Category

Equity Bottom-Up

Daily Brief Equity Bottom-Up: Fushan Energy (639 HK): Cash 80% of Market Cap and more

By | Daily Briefs, Equity Bottom-Up

In today’s briefing:

  • Fushan Energy (639 HK): Cash 80% of Market Cap, 100% Payout Implies 12% Trailing Dividend Yield
  • KE (BEKE US, 2423 HK): 2024 Result, Accelerating Quarter by Quarter, Upside Above 100%
  • ENN Energy (2688 HK): Valuing ENN Natural Gas H-Share
  • Intel Vision: Lip Bu Tan’s First Keynote As Intel CEO
  • China TCM (570.HK) – Updates on Performance Forecast and Valuation Outlook Based on 2024 Results
  • Gap Trade Opportunities in Korean Prefs Vs Common Share Pairs in 2Q 2025
  • India Air Conditioners | Who’s Chilling How
  • Vodafone Idea: Another Lifeline, But Structural Challenges Persist
  • Oisix ra daichi (3182 JP): Q3 FY03/25 flash update
  • Notes from Conversation with ANGI IR


Fushan Energy (639 HK): Cash 80% of Market Cap, 100% Payout Implies 12% Trailing Dividend Yield

By Sameer Taneja

  • Shougang Fushan Resources’ (639 HK) FY24 revenues/profits were down 14%/21% YoY due to the decline in coking coal prices, which were 14% YoY to 1666 RMB/ton (on similar volumes). 
  • At 1295 RMB/ton, spot prices are 25% lower than last year’s average, yet the stock is supported by cash, which represents 80% of its market capitalization (10 billion HKD).
  • The company provided a 100% payout of 30 HKD cents, resulting in a 12% dividend yield; however, at current spot prices, the yield is 7%.

KE (BEKE US, 2423 HK): 2024 Result, Accelerating Quarter by Quarter, Upside Above 100%

By Ming Lu

  • Exhibiting home revenue recovered significantly in 4Q24, while new home revenue recovered from 3Q24.
  • The growth rate of active stores and active agents accelerated quarter by quarter.
  • We conclude an upside of 105% and a price target of US$42.00. Buy.

ENN Energy (2688 HK): Valuing ENN Natural Gas H-Share

By Osbert Tang, CFA

  • We calculated that after the privatisation of ENN Energy (2688 HK), the EPS of ENN Natural Gas (600803 CH) will be Rmb1.94 for FY25F and Rmb2.11 for FY26F.
  • By using ENN Energy’s undisturbed PER (with and without a 10% discount) and Kunlun Energy (135 HK)‘s ex-cash PER, ENN-NG H-share is worth 6.8-7.9x for FY25F and 6.3-7.2x for FY26F.
  • ENN-NG H-share is hence valued at HK$14.11-16.37, implying that ENN Energy’s value under the privatisation proposal is HK$66.02-72.67, which is lower than Somerly’s HK$80 estimate.

Intel Vision: Lip Bu Tan’s First Keynote As Intel CEO

By William Keating

  • Rather than love, than money, than fame, give me the truth
  • I intend to under promise and over deliver. I will not be satisfied until we delight you
  • How long will I stay at Intel? I’m here for as long as it takes

China TCM (570.HK) – Updates on Performance Forecast and Valuation Outlook Based on 2024 Results

By Xinyao (Criss) Wang

  • TCM finished drugs and TCM decoction pieces businesses could be the second and third growth curve of China TCM when the concentrated TCM granules business is facing VBP headwinds.
  • 2024 would be the performance low point. Due to 2024 low base, we would see positive growth in 2025.Performance recovery is expected in next three years based on our forecast.
  • Annual profit of RMB1 billion is achievable. If based on 10x P/E, market value is RMB10 billion.We think if valuations fall below RMB10 billion, investors can consider buying on dips.

Gap Trade Opportunities in Korean Prefs Vs Common Share Pairs in 2Q 2025

By Douglas Kim

  • In this insight, we discuss numerous gap trade opportunities involving Korean preferred and common shares in 2Q 2025.
  • The following five pairs (between common and prefs) have experienced more than 10% difference in their share prices in the past six months. 
  • These five pairs (LG Chem, Amorepacific Corp, Amorepacific Group, CJ Cheiljedang, and Korea Investment Holdings) are more likely to revert to closing their gaps in the coming weeks. 

India Air Conditioners | Who’s Chilling How

By Pranav Bhavsar


Vodafone Idea: Another Lifeline, But Structural Challenges Persist

By Nimish Maheshwari

  • GoI converts ₹36,950 crore of spectrum dues into equity, increasing its stake to ~49%. Promoters’ stake diluted to ~25.5%, with public shareholders now owning just ~23.8%. 
  • While the move eases cash outflows till H1FY28, Vodafone Idea’s AGR dues, weak subscriber base, and funding needs remain material headwinds.
  • Structural concerns remain unresolved, and further dilution risks persist along with loosing market share.

Oisix ra daichi (3182 JP): Q3 FY03/25 flash update

By Shared Research

  • In January 2024, SHiDAX Corporation was consolidated as a subsidiary, boosting sales and EBITDA in Q4 FY03/24.
  • Cumulative Q3 FY03/25 progress rates: 75.9% sales, 93.7% EBITDA, 84.4% operating profit, 110.5% net income.
  • B2C Subscription sales decreased YoY, but segment profit increased due to higher ARPU and cost-efficient acquisitions.

Notes from Conversation with ANGI IR

By Richard Howe

  • On March 31st 2025 I spoke to Mark Schneider of investor relations from IAC.
  • Mark currently covers investor relations for Angi, Inc as well. but Angi will be hiring its new head of investor relations soon.
  • Our conversation was productive and increased my confidence in the outlook for Angi.

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Daily Brief Equity Bottom-Up: Fast Retailing (9983) | Buying Opportunity Ahead of Q2 Results and more

By | Daily Briefs, Equity Bottom-Up

In today’s briefing:

  • Fast Retailing (9983) | Buying Opportunity Ahead of Q2 Results
  • Korean Holdcos Vs Opcos Gap Trading Opportunities in 2Q 2025
  • UMC – Global Foundries Merger? TSMC 2nm and A16 On-Track. More Doubts over US CHIPS Act Subsidies.
  • Taiwan Tech Weekly: TSMC Goes ‘Taiwan Speed’ in Arizona; Phison Predicts Edge AI Flash Memory Boom
  • UiPath: A Tale Of Cloud Transition & SaaS Growth With An Astounding 98% Retention!
  • MIXI Inc. (2121 JP) – A Potentially Game-Changing Deal
  • TEGNA’s Bold Bet on AI & Automation To Expand Margins—Here’s What’s Coming Next!
  • C3.ai’s 460% Surge in Deals Signals a Breakout Moment—Is This the Best AI Stock to Buy Today?
  • Quick Takeout Idea: Dalata Hotel (DHG.IR) – Probably Gets Sold Soon
  • MasTec’s Clean Energy Boom: New Client Wins & Rising Margins Could Fuel Solid Growth In 2025!


Fast Retailing (9983) | Buying Opportunity Ahead of Q2 Results

By Mark Chadwick

  • Fast Retailing (9983 JP)  is set to report its second-quarter results on April 10, and we see an opportunity to buy ahead of a strong earnings release
  • We expect Fast Retailing to post Q2 sales of ¥905bn (+15% YoY), above consensus estimates of ¥881bn. EBIT projected at ¥133bn (+21% YoY), ahead of street expectations of ¥125bn.
  • Domestic Uniqlo monthly sales and quarterly results from global peers suggest strong sales momentum. 

Korean Holdcos Vs Opcos Gap Trading Opportunities in 2Q 2025

By Douglas Kim

  • In this insight, we highlight the recent pricing gap divergences of the major Korean holdcos and opcos which could provide trading opportunities in 2Q 2025.
  • Among the 38 holdcos/opcos, there have been several pairs that have resulted in significant price ratio divergence which could provide trading opportunities in terms of their pricing gaps closing reversal.
  • Given the resumption in short selling in Korea, there is going to be a lot more interest in pair trades in Korea, especially among the major Korean holdcos/opcos. 

UMC – Global Foundries Merger? TSMC 2nm and A16 On-Track. More Doubts over US CHIPS Act Subsidies.

By Nicolas Baratte

  • Reports of merger between UMC and GlobalFoundries. Beyond the threat of US import tariffs for UMC, it would create a larger firm to counter SMIC’s expansion. Easier said than done
  • TSMC second 2nm Fab in KaoHsiung “inaugurated”, 2nm production unchanged mid of 2025. A16 process and equipment qualification underway for risk production in 2027.
  • Biden era CHIPS Act subsidies (US$52bn) could be cancelled or the program is completed and the assigned staff leaving?

Taiwan Tech Weekly: TSMC Goes ‘Taiwan Speed’ in Arizona; Phison Predicts Edge AI Flash Memory Boom

By Vincent Fernando, CFA

  • TSMC Accelerates U.S. Expansion — New Arizona Fab to Be Built at ‘Taiwan Speed’
  • Phison CEO Sees Decade-Long Boom for NAND Flash as AI Shifts to the Edge
  • Delta Taiwan Vs. Thailand Monitor: Delta Thailand Crash Closes Gap, But Still Relatively Expensive 

UiPath: A Tale Of Cloud Transition & SaaS Growth With An Astounding 98% Retention!

By Baptista Research

  • UiPath reported its fourth-quarter and full-year fiscal 2025 financial performance, marking several high and low points that are critical for investors to examine as they consider their future involvement with the company.
  • On the positive side, UiPath achieved a quarterly revenue of $424 million, with only a slight impact from foreign exchange fluctuations.
  • For the full fiscal year, revenue increased to $1.43 billion, reflecting a 9% improvement year-over-year.

MIXI Inc. (2121 JP) – A Potentially Game-Changing Deal

By Astris Advisory Japan

  • MIXI has announced an all-cash deal worth ¥35.2bn for PointsBet Holdings (PBH), an Australian sports and racing online betting company operating in Australia and Canada.
  • The deal is due to close in mid-June 2025. We view this transaction as aligned with MIXI’s strategies of business diversification and overseas expansion, leveraging the expertise gained from TIPSTAR in Japan’s keirin and auto-race betting businesses to enter the Australian market, thereby accelerating the growth of both TIPSTAR and PointsBet.
  • MIXI is demonstrating a positive and active allocation of its capital, with a high intent to accelerate the development of its Sports business and make it a key earnings pillar.

TEGNA’s Bold Bet on AI & Automation To Expand Margins—Here’s What’s Coming Next!

By Baptista Research

  • TEGNA Inc. recently presented its fourth-quarter and full-year 2024 financial results, demonstrating both opportunities and challenges for potential investors.
  • The company reported a significant 20% year-over-year increase in total revenue for the fourth quarter, amounting to $871 million, primarily driven by political advertising revenues.
  • However, the political advertising performance nearly matched that of the 2020 election cycle, indicating the cyclical nature of this revenue stream.

C3.ai’s 460% Surge in Deals Signals a Breakout Moment—Is This the Best AI Stock to Buy Today?

By Baptista Research

  • C3.ai has exhibited a solid performance in the third fiscal quarter of 2025, ending January 31, 2025, with both positive developments and certain challenges.
  • The company reported total revenue of $98.8 million, representing a 26% increase year-over-year.
  • Subscription revenue, constituting the majority of its revenue, grew by 22% to $85.7 million.

Quick Takeout Idea: Dalata Hotel (DHG.IR) – Probably Gets Sold Soon

By Acid Investments

  • Dalata Hotel recently announced a formal sales process. Last few days have been really busy ;ppp and I’ve been using time on the road to conjure my “tin-foil hat” hypotheses and squeezing out whatever spare time I have to eke out this article.
  • Before going on, I’d like to highlight that amidst the market chaos, there seems to be a fair few interesting things popping – for e.g. last week, I highlighted DLTR selling off its FD stake and how DLTR deserved a rerating; in other news, Intel has also successfully divested its memory chip business (this time, IP and manpower) over to Sk Hynix, netting a ~1.9b cash infusion and also an indication of focus on its core “less-commoditized” logic chips business.
  • Tan Lip Bu also finished acquiring his 25m worth of shares at ~$23.96 per share. Yet, INTC has traded down with the rest of its boys, as the semicon indices continually to get smacked downwards. Exciting times ahead.

MasTec’s Clean Energy Boom: New Client Wins & Rising Margins Could Fuel Solid Growth In 2025!

By Baptista Research

  • MasTec Inc. has reported strong financial results for the fourth quarter and full year 2024.
  • The company’s performance exceeded expectations across several key metrics, including revenue, adjusted EBITDA, and earnings per share (EPS).
  • For the fourth quarter, MasTec achieved a revenue of $3.4 billion with an adjusted EBITDA of $271 million, marking a 20% year-over-year increase.

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Daily Brief Equity Bottom-Up: Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC Spread Close to Long Level; UMC & ASE Deep Discounts and more

By | Daily Briefs, Equity Bottom-Up

In today’s briefing:

  • Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC Spread Close to Long Level; UMC & ASE Deep Discounts
  • CICC (3908 HK): Underestimated by the Market
  • Global Digital Niaga (BELI IJ) – Firmer Underfoot for the Dark Horse
  • Edelweiss: Growing Well and Unlocking Value
  • Nuvama: Yet Another Strong Quarter
  • Nesco: Strong Q3FY25
  • Delta Taiwan Vs. Thailand Monitor: Delta Thailand Crash Closes Gap, But Still Relatively Expensive
  • HCG: Strong Q3FY25 and Promoter Change Update
  • RPPL: Weak Q3FY25, However Medium-Term Outlook Is Strong
  • Sariguna Primatirta (CLEO IJ) – Pure Water on the Move


Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC Spread Close to Long Level; UMC & ASE Deep Discounts

By Vincent Fernando, CFA

  • TSMC: +14.9% Premium; Spread Has Fallen Close to Long Levels
  • UMC: -2.6% Discount; Good Level to Go Long the Spread
  • ASE: -3.2% Discount; Spread at Extreme Low, Good Level to Go Long

CICC (3908 HK): Underestimated by the Market

By Osbert Tang, CFA

  • China International Capital Corporation (3908 HK)‘s 2H24 net profit surged 33.6% in 2H24, reversing the downtrend in 1H24. It has benefited from lower staff and other operating costs. 
  • Better 1Q25 market turnover and activities, more IPOs and placements and improved cost dynamics imply that the consensus forecasts are too conservative.
  • Its 0.55x P/B cannot adequately reflect better profitability. Despite the denial, CICC’s potential merger with China Galaxy Securities (H) (6881 HK) cannot be completely ruled out.

Global Digital Niaga (BELI IJ) – Firmer Underfoot for the Dark Horse

By Angus Mackintosh

  • Global Digital Niaga (BELI IJ) booked a strong finish to 2024, driven by its 3P retail and institutional business, although 1P retail and physical stores also performed well. 
  • The company continues to see improving take rates in FY2024, whilst its average order value increased through a more favourable product mix, with gross margins and cash flows improving significantly.
  • Global Digital Niaga continued to expand its physical stores for monobrand and multibrand stores, adding Huawei as a brand. Valuations look reasonable given growth prospects and progress towards profitability.

Edelweiss: Growing Well and Unlocking Value

By Ankit Agrawal, CFA

  • Edelweiss reported a decent Q3FY25 with ex-Insurance PAT of INR 185cr, a growth of 16% YoY excluding NBFC PAT. Growth was led by Asset Management and Insurance businesses.
  • Within the Credit business, the Home Finance business which operates under the brand Nido is scaling up well. It disbursed INR 400cr+ worth of retail loans during Q3FY25.
  • Edelweiss is focusing on unlocking value and has already filed DRHP for its Alternative Asset Management business. Once approved, it will proceed for an IPO with OFS of INR 1500cr.

Nuvama: Yet Another Strong Quarter

By Ankit Agrawal, CFA

  • Nuvama continues to post strong earnings. Its Q3FY25 revenues grew 30% YoY to INR 723cr. Q3FY25 PAT grew 43% YoY to INR 252cr. 
  • Q3FY25 performance was surprisingly led by the Asset Services segment where revenue grew 77% YoY with addition of new clients and positive asset flow, leading to market share gain.
  • Together the Wealth and Asset Management segments performed steady with revenue growth of 18% YoY. Net flows in 9MFY25 in ARR and MPIS assets exceeded that for whole of FY24.

Nesco: Strong Q3FY25

By Ankit Agrawal, CFA

  • Nesco reported a strong Q3FY25 with 16% YoY revenue growth and 17% YoY PAT growth. The exhibitions (BEC) segment grew 13% YoY and the IT Parks segment grew 16% YoY.
  • Nesco Foods segment reported 29% YoY growth in revenues led by improved BEC footfalls and scaling up of the Food Court and Restaurants business.
  • Recently, Nesco also received IOD from the municipal corporation of Mumbai, thus paving way for receiving future approvals for Tower 2. Tower 2 construction is expected to commence in Q3FY26. 

Delta Taiwan Vs. Thailand Monitor: Delta Thailand Crash Closes Gap, But Still Relatively Expensive

By Vincent Fernando, CFA

  • Delta Thailand Has Dramatically Underperformed Delta Taiwan — Delta Thailand Now Finally Trading at a Less Extreme Level vs. Delta Taiwan
  • Latest Relative Growth Profiles — Delta Taiwan Has Higher Growth Profile in 2025E
  • Even After the Major Pricing Reversion Since Mid-February, Delta Thailand Remains Overvalued Relative to Delta Taiwan

HCG: Strong Q3FY25 and Promoter Change Update

By Ankit Agrawal, CFA

  • HealthCare Global Enterprises (“HCG”) reported a strong Q3FY25 despite Q3 being a seasonally weak quarter. Revenue growth was strong across both the established centers and the emerging centers.
  • Revenue from established centers grew 20% YoY while that from emerging centers grew 25% YoY in Q3FY25. Within emerging centers, Kolkata led the growth with 40% YoY rise in revenues.
  • HCG saw promoter change in Feb 2025. KKR announced acquisition of 54% stake from CVC who owns around 60%+. Dr. BS Ajaikumar, the founder promoter, will continue to own 10%+.

RPPL: Weak Q3FY25, However Medium-Term Outlook Is Strong

By Ankit Agrawal, CFA

  • Earlier this month, RPPL announced a new factory to expand its thermoforming and extrusion capacity by 1250 MTPA and 1600 MTPA, respectively. This will come on-stream within a month.
  • RPPL reported a weak Q3FY25 due to adverse fluctuation in raw material prices as well as seasonal impact. Q3 tends to be a weak quarter seasonally.
  • RPPL’s capacity expansion has been leading to upfront expenses. The new Olive Ecopak JV also reported losses, share of which was INR -2.6cr in Q3FY25.

Sariguna Primatirta (CLEO IJ) – Pure Water on the Move

By Angus Mackintosh

  • Sariguna Primatirta (CLEO IJ) booked yet another quarter of impressive sequential growth in 4Q2024, hitting another record quarterly revenue, with margins improving at the same time, boosting profits.
  • The company opened three factories in 2024 and plans three more in FY2025, with the total to 35 across Indonesia and further extending its scale and reach, and driving growth.
  • The main driver for growth will come through general trade, which makes up 70% of distribution, with a factory opening push outside Java. Valuations are attractive versus growth.

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Daily Brief Equity Bottom-Up: Prodia (PRDA IJ) – Expanding and Digitally Remastered and more

By | Daily Briefs, Equity Bottom-Up

In today’s briefing:

  • Prodia (PRDA IJ) – Expanding and Digitally Remastered
  • Asian Dividend Gems: Asian Terminals Inc
  • UMC (2303.TT; UMC.US): 1Q25 Results Could Be Upbeat, but 2Q25 Could Be a Bit Downside.
  • Innovent Biologics Inc (1801 HK): 2024 Product Sales Jump 44% and Loss Narrows; Momentum to Continue
  • Cheniere Energy’s Geopolitical Tailwinds Are Fading—Is The Growth Story Losing Steam?
  • Dentsply Sirona’s Plan: Merging Tech
  • GitLab’s MASSIVE Jump In SaaS Revenue – Could It Be The Secret Weapon For Future Growth?
  • HashiCorp Ramps Up Cloud Revenue: Could This Be Their Most Profitable Move Yet?
  • Lumentum Holdings: Their Recent Capacity Expansion and Technology Growth Is Fuelling Our Optimism!
  • Macy’s Inc. A Tale Of Reimagined Store Initiatives & Digital Integration To Push For Growth!


Prodia (PRDA IJ) – Expanding and Digitally Remastered

By Angus Mackintosh

  • Prodia (PRDA IJ) FY2024 results reflect an impending recovery, with the company aggressively expanding its outlets by adding 73 over the year, and mostly lower cost points of collection. 
  • The company continues to roll out new tests, with more emphasis on esoteric testing, but also looking at routine testing. It will continue opening new outlets in 2025. 
  • Prodia also continues to expand its digital capabilities through U by Prodia for patients and Prodia for Doctors, and Prodialink. Valuations look attractive with Prodia trading on a low-single-digit EV/EBITDA,

Asian Dividend Gems: Asian Terminals Inc

By Douglas Kim

  • Backed by DP World (DPW DU), Asian Terminals (ATI PM) is one of the largest owners and operators of ports and related infrastructure in the Philippines.
  • We are impressed with the company’s excellent financials including consistent profit margins and free cash flow, strong market share, and execution of its business strategies.
  • It also trades at cheap valuations with solid dividends and it has also been buying back shares. 

UMC (2303.TT; UMC.US): 1Q25 Results Could Be Upbeat, but 2Q25 Could Be a Bit Downside.

By Patrick Liao

  • The 1Q25 outlook is slightly affected by earthquakes, but production can resume in late 1Q25.
  • The UMC 12nm project could be in vain if Intel collaborates with TSMC or if TSMC takes over Intel’s foundry service.   
  • UMC’s annual revenue could see a -5% year-over-year growth in 2025, but there may be a few percentages increase in wafer shipments.  

Innovent Biologics Inc (1801 HK): 2024 Product Sales Jump 44% and Loss Narrows; Momentum to Continue

By Tina Banerjee

  • Innovent Biologics Inc (1801 HK) has announced 2024 result, with total revenue increasing a whopping 52% YoY to RMB9,422M and net loss narrowing 91% YoY to RMB933M.
  • On adjusted basis, the company reported maiden net profit of RMB332M compared with loss of RMB515M in 2023. Innovent is expected to become profitable on reported basis this year.
  • Innovent aims to achieve RMB 20B product revenue in 2027, implying a CAGR of 34% and advance five pipeline assets to the global/multi-regional Phase 3 clinical trial stage by 2030. 

Cheniere Energy’s Geopolitical Tailwinds Are Fading—Is The Growth Story Losing Steam?

By Baptista Research

  • Cheniere Energy posted robust results for the fourth quarter and full year 2024, demonstrating its strong operational and financial performance.
  • The company reported a consolidated adjusted EBITDA of approximately $1.6 billion for the fourth quarter, with a full-year total of $6.155 billion.
  • This reflects solid underlying business performance, driven by Cheniere’s focus on safety, operational excellence, customer engagement, and financial discipline.

Dentsply Sirona’s Plan: Merging Tech

By Baptista Research

  • DENTSPLY SIRONA’s fourth-quarter and full-year 2024 earnings report reflects a mixed performance amid ongoing challenges and strategic repositioning.
  • On the positive side, the company experienced growth in several areas, including a 13% uplift in imaging and a 7% increase in Wellspect sales.
  • In Europe, DENTSPLY SIRONA achieved a 2% organic sales growth, supported by significant momentum in Germany and a 20% year-on-year growth in the SureSmile business.

GitLab’s MASSIVE Jump In SaaS Revenue – Could It Be The Secret Weapon For Future Growth?

By Baptista Research

  • GitLab Inc. delivered a strong performance in the fourth quarter of fiscal year 2025, showcasing impressive top line growth and improved profitability metrics.
  • The company’s revenue increased by 29% year-over-year to $211.4 million, driven by robust momentum in its enterprise offerings, particularly GitLab’s Ultimate and Duo products.
  • Notably, the company demonstrated significant operating leverage with a non-GAAP operating margin of 17.7%, an increase of more than 960 basis points compared to the same period in the previous year.

HashiCorp Ramps Up Cloud Revenue: Could This Be Their Most Profitable Move Yet?

By Baptista Research

  • HashiCorp has reported its fiscal 2024 fourth-quarter earnings, surpassing expectations with $156 million in revenue, signaling a 15% year-over-year growth.
  • The company has shown strong overall performance in the context of a challenging economic landscape, indicating potential recovery signs in the market.
  • The non-GAAP remaining performance obligations also reported a growth of 21% year-over-year, reaching $483 million, reflecting continuous demand for its offerings.

Lumentum Holdings: Their Recent Capacity Expansion and Technology Growth Is Fuelling Our Optimism!

By Baptista Research

  • Lumentum Holdings recently released its second-quarter fiscal year 2025 earnings, presenting a blend of strong performance in certain segments and ongoing challenges in others.
  • Led by CEO Alan Lowe, who has announced his retirement, the company highlighted key financial results and strategic initiatives amidst a backdrop of leadership transition.
  • In the second quarter, Lumentum exceeded the high end of its guidance range for both revenue and earnings per share.

Macy’s Inc. A Tale Of Reimagined Store Initiatives & Digital Integration To Push For Growth!

By Baptista Research

  • Macy’s Inc.’s fourth quarter 2024 results reflect a mixture of strategic advancements and continued challenges within a shifting retail landscape.
  • First, the positive aspect of Macy’s strategy comes through its “Bold New Chapter” framework, which focuses on enhancing customer experiences, optimizing store operations, and improving merchandising and digital capabilities.
  • This plan is seemingly paying off as Macy’s achieved a 0.2% year-over-year increase in comparable sales, marking its best performance in 11 quarters.

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Daily Brief Equity Bottom-Up: Daihatsu Diesel (6023) – Is Not Directly Auto-Tariff-Related and more

By | Daily Briefs, Equity Bottom-Up

In today’s briefing:

  • Daihatsu Diesel (6023) – Is Not Directly Auto-Tariff-Related
  • Analog Devices Pushing For Increased Industrial Automation With An Interesting Power-Saving Tech – What Does This Mean For Investors?
  • Top 10 Korean Stock Picks and Key Catalysts Bi-Weekly (Starting 31 March 2025)
  • Hygeia Healthcare Group (6078 HK): Slower Revenue Growth and Margin Deterioration Are Worrisome
  • [Miniso Group (MNSO US, SELL, TP US$16) TP Change]: C4Q24 Review: Downside Not yet Fully Priced In
  • Lululemon 4Q’24 Update
  • Innova Captab’s Jammu Expansion Update
  • Cyberdyne (7779 JP) – Renewed Efforts to Drive Profitability
  • Tech Supply Chain Tracker (29-Mar-2025): Smart cars use DeepSeek apps.
  • IMNN: Protocol in Place for Phase 3 Trial of IMNN-001 in Ovarian Cancer


Daihatsu Diesel (6023) – Is Not Directly Auto-Tariff-Related

By Travis Lundy

  • Daihatsu Diesel Mfg (6023 JP) is down sharply today – much more than indices – as autos/tech fall on US auto tariffs. There may be some GPIF unwinds as well. 
  • A reminder: Despite the name, Daihatsu Diesel is not an auto name, is growing, has a big order book, and minimal direct exposure to the US. 
  • The Tender settles today. The 8% overhang from Tendered-But-Unsold Shares is an opportunity, not a burden, at 7.2x ex-cash PER.

Analog Devices Pushing For Increased Industrial Automation With An Interesting Power-Saving Tech – What Does This Mean For Investors?

By Baptista Research

  • Analog Devices, Inc. (ADI) reported its financial results for the first quarter of fiscal year 2025, showing better than-anticipated performance despite prevailing macroeconomic and geopolitical challenges.
  • Revenue reached $2.42 billion, surpassing the midpoint of its outlook, although this marked a 4% year-over-year decline.
  • When adjusted for an extra week in the comparable period last year, sales represented a 4% year-over-year increase.

Top 10 Korean Stock Picks and Key Catalysts Bi-Weekly (Starting 31 March 2025)

By Douglas Kim

  • In this insight, we provide the top 10 stocks picks and key catalysts in the Korean stock market for the two weeks starting 31 March.
  • The top 10 picks in this bi-weekly include Orion Holdings, Hyundai Wia, KEPCO KPS, Samsung Electronics, KT, Emart, CJ Logistics, APR, Doosan Enerbility, and HD Hyundai Marine Solution.
  • The biggest near-term negative catalyst on the Korean stock market remains tariffs. The final legal outcome on President Yoon Seok-Yeol is expected to be made by the end of April.

Hygeia Healthcare Group (6078 HK): Slower Revenue Growth and Margin Deterioration Are Worrisome

By Tina Banerjee

  • Hygeia Healthcare Group (6078 HK) reported revenue growth of 9% YoY to RMB4,446 million, mainly driven by a 11% YoY growth in hospital business.
  • Hygeia’s gross profit margin contracted 170bps YoY to 29.9%. Net profit decreased 13% on higher finance cost despite of income tax expenses being lower.
  • Accelerated organic growth and strengthening of margins are crucial to boost valuation.

[Miniso Group (MNSO US, SELL, TP US$16) TP Change]: C4Q24 Review: Downside Not yet Fully Priced In

By Eric Wen

  • MNSO reported C4Q24 rev.1.6%/2.0%, and non-GAAP EBIT 3.4%/2.0% below our est./cons.. What concerns us more is the quality of the growth;
  • In our view, MNSO’s slow same-store-sales-growth (SSSG), overseas investment, and Yonghui’s integration haven’t fully reflected in the price;
  • We cut the TP to US$16 and maintain the SELL rating to reflect slower profit growth. The stock trades at 14x 25E P/E vs. a 12% 3 Yr. NI CAGR

Lululemon 4Q’24 Update

By MBI Deep Dives

  • Since its IPO back in 2007, Lululemon always posted double-digit revenue growth every single year.
  • While there was plenty of skepticism throughout 2024, they managed to eke out double digit growth last year.
  • But 2025 topline guidance of 5-7% implies the era of persistent double digit growth regardless of the economy is likely behind us!

Innova Captab’s Jammu Expansion Update

By Sudarshan Bhandari

  • Innova Captab (1605221D IN) has commissioned a new 11-acre manufacturing facility in Jammu, with capacity for 10.7 bn tablets and 562 mn LVP/respules.
  • The plant adds new dosage forms and therapy areas (Penicillin, Penum) and enables strategic domestic-export capacity balancing, with potential ROIC >20%.
  • This is not just a capacity bump, it positions Innova for premium exports, higher utilization, and long-term revenue scale-up to INR 14–16Bn from Jammu alone.

Cyberdyne (7779 JP) – Renewed Efforts to Drive Profitability

By Astris Advisory Japan

  • Cost-saving initiatives and divestment – Q1-3 FY3/25 results indicated continued traction for Treatment service in the Americas with 8.6% sales growth, but Product rental sales grew 0.6% YoY (-2.4% YoY under constant currency).
  • Operating losses are narrowing YoY, with the positive impact from cost reduction initiatives at Head Office costs as well as R&D.
  • We view the announcement to divest the 63.6%-owned subsidiary LeyLine GmbH as a positive surprise, as this will assist in narrowing operating losses further YoY into FY3/26. 

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (29-Mar-2025): Smart cars use DeepSeek apps.

By Tech Supply Chain Tracker

  • DeepSeek app revolutionizes smart vehicles with advanced technology for a seamless driving experience and enhanced safety features.
  • Primarius enhances EDA consolidation in China through the acquisition of Actt, accelerating innovation and growth in the semiconductor industry.
  • SMIC experiences record revenue growth in 2024, but sees a 23% decline in profit, highlighting the challenges faced by the company in a competitive market. Trend Micro warns of AI security risks and ‘grandma prompt’ threat at the AI Expo 2025. Uni-President Group strengthens e-commerce presence through strategic acquisitions and investments in Yahoo Taiwan and PChome Online.

IMNN: Protocol in Place for Phase 3 Trial of IMNN-001 in Ovarian Cancer

By Zacks Small Cap Research

  • On March 25, 2025, Imunon, Inc. (IMNN) held a conference call to discuss the finalized protocol for a Phase 3 clinical trial of IMNN-001 in patients with newly diagnosed ovarian cancer.
  • The study will mirror the Phase 2 OVATION 2 trial that reported benefits in both progression-free and overall survival.
  • It will initially focus on those patients who are positive for homologous recombination deficiency (HDR) positive, including BRCA1 and BRCA2 mutations.

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Daily Brief Equity Bottom-Up: Jiangsu Hengrui Medicine (600276 CH) Signs Deal With Merck For a New Class of Cardiovascular Drug and more

By | Daily Briefs, Equity Bottom-Up

In today’s briefing:

  • Jiangsu Hengrui Medicine (600276 CH) Signs Deal With Merck For a New Class of Cardiovascular Drug
  • Transformers & Rectifiers (India) Ltd- Ambitious Targets
  • Tesla’s Full Self-Driving Trial in China Delayed by Regulatory Checks
  • Retail’s last barbarian takes on Walgreens Boots
  • The Wendy’s Company: International Expansion
  • Tech Supply Chain Tracker (28-Mar-2025): US and China in robotic race.
  • Qualys’ TotalAI Could Disrupt Cybersecurity – Here’s Why CISOs Are Scrambling to Get On Board!
  • Why Brad Jacobs Is Spending $11 Billion on a Roofing Supply Business
  • Asia Real Estate Tracker (27-Mar-2025): Rava hires Blackstone MDs to lead Japan.
  • Diageo CEO: Shifting Drinking Trends, Brand Innovation, and Cultural Change


Jiangsu Hengrui Medicine (600276 CH) Signs Deal With Merck For a New Class of Cardiovascular Drug

By Tina Banerjee

  • Jiangsu Hengrui Medicine (600276 CH) and Merck entered into an exclusive license agreement for HRS-5346, an investigational oral small-molecule drug. The collaboration positions Merck to challenge two other pharma giants.
  • Hengrui has granted Merck exclusive rights to develop, manufacture, and commercialize HRS-5346 worldwide for an upfront payment of $200M. Hengrui is also eligible to receive milestone payments up to $1.77B.
  • Hengrui reported strong 19% YoY revenue growth during 9MFY25 to RMB 20B, while profits rose 6% YoY to RMB 5B. The company will report full-year 2024 result on March 31.

Transformers & Rectifiers (India) Ltd- Ambitious Targets

By Nitin Mangal

  • Transformers & Rectifiers (India) Ltd (TRIL IN)  is a prominent player in the manufacturing of transformers and reactors with the largest private sector facility in India producting diverse product range
  • With three transformer manufacturing facilities, the company has embarked on a capex spree, with planned additions of ~30,000-35,000 MVA. 
  • Taking about forensics, the company has faced concerns with regarding liquidity, issuance of a stop-deal notice and stop payment by a major customer, write offs, etc.

Tesla’s Full Self-Driving Trial in China Delayed by Regulatory Checks

By Caixin Global

  • Tesla’s highly anticipated trial launch of its Full Self-Driving (FSD) system in China has suffered a setback, as some users report not receiving the feature update due to a delay in regulatory approval.
  • Tesla China said Monday that it is working to secure government approval for both software and hardware under new national guidelines issued by China’s Ministry of Industry and Information Technology and the State Administration for Market Regulation.
  • The company said the trial will resume once all preparations are complete.

Retail’s last barbarian takes on Walgreens Boots

By Behind the Money

  • Walgreens Boots Alliance has seen their stock price decimated over the last decade due to competition from E-commerce retailers like Amazon.
  • Sycamore Partners is taking Walgreens Boots private in a $24 billion leveraged buyout, their first foray into the healthcare sector.
  • Major private equity firms have been cautious of retail buyouts due to potential bad publicity and shifting priorities towards other investments.

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.


The Wendy’s Company: International Expansion

By Baptista Research

  • The Wendy’s Company reported its fiscal 2024 fourth quarter and full-year results, highlighting a range of strategic initiatives and financial metrics.
  • The company experienced a 5.4% increase in global system-wide sales on a constant currency basis during the fourth quarter, driven largely by same-restaurant sales growth in the U.S. and internationally.
  • This was bolstered by innovative menu offerings and strategic partnerships, such as the collaboration with Paramount on SpongeBob’s 25th anniversary, which contributed significantly to sales.

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (28-Mar-2025): US and China in robotic race.

By Tech Supply Chain Tracker

  • US and China are fiercely competing in the development of humanoid robots, with China’s DeepSeek V3 setting new standards in AI technology on Apple’s Mac Studio.
  • A Dell executive cautions against the hype surrounding AI, emphasizing the critical need for a strategic approach and proposing a two-question reality check at the AI EXPO 2025.
  • Vietnam responds to US trade surplus and tariff concerns by reducing tariffs and approving StarLink, showcasing the country’s efforts to address economic challenges.

Qualys’ TotalAI Could Disrupt Cybersecurity – Here’s Why CISOs Are Scrambling to Get On Board!

By Baptista Research

  • Qualys, Inc., a pioneer in software-as-a-service (SaaS) security, recently shared its fourth-quarter 2024 financial results and strategic updates, marking its 25th anniversary.
  • The company’s CEO, Sumedh Thakar, emphasized the transformation and rebranding efforts that have strengthened Qualys’ position in the cybersecurity sector.
  • Their platform, initially focused on vulnerability scanning, has evolved into a comprehensive risk analytics and quantification solution, leveraging AI to provide an integrated risk management workflow for customers.

Why Brad Jacobs Is Spending $11 Billion on a Roofing Supply Business

By Odd Lots

  • Brad Jacobs’ company QXO acquired Beacon Roofing for $11 billion in all cash deal
  • Beacon Roofing is a distributor specializing in roofing and waterproofing products.

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.


Asia Real Estate Tracker (27-Mar-2025): Rava hires Blackstone MDs to lead Japan.

By Asia Real Estate Tracker

  • Rava has enlisted Blackstone MDs to spearhead growth in Japan, highlighting their intent to expand operations in the region.
  • GreenFort and Gaw have partnered to explore land lease opportunities in Australia, with a focus on showcasing their collaboration on MTD TV.
  • SC Capital, based in Singapore, has successfully closed their sixth APAC fund at $900M, demonstrating their commitment to making opportunistic investments in the region.

Diageo CEO: Shifting Drinking Trends, Brand Innovation, and Cultural Change

By In Good Company with Nicolai Tangen

  • Consumer discretionary wallets for alcoholic beverages are less than 2% and affected by economic pressures
  • Gen Z is moderating their alcohol consumption but still engaging in zebra striping behavior
  • Socializing dynamics are shifting towards more at-home and third space occasions, leading to the rise of RTDs and diverse formats in the industry

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.


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Daily Brief Equity Bottom-Up: ENN Energy (2688 HK): Our Initial View on the Privatisation – Valuation and Fundamentals and more

By | Daily Briefs, Equity Bottom-Up

In today’s briefing:

  • ENN Energy (2688 HK): Our Initial View on the Privatisation – Valuation and Fundamentals
  • Episode 110: NVIDIA’s Identity Crisis
  • Hyundai Motor Group – $21 Billion Investment in the US [Where Will the Money Come From?]
  • Is PDD the Silent Giant That Could Crush Alibaba? Here’s What the Data Says!
  • BYD’s 5-Minute Charge to Global EV Supremacy: Is Tesla Already Left Behind?
  • Altria’s Secret Weapon: How This Tobacco Giant Keeps Winning Despite Shrinking Cigarette Sales!
  • Shenzhen Intl (152 HK): Delivered as Promised
  • Tech Supply Chain Tracker (27-Mar-2025): Foxconn considers Mitsubishi partnership, ASEAN/Oceania expansion.
  • Wuxi Biologics (2269 HK): 2024 Revenue Meets Guidance; Poised for Accelerated Growth in 2025
  • Micron Technology: China’s Ban, AI Boom, and a Secret Weapon: What’s Really Powering Them Forward?


ENN Energy (2688 HK): Our Initial View on the Privatisation – Valuation and Fundamentals

By Osbert Tang, CFA

  • The proposed privatisation price for ENN Energy (2688 HK) appears reasonable, which is estimated to be 1.73x P/B and 11.5x PER on a 12-month forward basis. 
  • The valuations are both at a good premium over the average since 2024. ENN Energy is also being put at the top of the sector’s PER range. 
  • Scheme shareholders will hold new H-shares of ENN Natural Gas (600803 CH), which historically has a more volatile earnings record, but its A-share has been doing well. 

Episode 110: NVIDIA’s Identity Crisis

By The Circuit

  • 25,000 people attended Nvidia sessions, making it one of the busiest single company shows
  • Initial disappointment at keynote, followed by renewed enthusiasm after investor Q&A and show attendance
  • Disillusionment with lack of new AI advancements and repeated demos at Nvidia booth, feeling like a cult atmosphere

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.


Hyundai Motor Group – $21 Billion Investment in the US [Where Will the Money Come From?]

By Douglas Kim

  • In the past week, one of the biggest stories in Korea has been the Hyundai Motor Group’s mega $21 billion investment in the United States.
  • There is a real concern that Hyundai Motor may need to raise external capital to fund its US investments/share buybacks/dividends in 2027/2028.
  • Hyundai Motor (005380 KS) remains one of the most undervalued global auto companies. It is trading at P/E of 4.7x in 2025 and 4.5x in 20026. 

Is PDD the Silent Giant That Could Crush Alibaba? Here’s What the Data Says!

By Baptista Research

  • PDD Holdings, Inc. presented its financial results for the fourth quarter and full fiscal year of 2024, showcasing a strategy focused on high-quality development and ecosystem advancement.
  • The company reported stable financial performance in the last quarter, closing with a revenue increase to RMB 110.6 billion, a 24% year-over year gain.
  • For the entire year, revenues climbed 59% to a total of RMB 393.8 billion, marking a moderation from previous growth rates.

BYD’s 5-Minute Charge to Global EV Supremacy: Is Tesla Already Left Behind?

By Baptista Research

  • Chinese EV giant BYD has kicked off 2025 with an aggressive push that’s shaking up the global electric vehicle landscape.
  • From launching EVs that can charge in just five minutes to a soaring share price and record sales, BYD is not just catching up with Tesla — it’s pulling ahead on nearly every front.
  • In recent weeks, BYD’s stock surged to a record high following the announcement of its ultra-fast-charging Super e-Platform.

Altria’s Secret Weapon: How This Tobacco Giant Keeps Winning Despite Shrinking Cigarette Sales!

By Baptista Research

  • Altria Group reported its fourth quarter and full-year 2024 earnings with several noteworthy developments.
  • Financially, the company delivered strong results, primarily supported by its core tobacco operations.
  • Altria grew its adjusted diluted earnings per share (EPS) by 3.4% for the full year, maintaining a trend of returning substantial capital to shareholders through $10.2 billion in dividends and share repurchases.

Shenzhen Intl (152 HK): Delivered as Promised

By Osbert Tang, CFA

  • While Shenzhen International (152 HK)‘s FY24 result is at the low end of the positive profit alert range, its 2H24 net profit has still grown by 22.7%. 
  • Better outlook at Shenzhen Expressway (548 HK) and margin improvement for logistics hubs will drive FY25. Upside will come from further gains at South China Logistics Park. 
  • SZI’s valuations of 5.9x PER, 8.4% yield, and 0.5x P/B for FY25F are attractive. As more deals are sealed to realise its asset value, its P/B discount will narrow.

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (27-Mar-2025): Foxconn considers Mitsubishi partnership, ASEAN/Oceania expansion.

By Tech Supply Chain Tracker

  • Foxconn is exploring a potential partnership with Mitsubishi Motors to expand into markets in ASEAN and Oceania regions.
  • Experts from Taiwan and the US are discussing cutting-edge advancements in AI at the AI Expo 2025.
  • Foxconn is revolutionizing traditional manufacturing methods with their innovative approach, as highlighted in a SEMI Country excerpt.

Wuxi Biologics (2269 HK): 2024 Revenue Meets Guidance; Poised for Accelerated Growth in 2025

By Tina Banerjee

  • Wuxi Biologics (2269 HK) has reported 2024 result, with revenue growing 10% YoY to RMB19B and net profit increasing 11% YoY to RMB4B. Revenue from non-COVID business increased 13% YoY.
  • Total backlog reached $18.5B as of December 31, 2024, including $10.5B service backlog and $8.0B upcoming potential milestone fees, while the total backlog within three years stood at $3.7B.
  • Wuxi Biologics guided for 12–15% YoY revenue growth for 2025. Revenue from continuing operation (excluding revenue from Ireland Vaccines) is expected to grow 17–20% YoY in 2025.

Micron Technology: China’s Ban, AI Boom, and a Secret Weapon: What’s Really Powering Them Forward?

By Baptista Research

  • Micron Technology’s recent performance has sparked mixed reactions across Wall Street, as investors try to reconcile strong product innovation with weak near-term financial guidance.
  • The company’s fiscal first-quarter results beat Wall Street expectations, with adjusted earnings of $1.79 per share, slightly above the consensus of $1.76.
  • Revenue stood at $8.7 billion, in line with projections.

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Daily Brief Equity Bottom-Up: Kuaishou (1024 HK): FY2024 Result and more

By | Daily Briefs, Equity Bottom-Up

In today’s briefing:

  • Kuaishou (1024 HK): FY2024 Result, Op Margin to 10% from 4%, Price to Be Double
  • Shanghai Henlius Biotech (2696 HK) – Thoughts on 2024 Results And the H Share Full Circulation
  • AbbVie Inc.: An Analysis Of Its Immunology Market Expansion, Oncology Pipeline & ADC Strategy!
  • Oracle Is Quietly Dominating AI Cloud — 57% OCI Surge and a Game-Changing Data Platform!
  • Kunlun Energy (135 HK): Remains Very Decent
  • Accenture Just Crushed Earnings — But DOGE Could Be Its Worst Nightmare Yet!
  • Sage Group (SGE LN): The AI Strategy Is Taking Shape
  • Jabil Inc.: Will Its Growth In Intelligent Infrastructure and AI Growth Last Over The Coming Quarters?
  • MPLX LP: An Insight Into Its Natural Gas and NGL Value Chain Expansion & Critical Growth Levers!
  • Asia Real Estate Tracker (25-Mar-2025): Warburg Pincus JV acquires second Korean asset.


Kuaishou (1024 HK): FY2024 Result, Op Margin to 10% from 4%, Price to Be Double

By Ming Lu

  • Kuaishou (KS)’ operating margin improved to 10% in 2024 versus 4% in 2023.
  • Online marketing revenue increased by 20% and GMV increased by 17% in 2024.
  • We conclude an upside of 104% for the next twelve months.

Shanghai Henlius Biotech (2696 HK) – Thoughts on 2024 Results And the H Share Full Circulation

By Xinyao (Criss) Wang

  • Henlius has made a profit for the second year in a row.However, some investors are not satisfied with the quality of net profit growth in 2024 due to concerns behind.
  • The implementation of H Share Full Circulation has a positive impact on financing ability, shareholder returns, market valuation of Henlius.The next goal is to be included in HK Stock Connect
  • Lin Lijun’s continuous increase in Henlius holdings is an important reason for shares surge after privatization failure.Lin may keep pushing up share price so as to exit at higher price.

AbbVie Inc.: An Analysis Of Its Immunology Market Expansion, Oncology Pipeline & ADC Strategy!

By Baptista Research

  • AbbVie Inc. concluded 2024 with robust performance metrics, highlighted by a notable return to growth, despite significant challenges such as the $5 billion U.S. Humira sales erosion due to biosimilar competition.
  • The company reported a total revenue of $56.3 billion, surpassing its initial guidance by over $2 billion, with adjusted earnings per share recorded at $10.12, which is $0.49 above their previously forecasted midpoint.
  • On a segmented basis, AbbVie’s “ex-Humira” platform, consisting primarily of Skyrizi and Rinvoq, demonstrated substantial growth.

Oracle Is Quietly Dominating AI Cloud — 57% OCI Surge and a Game-Changing Data Platform!

By Baptista Research

  • Oracle Corporation’s third quarter fiscal year 2025 earnings report indicated significant strategic advancements and robust financial performance, balanced by some challenges.
  • On the positive side, the company reported a record $48 billion addition to its backlog, bringing the remaining performance obligations (RPO) to $130 billion, which represents a 63% increase year-over-year.
  • This growth suggests strong demand for Oracle’s cloud services, which is a key positive indicator for future revenue streams.

Kunlun Energy (135 HK): Remains Very Decent

By Osbert Tang, CFA

  • Kunlun Energy (135 HK)‘s net profit grew 7.9% in 2H24, accelerating from 2.6% in 1H24. It is encouraging to see the dividend payout ratio increase by 2pp YoY.
  • An increase in the adoption of the residential price linkage system is positive for the dollar margin, while the distortion from E&P expiry will no longer impact earnings. 
  • With net cash equals HK$2.56/share, or 31% of the share price, such financial strength is unmatched by peers. Its PER valuations are also inexpensive.

Accenture Just Crushed Earnings — But DOGE Could Be Its Worst Nightmare Yet!

By Baptista Research

  • Accenture delivered better-than-expected results for the second quarter of fiscal 2025, but the stock took a steep hit as investor concerns mounted over potential fallout from U.S. federal cost-cutting initiatives.
  • The consulting giant posted earnings of $2.82 per share, just above the analyst consensus of $2.81, and reported revenue of $16.7 billion, surpassing expectations of $16.6 billion and marking a 5% year-over-year increase.
  • However, despite this beat, the company’s shares plunged 9.4% to $292.72, logging their worst single-day performance since June 2013 and becoming the S&P 500’s worst performer on the day.

Sage Group (SGE LN): The AI Strategy Is Taking Shape

By Gregory Ramirez

  • Sage launched its Copilot AI assistant automating accounting, HR and payroll tasks. This aims to roll out across all products by 2026. Sage plans to integrate AI agents into workflows. 
  • The Sage Network platform connects accounting systems across businesses, facilitating automated workflows and real-time data integration. It enhances Sage Copilot’s capabilities and creates opportunities for migration to cloud-based solutions.
  • Sage’s resilient business model, supported by subscriptions, positions it well in a challenging market. The company is focused on expanding its customer base through AI-powered solutions.

Jabil Inc.: Will Its Growth In Intelligent Infrastructure and AI Growth Last Over The Coming Quarters?

By Baptista Research

  • Jabil Inc. reported strong financial results for its second quarter of fiscal year 2025, delivering $6.7 billion in revenue and highlighting a year-on-year growth of 3% when adjusted for divestitures.
  • Core operating income was reported at $334 million, with a core operating margin of 5%.
  • On a GAAP basis, the company reported operating income of $245 million and diluted earnings per share of $1.06.

MPLX LP: An Insight Into Its Natural Gas and NGL Value Chain Expansion & Critical Growth Levers!

By Baptista Research

  • MPLX, the midstream energy company, reported its fourth quarter and full-year 2024 results, highlighting strategic progress and robust financial performance.
  • In 2024, MPLX achieved a full-year adjusted EBITDA of $6.8 billion, marking an 8% rise compared to the previous year, underpinned by strong operational performance across its renamed business segments: Crude Oil and Product Logistics and Natural Gas and NGL Services.
  • This marks the fourth consecutive year of mid-single-digit adjusted EBITDA growth, with a compound annual growth rate of 7% since 2021.

Asia Real Estate Tracker (25-Mar-2025): Warburg Pincus JV acquires second Korean asset.

By Asia Real Estate Tracker

  • Warburg Pincus and Wide Creek JV have acquired GreenFort, a Korean logistic asset, marking their second investment in the country.
  • Gaw Capital is set to discuss a joint venture with MTD TV for the development of 1,200 homes in an upcoming interview on Wednesday.
  • Mitsubishi Estate has sold its stake in a Shinjuku office tower to a J-REIT for $190 million, continuing its strategic real estate transactions.

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Daily Brief Equity Bottom-Up: Tencent/Netease: One Game Approved Each in March and more

By | Daily Briefs, Equity Bottom-Up

In today’s briefing:

  • Tencent/Netease: One Game Approved Each in March
  • Tech Supply Chain Tracker (25-Mar-2025): DeepSeek impacts chip demand globally.
  • What Does Adani’s Foray into Wires & Cables Mean for Investors and the Industry?
  • StoneCo Ltd.: 6 Major Game-Changers Impacting Its 2025 Performance & Beyond!
  • Taiwan Tech Weekly: Delta At Nvidia GTC 2025; Foxconn EV Strategy Win; Key Semi Industry Indicators
  • Hansoh Pharmaceutical (3692 HK): Innovative Drugs Drive 2024 Performance; Outlook Is Positive
  • Torikizoku (3193 JP): Coverage Initiation,1H FY07/25 flash update
  • BYD (1211): Encouraging 2024 Result, But Close to Our Target After Two Buy Suggestions This Year.
  • [PDD Holdings Inc. (PDD US, BUY, TP US$146) Review]: A New PDD Focusing on Low Tier and Non-US
  • Docusign Inc.: Will Its Emphasis On The Expansion of Identity and Access Management (IAM) Pay Off?


Tencent/Netease: One Game Approved Each in March

By Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

  • China announced game approval for the March batch. The number of games approved remained at a higher level than 2023.
  • The pace of China game approval appears to have accelerated to the same level as pre-tightening. We see pick up in approval rate this month.
  • Both Tencent and Netease received approval for one game. In addition, Kingsoft received approval for its legendary Sword Heroes series.

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (25-Mar-2025): DeepSeek impacts chip demand globally.

By Tech Supply Chain Tracker

  • DeepSeek is a significant factor driving global chip demand with implications for various industries including automotive.
  • Tesla and Tata are in talks regarding the sourcing of EV components, highlighting the growing importance of electric vehicles in the market.
  • Tim Cook’s visit to China to discuss collaboration with DeepSeek signals potential advancements in the supply chain and technology sectors.

What Does Adani’s Foray into Wires & Cables Mean for Investors and the Industry?

By Nimish Maheshwari

  • Investors should keep a close eye on Adani’s execution timeline, the impact on valuations in the sector, and the fundamentals of existing players in the C&W industry. 
  • While Adani’s entry may bring some disruption, the sector’s strong growth prospects and the resilience of leading players suggest that there is still value to be found. 
  • In the end, long-term success in this industry will depend on a combination of strategic vision, operational excellence, and the ability to adapt to changing market dynamics.

StoneCo Ltd.: 6 Major Game-Changers Impacting Its 2025 Performance & Beyond!

By Baptista Research

  • StoneCo Ltd. recently shared its fourth-quarter and full-year 2024 earnings, demonstrating a period marked by robust strategic execution and notable financial outcomes, despite facing macroeconomic challenges.
  • The company’s strategy is focused on three core objectives: leadership in the MSMB (micro, small, and medium businesses) market, enhanced client engagement, and scalable platform growth.
  • In 2024, StoneCo’s MSMB operations saw a 15% year-over-year increase in card total payment values (TPV), although this fell short of guidance due to the rapid adoption of PIX, the Brazilian instant payment system, which continued to encroach on traditional debit and cash transactions.

Taiwan Tech Weekly: Delta At Nvidia GTC 2025; Foxconn EV Strategy Win; Key Semi Industry Indicators

By Vincent Fernando, CFA

  • NVIDIA GTC 2025 Last Week — Delta Electronics Expands Role in Nvidia Ecosystem Showcasing AI-Centric Power Solutions
  • Foxconn’s Huge EV Bet Pays Off: Key Mitsubishi Win Could Spark Additional Automaker Deals to Come 
  • Semiconductors. Key Indicator Updates, 2024 In Review, and 2025 Forecasts 

Hansoh Pharmaceutical (3692 HK): Innovative Drugs Drive 2024 Performance; Outlook Is Positive

By Tina Banerjee

  • Hansoh Pharmaceutical Group (3692 HK) reported 33% YoY net profit growth to RMB4.4B on 21% YoY revenue growth to RMB12.3B in 2024. Oncology revenue jumped 32% YoY to RMB8.1B.
  • Revenue from innovative drugs zoomed 38% YoY to RMB9.5B and its proportion to total revenue increased to 77.3% in 2024 from 67.9% in 2023.
  • In 2024, three key innovative drug candidates entered the phase 3 clinical stage for the first time. Hansoh will continue to focus on R&D of innovative drugs and internationalization strategy.

Torikizoku (3193 JP): Coverage Initiation,1H FY07/25 flash update

By Shared Research

  • Revenue increased by 10.7% YoY to JPY22.2bn, driven by inbound tourism recovery and new restaurant openings.
  • Operating profit declined 20.5% YoY to JPY1.3bn due to higher SG&A expenses from overseas expansion and wage increases.
  • Gross profit margin decreased to 69.1%, while SG&A ratio rose to 63.1%, impacting operating profit margin.

BYD (1211): Encouraging 2024 Result, But Close to Our Target After Two Buy Suggestions This Year.

By Ming Lu

  • We believe the stock’s upside is very limited after two buy rating this year.
  • In 2024, total revenue grew by 29% and total automobile sales grew by 41%.
  • The gross margin of automobile improved more than one percentage point.

[PDD Holdings Inc. (PDD US, BUY, TP US$146) Review]: A New PDD Focusing on Low Tier and Non-US

By Ying Pan

  • PDD reported C4Q24 top line 1.1%/(6.1%) vs. our est./cons. and non-GAAP operating income (5.4%)/(5.6%) vs. est./cons., 
  • PDD rose to prominence by optimizing the value chain built/inherited by Alibaba/eBay in China and Amazon/eBay in US. 
  • As these two “bonuses” coming to an end, PDD must build its own. While growth shall normalize, China low tier cities and global developing markets shall sustain its growth. 

Docusign Inc.: Will Its Emphasis On The Expansion of Identity and Access Management (IAM) Pay Off?

By Baptista Research

  • DocuSign, Inc. delivered a noteworthy performance in the fourth quarter of Fiscal Year 2025, underpinned by both strategic pivots and operational efficiency gains.
  • The company reported a revenue of $776 million, marking a 9% year-over-year rise, culminating in an annual revenue of $3 billion—an 8% increase over the prior year.
  • This growth trajectory underscores a positive momentum, primarily fueled by the launch of Intelligent Agreement Management (IAM), a comprehensive AI-driven platform focused on transforming how businesses manage agreements.

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Daily Brief Equity Bottom-Up: Meituan (3690 HK): 4Q24 and more

By | Daily Briefs, Equity Bottom-Up

In today’s briefing:

  • Meituan (3690 HK): 4Q24, High Growth and Higher Margin, 60% Upside
  • China Merchants Port (144 HK): Will It Have a Role in CKH’s Port Sale?
  • Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC Headroom Increases Again; ASE at Discount a Long Opportunity
  • Micron. HBM Gets Even Better, NAND Gets Even Worse
  • China Healthcare Weekly (Mar.23)-Fosun Pharma Sells United Family Healthcare, MNC’s Inflection Point
  • ENN Energy (2688 HK): Privatisation or What? A Look at the Valuations
  • Foxconn’s Huge EV Bet Pays Off: Key Mitsubishi Win Could Spark Additional Automaker Deals to Come
  • Fu Shou Yuan (1448.HK) – 2025 Outlook May Remain Sluggish Despite the Ugly 2024 Results
  • Workman Fixes the Big Problem: Colors Replaces Workman Joshi
  • Miniso: Undeterred by Tariffs. IP-Strategy, Global Expansion on Track. Value Buy


Meituan (3690 HK): 4Q24, High Growth and Higher Margin, 60% Upside

By Ming Lu

  • In 4Q24, Meituan’s revenue growth rate was 20% YoY with all businesses rising.
  • The operating margin improved to 8.8% in 4Q24 versus about zero in 4Q23.
  • We set an upside of 61% and a price target of HK$270. Buy.

China Merchants Port (144 HK): Will It Have a Role in CKH’s Port Sale?

By Osbert Tang, CFA

  • China Merchants Port (144 HK) may potentially play a role in CK Hutchison Holdings (1 HK)‘s port portfolio disposal should the mainland government want to step in. 
  • While CMPH’s size is small relative to the port portfolio, its parent China Merchants Group and sister China Merchants Bank H (3968 HK) can easily facilitate such a transaction.
  • Having the portfolio in the hands of mainland company is desirable to the Chinese government. Even if CMPH has no role, its 7.6x PER and 6% yield are attractive.

Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC Headroom Increases Again; ASE at Discount a Long Opportunity

By Vincent Fernando, CFA

  • TSMC: +20% Premium; Wait for Higher Premium Before Shorting, ADR Headroom Has Increased Further
  • UMC: -1.6% Discount; Wait for Lower Discount Before Going Long
  • ASE: -0.1% Discount; Discounts Are Good Level to Long the Spread Given Maxed Headroom

Micron. HBM Gets Even Better, NAND Gets Even Worse

By William Keating

  • Micron this week reported revenues of $8.1 billion, down 8% QoQ but up 38% YoY, and at the top end of the guided range
  • Micron is expecting to reach an annual run rate of $7.8 billion by Q425. Wow!
  • NAND is headed for yet another downturn after six quarters of sequential growth. 

China Healthcare Weekly (Mar.23)-Fosun Pharma Sells United Family Healthcare, MNC’s Inflection Point

By Xinyao (Criss) Wang

  • Given new policy recommendations, it is only a matter of time before HPV vaccination is included in the national immunization program, which is detrimental to HPV vaccine companies.
  • MNCs have seen a inflection point in performance growth in 2024 in China. Although VBP/NRDL negotiation are negative factors, is it also due to any consideration to withdraw from China?
  • Fosun Pharma has agreed to sell its entire stake in United Family Healthcare to Calcite Gem Investments Group for US$124.1 million. We shared our views about the deal.

ENN Energy (2688 HK): Privatisation or What? A Look at the Valuations

By Osbert Tang, CFA

  • ENN Energy (2688 HK) has suspended trading. The possibilities include privatisation, third-party offer, increase in stake by ENN Natural Gas (600803 CH), and a change in control. 
  • It trades on 1.16x 12-month forward P/B, vs. 5-year average of 2.42x and 1.31x since 2024. Given the lower forward ROE, it is difficult to return to the 5-year average.
  • For PER, it should be higher than China Gas Holdings (384 HK) but lower than CR Gas (1193 HK). At 10.8x (average of the two), it equates to HK$74.26.  

Foxconn’s Huge EV Bet Pays Off: Key Mitsubishi Win Could Spark Additional Automaker Deals to Come

By Vincent Fernando, CFA

  • Mitsubishi Motors plans to outsource EV production to Foxconn, signaling the most significant commercial validation of Foxconn’s MIH EV platform to date.
  • While Foxconn’s AI server manufacturing is currently the company’s strongest growth driver, its EV strategy is increasingly gaining credibility as a second long-term pillar.
  • Foxconn — Structural Long. We see depressed share price as buying opportunity. Mitsubishi contract win increases the probability for additional major OEM production partnership wins this year for Foxconn.

Fu Shou Yuan (1448.HK) – 2025 Outlook May Remain Sluggish Despite the Ugly 2024 Results

By Xinyao (Criss) Wang

  • Fu Shou Yuan had a sharp decline in performance in 2024. The performance in recent years has often missed management guidance, which makes us question the integrity of management.
  • The “crisis” of Fu Shou Yuan has evolved from a short-term headwind to the failure of its long-term business model. Good dividends cannot conceal the problem of gloomy outlook.
  • Valuation logic is undergoing a transformation – from a leading company with “high growth/stable cash flow” to a struggling company with “weak growth/questionable profit model”. 2025 performance may remain lower-than-expected.

Workman Fixes the Big Problem: Colors Replaces Workman Joshi

By Michael Causton

  • Workman’s slower same-store growth can be blamed on its shift to mass market fashion and the choice of Workman Joshi as a banner, putting off male customers. 
  • The outdoor and workwear retailer has now acknowledged the misstep and will rebrand the chain as Workman Colors while adjusting merchandise back to more apparel basics.
  • This will take time to implement but could mean a return to form for the apparel retailer.

Miniso: Undeterred by Tariffs. IP-Strategy, Global Expansion on Track. Value Buy

By Devi Subhakesan

  • MINISO Group Holding (9896 HK) committed to expanding in the U.S. with plans in place to mitigate the impact of U.S. tariffs on Chinese goods via its diversified supply chain strategy.
  • Key investor concern: Slower store expansion in Mainland China in 2025 may temper near-term sales and profit growth. Capital intensive overseas expansion could dilute potential returns.
  • Miniso (MNSO US)’s accelerating shift toward higher-margin IP co-branded lifestyle products—a strategy poised to sustain double-digit revenue growth, makes it an attractive investment play in the lifestyle retail space.

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