Category

Industrials

Daily Brief Industrials: Wisdom Marine Lines and more

By | Daily Briefs, Industrials

In today’s briefing:

  • Yuanta ETFs Rebalance: AI-Frenzy Means Tech Replaces Industrials; Shorts Surge; Big Positioning
  • Quiddity TDIV/​50/​100 Sep 23 Rebal: ALL 15 Changes Expected; US$420mn One-Way


Yuanta ETFs Rebalance: AI-Frenzy Means Tech Replaces Industrials; Shorts Surge; Big Positioning

By Brian Freitas

  • There are 4 changes to the Yuanta/​P-Shares Taiwan Top 50 ETF and 1 deletion for the Yuanta/​P-Shares Taiwan Dividend Plus ETF in September.
  • The impact on the inclusions is larger in terms of flow but smaller in terms of days to ADV to buy. Shorts are higher on the deletions.
  • There appears to be big positioning on a lot of the stocks. But the ETF adds could move higher in the short-term on short covering.

Quiddity TDIV/​50/​100 Sep 23 Rebal: ALL 15 Changes Expected; US$420mn One-Way

By Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

  • The September 2023 index changes for the TDIV, T50, and T100 Indices were confirmed after the close on Friday 1st September 2023.
  • In this insight, we take a look at our final flow expectations for these index changes and the capping flow expectations for the TDIV index.
  • There could US$420mn one-way flows across these three indices during this rebalance event.

💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars



Daily Brief Industrials: Wisdom Marine Lines and more

By | Daily Briefs, Industrials

In today’s briefing:

  • Yuanta ETFs Rebalance: AI-Frenzy Means Tech Replaces Industrials; Shorts Surge; Big Positioning
  • Quiddity TDIV/​50/​100 Sep 23 Rebal: ALL 15 Changes Expected; US$420mn One-Way


Yuanta ETFs Rebalance: AI-Frenzy Means Tech Replaces Industrials; Shorts Surge; Big Positioning

By Brian Freitas

  • There are 4 changes to the Yuanta/​P-Shares Taiwan Top 50 ETF and 1 deletion for the Yuanta/​P-Shares Taiwan Dividend Plus ETF in September.
  • The impact on the inclusions is larger in terms of flow but smaller in terms of days to ADV to buy. Shorts are higher on the deletions.
  • There appears to be big positioning on a lot of the stocks. But the ETF adds could move higher in the short-term on short covering.

Quiddity TDIV/​50/​100 Sep 23 Rebal: ALL 15 Changes Expected; US$420mn One-Way

By Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

  • The September 2023 index changes for the TDIV, T50, and T100 Indices were confirmed after the close on Friday 1st September 2023.
  • In this insight, we take a look at our final flow expectations for these index changes and the capping flow expectations for the TDIV index.
  • There could US$420mn one-way flows across these three indices during this rebalance event.

💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars



Daily Brief Industrials: S.F. Holding and more

By | Daily Briefs, Industrials

In today’s briefing:

  • SF Holding HK IPO | Q2/H1 Results | “Internationalization” Thesis Refined | Air, Int’l Impact in H1


SF Holding HK IPO | Q2/H1 Results | “Internationalization” Thesis Refined | Air, Int’l Impact in H1

By Daniel Hellberg

  • Review of Q2/H1 results, including impact from international, Kerry Logistics Network
  • Refining idea of “internationalization”, which we believe is driving force behind SF’s HK IPO
  • Testing thesis: did air and international exposure help or hurt SF margins in H1?

💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars



Daily Brief Industrials: S.F. Holding and more

By | Daily Briefs, Industrials

In today’s briefing:

  • SF Holding HK IPO | Q2/H1 Results | “Internationalization” Thesis Refined | Air, Int’l Impact in H1


SF Holding HK IPO | Q2/H1 Results | “Internationalization” Thesis Refined | Air, Int’l Impact in H1

By Daniel Hellberg

  • Review of Q2/H1 results, including impact from international, Kerry Logistics Network
  • Refining idea of “internationalization”, which we believe is driving force behind SF’s HK IPO
  • Testing thesis: did air and international exposure help or hurt SF margins in H1?

💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars



Daily Brief Industrials: Ventia Services Group Pty and more

By | Daily Briefs, Industrials

In today’s briefing:

  • Ventia Services Group Placement – Well Flagged and All past Deals Have Done Well


Ventia Services Group Placement – Well Flagged and All past Deals Have Done Well

By Sumeet Singh

  • Ventia Services Group Pty (VNT AU) (VSG)’s two largest shareholders, Apollo Global Management and CIMIC Group, aim to raise around US$214m via selling 14% of the company.
  • The two largest shareholders together owned nearly 30% of the company and have pared their stake twice this year.
  • In this note, we will talk about the deal dynamics.

💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars



Daily Brief Industrials: Ventia Services Group Pty and more

By | Daily Briefs, Industrials

In today’s briefing:

  • Ventia Services Group Placement – Well Flagged and All past Deals Have Done Well


Ventia Services Group Placement – Well Flagged and All past Deals Have Done Well

By Sumeet Singh

  • Ventia Services Group Pty (VNT AU) (VSG)’s two largest shareholders, Apollo Global Management and CIMIC Group, aim to raise around US$214m via selling 14% of the company.
  • The two largest shareholders together owned nearly 30% of the company and have pared their stake twice this year.
  • In this note, we will talk about the deal dynamics.

💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars



Daily Brief Industrials: Doosan Robotics, Auckland Intl Airport, Elecon Engineering, Lixil Group, Epack Durable, Uponor OYJ and more

By | Daily Briefs, Industrials

In today’s briefing:

  • Doosan Robotics IPO – Thoughts on Valuation – A Punt at Best, a Crash at Worst
  • Auckland Airport Placement – Well Flagged, LO Support but Still a Bit Tricky
  • Doosan Robotics IPO: Valuation Insights
  • Elecon Engineering Co. Ltd- Forensic Analysis
  • Lixil (5938 JP): Levered Business Facing Cyclical & Secular Headwinds & Continued Mkt Share Pressure
  • Epack Durable Pre-IPO Tearsheet
  • Georg Fischer/Uponor: Extension of Offer Period


Doosan Robotics IPO – Thoughts on Valuation – A Punt at Best, a Crash at Worst

By Ethan Aw

  • Doosan Robotics (DOOSANROBO KS) is looking to raise up to US$314m in its Korean IPO. 
  • Doosan Robotics (DR) manufactures and sells collaborative robots (Cobots). The firm’s product portfolio primarily includes different series of robot arms as well as its coffee module. 
  • In our previous notes, we looked at the company’s past performance and undertook a peer comparison. In this note, we talk about valuation.

Auckland Airport Placement – Well Flagged, LO Support but Still a Bit Tricky

By Sumeet Singh

  • Auckland City Council plans to sell around 4.5% of Auckland Intl Airport (AIA NZ) to fund its budget requirements for 2023-24.
  • The deal is very well flagged with Auckland City Council having publicly stated their intention to sell 7% of the stock in Jun 2023.
  • In this note, we talk about the deal dynamics and run the deal through our ECM framework.

Doosan Robotics IPO: Valuation Insights

By Arun George


Elecon Engineering Co. Ltd- Forensic Analysis

By Nitin Mangal

  • Elecon Engineering (ELCN IN)  (EECL) is one of the renowned manufacturers of Gears, often used in Industrials. 
  • The company has gathered operational momentum in the last few years, coupled with debt reduction. 
  • However, its balance sheet still has some concerns that are important. This relates to unaudited subsidiary, fixed asset disposals, write offs and ECL policy and large RPTs.

Lixil (5938 JP): Levered Business Facing Cyclical & Secular Headwinds & Continued Mkt Share Pressure

By Robert C Prather Jr

  • 2/3 of sales face secular decline in housing demand/shrinking population and the other 1/3 facing weak housing environment due to rising rates
  • Competition from private label and weak trends and ratios exist
  • The valuation does not seem to reflect the risks highlighted

Epack Durable Pre-IPO Tearsheet

By Ethan Aw

  • Epack Durable (1936389D IN) is looking to raise up to US$100m in its upcoming India IPO. The deal will be run by Axis Capital, DAM Capital and ICICI Securities. 
  • Epack Durable (ED) is the fastest Indian growing room air conditioner original design manufacturer (ODM) based on growth in volume manufactured between FY20-23 (Year ended 31st Mar), according to F&S. 
  • Further, it is the second largest ODM manufacturer in the Indian room air conditioner manufacturing market, with 29% market share in terms of volume manufactured in FY23, as per F&S.

Georg Fischer/Uponor: Extension of Offer Period

By Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

  • Georg Fischer AG (FI/N SW) has so far purchased a 9.5% stake of Uponor OYJ (UNR1V FH) in the market. Georg Fischer’s shareholding plus irrevocable undertakings represent in total 46.4% (30 August).
  • There has been no disclosure about the shares tendered so far. Georg Fischer has extended the offer period until 31 October, while waiting to receive clearance from the European Commission.
  • Gross spread is 0.03%, so probably it is not worth becoming involved. The reason for this low spread is the acquisition of shares in the market by Georg Fischer.

💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars



Daily Brief Industrials: Doosan Robotics, Auckland Intl Airport, Elecon Engineering, Lixil Group, Epack Durable, Uponor OYJ and more

By | Daily Briefs, Industrials

In today’s briefing:

  • Doosan Robotics IPO – Thoughts on Valuation – A Punt at Best, a Crash at Worst
  • Auckland Airport Placement – Well Flagged, LO Support but Still a Bit Tricky
  • Doosan Robotics IPO: Valuation Insights
  • Elecon Engineering Co. Ltd- Forensic Analysis
  • Lixil (5938 JP): Levered Business Facing Cyclical & Secular Headwinds & Continued Mkt Share Pressure
  • Epack Durable Pre-IPO Tearsheet
  • Georg Fischer/Uponor: Extension of Offer Period


Doosan Robotics IPO – Thoughts on Valuation – A Punt at Best, a Crash at Worst

By Ethan Aw

  • Doosan Robotics (DOOSANROBO KS) is looking to raise up to US$314m in its Korean IPO. 
  • Doosan Robotics (DR) manufactures and sells collaborative robots (Cobots). The firm’s product portfolio primarily includes different series of robot arms as well as its coffee module. 
  • In our previous notes, we looked at the company’s past performance and undertook a peer comparison. In this note, we talk about valuation.

Auckland Airport Placement – Well Flagged, LO Support but Still a Bit Tricky

By Sumeet Singh

  • Auckland City Council plans to sell around 4.5% of Auckland Intl Airport (AIA NZ) to fund its budget requirements for 2023-24.
  • The deal is very well flagged with Auckland City Council having publicly stated their intention to sell 7% of the stock in Jun 2023.
  • In this note, we talk about the deal dynamics and run the deal through our ECM framework.

Doosan Robotics IPO: Valuation Insights

By Arun George


Elecon Engineering Co. Ltd- Forensic Analysis

By Nitin Mangal

  • Elecon Engineering (ELCN IN)  (EECL) is one of the renowned manufacturers of Gears, often used in Industrials. 
  • The company has gathered operational momentum in the last few years, coupled with debt reduction. 
  • However, its balance sheet still has some concerns that are important. This relates to unaudited subsidiary, fixed asset disposals, write offs and ECL policy and large RPTs.

Lixil (5938 JP): Levered Business Facing Cyclical & Secular Headwinds & Continued Mkt Share Pressure

By Robert C Prather Jr

  • 2/3 of sales face secular decline in housing demand/shrinking population and the other 1/3 facing weak housing environment due to rising rates
  • Competition from private label and weak trends and ratios exist
  • The valuation does not seem to reflect the risks highlighted

Epack Durable Pre-IPO Tearsheet

By Ethan Aw

  • Epack Durable (1936389D IN) is looking to raise up to US$100m in its upcoming India IPO. The deal will be run by Axis Capital, DAM Capital and ICICI Securities. 
  • Epack Durable (ED) is the fastest Indian growing room air conditioner original design manufacturer (ODM) based on growth in volume manufactured between FY20-23 (Year ended 31st Mar), according to F&S. 
  • Further, it is the second largest ODM manufacturer in the Indian room air conditioner manufacturing market, with 29% market share in terms of volume manufactured in FY23, as per F&S.

Georg Fischer/Uponor: Extension of Offer Period

By Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

  • Georg Fischer AG (FI/N SW) has so far purchased a 9.5% stake of Uponor OYJ (UNR1V FH) in the market. Georg Fischer’s shareholding plus irrevocable undertakings represent in total 46.4% (30 August).
  • There has been no disclosure about the shares tendered so far. Georg Fischer has extended the offer period until 31 October, while waiting to receive clearance from the European Commission.
  • Gross spread is 0.03%, so probably it is not worth becoming involved. The reason for this low spread is the acquisition of shares in the market by Georg Fischer.

💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars



Daily Brief Industrials: Doosan Robotics, Greenland Technologies Holdi and more

By | Daily Briefs, Industrials

In today’s briefing:

  • Doosan Robotics IPO: The Bear Case
  • Greenland Technologies Holding Corp. – Strong 2Q Results as Transmission Business Accelerates


Doosan Robotics IPO: The Bear Case

By Arun George

  • Doosan Robotics (DOOSANROBO KS) is a global industrial and collaborative robotics leader. It has opened the books on an up to US$318 million IPO.  
  • In Doosan Robotics IPO: The Bull Case, we highlighted the key elements of the bull case. In this note, we outline the bear case.
  • The bear case rests on business plan forecasts based on shaky assumptions, high cash burn, rising cash collection cycle and deteriorating balance sheet strength.

Greenland Technologies Holding Corp. – Strong 2Q Results as Transmission Business Accelerates

By Water Tower Research

  • Reported EPS of $0.18 on revenues of $3.6 million, up from $0.13 in 2Q22 and $0.11 in 1Q23.
  • The performance was driven by increased traction in the recovering China/Asian market and higher-margin products contributing more to the overall revenue mix.
  • Excluding the impact of FX headwinds, revenues would have been up 19% Y/Y.

💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars



Daily Brief Industrials: Doosan Robotics, Greenland Technologies Holdi and more

By | Daily Briefs, Industrials

In today’s briefing:

  • Doosan Robotics IPO: The Bear Case
  • Greenland Technologies Holding Corp. – Strong 2Q Results as Transmission Business Accelerates


Doosan Robotics IPO: The Bear Case

By Arun George

  • Doosan Robotics (DOOSANROBO KS) is a global industrial and collaborative robotics leader. It has opened the books on an up to US$318 million IPO.  
  • In Doosan Robotics IPO: The Bull Case, we highlighted the key elements of the bull case. In this note, we outline the bear case.
  • The bear case rests on business plan forecasts based on shaky assumptions, high cash burn, rising cash collection cycle and deteriorating balance sheet strength.

Greenland Technologies Holding Corp. – Strong 2Q Results as Transmission Business Accelerates

By Water Tower Research

  • Reported EPS of $0.18 on revenues of $3.6 million, up from $0.13 in 2Q22 and $0.11 in 1Q23.
  • The performance was driven by increased traction in the recovering China/Asian market and higher-margin products contributing more to the overall revenue mix.
  • Excluding the impact of FX headwinds, revenues would have been up 19% Y/Y.

💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars