Category

ECM

Daily Brief ECM: Kasumigaseki Capital (3498 JP) – An Offering Worth Examining and more

By | Daily Briefs, ECM

In today’s briefing:

  • Kasumigaseki Capital (3498 JP) – An Offering Worth Examining
  • REPT BATTERO Energy IPO – Fastest Growth, Lowest Margins, No Valuation Discount


Kasumigaseki Capital (3498 JP) – An Offering Worth Examining

By Travis Lundy

  • Kasumigaseki Capital is a small cap consulting real estate speculator/developer. They have an interesting, aggressive model. People will recognise the model from pre-GFC but this one is structured better.
  • The company had planned explosive growth and in October, brought growth plans forward and guidance way up. Now there is an offering to fund that growth. 
  • It appears to also be an offering to get a very large short position out of a risk of potential squeeze. For that, I expect this goes smoothly.

REPT BATTERO Energy IPO – Fastest Growth, Lowest Margins, No Valuation Discount

By Sumeet Singh

  • REPT BATTERO Energy is looking to raise around US$300m in its Hong Kong IPO.
  • REPT BATTERO Energy (REPT) is a lithium-ion battery manufacturer in China, focusing on R&D, production, and sales of EV/ESS lithium-ion battery products such as battery cells, modules and packs.
  • We have looked at the company’s past performance in our previous notes. In this note, we talk about valuations.

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Daily Brief ECM: 2024 Major IPOs Pipeline in Korea and more

By | Daily Briefs, ECM

In today’s briefing:

  • 2024 Major IPOs Pipeline in Korea
  • IRCON Placement – Opportunistic Monetisation of a 2.5x YTD Gain
  • Entero Healthcare Pre-IPO – Has Been Scaling up Rapidly Aided by a Flurry of Acquisitions
  • Zomato Placement – SVF’s Overhang Will Be Lifted Post-Deal, Momentum on the Stock Remains Strong
  • UBTech Robotics Pre-IPO – PHIP Updates – Trying to Outrun Its Cash Burn


2024 Major IPOs Pipeline in Korea

By Douglas Kim

  • This is our 9th “Annual Edition of the Major Korean IPOs Pipeline Preview” at Smartkarma.
  • This insight will feature 50 of the biggest potential IPOs in Korea in 2024.
  • These 50 IPOs in Korea are likely to represent more than 80% of all capital raised through IPOs in Korea next year.

IRCON Placement – Opportunistic Monetisation of a 2.5x YTD Gain

By Clarence Chu

  • The Government of India (GoI) is looking to raise US$155m from trimming a portion of its stake in Ircon International (IRCON IN), assuming the deal upsizes.
  • Assuming the deal upsizes, while it would represent 8% of the firm’s current shares outstanding, it would only represent 3.8 days of its three month ADV, given its strong liquidity.
  • Given that it isn’t the first time the GoI has sold its stake in IRCON, the selldown here should be expected, in our view.

Entero Healthcare Pre-IPO – Has Been Scaling up Rapidly Aided by a Flurry of Acquisitions

By Clarence Chu

  • Entero Healthcare Solutions Limited (2294842D IN) is looking to raise US$200m in its upcoming India IPO. The IPO will consist of both a primary and secondary component.
  • Entero Healthcare Solutions (Entero) is a healthcare products distributor in India.
  • In this note, we look at the company’s past performance.

Zomato Placement – SVF’s Overhang Will Be Lifted Post-Deal, Momentum on the Stock Remains Strong

By Clarence Chu

  • Softbank Group (9984 JP) is looking to raise US$135m from selling its remaining stake in Zomato (ZOMATO IN).
  • Since receiving shares from Zomato’s acquisition of 91% of Blinkit’s outstanding shares, Softbank has been busy trimming its stake in Zomato. The stake sale now will be a cleanup one.
  • Representing just 1.2 days of Zomato’s three month ADV, the deal here would be easily digested by the firm.

UBTech Robotics Pre-IPO – PHIP Updates – Trying to Outrun Its Cash Burn

By Ethan Aw

  • UBTech Robotics (1683374D HK) is looking to raise about US$200m in its upcoming HK IPO, after downsizing from an earlier reported float of up to US$700m.
  • UBTech Robotics is engaged in artificial intelligence (AI)-empowered robotics in China, dedicated to the innovation of humanoid robots and development and sales of smart service robotic solutions.
  • We have looked at the company’s past performance in our previous note. In this note, we talk about its PHIP updates.

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Daily Brief ECM: Rakuten Bank (5838 JP) Overnight Offering at a Fat Discount and more

By | Daily Briefs, ECM

In today’s briefing:

  • Rakuten Bank (5838 JP) Overnight Offering at a Fat Discount
  • Toyota To Sell Harmonic Drive (6324 JP) Shares in Overseas Offering
  • Rakuten Bank Placement – Was Expected at Some Point, Current Timing Seems Opportunistic
  • Harmonic Drive Placement – Cleanup Share Sale Will Remove the Overhang
  • Boss Energy Placement – Heavy Dilution and Doesn’t Appear Well Flagged
  • Rept Battero IPO: The Bull Case
  • Robosense Technology Pre-IPO – PHIP Updates – ADAS Sales Strong but Profitability Remains Distant
  • Rept Battero IPO (PHIP Updates): Margin Sustainability Is Concerning
  • Sunshine Insurance Group IPO Lock-Up – US$5.3bn Lockup Release Tomorrow, with No Liquidity
  • Pre-IPO Jiangxi Rimag Group – Unclear Profit Model, Uncertain Future Expansion, and Worrying Outlook


Rakuten Bank (5838 JP) Overnight Offering at a Fat Discount

By Travis Lundy

  • After the close today, Rakuten Group (4755 JP) announced the sale of 25.5mm shares of Rakuten Bank (5838 JP), right as the IPO lockup was reaching its expiry. Expected.
  • Pricing is 6-7 Dec (pre-Tokyo open 7 Dec), delivery 11 Dec 2023. Indicative price range is 8.5-12.5% discount for a deal of US$425mm or so.
  • In an interesting technical detail, this will take Rakuten below 50%. There is some near-term index demand, some in April, some next October. Rheos could be more overhang.

Toyota To Sell Harmonic Drive (6324 JP) Shares in Overseas Offering

By Travis Lundy

  • Today, Toyota Motor (7203 JP) announced it would sell 4.379mm shares (4.55%) of Harmonic Drive Systems (6324 JP) in an overseas placement. 
  • This is not so big as it is emblematic, adding to the recent news on Toyota unwinds.
  • Harmonic Drive is heavily held by foreign institutions. This is a foreigners-only deal. But it will need to be absorbed by that group too. 

Rakuten Bank Placement – Was Expected at Some Point, Current Timing Seems Opportunistic

By Sumeet Singh

  • Rakuten Group (4755 JP) aims to raise US$430m via selling around 14.6% of Rakuten Bank (5838 JP)
  • RB is the largest internet bank in Japan, by number of accounts. As of Sep 23, it had 14.3m deposit accounts with a total deposit base of JPY9.5tn.
  • In this note, we will talk about the deal dynamics and updates since our last note.

Harmonic Drive Placement – Cleanup Share Sale Will Remove the Overhang

By Clarence Chu

  • Toyota Motor (7203 JP) is looking to raise US$116m from selling its entire stake in Harmonic Drive Systems (6324 JP).
  • Toyota Motors has indicated over the past one-two weeks that it will be looking to sell/trim its stakes in various entities as part of its exit from its multiple cross-holdings.
  • While the deal would be a relatively large one to digest at 10 days of ADV, Toyota Motors will be selling its entire stake, clearing the overhang.

Boss Energy Placement – Heavy Dilution and Doesn’t Appear Well Flagged

By Ethan Aw

  • Boss Energy (BOE AU) is looking to raise up to A$205m (US$135m) through its primary placement. The proceeds will be used to fund an acquisition and replenish working capital. 
  • The deal will be a large one to digest, at 19.7 days of three month ADV and 14% dilution.
  • In this note, we will talk about the placement and run the deal through our ECM framework.

Rept Battero IPO: The Bull Case

By Arun George

  • REPT BATTERO Energy (1998104D CH), a leading EV battery manufacturer, is premarketing a US$300 million HKEx IPO, according to press reports.  
  • According to Frost & Sullivan, in 1H23, Rept was the tenth-largest lithium-ion battery manufacturer globally for annual installations for new energy applications. 
  • The bull case rests on rapid ESS revenue growth, reducing customer concentration risks, ambitious capacity expansion plans, promising margin trajectory and improving cash collection cycle. 

Robosense Technology Pre-IPO – PHIP Updates – ADAS Sales Strong but Profitability Remains Distant

By Sumeet Singh

  • Robosense Technology (ROBO HK) (RT) is now looking to raise up to US$150m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO, down from US$300-400m earlier.
  • As of Mar 23, it had earned design wins for mass production of LiDAR for 52 vehicles with 21OEMs and Tier 1 suppliers, ranking No. 1 globally, according to CIC.
  • We looked at its past performance in our earlier notes. In this note, we talk about its PHIP updates.

Rept Battero IPO (PHIP Updates): Margin Sustainability Is Concerning

By Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

  • REPT BATTERO Energy (1998104D CH)  is a lithium-ion battery manufacturer focusing EV and ESS battery products. The company’s application for a HKEx IPO has been approved.
  • Though the company had reported strong growth in revenue over the last 3-4 years, the company has been struggling to make profits.
  • Rept Battero has started to generate GPM, however, our analysis suggests that there is very little room for GPM to improve.

Sunshine Insurance Group IPO Lock-Up – US$5.3bn Lockup Release Tomorrow, with No Liquidity

By Sumeet Singh

  • Sunshine Insurance Group (6963 HK) (SIG), a life, health and P&C insurance company, raised around US$850m in its HK IPO in Dec 2022. Its IPO linked lockup will expire tomorrow.
  • SIG is an integrated insurance provider which offers both life and health (L&H) and property and casualty (P&C) insurance in China
  • In this note, we will talk about the lock-up dynamics and updates since our last note.

Pre-IPO Jiangxi Rimag Group – Unclear Profit Model, Uncertain Future Expansion, and Worrying Outlook

By Xinyao (Criss) Wang

  • People think that third-party medical imaging service providers targeting the grassroots market would have considerable development potential.However, even overseas leading players haven’t formed large profit scale after decades of establishment.
  • Different types of competitors would enter this market, and the consortium formed by public hospitals in grassroots market will be the biggest game changer. Potential legal risks also worth attention.
  • The profit model is still unclear. It’s uncertain whether the anticipated sizeable scale will eventually materialise. There’s still a long way to explore the third-party imaging industry in China.

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Daily Brief ECM: Evolution Mining Placement – Back to Equity Markets Again to Fund Another M&A Deal and more

By | Daily Briefs, ECM

In today’s briefing:

  • Evolution Mining Placement – Back to Equity Markets Again to Fund Another M&A Deal
  • Atour Lifestyle Holdings Placement – Coming Back for Round Two This Year
  • Dekon Food and Agriculture Group IPO Trading – Tight Float at Listing, Subscription Rates Were Tepid
  • ZKH Group Pre-IPO – Refiling Updates – Hardly Looks Any More Attractive


Evolution Mining Placement – Back to Equity Markets Again to Fund Another M&A Deal

By Clarence Chu

  • Evolution Mining (EVN AU) is looking to raise around US$350m to partially fund its acquisition of an 80% stake in the Northparkes copper and gold mines.
  • While the acquisition wasn’t explicitly flagged, the firm has guided that it had been eyeing acquisitions into gold/copper pathways. Thus, we would argue that the deal is somewhat well flagged.
  • That being said, at 14 days of three month ADV, the deal isn’t a particularly small one for the firm to digest.

Atour Lifestyle Holdings Placement – Coming Back for Round Two This Year

By Ethan Aw

  • Legend Capital (LC), one of the principal shareholders of Atour Lifestyle Holdings (ATAT US), is looking to raise around US$124m through a secondary selldown. 
  • The deal is a large one to digest, at approximately 22.6 days of three month ADV and 5.5% of current mcap.  
  • In this note, we will talk about the placement and run the deal through our ECM framework.

Dekon Food and Agriculture Group IPO Trading – Tight Float at Listing, Subscription Rates Were Tepid

By Clarence Chu

  • Dekon Food and Agriculture Group (DFAG CH) raised around US$128m in its Hong Kong IPO. 
  • Dekon Food and Agriculture Group (DFAG) is a vertically integrated livestock farming enterprise in China.
  • We have covered various aspects of the deal in our previous note. In this note, we will talk about the demand and trading dynamics.

ZKH Group Pre-IPO – Refiling Updates – Hardly Looks Any More Attractive

By Ethan Aw

  • ZKH Group (ZKH US) is looking to raise about US$150m in its upcoming US IPO, after downsizing from an earlier reported float of US$300m.
  • ZKH Group is a leading maintenance repair and operations (MRO) procurement service platform in China, according to CIC, providing one-stop MRO procurement and management services and digital and fulfillment solutions.
  • We have looked at the company’s past performance in our previous note. In this note, we talk about its PHIP updates.

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Daily Brief ECM: Asian E-Comm Logistics | Review of 2023 ECM and M&A Activity | Preview of 2024 Deals and more

By | Daily Briefs, ECM

In today’s briefing:

  • Asian E-Comm Logistics | Review of 2023 ECM and M&A Activity | Preview of 2024 Deals
  • REPT BATTERO Energy Pre-IPO – PHIP Updates – Leaning on ESS
  • QuantumPharm (XtalPi) Pre-IPO Tearsheet


Asian E-Comm Logistics | Review of 2023 ECM and M&A Activity | Preview of 2024 Deals

By Daniel Hellberg

  • In this insight we review important e-comm logistics transactions from 2023
  • We also provide a preview of potential e-comm logistics deals in 2024
  • Interested readers can also find links to HKEX filings and our earlier insights

REPT BATTERO Energy Pre-IPO – PHIP Updates – Leaning on ESS

By Sumeet Singh

  • REPT BATTERO Energy (REPT HK) is now looking to raise around US$300m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO, down from the US$1bn it was aiming for earlier.
  • REPT BATTERO Energy (REPT) is a lithium-ion battery manufacturer in China, focusing on R&D, production, and sales of EV/ESS lithium-ion battery products such as battery cells, modules and packs.
  • We have looked at the company’s past performance in our previous note. In this note, we talk about its PHIP updates.

QuantumPharm (XtalPi) Pre-IPO Tearsheet

By Clarence Chu

  • QuantumPharm (QUP HK) is looking to raise US$200m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO. The bookrunner on the deal is Citic Securities.
  • QuantumPharm is a R&D platform, utilizing quantum physics-based first-principles calculation, advanced AI, high-performance cloud computing, and scalable and standardized robotic automation to provide drug and material science R&D solutions. 
  • Its solutions and services cater to the pharmaceutical and material science (including agritech, energy and new chemicals, and cosmetics) industries and beyond.

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Daily Brief ECM: ECM Weekly (3rd Dec 2023) – Denso and more

By | Daily Briefs, ECM

In today’s briefing:

  • ECM Weekly (3rd Dec 2023) – Denso, Toyota, Zensho, Asahi, Kotak, Zomato, Zeekr, Tatatech, IREDA
  • Weekly Deals Digest (03 Dec) – Denso, T&K Toka, CIMC Vehicles, Origin, OreCorp, Hollysys, BPLANT


ECM Weekly (3rd Dec 2023) – Denso, Toyota, Zensho, Asahi, Kotak, Zomato, Zeekr, Tatatech, IREDA

By Sumeet Singh

  • Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.
  • In the IPO space, Tata Technologies and IREDA continued the India IPO juggernaut. 
  • On the placements front, there seems to be no stopping Japan flows.

Weekly Deals Digest (03 Dec) – Denso, T&K Toka, CIMC Vehicles, Origin, OreCorp, Hollysys, BPLANT

By Arun George


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Daily Brief ECM: LS Materials IPO Bookbuilding Results Analysis and more

By | Daily Briefs, ECM

In today’s briefing:

  • LS Materials IPO Bookbuilding Results Analysis
  • Sunho Biologics (盛禾) Pre-IPO: Testing the Unproven Targets


LS Materials IPO Bookbuilding Results Analysis

By Douglas Kim

  • LS Materials IPO price has been determined at 6,000 won per share, which is higher than the high end of the IPO price range (5,500 won). 
  • A total 2,025 institutional investors participated in this IPO book building. The demand ratio was 396.8 to 1. The IPO offering amount is 87.8 billion won. 
  • We believe that its share price is likely to trade higher than the high end of our valuation range (7,953 won per share) post IPO. 

Sunho Biologics (盛禾) Pre-IPO: Testing the Unproven Targets

By Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

  • Sunho Biologics, a China-based clinical-stage biotechnology company, plans to raise up to US$100m via a Hong Kong listing.
  • In this note, we examine the company’s three core products, namely IAP0971, IAE0972, and IAH0968, which target malignancies.
  • A large part of the company’s pipeline is testing the unproven targets. We also think the management and pre-IPO investors are of mediocre quality.

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Daily Brief ECM: Huge Denso (6902) Secondary Sale by Toyota Group – Admiral Ackbar Says “It’s A Trap!” and more

By | Daily Briefs, ECM

In today’s briefing:

  • Huge Denso (6902) Secondary Sale by Toyota Group – Admiral Ackbar Says “It’s A Trap!”
  • Denso Offering, Buyback, and New Cross-Holding Reduction Policy – It WAS a Trap
  • Denso (6902 JP): US$4.0 Billion Secondary Offering and US$1.4 Billion Buyback
  • Denso Corp Placement – Toyota to Raise US$4.4bn, as Expected
  • Dekon Food and Agriculture Group IPO – Ebbs and Flows of Cycle Have Hurt Profitability
  • Tata Technologies IPO: Trading Debut
  • Tata Technologies IPO Trading – Will Be a Good Listing Owing to over Enthusiasm
  • Fedbank Financial IPO Trading – Subscription Rates Hint at a Snoozy Debut
  • Leader Energy Holdings Pre-IPO – Still Too Early for an ESG Angle
  • Sino-Synergy Hydrogen IPO – High Potential but Comes with Ample Issues


Huge Denso (6902) Secondary Sale by Toyota Group – Admiral Ackbar Says “It’s A Trap!”

By Travis Lundy

  • Yesterday, Reuters reported that multiple Toyota Group companies would sell ~10% of Denso Corp (6902 JP) worth ¥700bn in a secondary share sale by year-end.
  • The sellers would be Toyota, selling down to just over 20%, Toyota Industries (6201) (selling down a bit more than half, and Aisin Seiki (7259 JP) selling its 2% stake. 
  • Denso would buy back shares. This whole thing is both interesting and complicated so I discuss the interesting complications below. It looks bigger than it probably is.

Denso Offering, Buyback, and New Cross-Holding Reduction Policy – It WAS a Trap

By Travis Lundy

  • 15 minutes after I published what I thought was a considered analysis, Denso dumps the details. I thought it might be a trap. It looks like a trap.
  • A holistic view of the three different documents here suggests, indeed, “It was a trap”. 
  • This giant offering is not bearish overhang but likely tilts bullish with greenshoe support, a large buyback, a new cross-holding reduction policy, and the follow-on effects from that.

Denso (6902 JP): US$4.0 Billion Secondary Offering and US$1.4 Billion Buyback

By Arun George

  • Denso Corp (6902 JP) announced a secondary offering of up to 294.8 billion shares (including overallotment) and a buyback (maximum shares of 125 million or maximum value of JPY200 billion).
  • Denso also announced a cross-holding reduction policy. In an unspecified timeframe, it will sell part of its holdings in Toyota Industries (6201 JP) and Aisin (7259 JP).
  • Looking at recent large Japanese placements is instructive to understand the potential offer price. The pricing date will fall between 13 and 18 December (likely 13 December).

Denso Corp Placement – Toyota to Raise US$4.4bn, as Expected

By Sumeet Singh


Dekon Food and Agriculture Group IPO – Ebbs and Flows of Cycle Have Hurt Profitability

By Clarence Chu

  • Dekon Food and Agriculture Group (DFAG CH) is looking to raise up to US$128m in its Hong Kong IPO.
  • Dekon Food and Agriculture Group (DFAG) is a vertically integrated livestock farming enterprise in China.
  • In this note, we will look at past performance, and share our thoughts on valuation.

Tata Technologies IPO: Trading Debut

By Arun George


Tata Technologies IPO Trading – Will Be a Good Listing Owing to over Enthusiasm

By Sumeet Singh

  • Tata Technologies (TATATECH IN) (TT) raised around US$370m in its India IPO.
  • Tata Technologies is a global engineering services company offering product development and digital solutions, including turnkey solutions, to global original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) and their tier 1 suppliers.
  • In our previous note, we looked at the company’s past performance and valuation. In this note, we talk about the demand and trading dynamics.

Fedbank Financial IPO Trading – Subscription Rates Hint at a Snoozy Debut

By Clarence Chu

  • Fedbank Financial Services (0702066D IN) raised around US$130m in its India IPO.
  • Fedbank Financial Services (Fedbank) is a retail-focused non-banking finance company (NBFC) promoted by The Federal Bank Limited.
  • In our previous note, we looked at the company’s past performance and valuation. In this note, we talk about the demand and trading dynamics.

Leader Energy Holdings Pre-IPO – Still Too Early for an ESG Angle

By Ethan Aw

  • Leader Energy Holdings (1814173D MK) is looking to raise up to US$215m in its upcoming Malaysia IPO. 
  • Leader Energy Holdings (LE) is an independent power producer (IPP) primarily engaged in the development, ownership, O&M of power assets and projects.
  • LE’s revenue has grown on the back of higher power generation as well as coal price increases over the track record period, which drove profitability up. 

Sino-Synergy Hydrogen IPO – High Potential but Comes with Ample Issues

By Sumeet Singh

  • Sino-Synergy Hydrogen Energy Technology (9663 HK) (SHET) is looking to raise around US$200m in its Hong Kong IPO. 
  • SHET is a hydrogen fuel cell company in the PRC focusing on research, development, production and sales of hydrogen fuel cell stacks and hydrogen fuel cell systems.
  • In this note, we will look at the company’s background and talk about valuations.

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Daily Brief ECM: IREDA IPO Trading – Strong Insti Demand Boosts Overall Subscription Rates and more

By | Daily Briefs, ECM

In today’s briefing:

  • IREDA IPO Trading – Strong Insti Demand Boosts Overall Subscription Rates


IREDA IPO Trading – Strong Insti Demand Boosts Overall Subscription Rates

By Ethan Aw

  • IREDA (1845911D IN) raised around US$258m in its India IPO, after the deal was priced at INR32/share. It will begin trading tomorrow on 29th Nov 2023.
  • Indian Renewable Energy Development Authority (IREDA) is a wholly owned Government of India (GoI) enterprise under the administrative control of the Ministry of New and Renewable Energy (MNRE).
  • We have looked at various aspects of the deal in our previous note. In this note, we talk about demand and trading dynamics.

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Daily Brief ECM: Asahi Group (2502 JP): The Current Playbook and more

By | Daily Briefs, ECM

In today’s briefing:

  • Asahi Group (2502 JP): The Current Playbook
  • Zeekr Pre-IPO – Quick Note – Recent Filing Updates – 007, Earnings on Track


Asahi Group (2502 JP): The Current Playbook

By Arun George

  • Since the US$1.3 billion secondary placement announcement, Asahi Group Holdings (2502 JP)’s shares are down -6.2% from the undisturbed price of JPY5,804 per share (16 November).
  • Looking at recent large Japanese placements is instructive to understand the potential trading pattern. So far, Asahi’s shares have followed the pattern of previous large placements. 
  • The offering will likely be priced on 28 November. Investors participating in previous large Japanese placements tend to secure positive returns.

Zeekr Pre-IPO – Quick Note – Recent Filing Updates – 007, Earnings on Track

By Sumeet Singh

  • ZEEKR (ZK US), a premium EV brand by Geely Auto (175 HK), aims to raise around US$500m in its US listing.
  • Zeekr was formed in Mar 2021 as a JV between Geely and its founder. Its first model was launched in Apr 21 with deliveries starting in Oct 21.
  • We have looked at the company’s past performance and valuations in our earlier notes. In this note, we talk about the updates from its recent filings.

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