India

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.

• Road King Infrastructure
• Vedanta Resources

• Easy Trip Planners (EASEMYTR IN) has had a good run on its bourses and is probably one of the very few new-age companies which is profitable. 
• However, the overall narrative does not look attractive to us when we deep dive into the forensics, including the cost drivers and balance sheet risks to the company.
• Perplexing business model, customer concentration and high valuations make it unattractive inspite of high profitability.

• IEX is a play on digital infrastructure (hedge against inflation), electricity reforms, decarbonisation and energy transition
• An opportunity that offers virtuous growth, minimalistic capital needs and presents a scalable business model (addressing INR 8trn electricity market)
• India will see an average power consumption growth of 5% over the foreseeable period. Power Exchanges should outgrow this meaningfully

• Redington India (REDI IN)‘s primary business pertains to distribution of Information Technology,mobility and other technology products. The company also is engaged in supply chain solutions and after sales services.
• Although company has a strong business, a glance at the balance sheet and financials reveals some concerns particularly at the subsidiary level which should not be ignored.
• Forensic discomforts revolve around goodwill, poor earnings quality, instances of margin flirting, branch audit not being carried out by statutory auditors, etc.

• Craftsman Automation (CRAFTSMA IN) is engaged in the business of manufacturing engineering components, sub-assemblies, products and rendering of contract manufacturing services to various industries
• Key forensic takeaways include working capital troubles, alongside inflation woes deteriorating gross margins etc. There is grey area noticed in accounting treatment pertaining to JV as well.
• Focus should also be on the aluminum segment, which is going through a tough phase regarding operating leverage and low margins.

Lucror Analytics Weekly Wraps provide an overview of all Morning Views comments and reports published by our analyst team in the past week, and also showcase a list of the most-read reports.

In this Insight:

1. China Jinmao Holdings
2. Guangzhou R&F Properties
3. Sunac China Holdings
4. Evergrande
5. Central China Real Estate

and more…

• Oyo (1698548D IN) is looking to raise around US$700m in its upcoming India IPO. The IPO will consist of both a primary and secondary portion.
• Oyo runs a digital platform that serves as a hotel and home aggregator between patrons, which include owners and lessors, and customers, such as travelers and guests booking for accommodation.
• Since our last notes, Oravel Stays (Oyo) had filed its addendum, containing both its full-year performance for FY22, and its most recent 1Q23 performance (period ending Jun 2022).

• IndiaMart (INMART IN)‘s annual report analysis highlights some of the issues that should not be overlooked.
• In addition to changes in important disclosures, the company still continues to see less flow-through of deferred income into revenues.
• On the assets side, it should be noted that the strategic investments are yet to show any promise, while fixed assets show some concerns including non-verification, disposals, etc.

• We screen the NIFTY Index components for yield enhancing opportunites
• We screen for expensive options and combine with stock performances to find the best candidates
• We identity 6 stocks where selling short-term premium makes sense

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.

• Tata Steel Thailand
• Times China

• Over the last 6M, Bandhan Bank Ltd (BANDHAN IN) has underperformed the Nifty 50 by ~7.3% (BANDHAN -5.92% vs Nifty +1.39%)
• Our flash checks across West Bengal and Assam indicate a stable to improving business environment. 
• We reiterate our view of that the asset quality downcycle could be on the verge of ending. Additional provisioning requirements should be sharply lower from Q3 FY23.

• This is our first report on ON Semiconductor Corporation, a well-known provider of intelligent sensing and power solutions.
• The management has streamlined their product line by eliminating price-sensitive products in favour of fiercely competitive Intelligent Power and Sensing Solutions.
• Because of the solutions’ strong performance, the depth of their intelligent power and sensor portfolio, and end-to-end manufacturing capabilities, their clients select ON Semiconductors as a strategic partner to support their long-term technology roadmaps.

Lucror Analytics Weekly Wraps provide an overview of all Morning Views comments and reports published by our analyst team in the past week, and also showcase a list of the most-read reports.

In this Insight:

1. China Jinmao Holdings
2. Guangzhou R&F Properties
3. Sunac China Holdings
4. Evergrande
5. Central China Real Estate

and more…

• This is our first report on Sonos, the multi-room audio products major.
• The macroeconomic environment has grown significantly more hostile for Sonos off late after it enjoyed a decent phase during the pandemic.
• Despite the uncertain environment, Sonos has a strong brand identity, a dependable and devoted premium client, and a sizable and expanding market opportunity.

• We challenge Mahindra & Mahindra (MM IN) ‘s narrative of strong demand and booking pipeline (140k+ open bookings, excl Scorpio N as of Q1 FY23) 
• There is a possibility of a monthly booking rate of 10.3k for XUV700 and 5K per month for Thar being overstated. 
• With increasing competition (MSIL + Toyota), cancellations will increase leading to even lower waiting periods and a reduced booking pipeline. 

• Sula Vineyards (1332009D IN) is looking to raise about US$175m in its upcoming India IPO. 
• Sula Vineyards (SV) distributes wines under a bouquet of brands. In addition to its flagship brand “Sula,” popular brands include “RASA,” “Dindori”, “The source,” “Satori”, “Madera” & “Dia”. 
• The firm has managed to stay profitable with margin expansion despite COVID-19. However, wine appears to remain a very small part of the Indian alcohol consumption market. 

• This is our first report on Mill City Ventures III and we look to provide a detailed account of the various industries that the company operates in and the key macro-economic factors.
• Given its current size, Mill City Ventures III is exempt from many of the regulatory restrictions that apply to other traditional lenders or institutional rivals.
• Overall, we believe that Mill City Ventures III has phenomenal growth prospects and is an excellent investment prospect.

• EbixCash (EC) is looking to raise around US$800m in its upcoming India IPO. The deal will be run by Motilal, Equirus, ISec, SBI Caps and Yes Securities.
• EC is a provider of digital products and services in the B2C, B2B and financial technology arena. Its has four primary business segments: Payment solutions, travel, financial technologies and BPO.
• In this note, we talk about the not-so-positive aspects of the deal

• This is our first report on F5 Inc, a well-known provider of multi-cloud security and application delivery that helps businesses connect to their customers.
• In the quarter, F5 saw a good demand as customers secured, scaled, and added their applications as demand for security fuel sales.
• Service providers have driven recent demand as secure 4G cores and customers scale and start to move 5G cores in production.

• This is our first report on Five9, a leading provider of cloud software for contact centers.
• The company’s core Virtual Contact Center (VCC) cloud platform has been a major revenue driver for them.
• Among key updates, Five9, along with Kyndryl, announced a partnership to offer its customers a cloud-enabled, personalized contact center experience.

• BYJU’S (1391510D IN), the world’s most valued online learning company, shocked the street with reported losses of USD576 mn on revenues of USD286 mn for the year ending March2021.
• Post-Pandemic return to school has reset growth trajectory for India’s blooming EdTech sector that thrived during COVID times attracting multi-billion dollar valuations.
• Industry wide layoffs and few shut downs have raised concerns on growth prospects for edTech players and sustainability of their boom period valuations. 

• Mankind Pharma Ltd (6596876Z IN) is looking to raise about US$1bn in its upcoming India IPO. The deal will be run by Kotak, Axis Capital, IIFL Securities, Jefferies and JPM. 
• Mankind Pharma (MK) is a pharmaceutical company engaged in developing, manufacturing and marketing a range of pharmaceutical formulations across various therapeutic areas, as well as several consumer healthcare products. 
• It is mainly focused on the domestic market. 18 of its brands were among the 300 highest selling brands in the Indian Pharmaceutical Market (IPM), according to IQVIA.

• Trimble Inc is a well-known player in the agri-tech space.
• The company has gone through its fair share of corporate restructuring with a series of acquisitions and divestments.
• On execution, Trimble continues to simplify its portfolio through actions like decreasing the number of product offerings and part numbers.

• EbixCash (EC) is looking to raise around US$800m in its upcoming India IPO. The deal will be run by Motilal, Equirus, ISec, SBI Caps and Yes Securities.
• EC is a provider of digital products and services in the B2C, B2B and financial technology arena. Its has four primary business segments: Payment solutions, travel, financial technologies and BPO.
• In this note, we talk about the positive aspects of the deal.

• Ajanta Pharma (AJP IN) has a well-diversified business model in terms of markets and therapies. The company’s largest revenue contributing segment, branded generics is seeing healthy double-digit revenue growth.
• Ajanta focuses on limited competition product in US. Going forward, the US business will see accelerated growth, driven by new launches. Ajanta plans to file 10–12 ANDAs during FY23.
• Ajanta has taken 1% price increase across all its market, which should drive margin improvement in coming quarters. The company has guided for EBITDA margin of 26–27% for FY23.