Equity Bottom-Up

• Alibaba Group’s March Quarter and Full Fiscal Year 2024 results show that major segments such as the Taobao and Tmall Group, Alibaba International Digital Commerce, and core public cloud offerings are experiencing growth.
• The Taobao and Tmall Group achieved double-digit year-over year growth, while Alibaba International Digital Commerce revenue increased by 45%.
• Moreover, AI related revenue increased triple digit year-over-year, demonstrating the potential of AI technology in fueling the company’s growth.

• Grape King Bio has one of the most remarkable consistency in profit margins among all Asian F&B companies. Its net margins ranged from 13% to 15% in the past decade.
• The company’s dividend yield increased from 3.8% in 2021 to 4.1% in 2022, and 4.4% in 2023. Its annual dividend payout averaged 69.6% from 2019 to 2023. 
• Established in 1969, Grape King Bio is one of the leading health food, drink, and supplement products manufacturers in Taiwan.

• Sony Group Corporation recently reported its FY 2023 results and offered insights into its FY 2024 forecast as well as its fifth mid-range plan.
• The corporation experienced a record high in consolidated sales at JPY 13,020.8 billion while consolidated operating income was JPY 1,208.8 billion.
• Net income stood at JPY 970.6 billion, and consolidated adjusted EBITDA was JPY 1,880 billion.

• Honda Motor’s earnings of FY ’24 reveals that the mobility company has been posting a historic high operating profit of JPY 1,381.9 billion, with an operating profit margin of 6.8%.
• Underpinning this growth has been the company’s core strategy of focusing on environmental sustainability and safety, which is resonating well with the consumers.
• For FY ’25, Honda has set a higher target for operating profit at JPY 1.42 billion, aiming to achieve an operating profit margin of 7%, a year ahead of their original plan.

• Legend Biotech Corporation is a biotech company specializing in CAR-T cell therapy for the treatment of multiple myeloma.
• In Quarter 1 2024, two major approvals by the US Food and Drug Administration (FDA) and European Commission for the company’s CARVYKTI therapy for second line relapsed or refractory multiple myeloma have solidified its position in the industry.
• This historical quarterly update positions Legend Biotech’s CARVYKTI on the path to transforming the treatment landscape for thousands of patients suffering from multiple myeloma.

• StoneCo Ltd., a financial technology company in Brazil, provided its Q1 2021 results with an updated outlook on the business.
• The company’s business performed strongly, delivering strategic priorities with significant growth in financial services across all client offerings.
• StoneCo also launched instant payments in Ton, which fulfills a key request from micro-merchant clients.

• SharkNinja’s first quarter 2024 earnings revealed a company with strong financial performance, a robust global supply chain, and a commitment to a growth strategy that has yielded positive results.
• In the first quarter, the company saw adjusted net sales increase by 28% and adjusted EBITDA grow by 30%.
• This can be attributed to significant investments in selling and marketing initiatives aimed at expanding the company’s presence in emerging international markets and driving global awareness of their new products.

• Dropbox, Inc.’s Q1 2024 earnings showed both positive and negative aspects of the company’s financial performance.
• In terms of positives, the company reported revenue for the quarter that met its expectations.
• In addition, Dropbox reported an increase in paying users with 35,000 net new additions, despite a challenging fourth quarter.

• Cisco Systems (Cisco) had a promising Q3, with organic revenue aligning with the higher end of guidance expectations.
• The company has transformed its business model, with over half of its total revenue now coming from subscription services, providing the company with a robust base for potential long-term growth.
• The acquisition of Splunk was also completed, adding over $4 billion in annualized recurring revenue and strengthening Cisco’s position as one of the world’s major software companies.

• In the first quarter of 2024, The Home Depot’s total sales amounted to $36.4 billion, marking a decrease of 2.3% from the same period last year.
• The company’s comp sales declined by 2.8% and US stores also reported negative comps of 3.2%.
• The diluted earnings per share were noted to be $3.63 for the first quarter, a dip from $3.82 during the first quarter of the previous year.

• The company recently announced poor earnings down 56% YoY in 1Q24
• Dwindling cash is another major concern especially with higher debt/ebitda
• At 15-25% ROE is sensible but now back toward 5% there is less enthusiasm

• Global EV charger market overview with key players highlighted in the industry, including a focus on technological advancements.
• Ex-IBM Chief Accessibility Officer seeks to revolutionize digital inclusion in Taiwan’s manufacturing sector through innovative strategies and initiatives.
• Updates on notebook shipment for April 2024, global smartphone sales in the first quarter of 2024 as well as collaborations such as SDC & Lenovo teaming up to launch slidable display devices by 2025.

• PDD reported C1Q24 top-line, non-GAAP EBIT, and non-GAAP net income 1.3%, 67.0%, and 80.0% vs. our estimate, and 13.9%, 82.0%, and 94.7% vs. consensus, respectively;
• Temu unit economics improvement drove the 1Q beat. Per order outlay on marketing and fulfilment declined 20-25% qoq, we estimate;
• PDD continues to effectively squeeze merchants for its benefit,while also benefiting from weak consumer sentiment in China and overseas. We maintain BUY,and raise TP to US$172, implying 12.3x CY24 PE.

• The continued “higher for longer” interest rates in the US, along with widening JGB yields adds weight to the Bank of Japan potentially raising benchmark rates further
• In this report, we expand our coverage of the bigger cap banks’ metrics to include the equity holdings of the top six market caps and the banks’ BoJ deposits
• We see further upside for Japanese bank shares, especially those geared into higher domestic rates and with the potential for equity holdings disposals; we like Resona, Mizuho, SMFG and Concordia

• Kuaishou reported C1Q24 revenue, IFRS OP, and IFRS Net income inline, 58%, and 78% vs. our estimates; and inline, 67% and 86% vs. consensus
• Company suggested contribution of Generative AI (GAI) to the growth of the advertising business to be substantial;
• We reiterate our BUY rating and raised target price to HK$83, implying 17x PE in 2025.

• Uber has kicked off 2024 with positive growth, reporting a 21% year-on-year increase in rides, which equates to its gross bookings growth rate. Their user base expanded by 15%, underpinned by 7.1 million drivers and couriers operating on the platform. The firm’s record adjusted EBITDA of $1.4 billion and the generation of $4.2 billion in free cash flow over the last year reflect a significant financial upswing. However, the world of automobiles is shifting towards autonomous vehicles (AVs), posing both challenges and opportunities for Uber. The firm needs to strategize to withstand expected competition from entities like Tesla. CEO Dara Khosrowshahi maintains that breakthroughs in AV technology will eventually prove profitable for Uber, as they promise safer rides and broader accessibility. However, the transition period from human-driven to autonomous vehicles will demand a balanced approach, exploiting both to keep the business steady. Baptista Research looks to evaluate the different factors that could influence the company’s price in the near future and attempts to carry out an independent valuation of the company using a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) methodology. In this report, we have carried out a fundamental analysis of the historical financial statements of the company. We have added reasonable forecasts of the annualized income statement and cash flows and carried out a DCF valuation of the company using its Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC) to determine a forecasted share price. We have further incorporated a sensitivity analysis/ scenario analysis to understand how changes in key assumptions could impact the valuation under 3 scenarios – a base case, a bull case, and a bear case. These additional layers of analysis serve to provide a comprehensive and robust valuation, giving investors a nuanced understanding of the inherent risks and opportunities.

• Exact Sciences Corporation’s first quarter 2024 earnings. The quarter demonstrated robust performance with first quarter revenue growing by 6% to $638 million. Particularly noteworthy was the 7% increase in screening revenue to $475 million, which is attributed to the company’s successful optimization of billing and patient compliance systems. However, Exact Sciences faces a tough comparison base, as its growth in the previous year was buoyed by enhancements to billing and patient compliance systems and a weak flu season. The expansion of Precision Oncology revenue by 5% to $163 million also contributed to the company’s growth. Baptista Research looks to evaluate the different factors that could influence the company’s price in the near future and attempts to carry out an independent valuation of the company using a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) methodology. In this report, we have carried out a fundamental analysis of the historical financial statements of the company. We have added reasonable forecasts of the annualized income statement and cash flows and carried out a DCF valuation of the company using its Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC) to determine a forecasted share price. We have further incorporated a sensitivity analysis/ scenario analysis to understand how changes in key assumptions could impact the valuation under 3 scenarios – a base case, a bull case, and a bear case. These additional layers of analysis serve to provide a comprehensive and robust valuation, giving investors a nuanced understanding of the inherent risks and opportunities.

• Insulet Corporation reported an excellent first quarter of 2024 that has exceeded expectations. The demand for Omnipod 5 continues to rise, the leading insulin delivery system, fueling a robust revenue growth. Performance-wise, the company achieved an overall Omnipod revenue growth of 21%, including a US growth of 23% and an international growth of 15%.
• The Omnipod 5 has brought significant success to Insulet in both the US and international markets, thanks to its simplicity and affordability. This offering has assisted in driving market growth, as demonstrated by the fact that during the quarter, approximately 85% of new starts came from people previously utilizing multiple daily injections. This pattern of new starts is encouraging because these new starters originated from Insulet’s target market. Baptista Research looks to evaluate the different factors that could influence the company’s price in the near future and attempts to carry out an independent valuation of the company using a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) methodology. In this report, we have carried out a fundamental analysis of the historical financial statements of the company. We have added reasonable forecasts of the annualized income statement and cash flows and carried out a DCF valuation of the company using its Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC) to determine a forecasted share price. We have further incorporated a sensitivity analysis/ scenario analysis to understand how changes in key assumptions could impact the valuation under 3 scenarios – a base case, a bull case, and a bear case. These additional layers of analysis serve to provide a comprehensive and robust valuation, giving investors a nuanced understanding of the inherent risks and opportunities.

• Duolingo Inc. recently released its Q1 2024 shareholder letter, announcing positive financial results while outlining future initiatives. The company achieved revenue and bookings growth of 45% and 41% respectively and saw active daily users grow by 54% YoY, signaling the effectiveness of their product-driven flywheel. The strategy of offering efficient language tutoring, driving user growth, and converting users to subscribers has proven to be beneficial for the platform. Duolingo also announced record profitability for the quarter. Baptista Research looks to evaluate the different factors that could influence the company’s price in the near future and attempts to carry out an independent valuation of the company using a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) methodology. In this report, we have carried out a fundamental analysis of the historical financial statements of the company. We have added reasonable forecasts of the annualized income statement and cash flows and carried out a DCF valuation of the company using its Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC) to determine a forecasted share price. We have further incorporated a sensitivity analysis/ scenario analysis to understand how changes in key assumptions could impact the valuation under 3 scenarios – a base case, a bull case, and a bear case. These additional layers of analysis serve to provide a comprehensive and robust valuation, giving investors a nuanced understanding of the inherent risks and opportunities.

• Hyatt revealed in its Q1 Earnings that the year has started vigourously for them, displaying growth in multiple dimensions and expanding fees. The occupancy and RevPAR trends they have been observing are strong, driven by noteworthy demands across all customer segments. An increase of 5.5% in system-wide RevPAR was seen in Q1 on the back of robust leisure travel trends. While there is expectation of a subdued year-over-year growth rate, the rates are noticeably above pre pandemic levels. They also observed healthy business transient revenue indicating resumption in business travel. Furthermore, Hyatt’s loyalty program saw a growth of 22% over the past year, reaching a total of approximately 46 million members. Baptista Research looks to evaluate the different factors that could influence the company’s price in the near future and attempts to carry out an independent valuation of the company using a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) methodology. In this report, we have carried out a fundamental analysis of the historical financial statements of the company. We have added reasonable forecasts of the annualized income statement and cash flows and carried out a DCF valuation of the company using its Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC) to determine a forecasted share price. We have further incorporated a sensitivity analysis/ scenario analysis to understand how changes in key assumptions could impact the valuation under 3 scenarios – a base case, a bull case, and a bear case. These additional layers of analysis serve to provide a comprehensive and robust valuation, giving investors a nuanced understanding of the inherent risks and opportunities.

• Total revenue growth rate climbed up 27% YoY in 1Q24 with all businesses growing strongly.
• Smartphone shipments grew by 34% YoY and achieved global No. 3.
• In 1Q24, the gross margins of all major businesses obviously improved.

• Sun Art Retail (6808 HK)‘s FY24 (fiscal year ending March) numbers were overall unimpressive, with sales down 13% yoy and net loss increasing to RMB1.6bn.
• The new CEO’s strategy is to refocus on SSSG of offline traffic and restore price competitiveness.  April and May SSSG improved. 
• The stock is up 20% since my initial insight on the name in March, and I believe more upside remains.

• In a tough macro environment with travel as perhaps the only bright spot in consumption
• However, equally compelling is the demand negatives of overseas travel as a somewhat luxurious consumption item and tough competition at home;
• Given the stock’s valuation, we maintain the rating as SELL but raise TP to US$45/ADS, implying 2025 PE of 15x.

• FTA’s revenue growth accelerated in Q124 and exceeded management guidance
• Gross and OpInc margins (cash basis) both improved sharply in Q124
• Growth, profitability, mix improved, but FTA no longer so cheap; HOLD

• Toyota Motor Corporation recently concluded its fiscal year ended March 2024 with notable financial results and established expectations for the upcoming fiscal year.
• The company’s actual operating income reached a record JPY 5.35 trillion, significantly bolstered by support and cooperation from various stakeholders, including employees, suppliers, and dealers.
• This substantial figure reflects the company’s commitment to region and product-based management over many years.

• Chailease is facing pressure in all of its markets, Taiwan, China and Asean, with no signs of easing.
• High frequency data (HFD) from Chailease gives us April monthly numbers, with double digit  net profit decline and a greater EPS decline
• Credit costs are now elevated at peak levels since early FY19 for the past two quarters, and we wonder if FY24 will see far higher figures, given economic weaknesses?

• Terumo Corp (4543 JP) reported 18% revenue growth in Q4FY24, driven by C&V and TBCT businesses. With the steady progress in profit improvement measures, operating profit rose 45%.
• For FY25, the company expects revenue of ¥980B (up 6% YoY), operating profit of ¥165B (up 18% YoY), and net profit of ¥122B (up 15% YoY).
• The company remains cautious and provided a conservative FY25 guidance. Improvement in any its assumptions provides room for upward revision of the guidance.

• The major K-Pop stocks had the biggest up day so far this year on 23 May, driven by potential easing of Korean cultural contents restrictions by the Chinese government. 
• In the past nine years, there has been a ban on Korean singers’ performances in China.
• Among the major K-Pop stocks, we continue to have a Positive View on S.M.Entertainment Co (041510 KS) but bearish on HYBE (352820 KS) and YG Entertainment (122870 KS).

• China International Capital Corporation (3908 HK) is a laggard among the Chinese securities companies. With the rebound in HSI and Shanghai Composite, such divergence should narrow.
• The investment banking business should recover following the rebound in the secondary market and equity valuations. HK’s IPO funds raised are forecast to double in 2024.
• At 0.4x 12-month P/B, the market has deeply discounted CICC’s earnings outlook. However, as earnings recovery will be fast, its share price will react rapidly.

• Marvell has historically performed well in the market but is now shifting its focus to growth areas such as AI, cloud computing, and faster data networks
• Despite recent cyclical weakness, the company is expected to see improved performance and strong earnings growth
• Reactivating the account is a strategic move to capitalize on Marvell’s promising future prospects and potential increase in stock value

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.

• Total revenue rose by 131% in 1Q24 with advertising up by 56% YoY and commission up by 327% YoY.
• In 1Q24, both the operating profit and the operating margin reached record highs.
• The historical price / sales ratios suggests a significant upside. Buy.

• Fancl Corp (4921 JP)‘s share price has declined 18% year-to-date, greatly under-performing the Nikkei 225 (NKY INDEX) which was up 17% year-to-date. 
• The company recently announced FY24 results (fiscal year ending March).  Sales grew 7% yoy and operating profit grew 60% yoy in FY24. 
• I believe the stock price is attractive at 23x 2024 PE with 15% expected earnings CAGR for the next 3 years.

• Daifuku released FY3/24 results on 10 May. Since then the share price has declined by 15%, giving investors an attractive entry point.
• Daifuku is a key beneficiary of warehouse automation, which is forecast to grow at a CAGR of over 6%, with industry spend projected to reach $37 billion by 2030
• We expect the market to price in an order recovery in the core electronics segment and believe that the MTP is yet to be factored into the current share price.

• UMC Singapore fab is in the process of moving in new equipment to enhance its production capabilities.
• Japan has a target of manufacturing 12 million software-defined vehicles by the year 2030.
• India continues to enforce import restrictions on IT products, impacting the sector’s growth and development. Power HV brings advanced technology to transformer monitoring in the energy industry for increased reliability.

• We add value plays Bandhan and UBI to the buy list alongside HDFC Bank and Baroda, turning neutral from negative on SBI. Bandhan is our core Indian bank pick, UBI benefits from improving return trends

• LI Auto’s decision to push out its BEV launch to 2025 is a delay of multi-faces at a time when China’s EV market is chaotically.
• We keep rating @BUY because LI still possesses the SUV niche, enjoys a healthy margin and have ample cash. 
• We cut TP from US$40 to US$25 and maintain BUY.

• AMAT Q124 revenues of $6.65 billion, in line with guidance and essentially flat both QoQ and YoY. Current quarter guidance also flat sequentially
• WFE valuations are at all time record highs while revenues remain on life support from China
• If China revenues fall off before non-China returns to growth, the WFE segment could be in for a world of pain.

• In 1Q24, revenue grew by 17% YoY and e-commerce GMV grew by 28% YoY.
• Both the operating margin and the operating profit reached historical highs in 1Q24.
• We set an upside of 47% and the price target at HK$86.00. Buy.

• Making EV itself doesn’t make money, which is why independents like Nio and XPeng are thinking alternative ways to breakeven;
• Tesla envisioned to make money through scale, of which BYD bettered. Tesla also envisioned to make money from autonomous driving (ADS);
• Nio plans to sell its battery swapping service while XPeng is selling ADS to Volkswagen. Both are experiments aiming at breakeven. Both also have new models to launch.

• INOD is benefiting from the movement to incorporate artificial intelligence (“A.I.”) into many applications
• INOD provides the datasets required for training A.I. and it has quickly become a leading provider of such service
• The Company is now on pace to grow at a faster pace than expected and should lead to higher earnings and free cash flow in coming quarters

• Grab‘s 1Q2024 reflected strong performance from its deliveries and mobility segments despite seasonal headwinds, with growth driven by new initiatives rather than increased incentives, with affordable products leading.
• The company has launched new products in the premium segment, with advanced bookings improving the most recent initiative, while its saver products are increasing spend, frequency, and retention. 
• Another key feature of the 1Q2024 has been the strong performance of groceries, driven by alliances with retailers, and booking higher growth than food deliveries. 

• Generative AI (GAI) helps capex, no doubt. But key question is whether capex can yield to revenue and profits;
• Content creation industry is sure to realize revenue and profits. iQiyi and NetEase already said so with concreate examples;
• Advertising can realize revenue by better matching of ads inventory and perhaps improve inventory utilization.

• In 1Q24, Trip’s revenue grew strongly by 29% YoY with all business booming.
• China and Trip achieved a lot overseas travelers in March and the Labor Day Holidays.
• However, the stock price has risen 37% in the past three months.

• VBL has a history of commanding high growth through acquisitions, product portfolio and geographical expansions and operating leverage
• Varun is now focusing on interesting geographies and products which will aid its next level of growth
• There could be more than bigger success stories like Sting for Varun Beverages if it can repeat history

• Pompeo advises Taiwan to innovate constantly in chip industry to maintain dominance and not be complacent.
• LG Energy Solutions may surpass Panasonic in launching mass production of 46800 batteries, a significant development in the industry.
• Canadian startup CEMWorks is positioning itself as a key player in semiconductors, 5G, and AI with its simulation tool. SDC and LGD lead OLED monitor market with fast growth and gaming focus. China’s internet giants see 1Q24 revenue soar thanks to AI technology.

• Japan Post Insurance (7181 JP) shows us that worsening policies in force is far more important to earnings than staggering growth of new policies.
• Returns and profit growth are weak and this should matter more than a puritanical focus on new policies, embedded value.
• Non-Operational line items, likely hedging costs and reserve adjustments, are cancelling out most all positives in operations.

• In Q4FY24, Cipla Ltd (CIPLA IN) posted 10% YoY revenue growth to INR61.6B. Despite surging R&D expenditure, EBITDA increased 13% YoY to INR13B, leading to 54bps margin expansion to 21.4%.
• New launches in U.S. and outperformance in the domestic market driven by chronic portfolio should drive the growth. For FY25, the company has guided for EBITDA margin of 24.5–25.5%.
• Cipla shares soared 15% YTD. Last week, the promoters, Hamied family sold 2.5% stake in the company for ~INR26B, igniting a rally in share price.

• The Q2 Fiscal Year 2024 was a good quarter for Apple Inc. as they saw growth in several international markets and set numerous records worldwide.
• The company reported revenue of $90.8 billion and an EPS record of $1.53.
• They also announced revenue records in over a dozen countries and regions, and an all-time revenue record in Indonesia.

• The DHIBM-7P pilot vertical well encountered 24 metres of net pay in an overall hydrocarbon column of 37 metres.
• The well was drilled from the pilot hole of the recently drilled Hibiscus South well that had already encountered 5-6 mmbbl recoverable resources.
• The bottom part of this well had been plugged ahead of drilling a horizontal producer in the area (this horizontal well will be drilled next).

• Dutch Bros has experienced growth during the COVID-19 pandemic but faces challenges in a more competitive market
• Despite improved financial metrics, the company is expected to see weakness in comparable sales and new store economics
• Investors are optimistic about Dutch Bros’ growth potential but there are concerns about its ability to sustain profitability and achieve long-term growth targets amid market challenges.

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.

• Operating profit turned negative in 1Q24 compared to 1Q23 due to the price war and the failure of new model.
• The company disappeared from the industry top-10 list of sales volume and revenue growth slowed down to zero in April.
• All cross-sectional comparisons suggest a Sell rating for the stock.

• EVs and smart driving systems in China’s car market impacted by price competition, leading to changes in industry dynamics.
• Blue carbon uncertainties could hinder progress towards achieving net-zero goals, says scientist, highlighting need for further research.
• Indian solar firm reducing dependence on Chinese imports for solar components to enhance self-sufficiency, aiming for greater control over supply chain.

• Company Forecasts extremely conservative at current and expected metal prices
• Scarcity Value for a liquid, large-cap gold miner in Japan
• Balance Sheet will allow future share buybacks and dividend in the harvesting phase

• In Q3FY24, Asahi Intecc (7747 JP) reported 8% YoY increase in revenue to ¥26B, ahead of estimate of ¥24B, mainly driven by the exchange rate impact of higher foreign currencies.
• Higher SG&A expenses impacted the profitability. Q3FY24 operating profit margin declined to 23.3% from 26.6% in Q3FY23, while net profit margin decreased to 16.0% from 18.5% during the same time.
• In Q4FY24, revenue is expected to decline 3% YoY to ¥19.6B. Operating and net profits are anticipated to plunge 74% and 26%, YoY to ¥417M and ¥832M, respectively.

• Shakey’s Pizza (PIZZA PM) reported Q1 FY24 systemwide sales up 15% YoY, but profits down by 15% YoY due to margin compression owing to higher opex costs.
• Management stuck to its mid-teens YoY revenue/profit growth guidance, citing that margin expansion will happen in the latter half of the year due to its visibility on costs.
• Trading at 13x FY24e PE, with a long runway for growth owing to the success in expanding Potato Corner, we believe the company can be a multi-bagger.

• Mandarin owns the One Causeway Bay precinct which is likely worth more than the company’s current Enterprise Value ($2.4b) having recieved an offer of $3.8b for the site in 2017.

• For those unfamiliar, this site is being massively re-developed into retail and office- not a hotel as might be expected given the company.

• Mandarin is transitioning to a capital light hotel management model by selling its owned hotels and maintaining management contracts with the purchasers.

• GlobalFoundries Inc. has presented its first quarterly financial results for the fiscal year of 2024.
• Despite facing some challenges, the outcomes have exceeded the guidance ranges indicated in the firm’s fourth-quarter earnings call.
• The industry is showing signs of emerging from a period of inventory correction and uncertainty due to ongoing macroeconomic and geopolitical issues.

• The first quarter of 2024 marked a period of continued momentum for Wynn Resorts.
• The company’s earnings call transcript highlighted several significant developments, representing positive and negative factors that could be relevant for potential investors.
• Starting on the bright side, Wynn Resorts reported an all-time record property EBITDAR of $647 million during Q1 2024, owing to the company’s solid team delivering five-star service and unique experiences to their guests.

• Henry Schein Inc, the leading global healthcare solutions provider, recently reported its results for the first quarter of 2024.
• The company reported solid earnings driven by gross profit and gross margin expansion as it recovers from last quarter’s cyber-incident.
• It’s worth noting that even with the cyber incident, Henry Schein marked an improvement in its merchandise sales growth.

• Ricegrowers Limited, trading as SunRice (ASX:SGLLV), has updated rice growers on paddy prices for CY23 and CY24, and more importantly provided planting guidance for CY25.
• Despite additional US supply and continued shipping disruptions, the lower end of the CY23 paddy price range (sold from FY24) has been increased $10/tonne to $425/tonne.
• The CY24 price range is unchanged at $370 to $430/tonne given the above uncertainties.

• After Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) – ADR (TSM US) N2 technology in 2H25F, A16 technology will be pilot-production in 2H26 and likely unveiled in around 1H27.
• TSMC A16 technology will be utilizing best-in-class backside power delivery solution.
• Si Photonics co-exists with traditional Substrates packages, linked with fiber.

• We are more bullish on PDD’s 1Q24 results on the back of better monetization of domestic e-commerce business and fast and quality growth of TEMU.
• We now expect 1Q24 adjusted earnings to almost double yoy to RMB20 billion, much higher than our previous estimate of 50% yoy growth and exceeding consensus by ~30%.
• Moreover, we believe earnings growth will be steady throughout 2024 instead of slowing down as we thought. 10x FY24 earnings against 80% yoy growth lead us to see 50%+ upside.

• While historically many new inclusions to the HSI have performed disappointingly after their addition, BYD Electronic (285 HK) looks unlikely to follow such a pattern.  
• Its share price has underperformed YTD, absolute PER valuations are not stretched and forward P/B multiple is only at the historical average level. These provide a good buffer.
• Its industry and business are not at structural and cyclical peaks, with further growth prospects from AI-enhanced products and solutions. A 33% surge in 1Q24 earnings also adds comfort.

• TSMC: +17% Premium; Has Remained Above 15% for Over Nearly Two Weeks
• ASE: +11.8% Premium; We Continue to View 14%+ as Range to Short From
• CHT: +0.6% Premium; Can Consider Shorting the Spread at Current Level

• Stellantis invested in Leapmotor and their joint venture will sell electric cars in Europe.
• Two vehicle producers, GAC and Li Auto, are dismissing employees.
• Tencent Music’s music revenue grew by 43% YoY in 1Q24.

• In 24Q1, the innovative drug projects and medical device projects ranked top two in domestic investment and financing deals, but investment in the field of AI cooled down.
• For biotech that located in China and only for China markets, it’s hard for them to generate good returns. It is recommended not to spend too much time on them.
• As the US House Committee advances the BIOSECURE Act to restrict WuXi AppTec/WuXi Bio last week, we listed some points worth the attention at this stage.This is far from over.

• The company has slashed FY Sep-24 guidance after missing 1H sales and profit targets by wide margins. Dividend maintained, 2-for-1 split planned and buyback under consideration.
• Capex has been cut, reflecting lower growth expectations. R&D also. Inventory adjustments will eventually be completed, but Chinese competiton will remain a problem.
• The share price has dropped 30% in the past year and 10.5% since May 8, putting the shares on 27 times EPS guidance. Still not cheap, but getting there.

• Arista Networks is well-positioned to take advantage of the rapidly growing opportunities in the artificial intelligence (AI) and cloud computing landscape.
• For the first quarter of 2024, the company reported revenue of $1.57 billion, representing a 16.3% year-over-year growth.
• Contributing a substantial 16.9% of this revenue was services and software support renewals.

• Bangkok Dusit Medical Services (BDMS TB) posted double-digit growth revenue, EBITDA, and net profit in 1Q24. International and Thai patients reported revenue growth of 12% and 10%, YoY, respectively.
• EBITDA grew at a faster pace of 13% YoY to THB6.8B, due to tight cost control. Net profit of THB4.1B beat estimates.
• BDMS opened one secondary care hospital with 113 registered beds in March. Phuket Cancer Center is expected to start operation in 3Q24.

• The Hershey Company reported optimistic market share trends in their Q1 2024 earnings.
• The firm has seen strong performances especially in seasonal sales and takeaway, with innovation being a significant growth driver.
• Its Reese’s Caramel product was quite popular among customers, with it not only being well received, but also helping drive strong merchandising especially around the Super Bowl season.

• Indian SMEs are new hot investment avenues selling stories to investors which might end to a case of pump and dump.
• SEBI in last few months have identified such cases in SMEs and microcaps.
• We delved into key guidelines on Indian Forensics to Identify and Avoid Storified Stocks

• Zen Technologies (ZEN IN) expands product range to drones, anti-drone systems, and medical simulators, enhancing opportunities beyond government contracts.
• Strong order book of Rs 1,401 crore, significant R&D investment, and government support for indigenous defence manufacturing drive growth.
• Zen Technologies (ZEN IN) diversified product portfolio and strategic government support position it well for significant growth in the defence and simulation markets.

• The key takeaway from this earning season on the topic of generative AI (GAI) is that in-house generated content has the greatest potential for cost savings;
• Taking a step further, mid-sized video platforms can also use AI to skip the curator layer, similar to Pinduoduo using algorithm to bypass small merchants to connect directly to factories;
• We also notice that general media platforms with ample advertising inventories tend to perform better with AI’s help, which is why ads of Tencent’s advertising performed better than Baidu’s.

• We turn positive on KakaoBank, for its increasingly secure competitive positioning in Korea, its attractive digital efficiency ratio, its low customer acquisition cost and for its high activity rate
• We switch our buy rating from PAN to Inter as the latter has improved operationally, it is sound on capital and attractive on valuations
• Nubank is executing well, but we remain cautious on Nubank shares as we continue to see potential capital constraints as a key risk, along with its stretched valuations

Dentsu’s Q1 results indicate a slow start to the year, with organic net revenue down by 3.7%. However, prospects are improving, buoyed by new business wins and weighted to H2, which leave full year expectations (and our forecasts) unchanged. The One dentsu initiative, bringing together skill sets in consulting, technology, media and creative, is supporting improved pitch win rates, and giving greater coherence and consistency to the group product and service offering. We expect this to be a central element of the new management medium-term strategy, set to be unveiled during H2. The rating remains at a substantial discount to global peers, which we anticipate will narrow as evidence of renewed growth builds.

Basilea Pharmaceutica has announced the triggering of a US$1.25m milestone payment from Pfizer, triggered by sustained strong sales of Cresemba in the Asia-Pacific region and China. This is the second FY24 milestone payment for the region and is incremental to the payment received in March. We note that, according to the latest available data, total in-market sales of Cresemba amounted to US$473m in the 12 months ending December 2023, representing a +26% year-on-year increase. Basilea is preparing to launch its Phase III programme for fosmanogepix, a broad-spectrum antifungal therapy, with the first of two Phase III trials expected to initiate in mid-2024. The company also made positive regulatory and operational strides with its lead antibiotic asset, Zevtera (following FDA approval in April 2024), and we eagerly await the announcement of a potential US commercial partner.

• Japan Post Bank (7182 JP) saw its net profit surge from non-recurring gains, which was from the sale of stocks. 
• The company’s cost of funds worsened more than the improvement in its yields, and we believe this remains an issue related to hedging costs.
• Unrealized gains on foreign bonds remains significantly higher now than a year ago and this may again be the driver for earnings, but still with very low ROA.

• Tencent reported C1Q24 revenue, IFRS operating profit, and IFRS net income in-line, 9.1%, 26% vs. our estimates and in-line, 16%, 21% vs. consensus;
• Game revenues were below our expectations while advertising was above, leading to a gross margin beat of 2.73ppt, powered by video account and AI. 
• We raised our TP to HK$450 to reflect the shift to better-margin revenue mix and upcoming revenue acceleration.

• In this insight, we discuss the additional financing requirements, changed shareholding structure, and the next steps for Eoflow. 
• Eoflow is one of the best performing stocks in the Korean stock market in the past one month as its shares have soared 249% in this period.
• The details of the oral argument (Insulet vs Eoflow) at the U.S. Appellate Court suggest that the U.S. Appellate Court may rule in favor of Eoflow.

• Tech titans foresee the obsolescence of AI PC by Computex 2024, sparking anticipation for new technological advancements.
• Disney and Warner’s collaboration in the streaming market introduces fresh competition, shaking up the industry landscape.
• ASML’s thriving in the Angstrom Era credits its success to relentless innovation and adaptability within the semiconductor sector.

• JD.com (9618 HK) announced a set of in-line results for 1Q24.  Sales growth was 7% yoy, in-line with my 1Q24 preview.
• Operating profit margin for the core JD retail business declined by 0.5ppt yoy to 4.1%, which is also in-line with my preview. 
• The positive surprise was a big reduction in losses in the JD logistics business, which brought the overall non-GAAP net profit growth to 17% yoy for 1Q24. 

• KPIT reported a strong Q4FY24 led by 5.1% QoQ revenue growth in constant currency (CC) terms. EBITDA margin came in better than expected at 20.7%.
• Overall, in line with our projection, KPIT even beat its upgraded guidance by posting YoY revenue growth of 39%+ in CC terms vs 37%+ guided.
• KPIT has guided for a strong FY25 with revenue guidance of 18-22% in CC terms and EBITDA margin of 20.5%+.

• LICHF faced some teething issues with technology during past 1Y due to which growth and reported asset quality had been subdued. However, with strong Q4FY24, LICHF is back on track.
• LICHF reported strong growth in disbursements. Q4FY24 disbursements were INR 18200cr+, a growth of 20%+ QoQ. NIM came in higher than expected at 3.15%, despite spike in bond yields.
• Asset quality improved significantly with Stage 3 assets declining to 3.31% vs 4.26% QoQ and Stage 2 assets declining to 4.20% vs 4.54% QoQ.

• Expedia Group’s Q1 2024 performance reflected a primarily healthy market environment, but growth differed according to geographical area and product line.
• Notably, North America had the slowest growth compared to other major international markets.
• Additionally, despite meeting projections on revenue and EBITDA, Expedia experienced weaker gross bookings, with its Vrbo business producing slower recovery than anticipated.

• WestRock Company, in the 3rd Fiscal Quarter 2023, posted a net sales of $5.1 billion, with an adjusted EBITDA of $802 million, higher than expected due to strong execution, productivity gains, and moderating input costs.
• CEO David Sewell attributed the strong results to the firm’s resilience and the hard work of its team, even as they faced comparisons with record results from the prior year quarter.
• However, certain challenges were also observed.

• In 1Q24, SK Biopharmaceuticals (326030 KS) posted Xcopri U.S. sales of KRW90.9B, up 69% YoY and 17% QoQ. The company remains confident to meet annual sales guidance of KRW390–416B.
• 1Q24 operating profit reached KRW10B from an operating loss of KRW23B in 1Q23. The company aims to achieve profitability throughout 2024.
• The company is seeking a second product to strengthen its U.S. and global business. Xcopri also has potential for indication expansion in near future.

• On first look, Alibaba Group Holding (9988 HK) missed on margins in 4QFY24 as adjusted EBITA declined by 5% yoy.
• We can give the company the benefit of the doubt given that the important segments of the company are heading into the right direction.  
• Alibaba returned USD13.4bn and USD16.5bn to shareholders in FY23 and FY24, compared to the current market cap of USD197bn

• Microsoft’s China AI teams relocate due to US rules, focusing on Wi-Fi 7 development for improved connectivity and performance.
• Amazon’s stake in Alchip suggests potential synergy in AI tech and expanded market reach, while Kymco launches eco-friendly e-scooter.
• Tencent Cloud partners with BRI and Hi Cloud Indo for banking innovation, while Veolia opens first regeneration plant in China for sustainable water treatment. Tron Future secures funding for counter-drone tech.

• BABA reported CY1Q24 top line, GAAP operating profit and non-GAAP net income 0.9%, (4.6%) and (6.7%) vs. consensus, and in-line, in-line, (6.9%) vs. our estimate;
• Results reaffirmed our positive view as increased investment is leading to significant improvement in key businesses: (1) Taobao/Tmall stabilized, (2) overseas e-commerce accelerated along with overseas AntFin and Cainiao
• We expect pay-off from its strategy shift in 2H of the year. Spin-off, dividends,and share buy-backs provide valuation support until then.We maintain BUY and US$85 TP, implying 9.5x CY25 P/E.

• Sea Limited (SE US) booked a strong set of 1Q2024 results from a GMV, revenue and adjusted EBITDA perspective, with fears of greater competition from TikTok failing to materialise. 
• The company has been investing in growth across all segments, with e-commerce driving and digital financial services driving growth but digital entertainment also seeing a return to growth mode. 
• Sea Limited continues to focus on its core competitiveness in pricing, improving service quality, and lowering the cost to serve through SPX Express, with advertising becoming a more meaningful contributor.  

• Profit continues to expand at Mitsui E&S after its transition to a holding company, now reporting over 400% profit growth for 9 months YTD.
• The company is doing well to keep its operating costs down, with an improving funding structure and balance, as its revenue grows more than COGs.
• We wonder if there will be more revisions upward to profit, with new initiatives and with a more proven recent track record.

• On 16 May, it was reported that the Korean financial regulators have approved DGB Daegu Bank to become the 7th commercial bank in Korea. 
• DGB Daegu Bank is the core entity of DGB Financial Group (139130 KS) which currently has a market cap of 1.4 trillion won (US$1.0 billion).
• This change will allow the company to expand in the more lucrative metropolitan Seoul and other regions in Korea. We have a positive view of DGB Financial Group (139130 KS).

• A Detailed understanding of Thermal cum Renewable Power house JSW Energy Ltd (JSW IN) Business and their ambitious target to achieve 10 GW by FY25.
• Strategy 2.O, where company is planning for 20GW by 2025, energy storage system.
• JSW Energy’s strategic acquisitions and focus on renewables enhance growth prospects, with a vision to become a leading renewable energy provider.

• Eisai Co Ltd (4523 JP) has guided for FY25 Leqembi revenue of ¥56.5B (~$366M), with ¥43.5B from U.S., and ¥10.0B from Japan. In FY24, Leqembi reported worldwide revenue of ¥4.2B.
• Leqembi is expected to grow significantly due to increase in prescriptions following the progress in the development of AD diagnosis and treatment pathways in the U.S. and Japan.
• The current rally can be short lived, as the competitor drug is expected to get FDA approval in 3Q24.

• Nissin Corp (TYO 9066) bought back 23.6% of their outstanding shares in a single day on May 10th and also doubled their dividend.
• The result? The stock went up about 39% (up 72% YTD).
• I already had a full sized position in Nissin Corp and despite being up big on it I added to my position at ¥4,265.

• Taiwan Tech and Nvidia Rally Ahead of Nvidia Earnings Next Week; Microsoft Build Conference Could Showcase Edge AI Copilot
• Hon Hai: Traditional Server Market Now Adding to AI Growth; Expects Market Share Gains in 2024E 
• Asustek: Margin Beat, Guides More Upside; Qualcomm for AI PCs; Why Asus Confident in AI PC Up-Cycle