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Daily Briefs

Daily Brief Singapore: Thai Beverage, Yoma Strategic Holdings and more

By | Daily Briefs, Singapore

In today’s briefing:

  • Thai Bev (THBEV SP): Exits Property, Boosts F&N Stake. Deal Valuation Seem Excessive
  • Singapore’s Most Actively Traded Stocks with Double-Digit YTD Total Returns


Thai Bev (THBEV SP): Exits Property, Boosts F&N Stake. Deal Valuation Seem Excessive

By Devi Subhakesan

  • Thai Beverage(THBEV SP)  has proposed a share swap-deal with a promoter company to acquire additional stake in FraserAnd Neave(FNN SP)  in exchange for Frasers Property at negotiated valuations, not market prices.
  • Post-Completion of the swap deal with the promoter-owned entity, which requires shareholder approval, Thai Bev will hold a 69.6% stake in F&N and no stake in Fraser Property (FPL).
  • If the stake swap were valued at yesterday’s closing share prices, it would imply a drop in the total stake value for Thai Bev after the proposed deal.

Singapore’s Most Actively Traded Stocks with Double-Digit YTD Total Returns

By Geoff Howie

  • The top five performers among the 100 most traded stocks in Singapore for the year up to 17 July, were Beng Kuang Marine, Mermaid Maritime, Yoma Strategic, Yangzijiang Shipbuilding and Samudera Shipping.
  • Among the broader group of Singapore’s 200 most traded stocks this year, 63 stocks have generated YTD total returns of 10% or higher.
  • Among the 63 stocks, the Industrials Sector representing as many as 18 (29%) of the 63 stocks, compared to the sector representing 38 (19%) of the broader group of the 200 most traded stocks.

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Daily Brief United States: American Water Works Co, Dell Technologies , Crude Oil, SilverSun Technologies , Staar Surgical Co, Entergy Corp, Lands’ End Inc, Dominion Energy Inc, Dollar General, Sempra Energy and more

By | Daily Briefs, United States

In today’s briefing:

  • American Water Works Company: Initiation of Coverage – PFAS Regulatory Compliance
  • S&P 500 September Forecasts: Saved by the Dell?
  • [ETP 29/2024] Oil Rebounds on Inventory Drop; Energy Majors’ Targets Cut
  • Silversun Technologies Inc (SSNT) – Wednesday, Apr 17, 2024
  • STAAR Surgical Takeover Speculation: 4 Reasons Why We Are Optimistic! – Major Drivers
  • Entergy Corporation: Initiation of Coverage – Strategic Infrastructure Investments To Elevate Their Growth Prospects? – Major Drivers
  • LE: Mgmt. Meetings Confirm Positives; Raising PT to $20 (From $17); Reit. Buy
  • Dominion Energy: Initiation of Coverage – A Deep Dive Into Its Core Business Strategy? – Major Drivers
  • Dollar General Corp (DG) – Wednesday, Apr 17, 2024
  • Sempra Energy: Initiation of Coverage – What Is Its Biggest Competitive Advantage? – Major Drivers


American Water Works Company: Initiation of Coverage – PFAS Regulatory Compliance

By Baptista Research

  • American Water started 2023 with promising financial results, as its earnings per share (EPS) rose from $0.91 to $0.95 compared to the same quarter last year.
  • This increase was anticipated, aligning with the company’s forecast and sustaining its full-year earnings guidance.
  • Noteworthy contributing factors include the $0.02 per share rise stemming from additional interest income, linked to amendments in the seller note related to the HOS sale.

S&P 500 September Forecasts: Saved by the Dell?

By Dimitris Ioannidis

  • Dell Technologies (DELL US) is the main candidate for addition-transition with uncertainty arising from the ‘Multiple Share Classes’ criterion. Forecasted demand is ~$7bn and ~4 ADV.
  • Williams Sonoma (WSM US) is one of the top candidates for addition-migration with uncertainty due to the migrations’ inconsistent market cap selection pattern. Forecasted demand is $840m and ~2.6 ADV.
  • American Airlines Group (AAL US) is one of the main candidates for deletion with uncertainty due to price hence ranking fluctuations until cut-off. Forecasted supply is $290m and ~0.8 ADV.

[ETP 29/2024] Oil Rebounds on Inventory Drop; Energy Majors’ Targets Cut

By Suhas Reddy

  • US crude oil inventories fell by 4.9 million barrels in the week ending 12/Jul, marking the third consecutive weekly decline.
  • As of 12/Jul, US natural gas inventories were up 8.4% YoY and 16.9% above the 5-year seasonal average.
  • UBS expects Chevron’s Q2 earnings to fall short of expectations due to LNG project downtime and lower international refining margins.

Silversun Technologies Inc (SSNT) – Wednesday, Apr 17, 2024

By Value Investors Club

  • Author admires Brad Jacobs’ entrepreneurial success but questions high valuation of SilverSun Technologies
  • Conversion of SSNT into stake in QXO implies optimistic market capitalization of $46 billion
  • Author remains skeptical of QXO valuation despite Jacobs’ successful track record

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


STAAR Surgical Takeover Speculation: 4 Reasons Why We Are Optimistic! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • The first quarter of 2024 saw STAAR Surgical achieve a noteworthy result by generating net sales of $77.4 million, surpassing the expectations set for this period.
  • This result underscores the effectiveness of STAAR Surgical’s refined commercial strategy and the high uptake of its proprietary EVO ICL technology across all key geographical regions.
  • With a year-over-year increase represented by these figures, the company successfully navigated the challenges of a market predominantly inclined towards laser vision correction, where it successfully captured additional market share.

Entergy Corporation: Initiation of Coverage – Strategic Infrastructure Investments To Elevate Their Growth Prospects? – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Entergy Corporation has shown a mix of achievements and challenges in its First Quarter 2024 results.
  • Although the company reported adjusted earnings per share of $1.08, which fell below expectations, its management remains optimistic about meeting annual financial goals citing a solid track record in managing operational expenses.
  • Several positive developments were noted, including recognition for customer engagement and the execution of eight electric service agreements with industrial customers.

LE: Mgmt. Meetings Confirm Positives; Raising PT to $20 (From $17); Reit. Buy

By Small Cap Consumer Research

  • We are reiterating our Buy rating and projections and raising our price target to $20 (from $17) after meeting with Lands’ End management at their headquarters in Dodgeville, Wisconsin.
  • We believe management is laser focused on continuing to drive higher overall returns to the company, from shifting the product mix, lowering inventories, realizing higher pricing, focusing on features and stories to drive deeper customer interaction and loyalty, deepening licensing penetration on non-core categories, expanding internationally and driving stronger results at the Outfitters segment.
  • The emphasis on leveraging the highly trusted Lands’ End moniker to maximize brand equity, drive higher returns and create an even more compelling lifestyle story is still in the early stages and, we believe, will drive multi-period growth.

Dominion Energy: Initiation of Coverage – A Deep Dive Into Its Core Business Strategy? – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Dominion Energy delivered mixed results in the first quarter of 2024, showcasing both resilience and areas needing improvement as it strives to meet its future financial and operational goals.
  • The company reported first quarter operating earnings of $0.55 per share, affected by a $0.06 headwind from adverse weather conditions.
  • However, the sale of East Ohio Gas Company and various operational management (O&M) timings provided some financial relief.

Dollar General Corp (DG) – Wednesday, Apr 17, 2024

By Value Investors Club

  • Author may buy or sell securities related to discussed issuer without informing readers
  • Information presented is believed to be accurate but not guaranteed in terms of accuracy or completeness
  • Author’s views are opinion-based and subject to change at any time; readers advised to do their own research and not base investment decisions on the note

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


Sempra Energy: Initiation of Coverage – What Is Its Biggest Competitive Advantage? – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Sempra’s first quarter of 2024 results showcases a strong start to the year, affirming its robust financial health and diligent strategic execution across its various segments.
  • This report, reflecting on certain financial and strategic developments, delves into both the achievements and the areas of persistent challenge within the company, thereby providing a comprehensive overview for potential investors.
  • Baptista Research looks to evaluate the different factors that could influence the company’s price in the near future and attempts to carry out an independent valuation of the company using a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) methodology.

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Daily Brief India: Premier Energies Limited, Health And Happiness (H&H) and more

By | Daily Briefs, India

In today’s briefing:

  • Premier Energies Pre-IPO – Still Ramping up but Already Profitable
  • Morning Views Asia: Anton Oilfield, Health And Happiness (H&H), Vedanta Resources


Premier Energies Pre-IPO – Still Ramping up but Already Profitable

By Ethan Aw

  • Premier Energies Limited (0377949D IN) is looking to raise US$300m in its upcoming India IPO. It is a manufacturer of solar photovoltaic (PV) cells, and solar modules. 
  • It also executes engineering, procurement, and construction (EPC) projects and provides follow-up operation and maintenance (O&M) services. 
  • In this note, we talk about the company’s historical performance.

Morning Views Asia: Anton Oilfield, Health And Happiness (H&H), Vedanta Resources

By Leonard Law, CFA

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.


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Daily Brief China: Huafa Property Services Group, Pylon Technologies , Health And Happiness (H&H), Perfect Medical Health and more

By | China, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • Huafa Property Services (982 HK): Wide Spread Ahead of the 28 August Vote
  • Quiddity Leaderboard STAR 50 Sep 24: Final Ranks; Some Question Marks over Ninebot Re-Inclusion
  • Morning Views Asia: Anton Oilfield, Health And Happiness (H&H), Vedanta Resources
  • Perfect Medical (1830 HK): Gleanings from the Annual Report and Presentation For FY24


Huafa Property Services (982 HK): Wide Spread Ahead of the 28 August Vote

By Arun George

  • Huafa Property Services Group (982 HK)’s IFA opines that Huafa Industrial Co., Ltd. Zhuhai (600325 CH)’s HK$0.29 privatisation offer is fair and reasonable. The vote is on 28 August. 
  • Key conditions include approval by at least 75% of independent shareholders (<10% of independent shareholders rejection) and a headcount test. The offer price is final.
  • No shareholder holding a blocking stake, low AGM minority participation rate and calm retail boards suggest low vote risk. At the last close, the gross/annualised spread is 9.4%/52.5%. 

Quiddity Leaderboard STAR 50 Sep 24: Final Ranks; Some Question Marks over Ninebot Re-Inclusion

By Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

  • STAR 50 Index is a tech-focused, blue-chip index in Mainland China which tracks the top 50 largest and most liquid names in the STAR market of the Shanghai Stock Exchange.
  • Unlike the other popular Chinese indices (CSI, SSE, ChiNext, etc.) that rebalance semiannually, the STAR 50 index has a quarterly rebalance cycle and the next rebalance will be in September.
  • With the reference period for the September 2024 STAR 50 index rebal event coming to an end, we have presented our final expectations for ADDs and DELs in this insight.

Morning Views Asia: Anton Oilfield, Health And Happiness (H&H), Vedanta Resources

By Leonard Law, CFA

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.


Perfect Medical (1830 HK): Gleanings from the Annual Report and Presentation For FY24

By Sameer Taneja

  • We analyze the audited annual report of Perfect Medical Health (1830 HK) released on the 16th of July. We also analyzed the company’s FY24 presentation. 
  • The key takeaway is that the company will endeavor to improve its efficiency by cross-selling more services through Beauty Supermarket and expanding the sleep therapy business with Goku.
  • Trading at a 12.5% dividend yield with 17% of its market cap in cash and >50% ROEs, the business is solid and worth exploring as an investment. 

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Daily Brief Japan: Honda Motor, Invincible Investment, Kyoto Financial Group and more

By | Daily Briefs, Japan

In today’s briefing:

  • Big Honda (7267) Offering – Flow Timing Matters
  • Invincible Investment Corp Placement  – Another Accretive Acquisition, past Deals Have Done Well
  • Kyoto Financial Group (5844 JP) – Limited Shareholdings Unwind, for Now


Big Honda (7267) Offering – Flow Timing Matters

By Travis Lundy

  • The ¥500bn Offering of Honda shares is now priced (¥1,664.5/share) making it ¥497.46bn. Bookbuilding for retail – 80% of the book – is now. The price today closed at ¥1,665/share. 
  • The Offering has follow-on “non-discretionary” demand which is non-negligible. It is worth understanding the amounts and timing.
  • The lockups and non-discretionary demand, along with Honda’s relative cheapness as a large cap OEM and likely upcoming offerings on competitors means it has support.

Invincible Investment Corp Placement  – Another Accretive Acquisition, past Deals Have Done Well

By Clarence Chu

  • Invincible Investment (8963 JP) is looking to raise around US$375m in its primary follow-on offering. The proceeds will be used to partially acquire 12 assets from its Sponsor’s affiliates. 
  • The REIT has been very active on the acquisition front, and has highlighted its ongoing discussions with its Sponsor for acquisitions. Thus, the current deal should be well flagged.
  • In this note, we talk about the deal dynamics and run the deal through our ECM framework.

Kyoto Financial Group (5844 JP) – Limited Shareholdings Unwind, for Now

By Victor Galliano

  • Kyoto Financial’s stakes in three key listed Japanese corporates are valued at over 85% of its market capitalization with its total equity holdings accounting for 130%+ of its market capitalization
  • Kyoto management intends to retain the bulk of the bank’s equity holdings, opposing the growing trend for Japanese listed companies to unwind crossholdings; management will review this policy in November
  • In the near term, we see no major catalyst for Kyoto to accelerate its equity holdings unwind and so, combined with its underwhelming fundamentals, we are negative on Kyoto Financial

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Daily Brief Utilities: Brookfield Infrastructure Partners L.P., American Water Works Co, Entergy Corp, Dominion Energy Inc, Sempra Energy, Xcel Energy Inc, Public Service Enterprise Group Inc, Duke Energy, Centerpoint Energy, DTE Energy Company and more

By | Daily Briefs, Utilities Sector

In today’s briefing:

  • Brookfield Infrastructure Partners (BIP or BIPC) – Wednesday, Apr 17, 2024
  • American Water Works Company: Initiation of Coverage – PFAS Regulatory Compliance
  • Entergy Corporation: Initiation of Coverage – Strategic Infrastructure Investments To Elevate Their Growth Prospects? – Major Drivers
  • Dominion Energy: Initiation of Coverage – A Deep Dive Into Its Core Business Strategy? – Major Drivers
  • Sempra Energy: Initiation of Coverage – What Is Its Biggest Competitive Advantage? – Major Drivers
  • Xcel Energy Inc.: Initiation of Coverage – Will Its Investments In Clean Energy & Grid Modernization Pay Off? – Major Drivers
  • Public Service Enterprise Group (PSEG): Initiation of Coverage – How They Are Achieving Strategic Growth through Enhanced Service Offerings? – Major Drivers
  • Duke Energy Corporation: Initiation of Coverage – Focus on Economic Development and Infrastructure Push Bound To Yield Results? – Major Drivers
  • CenterPoint Energy Inc.: Initiation of Coverage – These Are The 4 Pivotal Factors Driving Its Performance! – Financial Forecasts
  • DTE Energy Corporation: Initiation of Coverage – How Their Tight Financial Management & Funding Strategy Will Impact The Bottom-Line! – Major Drivers


Brookfield Infrastructure Partners (BIP or BIPC) – Wednesday, Apr 17, 2024

By Value Investors Club

  • Dalrymple Finance report examines financial structure of Brookfield Infrastructure Partners managed by Brookfield Asset Management
  • Report raises concerns about fee maximization practices that may not align with interests of limited partners
  • Comparison with sister entity launched in 2023 highlights flaws in BIP’s financial policies, suggesting a unsustainable pyramid scheme structure

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


American Water Works Company: Initiation of Coverage – PFAS Regulatory Compliance

By Baptista Research

  • American Water started 2023 with promising financial results, as its earnings per share (EPS) rose from $0.91 to $0.95 compared to the same quarter last year.
  • This increase was anticipated, aligning with the company’s forecast and sustaining its full-year earnings guidance.
  • Noteworthy contributing factors include the $0.02 per share rise stemming from additional interest income, linked to amendments in the seller note related to the HOS sale.

Entergy Corporation: Initiation of Coverage – Strategic Infrastructure Investments To Elevate Their Growth Prospects? – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Entergy Corporation has shown a mix of achievements and challenges in its First Quarter 2024 results.
  • Although the company reported adjusted earnings per share of $1.08, which fell below expectations, its management remains optimistic about meeting annual financial goals citing a solid track record in managing operational expenses.
  • Several positive developments were noted, including recognition for customer engagement and the execution of eight electric service agreements with industrial customers.

Dominion Energy: Initiation of Coverage – A Deep Dive Into Its Core Business Strategy? – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Dominion Energy delivered mixed results in the first quarter of 2024, showcasing both resilience and areas needing improvement as it strives to meet its future financial and operational goals.
  • The company reported first quarter operating earnings of $0.55 per share, affected by a $0.06 headwind from adverse weather conditions.
  • However, the sale of East Ohio Gas Company and various operational management (O&M) timings provided some financial relief.

Sempra Energy: Initiation of Coverage – What Is Its Biggest Competitive Advantage? – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Sempra’s first quarter of 2024 results showcases a strong start to the year, affirming its robust financial health and diligent strategic execution across its various segments.
  • This report, reflecting on certain financial and strategic developments, delves into both the achievements and the areas of persistent challenge within the company, thereby providing a comprehensive overview for potential investors.
  • Baptista Research looks to evaluate the different factors that could influence the company’s price in the near future and attempts to carry out an independent valuation of the company using a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) methodology.

Xcel Energy Inc.: Initiation of Coverage – Will Its Investments In Clean Energy & Grid Modernization Pay Off? – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Xcel Energy recently held a discussion regarding their first quarter earnings for 2024, where they announced an increased earnings per share compared to the prior year.
  • During the quarter, the company experienced various operational challenges and opportunities, extensively detailed in their public statements.
  • Xcel Energy continues to emphasize its commitment towards enhancing system resiliency, particularly against wildfire risks, and advancing its clean energy initiatives.

Public Service Enterprise Group (PSEG): Initiation of Coverage – How They Are Achieving Strategic Growth through Enhanced Service Offerings? – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Public Service Enterprise Group reported its first-quarter earnings for 2024, showcasing results that align closely with its annual fiscal projections.
  • The organization aims to maintain its non-GAAP operating earnings guidance of $3.60 to $3.70 per share and anticipates a growth rate between 5% to 7% through 2028.
  • This growth is premised on sizable infrastructure and energy efficiency investments designed to support the electrification of various sectors and a move towards reduced greenhouse gas emissions.

Duke Energy Corporation: Initiation of Coverage – Focus on Economic Development and Infrastructure Push Bound To Yield Results? – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Duke Energy has delivered robust first-quarter 2024 results, underpinned by various strategic implementations and operational efficiencies.
  • With a first-quarter adjusted earnings per share of $1.44, the company outperformed its previous year’s results by $0.24.
  • This financial improvement is primarily attributed to growth from rate reforms across various jurisdictions, increased retail volumes, and favorable weather conditions.

CenterPoint Energy Inc.: Initiation of Coverage – These Are The 4 Pivotal Factors Driving Its Performance! – Financial Forecasts

By Baptista Research

  • CenterPoint Energy has published its first-quarter results for 2024, showing significant resilience and strategic maneuvering despite prevailing challenges.
  • The company achieved non-GAAP EPS of $0.55, successfully earning over one-third of its full-year earnings projection at the midpoint.
  • This result underscores its projected annual EPS growth of 8%, aligning with its strategic plan to bolster shareholder value consistently.

DTE Energy Corporation: Initiation of Coverage – How Their Tight Financial Management & Funding Strategy Will Impact The Bottom-Line! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • DTE Energy presented its first quarter 2024 financial results, showing a robust start to the year.
  • The energy company, well-entrenched with a solid foundation, reported operating earnings of $346 million, translating to $1.67 per share.
  • Despite facing milder winter weather which affected demand, DTE Energy demonstrated financial resilience.

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Daily Brief Industrials: Pylon Technologies , Ryanair Holdings, Rentokil Initial , Rolls-Royce Holdings, Blackline Safety and more

By | Daily Briefs, Industrials

In today’s briefing:

  • Quiddity Leaderboard STAR 50 Sep 24: Final Ranks; Some Question Marks over Ninebot Re-Inclusion
  • Ryanair – Pricing Appears to Be Softening; Re-Setting Profitability Expectations
  • Rentokil Initial Plc (RTO) – Wednesday, Apr 17, 2024
  • Rolls-Royce: Turbines and Tribulations – [Business Breakdowns, EP.174]
  • Blackline Safety Corp (BLN.TO) – Wednesday, Apr 17, 2024


Quiddity Leaderboard STAR 50 Sep 24: Final Ranks; Some Question Marks over Ninebot Re-Inclusion

By Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

  • STAR 50 Index is a tech-focused, blue-chip index in Mainland China which tracks the top 50 largest and most liquid names in the STAR market of the Shanghai Stock Exchange.
  • Unlike the other popular Chinese indices (CSI, SSE, ChiNext, etc.) that rebalance semiannually, the STAR 50 index has a quarterly rebalance cycle and the next rebalance will be in September.
  • With the reference period for the September 2024 STAR 50 index rebal event coming to an end, we have presented our final expectations for ADDs and DELs in this insight.

Ryanair – Pricing Appears to Be Softening; Re-Setting Profitability Expectations

By Neil Glynn

  • Latest fare data suggests an incrementally more concerning trend for Ryanair pricing from June.
  • Concerns over pricing continue to increase in Europe, following Lufthansa’s profit warning last week.
  • We cut our FY25 net income by 9% to €2,289m albeit remain above consensus of €2,170m.

Rentokil Initial Plc (RTO) – Wednesday, Apr 17, 2024

By Value Investors Club

  • Rentokil Initial (RTO) is trading at a historically low valuation despite being in a resilient industry like pest control
  • Rentokil is well-managed with a long-tenured management team that consistently exceeds guidance and has a track record of double-digit EPS growth
  • With a P/E ratio of 17.5x, Rentokil presents an attractive investment opportunity with potential for a 30%+ return by the end of 2025 if targets are met and the multiple reverts to historical averages

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


Rolls-Royce: Turbines and Tribulations – [Business Breakdowns, EP.174]

By Business Breakdowns

  • Rolls Royce is a British company known for its power business, mainly converting stored energy into kinetic energy through big engines such as airplane engines.
  • The company’s core business is in civil aerospace, with a focus on engineering excellence and a history dating back to the early 1900s.
  • The publicly traded entity of Rolls Royce Holdings focuses on the aerospace market, specifically in the production of airplane engines for large commercial planes and business.

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.


Blackline Safety Corp (BLN.TO) – Wednesday, Apr 17, 2024

By Value Investors Club

  • Blackline Safety provides gas detection and safety monitoring services, currently undervalued at 2.3x NTM sales
  • Transitioning from hardware to SaaS will potentially double the company’s value in 3 years
  • Management’s experience in the industry supports the company’s potential for future success and 100% upside over the next 3 years through revenue growth and margin improvement.

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


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Daily Brief Energy/Materials: SK Innovation, Premier Energies Limited, Mount Gibson Iron, Crude Oil, Globe Metals And Mining, W&T Offshore and more

By | Daily Briefs, Energy & Materials Sector

In today’s briefing:

  • SK Innovation’s Merger with SK E&S: Bad Timing for SK Innovation and Higher Risks from RCPS
  • Premier Energies Pre-IPO – Still Ramping up but Already Profitable
  • Mount Gibson (MGX AU): Q4 Production Report And Guidance Disappointing, But Mkt Cap = Net Cash
  • [ETP 29/2024] Oil Rebounds on Inventory Drop; Energy Majors’ Targets Cut
  • Globe Metals & Mining Ltd – Economics Improved, Progressing to DFS
  • W&T Offshore, Inc. – Estimate Update


SK Innovation’s Merger with SK E&S: Bad Timing for SK Innovation and Higher Risks from RCPS

By Douglas Kim

  • On 17 July, SK Innovation (096770 KS) officially announced a merger with SK E&S. The merger ratio between SK Innovation and SK E&S has been set at 1 to 1.1917417.
  • We believe this is the wrong timing for this merger from SK Innovation’s point of view. SK Innovation is trading at near three year lows.
  • This merger is likely to generate backlash from KKR which holds SK E&S redeemable convertible preferred stock (RCPS) worth 3.1 trillion won.

Premier Energies Pre-IPO – Still Ramping up but Already Profitable

By Ethan Aw

  • Premier Energies Limited (0377949D IN) is looking to raise US$300m in its upcoming India IPO. It is a manufacturer of solar photovoltaic (PV) cells, and solar modules. 
  • It also executes engineering, procurement, and construction (EPC) projects and provides follow-up operation and maintenance (O&M) services. 
  • In this note, we talk about the company’s historical performance.

Mount Gibson (MGX AU): Q4 Production Report And Guidance Disappointing, But Mkt Cap = Net Cash

By Sameer Taneja

  • Mount Gibson Iron (MGX AU) reported a disappointing Q4 FY24 production report. Volumes were inline, but provisional pricing impacts of ~20% brought a quarterly cash outflow of one mn AUD.
  • Volume guidance for FY25 was light at 2.7-3 mn tons (vs. 4.1 mn in FY24). Net Cash rose to 436 mn AUD (excluding Fenix Investment), almost equaling the market cap. 
  • FY24 results are due on 21st August 2024, when the board will recommend a dividend. Net cash and future cash flows should support the share price in the long run.  

[ETP 29/2024] Oil Rebounds on Inventory Drop; Energy Majors’ Targets Cut

By Suhas Reddy

  • US crude oil inventories fell by 4.9 million barrels in the week ending 12/Jul, marking the third consecutive weekly decline.
  • As of 12/Jul, US natural gas inventories were up 8.4% YoY and 16.9% above the 5-year seasonal average.
  • UBS expects Chevron’s Q2 earnings to fall short of expectations due to LNG project downtime and lower international refining margins.

Globe Metals & Mining Ltd – Economics Improved, Progressing to DFS

By Research as a Service (RaaS)

  • RaaS Research Group has produced an update report on niobium-focused Globe Metals & Mining (ASX:GBE).
  • GBE has continued metallurgical work for their chlorination process with results (20 March 2024) demonstrating the ability of the process to produce high purity Nb205 at a lab scale.
  • The results showed an extraction and separation rate of 99% for niobium and tantalum as well as 94% for rare earth elements (REEs).

W&T Offshore, Inc. – Estimate Update

By Water Tower Research

  • We are updating our 2Q24 estimates to reflect actual oil and natural gas prices.
  • Our reference oil price averaged $80.66 during 2Q24, and our reference natural gas price averaged $2.33/MMBtu.
  • For 2Q24, we estimate total revenue of $139.1 million based on estimated average production of ~35.0 MBOE/d, including ~14.1 MB/d of oil. 

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Daily Brief TMT/Internet: KT Corp, Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) – ADR, Mediatek Inc, Dell Technologies , SilverSun Technologies , Singtel, Kinatico and more

By | Daily Briefs, TMT/Internet

In today’s briefing:

  • Reasons Why KT’s Foreign Room Is Likely to Fall Below the 3.75% Cutoff Level
  • TSMC (2330.TT; TSM.US): The Outlook of 3Q24 Is Pretty Much In-Line, and GM Could Be Better.
  • We See TSMC’s Margins Increasing Much Higher Than Guidance in Long-Term; 2Q24 Shows Apple Ramping Up
  • MediaTek (2454.TT): 3Q24 Might Grow Slightly QoQ, While AI PCs Could Be Delivered in 2H25.
  • S&P 500 September Forecasts: Saved by the Dell?
  • Silversun Technologies Inc (SSNT) – Wednesday, Apr 17, 2024
  • Tech Supply Chain Tracker (19-Jul-2024): China’s auto exports, 2023.
  • Kinatico Ltd – FY24 NPAT up 225% and 60% ahead of RaaS forecasts
  • Kinatico (ASX:KYP) Georg Chmiel Interview


Reasons Why KT’s Foreign Room Is Likely to Fall Below the 3.75% Cutoff Level

By Sanghyun Park

  • KT’s foreign room has been exhausted due to value-up trading inflows, NPS selling shares, and KT canceling treasury stocks.
  • Hyundai Motor may sell 0.5% of its KT stake, likely to overseas investors. KT’s 700,000 share cancellation will lower foreign ownership to the low-4% range, possibly below 3.75% by November.
  • Focus on the stock price surge from ETF recall requests around the effective date, and note that passive outflow corrections typically occur afterward.

TSMC (2330.TT; TSM.US): The Outlook of 3Q24 Is Pretty Much In-Line, and GM Could Be Better.

By Patrick Liao

  • TSMC expects sales to grow by mid-20% YoY in USD in 2024, compared to low to mid-20% previously.
  • The N3/N5 capacity is very tight, and they are even working with customers for 2026 capacity requirements, while N2 is on track to enter MP in 4Q25.
  • A16 will enter MP in 2H26, and it’s first process starts adopting backside power.

We See TSMC’s Margins Increasing Much Higher Than Guidance in Long-Term; 2Q24 Shows Apple Ramping Up

By Vincent Fernando, CFA

  • Significant revenue guidance hike — TSMC reported 2Q24 results, increasing 2024E revenue growth guidance to exceed ‘mid-20’s’ percent, a significant hike from previous guidance.
  • Management is low-balling LT margins — Latest figures and long-term margin color makes us believe that TSMC will be able to increase GM much higher than current official LT guidance.
  • Signs of Apple expecting strong iPhone 16 sales — TSMC reported strength in smartphone end-applications and we believe this is reflective of Apple ramping up re: stronger iPhone volume expectations.

MediaTek (2454.TT): 3Q24 Might Grow Slightly QoQ, While AI PCs Could Be Delivered in 2H25.

By Patrick Liao

  • Mediatek Inc (2454 TT) is forecasted to experience slight growth in 3Q24 compared to 2Q24.  
  • Qualcomm Inc (QCOM US) is expected to introduce AI PCs in 2024, while Mediatek Inc (2454 TT) scheduled for this product is anticipated to delivered in 2H25.  
  • The shipment forecast for the Dimensity 9400 is approximately 5 million sets in 2H24.

S&P 500 September Forecasts: Saved by the Dell?

By Dimitris Ioannidis

  • Dell Technologies (DELL US) is the main candidate for addition-transition with uncertainty arising from the ‘Multiple Share Classes’ criterion. Forecasted demand is ~$7bn and ~4 ADV.
  • Williams Sonoma (WSM US) is one of the top candidates for addition-migration with uncertainty due to the migrations’ inconsistent market cap selection pattern. Forecasted demand is $840m and ~2.6 ADV.
  • American Airlines Group (AAL US) is one of the main candidates for deletion with uncertainty due to price hence ranking fluctuations until cut-off. Forecasted supply is $290m and ~0.8 ADV.

Silversun Technologies Inc (SSNT) – Wednesday, Apr 17, 2024

By Value Investors Club

  • Author admires Brad Jacobs’ entrepreneurial success but questions high valuation of SilverSun Technologies
  • Conversion of SSNT into stake in QXO implies optimistic market capitalization of $46 billion
  • Author remains skeptical of QXO valuation despite Jacobs’ successful track record

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


Tech Supply Chain Tracker (19-Jul-2024): China’s auto exports, 2023.

By Tech Supply Chain Tracker

  • XPeng and Baidu leading China’s autonomous driving technology advancements in 2023
  • Malaysia’s semiconductor sector set for growth in 3Q24 with talent recruitment and AI integration
  • Singtel partners with SK Telecom for 6G and AI innovation, while automakers persist in V2X development efforts

Kinatico Ltd – FY24 NPAT up 225% and 60% ahead of RaaS forecasts

By Research as a Service (RaaS)

  • RaaS Research Group has published an update report on ‘Know Your People’ regtech company, Kinatico (ASX:KYP) following its Q4 FY24 result which confirmed the company delivered NPAT of $0.8m for FY24, up 225% on FY23 and 60% ahead of our forecast.
  • Q4 SaaS revenue jumped 40% on the pcp to $2.8m and was 12% ahead of Q3 and was ahead of our expectations.
  • Transactional revenue of $4.5m for the quarter was flat on Q3 and down 12% on the pcp.

Kinatico (ASX:KYP) Georg Chmiel Interview

By Research as a Service (RaaS)

  • RaaS Research Group recently interviewed Kinatico Non Executive Director Georg Chmiel on what attracted him to join the KYP board in September 2023.
  • We discussed the merits of platform businesses and his experiences with technology platform companies.
  • Mr Chmiel noted the merits of recurring revenues, including higher margins than one-time or transactional revenue, and lower costs as the platform becomes more scalable.

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Daily Brief Health Care: Capitol Health, Grifols , Staar Surgical Co, Evotec AG, Medicus Pharma , Tonix Pharmaceuticals Holding and more

By | Daily Briefs, Healthcare

In today’s briefing:

  • Capitol Health (CAJ AU): Binding Merger with Integral Diagnostics (IDX AU)
  • Capitol Health (CAJ AU)/Integral Diagnostics (IDX AU): An Improved Image – Now Firmed
  • Liquid Universe of European Ordinary and Preferred Shares: July‘24 Report
  • STAAR Surgical Takeover Speculation: 4 Reasons Why We Are Optimistic! – Major Drivers
  • Evotec SE Potential Takeover: Does It Have What It Takes To Get Acquired? – Major Drivers
  • Medicus Pharma Ltd. – Medicus Submits Updated Phase 2 Clinical Protocol
  • TNXP: High Interest in Tonmya Seen in Initial Findings from Market Opportunity Analysis


Capitol Health (CAJ AU): Binding Merger with Integral Diagnostics (IDX AU)

By Arun George

  • Capitol Health (CAJ AU) has entered a binding merger proposal with Integral Diagnostics (IDX AU) at 0.12849 Integral shares per Capitol share.
  • The transaction will require approval from the ACCC and Capitol shareholders. Due to the minimal geographic overlap, ACCC clearance should be forthcoming.
  • The offer is attractive compared to historical exchange ratios, trading ranges and peer multiples. At the last close, the gross spread was 8.0%. 

Capitol Health (CAJ AU)/Integral Diagnostics (IDX AU): An Improved Image – Now Firmed

By David Blennerhassett

  • Back on the 17th June, diagnostic imaging provider Capitol Health (CAJ AU) announced it had entered into a process deed with Integral Diagnostics (IDX AU). Terms are now firmed.
  • IDX will issue 0.12849 new IDX shares for each Capitol share. Scrip terms are unchanged from that announced previously. Upon completing the transaction, Integral would hold 63% in the NewCo. 
  • Apart from ACCC signing off, this transaction looks priced to complete. 

Liquid Universe of European Ordinary and Preferred Shares: July‘24 Report

By Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

  • Since mid-June, share-price spreads have generally tightened across our European liquid universe of ordinary and preferred shares (13 have tightened, 5 widened, 1 remained at same level).
  • Recommended trades long preferred / short ordinary shares: Atlas Copco, Grifols (see section on the company), Media-for-Europe, Sixt.
  • Recommended trades long ordinary / short preferred shares: Henkel, SSAB Svenska Stal.

STAAR Surgical Takeover Speculation: 4 Reasons Why We Are Optimistic! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • The first quarter of 2024 saw STAAR Surgical achieve a noteworthy result by generating net sales of $77.4 million, surpassing the expectations set for this period.
  • This result underscores the effectiveness of STAAR Surgical’s refined commercial strategy and the high uptake of its proprietary EVO ICL technology across all key geographical regions.
  • With a year-over-year increase represented by these figures, the company successfully navigated the challenges of a market predominantly inclined towards laser vision correction, where it successfully captured additional market share.

Evotec SE Potential Takeover: Does It Have What It Takes To Get Acquired? – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • In assessing Evotec SE’s Q1 2024 fiscal results and its potential for acquisition, a reflection on both financial metrics and strategic initiatives offers insight.
  • Evotec SE, amidst a challenging market environment, reported a slight revenue decrease of 2% year-over-year, totaling EUR 208.8 million in Q1 2024.
  • The company’s primary revenue contraction stemmed from its Shared R&D business, which saw a decline of 23% compared to the same quarter in the previous year.

Medicus Pharma Ltd. – Medicus Submits Updated Phase 2 Clinical Protocol

By Zacks Small Cap Research

  • Medicus Pharma Ltd. (TSXV:MDCX) is focused on acquiring or partnering with life-science companies that are developing novel therapeutics for unmet healthcare needs that are already in the clinical trial stage.
  • Management plans fast-track these specific therapies through FDA clinical trials toward commercialization.
  • The company’s first acquisition was SkinJect, which has a novel, patented transdermal patch for the treatment of BCC.

TNXP: High Interest in Tonmya Seen in Initial Findings from Market Opportunity Analysis

By Zacks Small Cap Research

  • On May 13, 2024, Tonix Pharmaceuticals Holding Corp. (TNXP) announced financial results for the first quarter of 2024 and provided a business update.
  • Tonix will be filing a New Drug Application (NDA) for Tonyma (TNX-102 SL cyclobenzaprine HCl) for fibromyalgia in the second half of 2024 based on positive results from the Phase 3 RELIEF and RESILIENT trials.
  • The company recently announced key findings from the initial phase of a market opportunity analysis for Tonmya by EVERSANA, including a high dissatisfaction rate with currently prescribed drugs for fibromyalgia patients, a high unmet need for effective therapies, and a high level of interest in Tonmya with an intended use of 40% among surveyed physicians.

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