Category

Japan

Daily Brief Japan: Fast Retailing, Roland DG Corp, Aida Engineering, TSE Tokyo Price Index TOPIX and more

By | Daily Briefs, Japan

In today’s briefing:

  • Fast Retailing (9983) – Now At Double Downweight Levels
  • Merger Arb Mondays (18 Mar) – Roland DG, JSR, YSK, CIMC Vehicles, Alumina, QV Equities, Qantm
  • Aida Engineering (6118) Buyback – Not Big Enough, But Not Small; They Gotta Shrink E.
  • In the Prime Market, Disclosure in English Also Widens the Gap in the Company’s Attitude


Fast Retailing (9983) – Now At Double Downweight Levels

By Travis Lundy

  • Fast Retailing (9983 JP) is the largest weight in the Nikkei 225. On Friday, it closed at 11.36% of the Nikkei 225, putting it well above the 10% cap level.
  • If the stock is above 10% on a pro-forma basis on the base date of 31 July 2024, it will get a capping coefficient. 2.8mm shares (US$2.5bn) to sell.
  • At Friday’s close, we were borderline above a double-downweight trigger. At Monday’s open, just below. 30mins later? Back well above. Lots of interesting issues and nuances here for a short.

Merger Arb Mondays (18 Mar) – Roland DG, JSR, YSK, CIMC Vehicles, Alumina, QV Equities, Qantm

By Arun George


Aida Engineering (6118) Buyback – Not Big Enough, But Not Small; They Gotta Shrink E.

By Travis Lundy

  • Late last week, machine tool and press maker Aida Engineering (6118 JP) made an announcement of a share buyback. Up to 2.3mm shs (3.59%) spending up to ¥2bn.
  • The company has filed a policy for “Action to Implement Management That is Conscious of Cost of Capital and Stock Price” in its most recent CorpGov report available (J/E) here
  • It will be a little smaller than that, but it is worth taking a closer look at the details, etc.

In the Prime Market, Disclosure in English Also Widens the Gap in the Company’s Attitude

By Aki Matsumoto

  • Most companies with large market capitalization (i.e., those with a high ratio of foreign shareholders) already disclose their financial statements, timely disclosure materials, and convocation notices in English.
  • Disclosure in English of corporate governance reports and annual securities reports, which have lagged behind, is gradually increasing among companies with large market capitalization.
  • Similar to the results of the recent disclosure regarding the ”TSE’s request”, there is also a difference in the disclosure stance between companies with large market capitalization and other companies.

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Daily Brief Japan: NEC Corp, TSE Tokyo Price Index TOPIX, JSR Corp and more

By | Daily Briefs, Japan

In today’s briefing:

  • NEC (6701 JP): Generative AI Is the Spark, Not the Driver
  • Updated Tool and New “Diff File Generator” for TSE “Mgmt Conscious of Capital Cost/Stock Price”
  • (Mostly) Asia-Pac M&A:QV Equities, TASK, Qantm, Superloop, CIMC Vehicle, JSR, Roland DG, Outsourcing
  • Weekly Deals Digest (17 Mar) – JSR, Roland DG, CIMC Vehicles, Li Ning, Alumina, QV Equities, Japfa


NEC (6701 JP): Generative AI Is the Spark, Not the Driver

By Scott Foster

  • The P/E ratio has risen above 20x this fiscal year from no more than 13x in the previous four years, reflecting successful restructuring and investor enthusiasm for AI. 
  • Profit margins are rising, but remain moderate in absolute terms with room for further improvement. The shares may consolidate, but they do not look overvalued.
  • Management is aiming for generative AI sales of ¥50 billion in three years time. This is less than 2% of total sales, but a positive indicator for NEC’s software business.

Updated Tool and New “Diff File Generator” for TSE “Mgmt Conscious of Capital Cost/Stock Price”

By Travis Lundy

  • In mid-January, the TSE announced a “name-and-shame” list where they listed all the companies which had put forth a disclosure about 【資本コストや株価を意識した経営の実現に向けた対応】. But they did not actually shame.
  • The list shows which companies have disclosed a policy/consideration. But no data/links. We have the links. On Feb 1, the TSE put out a presentation and set of case studies.
  • We created a tool to name everyone, show their reports, provide links, and now a new tool. Put in a name, see the difference between the Old/New Reports.

(Mostly) Asia-Pac M&A:QV Equities, TASK, Qantm, Superloop, CIMC Vehicle, JSR, Roland DG, Outsourcing

By David Blennerhassett


Weekly Deals Digest (17 Mar) – JSR, Roland DG, CIMC Vehicles, Li Ning, Alumina, QV Equities, Japfa

By Arun George


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Daily Brief Japan: Cyber Security Cloud Inc, Toyota Motor Corp Spon Adr, Nihon Denkei, Will Group Inc, TSE Tokyo Price Index TOPIX and more

By | Daily Briefs, Japan

In today’s briefing:

  • Cyber Security Cloud (4493): Full-Year FY12/23 Update
  • Toyota Motors: Investing In Innovation For The Future Of Mobility! – Key Drivers
  • Nihon Denkei (9908): Q3 FY03/24 Update
  • 3Q Follow-Up – WILL GROUP (6089 JP)
  • Is the Emission Data of a Company that Doesn’t Disclose in Annual Securities Report Reliable?


Cyber Security Cloud (4493): Full-Year FY12/23 Update

By Shared Research

  • Cyber Security Cloud Inc (4493 JP) provides customers with subscription services based on software it develops in-house.
  • In FY12/23, CSC reported revenue of JPY3.1bn, operating profit of JPY550mn, recurring profit of JPY560mn, and net income attributable to owners of the parent of JPY427mn.
  • Cyber Security Cloud, Inc. announced the acquisition of its own shares

Toyota Motors: Investing In Innovation For The Future Of Mobility! – Key Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Toyota Motor Corporation continues to deliver robust financial performance despite a myriad of challenges.
  • In the fiscal year 2024 second-quarter results, the Japanese automotive giant reported an operating income of JPY 2,559.2 billion.
  • This was a significant increase compared to the same period of the previous fiscal year.

Nihon Denkei (9908): Q3 FY03/24 Update

By Shared Research

  • Established in 1950, Nihon Denkei (9908 JP) is an independent specialized trading company with a leading domestic share, by sales, in electronic measuring instruments (source: Nihon Denkei).
  • In FY03/23, sales were JPY104.8bn (+14.1% YoY), operating profit was JPY3.7bn (+40.4% YoY), and recurring profit was JPY4.0bn (+31.9% YoY).
  • On June 24, 2020, the company announced the key elements of its medium-term plan, INNOVATION 2030.

3Q Follow-Up – WILL GROUP (6089 JP)

By Sessa Investment Research

  • WILL GROUP announced cumulative 3Q FY24/3 consolidated financial results on February 7, and held a results briefing on February 19 hosted by President Yuichi Sumi.
  • This reports examines the details and progress of 3Q results relative to initial plan.
  • Then on February 22, WILL GROUP announced that it has decided to sell all shares in specified subsidiary for Startups, Inc. (7089 TSE Growth, specialized in HR services for venture growth businesses and startup companies), in which it holds the majority stake of 54.1% (1,925,400 shares) as of September 30, 2023.

Is the Emission Data of a Company that Doesn’t Disclose in Annual Securities Report Reliable?

By Aki Matsumoto

  • Corporate Governance Code requires disclosure based on TCFD, and an ISSB-based disclosure system will be discussed in Japan. While interest in disclosing climate change-related information is growing, disclosure hasn’t progressed.
  • In the TSE survey, only one-tenth of the companies that listed Scope 1, 2, and 3 emissions in their integrated reports disclosed them in their annual reports.
  • If a company can’t disclose Scope 1/Scope 2 in its annual securities report, there’s concern that the company may have challenges in data collection and risk delaying management decisions.

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Daily Brief Japan: Outsourcing Inc, JSR Corp, A&D Company Ltd, Beenos Inc, Japan Business Systems , Pca Corp, World Holdings, Mitsubishi Kakoki Kaisha, AS ONE Corporation and more

By | Daily Briefs, Japan

In today’s briefing:

  • Outsourcing (2427) – The OTHER Arb – That One Neat Trick And Its Weird Risks
  • JSR (4185) Tender May Start Next Week
  • JSR Corporation (4185 JP): SUNY RF Responds as JIC Tender Rumoured for a 19 Mar Start
  • A&D Holon Holdings Co Ltd (7745) – Thursday, Dec 14, 2023
  • BEENOS (3328): Q1 FY09/24 Update
  • 1Q Follow-Up – Japan Business System (5036 JP)
  • PCA (9629): Q3 FY03/24 Update
  • WORLD HOLDINGS (2429): Full-Year FY12/23 Update
  • Mitsubishi Kakoki Kaisha (6331): Q3 FY03/24 Update
  • AS ONE (7476): Acquisition of Treasury Shares Via After-Hours Trading And Retirement of The Shares


Outsourcing (2427) – The OTHER Arb – That One Neat Trick And Its Weird Risks

By Travis Lundy

  • Outsourcing Inc (2427 JP) has been an “interesting” risk arb situation. It was launched as a Cheeky, Opportunistic, Low-Priced MBO. Some bumps after launch turned out to be BAU.
  • The stock has not traded above terms since early on in the trade. I expect people are happy to get out. But there is ANOTHER ARB to do here.
  • The OTHER ARB is something quite particular to high float, low activism risk arb trades. In some ways better than the traditional arb, but it has some risks.

JSR (4185) Tender May Start Next Week

By Travis Lundy

  • Just out this AM, an article in Bloomberg (J) says “people familiar with the matter” suggest the Tender Offer could be launched as early as 19 March. 
  • The language regarding the nature of the China regulatory “approval” is different than recent media articles, but they are in the same vein. 
  • Original and updated data, information, grids, etc are shown below. 

JSR Corporation (4185 JP): SUNY RF Responds as JIC Tender Rumoured for a 19 Mar Start

By Arun George

  • Bloomberg reports that JIC will start the JSR Corp (4185 JP) tender as early as 19 March. Separately, SUNY RF filed a response to Inpria/JSR’s 6 March filing last night.
  • My reading of JSR and SUNY RF’s filings suggests that the Court is unlikely to conclude that SUNY RF’s lawsuit will be harmed if JIC proceeds with the tender offer.
  • JIC seems comfortable taking on the litigation risk (if required). The key risk remains timing. For a late April payment, gross/annualised spread is 0.6%/4.0%.   

A&D Holon Holdings Co Ltd (7745) – Thursday, Dec 14, 2023

By Value Investors Club

  • A&D Holon Holdings is a Japanese precision instrument company specializing in industrial measuring, medical equipment, and semiconductor production
  • The company’s semiconductor division is driving high growth and profitability, with expected earnings growth of around 50% over the next two years
  • Despite strong prospects, A&D Holon Holdings is significantly undervalued, trading at low multiples on FY Mar-2024 estimates

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


BEENOS (3328): Q1 FY09/24 Update

By Shared Research

  • Beenos Inc (3328 JP) operates cross-border e-commerce websites that allow mainly individual users to buy and sell goods both in Japan and internationally over the Internet.
  • In FY09/23, BEENOS reported full-year consolidated revenue of JPY32.5bn, operating profit of JPY4.5bn, recurring profit of JPY4.1bn, and a net income attributable to owners of the parent of JPY2.2bn.
  • BEENOS Inc. has announced changes in its consolidated subsidiaries (share transfer).

1Q Follow-Up – Japan Business System (5036 JP)

By Sessa Investment Research

  • In the previous 4Q follow-up report, we examined “Copilot NAVI,” a service released by JBS in November, which includes videos and summary materials as a guide for enterprise users, for Microsoft 365 Copilot, the AI tool embedded in Microsoft 365 applications, to bring efficient answers to users’ instructions and questions through a chat interface (which can be a daunting challenge).
  • JBS followed up in December with interactive workshops to experience Microsoft 365 Copilot before deployment.
  •  In this report, we examine JBS enterprise cloud security initiatives, which are a top priority for cloud IT systems managers.


PCA (9629): Q3 FY03/24 Update

By Shared Research

  • Pca Corp (9629 JP) develops and sells corporate accounting software and other business systems for small and medium-sized companies.
  • Full-Year FY03/23 revenue was JPY13.0bn (-3.0% YoY) due to lower replacement demand for the PCA X series of products, support for which ended in December 2021.
  • PCA Corporation has announced changes to its dividend policy and revisions to its dividend forecast.

WORLD HOLDINGS (2429): Full-Year FY12/23 Update

By Shared Research

  • World Holdings (2429 JP), established in 1993, primarily provides technical staffing and subcontracting services.
  • In FY12/23, revenue was JPY213.7bn, operating profit was JPY10.4bn, recurring profit was JPY10.3bn, and net income attributable to owners of the parent was JPY6.2bn.
  • The company’s forecast for FY12/24 calls for revenue of JPY252.1bn, operating profit of JPY9.0bn, recurring profit of JPY8.6bn, and net income attributable to owners of the parent of JPY4.7bn.

Mitsubishi Kakoki Kaisha (6331): Q3 FY03/24 Update

By Shared Research

  • Mitsubishi Kakoki Kaisha (6331 JP) provides engineering (design, procurement, and construction) services for the buildings of industrial, city gas, and sewage treatment plants.
  • In FY03/23, the company booked orders of JPY53.2bn, revenue of JPY44.6bn, operating profit of JPY2.5bn, OPM of 5.7%, and net income attributable to owners of the parent of JPY3.0bn.
  • Mitsubishi Kakoki Kaisha, Ltd. announced a revision to its full-year FY03/24 earnings forecast.

AS ONE (7476): Acquisition of Treasury Shares Via After-Hours Trading And Retirement of The Shares

By Shared Research

  • AS ONE Corporation (7476 JP) is a specialist trading company that uses a business model focused on catalog sales.
  • In FY03/23, sales were JPY91.4bn (+5.1% YoY), operating profit was JPY11.4bn (+22.0% YoY), recurring profit was JPY11.6bn (+21.6% YoY), and net income was JPY8.1bn (+12.6%YoY).
  • AS ONE Corporation announced the acquisition of treasury shares via after-hours trading (ToSTNeT-3) and retirement of the treasury shares.

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Daily Brief Japan: Roland DG Corp, TSE Tokyo Price Index TOPIX, Duskin Co Ltd, J Trust Co Ltd and more

By | Daily Briefs, Japan

In today’s briefing:

  • Roland DG (6789 JP): Brother (6448 JP)’s Unexpected Competing Hostile Offer
  • Roland DG (6789) – Brother (6448) Launches Hostile Overbid to Taiyo MBO – You Love To See It
  • Will Parent Company Valuations Remain Undervalued Until the Parent-Subsidiary Listing Is Dissolved?
  • Duskin (4665): Q3 FY03/24 Update
  • J Trust (8508): Full-Year FY12/23 Update


Roland DG (6789 JP): Brother (6448 JP)’s Unexpected Competing Hostile Offer

By Arun George

  • Brother Industries (6448 JP) has disclosed an unexpected competing hostile offer for Roland DG Corp (6789 JP) at JPY5,200 per share, a marginal 3.3% premium to the Taiyo-sponsored MBO (JPY5,035).
  • Unlike the Taiyo offer, the Brother offer is pre-conditioned on regulatory approvals and has a proposed start date of mid-May. The Board is evaluating the Brother offer. 
  • The Board’s three options with declining probability are to ask Taiyo for a bump, continue to recommend an unchanged Taiyo offer or recommend the Brother offer. 

Roland DG (6789) – Brother (6448) Launches Hostile Overbid to Taiyo MBO – You Love To See It

By Travis Lundy

  • A month ago, Engagement Investor Taiyo Pacific Partners launched an MBO on Roland DG Corp (6789 JP) after having done a takeover of their former sub years ago.
  • I said it was too cheap. Machinery company Brother Industries (6448 JP) has decided the same, and has announced a hostile/unsolicited overbid 3.3% higher. Tender to start in May. Fun!!!
  • This will almost certainly get bid even higher as people would expect the MBO bidders won’t simply give up. More below.

Will Parent Company Valuations Remain Undervalued Until the Parent-Subsidiary Listing Is Dissolved?

By Aki Matsumoto

  • It’s true that the difference in profit margins between a listed subsidiary that focuses on specific business and a parent company that has different businesses is the difference in valuations. 
  • It will be difficult for a parent company to reverse the valuations of its subsidiaries until the parent company dissolves the parent-subsidiary listing and increases its own profit margins.
  • With respect to corporate governance practices, companies with no major shareholders are included with relatively higher corporate governance scores, but this isn’t as significant difference as it tends to be.

Duskin (4665): Q3 FY03/24 Update

By Shared Research

  • Duskin Co Ltd (4665 JP) operates a Dust Control business where it rents mops and mats to residential and commercial customers through franchisees.
  • In FY03/23, Duskin posted revenue of JPY170.5bn, operating profit of JPY8.6bn, recurring profit of JPY11.4bn, and net income attributable to owners of the parent of JPY7.2bn.
  • Duskin Co., Ltd. announced the cancellation of a portion of its treasury stock.

J Trust (8508): Full-Year FY12/23 Update

By Shared Research

  • J Trust Co Ltd (8508 JP) is a financial services group operating banking and finance businesses in Asia. 
  • In FY12/23, the company reported full-year consolidated operating revenue of JPY114.3bn, operating profit of JPY8.1bn, pre-tax profit of JPY9.8bn, and profit attributable to owners of parent of JPY16.3bn.
  • On February 13, 2024, J Trust Co., Ltd. announced it has resolved on matters concerning the repurchase and cancellation of own shares.

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Daily Brief Japan: Keisei Electric Railway Co, ASICS Corp, Takashimaya, Eiken Chemical, Round One Corp, MS&AD Insurance, Stream Media , Gakken Holdings, Tenpo Innovation and more

By | Daily Briefs, Japan

In today’s briefing:

  • Keisei Electric (9009) Share Buyback – Interesting Dynamics & Opportunity
  • Asics (7936) | Pumping the Brakes
  • Takashimaya (8233): Q3 FY02/24 Update
  • Eiken Chemical (4549) | Activists, Alchemy, and the Pursuit of Profit
  • StubWorld: Keisei’s ToSTNeT-3 Buyback. Stay Bearish
  • Round One (4680): Q3 FY03/24 Update
  • MS&AD Cross-Shareholding – At Least US$20bn of Cross-Shareholding to Sell
  • Stream Media Corporation (4772): Full-Year FY12/23 Update
  • GAKKEN HOLDINGS (9470): Q1 FY09/24 Update
  • Tenpo Innovation (3484): Q3 FY03/24 Update


Keisei Electric (9009) Share Buyback – Interesting Dynamics & Opportunity

By Travis Lundy

  • In late February, Keisei Electric Railway Co (9009 JP) announced a 5.0mm share (2.96%) ¥33bn buyback, to be executed in the following 3 months. That meant likely ToSTNeT-3.
  • I thought that mildly bullish. Shares rose 0.05% the next day. Then we got an OLC offering announcement. I thought that bearish. The stock popped early but fell hard.
  • Today the announcement. It IS a ToSTNeT-3. tomorrow. At ¥6,320/share. But it is an Accelerated Share Repurchase. Which changes things. Or it doesn’t. But it bears watching closely, maybe acting.

Asics (7936) | Pumping the Brakes

By Mark Chadwick

  • On’s quarterly results disappoint, triggering a 10% stock drop. Meanwhile, ASICS’ share price is up 43% YTD despite modest performance.
  • ASICS shareholders advised to consider profit-taking as stock outpaces fundamentals, faces competition from resurging Nike and fast-growing On
  • On’s ambitious growth projections threaten ASICS’ market position, with potential market share parity within three years

Takashimaya (8233): Q3 FY02/24 Update

By Shared Research

  • Takashimaya (8233 JP) was founded in 1831 and is the operator of one of the leading department store companies in Japan.
  • Takashimaya began applying the Accounting Standard for Revenue Recognition from the beginning of FY02/23.
  • Takashimaya Co., Ltd. announced revisions to its full-year earnings forecasts for FY02/24.

Eiken Chemical (4549) | Activists, Alchemy, and the Pursuit of Profit

By Mark Chadwick

  • Two activist investors are now on the shareholder registry of Eiken Chemical. 
  • Eiken has proactively announced a share buyback to return excess cash holdings. 
  • Eiken has a quality underlying business which generates solid FCF yield. Expect higher shareholder returns in the future. 

StubWorld: Keisei’s ToSTNeT-3 Buyback. Stay Bearish

By David Blennerhassett

  • Keisei Electric Railway Co (9009 JP)‘s previously announced buyback is now confirmed to be a ToSTNeT-3 buyback. But also an accelerated share repurchase.
  • Preceding my comments on Keisei Electric are the current setup/unwind tables for Asia-Pacific Holdcos.
  • These relationships trade with a minimum liquidity of US$1mn, and a % market capitalisation >20%.

Round One (4680): Q3 FY03/24 Update

By Shared Research

  • Round One Corp (4680 JP) specializes in running amusement complex facilities in Japan, the US, and China.
  • FY03/23 results: The company reported sales of JPY142.1bn, operating profit of JPY16.9bn, recurring profit of JPY16.7bn, and net income attributable to owners of the parent of JPY9.7bn.
  • In November 2023, the company revised its full-year FY03/24 earnings forecast.

MS&AD Cross-Shareholding – At Least US$20bn of Cross-Shareholding to Sell

By Sumeet Singh

  • The Japanese Financial Services Agency has asked the general insurers to reduce/eliminate their cross-shareholdings.
  • MS&AD Insurance (8725 JP) had a stake over US$100m in at least 29 listed Japanese stocks, amounting to a total of US$17.4bn.
  • In this note, we take a look at its stakes in various companies to see which ones could possibly be candidates for further selldowns.

Stream Media Corporation (4772): Full-Year FY12/23 Update

By Shared Research

  • Stream Media Corporation (TSE Growth: 4772; hereafter, “SMC”) is an entertainment company that handles Korean pop culture content, primarily in Japan.
  • In full-year FY12/23, SMC reported consolidated revenue of JPY8.9bn, an operating profit of JPY182mn, a recurring profit of JPY191mn.
  • SMC forecasts full-year FY12/24 revenue of JPY9.1bn, operating profit of JPY91mn, recurring profit of JPY94mn, and a net income attributable to owners of the parent of JP61mn.

GAKKEN HOLDINGS (9470): Q1 FY09/24 Update

By Shared Research

  • Gakken Holdings (9470 JP) engages in the educational and healthcare and nursing businesses, providing services for demographics ranging from toddlers to the elderly.
  • For FY09/23, revenue was JPY164.1bn, operating profit was JPY6.2bn, recurring profit was JPY6.5bn, and net income attributable to owners of the parent was JPY3.2bn.
  • The company will fundamentally reshuffle its portfolio and concentrate resources on priority areas while rebuilding its education business, and optimize the management structure for each business field to restore profitability.

Tenpo Innovation (3484): Q3 FY03/24 Update

By Shared Research

  • Tenpo Innovation (3484 JP) is a real estate company specializing in restaurant properties.
  • FY03/23 results: In its first year of reporting consolidated results, Tenpo Innovation reported full-year revenue of JPY13.1bn, operating profit of JPY1.2bn, recurring profit of JPY1.3bn, and net income of JPY886mn.
  • Tenpo Innovation Inc. announced plans to start preparations for a transition to a holding company structure through a company split and changes to its trade name.

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Daily Brief Japan: Nippon Express Holdings, Yaizu Suisankagaku Industry, Advantest Corp, JPY, Jafco Co Ltd, T&D Holdings, Monex Group Inc, Lawson Inc, Kumiai Chemical Industry Co and more

By | Daily Briefs, Japan

In today’s briefing:

  • Nippon Express (9147 JP) – Buying the Overhang
  • Yaizu Suisankagaku Industry (2812 JP): 3D Succeeds in Securing a Bump to JPY1,438
  • Advantest (6857 JP): AI Speculation Discounted
  • Global FX & Economics: Not safe yet
  • JAFCO (8595) In the Right Place at the Right Time
  • JAFCO Group (8595): Q3 FY03/24 Update
  • T&D Holdings (8795): Q3 FY03/24 Update
  • Monex Group (8698): Q3 FY03/24 Update
  • KDDI and Lawson: Building an Ecosystem from a Base of Loyalty Points
  • Kumiai Chemical Industry (4996): Q1 Fy06/24 Flash


Nippon Express (9147 JP) – Buying the Overhang

By Travis Lundy

  • The Offering priced today at ¥7,338/share vs ¥8,039/share traded at the close on the day of the announcement. That’s an 8.7% discount for no dilution. 
  • Compared to a broad basket of Peer Baskets (yes, a basket of baskets), the stock has underperformed by 4.2%, and the 3% discount today puts it at 7+% move.
  • Given the relative cheapness, one should be comfortable putting this on if it gets sold off. This is not different to my initial opinion.

Yaizu Suisankagaku Industry (2812 JP): 3D Succeeds in Securing a Bump to JPY1,438

By Arun George

  • Inaba has bumped its Yaizu Suisankagaku Industry (2812 JP) offer by 6.5% to JPY1,438 and lowered the minimum number of shares to be purchased from 66.67% to 60.00% ownership ratio.
  • The bump was forced by 3D Investment Partners increasing its shareholding from 9.78% to 13.81% ownership ratio after the previous JPY1,350 offer was announced on 5 February.
  • While the offer continues to value YSK below book value, Murakami and 3D’s support paves the way for completion. At the last close, the gross spread was 7.1%.  

Advantest (6857 JP): AI Speculation Discounted

By Scott Foster

  • Advantest has dropped back 11.5% from its recent high but is still up 43% year-to-date and up 2.3X from a year ago. Consolidation is likely to continue.
  • Demand for High Bandwidth Memory (HBM) for use with AI processors could lift sales, profits and profit margins to new highs within the next two years.
  • That could bring the projected P/E ratio down from 75.5x FY Mar-24 EPS guidance to 31x FY Mar-26 EPS in a favorable but not unreasonably optimistic scenario. 

Global FX & Economics: Not safe yet

By At Any Rate

  • The yen has been the worst performing currency this year, but has been trading in a tight range around 150 against the dollar.
  • Recent developments suggest the Bank of Japan may make policy changes in March or April, possibly exiting negative rates.
  • Market may be getting ahead of itself with expectations for a hawkish shift from the BOJ, potentially leading to short-lived movements in the dollar-yen pair.

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.


JAFCO (8595) In the Right Place at the Right Time

By Rikki Malik

  • Core business well positioned to benefit from the growth in the Japanese VC industry
  • A good Partner for international firms looking to invest in Japan
  • New direction on Capital Allocation is underappreciated by the market

JAFCO Group (8595): Q3 FY03/24 Update

By Shared Research

  • Jafco Co Ltd (8595 JP) is the largest specialist venture capital company in Japan.
  • In FY03/23, JAFCO reported revenue of JPY14.1bn, an operating loss of JPY4.4bn, a recurring loss of JPY3.0bn, and net income of JPY40.6bn.
  • JAFCO Group Co., Ltd. has announced a partnership with Nomura Asset Management Co., Ltd. to create a new publicly offered investment trust incorporating unlisted shares.

T&D Holdings (8795): Q3 FY03/24 Update

By Shared Research

  • T&D Holdings (8795 JP) , formed in 2004, is Japan’s first life insurance holding company.
  • In FY03/23, ordinary revenues were JPY3.2tn, ordinary loss was JPY74.1bn, and loss attributable to owners of the parent was JPY132.2bn.
  • T&D Holdings, Inc. has announced a change in its president.

Monex Group (8698): Q3 FY03/24 Update

By Shared Research

  • Monex Group Inc (8698 JP) started as online brokerage Monex, Inc. in April 1999 with CEO Oki Matsumoto and Sony Corporation as core investors.
  • For FY03/23, the company reported full-year consolidated operating revenue of JPY79.3bn, net operating revenue of JPY73.3bn, operating profit equivalent of JPY4.8bn, pre-tax profit of JPY4.7bn.
  • Monex Group, Inc. has announced that it will record a gain on fair value remeasurements under the equity method of accounting.

KDDI and Lawson: Building an Ecosystem from a Base of Loyalty Points

By Michael Causton

  • Many are asking why KDDI would want to buy 50% of Lawson, Japan’s third biggest convenience store chain.
  • Some more imaginative analysts suggest this could be just the first step towards KDDI merging with Rakuten in order to beat Amazon.
  • The more likely future is an ecosystem to challenge Rakuten and LY Corp (Yahoo etc), starting with points and payments and evolving to other Fintech, e-commerce and health.

Kumiai Chemical Industry (4996): Q1 Fy06/24 Flash

By Shared Research

  • Kumiai Chemical Industry Co (4996 JP) is an R&D-focused agrochemical manufacturing and marketing company with herbicides occupying a large portion of sales.
  • Overall sales decreased as sales in the mainstay Agricultural Chemicals and Agriculture-Related Businesses fell YoY. Overseas sales accounted for 61.4% of total sales.
  • Operating profit decreased 49.3% YoY. Recurring profit fell 11.6% YoY, due mainly to a drop in earnings of affiliates under non-operating income, despite narrower foreign exchange losses.

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Daily Brief Japan: Dai Nippon Printing, Shinko Electric Industries, TSE Tokyo Price Index TOPIX, Softbank Group, Trial Holdings, Japan Airlines, Pan Pacific International Holdings and more

By | Daily Briefs, Japan

In today’s briefing:

  • Dai-Nippon Printing (7912) – Whoomp There It Is! Part Deux
  • Merger Arb Mondays (11 Mar) – Shinko, JSR, Azure, Genex, OreCorp, Hollysys, CPMC, Vinda
  • EQD | A Systematic Look at the Post Earnings Announcement Drift Across Asia
  • ECM Weekly (11th Mar 2024) – Oriental Land, ARM, Tuhu, Wiwynn, Macrotech, Zomato, Trial Holding
  • Weekly Deals Digest (10 Mar) – Trial, ARM, JSR, Nippon Express, Alumina, Azure, Genex, Vinda
  • JAL Mall: Gold from 30m Mileage Members
  • Pan Pacific International Holdings (7532): Revision to Full-Year FY06/24 Company Forecast


Dai-Nippon Printing (7912) – Whoomp There It Is! Part Deux

By Travis Lundy

  • At end-January 2023 it became clear activist Elliott Management had set its sights on Dai Nippon Printing (7912 JP). The stock popped and people got bullish.
  • I warned about the “complicated” nature of gains going forward here. Three weeks later they announced details of including ¥100bn of buybacks per year for 3yrs. That’s discussed here.
  • I rarely write bearishly about a huge buyback program but from next day open, over 1yr, total return has been 4.9%. Stage 2 starts 11 March with ¥50bn through end-Sep24. 


EQD | A Systematic Look at the Post Earnings Announcement Drift Across Asia

By Nicholas Pezolano

  • A cross-country study on the post earning announcement drift effect.
  • We explore the use of various options-implied analytics to systematically view returns around earnings announcements.  
  • Options-Implied Analytics can provide empowering information to better inform investment decisions.

ECM Weekly (11th Mar 2024) – Oriental Land, ARM, Tuhu, Wiwynn, Macrotech, Zomato, Trial Holding

By Sumeet Singh

  • Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.
  • On the IPO front, Trial Holdings (5882 JP) was hoping for better luck with its listing this time around.
  • For placements, it was a very busy week for a change with most regions, apart from Hong Kong, chipping in.

Weekly Deals Digest (10 Mar) – Trial, ARM, JSR, Nippon Express, Alumina, Azure, Genex, Vinda

By Arun George


JAL Mall: Gold from 30m Mileage Members

By Michael Causton

  • Amidst intense competition in online mall retailing, JAL and ANA both launched their own e-commerce malls last year to replace once popular catalogues.
  • Although a tough market to enter given the competition from the big 3 (Amazon, Rakuten and Yahoo), airlines have distinct advantages over other small malls.
  • In particular, they have data on millions of consumers and access to premium customers willing to spend ¥1 million on a case of wine.

Pan Pacific International Holdings (7532): Revision to Full-Year FY06/24 Company Forecast

By Shared Research

  • Pan Pacific International Holdings (7532 JP)  is one of Japan’s top retailers whose core business is the Don Quijote discount store chain.
  • The company recorded FY06/23 sales of JPY1,936.8bn, operating profit of JPY105.3bn, recurring profit of JPY111.0bn, and net income attributable to owners of the parent of JPY66.2bn.
  • Pan Pacific International Holdings Corporation has announced a revision to its full-year earnings forecast for FY06/24, which was announced on August 16, 2023.

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Daily Brief Japan: ZOZO Inc, Keisei Electric Railway Co, JSR Corp, Comsys Holdings, Nihon Chouzai, TSE Tokyo Price Index TOPIX and more

By | Daily Briefs, Japan

In today’s briefing:

  • Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: NKY, ASX, CSI300, A50, STTF, LowVol30, Value Up
  • Last Week in Event SPACE: Keisei Electric, New World Development, Alumina Ltd, Azure Minerals, TDCX
  • (Mostly) Assia-Pac M&A: Genex, Alumina, Azure Minerals, Vinda, JSR Corp, Shinko Electric Industries
  • Comsys Holdings (1721): Q3 FY03/24 Update
  • Nihon Chouzai (3341): Q3 FY03/24 Update
  • TSE Should Aim for a Quality Market Rather than a Market Where Listed Companies Can Easily Inhabit


Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: NKY, ASX, CSI300, A50, STTF, LowVol30, Value Up

By Brian Freitas

  • There were a few rebalance announcements in the last week and the SSE STAR50 (STAR50 INDEX) and STAR100 Index rebalances were implemented at the close on Friday.
  • There are a lot of rebalances that will be implemented at the close on the coming Thursday and Friday.
  • Another big week of inflows for onshore China ETFs with Central Huijin likely behind the big flows to ETFs tracking the Shanghai Shenzhen CSI 300 Inde (SHSZ300 INDEX)

Last Week in Event SPACE: Keisei Electric, New World Development, Alumina Ltd, Azure Minerals, TDCX

By David Blennerhassett


(Mostly) Assia-Pac M&A: Genex, Alumina, Azure Minerals, Vinda, JSR Corp, Shinko Electric Industries

By David Blennerhassett


Comsys Holdings (1721): Q3 FY03/24 Update

By Shared Research

  • Comsys Holdings (1721 JP) is one of Japan’s three largest telecommunications construction companies.
  • In FY03/23, sales were JPY563.3bn, operating profit was JPY32.1bn, recurring profit was JPY30.9bn, and net income attributable to owners of the parent was JPY19.3bn. Orders totaled JPY553.1bn.
  • Comsys Holdings Corporation announced that it will change its representative directors, effective April 1, 2024.

Nihon Chouzai (3341): Q3 FY03/24 Update

By Shared Research

  • Nihon Chouzai (3341 JP) is an integrated healthcare company whose core business is the operation of dispensing pharmacies.
  • In FY03/23, Nihon Chouzai reported sales of JPY313.3bn, operating profit of JPY7.6bn, recurring profit of JPY7.7bn, and net income attributable to owners of the parent of JPY4.5bn.
  • Nihon Chouzai Co., Ltd. announced the retirement of treasury shares.

TSE Should Aim for a Quality Market Rather than a Market Where Listed Companies Can Easily Inhabit

By Aki Matsumoto

  • Even if TSE requires new listed companies to disclose the reasons for listing and the possibility of raising funds, it’s questionable whether this will motivate them to grow their businesses.
  • Companies that are not eligible for investment in terms of market capitalization and trading liquidity criteria will not be effective if they seek contact with institutional investors.
  • If unlisted stock markets are created, IPOs will increase in size. If listing criteria are raised to tens billion yen in market capitalization, institutional interest in growth market will increase.

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Daily Brief Japan: Nippon Express Holdings, Tokyo Electron, COPRO-HOLDINGS Co Ltd, Tsuruha Holdings, Eisai Co Ltd, Frontier Management Inc and more

By | Daily Briefs, Japan

In today’s briefing:

  • Nippon Express (9147 JP): The Current Playbook
  • Tokyo Electron (8035): Q3 FY03/24 Update
  • 3Q Follow-Up – Copro-Holdings (7059 Jp)
  • Tsuruha Holdings (3391): Tsuruha Joins Aeon and Welcia Holdings in Capital and Business Alliance
  • Eisai Co Ltd (4523 JP): Despite Sluggish Launch, Ambitious Long-Term Target Set for Leqembi
  • 4Q Follow-Up – Frontier Management Inc. (7038 JP)


Nippon Express (9147 JP): The Current Playbook

By Arun George

  • Since the US$260 million secondary placement announcement, Nippon Express Holdings (9147 JP) shares are down 5.3% from the undisturbed price of JPY8,039 per share (1 March).
  • Looking at recent large Japanese placements is instructive to understand the potential trading pattern. So far, Nippon Express shares have followed the pattern of previous large placements.
  • The offering will likely be priced on 11 March. Investors who have participated in previous large Japanese placements tend to secure positive returns.

Tokyo Electron (8035): Q3 FY03/24 Update

By Shared Research

  • Tokyo Electron (8035 JP) is a global manufacturer of semiconductor production equipment (SPE).
  • In FY03/23, the company posted revenue of JPY2.2tn, operating profit of JPY617.7bn, recurring profit of JPY625.2bn, and net income attributable to owners of the parent of JPY471.6bn.
  • Tokyo Electron Limited announced revisions to its full-year earnings forecast for FY03/24.

3Q Follow-Up – Copro-Holdings (7059 Jp)

By Sessa Investment Research

  • COPRO-HOLDINGS. Co., Ltd., (COPRO) announced its 3Q FY24/3 (9 months) results.
  • Key consolidated figures included net sales of ¥17,496 mn (+28.8% YoY), operating profit of ¥1,406 mn (+63.0% YoY), ordinary profit of ¥ 1,480 mn (+70.8% YoY), and profit attributable to owners of parent of ¥936 mn (+79.7% YoY).
  • COPRO-CONSTRUCTION. Co., Ltd., (formerly COPRO-ENGINEERED), which operates the Company‘s core business of construction technician dispatching, proactively increased the number of recruits amid the chronically serious shortage of labor against the backdrop of regulations capping overtime work to start in April 2024 and big construction projects. 

Tsuruha Holdings (3391): Tsuruha Joins Aeon and Welcia Holdings in Capital and Business Alliance

By Shared Research

  • Tsuruha Holdings (3391 JP) , established in 1929, operates a chain of drugstores.
  • In FY05/23, Tsuruha reported sales of JPY970.1bn, operating profit of JPY45.6bn, recurring profit of JPY45.7bn, and net income attributable to owners of the parent of JPY25.3bn.
  • In response to a challenging business environment within the drugstore industry, the three companies have recognized the necessity of fundamentally transforming their business models.

Eisai Co Ltd (4523 JP): Despite Sluggish Launch, Ambitious Long-Term Target Set for Leqembi

By Tina Banerjee

  • Eisai Co Ltd (4523 JP) has come out with ambitious revenue target for Alzheimer’s disease drug Leqembi with new estimates for global eligible patient population and potential indication expansions.
  • By FY27, Eisai expects Leqembi can generate revenue of ¥290B (~$2B) worldwide. Leqembi revenue can potentially ballooned to a whopping ¥1.6T (~$10.8B) by FY33, according to the company.
  • Through January, Eisai could reach just 2,000 patients in the U.S. versus target of 10K patients by March. The sluggish progress of Leqembi makes Eisai’s target difficult to achieve.

4Q Follow-Up – Frontier Management Inc. (7038 JP)

By Sessa Investment Research

  • The financial results were strong, as shown in the table below, and exceeded the company’s forecasts.
  • The M&A Advisory Business was particularly strong in the 4Q, recovering from soft sales slightly down in the first 3 quarters, returning to 8% growth YoY in the 4Q.
  • Sales by other main business segments remained firm, with the Management Consulting Business rising 17% YoY and the Revitalization Support Business up 174% YoY .

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