Category

South Korea

Daily Brief South Korea: EcoPro Materials, K Car, Samsung Electronics Pref Shares, Zinus, Hanmi Pharm and more

By | Daily Briefs, South Korea

In today’s briefing:

  • Ecopro Materials IPO – Peer Comparison – Doesn’t Particularly Stand Out
  • Alpha Generation Through High Dividend Stocks in Korea
  • Gap Trades in Korean Prefs Vs Common Share Pairs in 4Q 2023
  • Setting up to Target Exclusion Stock Post Doosan Robotics’ KOSPI 200 Fast Entry
  • Hanmi Pharm (128940 KS): Core Products Continue to Drive Sales; Pipeline Progress Raises Hope


Ecopro Materials IPO – Peer Comparison – Doesn’t Particularly Stand Out

By Ethan Aw

  • EcoPro Materials (ECO123 KS) is looking to raise up to US$500m in its Korean IPO.
  • Ecopro Materials (EPM) manufactures and sells high-nickel precursors, one of the key materials for high-nickel cathode materials for secondary (rechargeable) batteries.
  • In our previous note, we covered the company’s performance. In this note, we will undertake a  peer comparison.

Alpha Generation Through High Dividend Stocks in Korea

By Douglas Kim

  • In the first table, we provide a list of 56 stocks (2.2% of total) which have dividend yields of 7% or more. 
  • The second table is a list of stocks with dividend yields of 7% or more and they are ranked in terms of market cap. 
  • These 25 stocks have an average dividend yield of 9.1%. The second table has 12 financials related stocks, representing 48% of total. 

Gap Trades in Korean Prefs Vs Common Share Pairs in 4Q 2023

By Douglas Kim

  • In this insight, we discuss numerous gap trades involving Korean preferred and common shares in 4Q 2023. Typically, fourth quarter is when pref stocks are emphasized the most in Korea.
  • The excessive gaps in the preferred and common shares of Samsung Electronics (005930 KS), Hotel Shilla (008770 KS), and Amorepacific Corp (090430 KS) could reverse in the next several months.
  • We see some attractive longer-term opportunities for Amorepacific, Doosan Fuel Cell, LG Electronics, and Hyundai Motor which have especially high discounts for the preferred shares versus their counterpart common shares.

Setting up to Target Exclusion Stock Post Doosan Robotics’ KOSPI 200 Fast Entry

By Sanghyun Park

  • Doosan Robotics has the potential to rise up to ₩104,000 on the listing date. The market cap would reach ₩6.74T, which fulfills the criteria for KOSPI 200 fast entry
  • Based on this calculation, Zinus had the lowest average daily market cap during the previous rebalancing screening period. Therefore, Zinus will be excluded due to the inclusion of Doosan Robotics.
  • KOSPI 200 passive trackers will need to conduct rebalancing trading reflecting this ad-hoc change on the closing price of November 9th.

Hanmi Pharm (128940 KS): Core Products Continue to Drive Sales; Pipeline Progress Raises Hope

By Tina Banerjee

  • With 1H23 revenue of KRW704 billion, Hanmi Pharm (128940 KS) is on track on surpass its 2022 revenue of KRW1.33 trillion to reach a new high in 2023.
  • Hanmi is developing epeglenatide as personalized obesity drug for South Korean market. With the spectacular success of obesity drugs in the U.S., epeglenatide seems to be have great market potential.
  • Outlicensing partner Merck is conducting phase 2b trial on efinopegdutide for NASH, with result expected in 2025. Efinopegdutide obtained fast track designation from FDA, which should accelerate its commercialization.

💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars



Daily Brief South Korea: KT&G Corporation, Ecopro Co Ltd and more

By | Daily Briefs, South Korea

In today’s briefing:

  • Alpha Generation Through Share Buybacks in Korea: August & September 2023
  • Korean Holdcos Vs Opcos Gap Trading Opportunities in 4Q 2023


Alpha Generation Through Share Buybacks in Korea: August & September 2023

By Douglas Kim

  • In this insight, we discuss the alpha generation through companies that announced share buybacks in Korea in August and September 2023.
  • We provide a list of 18 stocks in the Korean stock market that have announced share buyback programs in August and September 2023.
  • The top three market cap stocks that have announced share repurchases include Celltrion Inc (068270 KS), Celltrion Healthcare (091990 KS), and KT&G Corporation (033780 KS). 

Korean Holdcos Vs Opcos Gap Trading Opportunities in 4Q 2023

By Douglas Kim

  • In this insight, we highlight the pricing gap divergences of the major Korean holdcos and opcos in 4Q 2023.
  • Of the 38 pair trades, 18 of them involved holdcos outperforming opcos YTD and 20 of them involved opcos outperforming holdcos in the same period.
  • We highlight 38 pair trades that involve Korean holdcos and opcos.

💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars



Daily Brief South Korea: Seoul Guarantee Insurance and more

By | Daily Briefs, South Korea

In today’s briefing:

  • Seoul Guarantee Insurance IPO: Valuation Insights


Seoul Guarantee Insurance IPO: Valuation Insights

By Arun George


💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars



Daily Brief South Korea: Cosmo AM&T, EcoPro Materials and more

By | Daily Briefs, South Korea

In today’s briefing:

  • Target Cosmo AM&T as a Prime Candidate for KOSPI 200 Special Entry in December
  • Ecopro Materials IPO Valuation Analysis


Target Cosmo AM&T as a Prime Candidate for KOSPI 200 Special Entry in December

By Sanghyun Park

  • The introduction of float market cap is anticipated to apply not only to sector-based screening for the KOSPI 200 but also to special entry considerations.
  • Cosmo AM&T emerges as a direct beneficiary of this change. It currently ranks 52nd within the KOSPI, maintaining a tight gap with the borderline (50th).
  • Once it enters the KOSPI 200, it will also become a part of KOSPI 200 IT. As a result, the estimated flow size is approximately ₩230B, about 6x ADTV.

Ecopro Materials IPO Valuation Analysis

By Douglas Kim

  • Our base case valuation for Ecopro Materials is implied price per share of 40,325 won per share, which is within the IPO price range of 36,200 won to 46,000 won.
  • Given the lack of upside relative to the IPO price range, we have a negative view of this IPO. 
  • Ecopro Materials is engaged in the business of manufacturing and selling high-nickel precursors, one of the key materials for high-nickel anode materials for secondary batteries.

💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars



Daily Brief South Korea: Ecoeye and more

By | Daily Briefs, South Korea

In today’s briefing:

  • Ecoeye IPO Preview


Ecoeye IPO Preview

By Douglas Kim

  • Ecoeye is getting ready to complete its IPO on the KOSDAQ exchange in November. Ecoeye specializes in carbon emission rights related businesses. 
  • The IPO price range is from 28,500 won to 34,800 won per share. The IPO offering amount is from 59.3 billion won to 72.1 billion won. 
  • Established in 2005, Ecoeye makes money through carbon emissions trading and brokerage, carbon reduction business, carbon emissions trading system, and operation consulting. 

💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars



Daily Brief South Korea: EcoPro Materials, Posco International Corporation, SK Inc, Seoul Guarantee Insurance and more

By | Daily Briefs, South Korea

In today’s briefing:

  • Passive Flow Schedule Driven by Local Sector ETFs for Ecopro Materials
  • Ecopro Materials IPO – Pushing Ahead with Listing Despite the Controversies
  • Warren Buffett’s Investments in Japanese Trading Firms: Impact on Korean Trading Companies
  • Londian Wason Energy Tech: Planning an IPO in the US in 2024 (Impact on SK Inc)
  • Seoul Guarantee Insurance Pre-IPO Thoughts on Valuation – Needs a Discount to Its Larger Peers


Passive Flow Schedule Driven by Local Sector ETFs for Ecopro Materials

By Sanghyun Park

  • Ecopro Materials will benefit from passive flows generated by being a part of the battery-themed ETFs in the Korean local ETF market. And this will create noteworthy flow instances.
  • There will be a total of six flow events occurring consecutively from March to June next year. For all except for K-New Deal, there is a high likelihood of inclusion
  • In particular, it appears that we should target the rebalancing trading of the TIGER Secondary Cell ETF, which occurs on the second Thursday of April next year.

Ecopro Materials IPO – Pushing Ahead with Listing Despite the Controversies

By Ethan Aw

  • EcoPro Materials (ECO123 KS) is looking to raise up to US$500m in its Korean IPO. 
  • Ecopro Materials (EPM) manufactures and sells high-nickel precursors, one of the key materials for high-nickel cathode materials for secondary (rechargeable) batteries. 
  • Ecopro Materials’ revenue has grown by more than three times over the track record period.  However, its parent company Ecopro and sister company Ecopro BM have been mired in controversy.

Warren Buffett’s Investments in Japanese Trading Firms: Impact on Korean Trading Companies

By Douglas Kim

  • We believe that Warren Buffett’s investments in Japanese trading companies have also positively impacted several Korean trading companies in the past three years. 
  • We highlighted seven Korean trading companies three years ago including Posco International and their share prices are up more than 76% on average in this period. 
  • Despite their outstanding share price performance in the past three years, there could be some significant headwinds ahead, as evidenced by the steep inverted yield curve.

Londian Wason Energy Tech: Planning an IPO in the US in 2024 (Impact on SK Inc)

By Douglas Kim

  • According to SCMP, Londian Wason is getting ready for an IPO in the US in 2024. Londian Wason is planning to raise nearly US$500 million in pre-IPO funding and IPO.
  • SK Inc owns about 30% stake in Londian Wason, a leading copper foil maker in China. It is estimated that SK Inc’s stake is worth about US$1.1 billion. 
  • In 2022, Londian Wason generated sales of 1.47 trillion won. Since SK’s investment in Londian Wason in 2019, the company’s sales has been growing at more than 50% per annum.

Seoul Guarantee Insurance Pre-IPO Thoughts on Valuation – Needs a Discount to Its Larger Peers

By Clarence Chu

  • Seoul Guarantee Insurance (031210 KS) is looking to raise around US$270m in its Korean IPO.
  • Seoul Guarantee Insurance (SGI) is a guarantee insurance firm operating predominantly in Korea.
  • We have looked at the firm’s past performance and undertaken a peer comparison in earlier notes. In this note, we discuss our thoughts on valuation.

💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars



Daily Brief South Korea: Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200, SK Square , Doosan Robotics, Ottogi Corporation and more

By | Daily Briefs, South Korea

In today’s briefing:

  • Information Received Through KRX Officials Regarding Changes in the KOSPI 200 Methodology
  • SK Square: M&A of 11st – Alibaba Out and Qoo10 In?
  • Doosan Robotics (454910 KS): Listing & Index Inclusion Timeline
  • Details About KOSPI & KOSDAQ Lock-Up Release Stocks for October
  • End of Mandatory Lock-Up Periods for 45 Companies in Korea in October 2023


Information Received Through KRX Officials Regarding Changes in the KOSPI 200 Methodology

By Sanghyun Park

  • The official announcement from KRX regarding the KOSPI 200 rebalancing rule change is expected to be released shortly after the end of October.
  • The rule change will take effect beginning with this year’s December rebalancing. An official from KRX has communicated that we can confidently regard this as confirmed.
  • It is essential to be aware that during this December review, there exists a significant potential for generating substantial price fluctuations within a narrow timeframe.

SK Square: M&A of 11st – Alibaba Out and Qoo10 In?

By Douglas Kim

  • On 27 September, Maeil Business Daily reported that SK Square signed an MOU with Qoo10 to pursue a joint management of 11st. 
  • It appears that Alibaba may have been reviewing this deal but it is no longer interested in pursuing 11st.
  • A deal between Qoo10 and 11st could occur, but this is not certain, which means some of the cash proceeds to FI would need to be burdened by SK Square.

Doosan Robotics (454910 KS): Listing & Index Inclusion Timeline

By Brian Freitas


Details About KOSPI & KOSDAQ Lock-Up Release Stocks for October

By Sanghyun Park

  • In KOSPI, all eyes are on Ottogi Corporation, a constituent of the KOSPI 200 index. 8.38% of SO’s shares are about to be unleashed.
  • In KOSDAQ, the focus is on CanariaBio and Coocon Corp, both of which are constituents of the KOSDAQ 150. They are set to release shares on October 28th.
  • For Fadu, a two-month IPO lock-up is being released, accounting for 2.5% of SO.

End of Mandatory Lock-Up Periods for 45 Companies in Korea in October 2023

By Douglas Kim

  • We discuss the end of the mandatory lock-up periods for 45 stocks in Korea in October 2023, among which 2 are in KOSPI and 43 are in KOSDAQ.
  • These 45 stocks on average could be subject to further selling pressures in October and could underperform relative to the market.
  • Among these 45 stocks, top five market cap stocks include Fadu, Ottogi Corporation, CanariaBio,  Top Material, and PhilEnergy.  

💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars



Daily Brief South Korea: EcoPro Materials, HMM Co., Ltd., Dongwon Industries, Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200, Celltrion and more

By | Daily Briefs, South Korea

In today’s briefing:

  • EcoPro Materials: IPO & Index Inclusion
  • Seizing a Trading Opportunity Aimed at HMM’s New Stock Listing Date
  • Three IPO Candidates of the Dongwon Group (StarKist, Dongwon Loex, and Dongwon Home Food)
  • EQD | KOSPI 200 Index Getting OVERSOLD
  • Celltrion (068270 KP): Improving Base Business Is Being Overlooked by Mr. Market Amid Merger Noises


EcoPro Materials: IPO & Index Inclusion

By Brian Freitas

  • EcoPro Materials (ECO123 KS) was founded in 2017 and specializes in manufacturing cathode material precursors, a core material for lithium secondary cells.
  • EcoPro Materials (ECO123 KS) could raise between US$387m-US$492m, valuing the company between US$1.9bn-US$2.42bn. Float will depend on voluntary lock-ups and allocation to strategic investors.
  • Inclusion in global indices is likely to take place between February to June, while the highest probability of Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200 (KOSPI2 INDEX) inclusion is in December 2024.

Seizing a Trading Opportunity Aimed at HMM’s New Stock Listing Date

By Sanghyun Park

  • Should the stock conversion decision be reached this week, the new shares will be listed on the 15th of the upcoming month. So, they will officially debut on October 16th.
  • On the day of the new share listing during the immediate previous case, the price dropped by 2.36%, and on the very next trading day, it declined by 3.72%.
  • Given the present dilution rate of 30%, there is a higher probability of even more pronounced price movements in the same direction.

Three IPO Candidates of the Dongwon Group (StarKist, Dongwon Loex, and Dongwon Home Food)

By Douglas Kim

  • It was reported in the local Korean media that the Dongwon Group is considering on listing three private companies including Starkist, Dongwon Loex, and Dongwon Home Food.
  • Prior to their IPOs, Dongwon Group is reviewing the potential of selling partial stakes in these companies in pre-IPO investments.
  • One of the major purposes of the IPOs would be to gain access to more capital which could be used by the Dongwon Group to acquire HMM. 

EQD | KOSPI 200 Index Getting OVERSOLD

By Nico Rosti

  • The KOSPI 200 INDEX closed down last week (CC=-1) and is currently down this week as well (CC=-2 to be confirmed on Friday), currently approaching Q3 support at 324.
  • Based on Market Reversal Matrix time/price models, if this week the KOSPI closes down at <=324, the index will have a >75% probability to close the next week up.
  • Going LONG is not without risk at this stage: this pattern is not bullish, the correction could reach <300, based on the models, but the index is getting OVERSOLD.

Celltrion (068270 KP): Improving Base Business Is Being Overlooked by Mr. Market Amid Merger Noises

By Tina Banerjee

  • As Celltrion (068270 KP) approaches merger clarity, focus will shift to its base business, which remains solid. In Q2 2023, biosimilar, the flagship business, reported a 10% YoY growth.
  • Operating profit margin expanded 440bps YoY to 34.9%. Margins are expected to improve further through increasing contribution from high-margin products such as Yuflyma (Humira biosimilar) and Remsima SC.
  • Celltrion expects to receive approval for Remsima SC in the U.S. by end of October, which should act as a major catalyst. By 2030, merged entity targets revenue of KRW12T.

💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars



Daily Brief South Korea: EcoPro Materials, Fadu , Seoul Guarantee Insurance and more

By | Daily Briefs, South Korea

In today’s briefing:

  • Ecopro Materials IPO Prospectus Filed Today: Anticipating Inevitable Valuation Controversy
  • Ecopro Materials IPO Preview
  • KOSDAQ 150 Rebalance Candidates in December 2023
  • Seoul Guarantee Insurance Pre-IPO Peer Comparison – While ROE Lagged, Has Been Overcapitalised


Ecopro Materials IPO Prospectus Filed Today: Anticipating Inevitable Valuation Controversy

By Sanghyun Park

  • The indicative price band is ₩36,200 to ₩46,000. Accordingly, the market capitalization implied by the price band is ₩2.68T to ₩3.40T.
  • The concern arises as to whether Ecopro Materials can consistently deliver a level of profitability that justifies receiving an equivalent valuation multiple to that of Ecopro BM.
  • The timing of this IPO coincides with the ongoing valuation correction in the local battery sector, making the valuation issue the most critical point to watch in this IPO.

Ecopro Materials IPO Preview

By Douglas Kim

  • Ecopro Materials is getting ready to complete its IPO in KOSPI in November 2023. The IPO price range is from 36,200 won to 46,000 won. 
  • The IPO offering amount is from 524 billion won to 666 billion won. The expected IPO market cap is from 2.7 trillion won to 3.4 trillion won.
  • The bankers used four companies including CNGR, Posco Future M (003670 KS), L&F, and Cosmo AM&T (005070 KS) as comps for Ecopro Materials.

KOSDAQ 150 Rebalance Candidates in December 2023

By Douglas Kim

  • In this insight, we discuss the potential inclusion and exclusion candidates for the KOSDAQ 150 rebalance in December 2023. 
  • The 8 lowest market cap stocks in KOSDAQ 150 are among the main candidates to be excluded from the KOSDAQ 150 rebalance in December 2023.
  • Potential inclusions for KOSDAQ 150 rebalance in December 2023 include Fadu, GigaVis, Jeio, PhilEnergy, and Manyo Factory.

Seoul Guarantee Insurance Pre-IPO Peer Comparison – While ROE Lagged, Has Been Overcapitalised

By Clarence Chu

  • Seoul Guarantee Insurance (031210 KS) is looking to raise around US$270m in its Korean IPO.
  • Seoul Guarantee Insurance (SGI) is a guarantee insurance firm operating predominantly in Korea.
  • We have looked at the firm’s past performance in earlier notes. In this note, we undertake a peer comparison.

💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars



Daily Brief South Korea: Doosan Robotics, Posco DX and more

By | Daily Briefs, South Korea

In today’s briefing:

  • Doosan Robotics Institutional Lockups Breakdown Leaked Pre-Disclosure: Analyzing Flow Schedule
  • KOSPI 200 Rebalance Candidates in December 2023 & Changes to the KOSPI 200 Rebalance Process


Doosan Robotics Institutional Lockups Breakdown Leaked Pre-Disclosure: Analyzing Flow Schedule

By Sanghyun Park

  • The immediate float rate on the listing date (October 5) has reached 19.25% as the institutional lockup volume is not as high as initially expected.
  • Even with a low institutional lockup level, there seems to be a possibility of a certain IPO day pop.
  • The first exit point we can look for in the short term would be the 1-month lockup release (1.44% of SO) one month after listing.

KOSPI 200 Rebalance Candidates in December 2023 & Changes to the KOSPI 200 Rebalance Process

By Douglas Kim

  • Korea Exchange is planning to change the criteria for rebalancing stocks in the KOSPI 200 index. 
  • The purpose of this change is to prevent stocks that surge ahead of the actual KOSPI 200 inclusion but fall significantly after the inclusion announcement.
  • We think there is a 70-80%+ probability that POSCO DX and L&F Co will be included in KOSPI 200 index in December 2023.

💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars