Category

ECM

Equity Capital Markets: LG Energy Solution and more

By | Daily Briefs, ECM

In today’s briefing:

  • Local Battery ETFs Fast Entry Rule Changes: Official Regulatory Filings
  • ECM Weekly (9th Jan 2022) – LG Energy, Hyundai Engineering, JL Mag, 2022 Pipeline, 2021 Performance

Local Battery ETFs Fast Entry Rule Changes: Official Regulatory Filings

By Sanghyun Park

  • The two largest battery-themed ETFs in Korea, TIGER (305540) and KODEX (305720), have confirmed the Fast Entry rules for IPO stocks AND spin-off companies due to equity carve-out (ECO).
  • The official application date for these rule changes is January 26th for KODEX and January 28th for TIGER. LG Energy will be subject to the new Fast Entry rules.
  • For LG Energy, 0.32% of SO will flow through KODEX, and TIGER will be 0.2%. LG Chem will experience a combined passive outflow of 1.8x ADTV for one day.

ECM Weekly (9th Jan 2022) – LG Energy, Hyundai Engineering, JL Mag, 2022 Pipeline, 2021 Performance

By Sumeet Singh


Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Equity Capital Markets: LG Energy Solution, SKonec Entertainment, JL Mag Rare-Earth Co Ltd and more

By | Daily Briefs, ECM

In today’s briefing:

  • LG Energy Passive Flow from Overseas ETFs: Global X Lithium & Battery (LIT)
  • LG Energy IPO – Valuation
  • Skonec Entertainment IPO Preview
  • JL Mag Rare-Earth H-Share Listing: Valuation Insights

LG Energy Passive Flow from Overseas ETFs: Global X Lithium & Battery (LIT)

By Sanghyun Park

  • Given the AUM of the Global X Lithium Battery ETF (ticker: LIT), the potential passive impact on LG Energy and LG Chem should be worthy of our careful attention.
  • If LIT revises its methodology, the timing to include LG Energy is expected to be the April rebalancing.
  • LG Energy will have a 2-3% index weight, welcoming a passive inflow of ₩130-200B (0.2-0.3% of SO). In contrast, ₩232.1B from LIT will likely escape LG Chem, 0.5% of SO.

LG Energy IPO – Valuation

By Mio Kato

  • LG Energy is being benchmarked against CATL for its IPO valuation and we believe this is incorrect.
  • CATL’s position within China’s supply chain and LFP technology should drive a significant premium against other North Asian peers in our view. 
  • If LG Energy were to simply be benchmarked against Samsung SDI it starts to look expensive and while a premium may be reasonable we do not consider it a given.

Skonec Entertainment IPO Preview

By Douglas Kim

  • SKonec Entertainment (276040 KS), which specializes in VR based metaverse technologies, is getting ready to complete an IPO in the Korean stock market in the next several weeks.
  • Currently, Skonec Entertainment has a gray market value of 34,000 won, which is 183% higher than the high end of the IPO price range of 12,000 won. 
  • The company has been one of the first game companies to develop VR based gun shooting games in Korea.

JL Mag Rare-Earth H-Share Listing: Valuation Insights

By Arun George

  • JL Mag Rare-Earth Co Ltd (300748 CH) is a leading producer of high-performance rare earth permanent magnets. It has launched an H-Share listing to raise $570 million at the mid-point. 
  • In JL Mag Rare-Earth Secondary Listing: Magnetic Moments, we stated that it has attractive fundamentals and the secondary listing is worth a closer look. 
  • Our valuation analysis suggests that the H-Share price range is fair. Pricing is expected on 17 January with an H-Share listing on 14 January.

Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Brief IPOs & Placements: Keppel Infrastructure Trust Placement – Scaled Down but Large Deal; Very Well Flagged Deal and more

By | ECM

In this briefing:

  1. Keppel Infrastructure Trust Placement – Scaled Down but Large Deal; Very Well Flagged Deal
  2. Dongzheng Auto Finance (东正汽车金融) IPO Review – Better off Buying the Parent
  3. CanSino Biologics (康希诺) IPO: Valuation Update (Part 3)
  4. Embassy Office Parks REIT IPO – FY19 Revised Down, Yield Propped up by Zero Coupon Bond

1. Keppel Infrastructure Trust Placement – Scaled Down but Large Deal; Very Well Flagged Deal

Previous%20deal

Keppel Infrastructure Trust (KIT SP) plans to raise US$450m via an equity placement and non-renounacable preferential offering. Its sponsor, Keppel Corp Ltd (KEP SP) will subscribe in the placement and the preferential offering to maintain its 18.2% stake.

KIT announced the acquisition of IXOM in Nov 2018 and has been talking about the need to issue equity ever since. Its earlier presentations seem to indicate a preference for raising a large sum via an equity issuance. Furthermore, despite the smaller raise the accretion to DPU is probably only marginal. 

2. Dongzheng Auto Finance (东正汽车金融) IPO Review – Better off Buying the Parent

Dividend

Dongzheng Automotive Finance (2718 HK) is raising up to US$428m in its upcoming IPO. We have covered the background of the company in Dongzheng Auto Finance (东正汽车金融) Pre-IPO Review – Dependent on Dealership Network for Growth

In this insight, we will look into the company’s valuation, compare it to listed auto peers, and run the deal through our framework.

3. CanSino Biologics (康希诺) IPO: Valuation Update (Part 3)

Cansino%20pipeline%20feb%202019

CanSino is a China-based biotechnology company with a focus on vaccine development. In our previous insight (link to Part 1 and Part 2), we have discussed CanSino’s drug pipeline, the competitive landscape, and the valuation. 

As the company is starting pre-marketing, we will provide an updated valuation based on new information obtained from the approved application document. Our base case valuation for CanSino is USD 856 million on a pre-money basis. Majority of the rNPV based SOTP valuation still comes from its meningococcal conjugate vaccine (MCV2 and MCV4). Over the past few months, the company has completed Phase III for MCV4 and submitted NDA (new drug application) for MCV2 candidates.

4. Embassy Office Parks REIT IPO – FY19 Revised Down, Yield Propped up by Zero Coupon Bond

Lock up

Embassy Office Parks REIT (EOP IN) plans to raise around US$680m in its India IPO. Of this, it has already raised around US$125m from Capital Group, who came in as a strategic investor. EOP will primarily hold office assets in Bengaluru, Pune and Noida with a total portfolio size of around US$4.5bn. 

In my previous insights I’ve covered the company background, its projected growth and compared it to its main listed peer and other yield assets in India: 

In this insight, I’ll cover the deal dynamics, compare the revised forecast in the RHP with the earlier one from the DRHP, comment on the yield boost from the zero coupon debt and run the deal through our framework.

Get Straight to the Source on Smartkarma

Smartkarma supports the world’s leading investors with high-quality, timely, and actionable Insights. Subscribe now for unlimited access, or request a demo below.



Brief IPOs & Placements: Dongzheng Auto Finance (东正汽车金融) IPO Review – Better off Buying the Parent and more

By | ECM

In this briefing:

  1. Dongzheng Auto Finance (东正汽车金融) IPO Review – Better off Buying the Parent
  2. CanSino Biologics (康希诺) IPO: Valuation Update (Part 3)
  3. Embassy Office Parks REIT IPO – FY19 Revised Down, Yield Propped up by Zero Coupon Bond

1. Dongzheng Auto Finance (东正汽车金融) IPO Review – Better off Buying the Parent

Dividend

Dongzheng Automotive Finance (2718 HK) is raising up to US$428m in its upcoming IPO. We have covered the background of the company in Dongzheng Auto Finance (东正汽车金融) Pre-IPO Review – Dependent on Dealership Network for Growth

In this insight, we will look into the company’s valuation, compare it to listed auto peers, and run the deal through our framework.

2. CanSino Biologics (康希诺) IPO: Valuation Update (Part 3)

Cansino%20pipeline%20feb%202019

CanSino is a China-based biotechnology company with a focus on vaccine development. In our previous insight (link to Part 1 and Part 2), we have discussed CanSino’s drug pipeline, the competitive landscape, and the valuation. 

As the company is starting pre-marketing, we will provide an updated valuation based on new information obtained from the approved application document. Our base case valuation for CanSino is USD 856 million on a pre-money basis. Majority of the rNPV based SOTP valuation still comes from its meningococcal conjugate vaccine (MCV2 and MCV4). Over the past few months, the company has completed Phase III for MCV4 and submitted NDA (new drug application) for MCV2 candidates.

3. Embassy Office Parks REIT IPO – FY19 Revised Down, Yield Propped up by Zero Coupon Bond

Lock up

Embassy Office Parks REIT (EOP IN) plans to raise around US$680m in its India IPO. Of this, it has already raised around US$125m from Capital Group, who came in as a strategic investor. EOP will primarily hold office assets in Bengaluru, Pune and Noida with a total portfolio size of around US$4.5bn. 

In my previous insights I’ve covered the company background, its projected growth and compared it to its main listed peer and other yield assets in India: 

In this insight, I’ll cover the deal dynamics, compare the revised forecast in the RHP with the earlier one from the DRHP, comment on the yield boost from the zero coupon debt and run the deal through our framework.

Get Straight to the Source on Smartkarma

Smartkarma supports the world’s leading investors with high-quality, timely, and actionable Insights. Subscribe now for unlimited access, or request a demo below.



Brief IPOs & Placements: Dongzheng Auto Finance (东正汽车金融) IPO Review – Better off Buying the Parent and more

By | ECM

In this briefing:

  1. Dongzheng Auto Finance (东正汽车金融) IPO Review – Better off Buying the Parent
  2. CanSino Biologics (康希诺) IPO: Valuation Update (Part 3)
  3. Embassy Office Parks REIT IPO – FY19 Revised Down, Yield Propped up by Zero Coupon Bond
  4. Ruhnn IPO Preview: Hard to Stay Red-Hot for Long

1. Dongzheng Auto Finance (东正汽车金融) IPO Review – Better off Buying the Parent

Dividend

Dongzheng Automotive Finance (2718 HK) is raising up to US$428m in its upcoming IPO. We have covered the background of the company in Dongzheng Auto Finance (东正汽车金融) Pre-IPO Review – Dependent on Dealership Network for Growth

In this insight, we will look into the company’s valuation, compare it to listed auto peers, and run the deal through our framework.

2. CanSino Biologics (康希诺) IPO: Valuation Update (Part 3)

Cansino%20pipeline%20feb%202019

CanSino is a China-based biotechnology company with a focus on vaccine development. In our previous insight (link to Part 1 and Part 2), we have discussed CanSino’s drug pipeline, the competitive landscape, and the valuation. 

As the company is starting pre-marketing, we will provide an updated valuation based on new information obtained from the approved application document. Our base case valuation for CanSino is USD 856 million on a pre-money basis. Majority of the rNPV based SOTP valuation still comes from its meningococcal conjugate vaccine (MCV2 and MCV4). Over the past few months, the company has completed Phase III for MCV4 and submitted NDA (new drug application) for MCV2 candidates.

3. Embassy Office Parks REIT IPO – FY19 Revised Down, Yield Propped up by Zero Coupon Bond

Lock up

Embassy Office Parks REIT (EOP IN) plans to raise around US$680m in its India IPO. Of this, it has already raised around US$125m from Capital Group, who came in as a strategic investor. EOP will primarily hold office assets in Bengaluru, Pune and Noida with a total portfolio size of around US$4.5bn. 

In my previous insights I’ve covered the company background, its projected growth and compared it to its main listed peer and other yield assets in India: 

In this insight, I’ll cover the deal dynamics, compare the revised forecast in the RHP with the earlier one from the DRHP, comment on the yield boost from the zero coupon debt and run the deal through our framework.

4. Ruhnn IPO Preview: Hard to Stay Red-Hot for Long

Group%20rev%20growth

Ruhnn Holding Ltd (RUHN US) is an e-commerce platform which drives sales through KOLs (key opinion leaders). Ruhnn is the largest internet KOL facilitator in China as measured by revenue, the number of online stores and GMV in 2018 according to Frost & Sullivan. Ruhnn is backed by Alibaba Group Holding (BABA US), an 8.6% shareholder, and is seeking to raise $200 million through a Nasdaq IPO.

However, Ruhnn’s rhetoric does not match its financial performance. On balance, we are inclined to give this IPO a pass.

Get Straight to the Source on Smartkarma

Smartkarma supports the world’s leading investors with high-quality, timely, and actionable Insights. Subscribe now for unlimited access, or request a demo below.



Brief IPOs & Placements: Shenwan Hongyuan IPO: Palatable at the Low-End IPO Price Range and more

By | ECM

In this briefing:

  1. Shenwan Hongyuan IPO: Palatable at the Low-End IPO Price Range
  2. Shenwan Hongyuan (申万宏源) A+H: No Reason for a Valuation Premium
  3. So-Young (新氧) Pre-IPO Review – Au Naturel
  4. Tenaga Nasional Placement – Past Deals Have Done Ok but This One Might Not Be as Lucky
  5. Shenwan Hongyuan IPO Preview: Struggling to Stand Out

1. Shenwan Hongyuan IPO: Palatable at the Low-End IPO Price Range

Shenwan Hongyuan Group (H) (1707387D HK) seeks to raise IPO proceeds of $1.16-1.25 billion, which is down from its early indication of a $1.5 billion raise. The IPO was launched with 13 cornerstone investors representing 69% of the deal, at the mid-point of the IPO price range.

In our IPO initiation note, we pointed out that Shenwan Hongyuan’s fundamentals are reflective of a mid-tier firm struggling to stand out. Based on our relative valuation analysis, we would participate in the IPO at most at the low-end of the proposed IPO range.

2. Shenwan Hongyuan (申万宏源) A+H: No Reason for a Valuation Premium

A h%20premium%20change%20post%20listing%20v3

Shenwan Hongyuan started institutional book building today. We have covered the fundamentals of the company in our previous insight (Shenwan Hongyuan (申万宏源) A+H: A Commoditized Broker Business). In this insight, we will discuss:

  • Valuation comparison with peers
  • A-H premium history of Chinese brokers
  • Key metrics of past Chinese brokers listing in the H-share market
  • Concerns of liquidity

3. So-Young (新氧) Pre-IPO Review – Au Naturel

Margins improved gross margin net margin chartbuilder

So-Young (SY US) is looking to raise US$150m in its upcoming IPO. The company filed its prospectus with the SEC on Monday.

The company operates online platforms (mobile, website, and WeChat mini program) for discovering, evaluating, and reserving medical aesthetic services in China. It helps medical aesthetic service providers acquire customers through user generated content and other creative content format.

In this insight, we will look at the company’s business model, analyze its financial and operating performance, review the competitive landscape and point out some questions for management.

4. Tenaga Nasional Placement – Past Deals Have Done Ok but This One Might Not Be as Lucky

Previous%20deals

Khazanah plans to raise around US$260m via selling 85m share in Tenaga Nasional (TNB MK). We have covered three such placements since 2015 and most have ended up doing ok, if not well. 

Out of the three previous placement, Khazanah was the seller for the first two (2015 and 2016). Hence, this deal is unlikely to be a huge surprise. However, the stocks recent performance hasn’t been great and the replacement of the CEO seems to have raised more questions than it answers. 

5. Shenwan Hongyuan IPO Preview: Struggling to Stand Out

Fee%20and%20commissions

Shenwan Hongyuan Hk (218 HK) is a Chinese securities firm which is backed by Chinese state-owned investment firm, Central Huijin, a 57% shareholder. It listed on the Shenzhen Stock Exchange in January 2015 and seeking to raise $1.5 billion through a Hong Kong listing. Shenwan Hongyuan will start book-building on Thursday according to press reports.

Securities firms had a tough 2H18 due to unfavourable stock market conditions and rising competition in China and Hong Kong. In 2019, the share prices of securities firms have markedly risen YTD due to the strong index performance and rising trading volumes. Overall, Shenwan Hongyuan fundamentals are reflective of a mid-tier firm struggling to stand out.

Get Straight to the Source on Smartkarma

Smartkarma supports the world’s leading investors with high-quality, timely, and actionable Insights. Subscribe now for unlimited access, or request a demo below.



Brief IPOs & Placements: CanSino Biologics (康希诺) IPO: Valuation Update (Part 3) and more

By | ECM

In this briefing:

  1. CanSino Biologics (康希诺) IPO: Valuation Update (Part 3)
  2. Embassy Office Parks REIT IPO – FY19 Revised Down, Yield Propped up by Zero Coupon Bond
  3. Ruhnn IPO Preview: Hard to Stay Red-Hot for Long

1. CanSino Biologics (康希诺) IPO: Valuation Update (Part 3)

Cansino%20pipeline%20feb%202019

CanSino is a China-based biotechnology company with a focus on vaccine development. In our previous insight (link to Part 1 and Part 2), we have discussed CanSino’s drug pipeline, the competitive landscape, and the valuation. 

As the company is starting pre-marketing, we will provide an updated valuation based on new information obtained from the approved application document. Our base case valuation for CanSino is USD 856 million on a pre-money basis. Majority of the rNPV based SOTP valuation still comes from its meningococcal conjugate vaccine (MCV2 and MCV4). Over the past few months, the company has completed Phase III for MCV4 and submitted NDA (new drug application) for MCV2 candidates.

2. Embassy Office Parks REIT IPO – FY19 Revised Down, Yield Propped up by Zero Coupon Bond

Lock up

Embassy Office Parks REIT (EOP IN) plans to raise around US$680m in its India IPO. Of this, it has already raised around US$125m from Capital Group, who came in as a strategic investor. EOP will primarily hold office assets in Bengaluru, Pune and Noida with a total portfolio size of around US$4.5bn. 

In my previous insights I’ve covered the company background, its projected growth and compared it to its main listed peer and other yield assets in India: 

In this insight, I’ll cover the deal dynamics, compare the revised forecast in the RHP with the earlier one from the DRHP, comment on the yield boost from the zero coupon debt and run the deal through our framework.

3. Ruhnn IPO Preview: Hard to Stay Red-Hot for Long

Group%20rev%20growth

Ruhnn Holding Ltd (RUHN US) is an e-commerce platform which drives sales through KOLs (key opinion leaders). Ruhnn is the largest internet KOL facilitator in China as measured by revenue, the number of online stores and GMV in 2018 according to Frost & Sullivan. Ruhnn is backed by Alibaba Group Holding (BABA US), an 8.6% shareholder, and is seeking to raise $200 million through a Nasdaq IPO.

However, Ruhnn’s rhetoric does not match its financial performance. On balance, we are inclined to give this IPO a pass.

Get Straight to the Source on Smartkarma

Smartkarma supports the world’s leading investors with high-quality, timely, and actionable Insights. Subscribe now for unlimited access, or request a demo below.



Brief IPOs & Placements: Shenwan Hongyuan (申万宏源) A+H: No Reason for a Valuation Premium and more

By | ECM

In this briefing:

  1. Shenwan Hongyuan (申万宏源) A+H: No Reason for a Valuation Premium
  2. So-Young (新氧) Pre-IPO Review – Au Naturel
  3. Tenaga Nasional Placement – Past Deals Have Done Ok but This One Might Not Be as Lucky
  4. Shenwan Hongyuan IPO Preview: Struggling to Stand Out
  5. Guotai Junan Placement: A Reasonable Price for Reasonable Performance

1. Shenwan Hongyuan (申万宏源) A+H: No Reason for a Valuation Premium

A h%20premium%20change%20post%20listing%20v3

Shenwan Hongyuan started institutional book building today. We have covered the fundamentals of the company in our previous insight (Shenwan Hongyuan (申万宏源) A+H: A Commoditized Broker Business). In this insight, we will discuss:

  • Valuation comparison with peers
  • A-H premium history of Chinese brokers
  • Key metrics of past Chinese brokers listing in the H-share market
  • Concerns of liquidity

2. So-Young (新氧) Pre-IPO Review – Au Naturel

Fy2018 revenue breakdown rmbm  chartbuilder

So-Young (SY US) is looking to raise US$150m in its upcoming IPO. The company filed its prospectus with the SEC on Monday.

The company operates online platforms (mobile, website, and WeChat mini program) for discovering, evaluating, and reserving medical aesthetic services in China. It helps medical aesthetic service providers acquire customers through user generated content and other creative content format.

In this insight, we will look at the company’s business model, analyze its financial and operating performance, review the competitive landscape and point out some questions for management.

3. Tenaga Nasional Placement – Past Deals Have Done Ok but This One Might Not Be as Lucky

Anr

Khazanah plans to raise around US$260m via selling 85m share in Tenaga Nasional (TNB MK). We have covered three such placements since 2015 and most have ended up doing ok, if not well. 

Out of the three previous placement, Khazanah was the seller for the first two (2015 and 2016). Hence, this deal is unlikely to be a huge surprise. However, the stocks recent performance hasn’t been great and the replacement of the CEO seems to have raised more questions than it answers. 

4. Shenwan Hongyuan IPO Preview: Struggling to Stand Out

Ebit%20margin

Shenwan Hongyuan Hk (218 HK) is a Chinese securities firm which is backed by Chinese state-owned investment firm, Central Huijin, a 57% shareholder. It listed on the Shenzhen Stock Exchange in January 2015 and seeking to raise $1.5 billion through a Hong Kong listing. Shenwan Hongyuan will start book-building on Thursday according to press reports.

Securities firms had a tough 2H18 due to unfavourable stock market conditions and rising competition in China and Hong Kong. In 2019, the share prices of securities firms have markedly risen YTD due to the strong index performance and rising trading volumes. Overall, Shenwan Hongyuan fundamentals are reflective of a mid-tier firm struggling to stand out.

5. Guotai Junan Placement: A Reasonable Price for Reasonable Performance

Ebit%20margin

Guotai Junan Securities (H) (2611 HK), a Chinese securities firm, has launched a primary placement to raise HK$2.7 billion ($345 million) at a placing price of HK$16.34. The placing price is a 7% discount to the last close price of HK$17.64.

In 2019, the share prices of Chinese securities firms have markedly risen YTD due to the strong index performance and rising trading volumes. We believe Guotai Junan’s fundamentals are reasonable due to its mid-tier revenue growth and top-quartile margins. Overall, we would participate in the placing.

Get Straight to the Source on Smartkarma

Smartkarma supports the world’s leading investors with high-quality, timely, and actionable Insights. Subscribe now for unlimited access, or request a demo below.



Brief IPOs & Placements: Ruhnn IPO Preview: Hard to Stay Red-Hot for Long and more

By | ECM

In this briefing:

  1. Ruhnn IPO Preview: Hard to Stay Red-Hot for Long

1. Ruhnn IPO Preview: Hard to Stay Red-Hot for Long

Group%20rev%20growth

Ruhnn Holding Ltd (RUHN US) is an e-commerce platform which drives sales through KOLs (key opinion leaders). Ruhnn is the largest internet KOL facilitator in China as measured by revenue, the number of online stores and GMV in 2018 according to Frost & Sullivan. Ruhnn is backed by Alibaba Group Holding (BABA US), an 8.6% shareholder, and is seeking to raise $200 million through a Nasdaq IPO.

However, Ruhnn’s rhetoric does not match its financial performance. On balance, we are inclined to give this IPO a pass.

Get Straight to the Source on Smartkarma

Smartkarma supports the world’s leading investors with high-quality, timely, and actionable Insights. Subscribe now for unlimited access, or request a demo below.