India

• Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.
• On the IPO front, Hong Kong appears to be heading towards its first US$100m+ IPO for the year.
• For placements, after a flurry of placements in the prior week, past week was relatively quiet with only the US$2bn ITC Ltd (ITC IN) block.

• Ceigall India (1605242D IN) is looking to raise at least US$100m in its upcoming India IPO. The deal will be run by IIFL Securities, JM Financial and ICICI Securities.
• Ceigall India is an infrastructure construction company with experience in undertaking specialized structural work such as elevated roads, flyovers, bridges, railway over bridges, tunnels, highways, expressways and runways. 
• Its principal business operations are broadly divided into EPC and hybrid annuity model (HAM) projects, which are spread across ten states in India.

• In this insight, we take a look at the Potential ADDs/DELs for the BSE SENSEX, 100, and 200 Indices in the June 2024 index rebal event.
• As things stand, there could be one index change for the SENSEX index but there is room for these names to change during the remainder of the reference period.
• Separately, there could be five ADDs/DELs for the BSE 100 index and six ADDs/DELs for the BSE 200 index.

• Recent RBI and SEBI actions unveil irregularities in JM Financial (JM IN) Products IPO financing, exposing risks in NBFC-led subscriptions.
• Ensuring market integrity and investor protection, regulatory scrutiny highlights governance lapses, urging transparency and accountability.
• Prompts investor caution, demanding rigorous scrutiny of financial intermediaries, and reinforcing the need for robust regulatory oversight.

• The NIFTY Index this week suddenly stopped its rally and started to correct.
• This week should close down and the next week may be also down, but if it is the odds are great for a LONG trade.
• Re-Enter the rally at prices between 21800 and 21150, this week or the next.

• We screen our coverage universe for earnings surprises, EPS upgrades, and management narratives to identify fundamental longs.
• Stocks discussed include TVS Motor (TVSL IN), Nestle India (NEST IN), and Honasa Consumer (HONASA IN) 
• TVSL EVs could surprise, NEST offers the right safety in the current environment, and for HONASA there is a possibility of turning around. 

• In Feb 2024,  BAT’s management stated that they were reviewing their stake in ITC Ltd (ITC IN).  The news of a possible selldown by BAT was leaked again earlier today.
• BAT has owned its stake in ITC for over a century and remains its largest shareholder.
• In this note, we talk about the deal dynamics and run the deal through our ECM framework.

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.

• China South City
• Greenko Energy Holdings
• Road King Infrastructure

• Gopal Snacks (1592789D IN) IPO worth INR 6.5 bn is live on the bourses. 
• The company is a prominent snacks manufacturer in India, especially in the state of Gujarat. It boasts one of the highest fixed asset turnover ratio and high ROCEs. 
• On the flipside, caution must remain on its dull revenue growth post F22 and on its related party transactions, especially with promoter companies.

• Ola Electric is looking to raise about US$1bn in its upcoming India IPO.
• Ola Electric Mobility is a vertically integrated pure EV player in India with manufacturing capabilities for EVs and EV components, including cells.
• In our previous note we looked at the company’s past performance and undertook a peer comparison. In this note, we will talk about valuations.

• HDFC Bank (HDFCB IN) has been the most successful bank in India over the last two decades, delivering best-in-class performance consistently; Things changed drastically with the merger with HDFC Ltd.
• The negatives outweigh the positives in the near-term from the merger; the synergies, which are significant, are long-term in nature and hence would take time to play out.
• We remain long-term believers, but it is a “Short” in the short-term as we expect further -20% correction in valuations

• Kolte Patil Developers (KPDL IN) reported a decent Q3FY24 led by record sales value and improved realization. It is on track to achieve its guided INR 2800cr sales value for FY24.
• Demand environment continues to be robust. Kolte Patil has guided for 25%+ sales value growth even for FY25. Realization also has room to improve and should aid the growth.
• New business development activity is strong. Kolte Patil is in advances stages of discussion for projects with sales value worth INR 8000-10000cr, INR 3000-4000cr of which could close soon.

• Copper, known as the “red metal” and vital in modern civilization, has seen a significant surge in demand globally, especially in sectors like electrical, electronics, construction, and transportation.
• Global and Indian reserves of copper, use cases, production process and government push towards Copper mining and overall analysis of existing new entrants in the industry.
• India possessing only 0.25% of the world’s reserves, the overall view from mining to distribution and consumption of copper across India and companies involved in the space.

• The GoI is looking to raise up to US$248m from selling its stake in Neyveli Lignite (NLC IN).
• This seems to be part of the GoI’s ongoing divestment drive across PSUs, with the recent selldowns in other PSUs having done well. 
• The GoI had also sold some stake in the firm earlier in Oct 2017. 

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.

• Adani Green Energy