Category

Equity Bottom-Up

Daily Brief Equity Bottom-Up: Shortlist Of High Conviction Ideas: Income and more

By | Daily Briefs, Equity Bottom-Up

In today’s briefing:

  • Shortlist Of High Conviction Ideas: Income, Value, and Margin of Safety
  • Alibaba (9988 HK): Buy JD Logistics as the Business Model Alibaba Begins to Follow
  • HDFC – Amalgamated, We List Its Own Key Synergies, Which Appear Tremendous
  • Great Wall Motor Eyes Expansion in Vietnam Amid Southeast Asia Push
  • Siemens Energy: Profit Warning Offers Buying Opportunity
  • [Alibaba (BABA US, BUY, TP US$109) Company Update]: Racehorse Mechanism Benefits E-Commerce
  • Takara Bio (4974 JP): Corona Cliff Set to Jeopardize FY24 Financial; Formulated FY26 Management Plan
  • Bank of Chongqing – One Of Worst NIM Contraction, But With High Loan Growth
  • Nano Dimension – Record quarter for revenue
  • abrdn Private Equity Opportunities Trust – Coping well with the tough environment


Shortlist Of High Conviction Ideas: Income, Value, and Margin of Safety

By Sameer Taneja


Alibaba (9988 HK): Buy JD Logistics as the Business Model Alibaba Begins to Follow

By Ming Lu

  • Alibaba’s new chairman decides to provide logistics service to outside customers.
  • We believe Alibaba is following JD Logistics, as both companies have large retailer bases.
  • We suggest buying JD Logistics the role model instead of Alibaba the follower.

HDFC – Amalgamated, We List Its Own Key Synergies, Which Appear Tremendous

By Daniel Tabbush

  • News out this morning that HDFC Bank and HDFC merger became effective 1 July 
  • This occurred after the Boards approved the merger scheme on 30 June
  • Funding cost benefits, operating cost synergies, product cross-sale: major benefits

Great Wall Motor Eyes Expansion in Vietnam Amid Southeast Asia Push

By Caixin Global

  • Great Wall Motor Co. Ltd. (601633.SH +2.50%) said on Wednesday that it will enter the Vietnamese market in August with its Haval H6 hybrid model, while a broader plan to build an assembly plant for new-energy vehicles in the country is set for 2025.
  • The Haval H6s will initially be exported to Vietnam from its manufacturing facility in Rayong, Thailand, the Hebei-based carmaker said earlier.
  • Vietnam is the fourth-largest auto market in the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) region after Indonesia, Thailand and Malaysia, according to 2022 passenger car sales figures released by the ASEAN Automotive Federation.

Siemens Energy: Profit Warning Offers Buying Opportunity

By Alexis Dwek

  • Since its spin-off from Siemens Group’s former Gas and Power division three years ago, momentum for the new formed Company has been picking up
  • Siemens Energy is experiencing a rise in demand for green transition technologies as governments worldwide move away from fossil fuels.
  • Siemens Gamesa has recently announced a profit warning. We feel that the market over-reacted as the shares plunged over 37% on the day, erasing €7bn in Siemens Energy’s market value.

[Alibaba (BABA US, BUY, TP US$109) Company Update]: Racehorse Mechanism Benefits E-Commerce

By Shawn Yang

  • We recently discussed BABA’s management changes with more e-commerce practitioners, and our main conclusion is that this change will be more beneficial to BABA’s e-commerce business rather than other subsidiaries;
  • BABA is expected to learn from Tencent and ByteDance by shifting from a centralized authority model to a racehorse mechanism. Some subsidiaries, especially AliCloud and Cainiao, undergo a painful transformation;
  • This may be good news for BABA because its e-commerce  is the largest of its valuation. We also remind investors to exercise caution regarding the upcoming IPOs of BABA subsidiaries.

Takara Bio (4974 JP): Corona Cliff Set to Jeopardize FY24 Financial; Formulated FY26 Management Plan

By Tina Banerjee

  • Takara Bio Inc (4974 JP) is anticipating 32% YoY decline in revenue to ¥53B in FY24. Both operating and net profits are expected to decline more than 60% YoY in FY24.
  • The company has formulated the medium-term management plan 2026 for the three-year period ending in FY26, with the final-year quantitative targets being operating profit of ¥15 billion and ROE 8%.
  • Considering Takara Bio’s FY24 operating profit guidance of ¥8B, FY26 target seems to be aggressive and difficult to achieve.

Bank of Chongqing – One Of Worst NIM Contraction, But With High Loan Growth

By Daniel Tabbush

  • Combination of high NIM contraction with high loan growth is not a good combination
  • BOC has seen its NIM down 14% in the past year but against 12% loan growth
  • PBOC pressure to cut rates and for banks to support ailing debtors, is a risk

Nano Dimension – Record quarter for revenue

By Edison Investment Research

For Q123, Nano Dimension reported good progress in revenue, up 43.5% y o-y and 23.6% q-o-q to $15.0m. Continued investment in R&D resulted in an adjusted EBITDA loss of $23.7m. Revaluation of the company’s stake in Stratasys and interest income earned on cash resulted in net income of $22.2m for the quarter. With net cash of $974m at quarter end, the company is well-funded to pursue its acquisition strategy.


abrdn Private Equity Opportunities Trust – Coping well with the tough environment

By Edison Investment Research

abrdn Private Equity Opportunities Trust (APEO) posted a 12-month NAV total return (TR) to end-May 2023 of 7.0%, supported by continued strong portfolio earnings momentum (up 28.7% over the 12 months to end-March 2023 for APEO’s top 50 holdings). Muted global M&A volumes continue to weigh on private equity (PE) exit activity, with APEO’s capital calls in the calendar year to end-May 2023 (£74.0m) outpacing distributions (£54.1m). That said, APEO’s undrawn credit facility and cash of £243.4m at end-May 2023 provide it with decent near-term balance sheet headroom, as these cover 35% of APEO’s outstanding investment commitments (which should be drawn gradually in the coming years).


💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars



Daily Brief Equity Bottom-Up: Panin Financial – Vanishing Growth and more

By | Daily Briefs, Equity Bottom-Up

In today’s briefing:

  • Panin Financial – Vanishing Growth, Falling ROE, Despite Likely Rebalancing Beneficiary
  • Taiwan Tech Weekly: New ASML Restrictions Tighten Vice Further on China; AI & The Nvidia/AMD Family
  • Will Group (6089 Jp) – 4Q Follow-Up
  • Gracell Biotechnologies Inc (GRCL.US) – May Fail to Solve the Real Pain Points in CAR-T Field
  • Sanofi (SAN FP): It Is Not Just Only Dupixent; New Drugs and Vaccine Launches to Augment Growth
  • Bosideng (3998 HK): Outlook Stays Promising
  • General Mills: A Disappointing Quarter For Short-Term Investors And Speculators
  • Malaysia’s EPF lifts its AEM stake, crossing 10% level
  • REIT Watch – 10 S-REITs buck the trend despite REITs lagging in June


Panin Financial – Vanishing Growth, Falling ROE, Despite Likely Rebalancing Beneficiary

By Daniel Tabbush

  • PNLF has seen its asset growth ratchet downward, running at near 12-year lows at +2% YoY 
  • Phases of ROE decline are apparent, from 12-13%, then to 9%, and now to 5-6%
  • At least, there is a rebound in profit growth in FY22, after dismal 3 years

Taiwan Tech Weekly: New ASML Restrictions Tighten Vice Further on China; AI & The Nvidia/AMD Family

By Vincent Fernando, CFA

  • Netherlands expands range of semiconductor tech restricted for export; Tightening the vice further on China’s semiconductor industry.
  • AI In The Family: Nvidia founder Jensen Huang a distant cousin of AMD CEO Lisa Su.
  • TSMC supplier hit by cyberattack, Hon Hai expanding EV in Vietnam, plus our recent research notes on Hon Hai, Nanya Tech, Himax, Yageo, and Delta.

Will Group (6089 Jp) – 4Q Follow-Up

By Sessa Investment Research

  • The day after the Company announced 4Q FY23/3 results and FY24/3 initial guidance for consolidated revenue flat and OP -21.0%, the share price dropped -6.3% on heavy volume, maintaining a weak trend thereafter relative to a strong underlying market.
  • SIR believes this is because the new MTP differed from investors‘ growth image.
  • While the Company would be remiss not to highlight the high base from the post-COVID surge in special demand for permanent placement as a short-term risk for this term, investors may have been sensitive to the slowdown in growth over the coming two years.

Gracell Biotechnologies Inc (GRCL.US) – May Fail to Solve the Real Pain Points in CAR-T Field

By Xinyao (Criss) Wang

  • The latest data of GC012F/GC007g at ASCO/EHA drove up share price, but the current clinical data do not necessarily guarantee the final druggability. So, we advise investors to be rational.
  • Gracell’s pipeline may not solve the real pain points of CAR-T therapy. Until the global momentum of cell therapy is reversed, there’s no need to expect too much from Gracell.
  • Gracell’s stock price would continue to fluctuate with positive clinical data or progress. However, the liquidity of this stock isn’t good. In this situation, both ups and downs are meaningless. 

Sanofi (SAN FP): It Is Not Just Only Dupixent; New Drugs and Vaccine Launches to Augment Growth

By Tina Banerjee

  • Sanofi (SAN FP) earns more than 20% revenue from its key growth driver, Dupixent. With expanding indications, Dupixent is on track to record €10B revenue in 2023.
  • The company has added two new drugs in its portfolio this year. Since the beginning of 2023, Sanofi has reported five positive readouts for its pipeline.
  • Sanofi aims to reach €10B vaccine sales by 2030 from €7B in 2022, fueled by accelerated pace of innovation. The company plans to launch RSV vaccine for infants this winter.

Bosideng (3998 HK): Outlook Stays Promising

By Osbert Tang, CFA

  • While having a slow FY23, Bosideng International Holdings (3998 HK) is well-positioned to capture the rebound in down apparel sales growth as pent-up demand is released.  
  • We also expect a recovery in margin, further improvement in channel efficiency and operating leverage from cost control will add to earnings momentum. 
  • Management expects revenue growth will at least sustain at the rate in the last 5 years. The stock’s valuations are cheap when compared with growth outlook and global peers. 

General Mills: A Disappointing Quarter For Short-Term Investors And Speculators

By Vladimir Dimitrov, CFA

  • General Mills has just reported its full fiscal year results and investors are not impressed.
  • Expectations of lower organic revenue growth and uncertainties around profitability would likely continue to weigh on the share price.
  • Long-term investors, however, could take advantage of this near-term dynamic while enjoying the higher dividend.

Malaysia’s EPF lifts its AEM stake, crossing 10% level

By Geoff Howie

  • Share buybacks by primary listed companies 23 – 29 Jun 2023 As at Jun 28, the three SDR collectively garnered close to S$0.2 million retail net inflows, with largest net buys in Airports of Thailand.
  • His preceding acquisitions were on Jun 6 and 5, with 17,000 shares and 6,800 shares acquired respectively, at S$0.96 per share.

REIT Watch – 10 S-REITs buck the trend despite REITs lagging in June

By Geoff Howie

  • 10 S-Reits buck the trend despite Reits lagging in June The month of June (till Jun 28, 2023) saw the iEdge S-Reit index record flattish performance at 0.3 per cent total returns for the month, improving from the 3.0 per cent declines in May.
  • The 10 best performing S-Reits for the month of June (till Jun 28, 2023) averaged over 7 per cent in total returns.

💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars



Daily Brief Equity Bottom-Up: Ace Hardware Indonesia (ACES IJ) – Reasons to Be Helpful and more

By | Daily Briefs, Equity Bottom-Up

In today’s briefing:

  • Ace Hardware Indonesia (ACES IJ) – Reasons to Be Helpful
  • [XPeng Inc. (XPEV US, BUY, TP US$13.7) Target Price Change]: Buy on More Visibility of Future Growth
  • [Meituan (3690 HK, BUY, TP HK$165) TP Change]: Competition with Douyin Continues, Cut TP to HK$165
  • Japan Elevator Service Holdings (6544) – Going up to Reach New Heights
  • Talos Energy, Inc. – Value Creation Catalysts
  • Earthstone Energy, Inc – Delaware Expansion Adds Quality Inventory
  • Culp, Inc. – 4QFY23: Results Beat Estimates; Trends Improve in Mattress Fabrics


Ace Hardware Indonesia (ACES IJ) – Reasons to Be Helpful

By Angus Mackintosh

  • Ace Hardware Indonesia is starting to see the seeds of recovery come through in SSSG through April and May and should get a further boost from its BOOM sale.
  • The company has resumed its store opening with plans for 13 new stores this year and a new store concept being rolled out across existing stores providing a potential boost. 
  • Ace Hardware Indonesia has a more cohesive digital strategy and has taken on its first brand ambassadors to boost millennial demand. Valuations remain attractive. 

[XPeng Inc. (XPEV US, BUY, TP US$13.7) Target Price Change]: Buy on More Visibility of Future Growth

By Shawn Yang

  • We are more positive on G6’s potential due to attractive pricing and higher conversion rate brought by nationwide availability of display vehicles. 
  • The success of G6 will add visibility of its growth due to the shared architecture.  We reiterate a rebound of sales momentum starting from 2Q23, driven by: 
  • 1) increased order intake of P7i and G6; 2) faster channel expansion than its peers. We raise our TP to US$ 13.7. Our TP implies 2.5x PS.

[Meituan (3690 HK, BUY, TP HK$165) TP Change]: Competition with Douyin Continues, Cut TP to HK$165

By Shawn Yang

  • We expect that Meituan and Douyin engaged in fierce competition in 2Q23. Meituan intensified its efforts in three aspects: commission reduction and rebates, promotion of “Meituan Quanquan,” and video subsidy. 
  • However, our 2Q23 Meituan revenue/profit estimates are in-line/34% higher vs. cons. This is mainly because it was Meituan’s first quarter of counterattack.
  • Meituan’s counterattack has shown initial results, in Douyin’s slowing local services growth during 618, and the return of merchants. We maintain Meituan’s BUY rating, but lowered TP to HK$ 165.

Japan Elevator Service Holdings (6544) – Going up to Reach New Heights

By Astris Advisory Japan

  • A successful market disruptor – Japan Elevator Service (JES) has been executing its growth strategy, increasing market share in the domestic elevator maintenance market via organic and acquisitive growth.

  • Operating in a market dominated by OEMs, it is making solid headway by 1) offering a cost-effective solution, 2) a differentiated service offering technical services and availability of parts on par with the OEMs, and 3) experiencing rapid growth through by establishing a nationwide network providing regionally rooted services.

  • Pursuing growth opportunities – we highlight two drivers for the company; 1) secular growth as building owners convert to reputable independent providers for cost management, and 2) structural demand from aging elevators requiring modernization.


Talos Energy, Inc. – Value Creation Catalysts

By Water Tower Research

  • Talos’s current valuation implies a steep discount to net asset value (NAV).

  • Management estimates the company’s year- end 2022 pro forma proved reserves have a gross PV-10 value of ~$5.5 billion (~$4.8 billion net of asset retirement obligations [ARO]) based on oil and natural gas prices of $75/bbl and $3.50/Mcf.

  • Adjusting for March 31, 2023, balance sheet items, leaves an estimated NAV of ~$3.6 billion, or $28.38/share.


Earthstone Energy, Inc – Delaware Expansion Adds Quality Inventory

By Water Tower Research

  • Earthstone announced an agreement to acquire Novo Oil & Gas Holdings LLC for $1.5 billion on June 15, 2023.

  • Concurrently, Northern Oil & Gas will acquire a pro rata one-third of the assets for $500 million from Earthstone, resulting in a net purchase price of $1.0 billion.

  • The transaction is expected to close in 3Q23 and will have an effective date of May 1, 2023.


Culp, Inc. – 4QFY23: Results Beat Estimates; Trends Improve in Mattress Fabrics

By Water Tower Research

  • Beat expectations. After market close on June 28, Culp reported 4QFY23 results that exceeded expectations.

  • Total revenues were $61.4 million, beating our $54 million estimate and consensus of $55.5 million.

  • On the bottom line, the company’s EPS of ($0.38) beat our ($0.50) estimate and consensus of ($0.45).


💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars



Daily Brief Equity Bottom-Up: Sumber Alfaria Trijaya (AMRT IJ) – The Digital Pantry of the Middle Classes and more

By | Daily Briefs, Equity Bottom-Up

In today’s briefing:

  • Sumber Alfaria Trijaya (AMRT IJ) – The Digital Pantry of the Middle Classes
  • Koolearn (1797 HK): Dimmer Outlook Not yet Priced In
  • Punjab National Bank – Soaring Recoveries, From High NPLs, Pushes Profit Up 5.4x
  • Sosei Group (4565 JP): Hit Hard by Partner’s Clinical Trial Termination; Need Time to Recover
  • Aristocrat Leisure: Buy of NeoGames &  New Asian Focus Reinforces a Long Term Bullish Outlook
  • Taiwan Dual-Listings: TSMC Premium Drops But Still 8.8%; ASE Premium High & Looks Stretched
  • Henderson International Income Trust – Playing recent events well


Sumber Alfaria Trijaya (AMRT IJ) – The Digital Pantry of the Middle Classes

By Angus Mackintosh

  • Sumber Alfaria Trijaya (Alfamart) continues to book solid growth in its core mini-market business but is now pushing harder with both larger format Alfamidi and Lawson convenience stores formats.
  • 89%-Owned Midi Utama Indonesia (Alfamidi) recently announced a rights issue to finance the expansion of Alfamidi and Lawson underpinning its more aggressive expansion plans. 
  • Sumber Alfaria Trijaya booked solid 1Q2023 numbers for its core business and continues to grow its digital connections and collaborations as an integral offline leg of the digital economy. 

Koolearn (1797 HK): Dimmer Outlook Not yet Priced In

By Eric Chen

  • We cautioned investors about the excessive optimism around the company’s growth potential a few months ago.
  • Its growth momentum has since rapidly diminished, at a pace that also surprises us and points to a dimmer outlook.
  • Despite rounds of downward earnings revision, we still see further downside risks to earnings. We expect 20-30% decline in share price by end of this year.

Punjab National Bank – Soaring Recoveries, From High NPLs, Pushes Profit Up 5.4x

By Daniel Tabbush

  • Bank analysts sometimes like a story with high NPLs; recoveries can be powerful to profit
  • For the past 7 quarters, NPLs are in decline at PNB, but most recent quarter is strongest
  • There remains a large pool of NPLs at 8.7% of loans, for possible ongoing recoveries

Sosei Group (4565 JP): Hit Hard by Partner’s Clinical Trial Termination; Need Time to Recover

By Tina Banerjee

  • Sosei Group (4565 JP) shares sold off heavily after a major setback in partner’s clinical trial. On June 26, Pfizer Inc (PFE US) decided to discontinue the development of lotiglipron (PF-07081532).
  • PF-07081532 is one of three clinical candidates nominated by Pfizer during its multi-target drug discovery collaboration with Sosei to research and develop potential new medicines.
  • As lotiglipron was the most advanced clinical candidate using Sosei’s drug discovery platform, the heavy sell-off seen in Sosei shares should not be considered as overreaction.

Aristocrat Leisure: Buy of NeoGames &  New Asian Focus Reinforces a Long Term Bullish Outlook

By Howard J Klein

  • The gaming equipment and systems leader offers line of new Dragon themed slot machines for upcoming Year of the Dragon as spear point of expanded Asian goals.
  • Acquisition of Israel’s NeoGames at US$1b follows failed bid last year to acquire Playtech. Move will strengthen digital footprint for sports betting and iLottery.
  • We have been bullish for five years on ALL as its shares have outperformed the market.

Taiwan Dual-Listings: TSMC Premium Drops But Still 8.8%; ASE Premium High & Looks Stretched

By Vincent Fernando, CFA

  • TSMC’s ADR premium dropped to 8.8% but still historically high. The company has said it will send more Taiwan staff to get its U.S. production up and running.
  • ASE’s ADR premium is high even for this usually-high premium range. ASE ADRs may be slightly behind the curve of the local shares’ recent decline, hence the spread opened up.
  • Chunghwa Telecom is at a relatively high ADR premium for this tightly trading range.

Henderson International Income Trust – Playing recent events well

By Edison Investment Research

Henderson International Income Trust (HINT) offers a diversified investment solution for those seeking capital growth and income opportunities outside the UK, where dividend income is relatively concentrated. Recent relative performance has improved, as underweights to the US and to IT and other growth stocks, which have previously hurt performance, are now boosting relative returns and should leave HINT well placed to cope with the persistently uncertain global environment. Overweights to European financials, energy and luxury goods producers have also been working well. HINT has a long-term objective to grow its dividend. Consistent with this, dividends have grown steadily since inception, and HINT’s dividend yield of 4.3% is competitive, ranking equal highest among its AIC peers.


💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars



Daily Brief Equity Bottom-Up: APAC Luxury Industry Series: Luxury Travel Shines Amid Challenges for Traditional Luxury Goods and more

By | Daily Briefs, Equity Bottom-Up

In today’s briefing:

  • APAC Luxury Industry Series: Luxury Travel Shines Amid Challenges for Traditional Luxury Goods
  • Times Neighborhood (9928 HK): China Property Play With High Margin of Safety
  • Samsung Electronics:  Return of the King
  • MTR (66): Should Start to Move
  • Home First Finance (HOMEFIRS IN) | Irrelevant Mission, Fading Moat
  • PT Medikaloka Hermina (HEAL IJ) – Women & Children with Increasing Intensity
  • Keisei Electric (9009): Ridership and Price Hike
  • Micron. Clutching At AI Straws
  • Komatsu (6301) | The Back Test Worked. Now What?
  • EM & Japan Neobanks – Stick with Rakuten Bank (5838 JP), but Time to Take Profits on Nubank (NU US)


APAC Luxury Industry Series: Luxury Travel Shines Amid Challenges for Traditional Luxury Goods

By Oshadhi Kumarasiri

  • While traditional luxury brands may encounter challenges as affluent Chinese consumers shift to local high-end brands, there are still opportunities within small niches in the luxury sector.
  • Luxury travel, driven by trends like micro trips and the increasing number of High-Net-Worth Individuals, represents a potential area of growth in the luxury sector.
  • The thriving luxury travel market opens up investment potential in sectors such as luxury hotels and premium cosmetics.

Times Neighborhood (9928 HK): China Property Play With High Margin of Safety

By Steve Zhou, CFA

  • Times Neighborhood (9928 HK) is a China property management company headquartered in the Big Bay Area, trading at 3x 2023 P/E and below net cash.
  • China property management as a sector has lost most of its value given close relationship with China property.  However, there are still some investable property management companies.
  • Upcoming catalysts include interim results in August, potential favorable policies in China property sector, and potential shareholder actions.  

Samsung Electronics:  Return of the King

By Steven Holden

  • Asia Ex-Japan investors move from underweight to a record overweight in Samsung Electronics
  • Samsung has been a key beneficiary of manager rotation over the last 6-months alongside BYD, Trip Com and Meituan.
  • Majority of funds positioned overweight with a record 81.4% of funds holding a position.  Samsung becomes one of the highest conviction holdings in the Asia Ex-Japan region.

MTR (66): Should Start to Move

By Henry Soediarko

  • The share price of MTR Corp (66 HK) has not moved and lagged behind other transport operators in Asia.
  • High-Frequency numbers from the company has shown improvement and signs that the Chinese tourists are gradually returning.
  • The reopening of the checking in facility in downtown Hong Kong is another sign that more tourists are expected to come. 

Home First Finance (HOMEFIRS IN) | Irrelevant Mission, Fading Moat

By Pranav Bhavsar

  • Home First Finance (HOMEFIRS IN) is a technology-driven affordable housing finance company (HFC) focused on first-time homebuyers in low and middle-income groups. 
  • We believe access to finance is more relevant rather than quick TAT and hence question the relevance of wanting to be the fastest provider.
  • Considering the fading competitive advantage, borrower profile and segment dynamics, HOMEFIRS may be the fastest but not necessarily the safest.

PT Medikaloka Hermina (HEAL IJ) – Women & Children with Increasing Intensity

By Angus Mackintosh

  • Medikaloka Hermina (HEAL IJ) saw a strong recovery in patient volumes in 1Q2023, with margins starting to normalise from COVID highs and occupancy rates picking up. 
  • The company is back on an expansion track and recently secured the first hospital in the new capital next year with two new hospitals planned to open this year.
  • Medikaloka Hermina continues to focus on women & children and JKN patients but is also expanding into more intensive specialist treatments to drive profits. Valuations remain attractive versus peers.

Keisei Electric (9009): Ridership and Price Hike

By Henry Soediarko

  • YTD performance of 61% has been stellar and index beating but the concern remains whether there will be more left. 
  • Keisei Electric Railway Co (9009 JP) April 23 ridership and revenue growth provide momentum despite the still non-existence arrival of Chinese tourists. 
  • Chinese tourists’ arrival in 2H 23 may be slow but chances are that they will arrive in Japan and will boost both ridership and revenue.

Micron. Clutching At AI Straws

By William Keating

  • Micron reported FQ3’23 revenues of $3.8 billion, up 2% sequentially and down 57% year-over-year.
  • Despite upbeat AI notes among others, Micron quietly delivered more bad news than good with their overall outlook worsening in many key respects. 
  • In the company’s own words, “Profitability and cash flow will remain extremely challenged for some time”. For “some time”, you could insert “at least 12 months”

Komatsu (6301) | The Back Test Worked. Now What?

By Mark Chadwick

  • We remain bullish on Komatsu despite returning a positive 37% return over the past year. 
  • Q1 results are likely to exceed expectations and guidance is likely to be cautious, due to forex, pricing and cost factors.
  • Komatsu is still attractively valued compared to its peers and historical averages, and has 20% upside potential.

EM & Japan Neobanks – Stick with Rakuten Bank (5838 JP), but Time to Take Profits on Nubank (NU US)

By Victor Galliano

  • We remain positive on Rakuten Bank, with its group ecosphere as a source of customer growth, its low cost base, and extremely low NPL ratio
  • Rakuten Bank trades on the lowest PE multiple of the neobank peer group , with the low ROE to PBV ratio close to the best of its neobank peers
  • Nubank shares have done well since we upgraded to a buy in January; we recommend investors to take profits given Nubank’s  limited potential for positive surprises and its stretched valuations

💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars



Daily Brief Equity Bottom-Up: Perfect Medical 1830 HK: High Conviction (8% Div Yield and more

By | Daily Briefs, Equity Bottom-Up

In today’s briefing:

  • Perfect Medical 1830 HK: High Conviction (8% Div Yield, Improving Outlook)
  • Government Pressures Korean Instant Noodles & Flour Makers to Lower Prices
  • Smartkarma Corporate Webinar | IREIT Global: Dividend Quality in a Challenging Market
  • AKR Corporindo (AKRA IJ) – Unseasonally Optimistic
  • Hon Hai: Hits New 52-Week Highs; Sanity Checking Management Guidance Shows Still More Upside
  • Memory Monitor: Micron Signals Trough Is Past — Long Nanya Rebound & Elan Micro a Less Obvious Play
  • Yageo: Left Behind By the ‘AI Rally’, But Robust Business Still Tied to Strong Power/EV Drivers
  • TM: Securing Another Prospective Property in Morocco
  • HDFC Bank – Stability, Strength Against India Peer Banks and Non-Banks
  • Oracle As A Long-Term Dividend Play


Perfect Medical 1830 HK: High Conviction (8% Div Yield, Improving Outlook)

By Sameer Taneja

  • Perfect Medical Health (1830 HK) reported a steady earnings growth of 3.5% YoY for FY23 despite the interruption of operations in China.
  • Since its listing, the company has consistently maintained a ROCE of >25%, with FY23 being no exception. Net cash and investments at 738 mn HKD represent 18% of market capitalization. 
  • The company declared a final dividend of 17 cents (Full year dividend FY23: 30 HKD cents Vs. FY22: 25 cents), representing an 8% yield with a 118% payout ratio. 

Government Pressures Korean Instant Noodles & Flour Makers to Lower Prices

By Douglas Kim

  • In the past week, several leading Korean instant noodle makers including Nongshim, Samyang Foods, and Ottogi announced that they will be reducing instant noodle and snack prices starting July.
  • This government pressure to lower instant noodle and snack prices are likely to negatively impact companies including Nongshim, Samyang Foods, and Ottogi Corp.
  • We believe the share prices of the three major instant noodle makers including Nongshim, Samyang Foods, and Ottogi could face further underperformance relative to KOSPI in the next 3-6 months. 

Smartkarma Corporate Webinar | IREIT Global: Dividend Quality in a Challenging Market

By Smartkarma Research

For our next Corporate Webinar we are glad to welcome IREIT Global’s CEO, Louis d’Estienne d’Orves.

In the upcoming webinar, Louis will share a short company presentation after which, he will engage in a fireside chat with Smartkarma Insight Provider, Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar. The Corporate Webinar will include a live Q&A session.

The Corporate Webinar will be hosted on Thursday, 6 July 2023, 17:00 SGT.

About IREIT Global

IREIT Global, which was listed on 13 August 2014, is the first Singapore-listed real estate investment trust with the investment strategy of principally investing, directly or indirectly, in a portfolio of income-producing real estate in Europe which is used primarily for office, retail and industrial (including logistics) purposes, as well as real estate-related assets. IREIT Global’s current portfolio comprises five freehold office properties in Germany, five freehold office properties in Spain and 27 freehold retail properties in France.

IREIT Global is managed by IREIT Global Group Pte. Ltd., which is jointly owned by Tikehau Capital and City Developments Limited. Tikehau Capital is global alternative asset management group listed in France, while City Developments Limited is a leading global real estate company listed in Singapore.


AKR Corporindo (AKRA IJ) – Unseasonally Optimistic

By Angus Mackintosh

  • AKR Corporindo provided an unseasonally upbeat indication for 2Q2023 for its petroleum and chemical product distribution businesses, and for the strong demand pick up for its retail JV with BP.
  • Indications suggest that the company is well on track to meet its FY2023 guidance for its distribution businesses, and is optimistic about the build-out of its retail filling stations. 
  • Its JIIPE industrial estate secured 17 hectares in 2Q2023 but its pipeline is now 300-350 hectares, underlining the increasing importance to AKR Corporindo (AKRA IJ).

Hon Hai: Hits New 52-Week Highs; Sanity Checking Management Guidance Shows Still More Upside

By Vincent Fernando, CFA

  • Hon Hai shares have rallied to new 52-week highs; We update our model and sanity check the company’s 2025E gross margin target.
  • Hon Hai can realize its target higher gross margin as its revenue mix changes between its legacy contract manufacturing and components/ higher value products revenue.
  • We maintain our 12-month price target of NT$155 per share, 35% above current levels and higher than the entire Street.

Memory Monitor: Micron Signals Trough Is Past — Long Nanya Rebound & Elan Micro a Less Obvious Play

By Vincent Fernando, CFA

  • Micron released results and its shares are rising U.S. afterhours. The company said that its trough is past, implying the same for other memory chip producers such as Nanya Tech.
  • Given Nanya Tech recently rallied ahead of Micron, then reverted back most of the gains, we see at least a10% short-term Long trade for Nanya shares here.
  • Micron also made positive comments about the PC industry inventories. However, Taiwan PC names are already near 52-week highs. Elan Microelectronics could be a yet-to-rally play: See our full piece.

Yageo: Left Behind By the ‘AI Rally’, But Robust Business Still Tied to Strong Power/EV Drivers

By Vincent Fernando, CFA

  • Yageo has been relatively range-bound since early 2023E, missing completely the ‘AI Rally’ that caused many other Taiwan names to rise. Hence one can buy it without chasing hype.
  • We spoke with management. The company has historically enjoyed durable margins and we believe could enjoy a cycle turn-around as its products are linked to high-tech power needs.
  • While not directly linked to AI demand, its products have strong long-term demand dynamics and are necessary for AI servers, high-end computing, autos, defense, and communications. Structural Long, NT$690 target.

TM: Securing Another Prospective Property in Morocco

By Atrium Research

  • Trigon was granted seven large silver and lead prospecting licenses encompassing 112km2 in the Addana Mountains of Southern Morocco.
  • This morning, Trigon Metals Inc. (TM:TSXV), announced that it has been granted seven exclusive prospecting licenses encompassing 112km2 in the Addana Mountains of Southern Morocco, called the Addana Project (Figure 1).
  • The Addana permit area is 14x the size of the Silver Hill target and currently, the historical workings appear far more pervasive despite the lack of modern data.

HDFC Bank – Stability, Strength Against India Peer Banks and Non-Banks

By Daniel Tabbush

  • What sets HDFC Bank apart from peers is stability, strength in profit, ROA, NPLs, NIM
  • Peers see volatile, high NPL ratios, where HDFC Bank may see NPLs at less than 1% soon
  • Amalgamation HDFC into HDFC Bank can see more interest, supported by fundamentals 

Oracle As A Long-Term Dividend Play

By Vladimir Dimitrov, CFA

  • Oracle’s upside in the near term might appear limited, but there is potential for higher dividend growth going forward.
  • The debt level should be monitored closely by investors, but in my view does not present a major risk for Oracle’s dividend.
  • The dividend yield remains low, but the debt level must be monitored by investors.

💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars



Daily Brief Equity Bottom-Up: Fast Retailing (9983) | Is China Still Recovering? and more

By | Daily Briefs, Equity Bottom-Up

In today’s briefing:

  • Fast Retailing (9983) | Is China Still Recovering?
  • Hugel: A Solid Turnaround Story With Resumption of Botulax Sales in China
  • Five Star Business Finance (FIVESTAR IN) | A Five Star Business
  • Short Note: CTF, Shareholder of NWD 17 HK, Announced Proposed Privatization for NWS, Positive to NWD
  • Hugel Inc (145020 KS): Expanding Global Presence Provides Solace Amid Patent Tussle with Competitor
  • Meta’s Achilles Heel(s)
  • PT Surya Citra Media (SCMA IJ) – Catalytic Converter
  • Ford: Surprisingly Still Undervalued
  • Manchester United’s Q3 Earnings Reviewed (Rating Downgrade)
  • Guangzhou Baiyunshan Pharmaceutical (874.HK) – When Valuation Is Low Enough, Drawbacks Are Tolerable


Fast Retailing (9983) | Is China Still Recovering?

By Mark Chadwick

  • Fast Retailing’s stock price is overvalued and faces downside risks from its Q3 results (maybe), China outlook (perhaps), and index rebalancing (most likely).
  • Fast Retailing has enjoyed a premium over its global peers largely due to its higher exposure to China growth. Any wobbles here could be negative catalyst
  • There is also a technical issue that will likely cap the weighting of Fast Retailing in the Nikkei 225 = index selling pressure

Hugel: A Solid Turnaround Story With Resumption of Botulax Sales in China

By Douglas Kim

  • Hugel is a solid turnaround story. The recent resumption of its Botulax product sales in China is likely to boost the company’s sales and profits in 2023 and 2024.
  • Despite this important catalyst, Hugel continues to face potential legal battle with Medytox over the botulinum toxin-related patent in the United States.
  • The overall valuation on Hugel remains attractive and it is trading at EV/EBITDA of 7.1x and P/E of 18.2x in 2023.

Five Star Business Finance (FIVESTAR IN) | A Five Star Business

By Pranav Bhavsar

  • Five Star Business Finance (FIVESTAR IN) is a NBFC based in India, specializing in providing financial services to small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) in the informal and semi-formal sectors. 
  • The focus on in-house sourcing, collection, and risk management aids in maintaining strong asset quality.
  • In terms of valuations, FIVESTAR trades at a premium. However, considering its competitive moat and growth potential, any available opportunities should be capitalized upon.

Short Note: CTF, Shareholder of NWD 17 HK, Announced Proposed Privatization for NWS, Positive to NWD

By Jacob Cheng

  • In this note, we looked at the privatization offer from Chow Tai Fook, and its impact on NWD 17 HK
  • The proposed transaction will help NWD unlock its value and reduce gearing, which has been investor’s major concern
  • It is only the beginning of part of strategic review of NWD group.  We view more positive catalysts are coming

Hugel Inc (145020 KS): Expanding Global Presence Provides Solace Amid Patent Tussle with Competitor

By Tina Banerjee

  • Hugel Inc (145020 KS) is expected to start shipment of Botulax to China this month. Moreover, the company will launch its HA filler in China by middle of 2023.
  • Hugel plans to focus on expanding into the global market in 2H23. The company began full-scale sales of Botulax in Australia in April and plans to enter Canada this year.
  • Preliminary ruling regarding legal dispute in US is expected in November, while final ruling will come in March 2024. Hugel pushed back its US entry to 2025.  

Meta’s Achilles Heel(s)

By MBI Deep Dives

  • First some caveats: while we have all probably read Charlie Munger’s quote “I never allow myself to hold an opinion on anything that I don’t know the other side’s argument better than they do”, the reality is this is exceptionally uncommon and challenging.
  • In fact, when investors mention risks about a company they like, they often deliberately choose strawman arguments from the other side and advertently or inadvertently ignore steelman arguments.
  • I will try to avoid strawman bear cases (and boy there are many), and only outline the bear cases that indeed concern me as a shareholder.

PT Surya Citra Media (SCMA IJ) – Catalytic Converter

By Angus Mackintosh

  • PT Surya Citra Media had strong start to the year in terms of audience share but advertising revenues were slightly disappointing with a poor showing for the overall market.
  • Advertising revenues were impacted by a slowdown in e-commerce activity but overall the market adjusted downwards with 2Q expected to be slow but with a strong recovery expected in 2H2023.
  • PT Surya Citra Media continues to invest in original content but less aggressively, with cashflows expected to be stronger in 2023. There are also potential catalysts ahead from listing subsidiaries. 

Ford: Surprisingly Still Undervalued

By Pearl Gray Equity and Research

  • Receding credit risk and a more predictable inflationary environment will likely deliver tailwinds to cyclical stocks.
  • The U.S. Government is set to throw its support behind the EV industry, and Ford might be a primary beneficiary.
  • However, we are giving the stock the benefit of the doubt.

Manchester United’s Q3 Earnings Reviewed (Rating Downgrade)

By Pearl Gray Equity and Research

  • Manchester United plc blitzed past its fiscal third quarter revenue estimate.
  • However, key risks have surfaced, and limited transparency exists regarding its pending takeover.
  • Manchester United’s brand engagement is scaling due to its growing YouTube and Instagram exposure.

Guangzhou Baiyunshan Pharmaceutical (874.HK) – When Valuation Is Low Enough, Drawbacks Are Tolerable

By Xinyao (Criss) Wang

  • Baiyunshan is not a typical TCM company. As Great Commerce accounts for the majority of revenue, it clearly drags down the quality of total assets and growth expectation for valuation.
  • As Jin Ge and Wang Lao Ji are facing different challenges, the overall growth/profitability of Baiyunshan is under pressure.Due to uncompetitive product line, Baiyunshan’s future growth appears to lack momentum.
  • The valuation of Baiyunshan-A share is still expensive, but Baiyunshan-H share is attractive. After all, the future consumption recovery would be beneficial for boosting Baiyunshan’s valuation. Then, trading opportunity occurs. 

💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars



Daily Brief Equity Bottom-Up: Medley (4480 JP): 2023 Started on Strong Note; Full-Year Guidance Reaffirmed; Mid-Term Plan Revised and more

By | Daily Briefs, Equity Bottom-Up

In today’s briefing:

  • Medley (4480 JP): 2023 Started on Strong Note; Full-Year Guidance Reaffirmed; Mid-Term Plan Revised
  • Meilan Airport (357 HK): Positive on The Only China Airport Trading Below Book Value
  • Taiwan Tech Weekly: Micron Results Key for Nanya; Hon Hai New 52-Week High; AI Leaders Basket
  • Alphamab Co Ltd (9966.HK) – Valuation Is Already Low, but Many Issues Hinder the Bullish View
  • Yamaha Motors (7272) | Choppy Waters Ahead
  • EDG: First Batch of Drill Results Don’t Disappoint
  • Takamiya Co., Ltd (2445 JP) – 23/3 Full Year Follow-Up
  • Monster Beverage Corporation: Still A GARP Opportunity
  • PI: Red Tagged, Initiating with Sell
  • Update Note – Steelcase, Inc. (SCS)


Medley (4480 JP): 2023 Started on Strong Note; Full-Year Guidance Reaffirmed; Mid-Term Plan Revised

By Tina Banerjee

  • Medley (4480 JP) started 2023 on a strong note, with 1Q23 revenue increasing 56% YoY to ¥4.4B, mainly driven by 83% YoY revenue growth in medical platform business.
  • Despite better-than-usual progress in Q1 result, Medley did not change 2023 guidance. However, the company sees a strong possibility of surpassing 2023 profit targets at the EBITDA level and below.
  • Medley has revised its mid-term target and brough forward the timeline for achievement of the goals by one year. The company now aims to achieve revenue of ¥23B in 2024.

Meilan Airport (357 HK): Positive on The Only China Airport Trading Below Book Value

By Eric Chen

  • A slew of bad news from weak China consumption, depreciating RMB to negative progress in an arbitration sent Meilan Airport stock down to below book value.
  • Yet when it comes to the fundamental of the company itself, we believe concerns are over-blown and very much priced in.
  • Meilan Airport is the most under-valued major airport in China airport space in our view. Patience will pay off.

Taiwan Tech Weekly: Micron Results Key for Nanya; Hon Hai New 52-Week High; AI Leaders Basket

By Vincent Fernando, CFA

  • Micron results this week; will give a key readthrough for Nanya Tech. The latest memory chip pricing data implies it was another tough quarter.
  • Hon Hai’s break out continues, with the shares achieving a new 52-week high. The company’s new JV with automaker Stellantis may finally be winning over naysayers.
  • AI Leaders Basket: TSMC and ASML have substantially lagged Nvidia and could serve as AI-exposure alternatives to chasing Nvidia’s rally.

Alphamab Co Ltd (9966.HK) – Valuation Is Already Low, but Many Issues Hinder the Bullish View

By Xinyao (Criss) Wang

  • KN046’s commercialization prospects is limited if it doesn’t demonstrate better results than PD-1 in head-to-head trial. The value of KN046 still lies in its potential to treat PDAC not sqNSCLC.
  • KN026 is difficult to become a blockbuster variety. JSKN003 may not have good opportunity in front of DS-8201. Many investors are unhappy with Alphamab’s credibility and information disclosure quality.
  • Alphamab’s valuation is already at low level. However, considering the current pessimistic sentiment towards biotech in HKEX, investors are advised to remain cautious, and just short-term trade is recommended.

Yamaha Motors (7272) | Choppy Waters Ahead

By Mark Chadwick

  • Yamaha Motors had blow-out 1Q results. The 20% share price rally since then suggests much of the good news is in the price
  • We are concerned that deteriorating macro-economic conditions in the US due to higher interest rates could derail demand for marine engines and boats
  • The stock price of US peer, Brunswick has already started to correct. Yamaha now trades at a premium valuation

EDG: First Batch of Drill Results Don’t Disappoint

By Atrium Research

  • 2,100m of the 15,000m 2023 program have been completed to-date.
  • This morning, Endurance Gold Corporation (EDG:TSXV) provided an update on the ongoing exploration program at its Reliance Gold Project and assay results for three drill holes completed at the Imperial and Diplomat target areas.
  • Eight holes have been completed over 2,100m of the ongoing 15,000m program which commenced in May.

Takamiya Co., Ltd (2445 JP) – 23/3 Full Year Follow-Up

By Sessa Investment Research

  • FY23/3 full-year results were announced in the last month.
  • In its consolidated earnings, Operating profit rose 33.9%, ¥2,253 mn, on a 5.3% rise in sales, to ¥41,894 mn. Ordinary profit was up 22.9%, to ¥2,400 mn, and net profit rose 51.3%, to ¥1,460mn.
  • Compared to the company’s forecast at the time of the 3Q results announcement, net sales fell short by about 7%, but operating profit and net profit were in line. 

Monster Beverage Corporation: Still A GARP Opportunity

By Pearl Gray Equity and Research

  • Qualitative factors and key metrics suggest that Monster Beverage Corporation presents a GARP opportunity.
  • The company is growing at scale and holds down a significant part of the energy drinks market.
  • The generational consumer shift into stimulated drinks lends researchers much scope to delve into the prospects of Monster Beverage Corporation (NASDAQ:MNST).

PI: Red Tagged, Initiating with Sell

By Hamed Khorsand

  • Impinj was a late beneficiary to the COVID-19 pandemic and could now be on the cusp of a correction in its revenue growth trajectory
  • The developer of radio frequency identification (“RFID”) chips used in RFID tags benefited when companies were facing supply chain issues resulting in ordering much more inventory than necessary
  • Consensus estimates are for another 36 percent increase in revenue in 2023 even though Impinj is heavily dependent on retail apparel

Update Note – Steelcase, Inc. (SCS)

By Water Tower Research

  • This note follows up on the Steelcase 1QFY24 earnings release, management’s earnings conference call, and our earnings analysis note from June 22.
  • Herein, we refresh our estimates for Steelcase.
  • Steelcase has been tied to the fortunes of commercial/contract furniture, where the company is a global leader. 

💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars



Daily Brief Equity Bottom-Up: Alibaba (9988 HK): Daniel Steps Down as Jack Changes Strategy and more

By | Daily Briefs, Equity Bottom-Up

In today’s briefing:

  • Alibaba (9988 HK): Daniel Steps Down as Jack Changes Strategy
  • Eisai Co (4523 JP): Alzheimer’s Drug Approaching Full FDA Approval; Other Countries to Follow Soon
  • Taste Gourmet: Expansion in Full Swing, Set Up For A Great 2024
  • The Business of CMS Info Systems
  • Ricegrowers Limited (SunRice)- FY23 Earnings Beat and FY24-FY26 Upgrades
  • REIT Watch – S-REITs actively manage impact of rising rates; average ICR at 4.3 times
  • The Art of Resilience


Alibaba (9988 HK): Daniel Steps Down as Jack Changes Strategy

By Ming Lu

  • Daniel Zhang stepped down from the Chair and CEO and moved to be the head of cloud intelligence.
  • The retail focus will move from physical store and branded product to a platform for third-party retailers.
  • We believe the strategy change is correct in the weak consumption market.

Eisai Co (4523 JP): Alzheimer’s Drug Approaching Full FDA Approval; Other Countries to Follow Soon

By Tina Banerjee

  • Eisai Co Ltd (4523 JP) is expected to receive full approval from the FDA for Alzheimer’s disease drug, Leqembi, as FDA advisory committee voted unanimously in support of the drug.  
  • Leqembi application has been granted Priority Review, with PDUFA action date of July 6. Once the FDA grants traditional approval, broader Medicare coverage for Leqembi would begin the same day.
  • Leqembi is expected to receive approval in Japan, EU, and China in FY24. With these approvals, Leqembi is expected to become the top selling Alzheimer’s disease drug globally.

Taste Gourmet: Expansion in Full Swing, Set Up For A Great 2024

By Sameer Taneja

  • Taste Gourmet (8371 HK) reported earnings of 68 mn HKD for FY23 (including impairments of 3.2 mn HKD). Adjusting for impairments, earnings were in line with our estimates.
  • The company signed ten new leases in HK, which are expected to commence over the next 5-6 months taking the total restaurant count in HK to 49. 
  • Trading at 5.6x PE FY24e with a dividend yield of 10.7% based on a 60 payout ratio, we see a further inflection in earnings in FY24 with new restaurant openings.

The Business of CMS Info Systems

By Invest Karo India

  • Rajiv Kaul had it all. By 2008, he had won the proverbial game of life.
  • Armed with an engineering degree from BIT Mesra and an MBA from XLRI Jamshedpur, Rajiv joined Microsoft in 1992 and quickly rose the ranks to become its youngest managing director at the age of 33.
  • After a stint of 14 years, Rajiv left the comfort and familiarity of Microsoft for the shores of Private Equity.

Ricegrowers Limited (SunRice)- FY23 Earnings Beat and FY24-FY26 Upgrades

By Research as a Service (RaaS)

  • Ricegrowers Limited, trading as SunRice (ASX:SGLLV), has reported its FY23 results and provided some outlook commentary for FY24.
  • The FY23 result delivered adjusted revenue growth of 23%, EBITDA growth of 28%, NPAT growth of 18% and EPS growth of 14%, all above RaaS’ estimates.
  • The full-year dividend was raised from $0.40/share to $0.50/share (fully franked yield of 7.3%) and we view this level as sustainable near- term given outlook comments and have increased our assumptions accordingly. 

REIT Watch – S-REITs actively manage impact of rising rates; average ICR at 4.3 times

By Geoff Howie

  • S-REITs actively manage impact of rising rates; average ICR at 4.3 times Higher interest rates have typically been associated with higher borrowing costs and therefore lower distributions available for unitholders.
  • To hedge the impact of rising rates, S-REITs have been actively managing interest rate exposures.

The Art of Resilience

By subSPAC

  • In the face of potential recession and inflationary pressures, the luxury goods market stands out from its peers.
  • This resilience can largely be attributed to strong pent-up demand following pandemic lockdowns, coupled with the spending power of high-end consumers.
  • One of the leaders of the space is Global Blue Group, a tax-free shopping-focused company that had a turbulent introduction to public markets in 2020, through a SPAC deal, amidst the pandemic.

💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars



Daily Brief Equity Bottom-Up: China Healthcare Weekly (Jun.23) – National TCM VBP Results and more

By | Daily Briefs, Equity Bottom-Up

In today’s briefing:

  • China Healthcare Weekly (Jun.23) – National TCM VBP Results, CDE Changes Game Rule, Hua Medicine
  • Intel Planing on Pulling A Samsung
  • Thonburi Healthcare Group (THG TB): Improving Core Operation and Future Expansion to Drive Growth


China Healthcare Weekly (Jun.23) – National TCM VBP Results, CDE Changes Game Rule, Hua Medicine

By Xinyao (Criss) Wang

  • The results of National TCM VBP were released, with average price reduction of 49.36%, involving multiple large varieties with sales over RMB1 billion and exclusive products from many listed companies.
  • CDE will move closer to the FDA’s standard for approving new drugs. So, pharmaceutical companies need to update clinical strategies timely according to the situation, otherwise unexpected events may occur.
  • We analyzed some key points about Hua Medicine Ltd (2552 HK). We think its core drug Dorzagliatin still has many uncertainties that are worth investors’ attention.

Intel Planing on Pulling A Samsung

By William Keating

  • By combining TMG+TD+IFS into a single reportable segment, all internal demand will move to this new entity, leapfrogging Intel to global #2 foundry by Q1’24 instead of by 2030
  • This new structure risks obfuscating the details of external foundry customer growth
  • A much simpler step by step approach which achieves all Intel’s stated goals while retaining visibility into IFS would be far more preferable from a shareholder perspective

Thonburi Healthcare Group (THG TB): Improving Core Operation and Future Expansion to Drive Growth

By Tina Banerjee

  • Thonburi Healthcare Group (THG TB) recorded 23% YoY increase in non-COVID medical services revenue in 1Q23, mainly driven by higher pay per bed and utilization of inpatient division.
  • With the recovery in core healthcare services, THG expects its revenue to grow 10% YoY this year, accelerating from 6% revenue growth recorded in 2022.
  • In the next 3 years, THG plans to increase 195 outpatient rooms and 419 beds and is set to spend nearly THB5 billion on capex during 2023–2025.

💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars