Category

Credit

Jan 01
0

Daily Brief Credit: Bond Market Monitor: 2025 as Another Year for USD Bonds and more

By | Credit, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • Bond Market Monitor: 2025 as Another Year for USD Bonds

Bond Market Monitor: 2025 as Another Year for USD Bonds

By Warut Promboon

  • The biggest event in 2024 which will impact rates in 2025 is perhaps the victory of Donald Trump, who promised to cut taxes and raise tariffs.
  • We do not believe the US economy could continue to grow at 3% annually with expectation of a recession in 2026. For 2025, we see declining consumption and sticky inflation.
  • Elevated rates are positive on fixed rate USD bonds as long as there is no rate hike of which we believe for 2025. 

💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars
Sign Up for Free


Dec 21
0

Daily Brief Credit: Lucror Analytics – Morning Views Asia and more

By | Credit, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • Lucror Analytics – Morning Views Asia

Lucror Analytics – Morning Views Asia

By Tanvi Arora

  • In today’s Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: Continuum Green
  • In the US, the third estimate for Q3/24 annualised GDP was revised upwards to 3.1% q-o-q (from 2.8% in the first and second estimates). Q3 personal consumption was raised to 3.7% (3.6% e / 3.5% p), and the core PCE price index to 2.2% (2.1% e / 2.1% p). Separately, November existing home sales grew at a quicker pace than expected at 4.8% m-o-m (3.2% e / 3.4% p) to 4.15 mn units, the most since March.
  • Meanwhile, the Conference Board Leading Economic Index rose 0.3% to 99.7 in November, nearly reversing its 0.4% decline in October.

💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars
Sign Up for Free


Dec 20
0

Daily Brief Credit: New Issue Snapshot: Vista Energy and more

By | Credit, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • New Issue Snapshot: Vista Energy
  • Lucror Analytics – Morning Views Asia

New Issue Snapshot: Vista Energy

By Leandro Gubler

  • We are initiating coverage on Vista with an Outperform recommendation. We view Vista as an attractive option for investors seeking exposure to Argentina’s energy sector.
  • Vista boasts a robust financial and business risk profile, supported by strong credit metrics, solid profitability, and its leadership position in Argentina’s Vaca Muerta shale formation.
  • Vista is exposed to fewer sovereign and political risks than YPF, and its unique growth opportunity adds to its appeal.

Lucror Analytics – Morning Views Asia

By Leonard Law, CFA

  • In today’s Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: Shimao Group, Guangzhou R&F, New World Development
  • In the US, the FOMC has voted 11-1 to reduce the Fed funds target rate by 25 bps to 4.25-4.50%, a move in line with market expectations. Cleveland Fed President Beth Hammack voted against the decision, in favour of keeping rates steady instead.
  • Fed Chairman Jerome Powell noted during a press conference that the central bank has lowered the policy rate by a full percentage point from its peak, adding that interest rates are still meaningfully restraining economic activity and that the Fed remains on track to further reduce rates.

💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars
Sign Up for Free


Dec 19
0

Daily Brief Credit: Lucror Analytics – Morning Views Asia and more

By | Credit, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • Lucror Analytics – Morning Views Asia

Lucror Analytics – Morning Views Asia

By Trung Nguyen

  • In today’s Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: Vedanta Resources, China Hongqiao, Gajah Tunggal
  • In the US, November advance retail sales came in above estimates at 0.7% m-o-m (0.6% e / 0.5% revised p), bolstered by a jump in car purchases and solid online shopping during Black Friday.
  • That said, retail sales excluding auto slowed to 0.2% m-o-m (0.4% e / 0.2% revised p). Separately, November industrial production unexpectedly fell 0.1% m-o-m (0.3% e / -0.4% p), the third straight month of decline, owing to weaker utilities and mining output.

💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars
Sign Up for Free


Dec 18
0

Daily Brief Credit: Lucror Analytics – Morning Views Asia and more

By | Credit, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • Lucror Analytics – Morning Views Asia
  • Delta Dunia Makmur – ESG Report – Lucror Analytics

Lucror Analytics – Morning Views Asia

By Leonard Law, CFA

  • In today’s Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: New World Development, Vedanta Resources, Softbank Group, AAC Technologies
  • In the US, the December (preliminary) S&P manufacturing PMI fell to 48.3 (49.5 e / 49.7 p), while the services PMI expanded to 58.5 (55.8 e / 56.1 p).
  • The composite PMI also rose to 56.6 (55.1 e / 54.9 p). Treasuries were little changed, ahead of the Fed’s rate decision tomorrow. The yield on the 2Y and 10Y UST were flat at 4.25% and 4.40%, respectively.

Delta Dunia Makmur – ESG Report – Lucror Analytics

By Trung Nguyen

  • PT Delta Dunia Makmur Tbk (BUMA) is a holding company with an operational entity, PT Bukit Makmur Mandiri Utama, which is one of the largest coal-mining contractors in Indonesia by production volume.
  • Its two other subsidiaries, PT Banyubiru Sakti and PT Pulau Mutiara Persada, are non-active entities which held coal exploration permits.
  • Formerly a textile business, BUMA was transformed into a real estate company in 2008 following the sale of the erstwhile business. 

💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars
Sign Up for Free


Dec 17
0

Daily Brief Credit: Lucror Analytics – Morning Views Asia and more

By | Credit, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • Lucror Analytics – Morning Views Asia

Lucror Analytics – Morning Views Asia

By Trung Nguyen

  • In today’s Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: Softbank Group
  • On Friday, US Treasuries concluded the week with another sell-off, marking the worst week in months. US equities were flat.
  • In the US, the import price index unexpectedly rose 0.1% m-o-m in November (-0.2% e / +0.1% p).

💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars
Sign Up for Free


Dec 14
0

Daily Brief Credit: Lucror Analytics – Morning Views Asia and more

By | Credit, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • Lucror Analytics – Morning Views Asia

Lucror Analytics – Morning Views Asia

By Trung Nguyen

  • In the US, initial jobless claims increased to a two-month-high of 242 k (220 k e / 225 k p), likely due to the Thanksgiving holiday.
  • The PPI (final demand) came in at 3.0% y-o-y in November (2.6% e / 2.6% p), while core PPI (final demand) stood at 3.4% (3.2% e / 3.4% p).
  • US Treasuries were sold off for the second consecutive day, with the yields gaining 4-6 bps across the curve.

💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars
Sign Up for Free


Dec 13
0

Daily Brief Credit: Lucror Analytics – Morning Views Asia and more

By | Credit, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • Lucror Analytics – Morning Views Asia

Lucror Analytics – Morning Views Asia

By Tanvi Arora

  • In today’s Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: ReNew Energy
  • In the US, inflation data was benign and supported expectations for a Fed interest rate cut this month. The CPI inflation came in at 2.7% y-o-y in November (2.7% e / 2.6% p), while the core CPI inflation stood at 3.3% (3.3% e / 3.3% p).
  • US Treasury sold off across the curve, with the yields gaining 4-6 bps. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq gained 0.8% and 1.8%, respectively.

💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars
Sign Up for Free


Dec 12
0

Daily Brief Credit: Lucror Analytics – Morning Views Asia and more

By | Credit, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • Lucror Analytics – Morning Views Asia

Lucror Analytics – Morning Views Asia

By Tanvi Arora

  • In today’s Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: Continuum Green, Sunny Optical
  • Wall Street has been expressing confusion over the Fed’s potential decision (according to minutes of the November meeting) to lower the rate on its overnight reverse repo facility (RRP) by 5 bps, possibly as early as next week.
  • This adjustment comes alongside expectations of a quarter-point cut in the Fed’s main policy benchmark. 

💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars
Sign Up for Free


Dec 10
0

Daily Brief Credit: Lucror Analytics – Morning Views Asia and more

By | Credit, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • Lucror Analytics – Morning Views Asia

Lucror Analytics – Morning Views Asia

By Leonard Law, CFA

  • In the US, the November nonfarm payrolls came in marginally above expectations at 227 k (220 k e), and were up significantly from the upwardly revised 36 k figure for October (which was impacted by two hurricanes and a strike at Boeing).
  • Still, the three-month average payroll growth slowed from earlier in the year to 173 k.
  • Meanwhile, the unemployment rate inched up to 4.2% (4.1% e / 4.1% p). Average hourly earnings growth remained steady at 0.4% m-o-m (0.3% e / 0.4% p) and 4.0% y-o-y (3.9% e / 4.0% p).

💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars
Sign Up for Free