Credit

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.

• ENN Energy
• ENN Natural Gas
• Indofood CBP Sukses
• West China Cement
• Wynn Macau Ltd

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.

• Adaro Energy
• Greentown China
• Vedanta Resources

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.

• Adani Green Energy
• Japfa Comfeed Indonesia
• Medco Energi
• Pakuwon Jati

Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone (APSEZ) has released FY 2023-24 numbers that were slightly above expectations. The company’s strong revenue and EBITDA growth (of 28% and 24% y-o-y, respectively) exceeded management’s guidance, supported by higher than estimated growth in cargo volumes. APSEZ appears poised to achieve its target of 500 MMT cargo volumes in 2025, supported by organic growth and the contribution from its latest acquisition (Gopalpur Port). Net adjusted leverage improved to 2.9x (FY 2022-23: 4.0x). We expect leverage to be stable in FY 2024-25, in line with management’s guidance.

APSEZ appears to have a renewed appetite for expansion (particularly in overseas markets, amid its already strong domestic position), which may present event risks. In the meantime, the company may remain affected by negative headlines related to corporate governance issues at the broader Adani Group.

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.

• China Vanke

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.

• Lippo Karawaci
• Lippo Malls Indonesia Retail Trust
• MGM China Holdings
• SK Hynix

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.

• Indika Energy
• Melco Resorts and Entertainment (Philippines)
• PT Pertamina (Persero)

COG’s FY 2023 results were acceptable in our view. Importantly, the audit issues resulting in the belated publication of results appear to be minor, with auditor PwC giving a clean audit opinion overall. Leverage was largely stable despite the soft earnings, thanks to debt reduction. In addition, we view positively that the guarantees provided to associate Shandong Shengli (which we classify under debt) have largely fallen away. COG’s liquidity is adequate, as the company is poised to refinance the bridge loan using a new syndicated loan facility.

We move our recommendation to “Buy” from “Hold” on the CHIOIL 4.7 ’26s.

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.

• Nickel Industries
• West China Cement

• We have been of the opinion that tokenized real world assets (RWAs), especially tokenized debt will represent a more understandable underlying value of tokens or cryptocurrencies than Bitcoin.
• We are positive on tokens backed by risk-free assets such as US Treasuries or even investment-grade bonds as rates products for crypto funds and fractional investments for retail investors.
• Private debt could be the next in line to enjoy mass adoption if the legal elements and credit protection have been put in place to gain trust of institutional investors.

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.

• China Hongqiao
• Greentown China
• Medco Energi
• Yankuang Energy Group

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.

• China Vanke
• Road King Infrastructure

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.

• China Oil And Gas
• Continuum Green Energy
• Indika Energy

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.

• SK Hynix
• Vedanta Resources

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.

• China Hongqiao

Indika Energy has launched a tender offer for its USD 8.25% 2025 notes, with USD 534 mn outstanding. For each USD 1,000 in principal, the tender consideration is USD 962.5 and early tender consideration is USD 50, leading to a total consideration of USD 1,012.5. Indika is concurrently launching a USD 144A/RegS offering. Holders of the 8.25% ’25s may request to receive priority allocation on the new notes.

We view initial price talk of 8.875% as attractive, given the company’s robust credit profile and improving debt maturity profile.