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Daily Briefs

Daily Brief Macro: Making a Drama Out of a Steel Crisis and more

By | Daily Briefs, Macro

In today’s briefing:

  • Making a Drama Out of a Steel Crisis
  • Saurabh Mukherjea: The Case for Investing in India – [Making Markets, EP.42]
  • US Rates Strategy: July CPI, Jackson Hole, and Jittery markets
  • Best Of: Is Japan At An Inflection Point?
  • Copper Inventories Back at Pre-Covid Levels & Oil Demand Cuts Everywhere
  • The Week at a Glance: The USD in the (Jackson) Hole amidst Over 1 Million Jobs Disappearing?
  • Some Do, Some Don’t, Some Will, Some Won’t
  • Steno Signals #113 – Neither Inflation, Growth, Nor Liquidity is rising right now
  • Revisiting Peak Oil
  • The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma – Sea Ltd, GoTo, Grab, and Comfort Delgro


Making a Drama Out of a Steel Crisis

By BMO Equity Research Metal Matters

  • China’s steel industry is facing significant challenges, including price drops, overcapacity, and government intervention
  • Steel producers are preparing for potential consolidation and supply side reforms to address the industry crisis
  • Iron ore prices have also been impacted by the challenges in the steel market, with expectations for lower Chinese imports and domestic output

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.


Saurabh Mukherjea: The Case for Investing in India – [Making Markets, EP.42]

By Web3 Breakdowns

  • Guest is Saurabh Mukherjeeya, founder of Marcellus Investment Managers and advocate for investing in India
  • Contrasts India and China, highlighting India’s better performance over the years
  • Discusses the reasons behind India not receiving as much attention in terms of foreign investment compared to China, with recent shift towards investing in India

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.


US Rates Strategy: July CPI, Jackson Hole, and Jittery markets

By At Any Rate

  • Inflation rates are gradually slowing, with both headline and core inflation in line with expectations and at multi-year lows
  • Housing prices showed more firming than expected, particularly in rental markets
  • Markets are pricing in very soft core CPI inflation over the coming months, with expectations for gradual disinflation and a focus on wage growth by the Fed

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.


Best Of: Is Japan At An Inflection Point?

By The Bid

  • Japan peaked in 1989, but then experienced decades of underperformance and false dawns in terms of economic growth and stock market valuations
  • Recent changes in Japan, including increased inflation, wage growth, and more shareholder-friendly behavior from corporations, are leading to renewed optimism for investors
  • Japan’s history of stagnation and deflation created risk-averse investors, but recent policies and efforts are turning the economy around, making it an exciting investment opportunity

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.


Copper Inventories Back at Pre-Covid Levels & Oil Demand Cuts Everywhere

By The Commodity Report

  • During last week, the International Energy Association (IEA) as well as OPEC both announced that demand for oil is slowing, revising down previous demand forecasts for the year and beyond.
  • The world is seeing a major deceleration in oil demand growth led by China, with inventories set to rise next year even if OPEC+ were to postpone its plans to ease output cuts, the IEA stated.
  • Meanwhile, the growth from the US won’t be able to offset the slowdown from China, according to the agency.

The Week at a Glance: The USD in the (Jackson) Hole amidst Over 1 Million Jobs Disappearing?

By Andreas Steno

  • Welcome to our weekly “The Week At A Glance” publication, where we explore the most important key figure releases and tradeable themes for the upcoming week.
  • We remain almost exclusively long on USD fixed income, and therefore, our attention is particularly focused on two key developments this week:
  • The Jackson Hole Conference and Ueda’s Appearance in the Japanese Parliament. Revisions to U.S. Employment Data: The Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) will release first-quarter 2024 data from the QCEW on August 21, 2024, at 10:00 a.m. (ET).

Some Do, Some Don’t, Some Will, Some Won’t

By Nomura – The Week Ahead

  • Volatility continues to ease with US recession fears and Bank of Japan induced volatility fading
  • Several central banks, including New Zealand and the Philippines, have joined the rate cut party, while Norway’s central bank kept rates unchanged
  • US CPI report showed higher than expected inflation, particularly in rental and OER inflation, with expectations of continued growth at close to trend level in the US economy

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.


Steno Signals #113 – Neither Inflation, Growth, Nor Liquidity is rising right now

By Andreas Steno

  • As most of you know, we remained upbeat on the cycle until around mid-July, as growth parameters continued to perform solidly in real-time, while inflation also posed a risk of re-acceleration.
  • Our real-time tracking of the three main macro parameters is the cornerstone of our macro thinking, and through July and August, we have begun to observe a significant shift.
  • The risk of rising inflation has collapsed, while growth momentum has also weakened substantially.

Revisiting Peak Oil

By Alastair Newton

  • There are notable differences in short-term prospects for oil demand.
  • These differences become more pronounced when considering the timing of ‘peak oil’.
  • ‘Peak oil’ refers to the hypothetical point at which global oil production will hit its maximum rate before declining.

The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma – Sea Ltd, GoTo, Grab, and Comfort Delgro

By Angus Mackintosh


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Daily Brief Australia: National Australia Bank and more

By | Australia, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • NAB – Profit Slightly Down in 3Q, Credit Costs Collapsed, but Bad Loans Are Rising Significantly


NAB – Profit Slightly Down in 3Q, Credit Costs Collapsed, but Bad Loans Are Rising Significantly

By Daniel Tabbush

  • NAB reported its 3Q24 results with slightly lower profit, but major divergence inside the figures
  • The bank shows a staggering decline in credit costs in 3Q24, which means the results were flattered
  • This is despite a very sharp rise in bad loans in major segments, corporate and residential mortgages, up around 50% YoY annualized in 3Q24

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Daily Brief South Korea: Peptron, Lumir, Jeisys Medical, VIOL and more

By | Daily Briefs, South Korea

In today’s briefing:

  • Peptron Rights Issue: The 25% Discount Is an Attractive Outright Position Opportunity
  • Lumir IPO Preview
  • Archimed Group Seeks Delisting of Jeisys Medical Through Stock Exchange
  • KOSDAQ150 Index Adhoc Rebalance Preview: Replacements for Jeisys Medical


Peptron Rights Issue: The 25% Discount Is an Attractive Outright Position Opportunity

By Sanghyun Park

  • Peptron’s lack of single-stock futures means no risk-free arbitrage but also less speculative selling, making the 25% discount an attractive outright position opportunity.
  • The low capital increase rate may stabilize the stock price, and more forfeited shares could lower the cost of securing subscription rights during the trading window.
  • Consider buying rights during the trading period or targeting forfeited shares. Conservatively estimate the final offering price range to set a profitable cost for securing rights.

Lumir IPO Preview

By Douglas Kim

  • Lumir is getting ready to complete its IPO on KOSDAQ in September. The IPO which is expected to raise between 49.5 billion won to 61.5 billion won.
  • Lumir specializes in the development of observation satellite technology including image data processing devices and onboard computers for a number of government satellite series.
  • Lumir had sales of 12.1 billion won (up 90.5% YoY) in 2023. Its sales surged by 477% YoY to reach 8.2 billion won in 1H24.

Archimed Group Seeks Delisting of Jeisys Medical Through Stock Exchange

By Douglas Kim

  • Jeisys Medical announced that it has decided to exchange shares with Syracus Subco, its largest shareholder. The stock exchange ratio between Syracus Subco and Jeisys Medical is 1 to 1.3575606. 
  • The exchange date is 23 October. Through this stock exchange, Archimed Group (owner of Syracus Subco) seeks to delist Jeisys Medical (287410 KS).
  • Jeisys Medical also announced that it plans to cancel 1,075,838 common shares, representing 1.4% of its outstanding shares. 

KOSDAQ150 Index Adhoc Rebalance Preview: Replacements for Jeisys Medical

By Brian Freitas


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Daily Brief Singapore: Grab Holdings , Capitaland Integrated Commercial Trust, Mitsubishi UFJ Financial (MUFG) and more

By | Daily Briefs, Singapore

In today’s briefing:

  • Grab Holdings (GRAB US) – Product-Led Sequential Growth Ahead
  • SIA Leads Buyback Consideration, Multi-Chem CEO Trims 69% Stake
  • SGX FX Welcomes Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group as Its Newest Liquidity Provider


Grab Holdings (GRAB US) – Product-Led Sequential Growth Ahead

By Angus Mackintosh

  • Grab Holdings booked record GMV, revenue, FCF, MTUs, and EBITDA in 2Q2024 and flagged an optimistic outlook for 2H2024, with positive adjusted FCF expected to remain positive for FY2024.  
  • The company continues to focus on its product-led and technology-driven initiatives to drive growth and profitability through mass-market and high-value products such as Grab Unlimited, advance bookings, and group bookings.
  • Concerns over competition from TikTok look overblown, with Grab already active on social media. Management expects positive sequential growth for the next 2Qs and a stronger growth outlook in FY2025,

SIA Leads Buyback Consideration, Multi-Chem CEO Trims 69% Stake

By Geoff Howie

  • Institutions were net buyers of Singapore stocks over the four trading sessions spanning Thursday August 8 through to Wednesday, August 14 close, with S$31.5 million of net institutional inflow.
  • Leading the net institutional inflow over the four sessions were Singapore Exchange, Singapore Telecommunications, Yangzijiang Shipbuilding (Holdings), Jardine Cycle & Carriage, CapitaLand Ascendas REIT, Sembcorp Industries, Keppel DC REIT, Sheng Siong Group, ComfortDelGro Corporation, and CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust.
  • On August 12, IFS Capital Executive Director & Group CEO Randy Sim Cheng Leong acquired 1.1 million shares at an average price of S$0.11 per share.

SGX FX Welcomes Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group as Its Newest Liquidity Provider

By Geoff Howie

  • SGX FX has added Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group, Inc. (MUFG), one of the world’s foremost financial institutions, to its eFX trading solutions platform for global buyside institutions as a liquidity provider.
  • Kenneth Ho, Global Head of eFX Sales at MUFG, said, “The partnership with SGX FX aligns with MUFG’s strategy of digitalisation and expanding our footprint in the financial institutional space.
  • About Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group (MUFG) Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group, Inc. (MUFG) is one of the world’s leading financial groups.

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Daily Brief United States: Steel, Copper, Wheaton Precious Metals, Duolingo, SIGA Technologies, Cocrystal Pharma , Cf Industries Holdings, Bio Techne Corp, Dyadic International , Caci International and more

By | Daily Briefs, United States

In today’s briefing:

  • Making a Drama Out of a Steel Crisis
  • Copper Inventories Back at Pre-Covid Levels & Oil Demand Cuts Everywhere
  • Wheaton Precious Metals Corp.: Is The Risk of Over-dependence on Key Projects That Significant? – Major Drivers
  • Duolingo Inc.: Expansion of Motion Design Capabilities by Acquiring Hobbes & Other Major Drivers
  • SIGA Technologies – PALM 007 data warrant a closer look in mpox
  • COCP: Topline Results from Phase 2a Study of CC-42344 in 2H24
  • CF Industries: Dealing With Geopolitical and International Market Dynamics! – Major Drivers
  • Bio-Techne Corporation: Enhanced Investment in Molecular Diagnostics
  • DYAI: Product Revenues Next Year
  • CACI International: 4 Major Growth Drivers & 4 Biggest Challenges In Its Path! – Financial Forecasts


Making a Drama Out of a Steel Crisis

By BMO Equity Research Metal Matters

  • China’s steel industry is facing significant challenges, including price drops, overcapacity, and government intervention
  • Steel producers are preparing for potential consolidation and supply side reforms to address the industry crisis
  • Iron ore prices have also been impacted by the challenges in the steel market, with expectations for lower Chinese imports and domestic output

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.


Copper Inventories Back at Pre-Covid Levels & Oil Demand Cuts Everywhere

By The Commodity Report

  • During last week, the International Energy Association (IEA) as well as OPEC both announced that demand for oil is slowing, revising down previous demand forecasts for the year and beyond.
  • The world is seeing a major deceleration in oil demand growth led by China, with inventories set to rise next year even if OPEC+ were to postpone its plans to ease output cuts, the IEA stated.
  • Meanwhile, the growth from the US won’t be able to offset the slowdown from China, according to the agency.

Wheaton Precious Metals Corp.: Is The Risk of Over-dependence on Key Projects That Significant? – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Wheaton Precious Metals has reported its second quarter results for 2024, demonstrating a robust financial and operational performance, reflecting the company’s successful business model and strategic asset management.
  • The company generated $234 million in operating cash flows and reached a record of over $450 million for the first half of the year.
  • Wheaton Precious Metals produced over 305,000 gold equivalent ounces year-to-date, keeping on track with the 2024 production guidance of 550,000 to 620,000 gold equivalent ounces.

Duolingo Inc.: Expansion of Motion Design Capabilities by Acquiring Hobbes & Other Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Duolingo Inc., a leader in language learning platforms, demonstrated robust performance in its second quarter of 2024 financial results, showcasing a balanced mix of high growth, increased user engagement, and strategic milestones that solidifies its market position while highlighting areas for prudence looking ahead.
  • The company reported a significant year-over-year growth in daily active users (DAUs) at 59% and revenues surged by 41%.
  • This robust top-line growth is supported by key product expansions and user engagement strategies.

SIGA Technologies – PALM 007 data warrant a closer look in mpox

By Edison Investment Research

Although the topline results of PALM 007 (studying SIGA’s tecovirimat in the treatment of mpox) did not meet the statistical significance for the full population (primary endpoint), we are encouraged by the clinically meaningful benefit reported over placebo in early-treated patients and in those with severe disease. The data highlight an opportunity to establish an effective regime for these key populations, given the lack of effective treatment options and the overall importance of early treatment in infectious diseases. PALM 007 was not a registrational study, and SIGA’s priorities in mpox are the four remaining ongoing studies targeting this indication, which may potentially support a mpox label in the US. Currently, tecovirimat is approved for mpox treatment in the EU and UK.


COCP: Topline Results from Phase 2a Study of CC-42344 in 2H24

By Zacks Small Cap Research

  • On August 14, 2024, Cocrystal Pharma, Inc. (COCP) announced financial results for the second quarter of 2024 and provided a business update.
  • In the second half of 2024, we anticipate topline results from the Phase 2a trial of CC-42344, which is a live virus challenge study.
  • The company plans to file an Investigational New Drug (IND) application in 2025 to conduct the next study of CC-42344 in the U.S. In addition, planning is underway for a Phase 1 study in healthy volunteers to evaluate inhaled CC-42344 as a potential prophylactic and therapeutic for influenza A.

CF Industries: Dealing With Geopolitical and International Market Dynamics! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • CF Industries reported notable operational and financial results for the first half and second quarter of 2024, reflecting strong performance despite a mix of ongoing challenges and strategic advancements.
  • The company, a major player in the nitrogen fertilizer industry, generated an adjusted EBITDA of $750 million for the quarter, bringing the figure to $1.2 billion for the half-year period.
  • Key drivers included robust operational rates at ammonia plants, particularly the Waggaman facility which outperformed expectations, and significant strides in its decarbonization initiatives which include several carbon capture and sequestration projects.

Bio-Techne Corporation: Enhanced Investment in Molecular Diagnostics

By Baptista Research

  • Bio-Techne Corporation recently held its earnings call for the fourth quarter of fiscal year 2024, during which the company announced in-line financial results with modest organic revenue growth of 1% year-over-year.
  • This growth came amidst market stabilization and strategic execution by the company despite a complex external environment that included reduced biotech funding and significant budget recalibrations from large pharmaceutical entities and academia.
  • Baptista Research looks to evaluate the different factors that could influence the company’s price in the near future and attempts to carry out an independent valuation of the company using a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) methodology.

DYAI: Product Revenues Next Year

By Zacks Small Cap Research

  • Dyadic has developed C1, its proprietary fungal expression system that can produce a variety of recombinant proteins.
  • C1 has been commercialized in industrial applications and is in development for production of pharmaceutical grade proteins.
  • C1 exhibits potential to economically produce biologic vaccines, virus like particles, antibodies, Fc-fusion, enzymes, AAVs and other biopharmaceuticals.

CACI International: 4 Major Growth Drivers & 4 Biggest Challenges In Its Path! – Financial Forecasts

By Baptista Research

  • CACI International Inc. reported a solid financial performance for the fiscal year 2024, characterized by significant revenue growth and strong earnings.
  • The company’s revenue increased by 14% year-over-year, surpassing their revised guidance.
  • This improvement was driven by a 20% growth in the fourth quarter alone, highlighting a robust end to the year.

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Daily Brief China: Alibaba Group Holding , China Tower , Swire Pacific (A), Huaneng Lancang River Hydropow, Wharf Real Estate Investment C, JD Logistics , China Resources Beer Holdings, Medtide, Delhi International Airport Limited and more

By | China, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • China Consumption Weekly (19Aug2024): China Literature, BEKE, Alibaba, JD, JD Health, Tencent Music
  • FXI Rebalance Preview: China Tower (788 HK) Could Replace CICC (3908 HK)
  • HK CEO & Director Dealings (19th Aug 2024): Merlin Selling Swire Pac/Props; Chans Buying Hang Lung
  • China A50 ETFs Rebalance Preview: Two High Probability Changes in Sep
  • Wharf REIC: Beta Play W Multiple Catalysts, Lower Rates, Weaker Currency and Returning of Shoppers
  • JD Logistics (2618 HK): There Are More Rooms
  • China Resources Beer Holdings – Interim Results Show Progress but Macro Headwinds Remain
  • Pre-IPO Medtide – The Industry, the Business and the Concerns
  • Morning Views Asia: Continuum Green Energy, Melco Resorts and Entertainment (Philippines)


China Consumption Weekly (19Aug2024): China Literature, BEKE, Alibaba, JD, JD Health, Tencent Music

By Ming Lu

  • China Literature’s revenue increased by 28% YoY in 1H24, because four novel copyrights for movies brought box office hits.
  • KE revenue increased by 20% YoY in 2Q24 compared with a 19% YoY decrease in 1Q24, as government policies supported existing home transaction.
  • Alibaba announced that it will recruit 1,000 fresh graduates for tech positions in 2025.

FXI Rebalance Preview: China Tower (788 HK) Could Replace CICC (3908 HK)

By Brian Freitas


HK CEO & Director Dealings (19th Aug 2024): Merlin Selling Swire Pac/Props; Chans Buying Hang Lung

By David Blennerhassett



Wharf REIC: Beta Play W Multiple Catalysts, Lower Rates, Weaker Currency and Returning of Shoppers

By Jacob Cheng

  • Wharf REIC reported 2% yoy core earnings growth, the first earnings increase since 2019. The results also show Hong Kong retail business is more resilient than expected
  • The upcoming catalysts include 1) lower interest rates, 2) weakening currency environment and 3) bottoming out of HK retail market
  • Market is forward-looking and we think the worst is behind us.  Valuation is very compelling.  The stock is a beta play.  BUY

JD Logistics (2618 HK): There Are More Rooms

By Osbert Tang, CFA

  • Even after the 28% surge in share price since the 1H24 result, JD Logistics (2618 HK) still deserves a look as fundamentals have improved, especially with better cost control.
  • JDL is riding on scale economies with higher asset utilisation. Quarterly margins have sustained an uptrend, reaching the highest levels since 1Q21 and it will continue.
  • We like its lower reliance on JD.com (9618 HK) and net cash of HK$2.83/share (28% of the share price). There is a massive upside in consensus forecasts too.

China Resources Beer Holdings – Interim Results Show Progress but Macro Headwinds Remain

By Rikki Malik

  • The company’s strategy of premiumisation continues to be executed to plan
  • Despite the derating, investors will wait until seeing concrete signs of a turn in the Chinese consumer
  • Continues to be a liquid proxy for Chinese consumption with no technology regulation risk

Pre-IPO Medtide – The Industry, the Business and the Concerns

By Xinyao (Criss) Wang

  • Medtide relies heavily on limited number of customers to contribute performance. If there is any significant reduction in demand by its major customers, Medtide’s performance growth would be materially/adversely affected.
  • Due to geopolitical conflicts, pharmaceutical companies are becoming more cautious about their reliance on China CXO. So, the development of Medtide’s overseas business would become more uncertain in this context.
  • Medtide’s business scale is still small and its position in the global peptide CXO industry is not as strong as described. Valuation of Medtide should be lower than peers.

Morning Views Asia: Continuum Green Energy, Melco Resorts and Entertainment (Philippines)

By Leonard Law, CFA

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.


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Daily Brief Japan: Seven & I Holdings, Star Asia Investment, Pan Pacific International Holdings, TSE Tokyo Price Index TOPIX, Sodick Co Ltd, Nextage Co Ltd, IPS Inc and more

By | Daily Briefs, Japan

In today’s briefing:

  • MEGA M&A! 7&I (3382 JP) Gets Non-Binding Bid from Alimentation Couche-Tard (ATD CN)
  • Seven & I Holdings (3382 JP): Couche-Tard “friendly” Proposal Likely to Go Nowhere
  • Star Asia Investment Corp Placement – Needs a Decent Correction Leading up to Pricing
  • Pan Pacific International Holdings (7532 JP): Full-year FY06/24 flash update
  • Amidst Changes in Purpose of Policy Shareholdings, We Should Note Whether They Are Really Decreasing
  • Sodick (6143) – An Upbeat Result Reflecting Transformational Efforts
  • NextAge (3186):  Disruptive Business Model at Massive Discount
  • IPS Inc (4390 JP): Initial Coverage,Q1 FY03/25 flash update


MEGA M&A! 7&I (3382 JP) Gets Non-Binding Bid from Alimentation Couche-Tard (ATD CN)

By Travis Lundy

  • Today, part-way through the day, the Nikkei ran an article saying that Alimentation Couche-Tard (ATD CN) had made a confidential non-binding proposal to buy Seven & I Holdings (3382 JP)
  • 7&i shares obviously went up (limit up in a hurry, staying there, large size traded limit up at close). 
  • Now things get complicated. 7&i has said they received a non-binding proposal for all the shares. There will be a Special Committee of all Independent Directors. All stakeholders will matter. 

Seven & I Holdings (3382 JP): Couche-Tard “friendly” Proposal Likely to Go Nowhere

By Arun George

  • Seven & I Holdings (3382 JP) shares rose 22.7% as it confirmed media reports that it had received a confidential, non-binding preliminary proposal from Alimentation Couche-Tard (ATD CN)
  • The interest is unsurprising due to the weak share price performance. Since ValueAct’s open letter on 25 January 2022, the shares are up 5.2% vs. the Nikkei 225 up 38.0%.
  • Couche-Tard aims for a friendly offer, which is challenging as it requires support from the founder’s family and the Japanese government. Therefore, the probability of a binding proposal is low.  

Star Asia Investment Corp Placement – Needs a Decent Correction Leading up to Pricing

By Ethan Aw

  • Star Asia Investment (3468 JP) is looking to raise around US$118m in its primary follow-on offering to acquire four hotels. The acquisition will amount to a total of JPY34.7bn (US$237.5m). 
  • The deal is a somewhat large one to digest, at 83 days of three month ADV and 13.3% of TSO .
  • In this note, we will talk about the deal dynamics and run the deal through our ECM framework.

Pan Pacific International Holdings (7532 JP): Full-year FY06/24 flash update

By Shared Research

  • FY06/24 results: Sales JPY2,095.1bn (+8.2% YoY), operating profit JPY140.2bn (+33.2% YoY), net income JPY88.7bn (+34.1% YoY).
  • FY06/25 forecast: Sales JPY2,220.0bn (+6.0% YoY), operating profit JPY150.0bn (+7.0% YoY), net income JPY86.5bn (-2.5% YoY).
  • Store count end-June 2024: 742 total, 632 domestic, 110 overseas; 24 new stores in Japan, 12 overseas.

Amidst Changes in Purpose of Policy Shareholdings, We Should Note Whether They Are Really Decreasing

By Aki Matsumoto

  • The increase in foreign ownership and the decline in cross-shareholdings have encouraged management reform. In order for engagement to be effective, it is essential to further reduce cross shareholdings.
  • Reasonable explanation of the reasons for such transfers as changes in the purpose of policy shareholding or contributions to retirement benefit trust must be provided in the annual securities report.
  • Rising stock prices increase the value of policy shareholdings. To accelerate the reduction of policy shareholdings, numerical targets should be published, such as by setting milestones.

Sodick (6143) – An Upbeat Result Reflecting Transformational Efforts

By Astris Advisory Japan

  • Q1-2FY12/24 results were a positive surprise in our view.
  • Quarterly Q2 FY12/24 OPM of 4% returned to positive territory after four consecutive quarters of losses, driven by a combination of price hikes, revision to the product line-up to improve sales mix, restructuring measures, and sales volume expansion with a marked jump in China demand for electronic discharge machines.
  • We believe Sodick has begun to transform to become more resilient and operationally efficient. 

NextAge (3186):  Disruptive Business Model at Massive Discount

By Michael Allen

  • NextAge has, in just two short years, moved from number 3 to number 1 in the used car market in Japan. 
  • It’s market share is still less than 7% and we no longer see any meaningful obstacle in the company’s path to 30% share within the next 8 years. 
  • The stock underperformed Topix by 59% following a series of earnings misses, but we think all issues have been resolved. Fair value could be 3x the current price.

IPS Inc (4390 JP): Initial Coverage,Q1 FY03/25 flash update

By Shared Research

  • Revenue reached JPY3.7bn (+47.5% YoY), with increases in Global Telecommunications but declines in Domestic Telecommunications and Medical & Healthcare.
  • Operating profit was JPY760mn (+84.0% YoY), with cost ratio falling 7.1pp YoY and SG&A ratio rising 3.0pp YoY.
  • Foreign exchange gains of JPY350mn were booked in Q1 FY03/25 due to valuation of foreign currency-denominated receivables and payables.

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Daily Brief India: Zomato, Delhi International Airport Limited, Hero FinCorp and more

By | Daily Briefs, India

In today’s briefing:

  • Zomato Placement – Momentum Is Very Strong, past Ant Related Deals Have Been Mixed
  • Morning Views Asia: Continuum Green Energy, Melco Resorts and Entertainment (Philippines)
  • Hero Fincorp Pre-IPO – The Positives – Riding on the Parent’s Brand


Zomato Placement – Momentum Is Very Strong, past Ant Related Deals Have Been Mixed

By Sumeet Singh

  • AntFin is looking to raise around US$400m by selling around 2% of Zomato (ZOMATO IN).
  • Ant Group had earlier sold some of its stake in Nov 2023 and Mar 2024, with the deals producing a mixed bag result.
  • In this note, we talk about the deal dynamics and run the deal through our ECM framework.

Morning Views Asia: Continuum Green Energy, Melco Resorts and Entertainment (Philippines)

By Leonard Law, CFA

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.


Hero Fincorp Pre-IPO – The Positives – Riding on the Parent’s Brand

By Sumeet Singh

  • Hero FinCorp (HF) is looking to raise around US$438m in its upcoming India IPO.
  • HF is a non-deposit taking NBFC. It offers a suite of financial products catering primarily to the retail segment and the MSME customer segment in India.
  • In this note, we talk about the positive aspets of the deal.

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Daily Brief Utilities: Huaneng Lancang River Hydropow and more

By | Daily Briefs, Utilities Sector

In today’s briefing:

  • China A50 ETFs Rebalance Preview: Two High Probability Changes in Sep


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Daily Brief Industrials: JD Logistics , Rockwell Automation, Sodick Co Ltd and more

By | Daily Briefs, Industrials

In today’s briefing:

  • JD Logistics (2618 HK): There Are More Rooms
  • Rockwell Automation: Expansion of Partnership with NVIDIA & Key Developments – Major Drivers
  • Sodick (6143) – An Upbeat Result Reflecting Transformational Efforts


JD Logistics (2618 HK): There Are More Rooms

By Osbert Tang, CFA

  • Even after the 28% surge in share price since the 1H24 result, JD Logistics (2618 HK) still deserves a look as fundamentals have improved, especially with better cost control.
  • JDL is riding on scale economies with higher asset utilisation. Quarterly margins have sustained an uptrend, reaching the highest levels since 1Q21 and it will continue.
  • We like its lower reliance on JD.com (9618 HK) and net cash of HK$2.83/share (28% of the share price). There is a massive upside in consensus forecasts too.

Rockwell Automation: Expansion of Partnership with NVIDIA & Key Developments – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Rockwell Automation’s latest quarterly earnings underscore both strengths and challenges within its business environment, indicating a mixed financial landscape that investors need to consider.
  • On the positive side, Rockwell Automation has shown adeptness in managing costs amidst lower order volumes, which has helped sustain margin performance.
  • The company has continued to push forward with its cost-cutting initiatives, anticipating $100 million in savings in the latter half of this fiscal year, alongside projections for an additional $120 million in savings next year.

Sodick (6143) – An Upbeat Result Reflecting Transformational Efforts

By Astris Advisory Japan

  • Q1-2FY12/24 results were a positive surprise in our view.
  • Quarterly Q2 FY12/24 OPM of 4% returned to positive territory after four consecutive quarters of losses, driven by a combination of price hikes, revision to the product line-up to improve sales mix, restructuring measures, and sales volume expansion with a marked jump in China demand for electronic discharge machines.
  • We believe Sodick has begun to transform to become more resilient and operationally efficient. 

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