Category

Daily Briefs

Most Read: Asia Cement China, Ryohin Keikaku, Kokusai Electric , Posco Future M, Wiwynn Corp, Hong Kong Television Network and more

By | Daily Briefs, Most Read

In today’s briefing:

  • KKR To Sell a 20-22% Stake in Kokusai Electric (6525)?
  • Asia Cement (743 HK): $3.22/Share Offer – Really?
  • Nikkei 225 Index Rebalance Preview (Sep 2024): Potential Adds/Deletes, Capping & Funding Changes
  • Kokusai Elec (6525) ¥300bn+ Offering at ATH – Almost a Second IPO
  • Kokusai Electric (6525 JP): Placement, Buyback & Index Flows
  • Kokusai Electric (6525 JP): Rumoured KKR US$1.8 Billion Secondary Offering
  • KRX New Deal Index Rebalance Preview: Lots of Change; Shift Up Listing Adds to It
  • Wiwynn GDR Offering – US$1.45bn Dilutive Offering, but Momentum Has Been Very Strong
  • HKTV (1137 HK)’s Low-Balled Buyback Gets The Nod
  • Kokusai Electric (6525 JP): A US$2.0 Billion Secondary Offering


KKR To Sell a 20-22% Stake in Kokusai Electric (6525)?

By Travis Lundy

  • Today, a Reuters article came out saying that KKR would sell down half its 43% stake in Kokusai Electric (6525 JP) according to “two people familiar with the matter.”
  • The article also said Kokusai Electric would buy back shares. Kokusai responded with a TDNET release saying “we did not release this info but we are considering various capital policies.
  • It pays to look at the Shareholder Structure as it stands. This is bigger than it looks. 

Asia Cement (743 HK): $3.22/Share Offer – Really?

By David Blennerhassett

  • After Chinese cement play Asia Cement China (743 HK) (ACC) was suspended on the 28th May, a punchy Offer from its parent Asia Cement (1102 TT) was expected. 
  • Not to be. Asia Cement is offering $3.22/share, best & final. A 3.01% discount to last close, ~ 45% premium to undisturbed, and a whopping 37% discount to net cash.
  • Asia Cement plus concert parties hold 73.38%, so a blocking stake at the Court Meeting is 2.662%. One (possible) aspect in Asia Cement’s favour is that ACC is not shortable.  

Nikkei 225 Index Rebalance Preview (Sep 2024): Potential Adds/Deletes, Capping & Funding Changes

By Brian Freitas

  • The review period for the Nikkei 225 Index September rebalance ends in three weeks. There could be three changes at the rebalance with sector balance used for the additions.
  • Depending on the changes, passive trackers will need to buy between 3-57x ADV (2.4%-24% of real float) on the inclusions and sell between 3.7-8.4x ADV on the deletions.
  • Fast Retailing (9983 JP)‘s index weight is currently higher than 10% and that will result in capping in September. Passives will need to sell 6x ADV in the stock.

Kokusai Elec (6525) ¥300bn+ Offering at ATH – Almost a Second IPO

By Travis Lundy

  • Today post-close we got confirmation of yesterday’s Reuters scoop of a secondary selldown on Kokusai Electric (6525 JP) after the stock fell 7.2% in heavy volume.
  • KKR HKE LP and KSP Kokusai LLC (Koch) will together sell 52.5mm shares plus another 7.8mm+ in the greenshoe. Split is 50/50 domestic/international. 
  • This is 60+mm shares against 51mm shares held by non-passive holders ex-Capital (who has been selling). It’s a lot of stock at a high price.

Kokusai Electric (6525 JP): Placement, Buyback & Index Flows

By Brian Freitas

  • KKR and KSP Kokusai will offer 52.51m-60.38m shares (US$1.76bn-2bn) of Kokusai Electric (6525 JP) in a secondary offering that will likely be priced on 22 July.
  • Kokusai Electric (6525 JP) will also buy back up to JPY 18bn of its shares. At the last close, that is 3.33m shares (1.2x ADV).
  • Trackers of one global index will buy stock at the time of settlement of the shares. The (much) bigger buying will come at the end of August.

Kokusai Electric (6525 JP): Rumoured KKR US$1.8 Billion Secondary Offering

By Arun George

  • Reuters reported that KKR & Co (KKR US), the largest Kokusai Electric (6525 JP) shareholder, plans to sell about half of its 43% stake, worth around JPY300 billion.
  • As Kokusai’s shares are trading at 3.2x the IPO price of JPY1,840, KKR would be tempted to reduce its stake further. The 180-day IPO lock-up period expired on 22 April.
  • Kokusai anticipates a return to growth and margin improvement. However, Kokusai trades at a material premium to peer multiples and is fully priced. 

KRX New Deal Index Rebalance Preview: Lots of Change; Shift Up Listing Adds to It

By Brian Freitas


Wiwynn GDR Offering – US$1.45bn Dilutive Offering, but Momentum Has Been Very Strong

By Clarence Chu

  • Wiwynn Corp (6669 TT) is looking to raise around US$850m in its global depository receipts (GDRs) offering.
  • Similar to previous GDR listings, the deal is a long drawn out process with the firm required to jump through a number of board/shareholder/regulatory approval loops.
  • In this note, we run the deal through our ECM framework and comment on deal dynamics.

HKTV (1137 HK)’s Low-Balled Buyback Gets The Nod

By David Blennerhassett

  • Back in May, online shopping platform play Hong Kong Television Network (1137 HK) announced a buy-back of 11.25% of shares out, at $2.15/share, a mediocre 20.8% premium to undisturbed.
  • The thrust of the Offer was to lift co-founder Ricky Wong’s stake to 51.55% from 45.75%.  But that required independent shareholders approving a whitewash waiver not to make a MGO.
  • I didn’t expect shareholder pushback. And there wasn’t. Tendering closes on the 23rd July. Keep an eye on CCASS movements. Shares gained 4.7% yesterday prior to the EGM outcome. Mmm.

Kokusai Electric (6525 JP): A US$2.0 Billion Secondary Offering

By Arun George

  • Kokusai Electric (6525 JP) has announced a secondary offering of up to 60.4 million shares (including overallotment). At the close, the offer, including overallotment, is worth JPY326 billion (US$2.0 billion).
  • The secondary offering facilitates KKR and KSP Kokusai Investments’ ability to crystallise substantial IPO gains—the shares are trading at 3.2x the IPO price of JPY1,840.
  • Looking at recent large Japanese placements is instructive for understanding the potential offer price. The pricing date will fall between 22 and 24 July (likely 22 July).

💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Analytics and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars



Daily Brief Australia: Rex Minerals and more

By | Australia, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • Who’s Winning from Rex’s $400m Bid?


Who’s Winning from Rex’s $400m Bid?

By Money of Mine

  • Rex Minerals being acquired by major shareholder, Selim Group, for $393 million
  • Acquisition comes after extensive partnering process and recent investment by Mac with 16% shareholding
  • Rex’s Hillside project in South Australia has historical challenges but now looks set for development with new ownership and funding capabilities

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.


💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars



Daily Brief South Korea: Korea Stock Exchange Kospi Index, LS Marine Solution, Hyundai Motor India , Posco Future M, Sanil Electric, Shift Up and more

By | Daily Briefs, South Korea

In today’s briefing:

  • Details of Block Deal Pre-Disclosure Rule Disclosed: Cancellation Risk from 30% Price Correction
  • Insiders Buying and Selling Prior To Mandatory Block Deal Pre-Announcement Requirement in Korea
  • India Car Sales Slow: Can Hyundai Keep Its No. 2 Spot Amidst Fierce Competition?
  • KRX New Deal Index Rebalance Preview: Lots of Change; Shift Up Listing Adds to It
  • Sanil Electric IPO – Stars Aligned with High Growth and Strong Sentiment
  • Shift Up IPO Trading – Strong Demand for Quality Asset but It Has Slipped Out of the Top Games


Details of Block Deal Pre-Disclosure Rule Disclosed: Cancellation Risk from 30% Price Correction

By Sanghyun Park

  • Today’s press release unveils details on new flow trading events in Korea’s local market from the second half of this year, highlighting two key points.
  • Firstly, the disclosure rule starts with block deals from August 23rd. Secondly, a 30% or greater stock price correction on disclosure day may cancel the transaction plan.
  • This highlights the need to consider cancellation risks in pre-disclosure positions and design setups with consideration for the potential for reverse flows as stock prices approach 30% corrections.

Insiders Buying and Selling Prior To Mandatory Block Deal Pre-Announcement Requirement in Korea

By Douglas Kim

  • In this insight, we discuss recent, active insiders buying and selling their shares prior to the mandatory block deal pre-announcement requirement starting 24 July in Korea.
  • The three companies that announced insiders selling (July) are down on average 3% YTD. However, the three companies that announced insiders buying (July) are up on average 74% YTD. 
  • LS Cable has been consistently increasing its ownership of LS Marine Solution, up from 46% stake as of 27 May 2024 to 56.14% as of 8 July 2024.

India Car Sales Slow: Can Hyundai Keep Its No. 2 Spot Amidst Fierce Competition?

By Devi Subhakesan

  • Hyundai Motor India (HMIL) saw a market share loss in India Passenger Vehicles sales reported for June 2024 and 1QFY2025, impacted by intensified competition in the SUV segment.
  • Mahindra & Mahindra, and Toyota Kirloskar India gained market share in 1QFY2025 led by upgraded model launches in the SUV segment, traditionally a strong category for HMIL.
  • HMIL’s declining market share, if not reversed soon, could challenge optimistic growth projections and valuation multiples for its upcoming IPO.

KRX New Deal Index Rebalance Preview: Lots of Change; Shift Up Listing Adds to It

By Brian Freitas


Sanil Electric IPO – Stars Aligned with High Growth and Strong Sentiment

By Ethan Aw

  • Sanil Electric (062040 KS) is looking to raise up to US$165m in its Korean IPO.
  • Sanil Electric is a specialized company that manufactures and sells reactors, transformers, railway vehicle parts, and switchboards. As an industrial transformer manufacturer, the company mainly manufactures power and distribution transformers.
  • In our previous notes, we talked about the company’s historical performance. In this note, we undertake a quick peer comparison and share our thoughts on valuation.

Shift Up IPO Trading – Strong Demand for Quality Asset but It Has Slipped Out of the Top Games

By Sumeet Singh

  • Shift Up (462870 KS) raised around US$320m in its South Korean IPO, after pricing at the top.
  • Shift Up is a South Korean games developer, which as released three games so far for the global markets.
  • We have looked at the company’s performance and valuation in our earlier notes. In this note, we talk about the trading dynamics.

💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars



Daily Brief Singapore: ST Engineering, Ohmyhome and more

By | Daily Briefs, Singapore

In today’s briefing:

  • Market Mechanics: Evaluating Singapore’s Manufacturing and Equities
  • OMH: Strong 1H 2024 Metrics Support Company Revenue Growth Guidance


Market Mechanics: Evaluating Singapore’s Manufacturing and Equities

By Geoff Howie

  • Singapore’s manufacturing sector saw a reduced contraction of 0.7% in the first five months of 2024, improving from a 4.3% contraction the previous year.
  • The iEdge SG Adv Manufacturing Index has also booked more than S$90 million of net institutional inflow in 2024 (up to 8 July) led by net inflows to YZJ Shipbldg, ST Engineering, Venture, SATS and ThaiBev, while Beng Kuang Marine, Dyna-Mac, Frencken, Global Invacom and Marco Polo Marine saw highest net inflow relative to market cap.
  • Leading the net institutional inflow for the 2024 year (up to 8 July) within the iEdge SG Advanced Manufacturing Index, were five STI stocks Yangzijiang Shipbuilding, Singapore Technologies Engineering, Venture Corporation, SATS and Thai Beverage: https://investors.sgx.com/securities/stocks?security=BS6 maintains an ROE of 21% and P/B of 4x, compared its 5-year average P/B of 0.9x.

OMH: Strong 1H 2024 Metrics Support Company Revenue Growth Guidance

By Zacks Small Cap Research

  • OMH expects 1H24 revenue increased >110% y/y.
  • OMH views its technology & data as competitive advantages & cites recently launched HomerAI & Property Mgmt.
  • unit as key factors behind expected growth.

💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars



Daily Brief Indonesia: PT Pertamina (Persero) and more

By | Daily Briefs, Indonesia

In today’s briefing:

  • Morning Views Asia: China Vanke , PT Pertamina (Persero), Sunny Optical Technology Group


Morning Views Asia: China Vanke , PT Pertamina (Persero), Sunny Optical Technology Group

By Leonard Law, CFA

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.


💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars



Daily Brief United States: Bitcoin, First Trust NASDAQ Clean Edge, Schlumberger Ltd, Micron Technology, Tesla , Carmax Inc, Bitcoin Pro, Build A Bear Workshop, Guess? Inc and more

By | Daily Briefs, United States

In today’s briefing:

  • Crypto Crisp: Buy the Dip
  • AI Surge Increases Power Consumption Leading to Energy Shifts
  • Schlumberger’s International Strength to Propel Q2 Growth
  • Micron Technology Inc.: Will Its Expansion into Data Center and AI Markets Result In A Massive Runup? – Major Drivers
  • Play the Hand You’re Dealt; Bullish Outlook Intact; Remain Overweight Large-Cap Growth; Tech Buys
  • CarMax Inc.: Operational Efficiencies In Reconditioning & Logistics Expanding The Bottom-Line? – Major Drivers
  • A Bad Break For Bulls… What’s Next?
  • BBW: Snapping the Store – Milan Edition – Looking at Expansion, Reiterate Buy
  • GES: Snapping the Store: Milan – Guess Jeans Launch – Reiterate Buy, $37 PT
  • GES: 2H Signposts: Elevation and Escalation for Guess?; Reiterate Buy & $37 PT


Crypto Crisp: Buy the Dip

By Mads Eberhardt

  • Before we dive into this Monday’s edition of Crypto Crisp, we want to announce a format change.
  • Starting today, the ‘Charting Crypto’ section will only feature the most intriguing charts we have discovered over the past week.
  • Instead of showcasing four to five recurring charts that may not always be interesting, we will focus solely on the most noteworthy ones.

AI Surge Increases Power Consumption Leading to Energy Shifts

By Uttkarsh Kohli

  • AI advancements will increase data center power demand by 160% by 2030, consuming 8% of U.S. electricity.
  • A single ChatGPT query uses 2.9 watt-hours of electricity, compared to 0.3 watt-hours for a Google search.
  • 2 of the 5 top performing stocks year-to-date in the S&P 500 are utility companies Vistra Corp and Constellation Energy. Utility sector has gained 6.7% in 2024. 

Schlumberger’s International Strength to Propel Q2 Growth

By Suhas Reddy

  • Schlumberger’s revenue is expected to rise 12.1% YoY and net profit by 15.3% YoY in Q2 2024. Management sees sequential margin growth across divisions.
  • Q2 growth is expected to be driven by SLB’s International segment, offsetting North American weakness. The International segment contributed 82% of Q1 revenue.
  • SLB announced plans to increase shareholder returns from USD 2.5 billion to USD 3 billion in 2024 and to USD 4 billion in 2025.

Micron Technology Inc.: Will Its Expansion into Data Center and AI Markets Result In A Massive Runup? – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Micron Technology recently provided insights into their fiscal third quarter 2024 performance, shedding light on various strategic and operational aspects that investors may find critical in shaping their investment thesis.
  • Amid a challenging global semiconductor landscape characterized by rapid technological advancements and fluctuating demand cycles, Micron appears cautiously optimistic about the future, driven by strategic investments and a focus on high-margin products.
  • Baptista Research looks to evaluate the different factors that could influence the company’s price in the near future and attempts to carry out an independent valuation of the company using a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) methodology.

Play the Hand You’re Dealt; Bullish Outlook Intact; Remain Overweight Large-Cap Growth; Tech Buys

By Joe Jasper

  • We continue to play the hand we have been dealt; i.e., riding the trend higher on the SPX and Nasdaq 100, and being overweight large-cap growth
  • Russell 1000 GrowthVs.Value ratio is breaking out from a 4-year base, suggesting growth’s outperformance is likely to continue in the months ahead. Growth outperforming during bull markets is no surprise.
  • Latest bullish developments include the equal-weighted Nasdaq 100 (QQQE) breaking out from a 4-month base, while Discretionary (XLY) displays a 6-month base breakout and RS is reversing its YTD downtrend

CarMax Inc.: Operational Efficiencies In Reconditioning & Logistics Expanding The Bottom-Line? – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • CarMax has reported its fiscal 2025 first quarter results, revealing a mixed financial scenario.
  • This analysis aims to objectively evaluate the performance by weighing the key positives and negatives reflected in the data and future company outlook.
  • Starting with the positives, CarMax noted several encouraging business trends, such as a stabilization in vehicle values and a decrease in average vehicle selling prices, which fell by approximately $700 per unit.

A Bad Break For Bulls… What’s Next?

By Delphi Digital

  • BTC hits multi-month range lows amid heavy liquidations and bearish market structure.
  • Altcoins experience significant losses, with many sectors down 20%-50% in recent weeks.
  • ETH and SOL spot ETFs signal growing institutional interest despite current market struggles.

BBW: Snapping the Store – Milan Edition – Looking at Expansion, Reiterate Buy

By Small Cap Consumer Research

  • We are reiterating our Buy rating, $41 price target and projections after visiting franchised stores in Milan, Italy.
  • With the company ramping up penetration with commercial partners and international franchisees, we believe it will be increasingly important for investors to understand and appreciate what we believe are the impressive economics of the franchised Build-A-Bear business.
  • Our Milan visits reiterated both the ability to recreate the experiential aspect of the Build-A-Bear operating model with partners and what we believe can be the lucrative nature of the business.

GES: Snapping the Store: Milan – Guess Jeans Launch – Reiterate Buy, $37 PT

By Small Cap Consumer Research

  • We are reiterating our Buy rating, $37 price target and projections for Guess?
  • as we begin our Milan tour with the global rollout of the new Guess Jeans line, which debuted last week.
  • For Milan, Guess Jeans launched at La Rinascente’s (the leading Italian luxury department store) flagship Milan location (across from the Piazza del Duomo) with an intense merchandising campaign, including taking over the front of the store, in-store signage and a key event with influencers.

GES: 2H Signposts: Elevation and Escalation for Guess?; Reiterate Buy & $37 PT

By Small Cap Consumer Research

  • We are reiterating our Buy recommendation, $37 price target and projections as we look at key trends for 2HFY24 and beyond for Guess?
  • We believe the company remains focused on driving upside via both elevation and escalation.
  • In terms of elevation, Guess?

💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars



Daily Brief India: Emcure Pharmaceuticals, HDFC Bank and more

By | Daily Briefs, India

In today’s briefing:

  • Emcure Pharma Pre-IPO Trading – Strong Subscription, Will Pop
  • Hdfc Bank Ltd (HDB) – Tuesday, Apr 9, 2024


Emcure Pharma Pre-IPO Trading – Strong Subscription, Will Pop

By Sumeet Singh

  • Emcure Pharmaceuticals raised around US$240m in its India IPO. Subscription rates were strong.
  • Emcure Pharmaceuticals (EP) is an Indian Pharmaceutical company engaged in the developing, manufacturing and globally marketing a broad range of pharmaceutical products across several major therapeutic areas.
  • We have looked at the company’s past performance in our earlier note. In this note, we talk about the trading dynamics.

Hdfc Bank Ltd (HDB) – Tuesday, Apr 9, 2024

By Value Investors Club

  • HDFC Bank is the largest private sector bank in India known for its strong track record of compounding book value and EPS
  • The recent merger with Housing Development Finance Company initially received positive market reaction but has since caused a decline in HDFC Bank’s stock price
  • Despite the stock underperformance, the merger offers potential cross-selling opportunities and a bright future for HDFC Bank

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars



Daily Brief Japan: Kokusai Electric , Aisin , Recruit Holdings, Ryohin Keikaku, CELSYS, Mercari , Aeon Delight, TSE Tokyo Price Index TOPIX and more

By | Daily Briefs, Japan

In today’s briefing:

  • KKR To Sell a 20-22% Stake in Kokusai Electric (6525)?
  • Toyota Group Cross-Holding Structure Primer – Holdings, Unwind Progress, Buyback Policies, Etc
  • Recruit (6098 JP) – BIG Headline Buyback But Disappointing if That Is Best Use Of Cash
  • Nikkei 225 Index Rebalance Preview (Sep 2024): Potential Adds/Deletes, Capping & Funding Changes
  • Kokusai Electric (6525 JP): Rumoured KKR US$1.8 Billion Secondary Offering
  • TOPIX Inclusions: Who Is Ready (July 2024)
  • Mercari (4385) | Fintech and Gig Economy as Key Catalysts
  • Aeon Delight (9787 JP): Q1 FY02/25 flash update
  • Faster Management Improvement Requires a Sense of Tension in Management


KKR To Sell a 20-22% Stake in Kokusai Electric (6525)?

By Travis Lundy

  • Today, a Reuters article came out saying that KKR would sell down half its 43% stake in Kokusai Electric (6525 JP) according to “two people familiar with the matter.”
  • The article also said Kokusai Electric would buy back shares. Kokusai responded with a TDNET release saying “we did not release this info but we are considering various capital policies.
  • It pays to look at the Shareholder Structure as it stands. This is bigger than it looks. 

Toyota Group Cross-Holding Structure Primer – Holdings, Unwind Progress, Buyback Policies, Etc

By Travis Lundy

  • Last September in the release of its new Mid-Term Management Plan, Toyota Group member Aisin (7259 JP) announced a plan to cut cross-holdings to zero. JTEKT Corp (6473 JP) followed suit.
  • It started with a selldown of Denso Corp (6902 JP), then Toyota Industries (6201 JP), now Aisin. Last FY, Toyota Group cos reduced crossholdings by ¥870bn. This year will be more.
  • Attached below is a general breakdown of Toyota Group cross-holdings, discussion of cross-holding policies, and analysis of what is next, and what is not.

Recruit (6098 JP) – BIG Headline Buyback But Disappointing if That Is Best Use Of Cash

By Travis Lundy

  • Last December, Recruit Holdings (6098 JP) announced a ¥200bn buyback which sounded big but with lots of cross-holders, wasn’t huge. The stock is up 80% in 6+ months since.
  • Today, the company announced a new buyback of ¥600bn. This is very aggressive, and at 25x EBITDA and 40x PER, is probably due to demand to sell. 
  • Crossholders now hold ¥2trln which is three-plus times this buyback. And if the price were to rise 10% a year for 3yrs, it would be four times.

Nikkei 225 Index Rebalance Preview (Sep 2024): Potential Adds/Deletes, Capping & Funding Changes

By Brian Freitas

  • The review period for the Nikkei 225 Index September rebalance ends in three weeks. There could be three changes at the rebalance with sector balance used for the additions.
  • Depending on the changes, passive trackers will need to buy between 3-57x ADV (2.4%-24% of real float) on the inclusions and sell between 3.7-8.4x ADV on the deletions.
  • Fast Retailing (9983 JP)‘s index weight is currently higher than 10% and that will result in capping in September. Passives will need to sell 6x ADV in the stock.

Kokusai Electric (6525 JP): Rumoured KKR US$1.8 Billion Secondary Offering

By Arun George

  • Reuters reported that KKR & Co (KKR US), the largest Kokusai Electric (6525 JP) shareholder, plans to sell about half of its 43% stake, worth around JPY300 billion.
  • As Kokusai’s shares are trading at 3.2x the IPO price of JPY1,840, KKR would be tempted to reduce its stake further. The 180-day IPO lock-up period expired on 22 April.
  • Kokusai anticipates a return to growth and margin improvement. However, Kokusai trades at a material premium to peer multiples and is fully priced. 

TOPIX Inclusions: Who Is Ready (July 2024)

By Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

  • Quiddity’s “Who is Ready” series of insights aims to objectively identify names listed on the Tokyo Stock Exchange that are potential additions to the TOPIX Index in future.
  • In the last few days, SUNWELS Co (9229 JP) and Macbee Planet (7095 JP) have announced their moves to TSE prime which would eventually trigger a TOPIX Inclusion event.
  • Macbee Planet was in our highest conviction list but SUNWELS Co was not. In this insight, we have made some modifications to our methodology to improve future hit rates.

Mercari (4385) | Fintech and Gig Economy as Key Catalysts

By Mark Chadwick

  • Mercari’s US operations, responsible for major losses, saw a workforce reduction by 45%, potentially preceding a market exit to improve overall margins.
  • Fintech growth is strong, with Mercari issuing over 3 million credit cards, achieving a 67% YoY credit balance increase, despite current operational losses
  • Mercari Hallo, an on-demand work platform, has rapidly gained users and business partners, positioning it to capitalize on Japan’s growing gig economy.

Aeon Delight (9787 JP): Q1 FY02/25 flash update

By Shared Research

  • Sales increased by 2.5% YoY to JPY81.1bn, operating profit decreased by 5.2% YoY to JPY3.3bn.
  • Sales growth in Facilities Management, Security Services, Cleaning Services, and Materials and Supplies Sourcing Services contributed to overall revenue increase.
  • Operating profit fell YoY due to higher SG&A expenses despite segment profit growth in several divisions.

Faster Management Improvement Requires a Sense of Tension in Management

By Aki Matsumoto

  • Now that the defensive wall of cross-shareholdings has been lowered, the strategies of activist investors are beginning to work, as companies are forced to listen to demands of their shareholders.
  • Many companies continued to be reappointed at shareholder meetings without fulfilling the role of management in maximizing shareholder interests and carrying out sustainable expansion.
  • For faster management improvement, further increasing the sense of tension in management requires the elimination of further cross-shareholdings and a change in the mindset of domestic investors, including individual investors.

💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars



Daily Brief China: UMP Healthcare, Hong Kong Television Network, Dobot, EC Healthcare, Netdragon Websoft, New Horizon Health , PT Pertamina (Persero) and more

By | China, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • UMP Healthcare (722 HK): Parsing the Announcement on The Major One-Time Gain
  • HKTV (1137 HK)’s Low-Balled Buyback Gets The Nod
  • Shenzhen Yuejiang Technology IPO: What’s The IPO Valuation? Long-Term Growth Prospects
  • EC Healthcare (2138 HK): Shares at Multi-Year Low; Still Not a Value Buying Opportunity
  • Netdragon (777 HK) – Tuesday, Apr 9, 2024
  • New Horizon Health (6606 HK) – Behind the Trading Suspension and the Outlook
  • Morning Views Asia: China Vanke , PT Pertamina (Persero), Sunny Optical Technology Group


UMP Healthcare (722 HK): Parsing the Announcement on The Major One-Time Gain

By Sameer Taneja

  • The company announced a settlement with its subsidiary of 18 mn HKD. This is material as we estimate that core profit for FY24 (June-end) would be 30-35 mn HKD. 
  • This settlement will be paid in cash (tranches) as it involves making the company whole on a vendor’s profit guarantee shortfall. It boosts cash and investments >340 mn HKD. 
  • The stock is cheap, with net cash almost equal to the market capitalization, an 11x PE (on core profit), and a 9% dividend yield. 

HKTV (1137 HK)’s Low-Balled Buyback Gets The Nod

By David Blennerhassett

  • Back in May, online shopping platform play Hong Kong Television Network (1137 HK) announced a buy-back of 11.25% of shares out, at $2.15/share, a mediocre 20.8% premium to undisturbed.
  • The thrust of the Offer was to lift co-founder Ricky Wong’s stake to 51.55% from 45.75%.  But that required independent shareholders approving a whitewash waiver not to make a MGO.
  • I didn’t expect shareholder pushback. And there wasn’t. Tendering closes on the 23rd July. Keep an eye on CCASS movements. Shares gained 4.7% yesterday prior to the EGM outcome. Mmm.

Shenzhen Yuejiang Technology IPO: What’s The IPO Valuation? Long-Term Growth Prospects

By Andrei Zakharov

  • Shenzhen Yuejiang Technology (Dobot), a Shenzhen-based cobot company with a diversified customer base globally, filed publicly for Hong Kong IPO.
  • The terms of the IPO were not disclosed. The robotics company plans to increase production capacity due to high demand in the coming years.
  • Dobot may be trading above the last round valuation of ~RMB3.5b, but I believe investors should focus on the company’s long-term growth prospects and rapidly growing TAM.

EC Healthcare (2138 HK): Shares at Multi-Year Low; Still Not a Value Buying Opportunity

By Tina Banerjee

  • EC Healthcare (2138 HK) reported muted FY24 result. While revenue increased 9% YoY to a record high of HK$4.2B, EBITDA and net profit declined 10% and 85%, YoY, respectively.
  • The reopening of borders saw a slower-than-anticipated recovery in revenue from Chinese Mainland medical tourism. The prevailing high interest rate, inflationary pressure, and economic uncertainties have made the operations challenging.
  • EC Healthcare shares plunged ~70% over the last one year. Although the company has long-term growth drivers and margin levers, there is short-term uncertainties over financial performance improvement.

Netdragon (777 HK) – Tuesday, Apr 9, 2024

By Value Investors Club

  • NetDragon’s stock is priced at 11.0 HKD with 531 million shares and a market cap of 5,870 HKD
  • Company completed a reverse merger listing for its education business, causing some complications, but gaming business is seen as a hidden gem with growth potential
  • NetDragon, operated by the Liu family, has a history of successful business incubation and has returned around 50% of its market capitalization to shareholders in the past three years

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


New Horizon Health (6606 HK) – Behind the Trading Suspension and the Outlook

By Xinyao (Criss) Wang

  • New Horizon Health is a “big client” of Deloitte, who, however, still delay the publication of 2023 results. This leads us to take the issues raised by Deloitte more seriously.
  • It’s uncertain whether New Horizon Health would obtain the audit report with non-qualified opinion or “survive” the independent investigation.2023 Annual Report/2024 Mid-Year Report/2024 Annual Report may continue to be postponed.
  • If New Horizon Health fails provide reasonable explanation, investors don’t need to spend any more time on the Company with no integrity.We forecast the timetable for the resumption of trading.

Morning Views Asia: China Vanke , PT Pertamina (Persero), Sunny Optical Technology Group

By Leonard Law, CFA

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.


💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars



Daily Brief Industrials: Recruit Holdings, LS Marine Solution, Sanil Electric, Dobot, Aeon Delight, FedEx Corp, MillerKnoll and more

By | Daily Briefs, Industrials

In today’s briefing:

  • Recruit (6098 JP) – BIG Headline Buyback But Disappointing if That Is Best Use Of Cash
  • Insiders Buying and Selling Prior To Mandatory Block Deal Pre-Announcement Requirement in Korea
  • Sanil Electric IPO – Stars Aligned with High Growth and Strong Sentiment
  • Shenzhen Yuejiang Technology IPO: What’s The IPO Valuation? Long-Term Growth Prospects
  • Aeon Delight (9787 JP): Q1 FY02/25 flash update
  • FedEx Corporation: Can The Potential Sale of FedEx Freight Enable Some Kind Of Strategic Growth? – Major Drivers
  • MillerKnoll, Inc. – Updating FY25 and FY26 EPS and Revenue Estimates


Recruit (6098 JP) – BIG Headline Buyback But Disappointing if That Is Best Use Of Cash

By Travis Lundy

  • Last December, Recruit Holdings (6098 JP) announced a ¥200bn buyback which sounded big but with lots of cross-holders, wasn’t huge. The stock is up 80% in 6+ months since.
  • Today, the company announced a new buyback of ¥600bn. This is very aggressive, and at 25x EBITDA and 40x PER, is probably due to demand to sell. 
  • Crossholders now hold ¥2trln which is three-plus times this buyback. And if the price were to rise 10% a year for 3yrs, it would be four times.

Insiders Buying and Selling Prior To Mandatory Block Deal Pre-Announcement Requirement in Korea

By Douglas Kim

  • In this insight, we discuss recent, active insiders buying and selling their shares prior to the mandatory block deal pre-announcement requirement starting 24 July in Korea.
  • The three companies that announced insiders selling (July) are down on average 3% YTD. However, the three companies that announced insiders buying (July) are up on average 74% YTD. 
  • LS Cable has been consistently increasing its ownership of LS Marine Solution, up from 46% stake as of 27 May 2024 to 56.14% as of 8 July 2024.

Sanil Electric IPO – Stars Aligned with High Growth and Strong Sentiment

By Ethan Aw

  • Sanil Electric (062040 KS) is looking to raise up to US$165m in its Korean IPO.
  • Sanil Electric is a specialized company that manufactures and sells reactors, transformers, railway vehicle parts, and switchboards. As an industrial transformer manufacturer, the company mainly manufactures power and distribution transformers.
  • In our previous notes, we talked about the company’s historical performance. In this note, we undertake a quick peer comparison and share our thoughts on valuation.

Shenzhen Yuejiang Technology IPO: What’s The IPO Valuation? Long-Term Growth Prospects

By Andrei Zakharov

  • Shenzhen Yuejiang Technology (Dobot), a Shenzhen-based cobot company with a diversified customer base globally, filed publicly for Hong Kong IPO.
  • The terms of the IPO were not disclosed. The robotics company plans to increase production capacity due to high demand in the coming years.
  • Dobot may be trading above the last round valuation of ~RMB3.5b, but I believe investors should focus on the company’s long-term growth prospects and rapidly growing TAM.

Aeon Delight (9787 JP): Q1 FY02/25 flash update

By Shared Research

  • Sales increased by 2.5% YoY to JPY81.1bn, operating profit decreased by 5.2% YoY to JPY3.3bn.
  • Sales growth in Facilities Management, Security Services, Cleaning Services, and Materials and Supplies Sourcing Services contributed to overall revenue increase.
  • Operating profit fell YoY due to higher SG&A expenses despite segment profit growth in several divisions.

FedEx Corporation: Can The Potential Sale of FedEx Freight Enable Some Kind Of Strategic Growth? – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • FedEx Corporation delivered a robust finish to its fiscal year 2024, showcasing a mixture of challenges and triumphs that reflect the intricate dynamics of the current global logistics and transportation landscape.
  • In its fourth quarter, FedEx managed to inflect positive revenue growth amid an environment characterized by continuous demand volatilities and transitioning market conditions, all while advancing significant structural reforms aimed at improving efficiency and profitability.
  • Baptista Research looks to evaluate the different factors that could influence the company’s price in the near future and attempts to carry out an independent valuation of the company using a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) methodology.

MillerKnoll, Inc. – Updating FY25 and FY26 EPS and Revenue Estimates

By Water Tower Research

  • Herein, we refresh our estimates and economic model for MillerKnoll after its release and conference call for 4QFY24, which ended May 2024.
  • As noted in our earlier earnings analysis note dated June 27, 2024, management delivered strong margins, enabling it to beat estimates with the report.
  • The margin performance benefited from cost discipline and sustained pricing benefits.

💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars