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In this briefing:
- Yunji (云集) Pre-IPO Review – Poor Disclosure on Data
- ESR Cayman Pre-IPO- First Stab at Valuation
- Yunji IPO Preview: Balance Sheet Points to Waning Engagement
- Xinyi Energy IPO Preview: Second Time Lucky?
- Leong Hup Pre-IPO – Hard to Pinpoint What’s Going to Be the Revenue Driver Going Forward
1. Yunji (云集) Pre-IPO Review – Poor Disclosure on Data
Yunji Inc. (YJ US) is looking to raise about US$200m in its upcoming IPO.
YJ is a membership-based social e-commerce platform. Growth from FY2016 to FY2018 has been stupendous. Revenue has grown at a 218% CAGR while gross profit grew at 175% CAGR. Losses have been shrinking as a percentage of revenue and the company seems to be close to break even.
However, the disclosure of data is poor. There is no clear explanation how the company has achieved such strong growth in FY2018 without having to provide a proportionately larger incentive in the same period.
2. ESR Cayman Pre-IPO- First Stab at Valuation
ESR Cayman (ESR HK) aims to raise up to US$1.5bn in its planned Hong Kong listing, as per media reports. The company is backed by Warburg Pincus and counts APG, the Netherlands’ largest pension provider, as one of its main investors.
In my earlier insights: I touched upon the company’s business model and provided an overview of its operations, ESR Cayman Pre-IPO – A Giant in the Making and talk about the financials and the drivers for each of the three segments, ESR Cayman Pre-IPO – Earnings and Segment Analysis.
In this insight, I’ll look at valuing each of the segments.
3. Yunji IPO Preview: Balance Sheet Points to Waning Engagement
Yunji Inc. (YJ US) is a leading membership-based social e-commerce platform in China which primarily sells merchandise through its Yunji app. Yunji is also referred to as a multi-level revenue sharing platform as the business model is based on providing incentives to members to promote products and invite new members through their social networks. Yunji is seeking to raise $200 million through a Nasdaq IPO.
Our analysis of the balance sheet points to waning member engagement which does not bode well for Yunji’s long-term sustainable growth in a highly competitive market.
4. Xinyi Energy IPO Preview: Second Time Lucky?
Xinyi Energy Holdings Ltd (1671746D HK) has filed IPO prospectus once again to list its solar generation business that was spun-off from its parent company Xinyi Solar Holding Ltd. Xinyi Energy has 9 operational solar farms with a total capacity of ~950MW.
The company is set to acquire additional solar farms of 540MW capacity from its parent company in a separate transaction post IPO.
Xinyi Energy has not indicated the size and pricing of its offer, however, according to various media reports the company is expected to raise nearly HK$570M (around 12% of the previous offering of HK$4.5B). A significant portion of IPO proceeds is expected to be utilised towards upfront payment of 50% for acquiring solar farms from its parent company and the remainder for working capital and debt repayment. Although we have a positive view of the solar energy sector, the IPO pricing will determine our overall view of the company.
5. Leong Hup Pre-IPO – Hard to Pinpoint What’s Going to Be the Revenue Driver Going Forward
Leong Hup International (LEHUP MK) (LHI) plans to raise up to US$400m in its Malaysian IPO. LHI is one of the largest integrated poultry producer in Southeast Asia.
LHI was listed on Bursa Malaysia from 1990 to 2012. Since delisting, it has consolidated its Southeast Asia operations under a single entity and is now looking to relist the larger entity.
While revenue has been growing steadily, margins have been volatile. In addition, its difficult to pinpoint which products are performing well in which geographies. The feedmills business seems to be a more consistent performer as compared to the livestock business. It’s also a larger revenue contributor in the faster growing regions.
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