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Smartkarma Daily Briefs

Daily Brief Industrials: Japan Airlines, Ushio Inc, Hyundai Hyms , Bizlink Holding, Posco International Corporation, Carr’s Group PLC, J&T Global Express and more

By | Daily Briefs, Industrials

In today’s briefing:

  • Plane Crash at Haneda Airport; Negative for Japan Airport Terminal and Japan Airlines
  • Ushio (6925 JP): Tie-Up with Applied Materials Adds to Long-Term Potential
  • Hyundai Hyms IPO Preview
  • Quiddity Leaderboard T50/​​​100 Mar 24: Bizlink TDIV Deletion Very Close!
  • End of Mandatory Lock-Up Periods for 41 Companies in Korea in January 2024
  • Carr’s Group – Cautious optimism
  • J&T Global Express FY23 Earnings Preview | Revenue Growth & Margin | China, SE Asia, ‘Other’


Plane Crash at Haneda Airport; Negative for Japan Airport Terminal and Japan Airlines

By Mohshin Aziz

  • Japan Airline’s Flight JL516 operated by a two-year-old Airbus A350-900 burst into flames upon landing at Haneda Airport, apparently hitting a small Japanese Coast Guard aircraft  
  • 379 passengers and crew were safely evacuated, but five of six crew on a Japanese coast guard aircraft were unaccounted for
  • Haneda Airport runaways are all closed, aircraft heading to Haneda are diverted to other airports or flights aborted altogether   

Ushio (6925 JP): Tie-Up with Applied Materials Adds to Long-Term Potential

By Scott Foster

  • Ushio has tied up with Applied Materials (AMAT) to develop lithography systems for package substrates using AMAT’s Digital Lithography Technology.
  • This should keep the focus on Ushio’s more advanced technologies (which also include EUV mask inspection light sources) and its potential to rebound with the semiconductor cycle.
  • The shares have dropped back 10% since mid-December, providing an entry point. 3Q results are scheduled to be announced on February 9.

Hyundai Hyms IPO Preview

By Douglas Kim

  • Hyundai Hyms is getting ready to complete its IPO in KOSDAQ in January. The total IPO offering amount is 43.5 billion to 54.9 billion won. 
  • The company is offering 8.7 million shares in this IPO, of which 40% are old shares and 60% are new shares. 
  • Hyundai Hyms specializes in shipbuilding equipment. Hyundai Hyms’s main business includes shipbuilding equipment and related services. 

Quiddity Leaderboard T50/​​​100 Mar 24: Bizlink TDIV Deletion Very Close!

By Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

  • In this insight, we take a look at the names leading the race to become ADDs/DELs for the T50 and T100 Indices for the March 2024 Index Rebalance.
  • As things stand, I see one change for the T50 index and one more change for the T100 index.
  • TDIV member Bizlink Holding (3665 TT) is very close to getting deleted from the T100 index and that could have significant TDIV flow implications too.

End of Mandatory Lock-Up Periods for 41 Companies in Korea in January 2024

By Douglas Kim

  • We discuss the end of the mandatory lock-up periods for 41 stocks in Korea in January 2024, among which 4 are in KOSPI and 37 are in KOSDAQ.
  • These 41 stocks on average could be subject to further selling pressures in January and could underperform relative to the market.
  • Among these 41 stocks, top five market cap stocks include Posco International, Doosan Robotics, Rainbow Robotics, Qualitas Semiconductor, and PhilEnergy.

Carr’s Group – Cautious optimism

By Edison Investment Research

Cyclical weakness in Carr’s Group’s Speciality Agriculture business has affected the company’s fortunes of late. However, the new management team, a strong net cash balance sheet and a record order book in the Engineering division offer optimism. Operational progress, particularly a reversal of fortunes in Speciality Agriculture, should rebuild confidence and a reduction in the current discount to our view of the underlying value.


J&T Global Express FY23 Earnings Preview | Revenue Growth & Margin | China, SE Asia, ‘Other’

By Daniel Hellberg

  • In this insight we preview J&T’s maiden earnings report as a listed company
  • We focus on revenue growth & margin trends in the China & SE Asia businesses
  • We fear slowing organic growth & margin deterioration could spook investors

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Daily Brief Industrials: Japan Airlines, Ushio Inc, Hyundai Hyms , Bizlink Holding, Posco International Corporation, Carr’s Group PLC, J&T Global Express and more

By | Daily Briefs, Industrials

In today’s briefing:

  • Plane Crash at Haneda Airport; Negative for Japan Airport Terminal and Japan Airlines
  • Ushio (6925 JP): Tie-Up with Applied Materials Adds to Long-Term Potential
  • Hyundai Hyms IPO Preview
  • Quiddity Leaderboard T50/​​​100 Mar 24: Bizlink TDIV Deletion Very Close!
  • End of Mandatory Lock-Up Periods for 41 Companies in Korea in January 2024
  • Carr’s Group – Cautious optimism
  • J&T Global Express FY23 Earnings Preview | Revenue Growth & Margin | China, SE Asia, ‘Other’


Plane Crash at Haneda Airport; Negative for Japan Airport Terminal and Japan Airlines

By Mohshin Aziz

  • Japan Airline’s Flight JL516 operated by a two-year-old Airbus A350-900 burst into flames upon landing at Haneda Airport, apparently hitting a small Japanese Coast Guard aircraft  
  • 379 passengers and crew were safely evacuated, but five of six crew on a Japanese coast guard aircraft were unaccounted for
  • Haneda Airport runaways are all closed, aircraft heading to Haneda are diverted to other airports or flights aborted altogether   

Ushio (6925 JP): Tie-Up with Applied Materials Adds to Long-Term Potential

By Scott Foster

  • Ushio has tied up with Applied Materials (AMAT) to develop lithography systems for package substrates using AMAT’s Digital Lithography Technology.
  • This should keep the focus on Ushio’s more advanced technologies (which also include EUV mask inspection light sources) and its potential to rebound with the semiconductor cycle.
  • The shares have dropped back 10% since mid-December, providing an entry point. 3Q results are scheduled to be announced on February 9.

Hyundai Hyms IPO Preview

By Douglas Kim

  • Hyundai Hyms is getting ready to complete its IPO in KOSDAQ in January. The total IPO offering amount is 43.5 billion to 54.9 billion won. 
  • The company is offering 8.7 million shares in this IPO, of which 40% are old shares and 60% are new shares. 
  • Hyundai Hyms specializes in shipbuilding equipment. Hyundai Hyms’s main business includes shipbuilding equipment and related services. 

Quiddity Leaderboard T50/​​​100 Mar 24: Bizlink TDIV Deletion Very Close!

By Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

  • In this insight, we take a look at the names leading the race to become ADDs/DELs for the T50 and T100 Indices for the March 2024 Index Rebalance.
  • As things stand, I see one change for the T50 index and one more change for the T100 index.
  • TDIV member Bizlink Holding (3665 TT) is very close to getting deleted from the T100 index and that could have significant TDIV flow implications too.

End of Mandatory Lock-Up Periods for 41 Companies in Korea in January 2024

By Douglas Kim

  • We discuss the end of the mandatory lock-up periods for 41 stocks in Korea in January 2024, among which 4 are in KOSPI and 37 are in KOSDAQ.
  • These 41 stocks on average could be subject to further selling pressures in January and could underperform relative to the market.
  • Among these 41 stocks, top five market cap stocks include Posco International, Doosan Robotics, Rainbow Robotics, Qualitas Semiconductor, and PhilEnergy.

Carr’s Group – Cautious optimism

By Edison Investment Research

Cyclical weakness in Carr’s Group’s Speciality Agriculture business has affected the company’s fortunes of late. However, the new management team, a strong net cash balance sheet and a record order book in the Engineering division offer optimism. Operational progress, particularly a reversal of fortunes in Speciality Agriculture, should rebuild confidence and a reduction in the current discount to our view of the underlying value.


J&T Global Express FY23 Earnings Preview | Revenue Growth & Margin | China, SE Asia, ‘Other’

By Daniel Hellberg

  • In this insight we preview J&T’s maiden earnings report as a listed company
  • We focus on revenue growth & margin trends in the China & SE Asia businesses
  • We fear slowing organic growth & margin deterioration could spook investors

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Daily Brief Health Care: WuXi XDC Cayman , Eisai Co Ltd and more

By | Daily Briefs, Healthcare

In today’s briefing:

  • HSCI Index Rebalance Preview and Stock Connect: Potential Changes in March
  • WuXi XDC Cayman (2268.HK) – Would It Be An “Oasis in the Desert”?
  • Eisai Co Ltd (4523 JP): Why Performance Reversal Is Not Expected in Near-Term


HSCI Index Rebalance Preview and Stock Connect: Potential Changes in March

By Brian Freitas

  • We see 30 potential adds (including plenty of new listings) and 28 potential deletes (on market cap and liquidity) for the Hang Seng Composite Index in March.
  • We expect 26 stocks to be added to Southbound Stock Connect following the rebalance while 25 stocks could be deleted from the trading link and become Sell-only.
  • There are stocks that have a very high percentage of holdings via Stock Connect and there could be some unwinding prior to the stocks becoming Sell-only.

WuXi XDC Cayman (2268.HK) – Would It Be An “Oasis in the Desert”?

By Xinyao (Criss) Wang

  • WuXi XDC looks like “an outlier” among domestic CXOs – Its share price has performed well so far. As a niche player, WuXi XDC’s short-term performance growth is relatively guaranteed.
  • We analyzed the valuation of WuXi XDC Cayman (2268 HK) under different scenarios. How much upside WuXi XDC’s valuation would have depends on the future real market size of ADCs.
  • We’re conservative about whether we could have a US$50 billion ADC market. The “lucky” part for WuXi XDC is the current ADC market brings “a safe window period” for investors.

Eisai Co Ltd (4523 JP): Why Performance Reversal Is Not Expected in Near-Term

By Tina Banerjee

  • Eisai Co Ltd (4523 JP) shares corrected more than 60% from highs over the disappointment from Alzheimer’s disease drug Leqembi. During H1FY24, Leqembi reported revenue of just ¥400M ($3M).
  • With approximately 40% revenue contribution, anti-cancer drug Lenvima is the top selling drug of Eisai. In the U.S., Lenvima patent protection will start to expire in US in October 2025.
  • In December, Eisai has submitted a marketing authorization application in Japan for tasurgratinib for biliary tract cancer. If approved, tasurgratinob will be a late entrant in a crowded market.

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Daily Brief Financials: HS Holdings, Korea Stock Exchange Kospi Index, Shriram Finance and more

By | Daily Briefs, Financials

In today’s briefing:

  • HS Holdings (8699) – New Year, New Issues So Lots of Value But Buyer Beware!
  • KRX’s Mandatory English Disclosure Debut: A Detailed Guide on Utilizing This Without Confusion
  • NIFTY50 Index Rebalance Preview: One Change, Maybe Two, Low Probability of Three


HS Holdings (8699) – New Year, New Issues So Lots of Value But Buyer Beware!

By Travis Lundy

  • Under the requirements of the Amended Mongolian Banking Law (Feb 2021), Khan Bank (KHAN MO) needed to IPO. It did, and HS Holdings (8699 JP)‘s stake fell to 49.77%. 
  • It was de-consolidated. They were locked up for 6mos. The look-through financials are easier now. The company has bought back stock and trades at <0.5x book.
  • But the Mongolian Banking Law required one more thing. All D-SIBs had to get all shareholders below 20% by 31 December 2023. It’s not clear that happened. 

KRX’s Mandatory English Disclosure Debut: A Detailed Guide on Utilizing This Without Confusion

By Sanghyun Park

  • KRX’s lack of a standardized English translation platform may lead to non-standardized terminology and varying translation quality. KRX stresses cross-checking Korean and English disclosures due to potential errors. 
  • The 3-day lag between Korean and English disclosures poses timeliness challenges, requiring consistent cross-checking. Overall, the process for foreign investors using Korean market disclosure sites remains largely unchanged.
  • The common procedure should still be to first check disclosures using English titles, then convert to Korean for reading. If English disclosures exist, utilize them for cross-checking.

NIFTY50 Index Rebalance Preview: One Change, Maybe Two, Low Probability of Three

By Brian Freitas


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Daily Brief Consumer: APR, China Tourism Group Duty Free Corp Ltd, Dada Nexus , Toyoda Gosei and more

By | Consumer, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • APR IPO Valuation Analysis
  • China Tourism Group (601888 CH | BUY | CNY): New Duty-Free Contracts with Airports, Slight Negative
  • Dada Nexus (DADA.OQ) – Leading Chinese On-Demand Retail Platform Accelerates on Significant Runway
  • Quiddity JPX-Nikkei 400 Rebal 2024: End-Dec 2023


APR IPO Valuation Analysis

By Douglas Kim

  • Our base case valuation of APR is implied price of 370,809 won per share, representing an 85% upside from the high end of the bankers’ valuation range. 
  • We estimate APR to generate sales of 683.9 billion won (up 25.7% YoY) and operating profit of 114.6 billion won (up 39.5% YoY) in 2024. 
  • APR is one of the best IPOs in the Korean cosmetics sector in the past several years.

China Tourism Group (601888 CH | BUY | CNY): New Duty-Free Contracts with Airports, Slight Negative

By Mohshin Aziz

  • China Tourism Group Duty Free Corp Ltd (601888 CH) (CTG) announced last week a new supplementary contract for its duty-free airport businesses in Beijing and Shanghai airports
  • The new deal aims to promote collaborations between the airports and CTG, acting like true partners. However, we think it is more positive for airports and slight detriment to CTG
  • Maintain our Bullish call with an unchanged target price of CNY106 (+27% UPSIDE), based on the company’s lowest recorded PE ratio in the past 10 years of 23.2x into FY24

Dada Nexus (DADA.OQ) – Leading Chinese On-Demand Retail Platform Accelerates on Significant Runway

By Pyramids and Pagodas

  • Dada Nexus Limited (DADA.OQ) (“Dada”), with a market cap of USD 869.9 million, is one of China’s leading on-demand retail platforms holding around 20% market share behind Meituan (42%, 3690.HK) and Ele.me (24%, Alibaba-owned).
  • Dada, a 54% subsidiary of JD.com (JD.OQ; 9618.HK) and 9% owned by Walmart Inc. (WMT.N) operates two core businesses, namely:
  • JD Daojia (JDDJ), which is a local non-restaurant online to offline (“O2O”) retail marketplace


Quiddity JPX-Nikkei 400 Rebal 2024: End-Dec 2023

By Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

  • JPX-Nikkei 400 is composed of common stocks listed on the Tokyo Stock Exchange. It is a free-float-adjusted market-value-weighted (capped) index composed of 400 constituents.
  • A periodic review is conducted by the Index providers, the JPX Group and Nikkei Inc, in August every year. We look at the rankings of the potential ADDs/DELs every month.
  • Below is a look at potential ADDs/DELs for the JPX-Nikkei 400 Index Rebal to come in August 2024 based on trading data as of end-December 2023.

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Most Read: JOYY, Daiwa House Reit Investment, Weiqiao Textile Co, Ganfeng Lithium, Swire Pacific (A), Vinda International, Zhongsheng Group, APR, Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) – ADR, Ecopro Co Ltd and more

By | Daily Briefs, Most Read

In today’s briefing:

  • JOYY (JOYY US): Rumoured Privatisation
  • Japan – Increasing Shorts on Some Interesting Stocks
  • Merger Arb Mondays (01 Jan) – Weiqiao Textile, IRC, IJTT, JSR, Shinko Electric, Hollysys, OreCorp
  • A/H Premium Tracker (To 29 Dec 23):  STAY Long Hs Vs As, Wide Premia in Renewables Look Vulnerable
  • Last Week in Event SPACE: Fujitsu General, Swire Pacific, Li Ning, IJJT
  • (Mostly) Asia M&A, Dec 2023: Vinda, Adbri, Perpetual, CPMC, Sigma Health, Shinko Electric
  • HSCEI Index Rebalance Preview: Zhongsheng (881 HK) Should Go This Time
  • APR IPO Preview
  • Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC Premium Remains High; ADR Short Interest Spiked
  • Insiders Related Daisy Partners Sells About 270 Billion Won of Ecopro Co and Ecopro BM


JOYY (JOYY US): Rumoured Privatisation

By David Blennerhassett

Back in May 2016, a buyout group comprising Xiaomi Corp (1810 HK)‘s founder Lei Jun terminated its US$2.5bn Offer for JOYY (YY US), on account of heightened regulatory scrutiny. At the time, Lei was JOYY’s chairman. The buyout group also comprised CEO David Xueling Li. The non-binding Offer price for ~64% of shares out not held by the buyout group was US$68.50/share.  

Fast forward to 16 November last year, Baidu (9888 HK) announced it had entered into definitive agreements with JOYY to acquire its domestic video-based entertainment live streaming business in China (“YY Live”), for US$3.6bn. 

Two days later, Muddy Water had a slightly less favourable take on Baidu “buying growth”. 

JOYY and certain of its current and former officers and directors were named as defendants in a federal putative securities class action filed on the 20 November 2020, alleging that they made material misstatements and omissions in documents filed with the SEC regarding certain of the allegations contained in the MW report.

On the 8 February, JOYY disclosed the conclusion of the independent review, which concluded that the allegations raised and conclusions reached in that MW report about JOYY’s YY Live business were not substantiated.

The Baidu sale has been substantially completed, with certain customary matters remaining to be completed  – namely SAMR. 

The New News

Reuters is reporting that Chairman David Li and Lei Jun are reloading an Offer for JOYY. Reportedly they are looking to offer US$75-$100/share, or a market cap of US$7.8bn at the top end of that range.

More below the fold.


Japan – Increasing Shorts on Some Interesting Stocks

By Brian Freitas

  • There are a bunch of stocks that have underperformed the Nikkei 225 (NKY INDEX) and their peers and could be deleted from global passive portfolios early next year.
  • The deletion from passive portfolios will lead to a liquidity event at the end of February where passive trackers will need to sell multiple days of ADV.
  • Shorts have started to increase on some of the stocks and there will be further positioning as we near the liquidity event.

Merger Arb Mondays (01 Jan) – Weiqiao Textile, IRC, IJTT, JSR, Shinko Electric, Hollysys, OreCorp

By Arun George


A/H Premium Tracker (To 29 Dec 23):  STAY Long Hs Vs As, Wide Premia in Renewables Look Vulnerable

By Travis Lundy

  • The New and Better (5mos old) A-H Premium Tracker has tables, charts, measures galore to track A/H premium positioning, southbound and northbound positioning/volatility in pairs over time, etc.
  • SOUTHBOUND flows flat/light and NORTHBOUND flows a significant net buy, respectively, but liquid Hs with H/A pairs OUT-perform As on average by 200+bp. 
  • STILL time to go long Hs vs As for the new year. 52wk wide discounts were just last week. Wide A/H premia in renewables space look vulnerable.

Last Week in Event SPACE: Fujitsu General, Swire Pacific, Li Ning, IJJT

By David Blennerhassett


(Mostly) Asia M&A, Dec 2023: Vinda, Adbri, Perpetual, CPMC, Sigma Health, Shinko Electric

By David Blennerhassett

  • For the month of December 2023, 16 new deals (firm and non-binding) were discussed on Smartkarma with an overall announced deal size of ~US$10bn.
  • The average premium for the new deals announced (or first discussed) in December was 44.7%. The average YTD is 39% (117 deals).
  • This compares to the average premium for all deals in 2022 (106 deals), 2021 (165 deals), 2020 (158 deals), and 2019 (145 deals) of 41%, 33%, 31%, and 31% respectively.

HSCEI Index Rebalance Preview: Zhongsheng (881 HK) Should Go This Time

By Brian Freitas

  • Zhongsheng Group (881 HK) pops up as a potential deletion yet again and a much lower rank raises the probability of deletion to just short of a near certainty.
  • With BeiGene (6160 HK) failing the Velocity Test for Tradeable Indexes, Zhongsheng Group (881 HK)‘s deletion from the index should result in China Unicom Hong Kong (762 HK)‘s inclusion. 
  • Estimated one-way turnover at the rebalance is 1.47% resulting in a one-way trade of HK$946m. Passives will need to trade over 2.5x ADV on both stocks.

APR IPO Preview

By Douglas Kim

  • APR is getting ready to complete an IPO in KOSPI in February 2024. The IPO price range is from 147,000 won to 200,000 won. 
  • According to the bankers’ valuation, the company’s valuation is expected to range from 1.1 trillion won to 1.6 trillion won post IPO. 
  • The company’s best selling product is its skin care beauty device product called Medicube Age-R. 

Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC Premium Remains High; ADR Short Interest Spiked

By Vincent Fernando, CFA

  • TSMC: 9.2% Premium — Spread Fell But Remains Historically High; Short Interest Spiked for ADRs
  • UMC: Trading at -1.2% Discount — Still Uncompelling, Wait for Lower Levels
  • ASE: Drops to 7% Premium — Could Soon Be at a Level to Go Long

Insiders Related Daisy Partners Sells About 270 Billion Won of Ecopro Co and Ecopro BM

By Douglas Kim

  • On 29 December, Ecopro Group announced large selling of Ecopro Co Ltd (086520 KS) and Ecopro BM (247540 KS) by Daisy Partners worth 272 billion won in December.
  • Daisy Partners is a company 100% owned by Chairman of Ecopro Group Lee Dong-Chae and his family members.
  • Daisy Partners is likely to sell more shares in Ecopro Co and Ecopro BM in the next several years to increase the foundation’s capital to about 500 billion won.

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Daily Brief ESG: Necessary to Dissolve Cross Shareholdings While Simultaneously Ensuring the Independence of BoD and more

By | Daily Briefs, ESG

In today’s briefing:

  • Necessary to Dissolve Cross Shareholdings While Simultaneously Ensuring the Independence of BoD


Necessary to Dissolve Cross Shareholdings While Simultaneously Ensuring the Independence of BoD

By Aki Matsumoto

  • Toyota’s sale of Denso shares is believed to be aimed at securing cash for full-scale EV production, and it’s premature to expect “governance improvement through the sale of cross-held shares.”
  • Since Toyota intends to maintain a 20% equity stake in Denso, which is an equity method affiliate, there will be no change in the influence on Denso for a while.
  • While intercompany shareholdings and board reciprocity based on business relationships were one of Toyota’s strengths, the interests of minority shareholders were at risk of being left behind.

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Daily Brief Quantitative Analysis: A-H Premium Weekly (Dec 29th): China Tourism and more

By | Daily Briefs, Quantitative Analysis

In today’s briefing:

  • A-H Premium Weekly (Dec 29th): China Tourism, ZTE, Datang Intl, First Tractor, Hua Hong Semi
  • Hong Kong Connect Flows (Dec 29th): China Mobile, Tencent
  • Northbound Flows (Dec 29th): Longi Green, Wuliangye, Changan Automobile
  • TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Dec 29th): Foreign Insti Increased Holdings
  • TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Dec 29th): Short Covering Towards Year End


A-H Premium Weekly (Dec 29th): China Tourism, ZTE, Datang Intl, First Tractor, Hua Hong Semi

By Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

  • We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 146 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 123.1% as of Dec 29th.
  • The average A-H premium changed by -4.6ppt week on week, led by communication services, health care, consumer discretionary and offset by consumer staples.
  • We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for China Tourism, ZTE, Datang Intl, First Tractor, Hua Hong Semi.

Hong Kong Connect Flows (Dec 29th): China Mobile, Tencent

By Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

  • We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of December 29th.
  • The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.
  • We highlight flows for China Mobile, and Tencent Holdings Limited.

Northbound Flows (Dec 29th): Longi Green, Wuliangye, Changan Automobile

By Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

  • We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of December 29th.
  • We estimate the weekly inflows to be US$2,840.5 million, led by information technology, materials, industrials sectors, and offset by communication services.
  • We highlight flows for Longi Green, Wuliangye, Chongqing Changan Automobile.

TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Dec 29th): Foreign Insti Increased Holdings

By Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

  • We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of Dec 29th which has an aggregated holding worth USD730.2bn.
  • We estimate that foreign flows to be inflows of USD2,532mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y.
  • We highlight foreign changes in TSMC, Umc, and Asia Vital.

TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Dec 29th): Short Covering Towards Year End

By Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

  • We analyzed the changes in short interest of TWSE Stocks as of Dec 29th which has an aggregated short interest worth USD14.1bn.
  • We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases & decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
  • We highlight short interest changes in Acer, China Airlines, Chung-Hsin, Quanta Computer, Yang Ming Marine, Wiwynn, Realtek Semi, Umc.

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Daily Brief Australia: Rio Tinto Ltd and more

By | Australia, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • Selected European HoldCos and DLC: December’23 Report


Selected European HoldCos and DLC: December’23 Report

By Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

  • The discounts to NAV of covered holdcos have mainly widened during December. Discounts to NAV: C.F.Alba, 49.1% (vs. 47.1%); GBL, 36.6% (vs. 34.9%); Heineken Holding, 16.7% (vs. 14.5%);
  • Industrivärden C, 5.4% (vs.4.9%); Investor B, 13.5% (vs. 14.6%); Porsche Automobile Holding, 37.1% (vs. 39.9%).  The spread of Rio DLC widened to 24.2% (vs.17.2%).
  • What seems interesting: in holding trades, Porsche SE/vs. listed assets and the Rio DLC: long RIO LN/short RIO AU.

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Daily Brief Thematic (Sector/Industry): China’s Rising Role in Global ADC Partnership Wave – Opportunities and Risks Behind the Gold Rush and more

By | Daily Briefs, Thematic (Sector/Industry)

In today’s briefing:

  • China’s Rising Role in Global ADC Partnership Wave – Opportunities and Risks Behind the Gold Rush


China’s Rising Role in Global ADC Partnership Wave – Opportunities and Risks Behind the Gold Rush

By Xinyao (Criss) Wang

  • If checking the hot ADC transactions in recent years, a very big portion of ADC varieties in global licensing deals are from Chinese pharmaceutical companies, which is actually very rare.
  • While international buyers are “very generous” for ADC assets and MNC’s appetite would remain strong, they will immediately calm down and stop once they see any “potential risk” behind.
  • For Chinese pharmaceutical companies, ADC license-out deal is more of a temporary catalyst. We suggest taking a rational view. ADC CDMO (e.g. WuXi XDC) could be a better investment option.

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