Category

Equity Bottom-Up

Daily Brief Equity Bottom-Up: ENN Energy (2688 HK): Our Initial View on the Privatisation – Valuation and Fundamentals and more

By | Daily Briefs, Equity Bottom-Up

In today’s briefing:

  • ENN Energy (2688 HK): Our Initial View on the Privatisation – Valuation and Fundamentals
  • Episode 110: NVIDIA’s Identity Crisis
  • Hyundai Motor Group – $21 Billion Investment in the US [Where Will the Money Come From?]
  • Is PDD the Silent Giant That Could Crush Alibaba? Here’s What the Data Says!
  • BYD’s 5-Minute Charge to Global EV Supremacy: Is Tesla Already Left Behind?
  • Altria’s Secret Weapon: How This Tobacco Giant Keeps Winning Despite Shrinking Cigarette Sales!
  • Shenzhen Intl (152 HK): Delivered as Promised
  • Tech Supply Chain Tracker (27-Mar-2025): Foxconn considers Mitsubishi partnership, ASEAN/Oceania expansion.
  • Wuxi Biologics (2269 HK): 2024 Revenue Meets Guidance; Poised for Accelerated Growth in 2025
  • Micron Technology: China’s Ban, AI Boom, and a Secret Weapon: What’s Really Powering Them Forward?


ENN Energy (2688 HK): Our Initial View on the Privatisation – Valuation and Fundamentals

By Osbert Tang, CFA

  • The proposed privatisation price for ENN Energy (2688 HK) appears reasonable, which is estimated to be 1.73x P/B and 11.5x PER on a 12-month forward basis. 
  • The valuations are both at a good premium over the average since 2024. ENN Energy is also being put at the top of the sector’s PER range. 
  • Scheme shareholders will hold new H-shares of ENN Natural Gas (600803 CH), which historically has a more volatile earnings record, but its A-share has been doing well. 

Episode 110: NVIDIA’s Identity Crisis

By The Circuit

  • 25,000 people attended Nvidia sessions, making it one of the busiest single company shows
  • Initial disappointment at keynote, followed by renewed enthusiasm after investor Q&A and show attendance
  • Disillusionment with lack of new AI advancements and repeated demos at Nvidia booth, feeling like a cult atmosphere

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.


Hyundai Motor Group – $21 Billion Investment in the US [Where Will the Money Come From?]

By Douglas Kim

  • In the past week, one of the biggest stories in Korea has been the Hyundai Motor Group’s mega $21 billion investment in the United States.
  • There is a real concern that Hyundai Motor may need to raise external capital to fund its US investments/share buybacks/dividends in 2027/2028.
  • Hyundai Motor (005380 KS) remains one of the most undervalued global auto companies. It is trading at P/E of 4.7x in 2025 and 4.5x in 20026. 

Is PDD the Silent Giant That Could Crush Alibaba? Here’s What the Data Says!

By Baptista Research

  • PDD Holdings, Inc. presented its financial results for the fourth quarter and full fiscal year of 2024, showcasing a strategy focused on high-quality development and ecosystem advancement.
  • The company reported stable financial performance in the last quarter, closing with a revenue increase to RMB 110.6 billion, a 24% year-over year gain.
  • For the entire year, revenues climbed 59% to a total of RMB 393.8 billion, marking a moderation from previous growth rates.

BYD’s 5-Minute Charge to Global EV Supremacy: Is Tesla Already Left Behind?

By Baptista Research

  • Chinese EV giant BYD has kicked off 2025 with an aggressive push that’s shaking up the global electric vehicle landscape.
  • From launching EVs that can charge in just five minutes to a soaring share price and record sales, BYD is not just catching up with Tesla — it’s pulling ahead on nearly every front.
  • In recent weeks, BYD’s stock surged to a record high following the announcement of its ultra-fast-charging Super e-Platform.

Altria’s Secret Weapon: How This Tobacco Giant Keeps Winning Despite Shrinking Cigarette Sales!

By Baptista Research

  • Altria Group reported its fourth quarter and full-year 2024 earnings with several noteworthy developments.
  • Financially, the company delivered strong results, primarily supported by its core tobacco operations.
  • Altria grew its adjusted diluted earnings per share (EPS) by 3.4% for the full year, maintaining a trend of returning substantial capital to shareholders through $10.2 billion in dividends and share repurchases.

Shenzhen Intl (152 HK): Delivered as Promised

By Osbert Tang, CFA

  • While Shenzhen International (152 HK)‘s FY24 result is at the low end of the positive profit alert range, its 2H24 net profit has still grown by 22.7%. 
  • Better outlook at Shenzhen Expressway (548 HK) and margin improvement for logistics hubs will drive FY25. Upside will come from further gains at South China Logistics Park. 
  • SZI’s valuations of 5.9x PER, 8.4% yield, and 0.5x P/B for FY25F are attractive. As more deals are sealed to realise its asset value, its P/B discount will narrow.

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (27-Mar-2025): Foxconn considers Mitsubishi partnership, ASEAN/Oceania expansion.

By Tech Supply Chain Tracker

  • Foxconn is exploring a potential partnership with Mitsubishi Motors to expand into markets in ASEAN and Oceania regions.
  • Experts from Taiwan and the US are discussing cutting-edge advancements in AI at the AI Expo 2025.
  • Foxconn is revolutionizing traditional manufacturing methods with their innovative approach, as highlighted in a SEMI Country excerpt.

Wuxi Biologics (2269 HK): 2024 Revenue Meets Guidance; Poised for Accelerated Growth in 2025

By Tina Banerjee

  • Wuxi Biologics (2269 HK) has reported 2024 result, with revenue growing 10% YoY to RMB19B and net profit increasing 11% YoY to RMB4B. Revenue from non-COVID business increased 13% YoY.
  • Total backlog reached $18.5B as of December 31, 2024, including $10.5B service backlog and $8.0B upcoming potential milestone fees, while the total backlog within three years stood at $3.7B.
  • Wuxi Biologics guided for 12–15% YoY revenue growth for 2025. Revenue from continuing operation (excluding revenue from Ireland Vaccines) is expected to grow 17–20% YoY in 2025.

Micron Technology: China’s Ban, AI Boom, and a Secret Weapon: What’s Really Powering Them Forward?

By Baptista Research

  • Micron Technology’s recent performance has sparked mixed reactions across Wall Street, as investors try to reconcile strong product innovation with weak near-term financial guidance.
  • The company’s fiscal first-quarter results beat Wall Street expectations, with adjusted earnings of $1.79 per share, slightly above the consensus of $1.76.
  • Revenue stood at $8.7 billion, in line with projections.

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Daily Brief Equity Bottom-Up: Kuaishou (1024 HK): FY2024 Result and more

By | Daily Briefs, Equity Bottom-Up

In today’s briefing:

  • Kuaishou (1024 HK): FY2024 Result, Op Margin to 10% from 4%, Price to Be Double
  • Shanghai Henlius Biotech (2696 HK) – Thoughts on 2024 Results And the H Share Full Circulation
  • AbbVie Inc.: An Analysis Of Its Immunology Market Expansion, Oncology Pipeline & ADC Strategy!
  • Oracle Is Quietly Dominating AI Cloud — 57% OCI Surge and a Game-Changing Data Platform!
  • Kunlun Energy (135 HK): Remains Very Decent
  • Accenture Just Crushed Earnings — But DOGE Could Be Its Worst Nightmare Yet!
  • Sage Group (SGE LN): The AI Strategy Is Taking Shape
  • Jabil Inc.: Will Its Growth In Intelligent Infrastructure and AI Growth Last Over The Coming Quarters?
  • MPLX LP: An Insight Into Its Natural Gas and NGL Value Chain Expansion & Critical Growth Levers!
  • Asia Real Estate Tracker (25-Mar-2025): Warburg Pincus JV acquires second Korean asset.


Kuaishou (1024 HK): FY2024 Result, Op Margin to 10% from 4%, Price to Be Double

By Ming Lu

  • Kuaishou (KS)’ operating margin improved to 10% in 2024 versus 4% in 2023.
  • Online marketing revenue increased by 20% and GMV increased by 17% in 2024.
  • We conclude an upside of 104% for the next twelve months.

Shanghai Henlius Biotech (2696 HK) – Thoughts on 2024 Results And the H Share Full Circulation

By Xinyao (Criss) Wang

  • Henlius has made a profit for the second year in a row.However, some investors are not satisfied with the quality of net profit growth in 2024 due to concerns behind.
  • The implementation of H Share Full Circulation has a positive impact on financing ability, shareholder returns, market valuation of Henlius.The next goal is to be included in HK Stock Connect
  • Lin Lijun’s continuous increase in Henlius holdings is an important reason for shares surge after privatization failure.Lin may keep pushing up share price so as to exit at higher price.

AbbVie Inc.: An Analysis Of Its Immunology Market Expansion, Oncology Pipeline & ADC Strategy!

By Baptista Research

  • AbbVie Inc. concluded 2024 with robust performance metrics, highlighted by a notable return to growth, despite significant challenges such as the $5 billion U.S. Humira sales erosion due to biosimilar competition.
  • The company reported a total revenue of $56.3 billion, surpassing its initial guidance by over $2 billion, with adjusted earnings per share recorded at $10.12, which is $0.49 above their previously forecasted midpoint.
  • On a segmented basis, AbbVie’s “ex-Humira” platform, consisting primarily of Skyrizi and Rinvoq, demonstrated substantial growth.

Oracle Is Quietly Dominating AI Cloud — 57% OCI Surge and a Game-Changing Data Platform!

By Baptista Research

  • Oracle Corporation’s third quarter fiscal year 2025 earnings report indicated significant strategic advancements and robust financial performance, balanced by some challenges.
  • On the positive side, the company reported a record $48 billion addition to its backlog, bringing the remaining performance obligations (RPO) to $130 billion, which represents a 63% increase year-over-year.
  • This growth suggests strong demand for Oracle’s cloud services, which is a key positive indicator for future revenue streams.

Kunlun Energy (135 HK): Remains Very Decent

By Osbert Tang, CFA

  • Kunlun Energy (135 HK)‘s net profit grew 7.9% in 2H24, accelerating from 2.6% in 1H24. It is encouraging to see the dividend payout ratio increase by 2pp YoY.
  • An increase in the adoption of the residential price linkage system is positive for the dollar margin, while the distortion from E&P expiry will no longer impact earnings. 
  • With net cash equals HK$2.56/share, or 31% of the share price, such financial strength is unmatched by peers. Its PER valuations are also inexpensive.

Accenture Just Crushed Earnings — But DOGE Could Be Its Worst Nightmare Yet!

By Baptista Research

  • Accenture delivered better-than-expected results for the second quarter of fiscal 2025, but the stock took a steep hit as investor concerns mounted over potential fallout from U.S. federal cost-cutting initiatives.
  • The consulting giant posted earnings of $2.82 per share, just above the analyst consensus of $2.81, and reported revenue of $16.7 billion, surpassing expectations of $16.6 billion and marking a 5% year-over-year increase.
  • However, despite this beat, the company’s shares plunged 9.4% to $292.72, logging their worst single-day performance since June 2013 and becoming the S&P 500’s worst performer on the day.

Sage Group (SGE LN): The AI Strategy Is Taking Shape

By Gregory Ramirez

  • Sage launched its Copilot AI assistant automating accounting, HR and payroll tasks. This aims to roll out across all products by 2026. Sage plans to integrate AI agents into workflows. 
  • The Sage Network platform connects accounting systems across businesses, facilitating automated workflows and real-time data integration. It enhances Sage Copilot’s capabilities and creates opportunities for migration to cloud-based solutions.
  • Sage’s resilient business model, supported by subscriptions, positions it well in a challenging market. The company is focused on expanding its customer base through AI-powered solutions.

Jabil Inc.: Will Its Growth In Intelligent Infrastructure and AI Growth Last Over The Coming Quarters?

By Baptista Research

  • Jabil Inc. reported strong financial results for its second quarter of fiscal year 2025, delivering $6.7 billion in revenue and highlighting a year-on-year growth of 3% when adjusted for divestitures.
  • Core operating income was reported at $334 million, with a core operating margin of 5%.
  • On a GAAP basis, the company reported operating income of $245 million and diluted earnings per share of $1.06.

MPLX LP: An Insight Into Its Natural Gas and NGL Value Chain Expansion & Critical Growth Levers!

By Baptista Research

  • MPLX, the midstream energy company, reported its fourth quarter and full-year 2024 results, highlighting strategic progress and robust financial performance.
  • In 2024, MPLX achieved a full-year adjusted EBITDA of $6.8 billion, marking an 8% rise compared to the previous year, underpinned by strong operational performance across its renamed business segments: Crude Oil and Product Logistics and Natural Gas and NGL Services.
  • This marks the fourth consecutive year of mid-single-digit adjusted EBITDA growth, with a compound annual growth rate of 7% since 2021.

Asia Real Estate Tracker (25-Mar-2025): Warburg Pincus JV acquires second Korean asset.

By Asia Real Estate Tracker

  • Warburg Pincus and Wide Creek JV have acquired GreenFort, a Korean logistic asset, marking their second investment in the country.
  • Gaw Capital is set to discuss a joint venture with MTD TV for the development of 1,200 homes in an upcoming interview on Wednesday.
  • Mitsubishi Estate has sold its stake in a Shinjuku office tower to a J-REIT for $190 million, continuing its strategic real estate transactions.

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Daily Brief Equity Bottom-Up: Tencent/Netease: One Game Approved Each in March and more

By | Daily Briefs, Equity Bottom-Up

In today’s briefing:

  • Tencent/Netease: One Game Approved Each in March
  • Tech Supply Chain Tracker (25-Mar-2025): DeepSeek impacts chip demand globally.
  • What Does Adani’s Foray into Wires & Cables Mean for Investors and the Industry?
  • StoneCo Ltd.: 6 Major Game-Changers Impacting Its 2025 Performance & Beyond!
  • Taiwan Tech Weekly: Delta At Nvidia GTC 2025; Foxconn EV Strategy Win; Key Semi Industry Indicators
  • Hansoh Pharmaceutical (3692 HK): Innovative Drugs Drive 2024 Performance; Outlook Is Positive
  • Torikizoku (3193 JP): Coverage Initiation,1H FY07/25 flash update
  • BYD (1211): Encouraging 2024 Result, But Close to Our Target After Two Buy Suggestions This Year.
  • [PDD Holdings Inc. (PDD US, BUY, TP US$146) Review]: A New PDD Focusing on Low Tier and Non-US
  • Docusign Inc.: Will Its Emphasis On The Expansion of Identity and Access Management (IAM) Pay Off?


Tencent/Netease: One Game Approved Each in March

By Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

  • China announced game approval for the March batch. The number of games approved remained at a higher level than 2023.
  • The pace of China game approval appears to have accelerated to the same level as pre-tightening. We see pick up in approval rate this month.
  • Both Tencent and Netease received approval for one game. In addition, Kingsoft received approval for its legendary Sword Heroes series.

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (25-Mar-2025): DeepSeek impacts chip demand globally.

By Tech Supply Chain Tracker

  • DeepSeek is a significant factor driving global chip demand with implications for various industries including automotive.
  • Tesla and Tata are in talks regarding the sourcing of EV components, highlighting the growing importance of electric vehicles in the market.
  • Tim Cook’s visit to China to discuss collaboration with DeepSeek signals potential advancements in the supply chain and technology sectors.

What Does Adani’s Foray into Wires & Cables Mean for Investors and the Industry?

By Nimish Maheshwari

  • Investors should keep a close eye on Adani’s execution timeline, the impact on valuations in the sector, and the fundamentals of existing players in the C&W industry. 
  • While Adani’s entry may bring some disruption, the sector’s strong growth prospects and the resilience of leading players suggest that there is still value to be found. 
  • In the end, long-term success in this industry will depend on a combination of strategic vision, operational excellence, and the ability to adapt to changing market dynamics.

StoneCo Ltd.: 6 Major Game-Changers Impacting Its 2025 Performance & Beyond!

By Baptista Research

  • StoneCo Ltd. recently shared its fourth-quarter and full-year 2024 earnings, demonstrating a period marked by robust strategic execution and notable financial outcomes, despite facing macroeconomic challenges.
  • The company’s strategy is focused on three core objectives: leadership in the MSMB (micro, small, and medium businesses) market, enhanced client engagement, and scalable platform growth.
  • In 2024, StoneCo’s MSMB operations saw a 15% year-over-year increase in card total payment values (TPV), although this fell short of guidance due to the rapid adoption of PIX, the Brazilian instant payment system, which continued to encroach on traditional debit and cash transactions.

Taiwan Tech Weekly: Delta At Nvidia GTC 2025; Foxconn EV Strategy Win; Key Semi Industry Indicators

By Vincent Fernando, CFA

  • NVIDIA GTC 2025 Last Week — Delta Electronics Expands Role in Nvidia Ecosystem Showcasing AI-Centric Power Solutions
  • Foxconn’s Huge EV Bet Pays Off: Key Mitsubishi Win Could Spark Additional Automaker Deals to Come 
  • Semiconductors. Key Indicator Updates, 2024 In Review, and 2025 Forecasts 

Hansoh Pharmaceutical (3692 HK): Innovative Drugs Drive 2024 Performance; Outlook Is Positive

By Tina Banerjee

  • Hansoh Pharmaceutical Group (3692 HK) reported 33% YoY net profit growth to RMB4.4B on 21% YoY revenue growth to RMB12.3B in 2024. Oncology revenue jumped 32% YoY to RMB8.1B.
  • Revenue from innovative drugs zoomed 38% YoY to RMB9.5B and its proportion to total revenue increased to 77.3% in 2024 from 67.9% in 2023.
  • In 2024, three key innovative drug candidates entered the phase 3 clinical stage for the first time. Hansoh will continue to focus on R&D of innovative drugs and internationalization strategy.

Torikizoku (3193 JP): Coverage Initiation,1H FY07/25 flash update

By Shared Research

  • Revenue increased by 10.7% YoY to JPY22.2bn, driven by inbound tourism recovery and new restaurant openings.
  • Operating profit declined 20.5% YoY to JPY1.3bn due to higher SG&A expenses from overseas expansion and wage increases.
  • Gross profit margin decreased to 69.1%, while SG&A ratio rose to 63.1%, impacting operating profit margin.

BYD (1211): Encouraging 2024 Result, But Close to Our Target After Two Buy Suggestions This Year.

By Ming Lu

  • We believe the stock’s upside is very limited after two buy rating this year.
  • In 2024, total revenue grew by 29% and total automobile sales grew by 41%.
  • The gross margin of automobile improved more than one percentage point.

[PDD Holdings Inc. (PDD US, BUY, TP US$146) Review]: A New PDD Focusing on Low Tier and Non-US

By Ying Pan

  • PDD reported C4Q24 top line 1.1%/(6.1%) vs. our est./cons. and non-GAAP operating income (5.4%)/(5.6%) vs. est./cons., 
  • PDD rose to prominence by optimizing the value chain built/inherited by Alibaba/eBay in China and Amazon/eBay in US. 
  • As these two “bonuses” coming to an end, PDD must build its own. While growth shall normalize, China low tier cities and global developing markets shall sustain its growth. 

Docusign Inc.: Will Its Emphasis On The Expansion of Identity and Access Management (IAM) Pay Off?

By Baptista Research

  • DocuSign, Inc. delivered a noteworthy performance in the fourth quarter of Fiscal Year 2025, underpinned by both strategic pivots and operational efficiency gains.
  • The company reported a revenue of $776 million, marking a 9% year-over-year rise, culminating in an annual revenue of $3 billion—an 8% increase over the prior year.
  • This growth trajectory underscores a positive momentum, primarily fueled by the launch of Intelligent Agreement Management (IAM), a comprehensive AI-driven platform focused on transforming how businesses manage agreements.

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Daily Brief Equity Bottom-Up: Meituan (3690 HK): 4Q24 and more

By | Daily Briefs, Equity Bottom-Up

In today’s briefing:

  • Meituan (3690 HK): 4Q24, High Growth and Higher Margin, 60% Upside
  • China Merchants Port (144 HK): Will It Have a Role in CKH’s Port Sale?
  • Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC Headroom Increases Again; ASE at Discount a Long Opportunity
  • Micron. HBM Gets Even Better, NAND Gets Even Worse
  • China Healthcare Weekly (Mar.23)-Fosun Pharma Sells United Family Healthcare, MNC’s Inflection Point
  • ENN Energy (2688 HK): Privatisation or What? A Look at the Valuations
  • Foxconn’s Huge EV Bet Pays Off: Key Mitsubishi Win Could Spark Additional Automaker Deals to Come
  • Fu Shou Yuan (1448.HK) – 2025 Outlook May Remain Sluggish Despite the Ugly 2024 Results
  • Workman Fixes the Big Problem: Colors Replaces Workman Joshi
  • Miniso: Undeterred by Tariffs. IP-Strategy, Global Expansion on Track. Value Buy


Meituan (3690 HK): 4Q24, High Growth and Higher Margin, 60% Upside

By Ming Lu

  • In 4Q24, Meituan’s revenue growth rate was 20% YoY with all businesses rising.
  • The operating margin improved to 8.8% in 4Q24 versus about zero in 4Q23.
  • We set an upside of 61% and a price target of HK$270. Buy.

China Merchants Port (144 HK): Will It Have a Role in CKH’s Port Sale?

By Osbert Tang, CFA

  • China Merchants Port (144 HK) may potentially play a role in CK Hutchison Holdings (1 HK)‘s port portfolio disposal should the mainland government want to step in. 
  • While CMPH’s size is small relative to the port portfolio, its parent China Merchants Group and sister China Merchants Bank H (3968 HK) can easily facilitate such a transaction.
  • Having the portfolio in the hands of mainland company is desirable to the Chinese government. Even if CMPH has no role, its 7.6x PER and 6% yield are attractive.

Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC Headroom Increases Again; ASE at Discount a Long Opportunity

By Vincent Fernando, CFA

  • TSMC: +20% Premium; Wait for Higher Premium Before Shorting, ADR Headroom Has Increased Further
  • UMC: -1.6% Discount; Wait for Lower Discount Before Going Long
  • ASE: -0.1% Discount; Discounts Are Good Level to Long the Spread Given Maxed Headroom

Micron. HBM Gets Even Better, NAND Gets Even Worse

By William Keating

  • Micron this week reported revenues of $8.1 billion, down 8% QoQ but up 38% YoY, and at the top end of the guided range
  • Micron is expecting to reach an annual run rate of $7.8 billion by Q425. Wow!
  • NAND is headed for yet another downturn after six quarters of sequential growth. 

China Healthcare Weekly (Mar.23)-Fosun Pharma Sells United Family Healthcare, MNC’s Inflection Point

By Xinyao (Criss) Wang

  • Given new policy recommendations, it is only a matter of time before HPV vaccination is included in the national immunization program, which is detrimental to HPV vaccine companies.
  • MNCs have seen a inflection point in performance growth in 2024 in China. Although VBP/NRDL negotiation are negative factors, is it also due to any consideration to withdraw from China?
  • Fosun Pharma has agreed to sell its entire stake in United Family Healthcare to Calcite Gem Investments Group for US$124.1 million. We shared our views about the deal.

ENN Energy (2688 HK): Privatisation or What? A Look at the Valuations

By Osbert Tang, CFA

  • ENN Energy (2688 HK) has suspended trading. The possibilities include privatisation, third-party offer, increase in stake by ENN Natural Gas (600803 CH), and a change in control. 
  • It trades on 1.16x 12-month forward P/B, vs. 5-year average of 2.42x and 1.31x since 2024. Given the lower forward ROE, it is difficult to return to the 5-year average.
  • For PER, it should be higher than China Gas Holdings (384 HK) but lower than CR Gas (1193 HK). At 10.8x (average of the two), it equates to HK$74.26.  

Foxconn’s Huge EV Bet Pays Off: Key Mitsubishi Win Could Spark Additional Automaker Deals to Come

By Vincent Fernando, CFA

  • Mitsubishi Motors plans to outsource EV production to Foxconn, signaling the most significant commercial validation of Foxconn’s MIH EV platform to date.
  • While Foxconn’s AI server manufacturing is currently the company’s strongest growth driver, its EV strategy is increasingly gaining credibility as a second long-term pillar.
  • Foxconn — Structural Long. We see depressed share price as buying opportunity. Mitsubishi contract win increases the probability for additional major OEM production partnership wins this year for Foxconn.

Fu Shou Yuan (1448.HK) – 2025 Outlook May Remain Sluggish Despite the Ugly 2024 Results

By Xinyao (Criss) Wang

  • Fu Shou Yuan had a sharp decline in performance in 2024. The performance in recent years has often missed management guidance, which makes us question the integrity of management.
  • The “crisis” of Fu Shou Yuan has evolved from a short-term headwind to the failure of its long-term business model. Good dividends cannot conceal the problem of gloomy outlook.
  • Valuation logic is undergoing a transformation – from a leading company with “high growth/stable cash flow” to a struggling company with “weak growth/questionable profit model”. 2025 performance may remain lower-than-expected.

Workman Fixes the Big Problem: Colors Replaces Workman Joshi

By Michael Causton

  • Workman’s slower same-store growth can be blamed on its shift to mass market fashion and the choice of Workman Joshi as a banner, putting off male customers. 
  • The outdoor and workwear retailer has now acknowledged the misstep and will rebrand the chain as Workman Colors while adjusting merchandise back to more apparel basics.
  • This will take time to implement but could mean a return to form for the apparel retailer.

Miniso: Undeterred by Tariffs. IP-Strategy, Global Expansion on Track. Value Buy

By Devi Subhakesan

  • MINISO Group Holding (9896 HK) committed to expanding in the U.S. with plans in place to mitigate the impact of U.S. tariffs on Chinese goods via its diversified supply chain strategy.
  • Key investor concern: Slower store expansion in Mainland China in 2025 may temper near-term sales and profit growth. Capital intensive overseas expansion could dilute potential returns.
  • Miniso (MNSO US)’s accelerating shift toward higher-margin IP co-branded lifestyle products—a strategy poised to sustain double-digit revenue growth, makes it an attractive investment play in the lifestyle retail space.

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Daily Brief Equity Bottom-Up: [Tencent (700 HK and more

By | Daily Briefs, Equity Bottom-Up

In today’s briefing:

  • [Tencent (700 HK, BUY, TP HK$545) Target Price Change]: C4Q24 Review: Good Time to Pick up Shares
  • MHI (7011 JP): U.S. Presses Japan to Spend More on Defense
  • Samsung Electronics(005930): Shareholders’ Meeting Results
  • Top Glove Corp (TOPG MK): Recovery Continues, ASP Improves, Demand Outlook Stays Strong
  • Hong Kong Earnings in the Week Commencing March 24
  • Robert Half Inc: The Expanding Demand for Protiviti’s Services Is Arguably Its Biggest Growth Catalyst!
  • LICHF: Benign Credit Cost Led to Strong Q3FY25
  • Mohawk Industries: Its Expansion in Higher-End Product Mix In An Attempt To Aid Margin Expansion May Just Work Out!
  • Illinois Tool Works: Here’s How Its Focus On China’s Automotive & EV Markets Is Paying Off!
  • Boston Scientific: How WATCHMAN and FARAPULSE Expansion Is Shaping This Med-Tech Giant’s Future!


[Tencent (700 HK, BUY, TP HK$545) Target Price Change]: C4Q24 Review: Good Time to Pick up Shares

By Ying Pan

  • Tencent reported C4Q24 revenue, IFRS op. profit, and IFRS net income in-line, (5.3%), 6.0% vs. our est. and 2.1%, (12.6%), 5.3% vs. cons. 
  • We shifted our game TOP PICK from Tencent to NetEase on January 16 2025, due to pipeline gaps. 
  • We reiterate our BUY rating and raise TP to HK$545 on Tencent. We expect game pipeline to fill the gap with the launch of two blockbusters in C3Q25.

MHI (7011 JP): U.S. Presses Japan to Spend More on Defense

By Scott Foster

  • Japan’s top defense and aerospace contractor is being rerated to account for the limits on relying on the U.S. for defense in an alarming national security environment.
  • A reasonably optimistic scenario brings MHI’s P/E ratio down to 22X in FY Mar-28, by which time Japan’s defense spending is scheduled reach 2% of GDP.
  • The Trump administration wants Japan to spend more, but getting the budget through the national Diet is difficult enough as it is. 

Samsung Electronics(005930): Shareholders’ Meeting Results

By SUSTINVEST

  • All proposals at Samsung Electronics’ March 19 shareholders’ meeting were approved, despite opposition recommendations from Sustinvest, a Korean proxy advisory firm.
  • Sustinvest had recommended voting against outside director candidate Kim Jun-sung (Agenda 2-1-1) and inside director candidate Jeon Young-hyun (Agenda 2-2-1).
  • The approval of all agenda items indicates strong shareholder support for Samsung’s current management direction despite some governance concerns raised by proxy advisors.

Top Glove Corp (TOPG MK): Recovery Continues, ASP Improves, Demand Outlook Stays Strong

By Tina Banerjee

  • Top Glove Corp (TOPG MK) achieved 70% YoY revenue growth in 1HFY25, while net profit stood at RM 58M.
  • Management remains bullish on the U.S. market with North America region (23% of revenue) witnessing 13% QoQ sales growth in 2QFY25.
  • ASP were up 3–4% across product categories. Top Glove expects the ASP to further strengthen.

Hong Kong Earnings in the Week Commencing March 24

By Gaudenz Schneider

  • The Hong Kong earnings season enters its final week with at least 17 Hang Seng Index companies reporting their 2024 results and announcing dividends.
  • The proportion of companies reporting in the coming week and the week after is significant at an index level, with notable weightings in the HSI, HSCEI, and HS TECH indices.
  • Opportunities to profit from price movement around earnings are manifold and include event-focused trading, statistical arbitrage, hedging, and capitalizing on changes in dividends and implied volatility.

Robert Half Inc: The Expanding Demand for Protiviti’s Services Is Arguably Its Biggest Growth Catalyst!

By Baptista Research

  • Robert Half International’s fourth-quarter 2024 earnings results reveal a mixed performance, reflecting both challenges and opportunities.
  • The company reported global enterprise revenues of $1.382 billion, marking a decline of 6% from the previous year on a reported basis.
  • The net income per share for the quarter was $0.53, significantly down from $0.83 a year ago.

LICHF: Benign Credit Cost Led to Strong Q3FY25

By Ankit Agrawal, CFA

  • LICHF reported PAT growth of 23% YoY in Q3FY25 led by benign credit cost. Credit cost was negative (-44cr) in Q3FY25 vs INR 435cr (0.2%+ of AUM) in Q3FY24.
  • Stage 1 assets improved to 93.25% of AUM vs 93.09% QoQ. NIM continues to be stable at around 2.7%, similar to last quarter, making the earnings predictable now. 
  • Led by low credit cost, LICHF is on track to achieve FY25 PAT as per our estimate of INR 5400cr+. This implies LICHF is currently trading at below 6x P/E.

Mohawk Industries: Its Expansion in Higher-End Product Mix In An Attempt To Aid Margin Expansion May Just Work Out!

By Baptista Research

  • Mohawk Industries’ fourth-quarter results showed a mixed performance amid ongoing industry challenges.
  • The company reported net sales of approximately $2.6 billion, consistent with the previous year, although this included the benefit from two additional shipping days.
  • Positively impacting the results were sales initiatives, restructuring efforts, and productivity improvements.

Illinois Tool Works: Here’s How Its Focus On China’s Automotive & EV Markets Is Paying Off!

By Baptista Research

  • Illinois Tool Works Inc. (ITW) completed 2024 on a strong financial footing, achieving record results in several key performance areas.
  • For the fourth quarter, the company reported a modest decline in total revenues by 1.3%, but a robust operating margin increase to 26.2%, an improvement of 140 basis points, driven primarily by enterprise initiatives.
  • The company’s ability to expand operating income by 4% in spite of lower revenue demonstrates effective cost management and strategic execution.

Boston Scientific: How WATCHMAN and FARAPULSE Expansion Is Shaping This Med-Tech Giant’s Future!

By Baptista Research

  • The financial results for Boston Scientific’s fourth quarter and full-year 2024 highlight both strengths and challenges faced by the company.
  • Achieving robust growth in several segments, the company reported operational sales growth of 23% for the quarter and 18.5% for the year, with organic growth hitting 20% and 16% respectively.
  • These figures surpass their upper guidance limits, indicating strong market performance, driven primarily by the early U.S. adoption of the FARAPULSE system and other key products.

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Daily Brief Equity Bottom-Up: [KE Holdings (BEKE US and more

By | Daily Briefs, Equity Bottom-Up

In today’s briefing:

  • [KE Holdings (BEKE US, BUY, TP US$25) Earnings Review]: Housing Inventory Resolution Drives Recovery
  • Deckers Outdoor: Ugg’s Profit Machine and Hoka’s Expansion—What Investors Need to Know!
  • EPAM Systems: AI, Cloud & Expansion—Is This the Next IT Powerhouse?
  • Fortive Corporation: How Its 2025 Spin-Off Could Reshape the Business!
  • Alphabet’s $32 Billion Bet On Wiz: A Desperate Move or a Strategic Masterstroke?
  • Mayora (MYOR): Indo Sugar Tax – A Negative
  • Intloop (9556 JP) – Demonstrating Operational Leverage
  • Autodesk Under Seige: Activist Starboard’s Proxy Battle & What It Means for Shareholders!
  • Edwards Lifesciences: Inside the High-Stakes Race for the Next Big Cardiac Breakthrough!
  • Q3 Follow-Up: Japan System Techniques (4323 JP) – March 11, 2025


[KE Holdings (BEKE US, BUY, TP US$25) Earnings Review]: Housing Inventory Resolution Drives Recovery

By Eric Wen

  • Beike reported C4Q24 revenue beat our estimate/consensus by 8.4%/7.4%, non-GAAP OP miss our estimate/consensus by 37.5%/21.6%, due to front-loading expansion cost.
  • We expect Beike to take 2-3ppt of market share in a rebalancing property market in 2025. 
  • We keep the stock as BUY and keep TP at US$25.

Deckers Outdoor: Ugg’s Profit Machine and Hoka’s Expansion—What Investors Need to Know!

By Baptista Research

  • Deckers Brands delivered a robust performance in its third quarter of fiscal 2025, signaling both high levels of growth and notable profitability.
  • The company’s revenue increased by 17% compared to the previous year, reaching $1.83 billion, with significant contributions from the UGG and HOKA brands.
  • The gross margins improved to 60.3%, and diluted earnings per share rose by 19% to $3.

EPAM Systems: AI, Cloud & Expansion—Is This the Next IT Powerhouse?

By Baptista Research

  • EPAM Systems Inc. reported its fourth quarter and full-year 2024 performance showing mixed results, noting both achievements and challenges.
  • During the fourth quarter, the company experienced revenue growth of 7.9% on a reported basis, including the effects of recent acquisitions, NEORIS and First Derivative.
  • On an organic constant currency basis, revenue grew a modest 1% year-over-year, marking a return to organic growth for the first time since early 2023.

Fortive Corporation: How Its 2025 Spin-Off Could Reshape the Business!

By Baptista Research

  • Fortive Corporation recently presented their fourth-quarter and full-year results, highlighting a combination of strengths and challenges that investors might consider when evaluating the company’s investment potential.
  • Positive aspects of Fortive’s performance include a strong track record of financial accomplishments in 2024.
  • The company reported better-than-expected core growth, adjusted earnings, and free cash flow, capping a robust year.

Alphabet’s $32 Billion Bet On Wiz: A Desperate Move or a Strategic Masterstroke?

By Baptista Research

  • Alphabet Inc., Google’s parent company, has officially announced its largest acquisition to date, agreeing to purchase cybersecurity startup Wiz for $32 billion in cash.
  • The move comes after Wiz rejected a $23 billion offer from Alphabet last year, opting instead to explore an IPO.
  • However, with the regulatory landscape shifting under U.S. President Donald Trump’s administration, Wiz’s leadership reconsidered the deal, ultimately securing an extra $9 billion from Google in less than a year.

Mayora (MYOR): Indo Sugar Tax – A Negative

By Henry Soediarko

  • The sugar tax in Indonesia is plan to be introduced July this year, around Rp 1500/liter for sweetened packaged drinks including soft drinks, bottled tea.
  • Mayora Indah (MYOR IJ) tea product is Teh Pucuk Harum, that is widely sold in hypermarts and convenience stores, while Unilever Indonesia (UNVR IJ) no longer owns Teh Sosro. 
  • Expecting sentiment to be better, Short Mayora and Long Unilever. 

Intloop (9556 JP) – Demonstrating Operational Leverage

By Astris Advisory Japan

  • We believe the key highlight of Q1-2 FY7/25 results is OPM expansion YoY from 4.7% to 6.6%.
  • The company aims to secure high-margin projects aligned with its strategic aims while maintaining business investment in new hires to grow.
  • Business expansion via strategic alliances is bearing fruit with Itochu Corporation (8001), with other initiatives being unveiled in the food and logistics sectors to expand and diversify the solutions portfolio and accelerate growth. 

Autodesk Under Seige: Activist Starboard’s Proxy Battle & What It Means for Shareholders!

By Baptista Research

  • Autodesk Inc. is at the center of a high-stakes battle as activist hedge fund Starboard Value LP moves forward with a proxy fight, citing financial underperformance and management credibility concerns.
  • After months of behind-the-scenes pressure, Starboard has decided to nominate a minority slate of directors to Autodesk’s board, setting the stage for a potential leadership shake-up.
  • The move comes after a series of turbulent events at Autodesk, including an accounting investigation that led to a CFO replacement, a shift in the company’s sales model, and a recent decision to cut 9% of its workforce.

Edwards Lifesciences: Inside the High-Stakes Race for the Next Big Cardiac Breakthrough!

By Baptista Research

  • Edwards Lifesciences Corporation recently reported its financial results for the fourth quarter and the full year of 2024, providing an insight into its strategic performance and outlook.
  • The company, solely focused on structural heart solutions after divesting its Critical Care segment in the third quarter of 2024, recorded robust financial performance, consistent with its expectations and strategic focus.
  • For the full year 2024, Edwards Lifesciences reported a 9% increase in sales, reaching $5.4 billion.

Q3 Follow-Up: Japan System Techniques (4323 JP) – March 11, 2025

By Sessa Investment Research

  • Japan System Techniques (hereafter, the Company) announced its Q3(9M)
  • Key consolidated figures net sales of JPY 20,549 mn (+10.9% YoY), operating profit of JPY 2,041 mn (+26.5% YoY), ordinary profit of JPY 2,116 mn (+28.4% YoY), and profit attributable to owners of parent (hereafter, net profit) of JPY 1,417 mn (+28.9% YoY).
  • Higher sales and profits in the DX&SI business and Package business contributed in Q3 earnings growth.

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Daily Brief Equity Bottom-Up: Intel. Mr. Tan’s Greatest Challenge Is Not Process Or Foundry Leadership. It’s Something Far Bigger and more

By | Daily Briefs, Equity Bottom-Up

In today’s briefing:

  • Intel. Mr. Tan’s Greatest Challenge Is Not Process Or Foundry Leadership. It’s Something Far Bigger
  • NVDA’s ‘Quantum Day’ Fails to Live up to the Hype. Micron Beats, and Softbank Acquires Ampere.
  • The Beat Ideas: Adani Cements:  Massive 140 MTPA Capacity Expansion, A Roadmap to FY28
  • Watsco: Air Apparent – [Business Breakdowns, EP.209]
  • Bajaj Finance (BAF): Robust Growth in Place
  • Micron 2QF25 Earnings Call Positive, But Tread with Caution
  • Link REIT (823 HK)
  • Tech Supply Chain Tracker (21-Mar-2025): Taiwan server revenue forecast 2025.
  • Pinduoduo (PDD): 4Q24, Not Slowdown, Still Advantage in Low Price Market, 70% Upside
  • Geely Auto (175 HK): 2024 Result Accelerating, 50% Upside


Intel. Mr. Tan’s Greatest Challenge Is Not Process Or Foundry Leadership. It’s Something Far Bigger

By William Keating

  • Whether Intel can achieve Process or Foundry leadership in a credible timeframe is something Mr. Tan has relatively little control over in the short term.
  • His most pressing challenge will be to address the corporate culture of entitlement that’s rife throughout the company, starting with the BoD
  • Measure his success by the number of high profile resignations we see in the coming months. Those who created Intel’s problems cannot be the ones to fix them. 

NVDA’s ‘Quantum Day’ Fails to Live up to the Hype. Micron Beats, and Softbank Acquires Ampere.

By Andrew Jackson

  • Huang throws cold water on a potential TSMC led deal for INTC fab business, saying he ‘wasn’t invited’ to any discussions. 
  • Micron guidance beats consensus which should be a positive for related names such as Micronics. 
  • CoWoS and advanced packing maker Shibaura Mechtronics raised guidance on Wednesday ahead of street, yet stock still trading around recent lows points to further upside.

The Beat Ideas: Adani Cements:  Massive 140 MTPA Capacity Expansion, A Roadmap to FY28

By Sudarshan Bhandari

  • Ambuja Cements (ACEM IN), established in 1983 by traders Narotam Sekhsaria and Suresh Neotia, leveraged strategic foresight to become a premier Indian cement giant within the diversified Adani Group.
  • In 2022, Adani acquired Ambuja Cement at INR 385/share, valuing it at INR 49,620 crore ($6.4 billion), at EBITDA/ton levels (INR900-INR1,000) similar to the company’s current performance.
  • Ambuja Cement is strategically positioned to achieve a substantial 44% increase in its cement production capacity by FY28, reaching a total of 140 MTPA from the current 97 MTPA.

Watsco: Air Apparent – [Business Breakdowns, EP.209]

By Business Breakdowns

  • Watsco is North America’s largest distributor of HVAC equipment, serving as a crucial link between manufacturers and contractors.
  • They offer a wide range of equipment and parts, technical expertise, and value-added services to their contractor customers.
  • Watsco’s transformation from manufacturer to distributor in 1989 led to significant growth, with consistent annualized shareholder returns over the years.

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.


Bajaj Finance (BAF): Robust Growth in Place

By Ankit Agrawal, CFA

  • Bajaj Finance Ltd (“BAF”) reported a strong Q3FY25 led by good volume growth and AUM growth. It saw highest ever new loans at 12.06mm. AUM growth was INR 24119cr. 
  • Despite elevated credit costs for peers, BAF has been relatively insulated and reported steady asset quality. ROA and Opex were also steady at around 4.5% and 33%, respectively.
  • In line with BAF’s long-range strategy, BAF is increasingly adopting AI to improve productivity. As part of this, BAF unveiled a BFL 3.0 FINAI company.

Micron 2QF25 Earnings Call Positive, But Tread with Caution

By Jim Handy

  • Micron’s strong HBM and Data Center growth has nearly offset low revenues in the remainder of the company’s business.
  • This HBM growth depends heavily upon continued strength in hyperscale data center AI CapEx
  • Micron outlined means to maintain stability in its industry, but China semiconductor goals are in conflict with these measures

Link REIT (823 HK)

By Michael Fritzell

  • The largest REIT in Asia, with enough liquidity for most funds. Has a great set of neighborhood malls across Hong Kong enjoying recurring income from food & beverage, restaurants, etc
  • Suffered during the COVID-19 pandemic but DPU has started growing again. Rights issue a misstep but the leverage is now acceptable. New Blackrock CIO bodes well for M&A. 
  • REIT trades at 7% yield vs 4% historically. Essentially an interest rate bet. Will probably be included in the Stock Connect program soon, expect an announcement on 19 April. 

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (21-Mar-2025): Taiwan server revenue forecast 2025.

By Tech Supply Chain Tracker

  • Taiwan server revenue and shipment forecast for 2025 is expected to increase, reflecting growth in the IT industry.
  • Japanese government plans to invest $1 billion in Space Strategy Fund projects, highlighting a push for innovation and exploration in the aerospace sector.
  • SoftBank’s $6.5B Ampere acquisition is a strategic move in the AI chip market with Arm, positioning the company for future technological advancements.

Pinduoduo (PDD): 4Q24, Not Slowdown, Still Advantage in Low Price Market, 70% Upside

By Ming Lu

  • PDD’s total revenue grew by 24% YoY in 4Q24, with advertising up by 17% YoY and commission up by 33% YoY.
  • The gross margin declined YoY, but we still believe PDD has advantage in the low price market.
  • We conclude an upside of 71% and a price target of US$215 for the next twelve months.

Geely Auto (175 HK): 2024 Result Accelerating, 50% Upside

By Ming Lu

  • Total revenue increased by 34% and total sales volume increased by 32%.
  • The operating margin improved to 4% in 2024, compared to 2% in 2023.
  • We conclude an upside of 51% and a price target of HK$28.00. Buy.

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Daily Brief Equity Bottom-Up: Tencent (700 HK): 4Q24 and more

By | Daily Briefs, Equity Bottom-Up

In today’s briefing:

  • Tencent (700 HK): 4Q24, Revenue Growth Back to Two Digits
  • China Resources Beer Signals a Bottom in Consumption?
  • Anta Sports (2020 HK): Need to Exercise Caution
  • TSMC Takeover of Intel: An Official Denial
  • Adobe’s Gen AI Playbook: The $200 Billion Opportunity You Can’t Ignore!
  • AIA Group & HDFC Bank: Big Hitters Lose Momentum
  • Asia Real Estate Tracker (19-Mar-2025): Invesco buys Korea senior homes.
  • Dell Technologies: Is There Going To Be A Robust Impact Of AI and Data Center Solutions Growth In The Coming Years?
  • Ecolab: The Untold Truth Behind Its Razor-and-Blade Model—And Why It’s a Cash Machine!
  • Broadcom’s Future Looks Bright Despite NVIDIA CEO Jensen Huang’s Claims! Here’s What We Think!


Tencent (700 HK): 4Q24, Revenue Growth Back to Two Digits

By Ming Lu

  • The growth rate of total revenue came back to two digits in 4Q24.
  • The growth rate of game revenue reached 20% YoY in 4Q24.
  • The gross margins of all business lines improved YoY in 4Q24.

China Resources Beer Signals a Bottom in Consumption?

By Rikki Malik

  • Historical results as expected with a sales and profit decline
  • The first 2 months of the year show a positive trend
  • Market reaction to the results should highlight low investor expectations 

Anta Sports (2020 HK): Need to Exercise Caution

By Osbert Tang, CFA

  • Anta Sports Products (2020 HK)‘s strong FY24 result is masked by one-offs and Amer Sports (AS US). Without them, its earnings would have declined by an alarming 5.4% in 2H24. 
  • Its ANTA and FILA brands have seen YoY operating profit drop in 2H24, with heavy margin pressure. Their revenue growth has also showed meaningful slowdown sequentially.
  • The 18.6x PER for FY25 is at a 50% premium to the sector, but the market expectation of 15% growth looks challenging. The YTD rally has opened room for profit-taking.

TSMC Takeover of Intel: An Official Denial

By Nicolas Baratte

  • The latest TSMC taking over Intel Foundry was on 13 March and involved joint investments by AMD, Broadcom, Nvidia, Qualcomm. Complicated.
  • Yesterday, TSMC Board member and Taiwan Minister of National Development Paul LIU flatly denied: “such a topic has never been discussed at the board level”.
  • As a result, Intel stock declined -6% yesterday. TSMC has corrected by -16% since early Feb. The stock is at average valuations, no obvious upside to Consensus.

Adobe’s Gen AI Playbook: The $200 Billion Opportunity You Can’t Ignore!

By Baptista Research

  • Adobe’s Q1 fiscal year 2025 financial results have demonstrated a robust performance, with the company reporting a record $5.71 billion in revenue, marking an 11% year-over-year increase.
  • The company also achieved a notable growth in its GAAP and non-GAAP earnings per share, which rose by 13% year-over-year.
  • Adobe’s results underscore the essential role its products play in the global digital economy, reaffirming its fiscal ’25 targets in light of the strong quarterly performance.

AIA Group & HDFC Bank: Big Hitters Lose Momentum

By Steven Holden

  • Ownership levels in AIA Group Ltd (1299 HK) and HDFC Bank (HDFCB IN) have started to reverse from the highs. 
  • SK Hynix, Meituan and Mediatek Inc all make recent gains in fund ownership, while HDFC Bank and AIA Group see closures.
  • UBS in AIA Group and TT International in HDFC Bank lead the fund-level closures.

Asia Real Estate Tracker (19-Mar-2025): Invesco buys Korea senior homes.

By Asia Real Estate Tracker

  • Invesco makes investment in Korea senior living portfolio by acquiring local operator Caredoc.
  • KKR, Gaw, Alyssa Partners collaborate to host forum discussing Japan multi-family housing on Wednesday.
  • Thailand approves funding of $2.7B for data centers with a total capacity of 347MW.

Dell Technologies: Is There Going To Be A Robust Impact Of AI and Data Center Solutions Growth In The Coming Years?

By Baptista Research

  • Dell Technologies Inc. recently reported its fiscal year 2025 fourth-quarter financial results, demonstrating a mixed performance that offers both opportunities and challenges for investors.
  • The company recorded $95.6 billion in revenue for the fiscal year, reflecting an 8% increase, and achieved an operating income of $8.5 billion.
  • Notably, Dell achieved a record EPS of $8.14, an increase of 10%, attributing this success to efficiency improvements and cost reductions, with operating expenses decreasing by 4% year-over-year.

Ecolab: The Untold Truth Behind Its Razor-and-Blade Model—And Why It’s a Cash Machine!

By Baptista Research

  • Ecolab has reported another record-setting year with impressive growth in sales, earnings, margins, and free cash flow in 2024, amid a steady organic sales growth of 4% in the last quarter.
  • The firm sees consistent success in its largest and most profitable market, the United States, where organic sales increased by mid-single digits.
  • Nonetheless, geographic variations persist, with other global regions experiencing low single-digit growth, affected by mixed macroeconomic trends.

Broadcom’s Future Looks Bright Despite NVIDIA CEO Jensen Huang’s Claims! Here’s What We Think!

By Baptista Research

  • Broadcom’s stock surged following its impressive fiscal first-quarter earnings, signaling resilience in the artificial intelligence trade despite recent market volatility.
  • The company reported revenue of $14.92 billion, surpassing Wall Street’s expectation of $14.62 billion, while adjusted earnings of $1.60 per share exceeded analysts’ estimates of $1.51.
  • Additionally, Broadcom projected $14.9 billion in revenue for the current quarter, above the consensus estimate of $14.71 billion.

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Daily Brief Equity Bottom-Up: Tencent Music (TME and more

By | Daily Briefs, Equity Bottom-Up

In today’s briefing:

  • Tencent Music (TME, 1698 HK): 4Q24, Historical Margins Better than Game Time
  • Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC Spread Rebounds; ChipMOS Local Short Interest Spiking
  • Xiaomi (1810 HK): 4Q24, Much Better than Expected, But Vehicle Still Overvalued
  • Asian Equities: Keep an Eye on These Earnings Inflections
  • Vesync (2148 HK): What Did the FY24 Results Tell?
  • Palantir’s (PLTR US) High-Flying Stock Is So Expensive It Doesn’t Make Any Sense
  • Will Ramelius have competition for Spartan?
  • Taiwan Tech Weekly: Mediatek Wins Google AI Chip from Broadcom; Hon Hai to Expand U.S. Production
  • [Li Auto Inc. (LI US, SELL, TP US$20) Target Price Change]: Still No Convinced on a 2025 Turnaround
  • Memory Monitor: Multiple Reports Indicate Rising NAND & DRAM Prices


Tencent Music (TME, 1698 HK): 4Q24, Historical Margins Better than Game Time

By Ming Lu

  • TME’s revenue continued to grow in 4Q24, as shrinking game business became insignificant.
  • The operating margin reached its historical high, which means music’s margin is high than game’s.
  • We believe the stock price will be double at the end of 2025.

Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC Spread Rebounds; ChipMOS Local Short Interest Spiking

By Vincent Fernando, CFA

  • TSMC: +19.4% Premium; Consider Shorting if Spread Rises Above 20%
  • ASE: +0.5% Premium; Ideally Wait for Lower Level But Near-Zero Still a Long Opportunity
  • ChipMOS: -0.8% Discount; Wait for More Extreme Levels; Short Interest Spiking in Local Shares

Xiaomi (1810 HK): 4Q24, Much Better than Expected, But Vehicle Still Overvalued

By Ming Lu

  • In 4Q24, all business lines grew even faster than we expected in the preview note.
  • We are confident in its revenue growth and operating margin in 2025.
  • We however still believe the market overvalues its electric vehicle business.

Asian Equities: Keep an Eye on These Earnings Inflections

By Manishi Raychaudhuri

  • Change in earnings estimate directions, especially when estimates start increasing after a long period of decline, are what we call “inflections”. These, we believe, are the strongest share price catalysts. 
  • We identify nine market-sectors across Asia ex Japan exhibiting upward earnings inflections. Four are from financials, two from telecoms and one each from utilities, consumer durables and industrials.
  • These market-sectors are from HK/China (3), Korea (1), ASEAN (5). Financials’ domination indicates that a broader Asian macroeconomic recovery could be under way. Eight companies are primarily driving the upgrades.

Vesync (2148 HK): What Did the FY24 Results Tell?

By Osbert Tang, CFA

  • While Vesync (2148 HK)‘s net profit grew 20.1% in FY24, there is a marked slowdown in 2H24 (+7.4%) vs. 1H24 (+37.5%), suggesting increased operating pressure. 
  • North American sales slowed to 10.7% growth in 2H24, from 13% in 1H24. The deteriorating financial and operating performance affirmed that privatisation is an exit opportunity.
  • Its PER discount (on privatiation price) to peers has widened to 35-38%, compared with 25-30% in Dec. Its US exposure makes it unable to reap benefits from China market stimulus.

Palantir’s (PLTR US) High-Flying Stock Is So Expensive It Doesn’t Make Any Sense

By Finimize Research

  • Palantir,  the secretive US tech giant, has dropped 30% in the past month, but with a PER of over 150 times, it could well have much, much further to fall.
  • In the past year, no company executives have bought shares in this firm. Plenty have sold, though. In fact, as a group, they’ve dumped $3 billion worth of the stock.
  • Here’s what Palantir does, what it should earn, its current valuation – and what all of that should tell you as an investor.

Will Ramelius have competition for Spartan?

By Money of Mine

  • Ramelius and Spartan announce a transformational combination deal
  • Deal includes 25 cents cash kicker and 0.6957 Ramelius shares for Spartan shareholders
  • Top three Spartan shareholders, excluding Ramelius, support deal with combined 19% ownership stake

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.


Taiwan Tech Weekly: Mediatek Wins Google AI Chip from Broadcom; Hon Hai to Expand U.S. Production

By Vincent Fernando, CFA

  • Google Diversifying from Broadcom to Mediatek for Next Generation AI Chip
  • Hon Hai CEO: Clients’ U.S.-Based Tech Manufacturing Set To Expand
  • Memory Monitor: Multiple Reports Indicate Rising NAND & DRAM Prices

[Li Auto Inc. (LI US, SELL, TP US$20) Target Price Change]: Still No Convinced on a 2025 Turnaround

By Eric Wen

  • Li Auto (LI) reported C4Q24 revenue 2.1%/in-line vs. estimate/consensus, and non-GAAP net income is 8.4%/10.3% vs. our estimate/consensus, thanks to OPEX savings which we believe may not be sustainable
  • We cut 2025 vehicle delivery estimates by 7% and slashed net income forecasts by 33% due to delayed model launches and intensified competition
  • We cut LI’s TP from US$25 to US$20 and keep at SELL.

Memory Monitor: Multiple Reports Indicate Rising NAND & DRAM Prices

By Vincent Fernando, CFA

  • Key Memory Names Have Rebounded; Micron and SK Hynix Lead
  • NAND Flash Memory Prices to Increase; NAND Flash Pricing to Improve in 2H25E
  • Memory Monitor Universe: NAND Flash Price Improvement Favors Long SK Hynix and Micron vs. Short Nanya Tech

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Daily Brief Equity Bottom-Up: Tokyo Electron (8035 JP): Buy if You’re Not Afraid of Recession and more

By | Daily Briefs, Equity Bottom-Up

In today’s briefing:

  • Tokyo Electron (8035 JP): Buy if You’re Not Afraid of Recession
  • Bangkok Dusit Medical (BDMS TB): Stable 2024 Performance as International Patients Drive Growth
  • Hyundai India’s ₹31,500 Cr Related-Party Deal Sparks Governance Debate
  • WuXi AppTec (2359 HK): In-Line 2024 Performance; Announces Dividend and A Share Buyback Plan
  • Tech Supply Chain Tracker (18-Mar-2025): Tesla strengthens ties with Baidu amid US-China tech tensions.
  • Monster Beverage Corporation: An Insight Into Its Market Share Dynamics
  • Okta Inc.: Monetization of Agentic AI As A Significant Growth Opportunity!
  • UnitedHealth: The Expansion of Optum’s Integrated Healthcare Services Might Just Be The Single Most Important Catalyst For Them Today!
  • LE: Snapping the Catalog: Reaching the Next Level; Reiterate Buy, $20 PT
  • Macbee Planet (7095 JP) – Focus on Volume-First Growth Strategy


Tokyo Electron (8035 JP): Buy if You’re Not Afraid of Recession

By Scott Foster

  • After dropping by half, Tokyo Electron’s share price has bounced. But it is still vulnerable to cutbacks in AI-related investments and tariff-induced recession.
  • A positive scenario has net profit rising by 8% in FY Mar-26. In a negative scenario, it drops by 25%. We take the positive view.
  • Innovations in manufacturing point toward a big step up in profit margins by the end of the decade. But watch out for a cyclical downturn between now and then.

Bangkok Dusit Medical (BDMS TB): Stable 2024 Performance as International Patients Drive Growth

By Tina Banerjee

  • Bangkok Dusit Medical Services (BDMS TB) posted 7% rise in revenue from hospital operations in 2024 as both International and Thai patients revenue reported growth of 11% and 5%, respectively.
  • EBITDA grew 7% YoY to THB26.6B on higher revenues and better cost management while net profit also rose to THB16B on lower interest cost.
  • COEs, focusing trauma, heart, orthopedics, cancer, and neuro contributed 57% of hospital revenue, while their contribution to EBITDA was at 60% in 2024.

Hyundai India’s ₹31,500 Cr Related-Party Deal Sparks Governance Debate

By Nimish Maheshwari

  • Hyundai Motor India (HYUNDAI IN) has proposed seven related-party transactions worth over INR 31,500 crore, just months after its record-breaking IPO.
  • Proxy advisors are sharply divided, with concerns around valuation, transparency, and fairness, raising governance red flags for a newly listed company.
  • Despite likely approval due to promoter holding, investor trust hinges on how Hyundai communicates and ensures accountability post-IPO.

WuXi AppTec (2359 HK): In-Line 2024 Performance; Announces Dividend and A Share Buyback Plan

By Tina Banerjee

  • WuXi AppTec (2359 HK) has reported 2024 result, with revenue reaching RMB39.2M, in-line with guidance of RMB38.3–40.5B. Excluding Covid-19 commercial project, 2024 revenue represents 5% YoY growth.
  • The company has announced a cash dividend of RMB9.8 and a special dividend of RMB3.5 for every 10 shares. Wuxi AppTech has also proposed RMB 1B buyback plan (for A-shares).
  • Based on the current backlog, Wuxi AppTech expects continuing operations revenue to resume double-digit growth of 10–15% YoY in 2025, targeting to deliver a total revenue of RMB41.5–43.0B.

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (18-Mar-2025): Tesla strengthens ties with Baidu amid US-China tech tensions.

By Tech Supply Chain Tracker

  • Tesla has strengthened ties with Baidu amid the US-Sino tech crossfire, showcasing the complex dynamics between the two countries.
  • China achieves a breakthrough in semiconductor technology with EUV, while lawmakers propose anonymous semiconductor purchases to secure the industry.
  • VCI Global’s plan to establish India’s first semiconductor wire plant in Chennai marks a significant milestone for the tech industry in the country, with Alibaba’s Tongyi Qianwen aiming to revolutionize China’s AI.

Monster Beverage Corporation: An Insight Into Its Market Share Dynamics

By Baptista Research

  • Monster Beverage Company’s recent quarterly and full-year earnings provide insight into both the strengths and challenges faced by the company in a dynamic and competitive market.
  • The company reported record quarterly net sales of $1.81 billion, reflecting a 4.7% increase over the prior year, or 7.8% on a foreign currency-adjusted basis.
  • This growth was fueled by a strong performance in the global energy drink market, with particular strength in regions like EMEA and Asia-Pacific, where growth rates reached double digits.

Okta Inc.: Monetization of Agentic AI As A Significant Growth Opportunity!

By Baptista Research

  • Okta reported a strong fourth quarter, highlighting accelerating remaining performance obligations (RPO) and current RPO (cRPO), record profitability, and robust free cash flow.
  • Demand for both workforce and customer identity products was strong, with notable contributions from new offerings such as Okta Identity Governance, Privileged Access, and Identity Security Posture Management.
  • The company emphasized product innovation, partner ecosystem expansion, and go-to-market specialization as key drivers of its momentum heading into the next fiscal year.

UnitedHealth: The Expansion of Optum’s Integrated Healthcare Services Might Just Be The Single Most Important Catalyst For Them Today!

By Baptista Research

  • UnitedHealth Group’s fourth quarter and full year 2024 results were characterized by resilience and strong operational execution despite significant challenges.
  • Revenues exceeded $400 billion, with an adjusted earnings per share of $27.66, aligning with the company’s projections.
  • Notably, the medical care ratio was 150 basis points above the initial outlook, mainly due to a mix change of the people served, a more rapid acceleration in certain high-cost medication prescriptions, and coding intensity shifts in hospitals.

LE: Snapping the Catalog: Reaching the Next Level; Reiterate Buy, $20 PT

By Small Cap Consumer Research

  • We are reiterating our Buy rating, projections and $20 price target for Lands’ End after reviewing the March catalog.
  • With the March “The Power of Pretty” theme, Lands’ End has taken the next major step in creating a lifestyle driven catalog which can serve as a guide for multiple categories, offerings and looks for the Lands’ End shopper.
  • Focusing on both “The Power” and “The Pretty” of many categories, the March catalog offers multiple complete looks.

Macbee Planet (7095 JP) – Focus on Volume-First Growth Strategy

By Astris Advisory Japan

  • Emphasizing sales volume expansion – Q1-3 FY4/25 results indicated strong sales volume growth at 32.2% YoY, as the company continued diversifying into market sectors such as medical, recruitment and finance.
  • Although prioritizing growth has meant a shift in the customer mix away from traditionally high margin brick-and-mortar in-store experiences, we believe this strategic shift is positive given their larger addressable markets.
  • The company revised its FY4/25 guidance, providing greater clarity over the short term, and highlighted its medium-term expectations for sustained double-digit growth.

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