Category

ECM

Daily Brief ECM: Hyundai Heavy Industries Block – Not Well Flagged and Recent Korean Deals Haven’t Done Well and more

By | Daily Briefs, ECM

In today’s briefing:

  • Hyundai Heavy Industries Block – Not Well Flagged and Recent Korean Deals Haven’t Done Well
  • Giant Biogene Placement – Has Been Doing Well but Doesn’t Need the Cash


Hyundai Heavy Industries Block – Not Well Flagged and Recent Korean Deals Haven’t Done Well

By Ethan Aw


Giant Biogene Placement – Has Been Doing Well but Doesn’t Need the Cash

By Sumeet Singh

  • Giant Biogene (2367 HK) aims to raise up to US$205m via a top-up placement.
  • We have followed the company since listing and its recent performance has been great. Although it doesn’t seem to need the cash.
  • In this note, we will run the deal through our ECM framework and talk about the recent updates.

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Daily Brief ECM: Nihon Kohden (6849 JP): ¥10B Buyback Plan And Stock Split; Japan and US to Drive Business Growth and more

By | Daily Briefs, ECM

In today’s briefing:

  • Nihon Kohden (6849 JP): ¥10B Buyback Plan And Stock Split; Japan and US to Drive Business Growth
  • Nexus Select Trust IPO Lockup Expiry – US$1.5bn Stake Comes Free. Will Likely Be a Coordinated Exit
  • Lalatech Holdings Limited Pre-IPO – Refiling Updates – Continues to Improve, Valuation Gap Narrowing


Nihon Kohden (6849 JP): ¥10B Buyback Plan And Stock Split; Japan and US to Drive Business Growth

By Tina Banerjee

  • In FY25, Nihon Kohden (6849 JP) guided for domestic revenue of ¥147B, up 3% YoY. The demand for patient monitors and treatment equipment is expected to remain steady.
  • Nihon Kohden expects North America business to report a revenue CAGR of 11% (fastest among all the other regions) during FY24–27, outpacing mid-single-digit growth of the market.
  • The company announced ¥10B buyback plan to repurchase up to 6M shares, representing 3.57% of total number of issued shares from August 5, 2024, to March 31, 2025.

Nexus Select Trust IPO Lockup Expiry – US$1.5bn Stake Comes Free. Will Likely Be a Coordinated Exit

By Sumeet Singh

  • Nexus Select Trust (NST IN) raised around US$391m in its India IPO in May 2023.
  • NST is a REIT with a portfolio of 17 Grade A urban consumption centers. Its portfolio covers retail malls, office assets, hospitality assets and a renewable power plant. 
  • In this note, we talk about the upcoming lock-up expiry and possible deal dynamics.

Lalatech Holdings Limited Pre-IPO – Refiling Updates – Continues to Improve, Valuation Gap Narrowing

By Sumeet Singh

  • Lalatech Holdings is looking to raise about US$1bn in its upcoming HK IPO.
  • Lalatech operates via a marketplace model serving merchants and carriers. Its platform facilitates closed-loop transactions from online shipping order booking to intelligent order matching, and automated dispatching to after-sale services.
  • We have looked at the company’s past performance in our earlier notes. In this note we will talk about the updates from its refiling.

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Daily Brief ECM: YUUUGE Modec (6269) Offering To Stay Listed in TSE Prime – Effectively a Re-IPO and more

By | Daily Briefs, ECM

In today’s briefing:

  • YUUUGE Modec (6269) Offering To Stay Listed in TSE Prime – Effectively a Re-IPO
  • MODEC (6296 JP): A US$535 Million Secondary Offering
  • Modec Placement – Deal Seems a Little Opportunistic but Not Particularly Expensive
  • Aadhar Housing Finance IPO Trading – More Loved by Institutional Investors than Retail
  • Belstar Microfinance Limited Pre-IPO Tearsheet


YUUUGE Modec (6269) Offering To Stay Listed in TSE Prime – Effectively a Re-IPO

By Travis Lundy

  • In March, Modec Inc (6269 JP) announced the TSE had said Modec at 29.3% (end-Dec-23) was below the required 35% tradable shares level required for continued listing on TSE Prime. 
  • It announced a “Basic Plan” to comply with the criteria which involved convincing one of the three major corporate holders to sell some. They needed to sell about 6%.
  • Mitsui E&S has announced it will sell 32%, and 37% including greenshoe. This is overdoing it in a huge way. Mitsui E&S is getting out. This is a re-IPO.

MODEC (6296 JP): A US$535 Million Secondary Offering

By Arun George

  • Modec Inc (6269 JP) has announced a secondary offering of up to 25.2 million shares (including overallotment). The largest shareholder, Mitsui E&S Holdings (7003 JP), is the seller.
  • MODEC’s goal with the secondary offering is to reconfigure its shareholder mix to have a diverse base of shareholders who support its long-term strategies and a better tradable share ratio.
  • Looking at recent large Japanese placements is instructive for understanding the potential offer price. The pricing date will likely fall between 22 and 28 May (likely 22 May).

Modec Placement – Deal Seems a Little Opportunistic but Not Particularly Expensive

By Ethan Aw

  • Mitsui E&S Holdings (7003 JP) is looking to raise approximately US$451m through a secondary follow-on offering, via selling approximately 21.9m shares (32% of TSO) of Modec Inc (6269 JP)’s stock. 
  • The deal is a large one to digest at 81 days of three month ADV. 
  • In this note, we will talk about the placement and run the deal through our ECM framework.

Aadhar Housing Finance IPO Trading – More Loved by Institutional Investors than Retail

By Sumeet Singh

  • Aadhar Housing Finance(AHF) raised around US$360m in its India IPO, via selling a mix of primary and secondary shares.
  • AHF is focused on the low income housing segments (ticket size less than INR1.5m) in India. It offers a range of mortgage-related loan products.
  • We have looked at the company’s performance and valuation in our past notes. In this note, we talk about the trading dynamics.

Belstar Microfinance Limited Pre-IPO Tearsheet

By Clarence Chu

  • Belstar Microfinance Ltd (3624918Z IN) is looking to raise US$156m in its upcoming India IPO. The bookrunners on the deal are ICICI Securities, Axis Capital, HDFC Bank, SBI Capital Markets.
  • Belstar Microfinance (Belstar) is a non-banking finance company (NBFC) in India with a focus on furnishing micro-enterprise loans.
  • As per the CRISIL report, the firm was the ninth largest NBFC – Micro Finance Institution (NBFC-MFI) in terms of assets under management (AUM) as of Dec 2023.

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Daily Brief ECM: Innospace IPO Valuation Analysis and more

By | Daily Briefs, ECM

In today’s briefing:

  • Innospace IPO Valuation Analysis
  • Olympus Corp (7733 JP): ¥100B Buyback Plan Offers an Attractive Exit Opportunity Amid Bleak Outlook
  • Breton Technology Pre-IPO Tearsheet
  • Go Digit General Insurance IPO – Growth Remains Strong, Valuation Isn’t Cheap
  • TBO Tek IPO Trading – Has One of the Highest Subscription Rates so Far This Year
  • Chongho Bridge Pre-IPO – Broad Offering Catered to Rural Consumers, However, Market Is Fragmented


Innospace IPO Valuation Analysis

By Douglas Kim

  • Our base case valuation of Innospace is target price of 51,481 won per share (12 month view), which is 28% higher than the midpoint of the IPO valuation range.
  • We estimate Innospace to generate sales of 1.8 billion won in 2024, 28.7 billion won in 2025, and 58.3 billion won in 2026.
  • Innospace is involved in the satellite launch vehicle production and launch service business.

Olympus Corp (7733 JP): ¥100B Buyback Plan Offers an Attractive Exit Opportunity Amid Bleak Outlook

By Tina Banerjee

  • Olympus Corp (7733 JP) has announced a buyback plan for up to 60M shares, representing 5.15% of outstanding shares, by spending ¥100B from May 13 to December 31, 2024.
  • The company has posted mixed FY24 results, with revenue beating and operating and net profits missing guidance. Olympus has guided for just 9% revenue growth for FY25.
  • Overall business outlook of the company seems to be bleak. With limited upside potential expected, it will be wise to tender shares through the company’s buyback offer.

Breton Technology Pre-IPO Tearsheet

By Ethan Aw

  • Breton Technology (1884270D CH) is looking to raise up to US$200m in its upcoming HK IPO. The deal will be run by CICC and CMB International.
  • Breton Technology is a clean energy solution provider in China, focusing on the design, development and commercialization of engineering machinery powered by new energy sources. 
  • Such engineering machinery includes battery-electric loaders and wide-body dump trucks, each offering a variety of payload and battery capacities. 

Go Digit General Insurance IPO – Growth Remains Strong, Valuation Isn’t Cheap

By Sumeet Singh

  • Go Digit General Insurance is looking to raise around US$315m in its India IPO.
  • Go Digit General Insurance is a digital full stack insurance company, offering motor insurance, health insurance, travel insurance, property insurance, marine insurance, liability insurance and other insurance products.
  • We have looked at the company’s performance in our past note. In this note, we talk about the refiling updates and valuations.

TBO Tek IPO Trading – Has One of the Highest Subscription Rates so Far This Year

By Ethan Aw

  • TBO Tek (0395045D IN) raised around US$186m in its India IPO, after pricing the deal at the top end of the range at INR920/share.
  • TBO Tek is a global travel distribution platform. Its two-sided technology platform serves companies involved in the travel industry such as hotels, airlines, travel agencies and travel management companies.
  • We have looked at various aspects of the deal in our previous notes. In this note, we talk about demand and trading dynamics.

Chongho Bridge Pre-IPO – Broad Offering Catered to Rural Consumers, However, Market Is Fragmented

By Clarence Chu

  • Chongho Bridge (2314866D CH) is looking to raise about US$500m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO.
  • Chongho Bridge (CB) is an integrated services provider to China’s rural population. It offers rural inclusive credit services, agricultural production services, rural consumer goods and rural clean energy services.
  • In this note, we look at the firm’s past performance.

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Daily Brief ECM: ZEEKR IPO: Strong First-Day Return and Upsized Offering and more

By | Daily Briefs, ECM

In today’s briefing:

  • ZEEKR IPO: Strong First-Day Return and Upsized Offering
  • ECM Weekly (13th May 2024) – Hyundai Marine, Zeekr, Swiggy, Indegene, Aadhar, TBO, Wuxi XDC, ASMedia


ZEEKR IPO: Strong First-Day Return and Upsized Offering

By Andrei Zakharov

  • ZEEKR, a rapidly growing premium EV maker, has successfully completed its IPO and raised ~$441M. The offering was priced at the top of the range at $21 per share.
  • The company sold a total of 21M ADSs, up from the initial target of 17.5M shares. ZEEKR’s stock soared more than 30% following its strong debut on NYSE on Friday.
  • Geely Auto, Mobileye and CATL have acquired ~14.3M ADSs and overall investor sentiment was positive. I believe ZEEKR may succeed as a high-volume EV maker worldwide.

ECM Weekly (13th May 2024) – Hyundai Marine, Zeekr, Swiggy, Indegene, Aadhar, TBO, Wuxi XDC, ASMedia

By Sumeet Singh

  • Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.
  • On the IPO front, after a stellar showing by HD Hyundai Marine Solution (443060 KS), the coming week will be a busy one for India listings.
  • On the placement front, there were no major deals during the week. We did look at Asmedia Technology (5269 TT) planned GDR, and Wuxi XDC’s upcoming lockup expiry.

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Daily Brief ECM: Zeekr IPO Trading – Not as Cheap as It Looks but Float Is Tiny and more

By | Daily Briefs, ECM

In today’s briefing:

  • Zeekr IPO Trading – Not as Cheap as It Looks but Float Is Tiny
  • Aadhar Housing Finance IPO | Takeaways from Branch Visits
  • Indegene IPO Trading – High Anchor Quality + Strong Demand, Expect a Pop on Debut


Zeekr IPO Trading – Not as Cheap as It Looks but Float Is Tiny

By Sumeet Singh

  • ZEEKR (ZK US), a premium EV brand by Geely, raised around US$440m in its US listing, after the deal was upsized and priced at the top.
  • Zeekr was formed in Mar 2021 as a JV between Geely and its founder. Its first model was launched in Apr 21 with deliveries starting in Oct 21.
  • We have looked at the company’s past performance and provided our thoughts on valuations in our earlier notes. In this note, we talk about the trading dynamics.

Aadhar Housing Finance IPO | Takeaways from Branch Visits

By Pranav Bhavsar

  • Branches visited – Ajmer, Bengaluru, Mandya, Mysuru, Jaipur, Solapur, Pimpri and Pune.
  • Business growth is driven by taking calls that peers are reluctant to take with regards to property and incomes.
  • Lack of team and increasing competition are primary concerns that also warrant attention. 

Indegene IPO Trading – High Anchor Quality + Strong Demand, Expect a Pop on Debut

By Clarence Chu

  • Indegene Limited (1864095D IN) raised around US$220m in its India IPO, via selling a mix of primary and secondary shares.
  • Indegene is a “digital-first” commercialisation firm with an exclusive focus on the global life sciences industry.
  • We had looked at the firm’s past performance and shared our thoughts on Indegene’s valuation in earlier notes. In this note, we will look at the trading dynamics.

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Daily Brief ECM: Shouhui Tech Pre-IPO – Profitability Recovered but Hardly Stands Out as a Middleman and more

By | Daily Briefs, ECM

In today’s briefing:

  • Shouhui Tech Pre-IPO – Profitability Recovered but Hardly Stands Out as a Middleman


Shouhui Tech Pre-IPO – Profitability Recovered but Hardly Stands Out as a Middleman

By Ethan Aw

  • Shouhui Tech (SHOU HK) is looking to raise around US$200m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO.
  • Shouhui Tech (Shouhui) is an online life and health insurance intermediary service provider in China.
  • In this note, we talk about the firm’s historical performance.

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Daily Brief ECM: Swiggy Pre-IPO Early Look – Innovation Leader and more

By | Daily Briefs, ECM

In today’s briefing:

  • Swiggy Pre-IPO Early Look – Innovation Leader, Profitability Laggard
  • Innospace IPO Preview
  • ICTK IPO Book Building Results Analysis
  • SK Finance Pre-IPO Tearsheet
  • Games Global IPO: Strong Profitability and Impressive Portfolios of IGaming Content


Swiggy Pre-IPO Early Look – Innovation Leader, Profitability Laggard

By Sumeet Singh

  • Swiggy aims to raise US$1.25bn in its upcoming India IPO. The company has filed confidentially for its IPO, which is likely to be launched towards the end of the year.
  • Swiggy, along with Zomato, operates a duopoly that has come to dominate the food delivery market in India. In 1H24, Swiggy serviced over 274,000 restaurants via its 370,000 delivery partners.
  • In this note, we will take an early look at the company based on the publicly available financials. 

Innospace IPO Preview

By Douglas Kim

  • Innospace is getting ready to complete its IPO in June 2024. According to bankers’ valuation, the implied market cap of Innospace is from 347 billion won to 434 billion won.
  • Innospace engages in the satellite launch vehicle production and launch service business.
  • The company estimates its sales to increase from 0.2 billion won in 2023 to 2.0 billion won in 2024, 47.8 billion won in 2025, and 97.2 billion won in 2026.

ICTK IPO Book Building Results Analysis

By Douglas Kim

  • ICTK reported excellent book building results. ICTK’s IPO price has been determined at 20,000 won, which is 25% higher than the high end of the IPO price range.
  • ICTK is a security company specializing in Internet of Things (IoT) based on physical copy prevention technology called PUF which is a cutting-edge technology during the chip manufacturing process.
  • Our base case valuation is implied market cap of 376.8 billion won or target price of 28,694 won, which is 43% higher than the IPO price (20,000 won).

SK Finance Pre-IPO Tearsheet

By Clarence Chu

  • SK Finance Limited (0893736D IN) is looking to raise US$260m in its upcoming India IPO. The bookrunners on the deal are Kotak, Jefferies, Motilal Oswal, and Nomura.
  • SK Finance is a non-deposit non-banking finance company middle layer (NBFC ML) operating in two main verticals, vehicle financing and financing for micro, small and medium enterprises (MSMEs).
  • As per the CRISIL report in the DRHP, the firm was the fastest growing player in the vehicle financing and MSME financing segments based on AUM growth over FY21-23.

Games Global IPO: Strong Profitability and Impressive Portfolios of IGaming Content

By Andrei Zakharov

  • Games Global, a promising iGaming content provider and B2B online gaming supplier, set terms for its U.S. IPO. The IPO price is expected to be between $16 and $19/share.
  • With the most recent F-1/A, the company may raise ~$114M at the high end of the range at $19/share. Zinnia Limited sells additional 8.5M shares in this offering.   
  • Games Global has created an impressive portfolios of iGaming content through a series of successful acquisitions, and I see upside potential vs. IPO price of $17.50 at the midpoint.

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Daily Brief ECM: CaoCao Inc Pre-IPO Tearsheet and more

By | Daily Briefs, ECM

In today’s briefing:

  • CaoCao Inc Pre-IPO Tearsheet


CaoCao Inc Pre-IPO Tearsheet

By Clarence Chu

  • CaoCao Inc (1646553D CH) is looking to raise around US$300m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO. The bookrunners on the deal are Huatai, ABC International, and GF Securities.
  • CaoCao Inc (CaoCao) is a ride-hailing firm incubated by the Zhejiang Geely Holding Group (Geely).
  • According to Frost & Sullivan (F&S), the firm has consistently ranked as the top three ride hailing platforms in China based on gross transaction value (GTV) between 2021-2023.

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Daily Brief ECM: Lalatech IPO: New Filing Shows March From Losses To Profits Between 2021 and 2023 and more

By | Daily Briefs, ECM

In today’s briefing:

  • Lalatech IPO: New Filing Shows March From Losses To Profits Between 2021 and 2023
  • Aadhar Housing Finance IPO – Larger and Slower, at a Reasonable Discount
  • Zeekr IPO – Missed Targets and Related Party Deals – We Would Stick to the Bottom-End
  • HD Hyundai Marine Solution IPO Trading – Strong Demand and Peers Continue to Rise


Lalatech IPO: New Filing Shows March From Losses To Profits Between 2021 and 2023

By Daniel Hellberg

  • In this insight we show drivers of LalaTech’s +US$1bn turnaround in OpInc
  • We also evaluate which drivers are likely to generate future improvements
  • Lalatech won’t repeat incredible 2021-23 CoR, OpEx performances, in our view

Aadhar Housing Finance IPO – Larger and Slower, at a Reasonable Discount

By Sumeet Singh

  • Aadhar Housing Finance (AHF) is now looking to raise around US$360m in its India IPO, via selling a mix of primary and secondary shares.
  • AHF is focused on the low income housing segments (ticket size less than INR1.5m) in India. It offers a range of mortgage-related loan products.
  • We have looked at the company’s performance in our past note. In this note, we talk about valuations.

Zeekr IPO – Missed Targets and Related Party Deals – We Would Stick to the Bottom-End

By Sumeet Singh

  • ZEEKR (ZK US), a premium EV brand by Geely Auto (175 HK), aims to raise around US$370m in its US listing.
  • Zeekr was formed in Mar 2021 as a JV between Geely and its founder. Its first model was launched in Apr 21 with deliveries starting in Oct 21.
  • We have looked at the company’s past performance in our earlier notes. In this note, we talk about the updates from its recent filings and have a relook at valuations.

HD Hyundai Marine Solution IPO Trading – Strong Demand and Peers Continue to Rise

By Ethan Aw

  • HD Hyundai Marine Solution (443060 KS) had raised around US$539m in its Korean IPO, after pricing the deal at the top end of KRW83,400/share.
  • HD Hyundai Marine Solution (HMS from hereon) is a ship aftermarket service provider that provides necessary services throughout a ship’s life cycle after the delivery of a new ship.
  • In this note, we will talk about the demand for the deal and other trading dynamics.

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