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In today’s briefing:
- SMFG Cross-Shareholding – At Least US$17bn of Cross-Shareholding to Sell, Planning to Speed It Up
- Asia Cement China (743 HK): A Low-Balled Offer Set up to Fail
- Value-Up Tax Support Revealed by End of June: Local Market Eyes Corporate Tax Cut Beneficiaries
- CK Asset Holdings (1113 HK): First Down, Then Up?
- Maxell (6810) Launches New MTMP, A “TSE ‘ATIMAoCoC&SP'” Notice, And A Buyback
- Asia Cement (743 HK): $3.22/Share Offer – Really?
- Quiddity Leaderboard S&P 500 Jun 24: Ranks to Be Finalized Tomorrow; 2 Changes Possible
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SMFG Cross-Shareholding – At Least US$17bn of Cross-Shareholding to Sell, Planning to Speed It Up
- Following up on our earlier cross-shareholding notes, in this note we look at Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group (8316 JP) cross-shareholding.
- SMFG had a stake over US$100m in at least 47 listed Japanese stocks, amounting to a total of around US$17bn.
- In this note, we take a look at its stakes in various companies to see which ones could possibly be candidates for further selldowns.
Asia Cement China (743 HK): A Low-Balled Offer Set up to Fail
- Asia Cement China (743 HK) disclosed a Cayman scheme privatisation offer from Asia Cement (1102 TT) at HK$3.22. Including the dividend, the total offer is HK$3.26, 1.7% below the last close.
- The offer, which is final, is unattractive as it is materially below net cash and historical trading ranges. The disparity cannot be justified by the potential cash burn this year.
- While no shareholder holds the 10% blocking stake, the high AGM minority participation rates and emerging retail opposition suggest a high chance of a deal break.
Value-Up Tax Support Revealed by End of June: Local Market Eyes Corporate Tax Cut Beneficiaries
- A high-ranking official from the local financial regulatory authority has confirmed to several local media outlets that the tax benefits for the value-up program will be unveiled this month.
- Corporate tax cuts and separate taxation on dividend income will be included. The short-term impact at the time of the announcement will likely be more significant for corporate tax cuts.
- Local market is focused on screening large companies within the KOSPI 200 that have substantial pre-tax profits in anticipation of the corporate tax cut momentum to be announced this month.
CK Asset Holdings (1113 HK): First Down, Then Up?
- CK Asset Holdings (1113 HK) has traded lower recently and shorts have exploded in the stock in the last few months.
- CK Asset Holdings (1113 HK) has underperformed its peers in the last 6 months and trades cheaper on forward PE and price to book.
- There will be passive selling in the stock in just over two weeks. There will be positioning, but not enough to meet passive supply. Expect a further move lower.
Maxell (6810) Launches New MTMP, A “TSE ‘ATIMAoCoC&SP'” Notice, And A Buyback
- Today, Maxell Ltd (6810 JP) announced its new MTMP “MEX26 – Commit to Value (CorporateValue,ProfitGrowth)” with lots of consultant-speak and corporate homily.
- But they present a capital investment plan, and a capital return plan. These may interest investors. The buyback is the same size as 2019 and 2022. They popped and faded.
- Todays tidbits were all announced during the lunch break today, and the stock popped 6% in the PM session on the news.
Asia Cement (743 HK): $3.22/Share Offer – Really?
- After Chinese cement play Asia Cement China (743 HK) (ACC) was suspended on the 28th May, a punchy Offer from its parent Asia Cement (1102 TT) was expected.
- Not to be. Asia Cement is offering $3.22/share, best & final. A 3.01% discount to last close, ~ 45% premium to undisturbed, and a whopping 37% discount to net cash.
- Asia Cement plus concert parties hold 73.38%, so a blocking stake at the Court Meeting is 2.662%. One (possible) aspect in Asia Cement’s favour is that ACC is not shortable.
Quiddity Leaderboard S&P 500 Jun 24: Ranks to Be Finalized Tomorrow; 2 Changes Possible
- The S&P 500 index tracks the 500 largest names listed in the US and it is one of the most highly-tracked indices in the world.
- The rankings used for the June 2024 index rebal event will be decided based on the opening prices tomorrow (6th June 2024).
- In this insight, we take a final look at the potential ADDs and DELs leading the rankings for the upcoming review.