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India

Daily Brief India: Doms, Elecon Engineering, Five Star Business Finance, Epack Durable and more

By | Daily Briefs, India

In today’s briefing:

  • DOMS Industries Pre-IPO Tearsheet
  • Elecon Engineering Co. Ltd- Forensic Analysis
  • Five Star Placement – Well Flagged but Have a Lot More Stock to Get Through
  • Epack Durable Pre-IPO Tearsheet


DOMS Industries Pre-IPO Tearsheet

By Sumeet Singh

  • Doms (DOMS IN) is looking to raise around US$140m (estimated) in its upcoming India IPO. The deal will be run by JM Financial, BNP, ICICI Securities and IIFL Securities.
  • DOMS is a leading player and brand in India’s stationery and art products market. It designs,  manufactures, and sells a wide range of products, primarily under its flagship brand ‘DOMS’.
  • Its core products such as pencils and mathematical instrument boxes had market shares of 29% and 30% by value in FY23, respectively, as per Technopak.

Elecon Engineering Co. Ltd- Forensic Analysis

By Nitin Mangal

  • Elecon Engineering (ELCN IN)  (EECL) is one of the renowned manufacturers of Gears, often used in Industrials. 
  • The company has gathered operational momentum in the last few years, coupled with debt reduction. 
  • However, its balance sheet still has some concerns that are important. This relates to unaudited subsidiary, fixed asset disposals, write offs and ECL policy and large RPTs.

Five Star Placement – Well Flagged but Have a Lot More Stock to Get Through

By Sumeet Singh

  • Three PE investors are looking to raise up to US$158m via selling 5.9% of Five Star Business Finance (FIVESTAR IN) (FSB).
  • Five-Star Business is a non-banking financial company that provides secured business loans to micro-entrepreneurs and self-employed individuals. FSB had raised around US$190m in its India IPO in Nov 2022.
  • In this note, we will talk about the deal dynamics and updates since our last note.

Epack Durable Pre-IPO Tearsheet

By Ethan Aw

  • Epack Durable (1936389D IN) is looking to raise up to US$100m in its upcoming India IPO. The deal will be run by Axis Capital, DAM Capital and ICICI Securities. 
  • Epack Durable (ED) is the fastest Indian growing room air conditioner original design manufacturer (ODM) based on growth in volume manufactured between FY20-23 (Year ended 31st Mar), according to F&S. 
  • Further, it is the second largest ODM manufacturer in the Indian room air conditioner manufacturing market, with 29% market share in terms of volume manufactured in FY23, as per F&S.

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Daily Brief India: FSN E-Commerce Ventures (Nykaa) and more

By | Daily Briefs, India

In today’s briefing:

  • NYKAA IN | Nykaa Fashion Appears to Be Mismanaged and in Need of a Change


NYKAA IN | Nykaa Fashion Appears to Be Mismanaged and in Need of a Change

By Pranav Bhavsar

  • As part of our Narrative and Numbers themed Annual Report insights, we shift our focus to FSN E-Commerce Ventures (Nykaa) (NYKAA IN).
  • We focus on Nykaa Fashion due to its financial significance in spite of not being a material subsidiary warranting the need for board review on materiality policy.
  • Notable issues demanding scrutiny include (1) Declining Financials, (2) Inconsistent Reporting, (3) Misleading Narrative, and (4) Elevated Executive Compensation.

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Daily Brief India: Power Finance and more

By | Daily Briefs, India

In today’s briefing:

  • AMFI Stock Reclassification Preview (Dec 2023): Overlap Between Active & Passive Flows


AMFI Stock Reclassification Preview (Dec 2023): Overlap Between Active & Passive Flows

By Brian Freitas

  • We see 8 stocks moving from MidCap to LargeCap, 8 stocks moving from LargeCap to MidCap, 13 stocks from SmallCap to MidCap, and 13 stocks from MidCap to SmallCap.
  • The expected migrations from SmallCap to MidCap have outperformed the other potential migrations with all stocks moving higher over the last six month.
  • Active managers could continue to realign their portfolios. Some of the upward migrations will have passive flows in the next few days and over the next few months.

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Daily Brief India: GradRight and more

By | Daily Briefs, India

In today’s briefing:

  • Indian Edtech Startup Gets $6m to Help Close Education Funding Divide


Indian Edtech Startup Gets $6m to Help Close Education Funding Divide

By Tech in Asia

  • GradRight, an India-based startup that helps students with selecting their university majors and financing their studies, has raised 500 million rupees (US$6.1 million) in series A funding from IvyCap Ventures
  • The investment will be used to accelerate GradRight’s growth and expand its reach to lower- and middle-income students around the world.
  • Founded in 2020 by Aman Singh and Sasidhar Sista, the edtech startup runs an AI-powered platform that brings together prospective students, universities, and lenders.

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Daily Brief India: Jio Financial Services, Longfor Properties and more

By | Daily Briefs, India

In today’s briefing:

  • Jio Financial (JIOFIN IN): Upcoming Passive Selling & Timing
  • Morning Views Asia: Anton Oilfield, Meituan, Vedanta Resources


Jio Financial (JIOFIN IN): Upcoming Passive Selling & Timing

By Brian Freitas


Morning Views Asia: Anton Oilfield, Meituan, Vedanta Resources

By Charles Macgregor

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.


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Daily Brief India: Happy Forgings Limited and more

By | Daily Briefs, India

In today’s briefing:

  • Happy Forgings Limited Pre-IPO Tearsheet


Happy Forgings Limited Pre-IPO Tearsheet

By Clarence Chu

  • Happy Forgings Limited (6596652Z IN) is looking to raise around US$160m in its upcoming India IPO.
  • Happy Forgings Limited (HF) is a manufacturer of complex and safety critical, heavy forged and high precision machines components in India.
  • As per the Ricardo Report, the firm is the fourth largest firm domestically in terms of FY23 forging capacity. 

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Daily Brief India: Vishnu Prakash R Punglia , Cello World Limited, Polycab India , JSW Infrastructure and more

By | Daily Briefs, India

In today’s briefing:

  • Vishnu Prakash R Punglia Ltd IPO- Forensic Analysis
  • Cello World Pre-IPO Tearsheet
  • India Industrials | Quarterly Update – ABB India, Siemens, Polycab and Havells
  • JSW Infra Pre-IPO – The Negatives – Fees Rose Quicker than Escalations. High Related Party Dealings


Vishnu Prakash R Punglia Ltd IPO- Forensic Analysis

By Nitin Mangal

  • Vishnu Prakash R Punglia (1636911D IN) IPO has opened for subscription.
  • The company operates in the EPC space with a prominence in Water Supply Projects and a strong geographic presence in Rajasthan.
  • The financials of the company should be looked at carefully, especially given the fact that margins are boosted by inventory, and there are plenty of RPT with the promoters.

Cello World Pre-IPO Tearsheet

By Clarence Chu

  • Cello World Limited (CW IN) is looking to raise around US$210m in its upcoming India IPO. The bookrunners on the deal are Kotak, JM Financial, ICICI, IIFL, and Motilal Oswal.
  • Cello World (CW) is an Indian consumer products company. The firm is a leading company in the consumerware market in India.
  • According to the Technopak Report, the firm’s consumer houseware, writing instruments and stationery, and moulded furniture and allied products categories are amongst the largest brands in the Indian consumerware market.

India Industrials | Quarterly Update – ABB India, Siemens, Polycab and Havells

By Pranav Bhavsar


JSW Infra Pre-IPO – The Negatives – Fees Rose Quicker than Escalations. High Related Party Dealings

By Clarence Chu

  • JSW Infrastructure (5978490Z IN) is looking to raise around US$340m in its upcoming India IPO.
  • JSW Infrastructure (JSWI) is the fastest growing port-related infrastructure company in terms of growth in installed cargo handling capacity and cargo volumes handled during FY20 to FY22, according to CRISIL. 
  • In this note, we will talk about the not so positive aspects of the deal.

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Daily Brief India: TVS Supply Chain Solutions, Coforge, Rajshree Polypack, HealthCare Global Enterprises, JSW Infrastructure and more

By | Daily Briefs, India

In today’s briefing:

  • TVS Supply Chain Solutions IPO Trading – Offered at a Premium with Underwhelming Subscription Rates
  • Coforge Placement – US$900m Cleanup, Well Flagged but the Stock Is Toppish
  • RPPL: Weak Q1FY24 Earnings, However, Long-Term Growth Trajectory Remains Intact
  • HCG: Hitting All The Right Notes To Scale Up
  • JSW Infra Pre-IPO – The Positives – Grown Its Concessions and Long-Term Contracts Provide Visibility


TVS Supply Chain Solutions IPO Trading – Offered at a Premium with Underwhelming Subscription Rates

By Ethan Aw

  • TVS Supply Chain Solutions (TVSSCS IN) raised around US$108m in its India IPO, after downsizing from an earlier reported float of up to US$500m.
  • TVS SCS is an Indian supply chain logistics solution provider which also has global capabilities and network across the value chain with cross deployment abilities, according to RedSeer. 
  • We have looked at various aspects of the deal in our previous notes. In this note, we talk about the demand and trading dynamics.

Coforge Placement – US$900m Cleanup, Well Flagged but the Stock Is Toppish

By Sumeet Singh

  • Baring aims to raise around US$900m by selling its remaining 26.6% stake in Coforge (COFORGE IN) .
  • Baring has been paring down its stake since 2020 and hence, the selldown is somewhat well flagged.
  • In this note, we run the deal through our ECM framework and talk about the deal dynamics.

RPPL: Weak Q1FY24 Earnings, However, Long-Term Growth Trajectory Remains Intact

By Ankit Agrawal, CFA

  • RPPL reported a weak Q1FY24 due to correction in raw material prices that led to inventory losses and decline in EBITDA margin to 12% vs 14%+ QoQ and 16% YoY.
  • Given that Q1 tends to be a high demand quarter, RPPL had kept high inventory, which further accentuated the inventory losses.
  • The raw material prices have stabilized now. EBITDA per kg should stabilize back to around INR 34-35 and should help the EBITDA to grow in line with the volume growth. 

HCG: Hitting All The Right Notes To Scale Up

By Ankit Agrawal, CFA

  • HCG’s cancer segment reported decent revenue growth of 14% YoY in Q1FY24. EBITDA margin came in weaker than expected due to a few transient adverse factors.
  • HCG is hitting all the right notes to drive growth. It is beefing up clinical talent to attract patients. It is also making strategic tuck-in acquisitions to expand its presence.  
  • As cancer treatment is becoming more advanced, the mix of immunotherapy and hi-tech treatment is growing, helping the realization and the profitability to improve.

JSW Infra Pre-IPO – The Positives – Grown Its Concessions and Long-Term Contracts Provide Visibility

By Clarence Chu

  • JSW Infrastructure (5978490Z IN) is looking to raise around US$340m in its upcoming India IPO.
  • JSW Infrastructure (JSWI) is the fastest growing port-related infrastructure company in terms of growth in installed cargo handling capacity and cargo volumes handled during FY20 to FY22, according to CRISIL. 
  • In this note, we will talk about the positive aspects of the deal.

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Daily Brief India: Zydus Lifesciences Ltd, Union Bank Of India, Kolte Patil Developers, SAMHI Hotels and more

By | Daily Briefs, India

In today’s briefing:

  • Zydus Lifesciences (ZYDUSLIF IN): Strong Start of FY24 Riding on US Formulation Business
  • Union Bank of India QIP – Well-Flagged Deal, Recent Momentum Has Been Strong
  • Kolte Patil: Strong Growth Momentum Continues from FY23
  • Samhi Hotels Pre-IPO – The Negatives – Peer Comp and Valuation


Zydus Lifesciences (ZYDUSLIF IN): Strong Start of FY24 Riding on US Formulation Business

By Tina Banerjee

  • Zydus Lifesciences Ltd (ZYDUSLIF IN) recorded 30% YoY growth in revenue to INR51B in Q1FY24, driven by 57% YoY growth in US formulation business. India business revenue grew 6% YoY.
  • US business growth was driven by new product launches and improvement in base business. The company has launched four new products in the US during the quarter.
  • Zydus Lifesciences expects double-digit growth in India branded formulation business to continue and the U.S. business to grow on a formidable base of FY23 going forward.

Union Bank of India QIP – Well-Flagged Deal, Recent Momentum Has Been Strong

By Clarence Chu

  • Union Bank Of India (UNBK IN) is looking to raise US$301m from its qualified institutional placement (QIP). Included in the deal is an option to effectively double its base deal. 
  • The deal is a relatively large one to digest with the base deal alone representing 21.1 days of three months ADV. 
  • That being said, the deal here is a very well flagged one with the firm having earlier reported to look to do so to boost its free float.

Kolte Patil: Strong Growth Momentum Continues from FY23

By Ankit Agrawal, CFA

  • Kolte Patil (KPDL) reported record sales velocity in Q1FY24 and is on track to achieve 25%+ sales value growth in FY24 as per its stated guidance.
  • Business development activity is also happening at a record pace and Kolte Patil is on track to beat its prior FY24 guidance of INR 8000cr by a wide margin.
  • Despite 80%+ rise in the share price since our coverage initiation 2Y ago, Kolte Patil still offers an upside potential of 25%+ IRR over a holding period of three years. 

Samhi Hotels Pre-IPO – The Negatives – Peer Comp and Valuation

By Sumeet Singh

  • SAMHI Hotels (SAMHI IN) plans to raise around US$200m (estimated) in its Indian IPO.
  • Samhi is India’s third-largest hotel asset owner, by number of keys, with a portfolio of 25 operating hotel assets comprising 3,839 keys, as of Feb 2023.
  • In this note, we will undertake a peer comparison and provide our thoughts on valuation.

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Daily Brief India: Jana Small Finance Bank and more

By | Daily Briefs, India

In today’s briefing:

  • Jana Small Finance Bank Pre-IPO Tearsheet


Jana Small Finance Bank Pre-IPO Tearsheet

By Ethan Aw

  • Jana Small Finance Bank (3667144Z IN) is looking to raise up to US$100m in its upcoming India IPO. The deal will be run by Axis Capital, ICICI-Sec and SBI Capital.
  • Jana Small Finance Bank (JSFB) is the fourth largest small finance bank in India in terms of AUM and deposit size as of FY23 (Year ended 31st Mar 2023). 
  • The firm has served nearly 12m customers since 2008, including 4.57m active customers as of FY23.

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