Goes All in on Infrastructure
  • Cirrus Aircraft IPO – Fundamentally Sound but Parent Still Under Sanction
  • Newell Brands: A Solid Strategic Business Unit Performance and Innovation Implementation Drives Our Optimism!! – Major Drivers
  • Capri Holdings Limited: Why We Are Bullish Even If The Tapestry Acquisition Does Not Go Through! – Major Drivers
  • NewMarket Corporation: The AMPAC Acquisition & Strengthening of Petroleum Additives Makes Us Bullish! – Major Drivers
  • Medpace Holdings Inc.: Will The Improved Bookings Environment Last? – Major Drivers
  • Natera Inc.: Why We Are Neutral Despite These 5 Massive Growth Drivers! – Financial Forecasts
  • Neurocrine Biosciences Inc.: Can The Gene Therapy Innovations Be A Growth Catalyst? – Major Drivers
  • Roivant Sciences Ltd.: Focus on Immunological Innovations Through Immunovant & Other Pipeline Expansion! – Major Drivers
  • The Simply Good Foods Company: Acquisition of OWYN to Strengthen RTD Protein Shake Market Position & Other Major Drivers


Best Of: BlackRock Goes All in on Infrastructure

By Behind the Money

  • Blackrock is a massive asset management firm with $10 trillion in assets under management
  • Blackrock recently made a transformative acquisition of Global Infrastructure Partners (GIP)
  • The deal has wide-ranging effects for the private capital industry and is a wake-up call for Wall Street firms to rethink their strategies and partnerships

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.


Cirrus Aircraft IPO – Fundamentally Sound but Parent Still Under Sanction

By Ethan Aw

  • Cirrus Aircraft (0153126D US) seeks to raise up to US$197m in its Hong Kong IPO.
  • Cirrus Aircraft designs, develops, manufactures, and sells premium aircrafts. Its two aircraft product lines, the SR2X Series and the Vision Jet, are currently certified and validated in over 60 countries.
  • In our previous notes, we talked about the company’s historical performance and PHIP updates. In this note, we undertake a quick peer comparison and share our thoughts on valuation.

Newell Brands: A Solid Strategic Business Unit Performance and Innovation Implementation Drives Our Optimism!! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Newell Brands displayed a strong performance in its first quarter of 2024, reflecting continued progress in its strategic turnaround efforts.
  • The company reported improvements across multiple metrics, including gross margin, operational efficiency, and core sales despite a challenging external environment.
  • Moreover, Newell Brands maintained its full-year outlook and highlighted ongoing focus on operational excellence and innovation.

Capri Holdings Limited: Why We Are Bullish Even If The Tapestry Acquisition Does Not Go Through! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Capri Holdings Limited recently reported its financial performance for the fourth quarter and full fiscal year of 2023.
  • Despite facing numerous challenges, including an uncertain macroeconomic environment and specific difficulties in the Americas, the company managed to achieve high single-digit revenue growth and mid-single digit growth in earnings per share on a 52-week constant currency basis.
  • However, these figures fell short of the company’s initial expectations.

NewMarket Corporation: The AMPAC Acquisition & Strengthening of Petroleum Additives Makes Us Bullish! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • NewMarket Corporation reported a solid performance in the first quarter of 2024, with notable developments in financial results and strategic actions aimed at expanding its business operations.
  • The company reported a net income of $108 million or $11.23 per share, reflecting an increase from $98 million or $10.09 per share in the same period the previous year.
  • The primary revenue generator, the petroleum additives segment, demonstrated a robust operating profit of $151 million up from $132 million in the first quarter of 2023, though it experienced a slight decline in sales from $700 million in the previous year to $677 million.

Medpace Holdings Inc.: Will The Improved Bookings Environment Last? – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Medpace’s financial results for the first quarter of 2023 highlight a mixed scenario, reflecting both the opportunities and challenges inherent in the clinical contract research organization (CRO) industry.
  • The company reported that revenues reached $511 million for the quarter, marking a significant 17.7% increase on a year-over year basis.
  • This positive trajectory can be attributed to healthy demand for Medpace’s clinical research services, as demonstrated by the growth in ending backlog which stood at approximately $2.9 billion—an increase of 18.2% compared to the previous year.

Natera Inc.: Why We Are Neutral Despite These 5 Massive Growth Drivers! – Financial Forecasts

By Baptista Research

  • Natera, Inc., during its Q1 2024 discussion, presented results that indicate robust financial and operational achievements alongside a renewed forward outlook reflecting the company’s strong position in the genomic diagnostics market.
  • The company noted a significant increase in its revenue and volume growth across its diversified operational segments, which include oncology, organ health, and women’s health.
  • Notably, Natera, Inc. achieved a major corporate milestone by reaching cash flow breakeven in Q1, significantly ahead of schedule.

Neurocrine Biosciences Inc.: Can The Gene Therapy Innovations Be A Growth Catalyst? – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Neurocrine Biosciences recently concluded its quarterly update, focusing on its strategic progress and financial achievements.
  • One of the highlights is the significant year-over-year growth marked by the continued success of INGREZZA, its flagship product, which reported sales of $506 million for the quarter, reflecting over 20% annual growth.
  • This consistent growth trajectory, despite seasonal payer dynamics, underscores the effective management and robust demand for INGREZZA in treating conditions like tardive dyskinesia (TD) and Huntington’s disease chorea.

Roivant Sciences Ltd.: Focus on Immunological Innovations Through Immunovant & Other Pipeline Expansion! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Roivant’s latest financial and business developments indicate both potential and challenges.
  • The company reported a series of product updates and financial adjustments aimed at fostering growth and efficiency.
  • Notably, Roivant’s executive team highlighted fiscal responsibility through renegotiations of Dermavant’s obligations, which are projected to reduce costs significantly.

The Simply Good Foods Company: Acquisition of OWYN to Strengthen RTD Protein Shake Market Position & Other Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • The Simply Good Foods Company reported its fiscal third-quarter results for 2024, reflecting a combination of growth and investment strategies aimed at harnessing both immediate gains and longer-term opportunities.
  • The company’s results were favorable, with a reported net sales increase of 3.1% to $334.8 million, driven primarily by Quest’s volume growth.
  • Notably, retail takeaway across measured and unmeasured channels outpaced net sales growth, reaching approximately 5%.

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Daily Brief India: Emcure Pharmaceuticals, United Spirits and more

By | Daily Briefs, India

In today’s briefing:

  • Emcure Pharmaceuticals Pre-IPO – Refiling Updates and Valuations
  • India Alcoholic Beverages: Growing in Pints And Quarts. IPO Adds a Valuation Kick


Emcure Pharmaceuticals Pre-IPO – Refiling Updates and Valuations

By Sumeet Singh

  • Emcure Pharmaceuticals is looking to raise around US$240m in its upcoming India IPO.
  • Emcure Pharmaceuticals (EP) is an Indian Pharmaceutical company engaged in the developing, manufacturing and globally marketing a broad range of pharmaceutical products across several major therapeutic areas.
  • We have looked at the company’s past performance, in our earlier note. In this note, we talk about the RHP updates and take a quick look at valuations.

India Alcoholic Beverages: Growing in Pints And Quarts. IPO Adds a Valuation Kick

By Devi Subhakesan

  • Allied Blenders & Distillers‘ recent IPO spotlighted India’s alcoholic beverage sector, which bucks global trends with strong volume and value growth.
  • India is the third largest alcoholic beverage market globally, and the second largest for spirits. It is projected to grow at a CAGR of more than 10% over the near-term.
  • Incumbent players in this highly regulated sector can benefit from strong market moats and evolving growth opportunities if they can effectively navigate the highly regulated business  environment.

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Daily Brief China: ESR Group , Shougang Fushan Resources, China Vanke , UGenix Biotech and more

By | China, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • ESR Group (1821 HK): Consortium’s Expansion Talks Suggest Progress
  • Fushan Energy (639 HK): Coking Coal Prices To Strengthen With Anglo Accident
  • Morning Views Asia: China Vanke , Lippo Malls Indonesia Retail Trust
  • Pre-IPO UGenix Biotech – Future Growth Potential Is Highly Uncertain


ESR Group (1821 HK): Consortium’s Expansion Talks Suggest Progress

By Arun George

  • Bloomberg reports that the bidding consortium is in talks to bring in other partners, such as QIA, PIF, and CPP Investment Board, to aid in privatising ESR Group (1821 HK).
  • Warburg Pincus and OMERS have blocking stakes for a Cayman scheme. Warburg Pincus is seemingly supportive, and the consortium’s expansion talks suggest confidence in meeting OMERS’ price expectations.
  • Our best guess is that an offer is around HK$14.00. ESR’s current valuation is undemanding, with its forward EV/EBITDA multiple at a 40% discount compared to the median peers’ multiple.

Fushan Energy (639 HK): Coking Coal Prices To Strengthen With Anglo Accident

By Sameer Taneja

  • Shougang Fushan Resources (639 HK) is a play on strengthening coking coal prices with downside protection due to its net cash reserves of 1.1 bn USD (Vs. Mkt Cap 2.1).
  • At the lower end of the cost curve, its EBITDA margins have averaged 54% (last 16 years), with its lowest EBITDA number of 19% in FY15.
  • With an 80% payout, the company trades at a trailing yield of 9% (the average spot price assumed is 1900 RMB/ton).

Morning Views Asia: China Vanke , Lippo Malls Indonesia Retail Trust

By Leonard Law, CFA

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.


Pre-IPO UGenix Biotech – Future Growth Potential Is Highly Uncertain

By Xinyao (Criss) Wang

  • Although UGenix is a genetic technology company focusing on prenatal testing/precision oncology, it was the large-scale COVID-19 testing demand that made UGenix’s overall revenue grow rapidly, which, however, is unsustainable.
  • NIPT market size is far less than expected. The clinical need for NGS has not developed as rigid demand. Restrictions on companion diagnosis pricing indicate market space would be compressed.
  • The business of both prenatal testing and precision oncology are not easy. Due to uncertain commercialization outlook/profitability and other negative factors, UGenix’s stock price after IPO could underperform.

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Daily Brief Japan: Timee Inc, Shinko Electric Industries, Toyota Motor, Eisai Co Ltd, TSE Tokyo Price Index TOPIX and more

By | Daily Briefs, Japan

In today’s briefing:

  • Timee (215A JP) IPO: The Bull Case
  • Shinko Electric (6967) – Break/Gap Risk Early July 2024 Update
  • Japan Cross-Shareholding – Summary Matrix – Over US$100bn of Selling in 118 Companies
  • Eisai Co Ltd (4523 JP): New Competition Is Coming for Alzheimer’s Disease Drug; No Immediate Threat
  • The Challenge Is to Raise the Quality of Engagement. To Do So, Active Funds Need to Be Increased


Timee (215A JP) IPO: The Bull Case

By Arun George

  • Timee Inc (215A JP), a leading part-time job platform in Japan, is seeking to raise up to US$286 million. Book-building runs from 9 to 23 July.   
  • Timee’s app allows users to work shifts as short as one hour at restaurants, convenience stores, and hotels, with quick payment for their work.   
  • The bull case rests on favourable market trends, best-in-class revenue growth, good retention rates, credible growth drivers, and top-quartile EBITDA margins.

Shinko Electric (6967) – Break/Gap Risk Early July 2024 Update

By Travis Lundy

  • When this deal was announced, it was light. But the timing, JSR influence, large-ish float, ensured FUD would make this trade wide. It traded wider.
  • Nearly 6mos ago, Shinko had much-underperformed peer Ibiden, meaning downside gap risk from undisturbed was negative as spreads were wide. I reco’d a buy. Then 16+wks ago, recommended taking profits.
  • Shinko had outperformed Ibiden, gross spreads had narrowed 5+% on JSR approval. Gross spread is now 4.6% but time is shorter so annualised is 10+% even out to December launch.

Japan Cross-Shareholding – Summary Matrix – Over US$100bn of Selling in 118 Companies

By Sumeet Singh

  • Following up on our earlier cross-shareholding work, in this note we look to summarize our work so far by looking at where most of the selling will likely come.
  • Of the seven companies that we have looked at so far, collectively they have around US$102bn worth of shares to sell in 118 companies. 
  • Of these, they have a combined stake of over US$1bn in 23 companies.

Eisai Co Ltd (4523 JP): New Competition Is Coming for Alzheimer’s Disease Drug; No Immediate Threat

By Tina Banerjee

  • On July 2, Eli Lilly & Co (LLY US) has received FDA approval for its Alzheimer’s disease drug Kisunla, which will compete head-on-head with Eisai Co Ltd (4523 JP)‘s Leqembi.  
  • Efficacy and indications of both the drugs are similar. Price comparison is tricky. However, Kisunla can be stopped when amyloid plaques are removed, which is not the case for Leqembi.
  • Eisai is not expected to face immediate competition and should comfortably meet Leqembi FY25 revenue target of ¥56.5B, including ¥43.5B from the U.S. Recently, Leqembi has been launched in China.

The Challenge Is to Raise the Quality of Engagement. To Do So, Active Funds Need to Be Increased

By Aki Matsumoto

  • The reason why investor engagement is effective is in the exercise of voting rights. Engagement is considered to have been effective around 2014, when foreign ownership exceeded 30%.
  • Engagement is generally effective in the funds entrusted to GPIF, according to the results of the study. GPIF should raise fees to allow investment managers to engage in fruitful engagement.
  • This tends to be a generic question for passive funds. If we expect engagement to be more effective in the future, we need to increase the number of active funds.

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Most Read: Honda Motor, HDFC Bank, China Traditional Chinese Medicine, Stella International, Timee Inc, ASM Pacific Technology, Shinko Electric Industries, ESR Group , Barito Renewables Energy and more

By | Daily Briefs, Most Read

In today’s briefing:

  • BIG ¥500bn Honda (7267) Offering Coming?
  • HDFC Bank (HDFCB IN): Foreign Room Crosses 25%; Index Implications & Positioning for US$5bn+ Buying
  • China TCM (570.HK) Update – Behind The Share Price Plunge and Prospects for Privatization Progress
  • HSCI Index Rebalance Preview and Stock Connect: Potential Changes in September
  • Timee (215A JP) IPO: The Bull Case
  • HSTECH Index Rebalance Preview: ASM Pacific (522) Could Replace Ping An Health (1833); US$1bn Trade
  • Shinko Electric (6967) – Break/Gap Risk Early July 2024 Update
  • ESR Group (1821 HK): Consortium’s Expansion Talks Suggest Progress
  • StubWorld: Barito Renewables (BREN IJ) – This Too Shall Pop
  • Korean Government Announces Corporate and Dividend Tax Incentives Under Corporate Value Up Program


BIG ¥500bn Honda (7267) Offering Coming?

By Travis Lundy

  • Today just before the close, Reuters came out with an article saying Japan’s four major insurers and some financial institutions would offer ¥500bn of shares in a secondary offering.
  • That implies about 275-280mm shares (insurers hold ~195mm). In May, Honda announced a ¥300bn buyback with earnings, with nothing done so far. 
  • The supply/demand dynamics here are key. There are a lot of moving parts over time. Honda is cheaper than it looks but there are moving parts there too.

HDFC Bank (HDFCB IN): Foreign Room Crosses 25%; Index Implications & Positioning for US$5bn+ Buying

By Brian Freitas

  • Foreign shareholding in HDFC Bank (HDFCB IN) has dropped to 54.83% and that results in foreign room crossing the ‘magical’ 25% mark.
  • The increase in foreign room could lead to passive trackers of a global index needing to buy 256m shares (US$5.3bn; 11.5x ADV) at the end of August.
  • There will definitely be positioning in the stock but there should still be upside in the stock. The HDFC Bank (ADR) (HDB US) line was up 4.5% overnight.

China TCM (570.HK) Update – Behind The Share Price Plunge and Prospects for Privatization Progress

By Xinyao (Criss) Wang

  • The slow progress of privatization is related to recent high-level changes in CNPGC. Decisions on SOE deals with “strategic purpose” require careful considerations, not based on “one leader’s personal preferences”.
  • Based on public information, we cannot find convincing reason to prove that CNPGC has changed its mind.There’re rumors that China TCM’s privatization is still considered important project on the agenda.
  • China TCM’s has strong fundamentals to support valuation. If there is no announcement, the privatization process is expected to proceed as usual, and we continue to wait for the voting.  

HSCI Index Rebalance Preview and Stock Connect: Potential Changes in September

By Brian Freitas

  • We see 37 potential adds (including plenty of new listings) and 25 potential deletes (on market cap and liquidity) for the Hang Seng Composite Index in September.
  • We expect 32 stocks to be added to Southbound Stock Connect following the rebalance while 24 stocks could be deleted from the trading link and become Sell-only.
  • There are stocks that have a very high percentage of holdings via Stock Connect and there could be some unwinding prior to the stocks becoming Sell-only.

Timee (215A JP) IPO: The Bull Case

By Arun George

  • Timee Inc (215A JP), a leading part-time job platform in Japan, is seeking to raise up to US$286 million. Book-building runs from 9 to 23 July.   
  • Timee’s app allows users to work shifts as short as one hour at restaurants, convenience stores, and hotels, with quick payment for their work.   
  • The bull case rests on favourable market trends, best-in-class revenue growth, good retention rates, credible growth drivers, and top-quartile EBITDA margins.

HSTECH Index Rebalance Preview: ASM Pacific (522) Could Replace Ping An Health (1833); US$1bn Trade

By Brian Freitas


Shinko Electric (6967) – Break/Gap Risk Early July 2024 Update

By Travis Lundy

  • When this deal was announced, it was light. But the timing, JSR influence, large-ish float, ensured FUD would make this trade wide. It traded wider.
  • Nearly 6mos ago, Shinko had much-underperformed peer Ibiden, meaning downside gap risk from undisturbed was negative as spreads were wide. I reco’d a buy. Then 16+wks ago, recommended taking profits.
  • Shinko had outperformed Ibiden, gross spreads had narrowed 5+% on JSR approval. Gross spread is now 4.6% but time is shorter so annualised is 10+% even out to December launch.

ESR Group (1821 HK): Consortium’s Expansion Talks Suggest Progress

By Arun George

  • Bloomberg reports that the bidding consortium is in talks to bring in other partners, such as QIA, PIF, and CPP Investment Board, to aid in privatising ESR Group (1821 HK).
  • Warburg Pincus and OMERS have blocking stakes for a Cayman scheme. Warburg Pincus is seemingly supportive, and the consortium’s expansion talks suggest confidence in meeting OMERS’ price expectations.
  • Our best guess is that an offer is around HK$14.00. ESR’s current valuation is undemanding, with its forward EV/EBITDA multiple at a 40% discount compared to the median peers’ multiple.

StubWorld: Barito Renewables (BREN IJ) – This Too Shall Pop

By David Blennerhassett

  • Barito Pacific (BRPT IJ)‘s 64.7% stake in Barito Renewables Energy (BREN IJ) (now Indonesia’s largest company by market cap), is worth 8x its market cap. That’s unsustainable.
  • Preceding my comments on the Barito complex are the current setup/unwind tables for Asia-Pacific Holdcos.
  • These relationships trade with a minimum liquidity of US$1mn, and a % market capitalisation >20%.

Korean Government Announces Corporate and Dividend Tax Incentives Under Corporate Value Up Program

By Douglas Kim

  • The Korean government announced corporate tax incentives for companies that actively increase capital returns to shareholders and also dividend tax incentives and as part of the Corporate Value Up program.
  • For companies that provide shareholder returns, a 5% corporate tax amount on the increase will be deducted and the tax burden on increased dividends of the company will be reduced.
  • For dividends under 20mn won, the tax rate will be reduced from 14% to 9%. Investor can choose lower rate (25% or comprehensive tax rate) for dividends exceeding 20mn won. 

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Daily Brief ESG: The Challenge Is to Raise the Quality of Engagement. To Do So and more

By | Daily Briefs, ESG

In today’s briefing:

  • The Challenge Is to Raise the Quality of Engagement. To Do So, Active Funds Need to Be Increased


The Challenge Is to Raise the Quality of Engagement. To Do So, Active Funds Need to Be Increased

By Aki Matsumoto

  • The reason why investor engagement is effective is in the exercise of voting rights. Engagement is considered to have been effective around 2014, when foreign ownership exceeded 30%.
  • Engagement is generally effective in the funds entrusted to GPIF, according to the results of the study. GPIF should raise fees to allow investment managers to engage in fruitful engagement.
  • This tends to be a generic question for passive funds. If we expect engagement to be more effective in the future, we need to increase the number of active funds.

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Daily Brief Thematic (Sector/Industry): SEBI’s New “True to Label” Circular: End of Zero Fee Era and more

By | Daily Briefs, Thematic (Sector/Industry)

In today’s briefing:

  • SEBI’s New “True to Label” Circular: End of Zero Fee Era
  • Ohayo Japan | Markets in Celebratory Mood
  • Asia Credit – HK Weakens More, Indonesia, Taiwan Remain Strong, and Improving
  • #23 India Insight: Tata Hitachi Market Share, Patanjali Acquires Non-Food Business, ITC Exports
  • Hardman & Co Monthly: July 2024


SEBI’s New “True to Label” Circular: End of Zero Fee Era

By Nimish Maheshwari

  • SEBI asked Brokers to to be ‘true to the label’ in how they levy charges.
  • This can impact 10% of Zerodha (ZERO IN) and 8% of Angel One (ANGELONE IN) Topline.
  • Rationale behind this circular and its impact on the market.

Ohayo Japan | Markets in Celebratory Mood

By Mark Chadwick

  • The S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite hit new record highs in Wednesday’s shortened trading session
  • The German Association of the Automobile Industry reduced its 2024 EV production forecast to 1 million units, citing declining sales due to subsidy cuts.
  • Daikin Industries plans to boost home air conditioner production by 15% in FY2024 to a record 8.83 million units

Asia Credit – HK Weakens More, Indonesia, Taiwan Remain Strong, and Improving

By Daniel Tabbush

  • Domestic credit growth in Hong Kong weakened further in latest monthly release at -2.2% YoY. Weekly Centa City Leading Index grinds lower, a more HFD point relevant to credit
  • The acceleration in domestic credit growth in Indonesia is unique, where growth is up to +11.2% YoY in most recent month vs +5.2% YoY in the same month last year 
  • We remain concerned about credit metrics for HK’s banks given contracting growth, worsening property, which is collateral. Many HK banks have done little in provisioning

#23 India Insight: Tata Hitachi Market Share, Patanjali Acquires Non-Food Business, ITC Exports

By Sudarshan Bhandari

  • Tata Hitachi Targets Increased Market Share Amid Chinese Competition, Plans Manufacturing Expansion
  • Railways to Receive PLI Boost, Aiming to Reduce Import Dependency and Foster Local Manufacturing
  • India’s Coal Production Surges 14% in June, Reaching 84.63 Million Tonnes, Boosting Sector Efficiency

Hardman & Co Monthly: July 2024

By Hardman & Co

  • In 2023, and for the second year running, the Hardman & Co sector index declined, by 3.7%, underperforming both the FTSE 100 and the FTSE All-Share indices.
  • This is quite unusual for healthcare stocks. Our Index covers 52 companies, only 15 of which saw an increase in their share prices in 2023, and four of those were on account of M&A activity.
  • Apart from the general economic influences, which have made institutions more risk-averse, there was a common knowledge that several companies were in need of additional working capital; so, share prices were marked down in anticipation of equity raises.

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Daily Brief ECM: Timee (215A JP) IPO: The Bull Case and more

By | Daily Briefs, ECM

In today’s briefing:

  • Timee (215A JP) IPO: The Bull Case
  • Emcure Pharmaceuticals Pre-IPO – Refiling Updates and Valuations
  • Cirrus Aircraft IPO – Fundamentally Sound but Parent Still Under Sanction
  • Pre-IPO UGenix Biotech – Future Growth Potential Is Highly Uncertain


Timee (215A JP) IPO: The Bull Case

By Arun George

  • Timee Inc (215A JP), a leading part-time job platform in Japan, is seeking to raise up to US$286 million. Book-building runs from 9 to 23 July.   
  • Timee’s app allows users to work shifts as short as one hour at restaurants, convenience stores, and hotels, with quick payment for their work.   
  • The bull case rests on favourable market trends, best-in-class revenue growth, good retention rates, credible growth drivers, and top-quartile EBITDA margins.

Emcure Pharmaceuticals Pre-IPO – Refiling Updates and Valuations

By Sumeet Singh

  • Emcure Pharmaceuticals is looking to raise around US$240m in its upcoming India IPO.
  • Emcure Pharmaceuticals (EP) is an Indian Pharmaceutical company engaged in the developing, manufacturing and globally marketing a broad range of pharmaceutical products across several major therapeutic areas.
  • We have looked at the company’s past performance, in our earlier note. In this note, we talk about the RHP updates and take a quick look at valuations.

Cirrus Aircraft IPO – Fundamentally Sound but Parent Still Under Sanction

By Ethan Aw

  • Cirrus Aircraft (0153126D US) seeks to raise up to US$197m in its Hong Kong IPO.
  • Cirrus Aircraft designs, develops, manufactures, and sells premium aircrafts. Its two aircraft product lines, the SR2X Series and the Vision Jet, are currently certified and validated in over 60 countries.
  • In our previous notes, we talked about the company’s historical performance and PHIP updates. In this note, we undertake a quick peer comparison and share our thoughts on valuation.

Pre-IPO UGenix Biotech – Future Growth Potential Is Highly Uncertain

By Xinyao (Criss) Wang

  • Although UGenix is a genetic technology company focusing on prenatal testing/precision oncology, it was the large-scale COVID-19 testing demand that made UGenix’s overall revenue grow rapidly, which, however, is unsustainable.
  • NIPT market size is far less than expected. The clinical need for NGS has not developed as rigid demand. Restrictions on companion diagnosis pricing indicate market space would be compressed.
  • The business of both prenatal testing and precision oncology are not easy. Due to uncertain commercialization outlook/profitability and other negative factors, UGenix’s stock price after IPO could underperform.

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Daily Brief Credit: Morning Views Asia: China Vanke and more

By | Credit, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • Morning Views Asia: China Vanke , Lippo Malls Indonesia Retail Trust


Morning Views Asia: China Vanke , Lippo Malls Indonesia Retail Trust

By Leonard Law, CFA

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.


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