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Indonesia

Daily Brief Indonesia: BintanGO, Genexyz and more

By | Daily Briefs, Indonesia

In today’s briefing:

  • BintanGo Expands into Live Commerce with $2.2m Raise
  • Genexyz, Which Provides Virtual Avatars for Content Creators, Lands US$1M Funding


BintanGo Expands into Live Commerce with $2.2m Raise

By Tech in Asia

  • BintanGo, which provides tools for digital content creators in Indonesia, has raised US$2.2 million in a seed extension round joined by Investible, Contents Technologies, and other investors.
  • This brings its total funds raised to US$4.8 million so far. The startup closed a US$500,000 pre-seed round in June 2021 and a US$2.1 million seed round in April 2022.
  • With the latest investment, BintanGo plans to extend its services to live commerce platforms, said CEO and co-founder Jason Lee in a statement.

Genexyz, Which Provides Virtual Avatars for Content Creators, Lands US$1M Funding

By e27

  • Indonesia-based virtual influencer and meta-human company Genexyz has secured US$1 million in seed funding led by East Ventures.
  • Emtek, MDI Ventures, Trinity Optima, and Massive Music also joined.
  • The company will use the funds to expand into Southeast Asia and develop more interactive technology to connect with relevant communities.

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Daily Brief Indonesia: GoTo Gojek Tokopedia Tbk PT, Indo Tambangraya Megah, GORO and more

By | Daily Briefs, Indonesia

In today’s briefing:

  • GoTo Gojek Tokopedia (GOTO IJ) – Striking a New Balance
  • ITMG Q2 2023 Weak But Stock At 20% Dividend Yield with ~50% of Mkt Cap In Cash
  • Iterative Leads ID Proptech Firm Goro’s $1m Round


GoTo Gojek Tokopedia (GOTO IJ) – Striking a New Balance

By Angus Mackintosh

  • GoTo Gojek Tokopedia (GOTO IJ) released results for 2Q2023, which reflected a slower growth environment exacerbated by lower incentive spend but some significant progress towards its profitability goals for 2023.
  • The company continues to focus on maintaining high-quality users but with an increasing focus on more affordable offerings to expand its demographic reach with the potential to double its users.
  • GoTo is undergoing a full assessment across all divisions, with a focus on improving synergies, with new strategies for growth to be revealed next quarter.

ITMG Q2 2023 Weak But Stock At 20% Dividend Yield with ~50% of Mkt Cap In Cash

By Sameer Taneja

  • Indo Tambangraya Megah (ITMG IJ) provides investors with fat dividends. We estimate from 2021-2023e, the company will have paid over 20,000 Rph (70% of the current share price) in dividends.
  • Despite these dividend payouts, cash on the balance sheet by the end of FY23e will easily exceed one bn USD or about 50% of the market capitalization.
  • Weak results/degrowth are expected due to unsustainably high coal prices in 2022. Nevertheless, there is a good case for future value as hefty dividends will continue to be paid.

Iterative Leads ID Proptech Firm Goro’s $1m Round

By Tech in Asia

  • Proptech firm Goro is betting on fractional property investments in Indonesia. With its namesake being derived from the Indonesian term Gotong Royong or mutual cooperation, its platform allows users to purchase a fraction of a property starting from US$0.7.
  • Returns come in the form of monthly paid-out rental income and capital gains when the property is sold.
  • Since launching earlier this year, Goro said its user base has grown 15% per week. The company added that its current portfolio, which is picked by professional property managers, is generating 11% net annualized rental yield for its users.

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Daily Brief Indonesia: GoTo Gojek Tokopedia Tbk PT and more

By | Daily Briefs, Indonesia

In today’s briefing:

  • GoTo (GOTO IJ) – Shifting the Needle?
  • GoTo: Cost Cutting Measures Pay Off but What About Growth?


GoTo (GOTO IJ) – Shifting the Needle?

By Angus Mackintosh

  • GoTo is laser-focused on shifting the needle towards a semblance of profitability and likely with renewed vigour with a new management team in place. 
  • 2Q2023 results will likely reflect a slower headline GMV but should show an improvement in take rates and contribution margin. More colour on recent initiatives would be welcomed by investors.
  • GoTo has launched a standalone GoPay app which should help to boost its off-platform usage and has the potential to nurture more collaboration with Bank Jago.

GoTo: Cost Cutting Measures Pay Off but What About Growth?

By Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

  • GoTo Gojek Tokopedia Tbk PT (GOTO IJ) reported 2Q2023 results. Gross revenue increased 5.6% YoY to IDR5.83trn while adj. EBITDA losses further narrowed down to IDR1.21trn vs IDR4.3trn in 2Q2022.
  • The company’s cost discipline measures have helped cut down on losses but growth rates have seen huge declines over the last few quarters.
  • Demand for food delivery has declined in Indonesia while entry of TikToK Shop has posed significant threat on Tokopedia, Shopee and other e-commerce platforms in the country.

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Daily Brief Indonesia: Bukalapak.com PT Tbk, Adi Sarana Armada and more

By | Daily Briefs, Indonesia

In today’s briefing:

  • Bukalapak (BUKA IJ) – A Virtuous Circle to Profitability
  • Adi Sarana Armada (ASSA IJ) – A Circular Route to Success


Bukalapak (BUKA IJ) – A Virtuous Circle to Profitability

By Angus Mackintosh

  • Bukalapak continues to demonstrate the effectiveness of circular nature of its business model in 2Q2023, with demand from its O2O business fueling growth in its marketplace, creating a flywheel effect.
  • Although TPV growth slowed slightly in 2Q2023, revenues saw much stronger growth, especially its marketplace business, which booked much higher take-rates driven by its specialty verticals, including gaming and gadgets.
  • Bukalapak will continue to benefit from expanding take rates as specialty, such as AlloFresh feed in more SKUs and new verticals gain traction. Valuations remain attractive on 0.85x FY2023E EV/Sales.

Adi Sarana Armada (ASSA IJ) – A Circular Route to Success

By Angus Mackintosh

  • Adi Sarana Armada remains an interesting way to play the used car theme in Indonesia with its leading car leasing business fuelling used car sales.
  • The company continues developing its logistics capabilities, thrusting towards B2B and value-added cold chain logistics. Anteraja has slowed along with e-commerce but is more focused on profitability. 
  • Adi Sarana Armada continues to benefit from synergies across its vehicle ecosystem through leasing, auction and used cars. Valuations are attractive with the company trading on 11x forward PER. 

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Daily Brief Indonesia: AAC Technologies Holdings and more

By | Daily Briefs, Indonesia

In today’s briefing:

  • Asia HY Monthly – July 2023 – Lucror Analytics


Asia HY Monthly – July 2023 – Lucror Analytics

By Charles Macgregor

The Asia Monthly focuses on providing updates on recent events, information on new issues and spread movements, as well as summarising our top picks. The Asia Monthly is intended to broaden investors’ understanding of the Asian USD high-yield market.


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Daily Brief Indonesia: Halodoc and more

By | Daily Briefs, Indonesia

In today’s briefing:

  • Halodoc Raises $100m Series D in Astra-Led Round


Halodoc Raises $100m Series D in Astra-Led Round

By Tech in Asia

  • Halodoc, the Indonesia-based healthtech firm, raked in US$100 million in series D funding in a round led by returning investor Astra Digital International, according to a statement.
  • This boosts Astra’s total investments in the company to US$135 million. In 2021, the local conglomerate also led the US$80 million series C round of Halodoc.
  • With the new capital, Halodoc has raised at least US$258 million, according to Tech in Asia data.

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Daily Brief Indonesia: Adani Green Energy, Japfa Comfeed Indonesia and more

By | Daily Briefs, Indonesia

In today’s briefing:

  • Morning Views Asia: Adani Green Energy, Gajah Tunggal, Indika Energy, Road King Infrastructure
  • Japfa Comfeed – Earnings Flash – H1 FY 2023 Results – Lucror Analytics


Morning Views Asia: Adani Green Energy, Gajah Tunggal, Indika Energy, Road King Infrastructure

By Charles Macgregor

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.


Japfa Comfeed – Earnings Flash – H1 FY 2023 Results – Lucror Analytics

By Trung Nguyen

Japfa Comfeed’s H1/23 results remained weak, with a large drop in profitability on account of an oversupply of poultry, higher raw-material costs and lower consumer demand. While there was sequential improvement in Q2, the overall H1 results remained significantly weaker y-o-y. The company’s financial risk profile continued to deteriorate, while liquidity worsened.

We revise our LARA on Japfa to “High Risk” from “Medium Risk”, given the company’s quickly deteriorating liquidity profile and increasing leverage. The inadequate liquidity position and fast-rising leverage are no longer in line with that of a “Medium Risk” credit. 


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Daily Brief Indonesia: Cisarua Mountain Dairy, Cinema XXI, Lippo Karawaci, Sino-Ocean Group and more

By | Daily Briefs, Indonesia

In today’s briefing:

  • Cisarua Mountain Dairy (CMRY IJ) – Yoghurt Sticks and Meatballs
  • Nusantara Sejahtera Raya (Cinema XXI) IPO Trading – Should Be a Steady Listing
  • Lippo Karawaci – Earnings Flash – H1 FY 2023 Results – Lucror Analytics
  • Morning Views Asia: Country Garden Holdings Co, Pan Brothers, Pertamina Geothermal Energy PT


Cisarua Mountain Dairy (CMRY IJ) – Yoghurt Sticks and Meatballs

By Angus Mackintosh

  • Cisarua Mountain Dairy (CMRY IJ) remains one of the most interesting and dynamic staple players in Indonesia, with a leading position in yoghurt and growing strength in consumer foods. 
  • CMRY continues to achieve strong top-line growth of +21% in 1H2023, with consumer foods driving growth and 50% of sales but we expect dairy to see better performance in 2H2023. 
  • Cisarua Mountain Dairy (CMRY IJ) continues to invest in marketing through digital channels, including TikTok. Valuations remain attractive relative to its growth prospects, with more than 20% 3-year EPS CAGR.

Nusantara Sejahtera Raya (Cinema XXI) IPO Trading – Should Be a Steady Listing

By Sumeet Singh

  • Cinema XXI raised around US$150m in its Indonesia IPO, after pricing at the bottom-end.
  • Cinema XXI is a premium theatrical exhibition, F&B and experience company. It is the largest cinema chain operator in Indonesia.
  • We have looked at the company’s past performance and undertaken a peer comparison and valuation in our earlier notes. In this note, we talk about the trading dynamics.

Lippo Karawaci – Earnings Flash – H1 FY 2023 Results – Lucror Analytics

By Trung Nguyen

Lippo Karawaci’s (LPKR) H1/23 results were much better than expected, and showed that the company was on track to achieve its turnaround goals. All business segments performed well, with healthcare again the largest contributor to revenue and earnings. Still, we note positively that the real estate segment’s performance was in line with guidance amid a challenging operating environment, with high and rising interest rates. Conversely, the financial risk profile remains weak, with elevated leverage ratios and thin fixed charge cover. Liquidity is barely adequate.

The healthcare segment continues to be LPKR’s key pillar, accounting for two-thirds of revenue and boasting strong (and improved) EBITDA. Moreover, we note that the segment should be relatively immune to the volatility in the economy.


Morning Views Asia: Country Garden Holdings Co, Pan Brothers, Pertamina Geothermal Energy PT

By Charles Macgregor

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.


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Daily Brief Indonesia: Astra International and more

By | Daily Briefs, Indonesia

In today’s briefing:

  • Astra International (ASII IJ) – Increasingly Omnipresent


Astra International (ASII IJ) – Increasingly Omnipresent

By Angus Mackintosh

  • Astra International (ASII IJ) released a solid set of numbers in 1H2023, with growth across most of its divisions from autos to heavy equipment, and infrastructure.
  • 1H2023 was marked by a series of acquisitions across growth areas of the Indonesian economy including nickel, digital health, data centres, and classifieds.
  • Astra International remains our top proxy pick for exposure to Indonesia, with recent acquisitions making the company all the relevant in new areas of growth.

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Daily Brief Indonesia: BFI Finance Indonesia, Sino-Ocean Group and more

By | Daily Briefs, Indonesia

In today’s briefing:

  • BFI Finance Indonesia (BFIN IJ) – Short-Term Blip Provides Opportunity
  • Weekly Wrap – 28 Jul 2023


BFI Finance Indonesia (BFIN IJ) – Short-Term Blip Provides Opportunity

By Angus Mackintosh

  • BFI Finance Indonesia (BFIN IJ) booked a solid set of 1H2023 results that were marred by an operational blip, with 2Q2023 impacted but this is likely to abate in 2H2023.
  • The company continues to stand out for its leading position in collateralized lending backed by 4W, 2W, heavy equipment, shophouses and property, with an accomplished 15-year track record
  • BFI Finance Indonesia remains the top pick to play the increasing growth from multi-finance in Indonesia. It trades on 2x FY2023E PBV, forecast to book an ROE over 20%.

Weekly Wrap – 28 Jul 2023

By Charles Macgregor

Lucror Analytics Weekly Wraps provide an overview of all Morning Views comments and reports published by our analyst team in the past week, and also showcase a list of the most-read reports.

In this Insight:

  1. 21Vianet Group
  2. SK Hynix
  3. Yuexiu Property
  4. Nameson Holdings
  5. China Jinmao Holdings

and more…


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