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Daily Briefs

Daily Brief Equity Bottom-Up: TSMC Shatters Q2 Expectations Bolstered by Strong AI Chip Demand and more

By | Daily Briefs, Equity Bottom-Up

In today’s briefing:

  • TSMC Shatters Q2 Expectations Bolstered by Strong AI Chip Demand
  • TotalEnergies Hits Roadblock with Lower Gas Prices and Refining Margins
  • [Blue Lotus E-Commerce Sector Update]: Tax Reform a Light at the End of the Tunnel for Ecommerce
  • Tech Supply Chain Tracker (20-Jul-2024): Micron samples MRDIMMs for AI, HPC.
  • Intuitive Surgical (ISRG US): Beat-And-Raise 2Q24; Strong Procedure Growth; Solid Da Vinci 5 Rollout
  • Zuora Inc (ZUO) – Thursday, Apr 18, 2024
  • Cara Therapeutics Exploring A Potential Sale But Can It Really Get Acquired? – Financial Forecasts
  • MoneyHero Group: A Promising Q1 2024 Result With Lots To Look Forward To!!
  • Edenred Se (EDEN) – Friday, Apr 19, 2024
  • Five9 Under Pressure From Anson Funds To Explore A Potential Sale! 4 Reasons Why It Could Be An Attractive Acquisition Target! – Financial Forecasts


TSMC Shatters Q2 Expectations Bolstered by Strong AI Chip Demand

By Uttkarsh Kohli

  • TSMC’s Q2 revenue hits NT$673.51 billion, exceeding expectations amid strong demand for advanced chips.
  • TSMC to grapple with tight supply through 2025, striving to meet soaring global demand across various sectors.
  • TSMC on track for 2025 mass production of 2nm chips, enhancing capabilities for more powerful and efficient technologies.

TotalEnergies Hits Roadblock with Lower Gas Prices and Refining Margins

By Suhas Reddy

  • TotalEnergies’ robust hydrocarbon production in Q2 2024 will be offset by lower gas realizations and refining margins.
  • Higher utilisation rates are expected to partially mitigate reduced refining margins in Europe and the Middle East.
  • Seasonal factors are expected to lower the Integrated Power segment’s adjusted net operating income by 18.2% QoQ to USD 500 million.

[Blue Lotus E-Commerce Sector Update]: Tax Reform a Light at the End of the Tunnel for Ecommerce

By Ying Pan

  • Early 6/18 pulled June sales into May, leading to disappointing June NBS data. Combined, online retail grew 5.1% yoy in May/June, and 6.4% yoy in 2Q24. 
  • PDD remained the top shelf-ecommerce platform with GMV growing ~20%, followed by Taobao/Tmall (TTG) at ~6-7%, and JD and VIPS at ~2-3% yoy. 
  • We expect JD and BABA to report slight earnings beats and guide upbeat on continued profitability improvement in 2H24. 

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (20-Jul-2024): Micron samples MRDIMMs for AI, HPC.

By Tech Supply Chain Tracker

  • Micron is sampling MRDIMMs for AI and HPC applications, exploring innovative solutions for data processing needs.
  • Hyundai Motors plans to add 300 new charging stations to support the expansion of their hydrogen bus fleet, promoting eco-friendly transportation options.
  • German electrification struggle worsens with supplier bankruptcy up 60%, hindering the widespread adoption of electric vehicles and renewable energy technologies.

Intuitive Surgical (ISRG US): Beat-And-Raise 2Q24; Strong Procedure Growth; Solid Da Vinci 5 Rollout

By Tina Banerjee

  • Intuitive Surgical (ISRG US) posted another strong quarterly result, with key performance indicators including total revenue, procedure growth, system placement, and EPS beating consensus.
  • 2Q24 procedure volume growth was 17% (estimate 15.5%) and accelerated from 16% in 1Q24. Intuitive narrowed full-year 2024 procedure growth forecast to 15.5–17.0%. The company raised gross margin guidance.
  • Despite phased rollout, 70 da Vinci 5 systems placement in 2Q24 seems impressive. It represents almost half of the total U.S. placement. In 2H24, placement is expected to increase modestly.

Zuora Inc (ZUO) – Thursday, Apr 18, 2024

By Value Investors Club

  • Zuora is considering a potential sale after receiving acquisition interest, with Qatalyst Partners hired to facilitate the process
  • Founder and CEO Tien Tzuo and other large shareholders may participate in the transaction
  • Potential deal price of $13-15 per share, offering 40-60% upside from current levels, with downside protection due to low valuation and improving cash flow outlook

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


Cara Therapeutics Exploring A Potential Sale But Can It Really Get Acquired? – Financial Forecasts

By Baptista Research

  • Cara Therapeutics has been trending all over the internet after the company recently decided to explore a potential sale.
  • Recent, Cara Therapeutics’ management announced a focus shift toward its most promising project, oral difelikefalin for treating notalgia paresthetica (NP), a chronic neuropathic condition with no currently approved therapies.
  • The reallocation of resources toward this program enables Cara Therapeutics to extend its cash runway into 2026, potentially covering all crucial value inflection milestones for the NP program.

MoneyHero Group: A Promising Q1 2024 Result With Lots To Look Forward To!!

By Baptista Research

  • This is a follow-up research note on MoneyHero Group, a leading personal finance aggregation and comparison entity in Greater Southeast Asia.
  • In its most recent Q1 2024 result, the company continues to demonstrate exceptional growth and strategic agility.
  • MoneyHero Group has seen a significant uptick in revenues and improved margins and was also in the news for an important strategic sale of CompareHero in Malaysia that could prove to be another game changer.

Edenred Se (EDEN) – Friday, Apr 19, 2024

By Value Investors Club

  • Edenred SE is a global payment solutions company with a strong financial performance and dominant industry position
  • Company’s stock has declined -19.50% year-to-date due to a legal investigation in Italy
  • Despite challenges, Edenred has a strong balance sheet, cash flow generation, and growth potential, making it a long opportunity for investors.

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


Five9 Under Pressure From Anson Funds To Explore A Potential Sale! 4 Reasons Why It Could Be An Attractive Acquisition Target! – Financial Forecasts

By Baptista Research

  • Five9, a noted leader in cloud contact center solutions, has been facing activist pressure in order to explore a potential sale of the company after a decent quarterly result.
  • Positively, Five9 reported a solid increase in subscription revenue, growing 20% year-over-year, which underscores its successful transition and dominance in the cloud-based contact center market.
  • This growth trajectory is supported by three key trends: the ongoing shift to cloud-based platforms, heightened focus on customer experience enhancement, and revolutionary impacts of AI on customer services.

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Daily Brief Credit: International Container – Tear Sheet – Lucror Analytics and more

By | Credit, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • International Container – Tear Sheet – Lucror Analytics


International Container – Tear Sheet – Lucror Analytics

By Leonard Law, CFA

We view International Container (ICTSI) as “Low Risk” on the LARA scale. This reflects the company’s: [1] leading position in Philippine container terminal operations; [2] geographically diversified operations, with port terminal assets across 19 countries; and [3] sound business capability to execute its expansion plans, as evidenced by its track record of healthy revenue growth and margin expansion. These are balanced against the risks associated with: [1] a potential increase in competitive pressures in the container shipping industry; [2] the Port of Manila’s small scale (in terms of annual throughput) compared to major ports worldwide; and [3] exposure to political and event risks arising from the company’s operations in frontier markets.

Our fundamental Credit Bias on ICTSI is “Stable”. The company’s leverage has improved over the years, supported by earnings growth and strong OCF generation. That said, FCF may be tempered by high capex and dividend payouts.

Controversies are “Material”. In 2017, ICTSI was accused by the International Transport Workers Federation (ITF) of violating various labour rights. This included the illegal sacking of outsourced workers at its Madagascar terminal, paying “poverty wages” at the company’s terminals in Indonesia and Madagascar, discrimination against unionised workers, as well as safety breaches at various terminals. The ITF also accused ICTSI of profiting off dictatorships, by working with authoritarian governments in Sudan, Syria and the Democratic Republic of Congo. In March 2023, the Organised Crime and Corruption Reporting Project accused the company of bribing two officials from the PNG Ports Corporation in relation to concession awards for its terminals in Papua New Guinea. That said, ICTSI does not appear to be materially impacted by the controversies. Overall, the ESG Impact on Credit is “Neutral”.


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Daily Brief Event-Driven: Thai Bev to Get F&N Stake from Promoters At Book Value than Fair Market Value and more

By | Daily Briefs, Event-Driven

In today’s briefing:

  • Thai Bev to Get F&N Stake from Promoters At Book Value than Fair Market Value
  • EQD | Where/When Will the Nikkei Index Reach a Bottom And Bounce?


Thai Bev to Get F&N Stake from Promoters At Book Value than Fair Market Value

By Devi Subhakesan

  • Thai Beverage(THBEVSP)‘s  proposed swap deal involves acquiring a 41.3% stake in F&N from promoters, seemingly at book value than fair market value, expected in case of an arms length transaction.
  • Fraser And Neave (FNN SP)  holds a 20.3% stake in Vietnam Dairy(VNM VN), Vietnam’s leading dairy player, which is now trading at nearly a 40% discount to the investment value.
  • Understanding TCC Assets’ ownership history of F&N may help clarify the deal’s valuation rationale.

EQD | Where/When Will the Nikkei Index Reach a Bottom And Bounce?

By Nico Rosti

  • The Nikkei 225 INDEX pulled back last week, and it may continue to fall for another 1-2 weeks.
  • Make sure you read the Market Reversal Matrix – Charts Analysis section below: we are introducing a possibile new Premium Service using our trend prediction models in algorithmic trading format.
  • The price support area to buy the Nikkei 225 would be between 39800 and 39300, this coming week (or the next).

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Daily Brief Crypto: Crypto Liquidity Watch: The Current Crypto Versus Tech Correlation Is a Must Watch and more

By | Crypto, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • Crypto Liquidity Watch: The Current Crypto Versus Tech Correlation Is a Must Watch


Crypto Liquidity Watch: The Current Crypto Versus Tech Correlation Is a Must Watch

By Andreas Steno

  • My great colleague, Mads Eberhardt, is off on a well-deserved mini-summer break, accordingly handing me the keys to the weekly crypto editorial.
  • As Mads is probably currently stuck with the same feeling I have when I hand the iPad to my almost 80-year-old dad, I’ll stick to connecting the dots between liquidity, the recent sell-off in crypto, and the current sell-off in technology.
  • Do current developments square, or can we find value trades here?

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Daily Brief Macro: Launch of Korea Value Up Index in September and more

By | Daily Briefs, Macro

In today’s briefing:

  • Launch of Korea Value Up Index in September
  • Singapore: Signs of ‘Dutch Disease’ as Cyclical NODX Slumps Amid Property Surge
  • EM Watch: China FLOODS global copper markets amidst the plenum
  • Actinver – Macro Daily: Manufacturing Industry
  • Heard From Fortress Hill: Weekly Market Observations
  • Actinver MX Local Flavor: In line with U.S. indices, Mexican stocks have a negative day
  • HEW: Rate Cuts Not Boxed-In


Launch of Korea Value Up Index in September

By Douglas Kim

  • Korea Value-Up index is finally expected to be launched in September 2024 which is likely to include at least 100 companies in KOSPI and KOSDAQ.
  • There are expectations that Korea’s Value Up index could resemble JPX Prime 150 index which is a Japanese version of the value up index launched last year.
  • We provide 70 stocks in Korea that could be included in the Korea Value Up index. These 70 stocks could outperform the market in the next several months.

Singapore: Signs of ‘Dutch Disease’ as Cyclical NODX Slumps Amid Property Surge

By Prasenjit K. Basu

  • Productivity has declined 0.95%YoY on average over the latest 8 quarters, with Singapore’s economic growth depending entirely on rather rapid 4.85%YoY average growth in employment. 
  • Jun’24’s 6.7%YoY decline in real NODX indicates real GDP growth for Q2CY24 will be revised down to 2.5%YoY (from the 2.9% advance estimate); strong re-exports also suggest manufacturing’s declining competitiveness. 
  • Fiscal policy has returned to its contractionary norm, with this year’s surplus likely to be over 1% of GDP, reining-in RGDP growth to 2% for 2024 (and 1.3%YoY for H2CY24). 

EM Watch: China FLOODS global copper markets amidst the plenum

By Andreas Steno

  • Good Afternoon from Europe. It’s incredibly hard for me not to begin this weekly EM blog by emphasizing how bearish I am becoming on Copper, given the current developments out of China.
  • Chinese trends are diverging rapidly both internally and externally—the export sectors are performing well, while internal consumption growth is far from firing on all cylinders.
  • Ahead of the conclusion of the CCP Plenum, we noted that China Daily posted several upbeat stories on the GDP outlook following the release of a slightly disappointing Q2 report.

Actinver – Macro Daily: Manufacturing Industry

By Actinver

  • The manufacturing survey shows that the stagnation in manufacturing production in May stems from a combination of slowing external demand and stagnation in domestic demand.
  • At the sectoral level, there is great heterogeneity in the capacity used.
  • Last week, the National Institute of Statistics and Geography (INEGI) informed that manufacturing production stagnated in May (0.01% MoM) and accumulated a contraction of -1.8% so far this year (https://bit.ly/MXDAILYESP_2024_07_12).

Heard From Fortress Hill: Weekly Market Observations

By Alex Ng

  • US stock market is diverged in the past week, as DOW breaks new time height and NASDAQ retreats. S&P500 declines likewise.
  • Hong Kong Hang Seng is down but is still within our forecast range of 16000 level to 18000 level.
  • We suffer huge loss as our long call bets on Nvidia, Apple, Microsoft went sour. We are still keeping the positions in the hope that the trades will turn around.

Actinver MX Local Flavor: In line with U.S. indices, Mexican stocks have a negative day

By Actinver

  • Once again, Mexican stocks had a negative day in line with the pessimistic sentiment observed in the North American stock markets.
  • In particular, the IPC index fell 1.31% to trade slightly above 53 thousand units. At the end of the session, 27 of the 35 companies included in the main local index had falls in their share prices
  • The mining company Industrias Peñoles (PE&OLES * -4.65%) and the financial company Regional (R A -4.43%) had the largest share price declines at the end of the session. 

HEW: Rate Cuts Not Boxed-In

By Phil Rush

  • UK economic data was mostly as expected, but increased services inflation tipped the balance towards a hawkish stance. The ECB maintained flexibility but is likely to cut rates in September, and the BoE may need to reassess previous data to avoid a rate cut in August.
  • The Bank of Canada may respond to rising unemployment and low inflation with a likely consecutive rate cut, rather than adhering to the Fed’s hold position.
  • Key data to watch include the flash PMIs, US GDP for Q2, and core PCE inflation for June.

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Most Read: Honda Motor, Pylon Technologies , Kyoto Financial Group , Dell Technologies , Capitol Health, Thai Beverage, Kokusai Electric and more

By | Daily Briefs, Most Read

In today’s briefing:

  • Big Honda (7267) Offering – Flow Timing Matters
  • Kokusai Electric Placement Updates – Misbehaving
  • Quiddity Leaderboard STAR 50 Sep 24: Final Ranks; Some Question Marks over Ninebot Re-Inclusion
  • Capitol Health (CAJ AU): Binding Merger with Integral Diagnostics (IDX AU)
  • Kyoto Financial Group (5844 JP) – Limited Shareholdings Unwind, for Now
  • S&P 500 September Forecasts: Saved by the Dell?
  • Capitol Health (CAJ AU)/Integral Diagnostics (IDX AU): An Improved Image – Now Firmed
  • Thai Bev to Get F&N Stake from Promoters At Book Value than Fair Market Value
  • Kokusai Electric (6525 JP): The Current Playbook
  • Launch of Korea Value Up Index in September


Big Honda (7267) Offering – Flow Timing Matters

By Travis Lundy

  • The ¥500bn Offering of Honda shares is now priced (¥1,664.5/share) making it ¥497.46bn. Bookbuilding for retail – 80% of the book – is now. The price today closed at ¥1,665/share. 
  • The Offering has follow-on “non-discretionary” demand which is non-negligible. It is worth understanding the amounts and timing.
  • The lockups and non-discretionary demand, along with Honda’s relative cheapness as a large cap OEM and likely upcoming offerings on competitors means it has support.

Kokusai Electric Placement Updates – Misbehaving

By Sumeet Singh

  • KKR and KSP Kokusai Investments are looking to raise approximately US$1.7bn through an extended secondary follow-on offering, via selling approximately 22.3% of Kokusai Electric (6525 JP)
  • We have looked at the lockup expiry and deal dynamics in our earlier notes.
  • In this note, we talk about share price performance since then.

Quiddity Leaderboard STAR 50 Sep 24: Final Ranks; Some Question Marks over Ninebot Re-Inclusion

By Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

  • STAR 50 Index is a tech-focused, blue-chip index in Mainland China which tracks the top 50 largest and most liquid names in the STAR market of the Shanghai Stock Exchange.
  • Unlike the other popular Chinese indices (CSI, SSE, ChiNext, etc.) that rebalance semiannually, the STAR 50 index has a quarterly rebalance cycle and the next rebalance will be in September.
  • With the reference period for the September 2024 STAR 50 index rebal event coming to an end, we have presented our final expectations for ADDs and DELs in this insight.

Capitol Health (CAJ AU): Binding Merger with Integral Diagnostics (IDX AU)

By Arun George

  • Capitol Health (CAJ AU) has entered a binding merger proposal with Integral Diagnostics (IDX AU) at 0.12849 Integral shares per Capitol share.
  • The transaction will require approval from the ACCC and Capitol shareholders. Due to the minimal geographic overlap, ACCC clearance should be forthcoming.
  • The offer is attractive compared to historical exchange ratios, trading ranges and peer multiples. At the last close, the gross spread was 8.0%. 

Kyoto Financial Group (5844 JP) – Limited Shareholdings Unwind, for Now

By Victor Galliano

  • Kyoto Financial’s stakes in three key listed Japanese corporates are valued at over 85% of its market capitalization with its total equity holdings accounting for 130%+ of its market capitalization
  • Kyoto management intends to retain the bulk of the bank’s equity holdings, opposing the growing trend for Japanese listed companies to unwind crossholdings; management will review this policy in November
  • In the near term, we see no major catalyst for Kyoto to accelerate its equity holdings unwind and so, combined with its underwhelming fundamentals, we are negative on Kyoto Financial

S&P 500 September Forecasts: Saved by the Dell?

By Dimitris Ioannidis

  • Dell Technologies (DELL US) is the main candidate for addition-transition with uncertainty arising from the ‘Multiple Share Classes’ criterion. Forecasted demand is ~$7bn and ~4 ADV.
  • Williams Sonoma (WSM US) is one of the top candidates for addition-migration with uncertainty due to the migrations’ inconsistent market cap selection pattern. Forecasted demand is $840m and ~2.6 ADV.
  • American Airlines Group (AAL US) is one of the main candidates for deletion with uncertainty due to price hence ranking fluctuations until cut-off. Forecasted supply is $290m and ~0.8 ADV.

Capitol Health (CAJ AU)/Integral Diagnostics (IDX AU): An Improved Image – Now Firmed

By David Blennerhassett

  • Back on the 17th June, diagnostic imaging provider Capitol Health (CAJ AU) announced it had entered into a process deed with Integral Diagnostics (IDX AU). Terms are now firmed.
  • IDX will issue 0.12849 new IDX shares for each Capitol share. Scrip terms are unchanged from that announced previously. Upon completing the transaction, Integral would hold 63% in the NewCo. 
  • Apart from ACCC signing off, this transaction looks priced to complete. 

Thai Bev to Get F&N Stake from Promoters At Book Value than Fair Market Value

By Devi Subhakesan

  • Thai Beverage(THBEVSP)‘s  proposed swap deal involves acquiring a 41.3% stake in F&N from promoters, seemingly at book value than fair market value, expected in case of an arms length transaction.
  • Fraser And Neave (FNN SP)  holds a 20.3% stake in Vietnam Dairy(VNM VN), Vietnam’s leading dairy player, which is now trading at nearly a 40% discount to the investment value.
  • Understanding TCC Assets’ ownership history of F&N may help clarify the deal’s valuation rationale.

Kokusai Electric (6525 JP): The Current Playbook

By Arun George

  • Since the US$2.0 billion secondary placement announcement, Kokusai Electric (6525 JP)’s shares are down 5.6% from the undisturbed price of JPY5,520 per share (8 July).
  • Looking at recent large Japanese placements is instructive to understand the potential trading pattern. So far, Kokusai’s shares have followed the pattern of previous large placements.
  • The offering will likely be priced on 22 July. Investors who have participated in previous large Japanese placements tend to secure positive returns.

Launch of Korea Value Up Index in September

By Douglas Kim

  • Korea Value-Up index is finally expected to be launched in September 2024 which is likely to include at least 100 companies in KOSPI and KOSDAQ.
  • There are expectations that Korea’s Value Up index could resemble JPX Prime 150 index which is a Japanese version of the value up index launched last year.
  • We provide 70 stocks in Korea that could be included in the Korea Value Up index. These 70 stocks could outperform the market in the next several months.

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Daily Brief Australia: Capitol Health, Mount Gibson Iron, Globe Metals And Mining, Kinatico and more

By | Australia, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • Capitol Health (CAJ AU): Binding Merger with Integral Diagnostics (IDX AU)
  • Capitol Health (CAJ AU)/Integral Diagnostics (IDX AU): An Improved Image – Now Firmed
  • Mount Gibson (MGX AU): Q4 Production Report And Guidance Disappointing, But Mkt Cap = Net Cash
  • Globe Metals & Mining Ltd – Economics Improved, Progressing to DFS
  • Kinatico Ltd – FY24 NPAT up 225% and 60% ahead of RaaS forecasts
  • Kinatico (ASX:KYP) Georg Chmiel Interview


Capitol Health (CAJ AU): Binding Merger with Integral Diagnostics (IDX AU)

By Arun George

  • Capitol Health (CAJ AU) has entered a binding merger proposal with Integral Diagnostics (IDX AU) at 0.12849 Integral shares per Capitol share.
  • The transaction will require approval from the ACCC and Capitol shareholders. Due to the minimal geographic overlap, ACCC clearance should be forthcoming.
  • The offer is attractive compared to historical exchange ratios, trading ranges and peer multiples. At the last close, the gross spread was 8.0%. 

Capitol Health (CAJ AU)/Integral Diagnostics (IDX AU): An Improved Image – Now Firmed

By David Blennerhassett

  • Back on the 17th June, diagnostic imaging provider Capitol Health (CAJ AU) announced it had entered into a process deed with Integral Diagnostics (IDX AU). Terms are now firmed.
  • IDX will issue 0.12849 new IDX shares for each Capitol share. Scrip terms are unchanged from that announced previously. Upon completing the transaction, Integral would hold 63% in the NewCo. 
  • Apart from ACCC signing off, this transaction looks priced to complete. 

Mount Gibson (MGX AU): Q4 Production Report And Guidance Disappointing, But Mkt Cap = Net Cash

By Sameer Taneja

  • Mount Gibson Iron (MGX AU) reported a disappointing Q4 FY24 production report. Volumes were inline, but provisional pricing impacts of ~20% brought a quarterly cash outflow of one mn AUD.
  • Volume guidance for FY25 was light at 2.7-3 mn tons (vs. 4.1 mn in FY24). Net Cash rose to 436 mn AUD (excluding Fenix Investment), almost equaling the market cap. 
  • FY24 results are due on 21st August 2024, when the board will recommend a dividend. Net cash and future cash flows should support the share price in the long run.  

Globe Metals & Mining Ltd – Economics Improved, Progressing to DFS

By Research as a Service (RaaS)

  • RaaS Research Group has produced an update report on niobium-focused Globe Metals & Mining (ASX:GBE).
  • GBE has continued metallurgical work for their chlorination process with results (20 March 2024) demonstrating the ability of the process to produce high purity Nb205 at a lab scale.
  • The results showed an extraction and separation rate of 99% for niobium and tantalum as well as 94% for rare earth elements (REEs).

Kinatico Ltd – FY24 NPAT up 225% and 60% ahead of RaaS forecasts

By Research as a Service (RaaS)

  • RaaS Research Group has published an update report on ‘Know Your People’ regtech company, Kinatico (ASX:KYP) following its Q4 FY24 result which confirmed the company delivered NPAT of $0.8m for FY24, up 225% on FY23 and 60% ahead of our forecast.
  • Q4 SaaS revenue jumped 40% on the pcp to $2.8m and was 12% ahead of Q3 and was ahead of our expectations.
  • Transactional revenue of $4.5m for the quarter was flat on Q3 and down 12% on the pcp.

Kinatico (ASX:KYP) Georg Chmiel Interview

By Research as a Service (RaaS)

  • RaaS Research Group recently interviewed Kinatico Non Executive Director Georg Chmiel on what attracted him to join the KYP board in September 2023.
  • We discussed the merits of platform businesses and his experiences with technology platform companies.
  • Mr Chmiel noted the merits of recurring revenues, including higher margins than one-time or transactional revenue, and lower costs as the platform becomes more scalable.

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Daily Brief South Korea: KT Corp, SK Innovation and more

By | Daily Briefs, South Korea

In today’s briefing:

  • Reasons Why KT’s Foreign Room Is Likely to Fall Below the 3.75% Cutoff Level
  • SK Innovation’s Merger with SK E&S: Bad Timing for SK Innovation and Higher Risks from RCPS


Reasons Why KT’s Foreign Room Is Likely to Fall Below the 3.75% Cutoff Level

By Sanghyun Park

  • KT’s foreign room has been exhausted due to value-up trading inflows, NPS selling shares, and KT canceling treasury stocks.
  • Hyundai Motor may sell 0.5% of its KT stake, likely to overseas investors. KT’s 700,000 share cancellation will lower foreign ownership to the low-4% range, possibly below 3.75% by November.
  • Focus on the stock price surge from ETF recall requests around the effective date, and note that passive outflow corrections typically occur afterward.

SK Innovation’s Merger with SK E&S: Bad Timing for SK Innovation and Higher Risks from RCPS

By Douglas Kim

  • On 17 July, SK Innovation (096770 KS) officially announced a merger with SK E&S. The merger ratio between SK Innovation and SK E&S has been set at 1 to 1.1917417.
  • We believe this is the wrong timing for this merger from SK Innovation’s point of view. SK Innovation is trading at near three year lows.
  • This merger is likely to generate backlash from KKR which holds SK E&S redeemable convertible preferred stock (RCPS) worth 3.1 trillion won.

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Daily Brief Singapore: Thai Beverage, Yoma Strategic Holdings and more

By | Daily Briefs, Singapore

In today’s briefing:

  • Thai Bev (THBEV SP): Exits Property, Boosts F&N Stake. Deal Valuation Seem Excessive
  • Singapore’s Most Actively Traded Stocks with Double-Digit YTD Total Returns


Thai Bev (THBEV SP): Exits Property, Boosts F&N Stake. Deal Valuation Seem Excessive

By Devi Subhakesan

  • Thai Beverage(THBEV SP)  has proposed a share swap-deal with a promoter company to acquire additional stake in FraserAnd Neave(FNN SP)  in exchange for Frasers Property at negotiated valuations, not market prices.
  • Post-Completion of the swap deal with the promoter-owned entity, which requires shareholder approval, Thai Bev will hold a 69.6% stake in F&N and no stake in Fraser Property (FPL).
  • If the stake swap were valued at yesterday’s closing share prices, it would imply a drop in the total stake value for Thai Bev after the proposed deal.

Singapore’s Most Actively Traded Stocks with Double-Digit YTD Total Returns

By Geoff Howie

  • The top five performers among the 100 most traded stocks in Singapore for the year up to 17 July, were Beng Kuang Marine, Mermaid Maritime, Yoma Strategic, Yangzijiang Shipbuilding and Samudera Shipping.
  • Among the broader group of Singapore’s 200 most traded stocks this year, 63 stocks have generated YTD total returns of 10% or higher.
  • Among the 63 stocks, the Industrials Sector representing as many as 18 (29%) of the 63 stocks, compared to the sector representing 38 (19%) of the broader group of the 200 most traded stocks.

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Daily Brief United States: American Water Works Co, Dell Technologies , Crude Oil, SilverSun Technologies , Staar Surgical Co, Entergy Corp, Lands’ End Inc, Dominion Energy Inc, Dollar General, Sempra Energy and more

By | Daily Briefs, United States

In today’s briefing:

  • American Water Works Company: Initiation of Coverage – PFAS Regulatory Compliance
  • S&P 500 September Forecasts: Saved by the Dell?
  • [ETP 29/2024] Oil Rebounds on Inventory Drop; Energy Majors’ Targets Cut
  • Silversun Technologies Inc (SSNT) – Wednesday, Apr 17, 2024
  • STAAR Surgical Takeover Speculation: 4 Reasons Why We Are Optimistic! – Major Drivers
  • Entergy Corporation: Initiation of Coverage – Strategic Infrastructure Investments To Elevate Their Growth Prospects? – Major Drivers
  • LE: Mgmt. Meetings Confirm Positives; Raising PT to $20 (From $17); Reit. Buy
  • Dominion Energy: Initiation of Coverage – A Deep Dive Into Its Core Business Strategy? – Major Drivers
  • Dollar General Corp (DG) – Wednesday, Apr 17, 2024
  • Sempra Energy: Initiation of Coverage – What Is Its Biggest Competitive Advantage? – Major Drivers


American Water Works Company: Initiation of Coverage – PFAS Regulatory Compliance

By Baptista Research

  • American Water started 2023 with promising financial results, as its earnings per share (EPS) rose from $0.91 to $0.95 compared to the same quarter last year.
  • This increase was anticipated, aligning with the company’s forecast and sustaining its full-year earnings guidance.
  • Noteworthy contributing factors include the $0.02 per share rise stemming from additional interest income, linked to amendments in the seller note related to the HOS sale.

S&P 500 September Forecasts: Saved by the Dell?

By Dimitris Ioannidis

  • Dell Technologies (DELL US) is the main candidate for addition-transition with uncertainty arising from the ‘Multiple Share Classes’ criterion. Forecasted demand is ~$7bn and ~4 ADV.
  • Williams Sonoma (WSM US) is one of the top candidates for addition-migration with uncertainty due to the migrations’ inconsistent market cap selection pattern. Forecasted demand is $840m and ~2.6 ADV.
  • American Airlines Group (AAL US) is one of the main candidates for deletion with uncertainty due to price hence ranking fluctuations until cut-off. Forecasted supply is $290m and ~0.8 ADV.

[ETP 29/2024] Oil Rebounds on Inventory Drop; Energy Majors’ Targets Cut

By Suhas Reddy

  • US crude oil inventories fell by 4.9 million barrels in the week ending 12/Jul, marking the third consecutive weekly decline.
  • As of 12/Jul, US natural gas inventories were up 8.4% YoY and 16.9% above the 5-year seasonal average.
  • UBS expects Chevron’s Q2 earnings to fall short of expectations due to LNG project downtime and lower international refining margins.

Silversun Technologies Inc (SSNT) – Wednesday, Apr 17, 2024

By Value Investors Club

  • Author admires Brad Jacobs’ entrepreneurial success but questions high valuation of SilverSun Technologies
  • Conversion of SSNT into stake in QXO implies optimistic market capitalization of $46 billion
  • Author remains skeptical of QXO valuation despite Jacobs’ successful track record

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


STAAR Surgical Takeover Speculation: 4 Reasons Why We Are Optimistic! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • The first quarter of 2024 saw STAAR Surgical achieve a noteworthy result by generating net sales of $77.4 million, surpassing the expectations set for this period.
  • This result underscores the effectiveness of STAAR Surgical’s refined commercial strategy and the high uptake of its proprietary EVO ICL technology across all key geographical regions.
  • With a year-over-year increase represented by these figures, the company successfully navigated the challenges of a market predominantly inclined towards laser vision correction, where it successfully captured additional market share.

Entergy Corporation: Initiation of Coverage – Strategic Infrastructure Investments To Elevate Their Growth Prospects? – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Entergy Corporation has shown a mix of achievements and challenges in its First Quarter 2024 results.
  • Although the company reported adjusted earnings per share of $1.08, which fell below expectations, its management remains optimistic about meeting annual financial goals citing a solid track record in managing operational expenses.
  • Several positive developments were noted, including recognition for customer engagement and the execution of eight electric service agreements with industrial customers.

LE: Mgmt. Meetings Confirm Positives; Raising PT to $20 (From $17); Reit. Buy

By Small Cap Consumer Research

  • We are reiterating our Buy rating and projections and raising our price target to $20 (from $17) after meeting with Lands’ End management at their headquarters in Dodgeville, Wisconsin.
  • We believe management is laser focused on continuing to drive higher overall returns to the company, from shifting the product mix, lowering inventories, realizing higher pricing, focusing on features and stories to drive deeper customer interaction and loyalty, deepening licensing penetration on non-core categories, expanding internationally and driving stronger results at the Outfitters segment.
  • The emphasis on leveraging the highly trusted Lands’ End moniker to maximize brand equity, drive higher returns and create an even more compelling lifestyle story is still in the early stages and, we believe, will drive multi-period growth.

Dominion Energy: Initiation of Coverage – A Deep Dive Into Its Core Business Strategy? – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Dominion Energy delivered mixed results in the first quarter of 2024, showcasing both resilience and areas needing improvement as it strives to meet its future financial and operational goals.
  • The company reported first quarter operating earnings of $0.55 per share, affected by a $0.06 headwind from adverse weather conditions.
  • However, the sale of East Ohio Gas Company and various operational management (O&M) timings provided some financial relief.

Dollar General Corp (DG) – Wednesday, Apr 17, 2024

By Value Investors Club

  • Author may buy or sell securities related to discussed issuer without informing readers
  • Information presented is believed to be accurate but not guaranteed in terms of accuracy or completeness
  • Author’s views are opinion-based and subject to change at any time; readers advised to do their own research and not base investment decisions on the note

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


Sempra Energy: Initiation of Coverage – What Is Its Biggest Competitive Advantage? – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Sempra’s first quarter of 2024 results showcases a strong start to the year, affirming its robust financial health and diligent strategic execution across its various segments.
  • This report, reflecting on certain financial and strategic developments, delves into both the achievements and the areas of persistent challenge within the company, thereby providing a comprehensive overview for potential investors.
  • Baptista Research looks to evaluate the different factors that could influence the company’s price in the near future and attempts to carry out an independent valuation of the company using a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) methodology.

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