Category

Consumer

Daily Brief Consumer: Tohokushinsha Film, Taste Gourmet, DFI Retail Group Holdings, ASICS Corp, TSE Tokyo Price Index TOPIX, Rakuten, Lands’ End Inc, Eternal Beauty Holdings Limited and more

By | Consumer, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • Tohokushinsha (2329 JP) To 3D – “Not Today”; 3D May Go To The Mattresses
  • Taste Gourmet (8371 HK): H1 FY25 Earnings Preview, 4.5x PE with 12% Yield
  • DFI Exits Yonghui, MINISO Enters: Who Got The Short End Of The Stick?
  • Asics (7936) | Q3 Preview; Revision of MTP
  • Has the “Unit of Investment” Principle Spoiled the Companies?
  • Rakuten Mart Launching This Month
  • LE: European Tour: Creating a New Vision; Reiterate Buy, $20 PT
  • Pre-IPO Eternal Beauty Holdings – The Perfume Business in China May Not Be as Good as Expected


Tohokushinsha (2329 JP) To 3D – “Not Today”; 3D May Go To The Mattresses

By Travis Lundy

  • 3D Investment Partners bought 5% of Tohokushinsha Film (2329 JP) by Mar-2023. A year later they had 17+%. 3D proposed changes. In July, 3D proposed a takeover, asking for DD. 
  • Tohokushinsha responded to the proposals, then offered due diligence to 3D based on terms set by a Special Committee. 3D did not want those strict DD terms. 
  • Yesterday, Tohokushinsha said “Fine.” The stock today fell 10% today. This is not a stalemate, but it means 3D may start to play harder.

Taste Gourmet (8371 HK): H1 FY25 Earnings Preview, 4.5x PE with 12% Yield

By Sameer Taneja

  • Taste Gourmet (8371 HK) will report its H1 FY25 earnings in early November. The company isn’t reporting quarterly earnings because GEM board stocks are no longer required to do so. 
  • We expect revenue and profit growth of 22% %/20% YoY, as the average number of HK restaurants has increased from 45 to 54, and most have ramped up. 
  • Trading at 4.5x PE with a 12% dividend yield, 27% of the market cap in cash and a mainboard listing on the horizon there abundant catalysts for the future. 

DFI Exits Yonghui, MINISO Enters: Who Got The Short End Of The Stick?

By David Blennerhassett


Asics (7936) | Q3 Preview; Revision of MTP

By Mark Chadwick

  • Asics is seeing robust D2C sales growth, now 40% of total sales, driving gross margins to 55.5% (+4.5 pp YoY) in 1H24.
  • High-Margin models and strong sales in Onitsuka Tiger and Sportsstyle categories support a forecasted 13% YoY sales increase in 2H24.
  • Asics’ strategic transformation, focusing on structural reforms and emerging markets, to drive upgraded MTP though FY26.

Has the “Unit of Investment” Principle Spoiled the Companies?

By Aki Matsumoto

  • The reason companies object to a reduction in the investment unit is the cost of shareholder relations, not the cost paid to the trust bank.
  • We should discuss whether it is better for the “unit of investment” principle to remain in place for the convenience of companies that want to pass company proposals smoothly.
  • It will be interesting to see if there will be a discussion on going back to basics and allowing single share holders to exercise their voting rights.

Rakuten Mart Launching This Month

By Michael Causton

  • Rakuten still gets a lot of flak for its mobile business but its core e-commerce operation continues to improve.
  • Rakuten will launch Rakuten Mart this month,  an online supermarket but with Rakuten Ichiba vendors too.
  • Online food retailing is becoming a major source of competition with Amazon, Aeon and Seven & I all investing heavily but Rakuten is holding its own.

LE: European Tour: Creating a New Vision; Reiterate Buy, $20 PT

By Small Cap Consumer Research

  • We are reiterating our Buy rating, projections and $20 price target for Lands’ End after visiting the company’s European headquarters in Oakham, United Kingdom and meeting with management.
  • We believe, with operations overwhelmingly focused on the United Kingdom and German consumer, there remains multiple growth opportunities, from new categories, expansion into Europe-only looks, lower discounting and continuing to upgrade the customer mix to more lifestyle and features, rather than pricing, driven.
  • Further, with Europe taking the lead in terms of quicker buys and reacting/setting fashion trends, they will increasingly have a roll in setting the product pace for the United States operations.

Pre-IPO Eternal Beauty Holdings – The Perfume Business in China May Not Be as Good as Expected

By Xinyao (Criss) Wang

  • The essence of Eternal Beauty’s business model is to earn a “price difference” of the brand and product portfolios, but this business model is difficult to generate high profit margins.
  • The situation and prospects of China’s perfume market are facing major changes. It‘s uncertain whether the perfume sales in the China market can maintain double-digit growth in the long term.
  • Eternal Beauty’s financial performance would face challenges due to changes in consumer preferences, shifts in China’s domestic policies, international trade disputes, geopolitical conflicts, etc. Valuation could be lower than peers.

💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars



Daily Brief Consumer: Xingda International, MINISO Group Holding , Crocs Inc, Samvardhana Motherson Automotive Systems Group BV, Guess? Inc, Meituan and more

By | Consumer, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • Xingda (1899 HK): No Premium Voluntary Conditional Offer to Ward off a Hostile Holder
  • Xingda (1899 HK)’s HK$1.30/Share Offer – Say What?
  • MINISO Bets Big on Yonghui. Should Investors Be Concerned About the Acquisition?
  • Choice Equities’ Mitchell Scott provides update on $CROX thesis and thoughts on Magnite $MGNI
  • Morning Views Asia: Samvardhana Motherson International Ltd, Wynn Macau Ltd, Yankuang Energy Group
  • GES: Snapping the Store – London – Fall Elevation Rising; Reiterate Buy, $29 PT
  • Morning Views Asia: Meituan


Xingda (1899 HK): No Premium Voluntary Conditional Offer to Ward off a Hostile Holder

By Arun George

  • Xingda International (1899 HK) has disclosed a voluntary conditional offer from Mr Liu Jinlan (Chairman) at HK$1.30 per share, which aligns with the last close price. 
  • The offer is conditional on the offeror and concert parties representing more than 50% of voting rights. The offeror and concert parties represent 37.03% of voting rights.  
  • The offer is a reaction to Mr Zhao Yue’s “hostile” emergence as a substantial shareholder. It is unattractive and will require a bump to satisfy the minimum acceptance condition.   

Xingda (1899 HK)’s HK$1.30/Share Offer – Say What?

By David Blennerhassett

  • After tyre component manufacturer Xingda International (1899 HK) was suspended recently pursuant to the Takeovers Code, an Offer seemed more likely, not another Partial Offer. 
  • On cue, Liu Jinlan, chairman and executive director, plus concert parties (collectively holding 37.03%), have tabled a voluntary conditional Offer (50% acceptance hurdle). But the price? A surprising zero-premium HK$1.30/share
  • However, this Offer is a pre-emptive strike against former employee Yue Zhao, who holds 9.24%; and was recently appointed ED and vice-chairman of Shougang Concord (103 HK), Xingda’s major competitor.

MINISO Bets Big on Yonghui. Should Investors Be Concerned About the Acquisition?

By Devi Subhakesan

  • MINISO‘s  acquisition of a 29.4% stake in the loss-making supermarket chain Yonghui  for USD 890 million has been viewed negatively by investors, leading to a sharp decline in Miniso’s stock.
  • The deal’s size, combined with Yonghui Superstores (601933 CH) unprofitable track record and   MINISO(9896 HK) ‘s unexpected move into the low-margin, highly competitive supermarket space, has likely fueled investor concerns.
  • However, we believe the acquisition provides Miniso with a strategic opportunity for growth and diversification to a sector that remains vital in the offline retail landscape at undemanding valuations.  

Choice Equities’ Mitchell Scott provides update on $CROX thesis and thoughts on Magnite $MGNI

By Yet Another Value Podcast

  • Mitchell discusses the success and potential of Crocs, noting its growth and potential for continued success
  • Andrew asks if Crocs is a fad or a sustainable business, with Mitchell emphasizing the brand’s importance and continued innovation
  • Mitchell highlights Crocs’ success during the pandemic and discusses potential growth strategies for the future, including the importance of jibbets.

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.


Morning Views Asia: Samvardhana Motherson International Ltd, Wynn Macau Ltd, Yankuang Energy Group

By Leonard Law, CFA

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.


GES: Snapping the Store – London – Fall Elevation Rising; Reiterate Buy, $29 PT

By Small Cap Consumer Research

  • We are reiterating our Buy rating, $29 price target and projections after reviewing Guess?
  • stores in London.
  • As we near the peak Fall season, Guess?

Morning Views Asia: Meituan

By Leonard Law, CFA

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.


💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars



Daily Brief Consumer: Globus Spirits, Fast Retailing, Nike, Fu Shou Yuan, TSE Tokyo Price Index TOPIX, Cocoa Futures, Sands China, JAKKS Pacific and more

By | Consumer, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • The Beat Ideas: Globus Spirits- Maize, Capex, B2C Play
  • Uniqlo’s European Romance
  • Nike CEO Shakeup: Challenges Ahead for Elliott Hill as He Takes the Helm of the Sneaker Giant!
  • Fu Shou Yuan (1448.HK) – The Business Model Has “Flaws”
  • How to Make a Non-Functioning Statutory Auditor Function
  • Fund Managers Hate Commodities // EU Deforestation Law Disaster
  • Technically Speaking, Breakouts and Breakdowns: HONG KONG (SEPTEMBER 23)
  • Duplicate of JAKK: Setting Sail for Sunnier Climes; Reiterate Buy, $24 Price Target


The Beat Ideas: Globus Spirits- Maize, Capex, B2C Play

By Sudarshan Bhandari

  • In Q4FY24, Globus Spirits (GBSL IN) changed its raw material from rice to maize to improve the margin and stability in margins.
  • Globus Spirits (GBSL IN) increased its capacity in Q4 recently 120KLPD, 60 each in Jharkhand and West Bengal.
  • Recently, the government also removed the ban on using FCI grain and sugarcane for Ethanol production.

Uniqlo’s European Romance

By Michael Causton

  • Uniqlo’s European arm is on a roll, with more stores, higher sales and a loyal fan base. 35% of customers were under 29 last year up from 16% in 2019.
  • Uniqlo is also doing better at home but it needs the boost from newer markets given concerns over growth in China.
  • And it is far too early to know whether GU’s formal launch in the US will pay off but so far so good.

Nike CEO Shakeup: Challenges Ahead for Elliott Hill as He Takes the Helm of the Sneaker Giant!

By Baptista Research

  • Nike recently announced a significant leadership change, with CEO John Donahoe stepping down and longtime company veteran Elliott Hill set to take over.
  • This transition comes amid a broader restructuring effort at Nike, aimed at addressing the company’s evolving business challenges.
  • Donahoe, who led the company through several years of strategic shifts, including the prioritization of direct-to-consumer sales, had faced increasing pressure due to flat revenue growth and lower-than-expected guidance for fiscal 2025.

Fu Shou Yuan (1448.HK) – The Business Model Has “Flaws”

By Xinyao (Criss) Wang

  • The sharp decline in revenue/profits indicates that Fu Shou Yuan’s business model is not as excellent as previously imagined. The Company’s performance would still be heavily influenced by macro factors.
  • Once Fu Shou Yuan slows down external expansion and explores endogenous growth, it usually doesn’t require too much capital, which means the Company would have greater motivation to distribute dividends.
  • The economic downturn leading to performance headwinds is just short-term logic. In the long run, the logic behind the increasing demand in funeral industry has not changed. Valuation would rebound.

How to Make a Non-Functioning Statutory Auditor Function

By Aki Matsumoto

  • Information asymmetries between shareholders/investors and board directors, between inside and outside board directors, between inside and outside statutory auditors, and between insiders and the rest are constant challenges.
  • Statutory auditors cannot be dismissed and have significant powers, including the right to investigate, and since statutory auditors are board members, they can attend and speak at board meetings.
  • To make statutory auditors function, establish a process for nominating statutory auditors, raise the compensation of outside auditors, and run an open board meeting where board members’ comments are respected.

Fund Managers Hate Commodities // EU Deforestation Law Disaster

By The Commodity Report

  • According to the latest BofA fund manager survey, investors continue to sell commodities.
  • Allocation-wise we’re now back at levels we were at the beginning of the pandemic back in 2020.
  • Long commodities is now a contrarian trade again.

Technically Speaking, Breakouts and Breakdowns: HONG KONG (SEPTEMBER 23)

By David Mudd

  • Hong Kong tech sector leads the market higher with increased momentum and lower volatility.  Short selling has abated with unwind of HKD carry trade.
  • Sands China (1928 HK) had a breakout from a Falling Wedge pattern. The share price broke above its short-term averages with increasing momentum.
  • China Feihe (6186 HK) broke out from its downtrend with a Reversal from its U-Shaped Bottom.  Techtronic Industries (669 HK) broke out to a new YTD high.

Duplicate of JAKK: Setting Sail for Sunnier Climes; Reiterate Buy, $24 Price Target

By Small Cap Consumer Research

  • We are reiterating our Buy rating and $24 price target and raising our 2024 and 2025 projections for JAKKS Pacific after the company handily beat our 2Q24 projections, as gains in the core business offset expected material weakness in content-led (i.e. movie driven) offerings.
  • Further, with the recent launch of The Simpsons and Authentic Brands driven licensed offerings, the upcoming launch of key Holiday movie properties (Moana 2 and Sonic the Hedgehog 3), new owned properties and a continued focus on international expansion, we view our projections, even after our top and bottom line increases, as conservative.
  • Further, with JAKK continuing to trade at a material discount to their peers, we believe the risk/reward in the name remains impressive, and we reiterate our Buy rating and $24 price target.

💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars



Daily Brief Consumer: Ain Holdings Inc, Webtoon Entertainment and more

By | Consumer, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • Ain Shifts Focus with FrancFranc Acquisition
  • Webtoon Entertainment: A Weakening USD Will Give A Lift To 3Q Earnings, Founder Picked Up 42K Shares


Ain Shifts Focus with FrancFranc Acquisition

By Michael Causton

  • Ain is best known for running prescription pharmacies but also has a lifestyle-oriented cosmetics chain called Ainz & Tulpe.
  • Without this, the acquisition of FrancFranc would look odd, but the merger of the two will create genuine synergies and a lifestyle business targeting women in their 20s and 30s.
  • The move makes sense given the pressure on margins in drug dispensing, Ain’s main business.

Webtoon Entertainment: A Weakening USD Will Give A Lift To 3Q Earnings, Founder Picked Up 42K Shares

By Andrei Zakharov

  • Webtoon Entertainment, a Korean the world’s largest digital comics platform, has successfully completed IPO and private placement in June.
  • The NAVER-backed storytelling platform has raised ~$359M and priced its IPO and concurrent private placement at $21.00 per share, at the top end of price range.  
  • However, Webtoon Entertainment shares significantly underperformed with shares down ~48% below IPO offer price.

💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars



Daily Brief Consumer: Seven & I Holdings, Tsuruha Holdings, Installed Building Products, TSE Tokyo Price Index TOPIX and more

By | Consumer, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • Last Week in Event SPACE: Shin Kong Financial, Swire Pac, Seven & I, Korea Zinc
  • Tsuruha Holdings (3391 JP): Q1 FY02/25 flash update
  • Installed Building Products: Initiation Of Coverage – Market Penetration and Expansion in Multi-Family Sector & Other Major Drivers
  • Focus on Cash Flow Recovery from Investments as Planned, as Well as Appropriate Cash Allocation


Last Week in Event SPACE: Shin Kong Financial, Swire Pac, Seven & I, Korea Zinc

By David Blennerhassett


Tsuruha Holdings (3391 JP): Q1 FY02/25 flash update

By Shared Research

  • Sales increased 5.2% YoY to JPY273.4bn, with operating profit growing 7.1% YoY to JPY15.1bn.
  • The revised forecast for FY02/25 includes revenue of JPY850.8bn and net income of JPY22.2bn.
  • FY02/25 will cover a 9.5-month period, with expected one-time expenses and unchanged annual dividend levels.

Installed Building Products: Initiation Of Coverage – Market Penetration and Expansion in Multi-Family Sector & Other Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Installed Building Products’ fiscal 2024 second quarter showcased a dynamic operating environment with improvements and strategic divestitures reflecting the company’s focus on core growth areas.
  • Key financial results included an impressive increase in single-family sales, steady multi-family segment performance, and a slight uptick in commercial sales, albeit varying by submarket dynamics.
  • Baptista Research looks to evaluate the different factors that could influence the company’s price in the near future and attempts to carry out an independent valuation of the company using a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) methodology.

Focus on Cash Flow Recovery from Investments as Planned, as Well as Appropriate Cash Allocation

By Aki Matsumoto

  • Last year’s CAPEX plan was also a record high, but ROE growth was limited. We should closely monitor whether the allocation of CAPEX, shareholder returns, and retained earnings is appropriate.
  • When a company finally begins using cash on hand for investments and lacks reliable track records, it should be monitored to ensure that it’s generating sufficient cash flow from CAPEX.
  • The trend continues to remain that most investments are directed overseas. Note that many Japanese companies have a history of having difficulty managing their overseas operations.

💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars



Daily Brief Consumer: Ather Energy, Ola Electric, Sands China, Geo Holdings, TSE Tokyo Price Index TOPIX and more

By | Consumer, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • Ather Energy Pre-IPO Tearsheet
  • Ola Electric’s Negative Noise. Maruti Suzuki’s Electric Plans: India EV Update
  • The Heat Is On: News Flow and Sentiment in CHINA / HONG KONG (September 20)
  • Geo Holdings (2681 Jp) – Q1 FY3/25 Results Update
  • Will the Challenges that Have Taken a Decade to Make Progress Finally Be Resolved?


Ather Energy Pre-IPO Tearsheet

By Akshat Shah

  • Ather Energy (1207922D IN) is looking to raise about US$536m in its upcoming India IPO. The deal will be run by HSBC, Nomura, JM Fin and Axis.
  • Ather is a pure play electric vehicle company in India designing and developing E2Ws, battery packs, charging infrastructure, associated software and accessories, also manufacturing battery packs and assembling E2Ws in-house.
  • According to CRISIL, Ather was the third largest player by volume of E2W sales in FY24.

Ola Electric’s Negative Noise. Maruti Suzuki’s Electric Plans: India EV Update

By Devi Subhakesan

  • Ola Electric (OLAELEC IN) reportedly faces challenges with poor product service, leading to dissatisfied customers. This underscores the urgency to improve its service infrastructure and restore brand trust.
  • The Indian electric two-wheeler sector saw weak sales in August, following a robust July, with Ola experiencing a sharp decline in monthly volumes and a loss of market share.
  • Meanwhile, Maruti Suzuki India (MSIL IN)  is gearing up for a January 2025 EV launch and is preparing to establish a 25,000-unit charging infrastructure in advance.

The Heat Is On: News Flow and Sentiment in CHINA / HONG KONG (September 20)

By David Mudd


Geo Holdings (2681 Jp) – Q1 FY3/25 Results Update

By Astris Advisory Japan

  • Q1 FY3/25 earnings look negative at first glance, with both sales and operating profit falling. However, the details show strong demand for GEO HOLDINGS’ core second-hand fashion business and smartphone sales, helping gross profit increase.
  • The key earnings drivers were a fall in sales (-6.2% YoY to ¥100.15bn) due to difficult annual comps from new games sales.
  • However, GEO HOLDINGS’ core second-hand fashion business and smartphones enjoyed robust demand, thanks to new store openings at home and overseas.

Will the Challenges that Have Taken a Decade to Make Progress Finally Be Resolved?

By Aki Matsumoto

  • Without the driving force to generate cash flow in excess of the discount rate (cost of capital), there is not enough power to push stock valuations higher and higher.
  • The fact that 8% ROE is the threshold at which valuations change means that investors consider the cost of capital for Japanese equities to be roughly 8% on average.
  • Little progress has been made since 10 years ago, when the Ito Report advocated “shift to corporate value management with an awareness of capital efficiency” and “engagement of institutional investors.”

💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars



Daily Brief Consumer: Seven & I Holdings, Seres Group , Intermestic, TSE Tokyo Price Index TOPIX, Goldwin Inc, Dowlais Group , Pvh Corp, Genting Bhd, Garrett Motion and more

By | Consumer, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • How a 7-Eleven takeover could reshape corporate Japan
  • Quiddity Leaderboard SSE50/180 Dec 24: Some Changes to Expectations; US$1.5bn One-Way for SSE 50
  • Intermestic IPO: A Proven Business Model with Improving Financials
  • Intermestic IPO – Steady Domestic Business, but Limited International Exposure
  • Mandatory Disclosure of the % of Women Managers Alone Will End up Being a Noncommittal Measure
  • Goldwin (8111) | Scaling New Peaks
  • Value Situations’ Conor Maguire on Why Strategic Review at Dowlais $DWL.L Indicates a Live Catalyst
  • Pvh Corp – VNCE: Snapping the Store: Strategically Focused for Fall; Reiterate Buy, $3 PT
  • Morning Views Asia:
  • GTX: Previewing for Free Cash Flow


How a 7-Eleven takeover could reshape corporate Japan

By Behind the Money

  • A Canadian company, Alimentation Couche-Tard, has made an unsolicited offer to acquire Japan’s Seven & I Holdings, the owner of the popular 7-11 convenience store chain, marking Japan’s largest foreign-led takeover attempt.
  • This proposed takeover could signal a shift in Japan’s traditional resistance to foreign acquisitions, opening up opportunities for more global mergers and acquisitions in the country.
  • The deal would create a global giant in the convenience store industry and represents a significant change in Japan’s deal-making and corporate culture.

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.


Quiddity Leaderboard SSE50/180 Dec 24: Some Changes to Expectations; US$1.5bn One-Way for SSE 50

By Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

  • SSE 50 and SSE 180, respectively, aim to represent the performance of the 50 and 180 largest and most liquid A-share stocks listed on the Shanghai Stock Exchange.
  • In this insight, we take a look at the names leading the race to become ADDs and DELs during the December 2024 index rebal event.
  • We currently see 5 ADDs/DELs for the SSE 50 index and 18 ADDs/DELs for the SSE 180 index. 

Intermestic IPO: A Proven Business Model with Improving Financials

By Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

  • Japanese eyewear manufacturer and retailer, Intermestic (262A JP) has filed for an IPO on the Tokyo Stock Exchange and is planning to raise proceeds of $112m.
  • The company operates stores both domestically and internationally, and the company’s financials show strong improvement during the last few years.
  • Intermestic has not yet announced the terms for its IPO, and in this insight, we have discussed the company’s business models, outlook and financials.

Intermestic IPO – Steady Domestic Business, but Limited International Exposure

By Clarence Chu

  • Intermestic (262A JP) is looking to raise US$110m in its Japan IPO. Intermestic is an eyewear manufacturer of eyeglasses and eyeglass accessories in Japan.
  • Utilizing a specialty store retailer of private label apparel (SPA) model, the firm aims to provide a one-stop shop whereby manufacturing and retailing of its products are handled in-house.
  • In this note, we look at the firm’s past performance.

Mandatory Disclosure of the % of Women Managers Alone Will End up Being a Noncommittal Measure

By Aki Matsumoto

  • Rather than “companies with advanced disclosure have higher ratios of female managers,” companies with high ratios of female managers are willing to disclose their ratios to show their progress.
  • Women’s tenure in the company is shorter than men’s, which is one of the reasons for the low ratio of women in management positions.
  • Changing from the “traditional division of labor in households” to a mindset in which men and women are equally responsible for household tasks is essential to solving the root problem.

Goldwin (8111) | Scaling New Peaks

By Mark Chadwick

  • Growth Inflection: Goldwin’s mid-term plan targets ¥190 billion in sales, driven by The North Face’s expansion and a transformation of the Goldwin brand globally.
  • Profitability: Shifting from wholesale to direct-to-consumer, Goldwin has achieved significant margin growth, expanding operating margins to 19%, with further gains expected.
  • Strong Capital Position: Goldwin’s robust balance sheet and anticipated ¥100 billion free cash flow support shareholder returns, alongside a proven management track record of delivering on growth objectives.

Value Situations’ Conor Maguire on Why Strategic Review at Dowlais $DWL.L Indicates a Live Catalyst

By Yet Another Value Podcast

  • Dowlais is a UK-listed auto parts business worth 820 million GBP with a core business in GKN auto and the non-core business in GKN powder Metallurgy.
  • The company was spun off from Melrose Industries in 2020 and is currently undergoing a strategic review to potentially sell off the powder Metallurgy business, which could be worth over 1 billion GBP.
  • Dowlais’s core auto business is a global market leader in auto components and the potential sale of the powder Metallurgy business could exceed the company’s current market cap.

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.


Pvh Corp – VNCE: Snapping the Store: Strategically Focused for Fall; Reiterate Buy, $3 PT

By Small Cap Consumer Research

  • We are reiterating our Buy rating, $3 price target and projections for Vince Holding after visiting stores in Connecticut, Long Island and New Jersey.
  • We believe, with Fall now in full swing, Vince is flexing their ability to act strategically both fashion-wise and financially, rolling out impressive looks in sweaters, outerwear, dresses and accessories, expanding men’s with new bottoms in multiple colors and silhouettes and layering tops, tees, sweaters and knits.
  • Further, the company has been able to drive strong instock levels and expand the colors and products offered to the stores to drive higher overall sales and margins.

Morning Views Asia:

By Leonard Law, CFA

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.


    GTX: Previewing for Free Cash Flow

    By Hamed Khorsand

    • When GTX reported Q2 results the global auto industry was going through a digestion period.  Many of those trends have persisted in the third quarter. 
    • The state of the global automotive market remains unclear with expectations at the beginning of the year set for growth and now it could be flat to slightly down.  
    • GTX should manage through the third quarter with minimal impact to the business and a stronger Euro further insulating the earnings from downward pressure.

    💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

    Sign Up for Free

    The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

    • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
    • ✓ Personalised Alerts
    • ✓ Custom Watchlists
    • ✓ Company Data and News
    • ✓ Events & Webinars



    Daily Brief Consumer: Dongwon Industries, GoTo Gojek Tokopedia Tbk PT, Carote Ltd, Mr. DIY Holding (Thailand), Bausch + Lomb, Gajah Tunggal and more

    By | Consumer, Daily Briefs

    In today’s briefing:

    • Quiddity Leaderboard KOSPI 200 Dec 24: Up to 4 ADDs & 5 DELs Possible
    • GoTo Gojek Tokopedia(GOTO IJ) – Lifting Clouds
    • Pre-IPO Carote Ltd (PHIP Updates) – High Performance Growth May Not Be Sustainable
    • Mr. D.I.Y Holding (Thailand) Pre-IPO Tearsheet
    • Eyeing a Sale? Could Bausch + Lomb’s Innovations and Revenue Surge Spark a Takeover Battle?
    • Morning Views Asia: Gajah Tunggal


    Quiddity Leaderboard KOSPI 200 Dec 24: Up to 4 ADDs & 5 DELs Possible

    By Travis Lundy

    • KOSPI 200 is a Korean blue-chip index that tracks the 200 largest and most-liquid names listed in the KOSPI section of the Korea Exchange (KRX).
    • In this insight, we take a look at the names leading the race to become ADDs and DELs during the upcoming semiannual review in December 2024.
    • We expect up to four ADDs and five DELs for the KOSPI 200 index during this index rebal event based on the latest available data. And we have a trade.

    GoTo Gojek Tokopedia(GOTO IJ) – Lifting Clouds

    By Angus Mackintosh

    • GoTo Gojek Tokopedia together with Alibaba Group Holding announced a strategic partnership that locks the latter in for the next 5-years, with GOTO committing to utilising Alibaba Cloud.
    • This move lifts a significant share price overhang and should provide GOTO with both cost benefits and AI capabilities cementing and aligning the interests of the two companies. 
    • GoTo Gojek Tokopedia (GOTO IJ) continues to move the needle on its progress towards adjusted EBITDA breakeven by 4Q2024 led by product-led initiatives. 

    Pre-IPO Carote Ltd (PHIP Updates) – High Performance Growth May Not Be Sustainable

    By Xinyao (Criss) Wang

    • Relying mainly on online channels and successful internationalization strategy, CAROTE’s performance growth showed strong momentum in recent years. However, after the short-term demand outbreak, future performance growth could slow down.
    • CAROTE adopts a product strategy similar to ZARA, launching a massive product matrix, constantly attracting consumers’ interest, but the innovation capability and core competitiveness of products are not high.
    • Valuation of CAROTE could be higher than Vesync (2148 HK).If Trump is elected, the friction/trade war between China and US may escalate, which is detrimental to CAROTE’s future valuation performance.

    Mr. D.I.Y Holding (Thailand) Pre-IPO Tearsheet

    By Nicholas Tan

    • Mr. DIY Holding (Thailand) (2472516D TB) (MRDIYT) is looking to raise as much as US$300m in its upcoming Thai IPO. The deal will be run by CIMB Thai Bank.
    • MRDIYT is the largest and fastest growing home improvement and general lifestyle retailer in Thailand, holding approximately 7.4% market share in 2023.
    • MRDIYT’s proposition is to offer competitive value for over 15,000 products across a variety of departments – hardware/tools, household appliances, electrical appliances, stationery, sporting goods, toys etc.

    Eyeing a Sale? Could Bausch + Lomb’s Innovations and Revenue Surge Spark a Takeover Battle?

    By Baptista Research

    • Bausch + Lomb Corporation has long established itself as a global leader in eye health, offering a wide range of products across pharmaceuticals, surgical devices, and vision care.
    • The company’s second-quarter 2024 earnings showcased a remarkable 20% year-over-year constant currency revenue growth, driven by strong performances across all key business segments, particularly in the pharmaceuticals segment, which grew by 61%.
    • Bausch + Lomb’s strategic focus on innovation and expansion is exemplified by product launches like BLINK NutriTears and Bausch + Lomb INFUSE, coupled with the rollout of its AI-based digital platform, Glimpse.

    Morning Views Asia: Gajah Tunggal

    By Leonard Law, CFA

    Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.


    💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

    Sign Up for Free

    The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

    • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
    • ✓ Personalised Alerts
    • ✓ Custom Watchlists
    • ✓ Company Data and News
    • ✓ Events & Webinars



    Daily Brief Consumer: Samvardhana Motherson International Ltd, Tube Investments of India , TSE Tokyo Price Index TOPIX, Henkel & KGaA, Signet Jewelers, Kroger Co, RH, CLS Holdings USA, Pvh Corp, Build A Bear Workshop and more

    By | Consumer, Daily Briefs

    In today’s briefing:

    • Samvardhana Motherson QIP – Well Flagged US$780m QIP in a Decent Name
    • Tube Investments of India (TIINDIA IN) | On-Ground Update on EV Foray
    • Can Investors Tolerate the Current Pace of Capital Profitability Improvement?
    • Liquid Universe of European Ordinary and Preferred Shares: September‘24 Report
    • Signet Jewelers: Striking A Balance Between Merchandise and Pricing! – Major Drivers
    • The Kroger Co.: An Insight Into Its Competitive Positioning
    • RH (Restoration Hardware): Brand Image Transcendence & Other Major Drivers
    • CLS Holdings USA, Inc. – CLSH: Strong Cost Controls Help Offset Revenue Decline in FY24
    • Pvh Corp – VNCE: 2Q Review: Driving Upside, Remaining Conservative; Reiterate Buy, $3 PT
    • BBW: Snapping the Store: Halloween Rules (Already!); Reiterate Buy, $41 PT


    Samvardhana Motherson QIP – Well Flagged US$780m QIP in a Decent Name

    By Clarence Chu

    • Samvardhana Motherson International Ltd (MOTHERSO IN) is looking to raise up to US$780m in its QIP. Together with the offering is a US$270m compulsory convertible debenture (CCD) offering.
    • The deal is very well flagged, having gone through rounds of board/shareholder approvals. The QIP has also been covered by domestic media reports.
    • In this note, we run the deal through our ECM framework and comment on deal dynamics.

    Tube Investments of India (TIINDIA IN) | On-Ground Update on EV Foray

    By Pranav Bhavsar

    • Tube Investments of India (TIINDIA IN) is focused on clean mobility solutions through its subsidiary, TI Clean Mobility Private Limited. 
    • The subsidiary’s Montra Electric 3-wheelers have quickly gained market share in southern India, targeting the last-mile mobility segment. 
    • TI’s management is keenly focused on the EV segment, with upcoming launches of e-rickshaws and a new Cargo Version poised to drive substantial growth in the near future.

    Can Investors Tolerate the Current Pace of Capital Profitability Improvement?

    By Aki Matsumoto

    • Few Japanese stocks that have advantages in profitability has led to the fact that investors who invest long-term in quality stocks have few Japanese stocks to choose from globally.
    • It’s the profit margin on sales that has had the greatest impact on changes in ROE. Companies must now get their core competencies once again to regain competitiveness and profitability.
    • Even if business selection and investment in promising businesses were to be implemented, it would be several years before they bear fruit. For many investors, this pace seems unacceptable.

    Liquid Universe of European Ordinary and Preferred Shares: September‘24 Report

    By Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

    • Since mid-August, share-price spreads have generally widened across our European liquid universe of ordinary and preferred shares (13 have tightened, 4 widened, 2 remained at same level).
    • Recommended trades long preferred / short ordinary shares: Atlas Copco, Grifols SA, Media-for-Europe, Sixt.
    • Recommended trades long ordinary / short preferred shares: Carlsberg, Henkel, SSAB Svenska Stal.

    Signet Jewelers: Striking A Balance Between Merchandise and Pricing! – Major Drivers

    By Baptista Research

    • Signet Jewelers has reported its financial results for the second quarter of fiscal 2025, highlighting several critical strategic successes and challenges.
    • The company’s CEO, Gina Drosos, emphasized the continued momentum in same-store sales, which improved over 5 points from the first quarter, driven notably by robust Fashion sales.
    • The merchandise margin and the average transaction value (ATV) also saw growth, reflecting the positive reception of Signet’s merchandise strategies even amidst an intensely dynamic industry landscape.

    The Kroger Co.: An Insight Into Its Competitive Positioning

    By Baptista Research

    • The Kroger Co. showcased a mixed performance in the second quarter of 2024.
    • The company continues its progression towards a strategic operating model which balances customer-centricity with internal efficiencies, maintaining a competitive edge, particularly with its own brands offerings.
    • Revenue enhancements through enhanced digital sales channels and personalized promotions were notable.

    RH (Restoration Hardware): Brand Image Transcendence & Other Major Drivers

    By Baptista Research

    • RH, previously Restoration Hardware, exhibited positive stride in its financial and operational endeavors during the second quarter of fiscal 2024, as outlined in its latest earnings call.
    • The results were mostly favorable with noteworthy highlights such as a 7% increase in demand and 3.6% growth in revenues amounting to $830 million compared to the previous year.
    • This growth was propelled by strategic expansions and product transformations, notable investments during an economically challenging phase, and detailed preparation for projected housing market rebound.

    CLS Holdings USA, Inc. – CLSH: Strong Cost Controls Help Offset Revenue Decline in FY24

    By Water Tower Research

    • CLS Holdings is a vertically integrated cannabis company with core operations in Nevada.
    • The company owns and operates Oasis cannabis dispensary, one of the leading stores in Las Vegas.
    • CLS also has a state-of-the art extraction and manufacturing facility in Nevada and a suite of top-performing brands.

    Pvh Corp – VNCE: 2Q Review: Driving Upside, Remaining Conservative; Reiterate Buy, $3 PT

    By Small Cap Consumer Research

    • We are reiterating our Buy rating and $3 price target for VNCE, slightly reducing our FY24 top line, but increasing our bottom line projections after the company reported solid 2Q results, driven by stronger than expected wholesale revenue.
    • With the company now fully anniversarying the ABG Vince relationship, and the drive to materially reduce clearance and discount levels at their own stores completed, we believe 2HFY24 will begin to visibly demonstrate the power of the Vince brand to drive returns and position the company for further material top and bottom line expansion in FY25 from new store openings, further expansion in men’s, international growth and continued wholesale door and segment expansion which, when further fueled by ABG Vince category expansion, debt reduction and share repurchases, positions the company for material upside.
    • As such, we reiterate our Buy rating and $3 price target for VNCE.

    BBW: Snapping the Store: Halloween Rules (Already!); Reiterate Buy, $41 PT

    By Small Cap Consumer Research

    • We are reiterating our Buy rating, $41 price target and projections for Build-A-Bear Workshop after visiting stores in Long Island and Connecticut.
    • We believe the company’s decision to materially move up the Halloween offerings (from August 29th last year to August 6th in 2024) has driven customer excitement and material incremental revenue, as the company has added new characters, multiple drops and the ability to leverage the first Halloween for both Mini Beans and Skoosherz, with more exciting items (including the return of Nightmare before Xmas “furry friends”) on their way.
    • As such, we expect momentum to remain strong throughout the season and then almost immediately pivot into the Xmas holiday items.

    💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

    Sign Up for Free

    The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

    • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
    • ✓ Personalised Alerts
    • ✓ Custom Watchlists
    • ✓ Company Data and News
    • ✓ Events & Webinars



    Daily Brief Consumer: Midea Group Co Ltd A, Seven & I Holdings, P N Gadgil Jewellers, Hengan International Group, Corn Active Contract, Geely Auto, Ingredion Inc, Singular Genomic Systems, Samvardhana Motherson Automotive Systems Group BV and more

    By | Consumer, Daily Briefs

    In today’s briefing:

    • Midea Group H Share Listing (300 HK): Trading Debut
    • Seven & I Holdings (3382 JP): Core Designation Does Not Change Couche-Tard’s Calculus
    • Midea A/H Listing – Strong Demand for Quality Asset, Index Flows Could Help in the near Term
    • P N Gadgil Jewellers IPO Trading- Decent Anchor, Strong Insti Demand
    • Technically Speaking, Breakouts and Breakdowns: HONG KONG (SEPTEMBER 13)
    • Global Commodities: Agricultural Markets Update – set for a seasonal recovery ahead
    • Geely (175 HK): Sales Volume Accelerated in August
    • Ingredion: Innovations Redefining the Taste and Texture of Modern Food
    • Singular Genomics: A Balanced Acquisition Opportunity for Deerfield But At What Value?
    • Morning Views Asia: Meituan, Samvardhana Motherson International Ltd


    Midea Group H Share Listing (300 HK): Trading Debut

    By Arun George

    • Midea Group Co Ltd A (000333 CH) priced its H Share at HK$54.80 to raise HK$31,014 million (US$4.0 billion) in gross proceeds. The H Share will be listed tomorrow.
    • The H Share listing price implies an AH discount of 21.4% at the A Share price of RMB63.51. This compares to Haier Smart Home (6690 HK)‘s AH discount of 13.8%.
    • Futu grey market data shows that the H Shares closed 5.1% higher at HK$57.60. Our valuation analysis suggests that the H Share listing price is attractive.

    Seven & I Holdings (3382 JP): Core Designation Does Not Change Couche-Tard’s Calculus

    By Arun George

    • On 13 September, the Ministry of Finance of Japan added 7&I to a list of “core” designated companies based on results of voluntary inquiries to all listed companies.
    • Several media reports suggest that the change in 7&I’s designation to core would complicate the proposed acquisition by Alimentation Couche-Tard (ATD CN). The core designation will not change Couche-Tard’s strategy.
    • The change to 7&I’s designation to core will paradoxically push Couche-Tard to firm up its revised offer. An undemanding valuation protects the downside of a no-deal situation.

    Midea A/H Listing – Strong Demand for Quality Asset, Index Flows Could Help in the near Term

    By Sumeet Singh

    • Midea Group Co Ltd A (000333 CH) raised around US$4.6bn in its H-share listing (including over-allocation), after the deal was upsized.
    • Midea Group is one of the world’s largest home appliance manufacturing companies with a presence in over 200 countries. Its A-shares have been listed since 2013.
    • We have covered the deal background in our previous notes. In this note, we talk about the trading dynamics.

    P N Gadgil Jewellers IPO Trading- Decent Anchor, Strong Insti Demand

    By Akshat Shah

    • P N Gadgil Jewellers (1742652D IN) raised around US$130m in its India IPO. 
    • It is an Indian organized jewellery player with product offerings which include traditional as well as modern and functional jewellery designs, in gold, diamond, silver and platinum.
    • In our previous notes, we looked at the company’s past performance and valuation. In this note, we talk about trading dynamics.

    Technically Speaking, Breakouts and Breakdowns: HONG KONG (SEPTEMBER 13)

    By David Mudd

    • Hong Kong Conglomerate Sector is showing renewed strength with Materials and Energy under pressure.  HK market 30 day volatility at 5 year low as market continues to de-risk.
    • Hengan International Group (1044 HK) chart broke down from its Descending Triangle pattern after reporting its 1H24 results. J&T Global Express (1519 HK) broke down from its double bottom pattern.
    • China Galaxy Securities (H) (6881 HK) price relative to the MSCI China index broke to a new high.  The company reported good results in a difficult environment for China brokers.

    Global Commodities: Agricultural Markets Update – set for a seasonal recovery ahead

    By At Any Rate

    • Geopolitical risks are resurfacing in grain and oilseed markets
    • Weather-related risks are impacting agricultural markets, particularly in the US and South America
    • US grain export demand is strong, but dry conditions may lower yield potential and delay planting in South America, causing prices to rise

    This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.


    Geely (175 HK): Sales Volume Accelerated in August

    By Ming Lu

    • The sales volume growth rate began to accelerate in August.
    • Geely’s revenue grew strongly by 39% YoY in 2Q24 and 47% YoY in 1H24.
    • The operating margin had improved YoY for the past one year and a half.

    Ingredion: Innovations Redefining the Taste and Texture of Modern Food

    By Pyari Menon

    • Innovation trends and patent filings within the food industry saw significant upswing over the year in the areas of natural ingredients and methods to manufacture vegan proteins.
    • Ingredion Ingredion Inc (INGR US) has a leadership position in  the fast growing Clean Label, Sugar Reduction and Plant-Based Protein Technologies
    • On a relative basis the stock despite better profitability metrics trades at a discount to the country-sector median and on an absolute basis at about 20% discount to FV.

    Singular Genomics: A Balanced Acquisition Opportunity for Deerfield But At What Value?

    By Baptista Research

    • Singular Genomics Systems, Inc. stands at an interesting crossroads with the recent acquisition interest shown by Deerfield Management.
    • Known for its innovative approach in genomics, specifically its G4® Sequencing Platform and the upcoming G4X™ Spatial Sequencer, Singular Genomics has garnered attention in the competitive genomics space.
    • Despite its modest financial performance, with only $0.7 million in Q2 revenue and a negative gross profit, its cutting-edge technology and increasing customer interest make it a potentially valuable asset.

    Morning Views Asia: Meituan, Samvardhana Motherson International Ltd

    By Leonard Law, CFA

    Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.


    💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

    Sign Up for Free

    The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

    • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
    • ✓ Personalised Alerts
    • ✓ Custom Watchlists
    • ✓ Company Data and News
    • ✓ Events & Webinars