India

• INOX India Limited (INOX IN) ( or IWL) and Inox Wind Energy (IWEL IN) (or IWEL) have announced a merger, where IWEL will be amalgamated with IWL
• The share swap ratio in the scheme of amalgamation gives a very evident arbitrage opportunity. 
• The arbitrage opportunity has become bigger than when announced in June 2023. While the strategy is still possible, we try to justify the market behaviour.

• Union Bank Of India (UNBK IN) is looking to raise up to INR 30bn (US$362m) with the floor price set at INR 142.78/share and a maximum discount of 5%.
• The stock has run up a lot and with index inclusion around the corner, this is as good a time as any to issue stock.
• Union Bank Of India (UNBK IN) trades cheaper than peers and could continue to outperform over the near-term.

• Union Bank Of India (UNBK IN) is looking to raise up to US$370m (INR30bn) via its QIP.
• The company last undertook a QIP in Aug 2023, which we covered in Union Bank of India QIP – Well-Flagged Deal, Recent Momentum Has Been Strong.
• This deal too is a very well flagged one, with the firm having earlier reported that it would look to do a QIP to boost its free float and capital.

• We visited FirstCry Franchisee stores in Ajmer (Rajasthan), and Hosur (Tamil Nadu).
• FirstCry has a high brand recall, limited competition, and healthy franchisee relations.
• The ability to leverage FirstCry and Baby Oye is a good margin lever.

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.

• Juniper Hotels is looking to raise up to US$217m in its upcoming India IPO.
• Juniper Hotels is the largest owner by no. of keys of Hyatt affiliated hotels in India as of 2Q23 (30th Jun 23), according to Horwath.
• We have looked at the company’s past performance in our previous note. In this note, we provide our thoughts on valuations.

• The market seems to be dancing to its own tune and is likely to continue.
• EUREKAFO’s distributors are dissatisfied, MANYAVAR’s reported numbers failed to match up to the on-ground optimism. 
• LTFH’s “strong” retail playbook keeps performing, and SGMART’s website raises concerns about its operations. 

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.

• Alam Sutera Realty
• Citicore Renewable Energy

• The NIFTY Index has been rising for 5 days in a row, this is the second week up (CC=+2), there is a good chance it will pullback soon.
• The index is going towards the Q3 resistance level at 22354, that would be a good area from where to start to prepare for a pullback.
• Going SHORT may not be worth it, the right trade is to wait for the pullback and go LONG again at better prices.

• Waaree Energies Limited (0656504D IN) (WEL) has filed its DRHP. The company is the largest player in the Solar PV Modules manufacturing space in the country.  
• The company has seen a sharp growth in sales in F23, backed by China plus one phenomemon. 
• However, the financials do have a few talking points, such as high RPT, large inventory in transit, faster depreciating newer assets, etc.

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.

• JSW Steel Ltd

• Northern Arc Capital (0542390D IN) is looking to raise at least US$100m in its upcoming India IPO. The bookrunners on the deal are Citigroup, Axis Capital, and ICICI Securities.
• Northern Arc Capital (NAC) is a retail-focused non-banking financial company (NBFC) catering its banking services to the under-served households and businesses in India.
• According to CRISIL, NAC was one of the leading players amongst India’s diversified NBFCs in terms of AUM as of Mar 23.

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.

• Rakuten Group
• UPL Ltd

• Stylam Industries (SYIL IN) reported its best-ever EBITDA margin of 22.3% Vs 16.8% due to a raw material price decline. Revenues continued to remain soft, with growth of -8% YoY.
• The company completed its brownfield expansion to increase the plant capacity by 40% and is now embarking on a capacity expansion of 200 crores in FY25, effectively doubling its revenues. 
• Stylam Industries (SYIL IN) trades at 22x/19x FY24e/25e, with a potential for doubling of revenues over the next 3-5 years.

• We screen our coverage universe for earnings disappointments, EPS downgrades, and management narratives to identify fundamental shorts.
• Stocks in focus include SBI Cards & Payment Services (SBICARD IN) , Pvr Inox (PVRINOX IN), and Escorts Kubota Limited (ESCORTS IN). 
• Credit Cost for SBI is expected to remain elevated, PVR management seems to be misreading consumer preferences, and Macro uncertainties cloud ESCORTS.

• Bharti Hexacom is looking to raise up to US$1bn in its upcoming India IPO.
• Bharti Hexacom (BH) is a communications solutions provider offering consumer mobile services, fixed-line telephone and broadband services to customers in the Rajasthan and the North East telecommunication circles in India.
• In this note, we talk about the not-so-positive aspects of the deal.

• At the last close, GMR Airports Infrastructure (GMRI IN) has a market cap of US$6.23bn and a free float market cap of US$2.48bn.
• Passive global trackers are estimated to need to buy 223.33m shares (US$230m; 4.4x ADV) of GMR Airports Infrastructure (GMRI IN) at the close on 29 February.
• GQG Partners (GQG AU) has been a big buyer since December and holds 4.98% of the company. The stock could run up for a few more weeks.

• Bharti Hexacom is looking to raise up to US$1bn in its upcoming India IPO. 
• Bharti Hexacom (BH) is a communications solutions provider offering consumer mobile services, fixed-line telephone and broadband services to customers in the Rajasthan and the North East telecommunication circles in India.
• In this note, we talk about the positive aspects of the deal.

• In Q3FY24, Dr. Reddy’s Laboratories (DRRD IN) posted highest ever revenue of INR72B, led by U.S. and Europe generics businesses, with contribution from both base business and new product launches.
• Underperformance in the domestic market continued in Q3FY24. However, the company’s initiatives regarding innovative and new generic drugs for Indian market should place it for long-term accelerated growth.
• Last month, Dr. Reddy’s acquired MenoLabs, a leading women’s health and dietary supplement branded portfolio of seven products designed to provide health support and address symptoms of perimenopause and menopause.  

Key points (machine generated)

• Maithan Alloys is a leading manufacturer of Manganese (Mn) alloys used in the production of hardened steel.
• The company operates three plants in India and recently acquired a fourth, indicating its growth and expansion in the industry.
• India, where Maithan Alloys is based, is the largest exporter of Mn alloys in the world, providing 25% of global imports, and maintains its position as a low-cost supplier despite structural disadvantages.

This article is sourced from an online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.

• LIC Housing Finance (LICHF) reported a strong Q3FY24 on the back of a strong NIM. Growth, however, has been tepid as LICHF recently transitioned its technology and organizational structure.
• FY24 has been a consolidation year due to technology and organizational changes; however, LICHF is setting up well to post strong growth in FY25.
• Among other things, affordable housing is going to be a key growth area going forward. Asset quality has been also improving and should further normalize with recoveries and upgradations.

• Zydus Lifesciences Ltd (ZYDUSLIF IN) reported 16% YoY and 7% QoQ growth in India formulation business revenue in Q3FY24 on the back of healthy volume growth and new product launches.
• Profitability improvement continued, with Q3FY24 improving 200 basis points YoY to 24.5%. Net profit surged 27% YoY.
• The Board approved INR6 billion buyback, representing 0.59% of total outstanding equity shares at a price of INR1005 per share (25% premium to last closing price) via tender offer route.