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Smartkarma Daily Briefs

Daily Brief Macro: Launch of Korea Value Up Index in September and more

By | Daily Briefs, Macro

In today’s briefing:

  • Launch of Korea Value Up Index in September
  • Singapore: Signs of ‘Dutch Disease’ as Cyclical NODX Slumps Amid Property Surge
  • EM Watch: China FLOODS global copper markets amidst the plenum
  • Actinver – Macro Daily: Manufacturing Industry
  • Heard From Fortress Hill: Weekly Market Observations
  • Actinver MX Local Flavor: In line with U.S. indices, Mexican stocks have a negative day
  • HEW: Rate Cuts Not Boxed-In


Launch of Korea Value Up Index in September

By Douglas Kim

  • Korea Value-Up index is finally expected to be launched in September 2024 which is likely to include at least 100 companies in KOSPI and KOSDAQ.
  • There are expectations that Korea’s Value Up index could resemble JPX Prime 150 index which is a Japanese version of the value up index launched last year.
  • We provide 70 stocks in Korea that could be included in the Korea Value Up index. These 70 stocks could outperform the market in the next several months.

Singapore: Signs of ‘Dutch Disease’ as Cyclical NODX Slumps Amid Property Surge

By Prasenjit K. Basu

  • Productivity has declined 0.95%YoY on average over the latest 8 quarters, with Singapore’s economic growth depending entirely on rather rapid 4.85%YoY average growth in employment. 
  • Jun’24’s 6.7%YoY decline in real NODX indicates real GDP growth for Q2CY24 will be revised down to 2.5%YoY (from the 2.9% advance estimate); strong re-exports also suggest manufacturing’s declining competitiveness. 
  • Fiscal policy has returned to its contractionary norm, with this year’s surplus likely to be over 1% of GDP, reining-in RGDP growth to 2% for 2024 (and 1.3%YoY for H2CY24). 

EM Watch: China FLOODS global copper markets amidst the plenum

By Andreas Steno

  • Good Afternoon from Europe. It’s incredibly hard for me not to begin this weekly EM blog by emphasizing how bearish I am becoming on Copper, given the current developments out of China.
  • Chinese trends are diverging rapidly both internally and externally—the export sectors are performing well, while internal consumption growth is far from firing on all cylinders.
  • Ahead of the conclusion of the CCP Plenum, we noted that China Daily posted several upbeat stories on the GDP outlook following the release of a slightly disappointing Q2 report.

Actinver – Macro Daily: Manufacturing Industry

By Actinver

  • The manufacturing survey shows that the stagnation in manufacturing production in May stems from a combination of slowing external demand and stagnation in domestic demand.
  • At the sectoral level, there is great heterogeneity in the capacity used.
  • Last week, the National Institute of Statistics and Geography (INEGI) informed that manufacturing production stagnated in May (0.01% MoM) and accumulated a contraction of -1.8% so far this year (https://bit.ly/MXDAILYESP_2024_07_12).

Heard From Fortress Hill: Weekly Market Observations

By Alex Ng

  • US stock market is diverged in the past week, as DOW breaks new time height and NASDAQ retreats. S&P500 declines likewise.
  • Hong Kong Hang Seng is down but is still within our forecast range of 16000 level to 18000 level.
  • We suffer huge loss as our long call bets on Nvidia, Apple, Microsoft went sour. We are still keeping the positions in the hope that the trades will turn around.

Actinver MX Local Flavor: In line with U.S. indices, Mexican stocks have a negative day

By Actinver

  • Once again, Mexican stocks had a negative day in line with the pessimistic sentiment observed in the North American stock markets.
  • In particular, the IPC index fell 1.31% to trade slightly above 53 thousand units. At the end of the session, 27 of the 35 companies included in the main local index had falls in their share prices
  • The mining company Industrias Peñoles (PE&OLES * -4.65%) and the financial company Regional (R A -4.43%) had the largest share price declines at the end of the session. 

HEW: Rate Cuts Not Boxed-In

By Phil Rush

  • UK economic data was mostly as expected, but increased services inflation tipped the balance towards a hawkish stance. The ECB maintained flexibility but is likely to cut rates in September, and the BoE may need to reassess previous data to avoid a rate cut in August.
  • The Bank of Canada may respond to rising unemployment and low inflation with a likely consecutive rate cut, rather than adhering to the Fed’s hold position.
  • Key data to watch include the flash PMIs, US GDP for Q2, and core PCE inflation for June.

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Most Read: Honda Motor, Pylon Technologies , Kyoto Financial Group , Dell Technologies , Capitol Health, Thai Beverage, Kokusai Electric and more

By | Daily Briefs, Most Read

In today’s briefing:

  • Big Honda (7267) Offering – Flow Timing Matters
  • Kokusai Electric Placement Updates – Misbehaving
  • Quiddity Leaderboard STAR 50 Sep 24: Final Ranks; Some Question Marks over Ninebot Re-Inclusion
  • Capitol Health (CAJ AU): Binding Merger with Integral Diagnostics (IDX AU)
  • Kyoto Financial Group (5844 JP) – Limited Shareholdings Unwind, for Now
  • S&P 500 September Forecasts: Saved by the Dell?
  • Capitol Health (CAJ AU)/Integral Diagnostics (IDX AU): An Improved Image – Now Firmed
  • Thai Bev to Get F&N Stake from Promoters At Book Value than Fair Market Value
  • Kokusai Electric (6525 JP): The Current Playbook
  • Launch of Korea Value Up Index in September


Big Honda (7267) Offering – Flow Timing Matters

By Travis Lundy

  • The ¥500bn Offering of Honda shares is now priced (¥1,664.5/share) making it ¥497.46bn. Bookbuilding for retail – 80% of the book – is now. The price today closed at ¥1,665/share. 
  • The Offering has follow-on “non-discretionary” demand which is non-negligible. It is worth understanding the amounts and timing.
  • The lockups and non-discretionary demand, along with Honda’s relative cheapness as a large cap OEM and likely upcoming offerings on competitors means it has support.

Kokusai Electric Placement Updates – Misbehaving

By Sumeet Singh

  • KKR and KSP Kokusai Investments are looking to raise approximately US$1.7bn through an extended secondary follow-on offering, via selling approximately 22.3% of Kokusai Electric (6525 JP)
  • We have looked at the lockup expiry and deal dynamics in our earlier notes.
  • In this note, we talk about share price performance since then.

Quiddity Leaderboard STAR 50 Sep 24: Final Ranks; Some Question Marks over Ninebot Re-Inclusion

By Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

  • STAR 50 Index is a tech-focused, blue-chip index in Mainland China which tracks the top 50 largest and most liquid names in the STAR market of the Shanghai Stock Exchange.
  • Unlike the other popular Chinese indices (CSI, SSE, ChiNext, etc.) that rebalance semiannually, the STAR 50 index has a quarterly rebalance cycle and the next rebalance will be in September.
  • With the reference period for the September 2024 STAR 50 index rebal event coming to an end, we have presented our final expectations for ADDs and DELs in this insight.

Capitol Health (CAJ AU): Binding Merger with Integral Diagnostics (IDX AU)

By Arun George

  • Capitol Health (CAJ AU) has entered a binding merger proposal with Integral Diagnostics (IDX AU) at 0.12849 Integral shares per Capitol share.
  • The transaction will require approval from the ACCC and Capitol shareholders. Due to the minimal geographic overlap, ACCC clearance should be forthcoming.
  • The offer is attractive compared to historical exchange ratios, trading ranges and peer multiples. At the last close, the gross spread was 8.0%. 

Kyoto Financial Group (5844 JP) – Limited Shareholdings Unwind, for Now

By Victor Galliano

  • Kyoto Financial’s stakes in three key listed Japanese corporates are valued at over 85% of its market capitalization with its total equity holdings accounting for 130%+ of its market capitalization
  • Kyoto management intends to retain the bulk of the bank’s equity holdings, opposing the growing trend for Japanese listed companies to unwind crossholdings; management will review this policy in November
  • In the near term, we see no major catalyst for Kyoto to accelerate its equity holdings unwind and so, combined with its underwhelming fundamentals, we are negative on Kyoto Financial

S&P 500 September Forecasts: Saved by the Dell?

By Dimitris Ioannidis

  • Dell Technologies (DELL US) is the main candidate for addition-transition with uncertainty arising from the ‘Multiple Share Classes’ criterion. Forecasted demand is ~$7bn and ~4 ADV.
  • Williams Sonoma (WSM US) is one of the top candidates for addition-migration with uncertainty due to the migrations’ inconsistent market cap selection pattern. Forecasted demand is $840m and ~2.6 ADV.
  • American Airlines Group (AAL US) is one of the main candidates for deletion with uncertainty due to price hence ranking fluctuations until cut-off. Forecasted supply is $290m and ~0.8 ADV.

Capitol Health (CAJ AU)/Integral Diagnostics (IDX AU): An Improved Image – Now Firmed

By David Blennerhassett

  • Back on the 17th June, diagnostic imaging provider Capitol Health (CAJ AU) announced it had entered into a process deed with Integral Diagnostics (IDX AU). Terms are now firmed.
  • IDX will issue 0.12849 new IDX shares for each Capitol share. Scrip terms are unchanged from that announced previously. Upon completing the transaction, Integral would hold 63% in the NewCo. 
  • Apart from ACCC signing off, this transaction looks priced to complete. 

Thai Bev to Get F&N Stake from Promoters At Book Value than Fair Market Value

By Devi Subhakesan

  • Thai Beverage(THBEVSP)‘s  proposed swap deal involves acquiring a 41.3% stake in F&N from promoters, seemingly at book value than fair market value, expected in case of an arms length transaction.
  • Fraser And Neave (FNN SP)  holds a 20.3% stake in Vietnam Dairy(VNM VN), Vietnam’s leading dairy player, which is now trading at nearly a 40% discount to the investment value.
  • Understanding TCC Assets’ ownership history of F&N may help clarify the deal’s valuation rationale.

Kokusai Electric (6525 JP): The Current Playbook

By Arun George

  • Since the US$2.0 billion secondary placement announcement, Kokusai Electric (6525 JP)’s shares are down 5.6% from the undisturbed price of JPY5,520 per share (8 July).
  • Looking at recent large Japanese placements is instructive to understand the potential trading pattern. So far, Kokusai’s shares have followed the pattern of previous large placements.
  • The offering will likely be priced on 22 July. Investors who have participated in previous large Japanese placements tend to secure positive returns.

Launch of Korea Value Up Index in September

By Douglas Kim

  • Korea Value-Up index is finally expected to be launched in September 2024 which is likely to include at least 100 companies in KOSPI and KOSDAQ.
  • There are expectations that Korea’s Value Up index could resemble JPX Prime 150 index which is a Japanese version of the value up index launched last year.
  • We provide 70 stocks in Korea that could be included in the Korea Value Up index. These 70 stocks could outperform the market in the next several months.

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Daily Brief Australia: Capitol Health, Mount Gibson Iron, Globe Metals And Mining, Kinatico and more

By | Australia, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • Capitol Health (CAJ AU): Binding Merger with Integral Diagnostics (IDX AU)
  • Capitol Health (CAJ AU)/Integral Diagnostics (IDX AU): An Improved Image – Now Firmed
  • Mount Gibson (MGX AU): Q4 Production Report And Guidance Disappointing, But Mkt Cap = Net Cash
  • Globe Metals & Mining Ltd – Economics Improved, Progressing to DFS
  • Kinatico Ltd – FY24 NPAT up 225% and 60% ahead of RaaS forecasts
  • Kinatico (ASX:KYP) Georg Chmiel Interview


Capitol Health (CAJ AU): Binding Merger with Integral Diagnostics (IDX AU)

By Arun George

  • Capitol Health (CAJ AU) has entered a binding merger proposal with Integral Diagnostics (IDX AU) at 0.12849 Integral shares per Capitol share.
  • The transaction will require approval from the ACCC and Capitol shareholders. Due to the minimal geographic overlap, ACCC clearance should be forthcoming.
  • The offer is attractive compared to historical exchange ratios, trading ranges and peer multiples. At the last close, the gross spread was 8.0%. 

Capitol Health (CAJ AU)/Integral Diagnostics (IDX AU): An Improved Image – Now Firmed

By David Blennerhassett

  • Back on the 17th June, diagnostic imaging provider Capitol Health (CAJ AU) announced it had entered into a process deed with Integral Diagnostics (IDX AU). Terms are now firmed.
  • IDX will issue 0.12849 new IDX shares for each Capitol share. Scrip terms are unchanged from that announced previously. Upon completing the transaction, Integral would hold 63% in the NewCo. 
  • Apart from ACCC signing off, this transaction looks priced to complete. 

Mount Gibson (MGX AU): Q4 Production Report And Guidance Disappointing, But Mkt Cap = Net Cash

By Sameer Taneja

  • Mount Gibson Iron (MGX AU) reported a disappointing Q4 FY24 production report. Volumes were inline, but provisional pricing impacts of ~20% brought a quarterly cash outflow of one mn AUD.
  • Volume guidance for FY25 was light at 2.7-3 mn tons (vs. 4.1 mn in FY24). Net Cash rose to 436 mn AUD (excluding Fenix Investment), almost equaling the market cap. 
  • FY24 results are due on 21st August 2024, when the board will recommend a dividend. Net cash and future cash flows should support the share price in the long run.  

Globe Metals & Mining Ltd – Economics Improved, Progressing to DFS

By Research as a Service (RaaS)

  • RaaS Research Group has produced an update report on niobium-focused Globe Metals & Mining (ASX:GBE).
  • GBE has continued metallurgical work for their chlorination process with results (20 March 2024) demonstrating the ability of the process to produce high purity Nb205 at a lab scale.
  • The results showed an extraction and separation rate of 99% for niobium and tantalum as well as 94% for rare earth elements (REEs).

Kinatico Ltd – FY24 NPAT up 225% and 60% ahead of RaaS forecasts

By Research as a Service (RaaS)

  • RaaS Research Group has published an update report on ‘Know Your People’ regtech company, Kinatico (ASX:KYP) following its Q4 FY24 result which confirmed the company delivered NPAT of $0.8m for FY24, up 225% on FY23 and 60% ahead of our forecast.
  • Q4 SaaS revenue jumped 40% on the pcp to $2.8m and was 12% ahead of Q3 and was ahead of our expectations.
  • Transactional revenue of $4.5m for the quarter was flat on Q3 and down 12% on the pcp.

Kinatico (ASX:KYP) Georg Chmiel Interview

By Research as a Service (RaaS)

  • RaaS Research Group recently interviewed Kinatico Non Executive Director Georg Chmiel on what attracted him to join the KYP board in September 2023.
  • We discussed the merits of platform businesses and his experiences with technology platform companies.
  • Mr Chmiel noted the merits of recurring revenues, including higher margins than one-time or transactional revenue, and lower costs as the platform becomes more scalable.

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Daily Brief South Korea: KT Corp, SK Innovation and more

By | Daily Briefs, South Korea

In today’s briefing:

  • Reasons Why KT’s Foreign Room Is Likely to Fall Below the 3.75% Cutoff Level
  • SK Innovation’s Merger with SK E&S: Bad Timing for SK Innovation and Higher Risks from RCPS


Reasons Why KT’s Foreign Room Is Likely to Fall Below the 3.75% Cutoff Level

By Sanghyun Park

  • KT’s foreign room has been exhausted due to value-up trading inflows, NPS selling shares, and KT canceling treasury stocks.
  • Hyundai Motor may sell 0.5% of its KT stake, likely to overseas investors. KT’s 700,000 share cancellation will lower foreign ownership to the low-4% range, possibly below 3.75% by November.
  • Focus on the stock price surge from ETF recall requests around the effective date, and note that passive outflow corrections typically occur afterward.

SK Innovation’s Merger with SK E&S: Bad Timing for SK Innovation and Higher Risks from RCPS

By Douglas Kim

  • On 17 July, SK Innovation (096770 KS) officially announced a merger with SK E&S. The merger ratio between SK Innovation and SK E&S has been set at 1 to 1.1917417.
  • We believe this is the wrong timing for this merger from SK Innovation’s point of view. SK Innovation is trading at near three year lows.
  • This merger is likely to generate backlash from KKR which holds SK E&S redeemable convertible preferred stock (RCPS) worth 3.1 trillion won.

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Daily Brief Singapore: Thai Beverage, Yoma Strategic Holdings and more

By | Daily Briefs, Singapore

In today’s briefing:

  • Thai Bev (THBEV SP): Exits Property, Boosts F&N Stake. Deal Valuation Seem Excessive
  • Singapore’s Most Actively Traded Stocks with Double-Digit YTD Total Returns


Thai Bev (THBEV SP): Exits Property, Boosts F&N Stake. Deal Valuation Seem Excessive

By Devi Subhakesan

  • Thai Beverage(THBEV SP)  has proposed a share swap-deal with a promoter company to acquire additional stake in FraserAnd Neave(FNN SP)  in exchange for Frasers Property at negotiated valuations, not market prices.
  • Post-Completion of the swap deal with the promoter-owned entity, which requires shareholder approval, Thai Bev will hold a 69.6% stake in F&N and no stake in Fraser Property (FPL).
  • If the stake swap were valued at yesterday’s closing share prices, it would imply a drop in the total stake value for Thai Bev after the proposed deal.

Singapore’s Most Actively Traded Stocks with Double-Digit YTD Total Returns

By Geoff Howie

  • The top five performers among the 100 most traded stocks in Singapore for the year up to 17 July, were Beng Kuang Marine, Mermaid Maritime, Yoma Strategic, Yangzijiang Shipbuilding and Samudera Shipping.
  • Among the broader group of Singapore’s 200 most traded stocks this year, 63 stocks have generated YTD total returns of 10% or higher.
  • Among the 63 stocks, the Industrials Sector representing as many as 18 (29%) of the 63 stocks, compared to the sector representing 38 (19%) of the broader group of the 200 most traded stocks.

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Daily Brief United States: American Water Works Co, Dell Technologies , Crude Oil, SilverSun Technologies , Staar Surgical Co, Entergy Corp, Lands’ End Inc, Dominion Energy Inc, Dollar General, Sempra Energy and more

By | Daily Briefs, United States

In today’s briefing:

  • American Water Works Company: Initiation of Coverage – PFAS Regulatory Compliance
  • S&P 500 September Forecasts: Saved by the Dell?
  • [ETP 29/2024] Oil Rebounds on Inventory Drop; Energy Majors’ Targets Cut
  • Silversun Technologies Inc (SSNT) – Wednesday, Apr 17, 2024
  • STAAR Surgical Takeover Speculation: 4 Reasons Why We Are Optimistic! – Major Drivers
  • Entergy Corporation: Initiation of Coverage – Strategic Infrastructure Investments To Elevate Their Growth Prospects? – Major Drivers
  • LE: Mgmt. Meetings Confirm Positives; Raising PT to $20 (From $17); Reit. Buy
  • Dominion Energy: Initiation of Coverage – A Deep Dive Into Its Core Business Strategy? – Major Drivers
  • Dollar General Corp (DG) – Wednesday, Apr 17, 2024
  • Sempra Energy: Initiation of Coverage – What Is Its Biggest Competitive Advantage? – Major Drivers


American Water Works Company: Initiation of Coverage – PFAS Regulatory Compliance

By Baptista Research

  • American Water started 2023 with promising financial results, as its earnings per share (EPS) rose from $0.91 to $0.95 compared to the same quarter last year.
  • This increase was anticipated, aligning with the company’s forecast and sustaining its full-year earnings guidance.
  • Noteworthy contributing factors include the $0.02 per share rise stemming from additional interest income, linked to amendments in the seller note related to the HOS sale.

S&P 500 September Forecasts: Saved by the Dell?

By Dimitris Ioannidis

  • Dell Technologies (DELL US) is the main candidate for addition-transition with uncertainty arising from the ‘Multiple Share Classes’ criterion. Forecasted demand is ~$7bn and ~4 ADV.
  • Williams Sonoma (WSM US) is one of the top candidates for addition-migration with uncertainty due to the migrations’ inconsistent market cap selection pattern. Forecasted demand is $840m and ~2.6 ADV.
  • American Airlines Group (AAL US) is one of the main candidates for deletion with uncertainty due to price hence ranking fluctuations until cut-off. Forecasted supply is $290m and ~0.8 ADV.

[ETP 29/2024] Oil Rebounds on Inventory Drop; Energy Majors’ Targets Cut

By Suhas Reddy

  • US crude oil inventories fell by 4.9 million barrels in the week ending 12/Jul, marking the third consecutive weekly decline.
  • As of 12/Jul, US natural gas inventories were up 8.4% YoY and 16.9% above the 5-year seasonal average.
  • UBS expects Chevron’s Q2 earnings to fall short of expectations due to LNG project downtime and lower international refining margins.

Silversun Technologies Inc (SSNT) – Wednesday, Apr 17, 2024

By Value Investors Club

  • Author admires Brad Jacobs’ entrepreneurial success but questions high valuation of SilverSun Technologies
  • Conversion of SSNT into stake in QXO implies optimistic market capitalization of $46 billion
  • Author remains skeptical of QXO valuation despite Jacobs’ successful track record

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


STAAR Surgical Takeover Speculation: 4 Reasons Why We Are Optimistic! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • The first quarter of 2024 saw STAAR Surgical achieve a noteworthy result by generating net sales of $77.4 million, surpassing the expectations set for this period.
  • This result underscores the effectiveness of STAAR Surgical’s refined commercial strategy and the high uptake of its proprietary EVO ICL technology across all key geographical regions.
  • With a year-over-year increase represented by these figures, the company successfully navigated the challenges of a market predominantly inclined towards laser vision correction, where it successfully captured additional market share.

Entergy Corporation: Initiation of Coverage – Strategic Infrastructure Investments To Elevate Their Growth Prospects? – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Entergy Corporation has shown a mix of achievements and challenges in its First Quarter 2024 results.
  • Although the company reported adjusted earnings per share of $1.08, which fell below expectations, its management remains optimistic about meeting annual financial goals citing a solid track record in managing operational expenses.
  • Several positive developments were noted, including recognition for customer engagement and the execution of eight electric service agreements with industrial customers.

LE: Mgmt. Meetings Confirm Positives; Raising PT to $20 (From $17); Reit. Buy

By Small Cap Consumer Research

  • We are reiterating our Buy rating and projections and raising our price target to $20 (from $17) after meeting with Lands’ End management at their headquarters in Dodgeville, Wisconsin.
  • We believe management is laser focused on continuing to drive higher overall returns to the company, from shifting the product mix, lowering inventories, realizing higher pricing, focusing on features and stories to drive deeper customer interaction and loyalty, deepening licensing penetration on non-core categories, expanding internationally and driving stronger results at the Outfitters segment.
  • The emphasis on leveraging the highly trusted Lands’ End moniker to maximize brand equity, drive higher returns and create an even more compelling lifestyle story is still in the early stages and, we believe, will drive multi-period growth.

Dominion Energy: Initiation of Coverage – A Deep Dive Into Its Core Business Strategy? – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Dominion Energy delivered mixed results in the first quarter of 2024, showcasing both resilience and areas needing improvement as it strives to meet its future financial and operational goals.
  • The company reported first quarter operating earnings of $0.55 per share, affected by a $0.06 headwind from adverse weather conditions.
  • However, the sale of East Ohio Gas Company and various operational management (O&M) timings provided some financial relief.

Dollar General Corp (DG) – Wednesday, Apr 17, 2024

By Value Investors Club

  • Author may buy or sell securities related to discussed issuer without informing readers
  • Information presented is believed to be accurate but not guaranteed in terms of accuracy or completeness
  • Author’s views are opinion-based and subject to change at any time; readers advised to do their own research and not base investment decisions on the note

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


Sempra Energy: Initiation of Coverage – What Is Its Biggest Competitive Advantage? – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Sempra’s first quarter of 2024 results showcases a strong start to the year, affirming its robust financial health and diligent strategic execution across its various segments.
  • This report, reflecting on certain financial and strategic developments, delves into both the achievements and the areas of persistent challenge within the company, thereby providing a comprehensive overview for potential investors.
  • Baptista Research looks to evaluate the different factors that could influence the company’s price in the near future and attempts to carry out an independent valuation of the company using a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) methodology.

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Daily Brief India: Premier Energies Limited, Health And Happiness (H&H) and more

By | Daily Briefs, India

In today’s briefing:

  • Premier Energies Pre-IPO – Still Ramping up but Already Profitable
  • Morning Views Asia: Anton Oilfield, Health And Happiness (H&H), Vedanta Resources


Premier Energies Pre-IPO – Still Ramping up but Already Profitable

By Ethan Aw

  • Premier Energies Limited (0377949D IN) is looking to raise US$300m in its upcoming India IPO. It is a manufacturer of solar photovoltaic (PV) cells, and solar modules. 
  • It also executes engineering, procurement, and construction (EPC) projects and provides follow-up operation and maintenance (O&M) services. 
  • In this note, we talk about the company’s historical performance.

Morning Views Asia: Anton Oilfield, Health And Happiness (H&H), Vedanta Resources

By Leonard Law, CFA

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.


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Daily Brief China: Huafa Property Services Group, Pylon Technologies , Health And Happiness (H&H), Perfect Medical Health and more

By | China, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • Huafa Property Services (982 HK): Wide Spread Ahead of the 28 August Vote
  • Quiddity Leaderboard STAR 50 Sep 24: Final Ranks; Some Question Marks over Ninebot Re-Inclusion
  • Morning Views Asia: Anton Oilfield, Health And Happiness (H&H), Vedanta Resources
  • Perfect Medical (1830 HK): Gleanings from the Annual Report and Presentation For FY24


Huafa Property Services (982 HK): Wide Spread Ahead of the 28 August Vote

By Arun George

  • Huafa Property Services Group (982 HK)’s IFA opines that Huafa Industrial Co., Ltd. Zhuhai (600325 CH)’s HK$0.29 privatisation offer is fair and reasonable. The vote is on 28 August. 
  • Key conditions include approval by at least 75% of independent shareholders (<10% of independent shareholders rejection) and a headcount test. The offer price is final.
  • No shareholder holding a blocking stake, low AGM minority participation rate and calm retail boards suggest low vote risk. At the last close, the gross/annualised spread is 9.4%/52.5%. 

Quiddity Leaderboard STAR 50 Sep 24: Final Ranks; Some Question Marks over Ninebot Re-Inclusion

By Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

  • STAR 50 Index is a tech-focused, blue-chip index in Mainland China which tracks the top 50 largest and most liquid names in the STAR market of the Shanghai Stock Exchange.
  • Unlike the other popular Chinese indices (CSI, SSE, ChiNext, etc.) that rebalance semiannually, the STAR 50 index has a quarterly rebalance cycle and the next rebalance will be in September.
  • With the reference period for the September 2024 STAR 50 index rebal event coming to an end, we have presented our final expectations for ADDs and DELs in this insight.

Morning Views Asia: Anton Oilfield, Health And Happiness (H&H), Vedanta Resources

By Leonard Law, CFA

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.


Perfect Medical (1830 HK): Gleanings from the Annual Report and Presentation For FY24

By Sameer Taneja

  • We analyze the audited annual report of Perfect Medical Health (1830 HK) released on the 16th of July. We also analyzed the company’s FY24 presentation. 
  • The key takeaway is that the company will endeavor to improve its efficiency by cross-selling more services through Beauty Supermarket and expanding the sleep therapy business with Goku.
  • Trading at a 12.5% dividend yield with 17% of its market cap in cash and >50% ROEs, the business is solid and worth exploring as an investment. 

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Daily Brief Japan: Honda Motor, Invincible Investment, Kyoto Financial Group and more

By | Daily Briefs, Japan

In today’s briefing:

  • Big Honda (7267) Offering – Flow Timing Matters
  • Invincible Investment Corp Placement  – Another Accretive Acquisition, past Deals Have Done Well
  • Kyoto Financial Group (5844 JP) – Limited Shareholdings Unwind, for Now


Big Honda (7267) Offering – Flow Timing Matters

By Travis Lundy

  • The ¥500bn Offering of Honda shares is now priced (¥1,664.5/share) making it ¥497.46bn. Bookbuilding for retail – 80% of the book – is now. The price today closed at ¥1,665/share. 
  • The Offering has follow-on “non-discretionary” demand which is non-negligible. It is worth understanding the amounts and timing.
  • The lockups and non-discretionary demand, along with Honda’s relative cheapness as a large cap OEM and likely upcoming offerings on competitors means it has support.

Invincible Investment Corp Placement  – Another Accretive Acquisition, past Deals Have Done Well

By Clarence Chu

  • Invincible Investment (8963 JP) is looking to raise around US$375m in its primary follow-on offering. The proceeds will be used to partially acquire 12 assets from its Sponsor’s affiliates. 
  • The REIT has been very active on the acquisition front, and has highlighted its ongoing discussions with its Sponsor for acquisitions. Thus, the current deal should be well flagged.
  • In this note, we talk about the deal dynamics and run the deal through our ECM framework.

Kyoto Financial Group (5844 JP) – Limited Shareholdings Unwind, for Now

By Victor Galliano

  • Kyoto Financial’s stakes in three key listed Japanese corporates are valued at over 85% of its market capitalization with its total equity holdings accounting for 130%+ of its market capitalization
  • Kyoto management intends to retain the bulk of the bank’s equity holdings, opposing the growing trend for Japanese listed companies to unwind crossholdings; management will review this policy in November
  • In the near term, we see no major catalyst for Kyoto to accelerate its equity holdings unwind and so, combined with its underwhelming fundamentals, we are negative on Kyoto Financial

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Daily Brief Utilities: Brookfield Infrastructure Partners L.P., American Water Works Co, Entergy Corp, Dominion Energy Inc, Sempra Energy, Xcel Energy Inc, Public Service Enterprise Group Inc, Duke Energy, Centerpoint Energy, DTE Energy Company and more

By | Daily Briefs, Utilities Sector

In today’s briefing:

  • Brookfield Infrastructure Partners (BIP or BIPC) – Wednesday, Apr 17, 2024
  • American Water Works Company: Initiation of Coverage – PFAS Regulatory Compliance
  • Entergy Corporation: Initiation of Coverage – Strategic Infrastructure Investments To Elevate Their Growth Prospects? – Major Drivers
  • Dominion Energy: Initiation of Coverage – A Deep Dive Into Its Core Business Strategy? – Major Drivers
  • Sempra Energy: Initiation of Coverage – What Is Its Biggest Competitive Advantage? – Major Drivers
  • Xcel Energy Inc.: Initiation of Coverage – Will Its Investments In Clean Energy & Grid Modernization Pay Off? – Major Drivers
  • Public Service Enterprise Group (PSEG): Initiation of Coverage – How They Are Achieving Strategic Growth through Enhanced Service Offerings? – Major Drivers
  • Duke Energy Corporation: Initiation of Coverage – Focus on Economic Development and Infrastructure Push Bound To Yield Results? – Major Drivers
  • CenterPoint Energy Inc.: Initiation of Coverage – These Are The 4 Pivotal Factors Driving Its Performance! – Financial Forecasts
  • DTE Energy Corporation: Initiation of Coverage – How Their Tight Financial Management & Funding Strategy Will Impact The Bottom-Line! – Major Drivers


Brookfield Infrastructure Partners (BIP or BIPC) – Wednesday, Apr 17, 2024

By Value Investors Club

  • Dalrymple Finance report examines financial structure of Brookfield Infrastructure Partners managed by Brookfield Asset Management
  • Report raises concerns about fee maximization practices that may not align with interests of limited partners
  • Comparison with sister entity launched in 2023 highlights flaws in BIP’s financial policies, suggesting a unsustainable pyramid scheme structure

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


American Water Works Company: Initiation of Coverage – PFAS Regulatory Compliance

By Baptista Research

  • American Water started 2023 with promising financial results, as its earnings per share (EPS) rose from $0.91 to $0.95 compared to the same quarter last year.
  • This increase was anticipated, aligning with the company’s forecast and sustaining its full-year earnings guidance.
  • Noteworthy contributing factors include the $0.02 per share rise stemming from additional interest income, linked to amendments in the seller note related to the HOS sale.

Entergy Corporation: Initiation of Coverage – Strategic Infrastructure Investments To Elevate Their Growth Prospects? – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Entergy Corporation has shown a mix of achievements and challenges in its First Quarter 2024 results.
  • Although the company reported adjusted earnings per share of $1.08, which fell below expectations, its management remains optimistic about meeting annual financial goals citing a solid track record in managing operational expenses.
  • Several positive developments were noted, including recognition for customer engagement and the execution of eight electric service agreements with industrial customers.

Dominion Energy: Initiation of Coverage – A Deep Dive Into Its Core Business Strategy? – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Dominion Energy delivered mixed results in the first quarter of 2024, showcasing both resilience and areas needing improvement as it strives to meet its future financial and operational goals.
  • The company reported first quarter operating earnings of $0.55 per share, affected by a $0.06 headwind from adverse weather conditions.
  • However, the sale of East Ohio Gas Company and various operational management (O&M) timings provided some financial relief.

Sempra Energy: Initiation of Coverage – What Is Its Biggest Competitive Advantage? – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Sempra’s first quarter of 2024 results showcases a strong start to the year, affirming its robust financial health and diligent strategic execution across its various segments.
  • This report, reflecting on certain financial and strategic developments, delves into both the achievements and the areas of persistent challenge within the company, thereby providing a comprehensive overview for potential investors.
  • Baptista Research looks to evaluate the different factors that could influence the company’s price in the near future and attempts to carry out an independent valuation of the company using a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) methodology.

Xcel Energy Inc.: Initiation of Coverage – Will Its Investments In Clean Energy & Grid Modernization Pay Off? – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Xcel Energy recently held a discussion regarding their first quarter earnings for 2024, where they announced an increased earnings per share compared to the prior year.
  • During the quarter, the company experienced various operational challenges and opportunities, extensively detailed in their public statements.
  • Xcel Energy continues to emphasize its commitment towards enhancing system resiliency, particularly against wildfire risks, and advancing its clean energy initiatives.

Public Service Enterprise Group (PSEG): Initiation of Coverage – How They Are Achieving Strategic Growth through Enhanced Service Offerings? – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Public Service Enterprise Group reported its first-quarter earnings for 2024, showcasing results that align closely with its annual fiscal projections.
  • The organization aims to maintain its non-GAAP operating earnings guidance of $3.60 to $3.70 per share and anticipates a growth rate between 5% to 7% through 2028.
  • This growth is premised on sizable infrastructure and energy efficiency investments designed to support the electrification of various sectors and a move towards reduced greenhouse gas emissions.

Duke Energy Corporation: Initiation of Coverage – Focus on Economic Development and Infrastructure Push Bound To Yield Results? – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Duke Energy has delivered robust first-quarter 2024 results, underpinned by various strategic implementations and operational efficiencies.
  • With a first-quarter adjusted earnings per share of $1.44, the company outperformed its previous year’s results by $0.24.
  • This financial improvement is primarily attributed to growth from rate reforms across various jurisdictions, increased retail volumes, and favorable weather conditions.

CenterPoint Energy Inc.: Initiation of Coverage – These Are The 4 Pivotal Factors Driving Its Performance! – Financial Forecasts

By Baptista Research

  • CenterPoint Energy has published its first-quarter results for 2024, showing significant resilience and strategic maneuvering despite prevailing challenges.
  • The company achieved non-GAAP EPS of $0.55, successfully earning over one-third of its full-year earnings projection at the midpoint.
  • This result underscores its projected annual EPS growth of 8%, aligning with its strategic plan to bolster shareholder value consistently.

DTE Energy Corporation: Initiation of Coverage – How Their Tight Financial Management & Funding Strategy Will Impact The Bottom-Line! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • DTE Energy presented its first quarter 2024 financial results, showing a robust start to the year.
  • The energy company, well-entrenched with a solid foundation, reported operating earnings of $346 million, translating to $1.67 per share.
  • Despite facing milder winter weather which affected demand, DTE Energy demonstrated financial resilience.

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