All Posts By

Smartkarma Daily Briefs

Daily Brief TMT/Internet: Zhihu, Tencent, Xiaomi Corp, Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC), Kanzhun , LG Display, ASML Holding NV, Snap , Sap Se Sponsored Adr, Nokia Oyj and more

By | Daily Briefs, TMT/Internet

In today’s briefing:

  • Zhihu (2390 HK/ZH US)’s Cheeky Buyback
  • Tencent/Netease: Zero for Major Names; Industry Revenue Growth Flattish in First Half
  • Consumer Tales #July21-26:Apple Falls from Top 5 in China, Xiaomi Tops India Smartphones
  • Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC): How Will They Deal With The Strained Production Capacity & Geopolitical Risks & Regulatory Pressures? – Major Drivers
  • [Kanzhun (BZ US, BUY, TP US$19) TP Change]: Impacted by Poor Macro but Still on Top of Competition
  • Tech Supply Chain Tracker (27-Jul-2024): ST cuts 2024 outlook as demand slows.
  • ASML Holding N.V.: What Is The Impact Of Impact of the Chips Act and Global Expansion? – Major Drivers
  • Snap-on Incorporated: How They Are Grappling With Production Capacity and Product Availability! – Major Drivers
  • SAP SE: Strengthening Partnership with IBM for Generative AI and Cloud Solutions & Other Major Drivers
  • Nokia Corporation (NOK): The Story Of The Expansion Into The 5G Core Network Market! – Major Drivers


Zhihu (2390 HK/ZH US)’s Cheeky Buyback

By David Blennerhassett

  • Back on the 19th July, online Q&A play Zhihu (2390 HK/ZH US) announced the buyback of 46.92mn ordinary A shares (15.9% of shares out) at HK$9.11/share (US$3.50/ADS). 
  • Assuming the buyback is fully taken up, chairman Yuan Zhou’s stake will increase to 44.4% from 42.9% currently (held via A shares and the weighted-voting B shares). 
  • The key condition is a simple majority vote from independent shareholders. Zhihu is sitting on  net cash of US$764mn. A significantly larger buyback, or higher price, could have been initiated. 

Tencent/Netease: Zero for Major Names; Industry Revenue Growth Flattish in First Half

By Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

  • China announced game approval for the June batch. The number of games approved remained at a higher level than 2023.
  • The pace of China game approval appears to have accelerated to the same level as pre-tightening. Of companies that we are monitoring, none got any approval.
  • China’s CADPA published a semi-annual report pointing to flattish growth of gaming revenue in the first half. 

Consumer Tales #July21-26:Apple Falls from Top 5 in China, Xiaomi Tops India Smartphones

By Devi Subhakesan

  • Welcome to Consumer Tales & Trends, your weekly roundup of the latest corporate developments, investment reports and sector events in the consumer industry.
  • An interesting comparison between China and India smart phone markets in 2Q 2024 – highlighting differences in market size and the dominance of leading players.
  • Xiaomi Corp(1810 HK)  made a strong come back in 2Q24 in terms of sales in both the markets. In China, it saw a 17% year-on-year increase, shipping 10 million units.

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC): How Will They Deal With The Strained Production Capacity & Geopolitical Risks & Regulatory Pressures? – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company’s (TSMC) second quarter 2024 results reveal a mixed picture of advances and challenges.
  • The revenue for the quarter was notably strong, increasing by 13.6% sequentially in NT or 10.3% in U.S. dollars.
  • This substantial growth was fueled by robust demand for the cutting-edge 3- and 5- nanometer technologies, although somewhat offset by smartphone seasonality.

[Kanzhun (BZ US, BUY, TP US$19) TP Change]: Impacted by Poor Macro but Still on Top of Competition

By Eric Wen

  • Due to weakening hiring demand from both manufacturing and service, we expect BZ’s cash billing to decline 5% QoQ in 2Q24, 9% below consensus. 
  • We believe BZ’s user matrices still growing and leading. The weakness is mainly attributable to the employer/hiring side;
  • We cut TP by US$3 to US$19/ADS while keep the BUY rating.

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (27-Jul-2024): ST cuts 2024 outlook as demand slows.

By Tech Supply Chain Tracker

  • ST reduces 2024 outlook amid industrial and automotive slowdown, impacting company’s future projections.
  • VCs discuss Taiwan startups in AI industry, highlighting challenge of staying competitive in fast-evolving sector.
  • Global regulators collaborate to address market dominance of AI giants, emphasizing need for fair competition and consumer protection.

ASML Holding N.V.: What Is The Impact Of Impact of the Chips Act and Global Expansion? – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • ASML announced its second quarter 2024 financial results, revealing data that both supports and raises concerns about its short-term performance and long-term strategy.
  • The company posted total net sales of EUR 6.2 billion, slightly ahead of its guided figures, with net system sales contributing EUR 4.8 billion.
  • The net system sales were driven by 54% Logic and 46% Memory, with Installed Base Management sales slightly higher than expected at EUR 1.48 billion.

Snap-on Incorporated: How They Are Grappling With Production Capacity and Product Availability! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Snap-on Inc., known for manufacturing tools and equipment for professional use, delivered mixed results for its second quarter of 2024.
  • The Company experienced a slight decline in gross sales of 1.1% organically, going from $1,191.3 million the previous year to $1,179.4 million.
  • The operating income (OI) margin, though, rose to 23.8% from last year’s figures.

SAP SE: Strengthening Partnership with IBM for Generative AI and Cloud Solutions & Other Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • SAP SE’s Q2 2024 results show continued growth momentum despite the volatility in the software industry.
  • More customers are moving to the cloud, and the company’s portfolio is becoming increasingly attractive, owing to its Business AI capabilities.
  • Their Q2 performance was marked by substantial increases in profitability and the diligent execution of their transformation program.

Nokia Corporation (NOK): The Story Of The Expansion Into The 5G Core Network Market! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Nokia Corporation’s engagement in the second quarter of 2024 revolved around significant developments amid a transitory, challenging market environment.
  • The company announced two crucial transactions: the proposed acquisition of Infinera, a North American optical networking entity, and Nokia’s plan to divest its submarine networks business to the French State.
  • The acquisition of Infinera is expected to boost Nokia’s Optical Networks business by quickening innovation for customers and strengthening Nokia’s position in North America.

💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars



Daily Brief Industrials: Doosan Bobcat Inc, Tatsuta Electric Wire & Cable, AST SpaceMobile Inc, United Airlines Holdings, Rexel SA, Textron Inc and more

By | Daily Briefs, Industrials

In today’s briefing:

  • Doosan Bobcat Employees Involved In Major Breach of Duty + Doosan Group Pushes Ahead With Merger
  • Tatsuta Electric (5809 JP): Eneos Returns with a Token Bump to JPY780
  • AST SpaceMobile’s 25% Jump: A Satellite Breakthrough Investors Can’t Ignore!
  • United Airlines Holdings: What Is Their Strategic Response To Market Competitiveness? – Major Drivers
  • Rexel – ESG Report – Lucror Analytics
  • Textron Inc.: Are The Strong Aviation Margins Here To Stay? – Major Drivers


Doosan Bobcat Employees Involved In Major Breach of Duty + Doosan Group Pushes Ahead With Merger

By Douglas Kim

  • On 26 July, it was reported in the local media that there has been a major breach of duty by nearly 40 current/former employees at Doosan Bobcat.
  • The fact that this material breach of duty was not revealed prior to the merger announcement adds to the argument that this merger/split/delisting should be either cancelled or redone. 
  • We remain negative on all major companies involved in this deal including Doosan Bobcat and Doosan Robotics. The breach of duty at Doosan Bobcat adds to the fire. 

Tatsuta Electric (5809 JP): Eneos Returns with a Token Bump to JPY780

By Arun George

  • ENEOS Holdings (5020 JP) has increased the Tatsuta Electric Wire & Cable (5809 JP) tender offer price by 8.3% to JPY780 and extended the offer period to 19 August.
  • Eneos tried to get the required acceptances by refusing to bump and subsequently extending the offer period. The tactics failed as minorities required a bump due to the market re-rating. 
  • While the revised offer remains light, the token bump and deal fatigue should suffice to nudge the marginal vote to accept. At the last close, the gross/annualised spread was 5.0%/85.8%.

AST SpaceMobile’s 25% Jump: A Satellite Breakthrough Investors Can’t Ignore!

By Baptista Research

  • AST SpaceMobile has recently made headlines with a significant leap in its ambitious mission to build the world’s first space-based cellular broadband network.
  • The company has announced the successful completion and upcoming shipment of its first five commercial satellites, marking a pivotal milestone that has already caused its stock to surge by nearly 25%.
  • These satellites, known as Bluebirds, are set to provide unprecedented global connectivity directly to standard mobile devices, bridging the digital divide and offering broadband services in previously unreachable areas.

United Airlines Holdings: What Is Their Strategic Response To Market Competitiveness? – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • The United Airlines Holdings second quarter 2024 earnings emphasized its strategic navigation through the industry’s capacity and demand fluctuations, where it maintained a leading position thanks to optimized operational tactics and strategic foresight.
  • Revenues increased by 5.7% year-over-year, totaling $15 billion, albeit with Total Revenue per Available Seat Mile (TRASM) decreasing by 2.4% due to a significant 8.3% increase in capacity.
  • This disparity between revenue growth and capacity magnification underscores the industry challenge of matching supply with demand efficiently.

Rexel – ESG Report – Lucror Analytics

By Leonard Law, CFA

Lucror Analytics’ ESG Scores are based on a 3-tiered scale and are adjusted for Controversies (if applicable).
We assess Rexel’s ESG as “Strong”, in line with its Social and Governance scores, while the Environmental score is “Adequate”. Controversies are “Immaterial” and Disclosure is “Strong”. 


Textron Inc.: Are The Strong Aviation Margins Here To Stay? – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Textron Inc., a global aerospace and defense company, reported revenues of $3.5 billion in Q2 2024, an increase from $3.4 billion in the second quarter of last year.
  • The company also completed the acquisition of Amazilia Aerospace, a digital flight controls and flight guidance systems firm for manned and unmanned aircraft, which aligns with Textron’s strategic goals and likely to bolster its capabilities.
  • The positive performance was driven by the Aviation segment which realized higher revenues of $1.5 billion with a profit of $195 million, up $24 million from the same quarter in the previous year.

💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars



Daily Brief Consumer: Amorepacific Corp, Smoore International Holdings, Meituan, Netflix Inc, NIFTY Index, Omnicom Group, Mattel Inc, Betterware de Mexico Sab de CV, Dr Horton Inc, Domino’s Pizza and more

By | Consumer, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • StubWorld’s: Amorepacific’s NAV Discount Plumbs New Multi-Year Low
  • The Heat Is On: News Flow and Sentiment in CHINA / HONG KONG (July 26)
  • [Meituan (3690 HK, BUY, TP HK$160) TP Change]: Resilient Catering & Eased Competition Support Growth
  • Netflix Inc.: Expanding Content Library & Global Reach For Continued Global Dominance! – Major Drivers
  • EQD | WHAT IF The NIFTY Starts to Pullback This Week?
  • Omnicom Group: A Tale Of Digital Transformation and Technology Integration! – Major Drivers
  • Mattel Inc’s Possible Acquisition By LVMH Backed L Catterton – What Is The Expected Valuation & The Deal Rationale?
  • BWMX: 2Q Review: Managing Into the Positives; Reiterate Buy, $22.50 PT
  • D.R. Horton Inc.: Efficient Land Development Strategy & Other Major Drivers
  • Domino’s Pizza Inc.: Is The Efficient Store Splitting Strategy Paying Off? – Major Drivers


StubWorld’s: Amorepacific’s NAV Discount Plumbs New Multi-Year Low

By David Blennerhassett

  • A double dose of StubWorld this week: both the implied stub for Amorepacific Group (002790 KS) and the simple ratio (Group/Amorepacific Corp (090430 KS)) are around lifetime low levels.
  • Preceding my comments on Amorepacific are the current setup/unwind tables for Asia-Pacific Holdcos.
  • These relationships trade with a minimum liquidity of US$1mn, and a % market capitalisation >20%.

The Heat Is On: News Flow and Sentiment in CHINA / HONG KONG (July 26)

By David Mudd


[Meituan (3690 HK, BUY, TP HK$160) TP Change]: Resilient Catering & Eased Competition Support Growth

By Ying Pan

  • We expect Meituan’s C2Q24 rev. and non-IFRS NI to be 0.7% and 12.3% higher than cons, driven by resilient catering demand and eased competition.
  • We expect Meituan in-store OPM improve to 33%/35% in 2Q24/2H24 supported by increasing commission rate and cutting BD cost.
  • We maintain the stock as BUY rating and raise TP by HK$4 to HK$160/share to factor in the better profitability.

Netflix Inc.: Expanding Content Library & Global Reach For Continued Global Dominance! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Netflix reported its financial performance for the second quarter, highlighting key metrics that provide insights into its current standing and future direction.
  • The company reported earnings per share of $4.88, exceeding Wall Street’s expectation of $4.74.
  • Revenue for the quarter stood at $9.56 billion, slightly above the anticipated $9.53 billion.

EQD | WHAT IF The NIFTY Starts to Pullback This Week?

By Nico Rosti

  • The NIFTY Index defied gravity and kept rallying higher for the past 8 weeks. According to our models it’s massively OVERBOUGHT and has been so for a while.
  • While many other Asian markets have pulled back decisively, the NIFTY is just going higher and higher.
  • Assuming it has its own uncorrelated drivers, where would it be a BUY again, if it pulls back this coming week? Let’s discuss this in this WEEKLY insight.

Omnicom Group: A Tale Of Digital Transformation and Technology Integration! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Omnicom recently presented its results for the second quarter of 2024, highlighting a mix of positive dynamics coupled with the challenges inherent in a complex operational landscape.
  • One notable strength in the results is the recorded 5.2% organic growth, spearheaded by a formidable 6.3% growth in the U.S. market.
  • This growth was primarily driven by robust performances in advertising, media, and experiential disciplines.

Mattel Inc’s Possible Acquisition By LVMH Backed L Catterton – What Is The Expected Valuation & The Deal Rationale?

By Baptista Research

  • Mattel, Inc. experienced a significant boost in its stock price after news surfaced that the private equity firm L Catterton had made a takeover bid for the toy manufacturing giant.
  • This development has attracted the attention of investors and fueled discussions about potential changes in the toy industry’s landscape, especially in relation to its long-time rival, Hasbro.
  • Let’s delve into Mattel’s business operations and explore the potential valuation it could achieve through this deal.

BWMX: 2Q Review: Managing Into the Positives; Reiterate Buy, $22.50 PT

By Small Cap Consumer Research

  • We are reiterating our Buy rating and $22.50 price target and slightly raising our projections after Betterware registered below consensus 2Q24 results, but reiterated their 2024 guidance.
  • Further, while we view the 2Q miss as driven by product shortages and shipping issues which are, in the near-term, somewhat out of management’s control, we believe there were more than enough key positives, from continued turn in orders and top line at Betterware Mexico, further double-digit gains at JAFRA Mexico, earlier than expected turn at JAFRA USA and the start of expansion into the United States, for us to remain positive on BWMX and, with a dividend yield of over 9% to reiterate or Buy rating and $22.50 price target.

D.R. Horton Inc.: Efficient Land Development Strategy & Other Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • D.R. Horton’s third-quarter 2024 earnings reflect the company’s ability to navigate a complex market landscape impacted by inflation and raised mortgage interest rates.
  • Despite headwinds, the company managed a 5% increase in earnings, with a consolidated pretax income growth of 1% to $1.8 billion that could appeal to potential investors seeking steady performance.
  • A vital positive from the results lies in D.R. Horton’s proven record of cash generation, producing $972 million from homebuilding operations within the first nine months ended June 30.

Domino’s Pizza Inc.: Is The Efficient Store Splitting Strategy Paying Off? – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Domino’s Pizza presented their Q2 2024 earnings wherein several key developments were noted that provide both an encouraging and concerning insight for investors.
  • Encouragingly, the Hungry for MORE strategy adopted by Domino’s seems to be generating positive results, as evidenced by the consecutive-quarter growth in US comp performance driven by profitable order count growth, positive order counts across its delivery and carryout businesses, as well as across all income cohorts.
  • The company also reported an improvement in its international comps and consistent earnings in line with expectations.

💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars



Daily Brief Financials: Hana Financial, Marsh & Mclennan, Bitcoin Pro and more

By | Daily Briefs, Financials

In today’s briefing:

  • GEM Banks; Focus on Value Attributes and Returns Recovery Potential
  • Marsh & McLennan Companies: Can They Develop A Competitive Edge Through Analytics? – Major Drivers
  • Dog Days of Summer


GEM Banks; Focus on Value Attributes and Returns Recovery Potential

By Victor Galliano

  • Among bigger cap GEM banks, we pick five longs and two shorts as our conviction calls; we add country-based equity risk premia to our screening process
  • Our core buys are Bank Mandiri from Indonesia, Hana Financial from South Korea, CIMB Group from Malaysia, Bradesco from Brazil and CCB from China; four of these are value picks
  • Our sells are Kotak Mahindra Bank and ICICI Bank from India, both richly valued larger cap banks that have benefited from past economic and political tailwinds with headwinds now emerging

Marsh & McLennan Companies: Can They Develop A Competitive Edge Through Analytics? – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Marsh McLennan, a global professional services firm reported strong financial results for the second quarter of 2024.
  • The results demonstrated the company’s ability to deliver growth in the short term while simultaneously investing for long-term sustainability.
  • Marsh McLennan posted a 6% increase in underlying revenue growth on top of 11% in the same period last year, reflecting strong execution across Risk and Insurance Services (RIS) and Consulting.

Dog Days of Summer

By Delphi Digital

  • Market consolidation signals opportunity, not the end: we’re just in the 2nd or 3rd inning of the crypto cycle.
  • Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs bring unprecedented demand, setting the stage for significant market movements.
  • Solana’s on-chain activity and retail adoption make it the standout trade of this cycle.

💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars



Daily Brief Health Care: Akums Drugs and Pharmaceuticals, Sun Pharmaceutical Industries, Intuitive Surgical, Novartis and more

By | Daily Briefs, Healthcare

In today’s briefing:

  • Akums Drugs and Pharmaceuticals IPO – RHP Updates & Quick Thoughts on Peer Comp and Valuation
  • Pullback Underway; Getting Defensive; Long-Term RS Bottoms for Defensives Is a Reason for Caution
  • Akums Drugs and Pharmaceuticals IPO: Subscribe on Favorable Industry Tailwind and Reasonable Pricing
  • Intuitive Surgical Inc.: Expansion of da Vinci 5 (dV5) Products & Services & Other Major Drivers
  • Novartis AG (NVS): Acquisition of Mariana Oncology for Expansion of Oncology Portfolio


Akums Drugs and Pharmaceuticals IPO – RHP Updates & Quick Thoughts on Peer Comp and Valuation

By Ethan Aw

  • Akums Drugs and Pharmaceuticals (0200361D IN) is looking to raise up to US$222m in its upcoming India IPO.
  • Akums Drugs and Pharmaceuticals (ADP) is a pharmaceutical contract development and manufacturing organization (CDMO) offering a comprehensive range of pharmaceutical products and services in India and overseas.
  • In our previous note, we talked about the company’s historical performance. In this note, we talk about its RHP updates and share our quick thoughts on peer comparison and valuation.

Pullback Underway; Getting Defensive; Long-Term RS Bottoms for Defensives Is a Reason for Caution

By Joe Jasper

  • Our long-term bullish outlook (since early-November 2023) remains intact. With that said, we believe a 1-3-month pullback has likely begun.
  • Supports to watch are at $110 on MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US) and $41-42 on MSCI EM (EEM-US), and whether these levels hold or not will determine the severity of the pullback.
  • The S&P 500 is violating its 20-day MA, Europe’s EURO STOXX 50 is breaking below 4884, and Japan’s TOPIX appears to be staging a false breakout at the 2800-2815 level

Akums Drugs and Pharmaceuticals IPO: Subscribe on Favorable Industry Tailwind and Reasonable Pricing

By Tina Banerjee

  • Akums Drugs and Pharmaceuticals, the largest India-focused CDMO, has set price band of Rs 646–679/share for its upcoming IPO. The company has blue chip and sticky clientele.
  • The Indian domestic CDMO market is forecasted to grow at a CAGR of 14.3% during FY24–28, nearly doubling its historical growth rate.
  • Akums seeks a P/E valuation of 28.7–30.2x, which seems to be reasonable compared with listed peers.

Intuitive Surgical Inc.: Expansion of da Vinci 5 (dV5) Products & Services & Other Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Intuitive Surgical experienced healthy performance in the second quarter of 2024, with strong capital placements and solid procedure growth.
  • Several advancements were made, with the rollout of da Vinci 5, stability of Ion supply, and expanding da Vinci SP installs in Europe among the highlights.
  • The company also faced some headwinds related to multiport procedures.

Novartis AG (NVS): Acquisition of Mariana Oncology for Expansion of Oncology Portfolio

By Baptista Research

  • Novartis’s second quarter 2024 earnings were decent and revealed a company strongly positioned and confident of its continued growth trajectory.
  • From a financial standpoint, the Swiss multinational pharmaceutical firm posted a solid performance with 11% quarter-on-quarter growth in sales, profits expanding 19%, and a core margin of 39.6%.
  • The robustness in financials was driven by commendable productivity as well as sustained sales growth.

💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars



Daily Brief Quantitative Analysis: ASX Short Interest Weekly (Jul 19th): Fortescue and more

By | Daily Briefs, Quantitative Analysis

In today’s briefing:

  • ASX Short Interest Weekly (Jul 19th): Fortescue, Bluescope Steel, Brambles


ASX Short Interest Weekly (Jul 19th): Fortescue, Bluescope Steel, Brambles

By Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

  • We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Jul 19th (reported today) which has an aggregated short interest worth USD20.2bn.
  • We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases & decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
  • We highlight short interest changes in Fortescue, Bluescope Steel, Brambles.

💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars



Daily Brief ESG: Although the Cost of Capital for CBs Should Be Considered Much Higher than for SBs and more

By | Daily Briefs, ESG

In today’s briefing:

  • Although the Cost of Capital for CBs Should Be Considered Much Higher than for SBs


Although the Cost of Capital for CBs Should Be Considered Much Higher than for SBs

By Aki Matsumoto

  • We need to watch carefully to see whether cash flow will subsequently increase in the projects that the CB issuers have invested their proceeds in.
  • Share prices of companies that announce equity financings, including CBs, usually decline. Besides the dilution, another aspect is the effect of the company’s announcement of the sale of its shares.
  • In the case of CBs, the company should keep in mind that it sold the conversion rights of its shares for less than their actual call option value.

💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars



Daily Brief ECM: CONFIRMED: Bellevue raising and more

By | Daily Briefs, ECM

In today’s briefing:

  • CONFIRMED: Bellevue raising


CONFIRMED: Bellevue raising

By Money of Mine

  • Bellevue is raising capital through a placement and share purchase plan at a discount to the last close
  • The purpose of the capital raise is to pay off debt and fund future growth, with operational pressure and hedges in place
  • The company is shifting to a long-term growth story, with guidance for increased production and costs going forward

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.


💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars



Daily Brief Thematic (Sector/Industry): The 3rd Plenum of CCPCC Announced An Courageous But Tough-To-Execute Communique and more

By | Daily Briefs, Thematic (Sector/Industry)

In today’s briefing:

  • The 3rd Plenum of CCPCC Announced An Courageous But Tough-To-Execute Communique
  • Ohayo Japan | US Stocks Mixed; Tech Losses Deepen
  • Intraday Trading in India: A Deep Dive into SEBI’s Insights and the Changing Landscape
  • China to Be Top National Market for Aircraft in the Coming Two Decades, Boeing Predicts
  • GLP-1s – Update 1
  • # 34 India Insight: HDFC Raises FD, Adani Green 250 MW Wind Project, EQT Exits RBL
  • Mat-Chem Notes – Between a Rock and a Hard Place – 2H24 Outlook
  • Demand for AI Chips Might Cut Huawei’s Smartphone Semiconductor Short


The 3rd Plenum of CCPCC Announced An Courageous But Tough-To-Execute Communique

By Andy Fu

  • We call the communique courageous because it pressed ahead on three fundamental, long standing issues of Chinese economy: fiscal revenue, social security and over-capacity;
  • But we question its timing as well as the wisdom of staunch refusal to print money to revive consumption. In our view, such measure doesn’t run counter to the communique;
  • We believe the likelihood points to prolonged slow recovery in consumption, investment, job market and eventually manufacturing. But we see positive momentum in healthcare, infrastructure and eventually consumption.

Ohayo Japan | US Stocks Mixed; Tech Losses Deepen

By Mark Chadwick

  • US economy grew at a faster-than-expected 2.8% in the second quarter.  
  • Nasdaq Composite dropped 0.95% on Thursday, extending losses as investors sold off leading 2024 tech stocks
  • Canon forecasts a 27% increase in net profit to 335 billion yen for fiscal year 2024, reaching a 17-year high

Intraday Trading in India: A Deep Dive into SEBI’s Insights and the Changing Landscape

By Nimish Maheshwari

  • Intraday trading surged from 1.5 million traders in FY19 to 6.9 million in FY23, driven by accessibility and financial literacy.
  • Despite rising participation, 71% of intraday traders incurred losses in FY23, highlighting the risks and need for careful trading.
  • The high losses among new traders emphasize the importance of experience, risk management, and informed decision-making in intraday trading.

China to Be Top National Market for Aircraft in the Coming Two Decades, Boeing Predicts

By Caixin Global

  • China is expected to be the largest national market for commercial airplane deliveries through 2043, Boeing Co. said, as the U.S. company resumed deliveries of its cash-cow 737 Max jets to Chinese airlines after a two-month pause.
  • Boeing predicts 43,975 new commercial airplanes will be delivered globally over the next 20 years, according to its 2024 Commercial Market Outlook released Friday. That’s up from last year’s forecast of 42,595 aircraft.
  • The manufacturer raised its forecast because it believes that air travel will have fully recovered from its pandemic-era slump by then, with demand even surpassing pre-pandemic levels, according to a press release about the Outlook.

GLP-1s – Update 1

By Avien Pillay

  • The GLP-1 market is evolving at a rapid pace, and we have quickly moved onto the development of a triple agonist drug.
  • First mover advantage is expected to lose steam as more effective GLP-1s are launched.
  • Scary side effects; challenged patents and strong competition will favour the cost-effective producers.

# 34 India Insight: HDFC Raises FD, Adani Green 250 MW Wind Project, EQT Exits RBL

By Sudarshan Bhandari

  • HDFC Bank raises fixed deposit rates to 7.35% and 7.40% for specific tenors.
  • Adani Green Energy starts 250 MW wind project, boosting total capacity to 2,250 MW.
  • EQT exits RBL Bank with Rs 1,100 crore stake sale; shares drop 3%.

Mat-Chem Notes – Between a Rock and a Hard Place – 2H24 Outlook

By Water Tower Research

  • Heavy lithium. Halfway through the year, the S&P 500 has appreciated 15.4% YTD, driven by the strong performance of the Magnificent Seven, even as the remaining 490+ companies saw their stock prices move more in line with the Russell 2000, which itself posted an 7.8% gain YTD.
  • Over the same timeframe, the WTR-CMI Index delivered a disappointing 4.4% gain under the weight of lithium and graphite companies losing 36-62% of their value due to collapsing lithium and synthetic graphite prices, driven by slower growth of EVs and steel production and liquidation of excess inventories by customers, built over the course of 2022-23.
  • Sticky costs remain as pricing power wanes. Over the course of 2022-23, many companies experiencing a rapid rise in raw material costs, driven by higher petrochemical prices and rising costs of transportation and logistics aggressively raised prices in an attempt to preserve profits, if not profit margins. 


Demand for AI Chips Might Cut Huawei’s Smartphone Semiconductor Short

By Robert McKay

  • US semiconductor restrictions are limiting China’s access to advanced AI accelerators, causing a widening gap in AI compute. The US will expand its lead over China to ~7x by 2025.
  • Although China has domestic alternatives, bottlenecks due to separate US restrictions on semiconductor equipment are hindering yields and capacity expansions, effectively limiting China’s capacity to train state-of-the-art AI models.
  • To maximize AI compute, Huawei will likely curtail smartphone semiconductors in favor of AI accelerators. We expect manufacturers offering mid-end Android devices like Xiaomi Corp (1810 HK) to benefit first.

💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars



Daily Brief Credit: Morning Views Asia: Adani Green Energy and more

By | Credit, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • Morning Views Asia: Adani Green Energy, Sands China, Vedanta Resources


Morning Views Asia: Adani Green Energy, Sands China, Vedanta Resources

By Leonard Law, CFA

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.


💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars