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Daily Briefs

Daily Brief Quantitative Analysis: Hong Kong Buybacks Weekly (Dec 20th): Tencent and more

By | Daily Briefs, Quantitative Analysis

In today’s briefing:

  • Hong Kong Buybacks Weekly (Dec 20th): Tencent, AIA, Anta Sports Products


Hong Kong Buybacks Weekly (Dec 20th): Tencent, AIA, Anta Sports Products

By Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

  • We analyze statistics on top repurchases over one week, one month, one quarter and one year periods ended on Dec 20th based on HKEx daily reports.
  • In the past 7 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Tencent (700 HK), AIA (1299 HK), Anta Sports Products (2020 HK).
  • In the past 30 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Tencent (700 HK), AIA (1299 HK), Kuaishou Technology (1024 HK).

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Daily Brief Thematic (Sector/Industry): Impact of Bringing Natural Gas Under GST and more

By | Daily Briefs, Thematic (Sector/Industry)

In today’s briefing:

  • Impact of Bringing Natural Gas Under GST
  • Biggest Mining stories of 2024 – AFR’s Peter Ker
  • Japan Weekly | Nikkei Slides Amid Cautious Sentiment; Nissan, Park24, Kadokawa
  • Scaling Laws Meet Economics, but Adoption is still Accelerating
  • Singapore Market Roundup (20-Dec-2024): Key Updates on CapitaLand, DBS, Sembcorp, Hong Leong
  • AUCTUS ON FRIDAY – 20/12/2024


Impact of Bringing Natural Gas Under GST

By Nimish Maheshwari

  • Natural gas may be brought under GST at 18%, replacing fragmented state taxes and excise duties.
  • Uniform GST boosts cost efficiency, increases gas competitiveness, and benefits companies’ margins.
  • A simpler, uniform tax regime accelerates natural gas adoption, driving long-term industry growth and profitability.

Biggest Mining stories of 2024 – AFR’s Peter Ker

By Money of Mine

  • Mr. Kerr’s focus on resources in Australia and surprises in the industry, including BHP Anglo’s moves and Liontown’s share value drop
  • Corporate governance issues with Andrew Forrest and Fortescue, including concessions on hydrogen targets
  • Challenges in the hydrogen and lithium sectors, such as BP’s Australian renewable energy hub proposal and Rio Tinto’s large investment

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.


Japan Weekly | Nikkei Slides Amid Cautious Sentiment; Nissan, Park24, Kadokawa

By Mark Chadwick

  • The Nikkei 225 ended the week down 1.9% at 38,701, with investors cautious ahead of key central bank decisions
  • The Bank of Japan kept interest rates steady at 0.25% on Thursday, deferring potential rate hikes amidst global economic uncertainty
  • Nissan’s stock surged +24% this week following reports of potential merger talks with Honda and Mitsubishi Motors.

Scaling Laws Meet Economics, but Adoption is still Accelerating

By Douglas O’Laughlin

  • Technological model scaling is not dead, but we are clearly at a critical moment when the definitions will shift.
  • Pre-training, the original scaling law, might hit its first diminishing return. The piece SemiAnalysis used the analogy that pre-training was like the end of Dennard’s law.
  • However, multi-core scaling led to another decade of scaling transistors. Technology progresses, just not in the same way.

Singapore Market Roundup (20-Dec-2024): Key Updates on CapitaLand, DBS, Sembcorp, Hong Leong

By Singapore Market Roundup

  • OCBC’s research head may increase banks’ 2025 profit forecasts due to fewer expected Fed cuts, indicating positive outcomes for investors.
  • Brokers’ Digest highlights updates on CapitaLand Investment, DBS, Sembcorp, Hong Leong Asia, and First Resources, offering valuable insights for investors.
  • DBS recommends investing in Keppel Infrastructure Trust for stable dividends and growth, presenting a lucrative opportunity for investors seeking long-term returns.

AUCTUS ON FRIDAY – 20/12/2024

By Auctus Advisors

  • Arrow Exploration (AXL LN/CN)C; Target price of £0.80 per share: Material discovery at Alberta Llanos – The AB-1 (Alberta Llanos) exploration well has encountered four main hydrocarbon bearing reservoirs with a total true vertical depth of 121 feet, including the C7, Gacheta, Guadalupe, and Ubaque formations.
  • The main pre-drill targets were the C7 and the Ubaque formations.
  • The Gacheta and Guadalupe formations carried a higher risk, and encountering these two formations is a positive.

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Daily Brief Credit: Lucror Analytics – Morning Views Asia and more

By | Credit, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • Lucror Analytics – Morning Views Asia


Lucror Analytics – Morning Views Asia

By Tanvi Arora

  • In today’s Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: Continuum Green
  • In the US, the third estimate for Q3/24 annualised GDP was revised upwards to 3.1% q-o-q (from 2.8% in the first and second estimates). Q3 personal consumption was raised to 3.7% (3.6% e / 3.5% p), and the core PCE price index to 2.2% (2.1% e / 2.1% p). Separately, November existing home sales grew at a quicker pace than expected at 4.8% m-o-m (3.2% e / 3.4% p) to 4.15 mn units, the most since March.
  • Meanwhile, the Conference Board Leading Economic Index rose 0.3% to 99.7 in November, nearly reversing its 0.4% decline in October.

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Daily Brief ECM: Bloks Group IPO Valuation Analysis: Is The Offering Worth Buying? and more

By | Daily Briefs, ECM

In today’s briefing:

  • Bloks Group IPO Valuation Analysis: Is The Offering Worth Buying?
  • Ventive Hospitality IPO – Quick Thoughts on Peer Comp and Valuation
  • Continuum Green Energy Pre-IPO Tearsheet


Bloks Group IPO Valuation Analysis: Is The Offering Worth Buying?

By Andrei Zakharov

  • Bloks Group, a fast-growing toy company in China, will disclose the proposed size and the initial price range for the share sale soon.
  • In my insight, I discuss IPO valuation, update relative valuation table and set a target valuation for Bloks Group ahead of an IPO.
  • Bloks Group enjoys higher relative growth profile and superior gross profit margins. The company has over RMB600M in cash and equivalents and no debt.  

Ventive Hospitality IPO – Quick Thoughts on Peer Comp and Valuation

By Akshat Shah

  • Ventive Hospitality Ltd (0807075D IN) is looking to raise about US$188m in its India IPO. The deal, a fresh issue of shares, is downsized from an earlier size of ~US$240m.
  • Ventive Hospitality Limited (VHL) is the largest hospitality asset owner amongst public listed market peers, focused primarily on luxury offerings across business and leisure in India and Maldives.
  • We have looked at the company’s past performance in our previous notes. In this note, we will talk about the IPO valuations.

Continuum Green Energy Pre-IPO Tearsheet

By Akshat Shah

  • Continuum Green Energy Ltd (1580973D IN) is looking to raise about US$430m in its upcoming India IPO. The deal will be run by Kotak, Ambit, Citi and JM Fin.
  • Continuum Green Energy Limited is an independent power producer with over 14 years of experience in identifying, developing, constructing and operating renewable energy projects in India.
  • It acquired its first 16.50 MW wind project in 2010 and has grown its portfolio to a total operational and under-construction capacity of 3.52 GWp, as of Dec 9, 2024.

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Daily Brief Event-Driven: 7&I (3382 JP) – Share Price Dipping Deeper Means Dipping Toes Deeper and more

By | Daily Briefs, Event-Driven

In today’s briefing:

  • 7&I (3382 JP) – Share Price Dipping Deeper Means Dipping Toes Deeper
  • GAPack (468 HK): XJF Satisfies Pre-Cons. Management Should Back Terms
  • CPMC Holdings (906.HK) Update – The Critical Moment Has Arrived
  • High Conviction 2025: Porsche’s SE Discount to NAV Reduction
  • CHA Biotech Announces A Capital Raise of 41% of Outstanding Shares


7&I (3382 JP) – Share Price Dipping Deeper Means Dipping Toes Deeper

By Travis Lundy

  • Seven & I Holdings (3382 JP) shares are in a lull here. Winter doldrums without news as the Ito consortium gets its ducks in a row and 7&i sells York.
  • Alimentation Couche-Tard (ATD CN) is waiting patiently. They have the ability to wait, and to fund, and pay up. 
  • An article/show is causing a dip today on top of last week’s weakness. This is a dip to buy.

GAPack (468 HK): XJF Satisfies Pre-Cons. Management Should Back Terms

By David Blennerhassett

  • During the lunch break, Greatview Aseptic Packaging (468 HK)  announced that Shandong Xinjufeng Technology Packaging (301296 CH) (XJF) had satisfied all pre-conditions – the final approvals concerned outbound direct investments.
  • The Offer Document, including the IFA opinion, is expected to be dispatched  in seven days – or 27th December, at which time, the Offer will be open to acceptances.
  • Evidently the Jeff Bi/Gong Hong MGO isn’t materialising any time soon. Provided the IFA is supportive – and that should now be known – management should unanimously back XJF’s Offer.

CPMC Holdings (906.HK) Update – The Critical Moment Has Arrived

By Xinyao (Criss) Wang

  • The First Huarui Offer Closing Date is Jan.10 2025. The latest time/date by which the Huarui Offer can become or be declared unconditional as to acceptances is 18 February 2025.
  • China Foods once chose to side with Baosteel – They are both SOEs.Although regulatory agencies have given the green light, it’s still unclear if China Foods will accept Huarui Offer.
  • The “key variable” is Zhang Wei’s attitude. Investors can choose bet on it.It would be wise for arbitrageurs to wait until Zhang Wei makes his move before making a decision.

High Conviction 2025: Porsche’s SE Discount to NAV Reduction

By Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

  • Porsche SE, a holding company, controls 53.3% of Volkswagen (VW) and 25% (+1 share) of Porsche AG, leveraging a dual-class share structure to consolidate control with minimal economic stakes.
  • Net debt of €5.16 billion, accrued from the Porsche AG stake acquisition, relies heavily on VW and Porsche AG dividends for debt servicing, with CF uncertainties tied to VW’s restructuring.
  • Porsche SE trades at a 31.8% discount to NAV, reflecting legal liabilities, debt reduction priorities, and holding structure complexities, but this discount could tighten to 20% as risks subside.

CHA Biotech Announces A Capital Raise of 41% of Outstanding Shares

By Douglas Kim

  • On 20 December, Chabiotech (085660 KS) announced that it plans to conduct a rights offering capital raise of 250 billion won. 
  • The expected rights offering price is 10,800 won (27.3% lower than current price of 14,860 won). A total of 23.148 million new shares (41% of outstanding shares) will be issued.
  • This capital raise by CHA Biotech is likely to further negatively impact the company’s share price in the next several weeks as many investors are concerned about excessive shares dilution. 

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Daily Brief Equity Bottom-Up: Asian Equities: 2025 High Conviction – Five Themes and more

By | Daily Briefs, Equity Bottom-Up

In today’s briefing:

  • Asian Equities: 2025 High Conviction – Five Themes, Five Top Picks
  • IBIT…the Hottest Option on the Planet
  • DAM Capital IPO Review: India’s Fastest-Growing Merchant Bank
  • Honda and Nissan’s Bold Merger Plan: Is Foxconn the Wild Card?
  • MoneyHero – Emphasis on driving margin
  • Honeywell’s Aerospace Split: Why Elliott’s Activist Call Could Unlock Billions in Value
  • Microsoft Is Betting Big on NVIDIA GPUs — But Will Custom Chips Save Its AI Ambitions?
  • MIRA: IND Application Submitted to FDA
  • Unum Group: Tackling Capital Allocation
  • OPAP – Winning strategy


Asian Equities: 2025 High Conviction – Five Themes, Five Top Picks

By Manishi Raychaudhuri

  • 2025 could be thorny for Asian equities. The main themes – “Trump turmoil”, a slower Fed and a “stronger for longer” Dollar and continued AI boom – have mixed implications.
  • China’s policy articulation to support consumption departing from earlier supply-side measures, would be an important investment driver. India, though expensive, has a few “unloved” sectors that investors should focus on.
  • Based on our five investment themes, we identify five high quality liquid top picks in Asia – two listed in Hong Kong and one each in Taiwan, India and Korea. 

IBIT…the Hottest Option on the Planet

By Alpha Exchange

  • Realize Volatility is a cause, not an effect, and can lead to inaction
  • Options on iBit, the Bitcoin ETF, are becoming a critical industry risk management tool
  • IBIT options have seen stunning volumes and substantial open interest, leading to price discovery and a growing liquidity ecosystem

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.


DAM Capital IPO Review: India’s Fastest-Growing Merchant Bank

By Sudarshan Bhandari

  • DAM Capital (930970Z IN) is the fastest growing merchant banker in last 3 years between 2022-24. 
  • DAM Capital is pure-play merchant banker and institutional equity business, delivering high growth and margins compared to its peers. 
  • Since 2019, DAM completed  27 IPOs, 16 QIPs, 6 OFS, 6 Preferential issues, 4 rights issues, 8 buybacks, 4 open offers, and 1 REIT IPO.

Honda and Nissan’s Bold Merger Plan: Is Foxconn the Wild Card?

By Baptista Research

  • The automotive world is abuzz with speculation following reports that Honda Motor Co. and Nissan Motor Co. are exploring a potential merger.
  • This development comes amid mounting industry pressures, including surging competition from Chinese electric vehicle (EV) makers and the relentless expansion of Tesla.
  • The possibility of a Honda-Nissan tie-up has sparked market reactions, with Nissan’s shares skyrocketing while Honda’s stock faced a decline.

MoneyHero – Emphasis on driving margin

By Edison Investment Research

MoneyHero’s Q324 results show revenues up 6% y-o-y (9M24 +18%) and a smaller adjusted EBITDA loss, as expected. The important element of the narrative, though, is the emphasis on driving revenues in higher-margin product areas and increasing operating efficiency within the business. Group CFO Hao Qian has resigned to return to China, with the group FD, Danny Leung, stepping up on an interim basis. The market opportunity remains substantial, and with customer data now on a unified platform, MoneyHero is well placed to deliver improved outcomes for both providers and end consumers. Our forecasts are updated to show more moderate top-line growth through FY26e, generating stronger margins.


Honeywell’s Aerospace Split: Why Elliott’s Activist Call Could Unlock Billions in Value

By Baptista Research

  • Honeywell International has recently become the center of investor attention following mounting pressure from activist investor Elliott Investment Management.
  • With a massive $5 billion stake, Elliott has called for the separation of Honeywell’s aerospace business, pushing the industrial giant toward a portfolio realignment.
  • Honeywell’s board announced that it is actively considering a potential aerospace spin-off, signaling a possible strategic transformation.

Microsoft Is Betting Big on NVIDIA GPUs — But Will Custom Chips Save Its AI Ambitions?

By Baptista Research

  • Microsoft’s aggressive acquisition of nearly half a million Nvidia AI chips underscore the tech giant’s all-in commitment to artificial intelligence (AI).
  • As AI reshapes industries, Microsoft has found itself playing catch-up against Google, Amazon, and Meta, all of whom have already developed custom AI chips.
  • By investing heavily in Nvidia’s cutting-edge Hopper GPUs, Microsoft has managed to build out a formidable AI infrastructure but at a significant cost.

MIRA: IND Application Submitted to FDA

By Zacks Small Cap Research

  • MIRA Pharmaceuticals(MIRA) Company Sponsored Research Report

Unum Group: Tackling Capital Allocation

By Baptista Research

  • Unum Group has reported its third-quarter 2024 financial performance, accentuating a strong overall operational landscape with both prospects and challenges.
  • On the positive side, adjusted earnings per share (EPS) were reported at $2.13, contributing to over $1 billion in statutory earnings year-to-date.
  • This performance aligns with Unum Group’s objective of achieving EPS growth of 10% to 15% for the full year, surpassing initial estimates.

OPAP – Winning strategy

By Edison Investment Research

OPAP enjoys a leading and growing position in the Greek and Cypriot gaming markets. The majority of its revenue, from land-based activities, is supported by exclusive prepaid licences. To complement these activities, OPAP has developed a strong presence in the regulated online markets, where, by definition, there is greater competition. Management’s strategy is to grow its customer interactions in both the online and offline worlds, through a combination of rejuvenating its older games and developing new games that appeal to broader demographics, while maintaining its leading corporate and social responsibility credentials.


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Daily Brief Crypto: Crypto Moves #57 – The Most Vital Onchain Metrics for Adoption and more

By | Crypto, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • Crypto Moves #57 – The Most Vital Onchain Metrics for Adoption
  • Delphi’s Infrastructure Year Ahead 2025


Crypto Moves #57 – The Most Vital Onchain Metrics for Adoption

By Mads Eberhardt

  • I have mentioned this before, and I am happy to emphasize it once again: the supply of block space far exceeds demand.
  • There is simply not enough activity, use cases, or applications to fill the available block space across all smart contract-capable blockchains.
  • This imbalance is why I firmly believe that adoption and network activity are the most critical factors for any blockchain seeking to compete with Ethereum, Solana, or the few other networks that have gained significant traction.

Delphi’s Infrastructure Year Ahead 2025

By The Delphi Podcast

  • Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Solana are all incorporating ZK technology in different ways for various purposes.
  • Muhammad discusses the development of FHE and its application in creating private ERC20 tokens for enhanced privacy and security.
  • Each ecosystem (Bitcoin, Ethereum, Solana) is using ZK technology differently to address specific challenges and enhance functionality for users.

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.


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Daily Brief Macro: Helixtap China Report: 2025 A Challenging Year For China and more

By | Daily Briefs, Macro

In today’s briefing:

  • Helixtap China Report: 2025 A Challenging Year For China
  • CX Daily: Why Depression Goes Undertreated Among China’s Seniors


Helixtap China Report: 2025 A Challenging Year For China

By Arusha Das

  • Widespread caution around Chinese buying sentiment 
  • Weakness in Yuan can pose significant challenge
  • Trade data not very optimistic

CX Daily: Why Depression Goes Undertreated Among China’s Seniors

By Caixin Global

  • Depression / In Depth: Why depression goes undertreated among China’s seniors
  • China-Malaysia /: Strengthening China ties would bolster Malaysia’s chip, renewables supply chains, minister says
  • Funds /: China expands cross-border funding pilot program for multinationals

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Daily Brief South Korea: Chabiotech and more

By | Daily Briefs, South Korea

In today’s briefing:

  • CHA Biotech Announces A Capital Raise of 41% of Outstanding Shares


CHA Biotech Announces A Capital Raise of 41% of Outstanding Shares

By Douglas Kim

  • On 20 December, Chabiotech (085660 KS) announced that it plans to conduct a rights offering capital raise of 250 billion won. 
  • The expected rights offering price is 10,800 won (27.3% lower than current price of 14,860 won). A total of 23.148 million new shares (41% of outstanding shares) will be issued.
  • This capital raise by CHA Biotech is likely to further negatively impact the company’s share price in the next several weeks as many investors are concerned about excessive shares dilution. 

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Daily Brief Singapore: MoneyHero , Continuum Green Energy, SGX Rubber Future TSR20 and more

By | Daily Briefs, Singapore

In today’s briefing:

  • MoneyHero – Emphasis on driving margin
  • Lucror Analytics – Morning Views Asia
  • Helixtap China Report: 2025 A Challenging Year For China


MoneyHero – Emphasis on driving margin

By Edison Investment Research

MoneyHero’s Q324 results show revenues up 6% y-o-y (9M24 +18%) and a smaller adjusted EBITDA loss, as expected. The important element of the narrative, though, is the emphasis on driving revenues in higher-margin product areas and increasing operating efficiency within the business. Group CFO Hao Qian has resigned to return to China, with the group FD, Danny Leung, stepping up on an interim basis. The market opportunity remains substantial, and with customer data now on a unified platform, MoneyHero is well placed to deliver improved outcomes for both providers and end consumers. Our forecasts are updated to show more moderate top-line growth through FY26e, generating stronger margins.


Lucror Analytics – Morning Views Asia

By Tanvi Arora

  • In today’s Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: Continuum Green
  • In the US, the third estimate for Q3/24 annualised GDP was revised upwards to 3.1% q-o-q (from 2.8% in the first and second estimates). Q3 personal consumption was raised to 3.7% (3.6% e / 3.5% p), and the core PCE price index to 2.2% (2.1% e / 2.1% p). Separately, November existing home sales grew at a quicker pace than expected at 4.8% m-o-m (3.2% e / 3.4% p) to 4.15 mn units, the most since March.
  • Meanwhile, the Conference Board Leading Economic Index rose 0.3% to 99.7 in November, nearly reversing its 0.4% decline in October.

Helixtap China Report: 2025 A Challenging Year For China

By Arusha Das

  • Widespread caution around Chinese buying sentiment 
  • Weakness in Yuan can pose significant challenge
  • Trade data not very optimistic

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