Category

ECM

Brief IPOs & Placements: Bilibili Placement: Momentum Bodes Well and more

By | ECM

In this briefing:

  1. Bilibili Placement: Momentum Bodes Well
  2. Map Aktif Follow-On Offering – Lace up for a Potential Long Run
  3. Embassy Office Parks REIT Trading Update – Lowest Volume Traded for Any Indian Listing Since 2018
  4. Last Week in GER Research: Lyft, Rakuten, Lynas, Yunji IPO, Xinyi IPO and Ruhnn IPO
  5. Qutoutiao Offering: Funding a Costly Battle

1. Bilibili Placement: Momentum Bodes Well

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Bilibili announced a USD 300 million share placement and a USD 300 million convertible note placement after market close on Monday. This is the first major placement since Bilibili’s IPO in March 2018. In this insight, we will provide our thoughts on the deal and score the deal in our ECM Framework. 

2. Map Aktif Follow-On Offering – Lace up for a Potential Long Run

Financial%20highlights

CVC is looking to raise about US$353m through the sale of about 648m Map Aktif Adiperkasa PT (MAPA IJ) shares in the follow-on offering.

Map Aktif (MAPA) is a sports, leisure, and kids retailer in Indonesia. It is a subsidiary of Mitra Adiperkasa (MAPI IJ).  The selldown might not be totally unexpected as CVC planned to exit its investment by 2020. However, post this selldown it will still have 192m share left.

3. Embassy Office Parks REIT Trading Update – Lowest Volume Traded for Any Indian Listing Since 2018

Share%20price

Embassy Office Parks REIT (EOP IN) raised US$665m in its IPO, making it the first REIT listing for India.

In my previous insights I’ve covered the company background, its projected growth, compared it to its main listed peer and other yield assets in India: 

In this insight, I will re-visit some of the deal dynamics, comment on share price drivers and provide a table with implied valuations.

4. Last Week in GER Research: Lyft, Rakuten, Lynas, Yunji IPO, Xinyi IPO and Ruhnn IPO

Below is a recap of the key analysis produced by the Global Equity Research team. This week, we update on Lyft Inc (LYFT US) now that it is below its IPO price and remind of the potentially muted impact for strategic holder Rakuten Inc (4755 JP). On the M&A front, Arun digs into the conditional deal for Lynas Corp Ltd (LYC AU) from Wesfarmers Ltd (WES AU). With regards to IPO research, we initiate on e-commerce player Yunji Inc. (YJ US) and solar company Xinyi Energy Holdings Ltd (1671746D HK) while we update on the IPO valuation of Ruhnn Holding Ltd (RUHN US)

In addition, we have provided an updated calendar of upcoming catalysts for EVENT driven names below. 

Best of luck for the new week – Arun, Venkat and Rickin

5. Qutoutiao Offering: Funding a Costly Battle

Maus

On Friday, Qutoutiao Inc (QTT US) unveiled plans to raise around $11 million (based on the closing price of $11.45 per ADS) through a public offering of 1.1 million ADS. Also, certain selling shareholders will offer 7.5 ADS in the offering. The public offering comes hot on the heels of the announcement of a $171.1 million convertible loan from Alibaba Group Holding (BABA US) on 28 March.

We remain cautious on Qutoutiao as it faces an inescapable catch-22 as it cannot attract users without increasing its user acquisition spend and it cannot reach breakeven without lowering its user acquisition costs. Overall, we would not participate in the public offering.

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Brief IPOs & Placements: Sea Ltd: Follow-On Public Offering an Opportunistic Fundraising? and more

By | ECM

In this briefing:

  1. Sea Ltd: Follow-On Public Offering an Opportunistic Fundraising?
  2. Lyft IPO Preview: Maybe We’ll Just Walk?

1. Sea Ltd: Follow-On Public Offering an Opportunistic Fundraising?

Se4 public

  • We evaluate the attractiveness of Sea Ltd’s (SE US) US$1 bn follow-on public offering announced last Fri.
  • This offering is a typical opportunistic fundraising as its ADR price has recently surged.
  • At assumed deal price of US$21, SE post deal would trade at 4.6x 2019E P/adjusted sales (excl. 1P e-commerce sales), vs. peers average of 5.2x.
  • We would recommend investors to go for the deal if it is priced at US$20 or lower.

2. Lyft IPO Preview: Maybe We’ll Just Walk?

Lyft%20uber%20eats

Lyft Inc (0812823D US) , a leading ride-sharing company, released its IPO prospectus in order to raise 3bn USD. Our key points are below 

Intro to Lyft

Lyft – a comparison vs. peers

Strengths and Weaknesses

Financials

Get Straight to the Source on Smartkarma

Smartkarma supports the world’s leading investors with high-quality, timely, and actionable Insights. Subscribe now for unlimited access, or request a demo below.



Brief IPOs & Placements: Map Aktif Follow-On Offering – Lace up for a Potential Long Run and more

By | ECM

In this briefing:

  1. Map Aktif Follow-On Offering – Lace up for a Potential Long Run
  2. Embassy Office Parks REIT Trading Update – Lowest Volume Traded for Any Indian Listing Since 2018
  3. Last Week in GER Research: Lyft, Rakuten, Lynas, Yunji IPO, Xinyi IPO and Ruhnn IPO
  4. Qutoutiao Offering: Funding a Costly Battle
  5. PNB Metlife Pre-IPO Quick Take – Doesn’t Stack up Well Versus Its Larger Peers

1. Map Aktif Follow-On Offering – Lace up for a Potential Long Run

Shares%20owned%20by%20cvc%20now

CVC is looking to raise about US$353m through the sale of about 648m Map Aktif Adiperkasa PT (MAPA IJ) shares in the follow-on offering.

Map Aktif (MAPA) is a sports, leisure, and kids retailer in Indonesia. It is a subsidiary of Mitra Adiperkasa (MAPI IJ).  The selldown might not be totally unexpected as CVC planned to exit its investment by 2020. However, post this selldown it will still have 192m share left.

2. Embassy Office Parks REIT Trading Update – Lowest Volume Traded for Any Indian Listing Since 2018

Volumes

Embassy Office Parks REIT (EOP IN) raised US$665m in its IPO, making it the first REIT listing for India.

In my previous insights I’ve covered the company background, its projected growth, compared it to its main listed peer and other yield assets in India: 

In this insight, I will re-visit some of the deal dynamics, comment on share price drivers and provide a table with implied valuations.

3. Last Week in GER Research: Lyft, Rakuten, Lynas, Yunji IPO, Xinyi IPO and Ruhnn IPO

Below is a recap of the key analysis produced by the Global Equity Research team. This week, we update on Lyft Inc (LYFT US) now that it is below its IPO price and remind of the potentially muted impact for strategic holder Rakuten Inc (4755 JP). On the M&A front, Arun digs into the conditional deal for Lynas Corp Ltd (LYC AU) from Wesfarmers Ltd (WES AU). With regards to IPO research, we initiate on e-commerce player Yunji Inc. (YJ US) and solar company Xinyi Energy Holdings Ltd (1671746D HK) while we update on the IPO valuation of Ruhnn Holding Ltd (RUHN US)

In addition, we have provided an updated calendar of upcoming catalysts for EVENT driven names below. 

Best of luck for the new week – Arun, Venkat and Rickin

4. Qutoutiao Offering: Funding a Costly Battle

Financial%20performance

On Friday, Qutoutiao Inc (QTT US) unveiled plans to raise around $11 million (based on the closing price of $11.45 per ADS) through a public offering of 1.1 million ADS. Also, certain selling shareholders will offer 7.5 ADS in the offering. The public offering comes hot on the heels of the announcement of a $171.1 million convertible loan from Alibaba Group Holding (BABA US) on 28 March.

We remain cautious on Qutoutiao as it faces an inescapable catch-22 as it cannot attract users without increasing its user acquisition spend and it cannot reach breakeven without lowering its user acquisition costs. Overall, we would not participate in the public offering.

5. PNB Metlife Pre-IPO Quick Take – Doesn’t Stack up Well Versus Its Larger Peers

Shareholding%20post%20selldown

Pnb Metlife (PNBM IN) plans to raise around US$350m in its IPO via a secondary sale. All the owners plan to sell a part of their stake in the IPO. The deal will likely be launched in 2H19.

While operations have been on the right track in terms of growth and product mix, the company still lags its larger peers on most key parameters. Thus, despite its large distribution network the company has failed to gain market share over the past few years.

In this insight, I’ll do a quick comparison of PNB Metlife versus its listed peers. You can find my prior IPO coverage for the sector at these links:

Get Straight to the Source on Smartkarma

Smartkarma supports the world’s leading investors with high-quality, timely, and actionable Insights. Subscribe now for unlimited access, or request a demo below.



Brief IPOs & Placements: Lyft IPO Preview: Maybe We’ll Just Walk? and more

By | ECM

In this briefing:

  1. Lyft IPO Preview: Maybe We’ll Just Walk?

1. Lyft IPO Preview: Maybe We’ll Just Walk?

Lyft%20uber%20eats

Lyft Inc (0812823D US) , a leading ride-sharing company, released its IPO prospectus in order to raise 3bn USD. Our key points are below 

Intro to Lyft

Lyft – a comparison vs. peers

Strengths and Weaknesses

Financials

Get Straight to the Source on Smartkarma

Smartkarma supports the world’s leading investors with high-quality, timely, and actionable Insights. Subscribe now for unlimited access, or request a demo below.



Brief IPOs & Placements: Embassy Office Parks REIT Trading Update – Lowest Volume Traded for Any Indian Listing Since 2018 and more

By | ECM

In this briefing:

  1. Embassy Office Parks REIT Trading Update – Lowest Volume Traded for Any Indian Listing Since 2018
  2. Last Week in GER Research: Lyft, Rakuten, Lynas, Yunji IPO, Xinyi IPO and Ruhnn IPO
  3. Qutoutiao Offering: Funding a Costly Battle
  4. PNB Metlife Pre-IPO Quick Take – Doesn’t Stack up Well Versus Its Larger Peers
  5. QTT Placement: Liquidity Warrants a Quick Trade

1. Embassy Office Parks REIT Trading Update – Lowest Volume Traded for Any Indian Listing Since 2018

Volumes

Embassy Office Parks REIT (EOP IN) raised US$665m in its IPO, making it the first REIT listing for India.

In my previous insights I’ve covered the company background, its projected growth, compared it to its main listed peer and other yield assets in India: 

In this insight, I will re-visit some of the deal dynamics, comment on share price drivers and provide a table with implied valuations.

2. Last Week in GER Research: Lyft, Rakuten, Lynas, Yunji IPO, Xinyi IPO and Ruhnn IPO

Below is a recap of the key analysis produced by the Global Equity Research team. This week, we update on Lyft Inc (LYFT US) now that it is below its IPO price and remind of the potentially muted impact for strategic holder Rakuten Inc (4755 JP). On the M&A front, Arun digs into the conditional deal for Lynas Corp Ltd (LYC AU) from Wesfarmers Ltd (WES AU). With regards to IPO research, we initiate on e-commerce player Yunji Inc. (YJ US) and solar company Xinyi Energy Holdings Ltd (1671746D HK) while we update on the IPO valuation of Ruhnn Holding Ltd (RUHN US)

In addition, we have provided an updated calendar of upcoming catalysts for EVENT driven names below. 

Best of luck for the new week – Arun, Venkat and Rickin

3. Qutoutiao Offering: Funding a Costly Battle

Revenue%20less%20rewards

On Friday, Qutoutiao Inc (QTT US) unveiled plans to raise around $11 million (based on the closing price of $11.45 per ADS) through a public offering of 1.1 million ADS. Also, certain selling shareholders will offer 7.5 ADS in the offering. The public offering comes hot on the heels of the announcement of a $171.1 million convertible loan from Alibaba Group Holding (BABA US) on 28 March.

We remain cautious on Qutoutiao as it faces an inescapable catch-22 as it cannot attract users without increasing its user acquisition spend and it cannot reach breakeven without lowering its user acquisition costs. Overall, we would not participate in the public offering.

4. PNB Metlife Pre-IPO Quick Take – Doesn’t Stack up Well Versus Its Larger Peers

Cost growth has been contained comission as of premium lhs benefits to total income opex to income chartbuilder

Pnb Metlife (PNBM IN) plans to raise around US$350m in its IPO via a secondary sale. All the owners plan to sell a part of their stake in the IPO. The deal will likely be launched in 2H19.

While operations have been on the right track in terms of growth and product mix, the company still lags its larger peers on most key parameters. Thus, despite its large distribution network the company has failed to gain market share over the past few years.

In this insight, I’ll do a quick comparison of PNB Metlife versus its listed peers. You can find my prior IPO coverage for the sector at these links:

5. QTT Placement: Liquidity Warrants a Quick Trade

Deal%20specific%20april%201st

Qutoutiao Inc (QTT US) announced a USD 100 million share sales by the company and its shareholders, slightly more than two weeks after the lock-up expiration on March 13th.  In this insight, we will provide our quick thought on the deal. 

Get Straight to the Source on Smartkarma

Smartkarma supports the world’s leading investors with high-quality, timely, and actionable Insights. Subscribe now for unlimited access, or request a demo below.



Brief IPOs & Placements: Last Week in GER Research: Lyft, Rakuten, Lynas, Yunji IPO, Xinyi IPO and Ruhnn IPO and more

By | ECM

In this briefing:

  1. Last Week in GER Research: Lyft, Rakuten, Lynas, Yunji IPO, Xinyi IPO and Ruhnn IPO
  2. Qutoutiao Offering: Funding a Costly Battle
  3. PNB Metlife Pre-IPO Quick Take – Doesn’t Stack up Well Versus Its Larger Peers
  4. QTT Placement: Liquidity Warrants a Quick Trade
  5. Zhongliang (中梁地产) Pre-IPO Review – Incredible Growth Bogged Down by Related Party Transactions

1. Last Week in GER Research: Lyft, Rakuten, Lynas, Yunji IPO, Xinyi IPO and Ruhnn IPO

Below is a recap of the key analysis produced by the Global Equity Research team. This week, we update on Lyft Inc (LYFT US) now that it is below its IPO price and remind of the potentially muted impact for strategic holder Rakuten Inc (4755 JP). On the M&A front, Arun digs into the conditional deal for Lynas Corp Ltd (LYC AU) from Wesfarmers Ltd (WES AU). With regards to IPO research, we initiate on e-commerce player Yunji Inc. (YJ US) and solar company Xinyi Energy Holdings Ltd (1671746D HK) while we update on the IPO valuation of Ruhnn Holding Ltd (RUHN US)

In addition, we have provided an updated calendar of upcoming catalysts for EVENT driven names below. 

Best of luck for the new week – Arun, Venkat and Rickin

2. Qutoutiao Offering: Funding a Costly Battle

Maus

On Friday, Qutoutiao Inc (QTT US) unveiled plans to raise around $11 million (based on the closing price of $11.45 per ADS) through a public offering of 1.1 million ADS. Also, certain selling shareholders will offer 7.5 ADS in the offering. The public offering comes hot on the heels of the announcement of a $171.1 million convertible loan from Alibaba Group Holding (BABA US) on 28 March.

We remain cautious on Qutoutiao as it faces an inescapable catch-22 as it cannot attract users without increasing its user acquisition spend and it cannot reach breakeven without lowering its user acquisition costs. Overall, we would not participate in the public offering.

3. PNB Metlife Pre-IPO Quick Take – Doesn’t Stack up Well Versus Its Larger Peers

Persistency ratio have been improving fy16 fy17 fy18 chartbuilder

Pnb Metlife (PNBM IN) plans to raise around US$350m in its IPO via a secondary sale. All the owners plan to sell a part of their stake in the IPO. The deal will likely be launched in 2H19.

While operations have been on the right track in terms of growth and product mix, the company still lags its larger peers on most key parameters. Thus, despite its large distribution network the company has failed to gain market share over the past few years.

In this insight, I’ll do a quick comparison of PNB Metlife versus its listed peers. You can find my prior IPO coverage for the sector at these links:

4. QTT Placement: Liquidity Warrants a Quick Trade

Operating%20metrics

Qutoutiao Inc (QTT US) announced a USD 100 million share sales by the company and its shareholders, slightly more than two weeks after the lock-up expiration on March 13th.  In this insight, we will provide our quick thought on the deal. 

5. Zhongliang (中梁地产) Pre-IPO Review – Incredible Growth Bogged Down by Related Party Transactions

Finance costs and interest rates have fallen total finance costs as pct of revenue average effective interest rates chartbuilder

Zhongliang Holdings (ZLH HK) is looking to raise about US$800m in its upcoming IPO. 

ZLH is a fast-growing  real estate developer in China. Its completed projects are mostly in the Zhejiang Province but its projects under development are spread across the country.

It was highly leveraged in FY2016 as it ramped up its expansion efforts but had been able to reduce it significantly to about 260% net debt to equity levels while effective interest rates on debt has been falling every year.

In this insight, we will look at the company’s operations and financials, identify key corporate governance issues, and share our thoughts on peer valuation.

Get Straight to the Source on Smartkarma

Smartkarma supports the world’s leading investors with high-quality, timely, and actionable Insights. Subscribe now for unlimited access, or request a demo below.



Brief IPOs & Placements: Qutoutiao Offering: Funding a Costly Battle and more

By | ECM

In this briefing:

  1. Qutoutiao Offering: Funding a Costly Battle
  2. PNB Metlife Pre-IPO Quick Take – Doesn’t Stack up Well Versus Its Larger Peers
  3. QTT Placement: Liquidity Warrants a Quick Trade
  4. Zhongliang (中梁地产) Pre-IPO Review – Incredible Growth Bogged Down by Related Party Transactions
  5. CIMC Vehicle (中集车辆): Market Leader of Semi-Trailers but Little Growth Ahead

1. Qutoutiao Offering: Funding a Costly Battle

Maus

On Friday, Qutoutiao Inc (QTT US) unveiled plans to raise around $11 million (based on the closing price of $11.45 per ADS) through a public offering of 1.1 million ADS. Also, certain selling shareholders will offer 7.5 ADS in the offering. The public offering comes hot on the heels of the announcement of a $171.1 million convertible loan from Alibaba Group Holding (BABA US) on 28 March.

We remain cautious on Qutoutiao as it faces an inescapable catch-22 as it cannot attract users without increasing its user acquisition spend and it cannot reach breakeven without lowering its user acquisition costs. Overall, we would not participate in the public offering.

2. PNB Metlife Pre-IPO Quick Take – Doesn’t Stack up Well Versus Its Larger Peers

New business premium split across distribution channels fy16 fy17 fy18 chartbuilder

Pnb Metlife (PNBM IN) plans to raise around US$350m in its IPO via a secondary sale. All the owners plan to sell a part of their stake in the IPO. The deal will likely be launched in 2H19.

While operations have been on the right track in terms of growth and product mix, the company still lags its larger peers on most key parameters. Thus, despite its large distribution network the company has failed to gain market share over the past few years.

In this insight, I’ll do a quick comparison of PNB Metlife versus its listed peers. You can find my prior IPO coverage for the sector at these links:

3. QTT Placement: Liquidity Warrants a Quick Trade

Framework%20highlight

Qutoutiao Inc (QTT US) announced a USD 100 million share sales by the company and its shareholders, slightly more than two weeks after the lock-up expiration on March 13th.  In this insight, we will provide our quick thought on the deal. 

4. Zhongliang (中梁地产) Pre-IPO Review – Incredible Growth Bogged Down by Related Party Transactions

Number of cities with zlh s presence presence in number of cities chartbuilder

Zhongliang Holdings (ZLH HK) is looking to raise about US$800m in its upcoming IPO. 

ZLH is a fast-growing  real estate developer in China. Its completed projects are mostly in the Zhejiang Province but its projects under development are spread across the country.

It was highly leveraged in FY2016 as it ramped up its expansion efforts but had been able to reduce it significantly to about 260% net debt to equity levels while effective interest rates on debt has been falling every year.

In this insight, we will look at the company’s operations and financials, identify key corporate governance issues, and share our thoughts on peer valuation.

5. CIMC Vehicle (中集车辆): Market Leader of Semi-Trailers but Little Growth Ahead

Utilization

CIMC Vehicle, the largest manufacturer of semi-trailers in the world and a subsidiary of CIMC, will start to pre-market its USD300-500 million IPO in Hong Kong, as per media reports. In this insight, we will cover the following topics:

  • Company background
  • Semi-trailer and truck body industry
  • Shareholders and pre-IPO investors
  • Our thoughts on valuation

Get Straight to the Source on Smartkarma

Smartkarma supports the world’s leading investors with high-quality, timely, and actionable Insights. Subscribe now for unlimited access, or request a demo below.



Brief IPOs & Placements: Shenwan Hongyuan (申万宏源) A+H: A Commoditized Broker Business and more

By | ECM

In this briefing:

  1. Shenwan Hongyuan (申万宏源) A+H: A Commoditized Broker Business
  2. Embassy Office Parks REIT – Comparison with AIT and a Look at the Required Yield
  3. Sea Ltd: Follow-On Public Offering an Opportunistic Fundraising?
  4. Lyft IPO Preview: Maybe We’ll Just Walk?

1. Shenwan Hongyuan (申万宏源) A+H: A Commoditized Broker Business

Shcomp

Shenwan Hongyuan filed in November to list in Hong Kong. It is a leading brokerage house in China. With an A-share market capitalization of USD 18 billion, the company plans to issue up to 20% of its shares for an A+H listing. In this insight, we will discuss:

  • Company’s history.
  • Comparison with leading Chinese brokers.
  • Our thoughts on valuation.

2. Embassy Office Parks REIT – Comparison with AIT and a Look at the Required Yield

Cap%20rates

Embassy Office Parks REIT (EOP IN) plans to raise around US$1bn in its India IPO. EOP will primarily hold office assets in Bengaluru, Pune and Noida with a total portfolio size of US$4.2bn. 

In my previous insight, Embassy Office Parks REIT – Good Assets but Projections Might Be a Tad Too Bullish I covered the company background and its projected growth. In this insight, I’ll compare it to its closest listed peer, Ascendas India Trust (AIT SP) and add in the performance of other yield driven listings in India.

3. Sea Ltd: Follow-On Public Offering an Opportunistic Fundraising?

Se4 public

  • We evaluate the attractiveness of Sea Ltd’s (SE US) US$1 bn follow-on public offering announced last Fri.
  • This offering is a typical opportunistic fundraising as its ADR price has recently surged.
  • At assumed deal price of US$21, SE post deal would trade at 4.6x 2019E P/adjusted sales (excl. 1P e-commerce sales), vs. peers average of 5.2x.
  • We would recommend investors to go for the deal if it is priced at US$20 or lower.

4. Lyft IPO Preview: Maybe We’ll Just Walk?

Lyft%20uber%20eats

Lyft Inc (0812823D US) , a leading ride-sharing company, released its IPO prospectus in order to raise 3bn USD. Our key points are below 

Intro to Lyft

Lyft – a comparison vs. peers

Strengths and Weaknesses

Financials

Get Straight to the Source on Smartkarma

Smartkarma supports the world’s leading investors with high-quality, timely, and actionable Insights. Subscribe now for unlimited access, or request a demo below.



Brief IPOs & Placements: Embassy Office Parks REIT – Comparison with AIT and a Look at the Required Yield and more

By | ECM

In this briefing:

  1. Embassy Office Parks REIT – Comparison with AIT and a Look at the Required Yield
  2. Sea Ltd: Follow-On Public Offering an Opportunistic Fundraising?
  3. Lyft IPO Preview: Maybe We’ll Just Walk?

1. Embassy Office Parks REIT – Comparison with AIT and a Look at the Required Yield

Cap%20rates

Embassy Office Parks REIT (EOP IN) plans to raise around US$1bn in its India IPO. EOP will primarily hold office assets in Bengaluru, Pune and Noida with a total portfolio size of US$4.2bn. 

In my previous insight, Embassy Office Parks REIT – Good Assets but Projections Might Be a Tad Too Bullish I covered the company background and its projected growth. In this insight, I’ll compare it to its closest listed peer, Ascendas India Trust (AIT SP) and add in the performance of other yield driven listings in India.

2. Sea Ltd: Follow-On Public Offering an Opportunistic Fundraising?

Se4 public

  • We evaluate the attractiveness of Sea Ltd’s (SE US) US$1 bn follow-on public offering announced last Fri.
  • This offering is a typical opportunistic fundraising as its ADR price has recently surged.
  • At assumed deal price of US$21, SE post deal would trade at 4.6x 2019E P/adjusted sales (excl. 1P e-commerce sales), vs. peers average of 5.2x.
  • We would recommend investors to go for the deal if it is priced at US$20 or lower.

3. Lyft IPO Preview: Maybe We’ll Just Walk?

Lyft%20uber%20eats

Lyft Inc (0812823D US) , a leading ride-sharing company, released its IPO prospectus in order to raise 3bn USD. Our key points are below 

Intro to Lyft

Lyft – a comparison vs. peers

Strengths and Weaknesses

Financials

Get Straight to the Source on Smartkarma

Smartkarma supports the world’s leading investors with high-quality, timely, and actionable Insights. Subscribe now for unlimited access, or request a demo below.



Brief IPOs & Placements: Embassy Office Parks REIT – Comparison with AIT and a Look at the Required Yield and more

By | ECM

In this briefing:

  1. Embassy Office Parks REIT – Comparison with AIT and a Look at the Required Yield
  2. Sea Ltd: Follow-On Public Offering an Opportunistic Fundraising?
  3. Lyft IPO Preview: Maybe We’ll Just Walk?
  4. ECM Weekly (2 March 2019) – Futu, Tiger Brokers, China Risun, China Tobacco, Zhejiang New Century

1. Embassy Office Parks REIT – Comparison with AIT and a Look at the Required Yield

Cap%20rates

Embassy Office Parks REIT (EOP IN) plans to raise around US$1bn in its India IPO. EOP will primarily hold office assets in Bengaluru, Pune and Noida with a total portfolio size of US$4.2bn. 

In my previous insight, Embassy Office Parks REIT – Good Assets but Projections Might Be a Tad Too Bullish I covered the company background and its projected growth. In this insight, I’ll compare it to its closest listed peer, Ascendas India Trust (AIT SP) and add in the performance of other yield driven listings in India.

2. Sea Ltd: Follow-On Public Offering an Opportunistic Fundraising?

Se4 public

  • We evaluate the attractiveness of Sea Ltd’s (SE US) US$1 bn follow-on public offering announced last Fri.
  • This offering is a typical opportunistic fundraising as its ADR price has recently surged.
  • At assumed deal price of US$21, SE post deal would trade at 4.6x 2019E P/adjusted sales (excl. 1P e-commerce sales), vs. peers average of 5.2x.
  • We would recommend investors to go for the deal if it is priced at US$20 or lower.

3. Lyft IPO Preview: Maybe We’ll Just Walk?

Lyft%20uber%20eats

Lyft Inc (0812823D US) , a leading ride-sharing company, released its IPO prospectus in order to raise 3bn USD. Our key points are below 

Intro to Lyft

Lyft – a comparison vs. peers

Strengths and Weaknesses

Financials

4. ECM Weekly (2 March 2019) – Futu, Tiger Brokers, China Risun, China Tobacco, Zhejiang New Century

Upcoming

Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that have been covered by Smartkarma Insight Providers recently, along with updates for upcoming IPOs.

ECM activity seems to be picking up as we get more information on upcoming large IPOs in Hong Kong and the US. 

Starting with Hong Kong, there are a handful of small ongoing IPOs such as Yincheng International Holdings (1902 HK), China Risun (1907 HK), and Zhejiang New Century Hotel Management Group (1158 HK). Yincheng, a small and highly levered property developer, will list next week on the 7th of March. 

But, the upcoming IPOs are the ones that seem to be more exciting with the HKEX filing of ESR Cayman’s draft prospectus. The company is a logistics real estate developer backed by Warburg Pincus and was said to be seeking US$1.5bn in its IPO. There are also Global Switch and OneConnect which seemed to be one step closer to their IPO.

In the US, we are finally getting approvals after the government shutdown starting with the Tencent-backed Futu Holdings Ltd (FHL US) launching its IPO and it will be listing on the 8th of March.

Jumping on the broker IPO bandwagon, Jim Rogers-backed Up Fintech (TIGR US) has also filed with the SEC. Sumeet Singh had already compared the two companies in his note, Futu Holdings IPO Quick Note – Comparison with Tiger Brokers – Same Market, Different Economics.

There are also news reports that Luckin Coffee, a Starbucks competitor in China, has already tapped three banks for its US IPO.

Accuracy Rate:

Our overall accuracy rate is 72.2% for IPOs and 63.7% for Placements 

(Performance measurement criteria is explained at the end of the note)

New IPO filings

  • ESR Cayman (Hong Kong, ~US$1.5bn)
  • Jinshang Bank (Hong Kong, ~US$500m)
  • China Everbright Water (Hong Kong, >US$100m, dual-listing)
  • Up Fintech/Tiger Brokers (the US, >US$100m)

Below is a snippet of our IPO tool showing upcoming events for the next week. The IPO tool is designed to provide readers with timely information on all IPO related events (Book open/closing, listing, initiation, lock-up expiry, etc) for all the deals that we have worked on. You can access the tool here or through the tools menu.

Source: Aequitas Research, Smartkarma

News on Upcoming IPOs

Smartkarma Community’s this week Analysis on Upcoming IPO

NameInsight
Hong Kong
AB InbevAb InBev Asia Pre-IPO – A Brief History of the Asia Pacific Operations – Eeking Out Growth in China
AscentageAscentage Pharma (亚盛医药) IPO: Too Early for an IPO
Ant FinancialAnt Financial IPO Early Thought: Understand Fintech Empire, Growth & Risk Factors
BitmainBitmain IPO Preview: The Last Hurrah Before Reality Bites
BitmainBitmain IPO Preview (Part 2) – King of Cryptocurrency Mining Rigs but Its Moat Is Shrinking
BitmainBitmain: A Counter Thesis
BitmainBitmain (比特大陆) IPO: Running Out of Steam on Mining Rigs (Part 1)
BitmainBitmain (比特大陆) IPO: Value At Risk of Founder’s Belief (Part 2)
BitmainBitmain (比特大陆) IPO: Take-Aways from Founder’s Recent Speech at Tsinghua University (Part 3)
BitmainBitmain (比特大陆) IPO: Intense Competition in the 7nm Mining ASIC Market (Part 4)
ByteDance

ByteDance (字节跳动) IPO: How Jinri Toutiao Paves The Way for a Bigger Empire (Part 1)

ByteDance

ByteDance (字节跳动) IPO: Tiktok the No.1 Short Video App for a Good Reason (Part 2)

China East EduChina East Education (中国东方教育) Pre-IPO – The Company Known for Its Culinary School
China TobacChina Tobacco International (IPO): The Monopolist Will Not Recover
China TobacChina Tobacco International IPO: Heavy Regulation, Declining Margins – A Bit Late to IPO Party
China TobacChina Tobacco Intl (HK) IPO: Proxy For the Chinese Cigarette Consumption
Frontage

Frontage Holding (方达控股) IPO: More Disclosure Needed to Understand Moat and Growth Prospect

Hujiang Edu

Hujiang Education (沪江教育) Pre-IPO – Spending More than It Earns

MicuRxMicuRx Pharma (盟科医药) IPO: Betting on Single Drug in the Not so Attractive Antibiotic Segment
SH Henlius

Shanghai Henlius (复宏汉霖) IPO: Not an Impressive Biosimilar Portfolio 

SH Henlius

HLX02: Innovation Could Overtake 

TubatuTubatu Group Pre-IPO – Performing Better than Qeeka but Growing Much Slower, US$1bn a Stretch
TubatuTubatu Group Pre-IPO – Online -> Online + Offline -> Online -> ?
Viva BioViva Biotech (维亚生物) IPO: When CRO Becomes Early Stage Biotech Investor
South Korea
Ecopro BMEcopro BM IPO Preview: The World’s #2 Player in the NCA High Nickel-Based Cathode Materials
Ecopro BMEcopro BM IPO: Valuation Analysis
KMH ShillaKMH Shilla Leisure IPO Preview (Part 1) – Highly Profitable Operator of Public Golf Courses in Korea
KMH ShillaKMH Shilla Leisure IPO Preview (Part 2) – Valuation Analysis
HomeplusHomeplus REIT IPO – The Largest Ever REIT IPO in Korea
Hyundai AutoeverHyundai Autoever IPO Preview
Hyundai AutoeverHyundai Autoever IPO Pricing: Likely to Be a Dull Event Given No Growth Story & Glovis Merger
Plakor

Plakor IPO Preview (Part 1)

ZinusZinus IPO Preview (Part 1) – An Amazing Comeback Story (#1 Mattress Brand on Amazon)
India
Anmol IndAnmol Industries Pre-IPO Quick Take – No Growth, Generous Payments to Founders
Bharat Hotels

Bharat Hotels Pre-IPO – Catching up with Peers 

CMS InfoCMS Info Systems Pre-IPO Review – When a PE Sells to Another PE… Only One Gets the Timing Right
Crystal CropCrystal Crop Protection Pre-IPO – DRHP Raises More Questions than in Answers
Embassy REITEmbassy Office Parks REIT – Good Assets but Projections Might Be a Tad Too Bullish
Flemingo Flemingo Travel Retail Pre-IPO – Its a Different Business in Every Country
NSENSE IPO Preview- Not Only Fast..its Risky and Expensive
NSENational Stock Exchange Pre-IPO Review – Bigger, Better, Stronger but a Little Too Fast for Some
Mazagon DockMazagon Dock IPO Preview: A Monopoly Submarine Yard in India with Captive Navy Spending
Mrs. BectorMrs. Bectors Food Specialities Pre-IPO Quick Take – Sales for Its Main Segment Have Been Sta

Lodha

Lodha Developers Pre-IPO – Second Time Lucky but Not Really that Much Affordable
LodhaLodha Developers IPO: Large Presence in Affordable Segment Saves Lodha the Blushes in a Sluggish Mkt
IndiaMartIndiaMART Pre-IPO – Getting and Retaining Subscribers Seems to Be Difficult
PolycabPolycab India Limited Pre-IPO – Market Leader with Steady Growth but with a Few Unanswered Question
The U.S.
TigerUp Fintech (Tiger Brokers) Pre-IPO Quick Note – Much Too Reliant on IBKR
Malaysia
QSRQSR Brands Pre-IPO – As Healthy as Fast Food

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