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Healthcare

Health Care: Siloam International Hospitals, Genscript Biotech, HealthCare Global Enterprises and more

By | Daily Briefs, Healthcare

In today’s briefing:

  • Smartkarma Corporate Webinar | Siloam Hospitals: Riding on a Base Case Revival
  • Genscript Biotech – Commercialized CAR-T & Strong CGT CDMO Indicate Exponential Growth in Valuation
  • HCG: Consolidation Continues to Boost Profitability

Smartkarma Corporate Webinar | Siloam Hospitals: Riding on a Base Case Revival

By Smartkarma Research

For our next Corporate Webinar with Siloam International Hospitals (SILO IJ), we are glad to welcome Daniel Phua, CFO, and Varun Khanna, Senior Director of Healthcare Business, Corporate Strategy, and Investments.

In the upcoming webinar, Daniel and Varun will share a short company presentation, after which they will engage in a fireside chat with Smartkarma Analyst Angus Mackintosh. A live Q&A session will follow.

The Corporate Webinar will be hosted on Tuesday, 21 June 2022, 17:00 SGT.

PT Siloam International Hospitals Tbk (ticker: SILO) is recognised as a reputable and leading operator of private hospital network in Indonesia, with 41 hospitals spread across several islands, namely Java, Sumatra, Kalimantan, Sulawesi, Bali, and Nusa Tenggara. Siloam’s medical team of more than 3,000 general practitioners and specialist doctors, and 8,000 nurses and support staff, offers international quality healthcare services to around two million patients annually.

Corporate Webinars by Smartkarma Corporate Solutions feature discussions with IROs and Executives, discussing their companies, the challenges they face, and the opportunities in their sectors and markets.


Genscript Biotech – Commercialized CAR-T & Strong CGT CDMO Indicate Exponential Growth in Valuation

By Xinyao (Criss) Wang

  • The CARVYKTI commercialization will bring GenScript increasing revenue and cash flow. Together with the rapid growth of GCT CDMO, it is expected to see gradual improvement in GenScript’s financial performance.
  • The complex international relations, geopolitical conflicts and anti-globalization risks could weigh on bullish sentiment in the short term or cause stock prices to fluctuate wildly.
  • In the long term, GenScript’s “all-in” on GCT area enables it follow the industry trend closely. So,GenScript have the exponential growth potential in valuation, with possibility of surpassing WuXi Biologics.

HCG: Consolidation Continues to Boost Profitability

By Ankit Agrawal, CFA

  • HCG’s continued focus on consolidation is leading to improving profitability.  Furthermore, with the normalization of post-COVID environment, elective surgeries and international footfalls are inching back to pre-COVID levels.
  • Since the onboarding of CVC Capital as the majority shareholder, HCG’s capex discipline has been noteworthy. Capex is focused now on driving growth in existing centers vs opening new centers.
  • We project HCG’s PAT to grow to INR 170cr+ by FY25. Valuing HCG at FY25 exit P/E of 47x suggests an IRR potential of 27% over the next 3Y.

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Health Care: Beijing Tongrentang Co A, Huadong Medicine Co Ltd A, Sequent Scientific and more

By | Daily Briefs, Healthcare

In today’s briefing:

  • SSE180/​​SSE380 Index Rebalance: Potential MSCI/​FTSE Adds & Deletes
  • Huadong Medicine Co Ltd (000963.CH) – A “Dark Horse” to Reverse Performance Dilemma
  • Sequent Scientific – Recovery in API Business; Gross Margin Remains Below FY21

SSE180/​​SSE380 Index Rebalance: Potential MSCI/​FTSE Adds & Deletes

By Brian Freitas

  • There are 18 changes to the SSE180 Index and 38 changes to the SSE380 Index that will be implemented at the close of trading on 9 June.
  • There will be 9 deletions from the MSCI Standard Index and 22 deletions from the FTSE All-World/All-Cap indices at the close on 9 June.
  • Currently, 16 stocks meet the threshold/are close for inclusion in the MSCI China Index while there are 38 stocks that meet the threshold for inclusion in the FTSE All-World/All-Cap indices.

Huadong Medicine Co Ltd (000963.CH) – A “Dark Horse” to Reverse Performance Dilemma

By Xinyao (Criss) Wang

  • The most recent two quarters have maintained positive growth. It is of great significance for Huadong, who once suffered a significant decline and now in a critical period of transformation.
  • The large growth potential of medical cosmetology and industrial microbiology would be important driver for future development. It’s also wise to strike a balance between current performance and future strategy.
  • Huadong’s revenue growth would be above 10% in next few years. It would have higher valuation than Imeik. Investors are advised to follow Huadong. It could be a “dark horse”.

Sequent Scientific – Recovery in API Business; Gross Margin Remains Below FY21

By Nirmal Bang

  • 4QFY22 Earnings Highlights: SSL reported revenue of Rs3,837mn, up 6% YoY and 7.2% QoQ.
  • Formulations business reported sales at Rs2,563mn, up 2.3% YoY and 0.3% QoQ.
  • Europe formulations business reported sales at Rs1,034mn, down 7.1% YoY and 1.8% QoQ.

Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.


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Health Care: Apple Inc and more

By | Daily Briefs, Healthcare

In today’s briefing:

  • Harding Loevner Global Equity Fund Q1 2022 Letter

Harding Loevner Global Equity Fund Q1 2022 Letter

By Fund Newsletters

  • Harding Loevner has been investing globally in high-quality, growing businesses based on disciplined industry research since 1989.
  • Stock markets fell in the quarter, as the world watched in horror Russia’s invasion of Ukraine.
  • China-based WuXi Biologics illustrates the perfect storm of macro issues pressuring the share prices of our rapidly growing companies.
  • As questions mount whether globalization has reached a tipping point, companies are taking full advantage of the many advances occurring across the industrial automation landscape— propelling leadingp roviders of “Industry 4.0” solutions onto favorable growth paths.

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Health Care: CanSino Biologics Inc, Beauty Farm Medical and Health Industry, Virtus Health, AIA Group Ltd and more

By | Daily Briefs, Healthcare

In today’s briefing:

  • Shanghai/​Shenzhen Southbound Connect: Weekly Moves (27 May 2022)
  • Beauty Farm Medical and Health Industry Pre-IPO: Near-Term Operating Environment Is Not Beautiful
  • BGH Capital in Pole Position at Virtus
  • Harding Loevner Emerging Markets Equity Fund Q1 2022 Letter

Shanghai/​Shenzhen Southbound Connect: Weekly Moves (27 May 2022)

By David Blennerhassett

  • Inside is a recap of movements in the last week relating to the Shanghai and Shenzhen-Hong Kong Stock Connect facilities, broken down by company and industry. 
  • Overall, net inflow was ~US$1.1bn, split evenly (roughly) between Shanghai and Shenzhen. 
  • The largest inflows were into  China Mobile (941 HK) and CNOOC Ltd (883 HK). The largest outflows were in Kuaishou Technology (1024 HK) and BYD (1211 HK).

Beauty Farm Medical and Health Industry Pre-IPO: Near-Term Operating Environment Is Not Beautiful

By Tina Banerjee

  • Beauty Farm Medical and Health Industry (BFM HK), second largest body and skin care service provider in China has filed for IPO on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange.  
  • Large and growing addressable market, comprehensive service offering, nationwide store network, and sound financial position are the major strengths of the company.
  • BFM’s operation faces uncertainties over COVID and related restrictions. This IPO is not expected to see listing gain unless general market condition and China’s economic growth outlook improve.

BGH Capital in Pole Position at Virtus

By Arun George

  • The Virtus Health (VRT AU) Board changed their recommendation that the BGH takeover offer rather than the CapVest offer is in the best interest of shareholders.
  • BGH and CapVest represent 22.38% and 1.13% of outstanding shares, respectively. Press reports suggest that it is unlikely that CapVest will increase its offer (scheme: A$8.15, takeover: A$8.10).
  • The BGH takeover offer of A$8.15 per share remains open until 31 May. At the last close price, the gross spread to the BGH takeover offer is 0.9%.

Harding Loevner Emerging Markets Equity Fund Q1 2022 Letter

By Fund Newsletters

  • Harding Loevner has been investing globally in high-quality, growing businesses based on disciplined industry research since 1989.
  • Emerging Markets (EMs) declined sharply, primarily due to the collapse in Russian equities brought about by economic sanctions against Russia because of its invasion of Ukraine, as well as poor performance in China.
  • The EM landscape is currently fogged by an exceptional confluence of risks: armed conflict in Ukraine, inflation, rising interest rates, volatile commodity prices, and concerns about food and energy security.
  • Although we made only a handful of transactions this quarter, the portfolio’s profile changed significantly because of the write-down of our Russian holdings and the outsized returns of stocks benefiting from commodity price inflation.

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Health Care: Dr Lal PathLabs Ltd, Bangkok Chain Hospital and more

By | Daily Briefs, Healthcare

In today’s briefing:

  • Dr Lal PathLabs Ltd (DLPL IN): Base Business Recovering; Competition Is the Only Headwind
  • BCH: Turning Back to Core Operation Post 1Q22 Peak

Dr Lal PathLabs Ltd (DLPL IN): Base Business Recovering; Competition Is the Only Headwind

By Tina Banerjee

  • Dr Lal PathLabs Ltd (DLPL IN) reported 35% y/y revenue growth in its non-COVID business in FY22. Non-COVID realization per patient is also back to pre-COVID levels.  
  • The company has acquired Suburban Diagnostics last year, which will further widen its geographical footprint, with western region contributing 24% of revenue from 10% earlier.
  • There is a lot of noise regarding competition in the industry. Thus far, DLPL has not seen much pricing pressure and underpenetrated Indian diagnostic segment can accommodate more players.

BCH: Turning Back to Core Operation Post 1Q22 Peak

By Pi Research

  • Upgrade to BUY from HOLD rating with an unchanged TP of B21.00, based on 14.36xPE’22E which is close to -2SD of 3-years trailing average.
  • We see earnings trend to fall QoQ in 2Q22, as COVID-19 contribution fades in parallel with declining infection patients cases and dropped RT-PCR test for vaccinated tourists.
  • We view profit trend to drop HoH in 2H22, as COVID-revenue normalizes YoY off high base in 2H21 based on our expectation government declares COVID as endemic in July.

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Health Care: Imeik Technology Development, Otsuka Holdings and more

By | Daily Briefs, Healthcare

In today’s briefing:

  • Imeik Technology Development (300896.CH) – Superficial Prosperity Hardly Masks Underlying Risks
  • Otsuka Holdings (4578 JP) 1Q22: Global Products Continued Double-Digit Revenue Growth

Imeik Technology Development (300896.CH) – Superficial Prosperity Hardly Masks Underlying Risks

By Xinyao (Criss) Wang

  • Imeik keeps its outstanding financial performance in 2021/2022Q1. On the surface, it looks prosperous, but its development strategy, product layout and resilience in front of risks would bring many uncertainties.
  • Considering the pandemic/lockdown and a slowing economy in China, the revenue growth in 2022 could fall to about 50%, then to about 40% and 30% in 2023 and 2024 respectively.
  • Imeik’s valuation is “unreasonably high”, which is expected to be lower than Bloomage in the future. Anything that deviates from fundamentals would inevitably return to the origin. 

Otsuka Holdings (4578 JP) 1Q22: Global Products Continued Double-Digit Revenue Growth

By Tina Banerjee

  • Otsuka Holdings (4578 JP) started 2022 on a strong note, with 13% y/y revenue growth in Q1. Growth was driven by four global products, which contributed 36% of total revenue.
  • Otsuka has terminated its global license agreements with Akebia Therapeutics related to vadadustat for the treatment of renal anemia and recorded an impairment loss of ¥24 billion.
  • Despite the impairment losses related to vadadustat, Otsuka reiterated 2022 guidance and expects double-digit growth in operating and net profits.

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Health Care: Imugene Ltd, Virtus Health and more

By | Daily Briefs, Healthcare

In today’s briefing:

  • Imugene (IMU AU): Promising Pipeline And Financial Muscle Power Are Biggest Strengths
  • Virtus: BGH Bumps; CapVest’s Scheme Untenable

Imugene (IMU AU): Promising Pipeline And Financial Muscle Power Are Biggest Strengths

By Tina Banerjee

  • Imugene Ltd (IMU AU) shares faced panic-selling after the announcement of termination of the company’s supply contract with Merck. However, the study will continue with alternative supply arrangement.
  • Recently, Imugene published a letter to the shareholders describing the strength and near-term catalyst of the company, which provided some respite to the stock.
  • Overall, Imugene, with a cash balance of A$109 million, is well-funded to advance its unique immune-oncology pipeline toward commercial success.

Virtus: BGH Bumps; CapVest’s Scheme Untenable

By David Blennerhassett

  • With a little under two weeks until Virtus Health (VRT AU) shareholders vote on CapVest’s Offer, BGH bumps its off-market bid to $8.15/share, matching CapVest’s Scheme terms.
  • BGH added it now holds 22.38% and will vote against CapVest’s Offer. Virtus has encouraged CapVest to respond today about whether they will increase terms. 
  • With CapVest’s Scheme all-but blocked, BGH’s revised $8.15/share Offer is now the highest offer for Virtus.

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Health Care: HK inno.N, Bloomage Biotechnology Corporation-A, Krishna Institute of Medical Sciences, Pfizer Limited, Zydus Lifesciences Ltd and more

By | Daily Briefs, Healthcare

In today’s briefing:

  • HK Inno. N (195940 KS): Flagship Drug K-CAB Is Set to Become a Global Blockbuster Drug
  • Bloomage Biotechnology Vs Yunnan Botanee Bio-Technology – Accumulate Richly and Break Forth Vastly
  • Result Update – Krishna Institute of Medical Sciences LTD
  • Pfizer India – Beat on Margins
  • Zydus Lifesciences – Excluding One-Offs, Earnings In-Line with Estimates

HK Inno. N (195940 KS): Flagship Drug K-CAB Is Set to Become a Global Blockbuster Drug

By Tina Banerjee

  • HK inno.N (195940 KS)‘s K-CAB induces faster onset of action and can control gastric pH for a longer period than the existing treatments in acid-related disorders.  
  • K-CAB is expected to start global expansion in 2022. The drug obtained marketing approval in Philippines. It is already approved in China and is under clinical trial in the U.S.  
  • HK inno has entered into marketing alliances with several Southeast Asian and Latin American countries. The company aims to export the drug to 100 countries globally by 2028.

Bloomage Biotechnology Vs Yunnan Botanee Bio-Technology – Accumulate Richly and Break Forth Vastly

By Xinyao (Criss) Wang

  • Botanee has outstanding performance at the current stage, but WINONA alone is not enough to establish a high moat. Its weak R&D/innovation in raw materials/products would cast doubts on outlook.
  • Bloomage is more R&D oriented and characterized by integration of industrial chain. Its advanced synthetic biology will bring more possibilities for future development.The collagen would be a new growth point.
  • Although with lower net profit margin, Bloomage is expected to have better outlook than Botanee. So, we think Bloomage could have higher valuation than Botanee in the future.  

Result Update – Krishna Institute of Medical Sciences LTD

By Axis Direct

  • The company’s occupancy rate reduced to 590bps YOY due to COVID 3.0 in Jan’22 but it has since picked up momentum.
  • ARPOB improved to Rs 25,144., led by speciality surgeries into the lungs and heart segment.
  • The business has almost reached the pre-Covid levels with In-Patient (IP) volumes increasing by 25% on a YoY basis.

Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.


Pfizer India – Beat on Margins

By Nirmal Bang

  • Resurgence of Covid and potential launch of anti-covid pill Paxlovid in India
  • Potential generic competition in Eliquis in 2HFY23 – we estimate Eliquis sales to be ~Rs1,500mn for Pfizer in India.
  • Impact of Universal Immunization Program on Prevnar sales in Private Markets – Prevnar penetration in the target markets is currently in low single digit and hence we currently are not building in a material decline in the Prevnar opportunity.

Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.


Zydus Lifesciences – Excluding One-Offs, Earnings In-Line with Estimates

By Nirmal Bang

  • Mesalamine Portfolio: In the US market, Zydus faced competition and price erosion in gLialda while the company continues to be the sole generic player in Asacol HD. 
  • In May’22, Sun Pharma was the first generic player to receive final USFDA approval for gPentasa.
  • We expect Zydus to also receive an approval for gPentasa soon.

Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.


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Health Care: WuXi AppTec Co. Ltd., Dr. Reddy’s Laboratories, Gland Pharma Ltd, Lupin Ltd and more

By | Daily Briefs, Healthcare

In today’s briefing:

  • WuXi AppTec (603259.CH/2359.HK)- The Private Placement and Shanghai Yingyi’s Illegal Share Reduction
  • Dr. Reddy’s Laboratories (DRRD IN) 4QFY22: Double-Digit Sales Growth; One-Off Charge Impacted Profit
  • Dr. Reddy’s Laboratories – Strong Growth Across Business Segments
  • Gland Pharma Ltd. – In-Line with Estimates; Upgrade to Buy on Valuation Comfort
  • Lupin – Disappointing Quarter; Focus on Driving Cost Efficiencies

WuXi AppTec (603259.CH/2359.HK)- The Private Placement and Shanghai Yingyi’s Illegal Share Reduction

By Xinyao (Criss) Wang

  • It’s understandable to take advantage of current market value and reserve capital in advance.Considering potential risks, how low the price of proposed issuance has to be to feel “safe enough”?
  • Yingyi’s illegally reducing its holdings of WuXi AppTec could be a signal– Yingyi and other shareholders/executives are not confident in WuXi AppTec’s outlook, who may not regain its glory days.
  • We recommend investors to view this proposed issuance rationally. If investors want to trade, a good strategy is to catch rebound after plunge, although the temporary rebound does not last.

Dr. Reddy’s Laboratories (DRRD IN) 4QFY22: Double-Digit Sales Growth; One-Off Charge Impacted Profit

By Tina Banerjee

  • Dr. Reddy’s Laboratories (DRRD IN) reported 15% y/y growth in revenue in Q4, driven by strong performance across all the markets. Adjusted for one-offs, net profit grew 54% y/y.
  • Despite pricing pressure, the U.S. business should continue its growth momentum with better traction in key products launched in FY22 and upcoming new launches, including generic version of Revlimid.
  • Inflationary pressure (raw material, freight), lower offtake of COVID-related products in India, and currency headwinds in emerging markets are some downside risks for the company.

Dr. Reddy’s Laboratories – Strong Growth Across Business Segments

By Nirmal Bang

  • Dr. Reddy’s reported revenue at Rs54,368mn, up 15% YoY and 2.2% QoQ. EBITDA stood at Rs12,981mn, up 14.6% YoY and 2.5% QoQ.
  • EBITDA margin stood at 23.9%, down 9bps YoY, but up 8bps QoQ. 
  • Profit After Tax (PAT) stood at Rs875mn, down 84.2% YoY and 87.6% QoQ.

Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.


Gland Pharma Ltd. – In-Line with Estimates; Upgrade to Buy on Valuation Comfort

By Nirmal Bang

  • The company has guided for a capex of Rs3,000mn in FY23, which will be invested in the Pashmelyaram facility, API expansion and expansion of Enoxaparin production capacity.
  • The company expects 9-10% revenue growth from new product launches. New product launches are expected to deliver better margins than the existing portfolio.
  • Gland is looking at acquiring late stage complex injectable assets / fermentation API assets.

Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.


Lupin – Disappointing Quarter; Focus on Driving Cost Efficiencies

By Nirmal Bang

  • Lupin reported revenue of Rs38,830mn, up 2.6% YoY, but down 6.7% QoQ. EBITDA stood at s2,678mn, down 62.1% YoY and 27.6% QoQ.
  • EBITDA margin stood at 6.9%, down 1181bps YoY and 199bps QoQ. Net loss stood at Rs5,180mn.
  • R&D cost stood at Rs3,442mn (8.9% of total sales). The company reported a capital expenditure of Rs1,577mn in 4QFY22.

Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.


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Health Care: Taisho Pharmaceutical Holdin and more

By | Daily Briefs, Healthcare

In today’s briefing:

  • Taisho Pharmaceutical (4581 JP): A Compelling Play on Japan’s Consumer Spending Recovery

Taisho Pharmaceutical (4581 JP): A Compelling Play on Japan’s Consumer Spending Recovery

By Tina Banerjee

  • Taisho Pharmaceutical Holdin (4581 JP) is the leader in the Japanese OTC drug market. The company’s Lipovitan, Pabron and RiUP brands capture top market share in their respective categories.
  • With the re-opening of economy, increasing number of people are indulging in outdoor activities and consumer spending is recovering. These should boost Taisho’s OTC drug business.  
  • The company’s prescription pharmaceutical business is well-positioned for long-term growth, driven by strong performance of existing drugs and upcoming new product launch.

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