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Smartkarma Daily Briefs

Daily Brief TMT/Internet: Suzhou Novosense Microelectron, L&F Co Ltd, China Mobile, Softbank Group, E2open Parent Holdings Inc and more

By | Daily Briefs, TMT/Internet

In today’s briefing:

  • Quiddity Leaderboard STAR 50 Mar 24: Three Changes; ~US$1bn One-Way; Some Trade Ideas
  • L&F (066970 KS): Will the Stock Move Like PoscoDX Following the KOSDAQ to KOSPI Transfer?
  • A/H Premium Tracker (To 12 Jan 2024):  STAY Long Hs Vs As: Premia Still Wide, Huge High-Div SOE Perf
  • Aequitas 2024 Asia IPO Pipeline – Japan & Korea
  • E2Open Parent Holdings Inc (ETWO) – Monday, Oct 16, 2023


Quiddity Leaderboard STAR 50 Mar 24: Three Changes; ~US$1bn One-Way; Some Trade Ideas

By Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

  • STAR 50 Index is a tech-focused, blue-chip index in Mainland China which tracks the top 50 largest and most liquid names in the STAR market of the Shanghai Stock Exchange.
  • In this insight, we take a look at our expectations for potential ADDs and DELs for the STAR 50 index during the March 2024 index rebal event.
  • I currently expect three changes for the STAR 50 index in March 2024.

L&F (066970 KS): Will the Stock Move Like PoscoDX Following the KOSDAQ to KOSPI Transfer?

By Brian Freitas

  • Posco DX (022100 KS) rallied 50% following approval of its application to transfer from the KOSDAQ to the KOSPI market. Then the stock dropped 20% following completion of the transfer.
  • With L&F Co Ltd (066970 KS) applying for a section transfer a couple of weeks after Posco DX (022100 KS), approval could be imminent. 
  • L&F Co Ltd (066970 KS) is up 46% since the start of November, but the stock has performed in line with the average of its peers.

A/H Premium Tracker (To 12 Jan 2024):  STAY Long Hs Vs As: Premia Still Wide, Huge High-Div SOE Perf

By Travis Lundy

  • The New and Better (5mos old) A-H Premium Tracker has tables, charts, measures galore to track A/H premium positioning, southbound and northbound positioning/volatility in pairs over time, etc.
  • SOUTHBOUND flows were net negative (ETFs negative, high-div SOEs positive) and NORTHBOUND flows a small net sell. AH premia rose slightly on average. Especially at narrow premia.
  • STILL time to go long Hs vs As for the new year. 52wk wide discounts were just four weeks ago. Wide A/H premia in renewables space look vulnerable.

Aequitas 2024 Asia IPO Pipeline – Japan & Korea

By Sumeet Singh

  • In this note, we will look at the Asia Pacific IPO pipeline for 2024, following up with Japan & Korea, after having looked at Hong Kong and India earlier.
  • This list has been compiled on a best effort basis from tracking the company filings and through various other sources
  • The deals you see in this note are only a part of our full IPO pipeline tracker. Feel free to drop us a message for additional information on these IPOs.

E2Open Parent Holdings Inc (ETWO) – Monday, Oct 16, 2023

By Value Investors Club

Key points (machine generated)

  • E2open provides a comprehensive supply chain management platform, offering solutions for planning, execution, and procurement, making it a major player in the industry.
  • E2open has a large customer base and long average tenure, indicating the trust and reliability of their services.
  • The vast amount of data gathered from partners enhances E2open’s AI/ML capabilities, allowing for more accurate analysis and forecasting, positioning the company well to meet ongoing demand for efficient supply chain management solutions.

This article is sourced from an online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


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Daily Brief Financials: Japan Exchange Group, Commerzbank AG, ClimateRock, Seazen (Formerly Future Land) and more

By | Daily Briefs, Financials

In today’s briefing:

  • Japan Governance | The TSE Naughty List
  • Deutsche Bank/Commerzbank: Quick Take on Merger Talks
  • Scripting the Future
  • Morning Views Asia: Vedanta Resources


Japan Governance | The TSE Naughty List

By Mark Chadwick

  • The TSE’s new efforts to encourage companies to disclose measures to improve their capital efficiency and stock prices correlate closely with general indicators of good governance.
  • Over 60% of companies that we classify as “Proactive” have already disclosed their status, while only around one third of “Obstructive” companies have done so.
  • Companies with higher levels of Board Independence and that are more aligned with shareholders are more likely to be better allocators of capital for long-term growth.

Deutsche Bank/Commerzbank: Quick Take on Merger Talks

By Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

  • The German Government is planning to reduce its stake in private companies (100+), which is reviving the talk of a merger between Commerzbank (15.75% owned by Germany) and Deutsche Bank.
  • In case of a (logical) all-share merger, the German Government would just exchange a 15.75% stake in Commerzbank for a smaller one in the New Deutsche Bank (estimated ~5.75%).
  • The most likely outcome is an accelerated book build among institutional investors (as the British Government has done with Natwest, formerly RBS, in the past), in my view.

Scripting the Future

By subSPAC

  • The last week was packed with activity from SPACs ranging from Deals to LOIs and Lawsuits.
  • A SPAC will take a holding company public while a blank-cheque firm signs a letter of intent to take an AI-focused company public.
  • Also, a SPAC filed a suit against an investment firm and fintech De-SPACs outperformed their IPO peers in Q4. Read on to find out the latest about all things SPACs.

Morning Views Asia: Vedanta Resources

By Charles Macgregor

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.


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Daily Brief Consumer: PT Avia Avian, Seven & I Holdings, PDD Holdings, Fila Holdings, Amer Sports , ASICS Corp, Herbalife Ltd, NEOGAMES and more

By | Consumer, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • PT Avia Avian (AVIA IJ) – A More Glossy Future
  • Seven & I Spends Another $950mn on Acquisitions, A Possible Defense Against Investor Activism
  • Pinduoduo (PDD US): Another Strong Beat Around the Corner
  • Insiders Are Buying Shares In These Korean Companies in January 2024
  • Amer Sports Pre-IPO – The Negatives – COVID Rebound, Weak Margins
  • Asics: Aiming for No. 1
  • Herbalife (HLF) – Sunday, Oct 15, 2023
  • Neogames Sa (Ngms) – Monday, Oct 16, 2023


PT Avia Avian (AVIA IJ) – A More Glossy Future

By Angus Mackintosh

  • Avia Avian (AVIA IJ) is Indonesia’s largest paint manufacturer with a strong track record, selling a wide range of architectural solutions products, with a countrywide distribution network. 
  • The company continues to add to its product portfolio by adding more affordable products to cater for consumers trading down due to inflationary pressures depressing disposable incomes. 
  • Avia Avian continues to add to its distribution network and has introduced express delivery that allows retailers to take more products but less inventory. Valuations are attractive with supportive dividends.

Seven & I Spends Another $950mn on Acquisitions, A Possible Defense Against Investor Activism

By Oshadhi Kumarasiri

  • Alongside results broadly aligning with consensus expectations, Seven & I Holdings (3382 JP) announced yet another major acquisition.
  • The company has agreed to acquire 204 convenience stores in the US for an acquisition price of $950m.
  • It seems that through aggressive overseas expansion and share buybacks, Seven & I is aiming to retain its overseas investors and simultaneously ward off potential investor activism.

Pinduoduo (PDD US): Another Strong Beat Around the Corner

By Eric Chen

  • We expect PDD to report the highest growth in topline for 4Q23 over last three years. In particular, we believe its bottom line will beat by wide margin.
  • But easy days are gone for PDD’s domestic e-commerce business and high base will kick in from 1Q24, resulting in tough comps, notable deceleration and potentially short-term share price volatility.
  • We see 20% upside to current PDD valuation by assigning 20xPE to our US$12 billion adjusted net profit estimate for 2024.

Insiders Are Buying Shares In These Korean Companies in January 2024

By Douglas Kim

  • We provide a list of four companies including Fila Holdings, Kolmar BNH, KG Mobility, and Hanwha Galleria where the insiders have been buying shares of their own companies. 
  • These four stocks are up on average 5.6% in the past one month, outperforming KOSPI which is down 1.6% in the same period.
  • Insiders at Fila Holdings are probably increasing their stakes to capitalize on the price discrepancy as Fila Holdings’ 51% stake in Acushnet is 39% more than its current market cap. 

Amer Sports Pre-IPO – The Negatives – COVID Rebound, Weak Margins

By Sumeet Singh

  • Amer Sports (AS US) plans to raise more than US$1bn in its US IPO. Proceeds will be used to pay down loans to Anta Sports Products (2020 HK) led consortium.
  • Amer Sports is a sports and outdoor brands company making clothing and other sporting equipment for use in snow sports, running, climbing, baseball, american football, tennis and other sports.
  • In this note, we talk about the not-so-positive aspects of the deal.

Asics: Aiming for No. 1

By Michael Causton

  • After forecasting record sales for this year, Asics now wants to become the leading performance running brand in Japan, Europe and the US by 2026.
  • To achieve this, Asics has invested in buying up many of the leading race platforms around the world to harvest data and link its brand to serious running events.
  • The sports firm could also see significant growth for the Onitsuka Tiger brand, particularly across Asia.

Herbalife (HLF) – Sunday, Oct 15, 2023

By Value Investors Club

Key points (machine generated)

  • Herbalife’s international business is seeing an increase in volume trends, which is expected to result in a return to top-line growth in the current quarter.
  • Investors are mainly focused on the 20% of revenue generated from the US market, but there is significant growth potential in the other 80% of the company’s international operations.
  • Despite the performance of the US market, Herbalife is projected to earn more than $3.00 per share this year and $4.00 per share next year.

This article is sourced from an online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


Neogames Sa (Ngms) – Monday, Oct 16, 2023

By Value Investors Club

Key points (machine generated)

  • The deal does not require regulatory approvals from Israel, increasing the chances of successful completion.
  • The Middle East situation is unlikely to have a significant impact on the deal, as NGMS’s assets and value proposition remain stable.
  • The deal offers an attractive spread and potential for a low-risk profit opportunity.

This article is sourced from an online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


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Daily Brief ESG: Japan Governance | The TSE Naughty List and more

By | Daily Briefs, ESG

In today’s briefing:

  • Japan Governance | The TSE Naughty List
  • Ownership of Company Stock Is a Key in Managing the Company with the Same Goals as Shareholders


Japan Governance | The TSE Naughty List

By Mark Chadwick

  • The TSE’s new efforts to encourage companies to disclose measures to improve their capital efficiency and stock prices correlate closely with general indicators of good governance.
  • Over 60% of companies that we classify as “Proactive” have already disclosed their status, while only around one third of “Obstructive” companies have done so.
  • Companies with higher levels of Board Independence and that are more aligned with shareholders are more likely to be better allocators of capital for long-term growth.

Ownership of Company Stock Is a Key in Managing the Company with the Same Goals as Shareholders

By Aki Matsumoto

  • Wouldn’t the shareholders of Mitsubishi Chemical want to either TOB for the growth of the subsidiary or invest the cash from the sale of shares in a value-generating business?
  • It’s difficult to exclude the influence of the parent company in business decisions that impact significantly on the parent’s earnings and shareholding. Is continued parent-subsidiary listing desirable for subsidiary’s shareholders?
  • The management of Nippon Sanso wants to continue the parent-subsidiary listing, but their small shareholding may make it difficult to manage the company from the same perspective as the shareholders.

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Daily Brief Credit: Morning Views Asia: Vedanta Resources and more

By | Credit, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • Morning Views Asia: Vedanta Resources


Morning Views Asia: Vedanta Resources

By Charles Macgregor

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.


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Daily Brief ECM: Amer Sports Pre-IPO – The Negatives – COVID Rebound and more

By | Daily Briefs, ECM

In today’s briefing:

  • Amer Sports Pre-IPO – The Negatives – COVID Rebound, Weak Margins
  • Medi Assist Healthcare Services IPO – Benefited from the Pandemic, but Marred with Risks
  • Aequitas 2024 Asia IPO Pipeline – Japan & Korea


Amer Sports Pre-IPO – The Negatives – COVID Rebound, Weak Margins

By Sumeet Singh

  • Amer Sports (AS US) plans to raise more than US$1bn in its US IPO. Proceeds will be used to pay down loans to Anta Sports Products (2020 HK) led consortium.
  • Amer Sports is a sports and outdoor brands company making clothing and other sporting equipment for use in snow sports, running, climbing, baseball, american football, tennis and other sports.
  • In this note, we talk about the not-so-positive aspects of the deal.

Medi Assist Healthcare Services IPO – Benefited from the Pandemic, but Marred with Risks

By Clarence Chu

  • Medi Assist Healthcare Services (0886371D IN) is looking to raise around US$140m in its India IPO.
  • Medi Assist Healthcare Services (Medi Assist) provides third party administration services to insurance companies via its subsidiaries.
  • In this note, we will look at the firm’s past performance, and share our thoughts on valuation.

Aequitas 2024 Asia IPO Pipeline – Japan & Korea

By Sumeet Singh

  • In this note, we will look at the Asia Pacific IPO pipeline for 2024, following up with Japan & Korea, after having looked at Hong Kong and India earlier.
  • This list has been compiled on a best effort basis from tracking the company filings and through various other sources
  • The deals you see in this note are only a part of our full IPO pipeline tracker. Feel free to drop us a message for additional information on these IPOs.

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Daily Brief Thematic (Sector/Industry): Ohayo Japan | US Market on Hols; TSE Releases THE List and more

By | Daily Briefs, Thematic (Sector/Industry)

In today’s briefing:

  • Ohayo Japan | US Market on Hols; TSE Releases THE List
  • Value Investing Substack Portfolio Review | Annual Letter 2023
  • Weekly Stock Bullfinder – Week of 1/15


Ohayo Japan | US Market on Hols; TSE Releases THE List

By Mark Chadwick

  • US markets closed; Nikkei futures point to stronger open; VIPs head to Davos
  • TSE strengthens influence on CEOs, unveiling a list of companies improving capital efficiency and stock prices….and by omission, those that are not. 
  • Japan experiences an eight-year high in corporate bankruptcies in 2023, with failures increasing across all sectors due to surging prices, labor shortages, and COVID-19 relief loan repayments.

Value Investing Substack Portfolio Review | Annual Letter 2023

By Value Investing

  • The red & blue arrows highlight the apples-to-apples comparisons to be made between the respective bars (more details below)
  • Around this time last year , I did a portfolio performance review based on all the stocks I had written about in 2022.
  • This article is a repeat of that for all the stocks I had written about in 2023.

Weekly Stock Bullfinder – Week of 1/15

By Weekly Stock Bull Finder

  • As we begin 2024, the past few week have been consumed with media chatter over the launch of new bitcoin ETF’s with predictions this would unleash a new bitcoin bull market, meanwhile price action in different market sectors have been off to surprisingly strong starts.
  • Regardless of your favorite market prognosticators’ forecast for 2024 (up, down, or sideways), catching emerging waves in the start of each year, especially paying attention to volume and price, can lead to significant outperformance.
  • For example, if you recall back to January 2023’s earnings call season, it featured an eye opening proclamation from Microsoft CEO Satya Nadella that “We [Microsoft] fundamentally believe the next platform wave will be AI” which came exactly one day before Microsoft announced its rumored $10B investment in OpenAI.

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Daily Brief Event-Driven: Zhejiang Expressway (576 HK): Life In The (Too) Fast Lane and more

By | Daily Briefs, Event-Driven

In today’s briefing:

  • Zhejiang Expressway (576 HK): Life In The (Too) Fast Lane
  • S&P/​​​​​​​​​ASX Index Rebalance Preview: Lots of Changes; A$1bn to Sell in Newmont
  • Quiddity Leaderboard STAR 50 Mar 24: Three Changes; ~US$1bn One-Way; Some Trade Ideas
  • L&F (066970 KS): Will the Stock Move Like PoscoDX Following the KOSDAQ to KOSPI Transfer?
  • A/H Premium Tracker (To 12 Jan 2024):  STAY Long Hs Vs As: Premia Still Wide, Huge High-Div SOE Perf
  • TRYT Lock-Up – 60% of Outstanding to Be Released, Baring Would Have to Exit Sooner or Later
  • Seven & I Spends Another $950mn on Acquisitions, A Possible Defense Against Investor Activism
  • Quiddity Leaderboard ChiNext & ChiNext 50 Jun 24: Double Impacts for Some Names
  • Insiders Are Buying Shares In These Korean Companies in January 2024
  • Deutsche Bank/Commerzbank: Quick Take on Merger Talks


Zhejiang Expressway (576 HK): Life In The (Too) Fast Lane

By David Blennerhassett


S&P/​​​​​​​​​ASX Index Rebalance Preview: Lots of Changes; A$1bn to Sell in Newmont

By Brian Freitas

  • With over 80% of the review period complete, there could be 26 adds/deletes across the S&P/ASX family of indices in March.
  • The largest flow will be on Newmont (NEM AU) due to the potential S&P/ASX 20 Index deletion and a large decrease in the number of shares held in Australia.
  • There will be 1.2-38 days of ADV to buy in the inclusions while the impact on the deletions will range between 1-21 days of ADV.

Quiddity Leaderboard STAR 50 Mar 24: Three Changes; ~US$1bn One-Way; Some Trade Ideas

By Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

  • STAR 50 Index is a tech-focused, blue-chip index in Mainland China which tracks the top 50 largest and most liquid names in the STAR market of the Shanghai Stock Exchange.
  • In this insight, we take a look at our expectations for potential ADDs and DELs for the STAR 50 index during the March 2024 index rebal event.
  • I currently expect three changes for the STAR 50 index in March 2024.

L&F (066970 KS): Will the Stock Move Like PoscoDX Following the KOSDAQ to KOSPI Transfer?

By Brian Freitas

  • Posco DX (022100 KS) rallied 50% following approval of its application to transfer from the KOSDAQ to the KOSPI market. Then the stock dropped 20% following completion of the transfer.
  • With L&F Co Ltd (066970 KS) applying for a section transfer a couple of weeks after Posco DX (022100 KS), approval could be imminent. 
  • L&F Co Ltd (066970 KS) is up 46% since the start of November, but the stock has performed in line with the average of its peers.

A/H Premium Tracker (To 12 Jan 2024):  STAY Long Hs Vs As: Premia Still Wide, Huge High-Div SOE Perf

By Travis Lundy

  • The New and Better (5mos old) A-H Premium Tracker has tables, charts, measures galore to track A/H premium positioning, southbound and northbound positioning/volatility in pairs over time, etc.
  • SOUTHBOUND flows were net negative (ETFs negative, high-div SOEs positive) and NORTHBOUND flows a small net sell. AH premia rose slightly on average. Especially at narrow premia.
  • STILL time to go long Hs vs As for the new year. 52wk wide discounts were just four weeks ago. Wide A/H premia in renewables space look vulnerable.

TRYT Lock-Up – 60% of Outstanding to Be Released, Baring Would Have to Exit Sooner or Later

By Clarence Chu

  • TRYT (9164 JP) was listed on the TSE on 22nd July 2023. The IPO had been a 100% secondary offering. 
  • TRYT offers employee placement services and temporary staffing services for the elderly care, nursing care and childcare workers segments.
  • Coming up for six-month lockup is the sole pre-IPO investor who had sold some of its stake earlier in the IPO.

Seven & I Spends Another $950mn on Acquisitions, A Possible Defense Against Investor Activism

By Oshadhi Kumarasiri

  • Alongside results broadly aligning with consensus expectations, Seven & I Holdings (3382 JP) announced yet another major acquisition.
  • The company has agreed to acquire 204 convenience stores in the US for an acquisition price of $950m.
  • It seems that through aggressive overseas expansion and share buybacks, Seven & I is aiming to retain its overseas investors and simultaneously ward off potential investor activism.

Quiddity Leaderboard ChiNext & ChiNext 50 Jun 24: Double Impacts for Some Names

By Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

  • The ChiNext Index represents the performance of the 100 largest and most liquid A-share stocks listed on the ChiNext Market of the Shenzhen Stock Exchange.
  • The ChiNext 50 index is a subset of the ChiNext Index and it consists of the top 50 names in the ChiNext index with the highest daily average turnover.
  • In this insight, we take a look at the names leading the race to become ADDs and DELs in the June 2024 index rebal event.

Insiders Are Buying Shares In These Korean Companies in January 2024

By Douglas Kim

  • We provide a list of four companies including Fila Holdings, Kolmar BNH, KG Mobility, and Hanwha Galleria where the insiders have been buying shares of their own companies. 
  • These four stocks are up on average 5.6% in the past one month, outperforming KOSPI which is down 1.6% in the same period.
  • Insiders at Fila Holdings are probably increasing their stakes to capitalize on the price discrepancy as Fila Holdings’ 51% stake in Acushnet is 39% more than its current market cap. 

Deutsche Bank/Commerzbank: Quick Take on Merger Talks

By Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

  • The German Government is planning to reduce its stake in private companies (100+), which is reviving the talk of a merger between Commerzbank (15.75% owned by Germany) and Deutsche Bank.
  • In case of a (logical) all-share merger, the German Government would just exchange a 15.75% stake in Commerzbank for a smaller one in the New Deutsche Bank (estimated ~5.75%).
  • The most likely outcome is an accelerated book build among institutional investors (as the British Government has done with Natwest, formerly RBS, in the past), in my view.

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Daily Brief Equity Bottom-Up: PT Avia Avian (AVIA IJ) – A More Glossy Future and more

By | Daily Briefs, Equity Bottom-Up

In today’s briefing:

  • PT Avia Avian (AVIA IJ) – A More Glossy Future
  • Pinduoduo (PDD US): Another Strong Beat Around the Corner
  • Under The Lens of Disruption: Zoetis – VetKiosk
  • Asics: Aiming for No. 1
  • Herbalife (HLF) – Sunday, Oct 15, 2023
  • Ryanair Holdings Plc (RYAAY) – Monday, Oct 16, 2023
  • Transportation Stocks on Move in Early 2024
  • E2Open Parent Holdings Inc (ETWO) – Monday, Oct 16, 2023
  • Neogames Sa (Ngms) – Monday, Oct 16, 2023
  • Shandong Weigao Group Medical Polymer Co (1066.HK) – 2023 Full-Year Results Could Be Ugly


PT Avia Avian (AVIA IJ) – A More Glossy Future

By Angus Mackintosh

  • Avia Avian (AVIA IJ) is Indonesia’s largest paint manufacturer with a strong track record, selling a wide range of architectural solutions products, with a countrywide distribution network. 
  • The company continues to add to its product portfolio by adding more affordable products to cater for consumers trading down due to inflationary pressures depressing disposable incomes. 
  • Avia Avian continues to add to its distribution network and has introduced express delivery that allows retailers to take more products but less inventory. Valuations are attractive with supportive dividends.

Pinduoduo (PDD US): Another Strong Beat Around the Corner

By Eric Chen

  • We expect PDD to report the highest growth in topline for 4Q23 over last three years. In particular, we believe its bottom line will beat by wide margin.
  • But easy days are gone for PDD’s domestic e-commerce business and high base will kick in from 1Q24, resulting in tough comps, notable deceleration and potentially short-term share price volatility.
  • We see 20% upside to current PDD valuation by assigning 20xPE to our US$12 billion adjusted net profit estimate for 2024.

Under The Lens of Disruption: Zoetis – VetKiosk

By From 0 to 1 in the Stock Market

  • Honestly, I’m stunned I’m writing this. I did my research on Zoetis during June, July and August, and my conclusion seemed, funnily, conclusive.
  • My suspicion was that Zoetis was as close to being a truly durable company as possible.
  • Even though the object of this article does not claim otherwise, it does indeed reveal something I completely overlooked. My conclusion was ultimately drawn from the following:

Asics: Aiming for No. 1

By Michael Causton

  • After forecasting record sales for this year, Asics now wants to become the leading performance running brand in Japan, Europe and the US by 2026.
  • To achieve this, Asics has invested in buying up many of the leading race platforms around the world to harvest data and link its brand to serious running events.
  • The sports firm could also see significant growth for the Onitsuka Tiger brand, particularly across Asia.

Herbalife (HLF) – Sunday, Oct 15, 2023

By Value Investors Club

Key points (machine generated)

  • Herbalife’s international business is seeing an increase in volume trends, which is expected to result in a return to top-line growth in the current quarter.
  • Investors are mainly focused on the 20% of revenue generated from the US market, but there is significant growth potential in the other 80% of the company’s international operations.
  • Despite the performance of the US market, Herbalife is projected to earn more than $3.00 per share this year and $4.00 per share next year.

This article is sourced from an online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


Ryanair Holdings Plc (RYAAY) – Monday, Oct 16, 2023

By Value Investors Club

Key points (machine generated)

  • Ryanair Holdings is the largest and best capitalized airline in Europe with a low-cost business model.
  • Despite being in an industry known for destroying capital, Ryanair has been able to achieve attractive returns on capital and successful growth.
  • The author believes Ryanair is a profitable investment option, but recommends readers to conduct their own research before making any investment decisions.

This article is sourced from an online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


Transportation Stocks on Move in Early 2024

By Geoff Howie

  • The WTO has forecasted a rise in global trade volume in 2024, especially for business cycle related goods.
  • In Singapore, the 10 most traded stocks of the Sector have averaged 5.8% gains while booking S$25 million of combined net institutional inflow.
  • Among Singapore’s 10 most traded Transportation stocks, the three strongest performing stocks over the past fortnight included COSCO Shipping Singapore, Chasen and Samudera Shipping, averaging 16.6% gains, with all three notching up higher trading turnover levels compared to 2023 levels.

E2Open Parent Holdings Inc (ETWO) – Monday, Oct 16, 2023

By Value Investors Club

Key points (machine generated)

  • E2open provides a comprehensive supply chain management platform, offering solutions for planning, execution, and procurement, making it a major player in the industry.
  • E2open has a large customer base and long average tenure, indicating the trust and reliability of their services.
  • The vast amount of data gathered from partners enhances E2open’s AI/ML capabilities, allowing for more accurate analysis and forecasting, positioning the company well to meet ongoing demand for efficient supply chain management solutions.

This article is sourced from an online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


Neogames Sa (Ngms) – Monday, Oct 16, 2023

By Value Investors Club

Key points (machine generated)

  • The deal does not require regulatory approvals from Israel, increasing the chances of successful completion.
  • The Middle East situation is unlikely to have a significant impact on the deal, as NGMS’s assets and value proposition remain stable.
  • The deal offers an attractive spread and potential for a low-risk profit opportunity.

This article is sourced from an online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


Shandong Weigao Group Medical Polymer Co (1066.HK) – 2023 Full-Year Results Could Be Ugly

By Xinyao (Criss) Wang

  • Due to centralized procurement and anti-corruption campaign in 23H2, negative YoY revenue growth in 2023 seems to be inevitable. We are not optimistic about Weigao’s performance turnaround in 2024.
  • After new policy strictly prohibiting borrowing to purchase medical equipment in public hospitals was released, the investment logic of medical device sector changes, which would negatively affect Weigao’s outlook.
  • Weigao feels like “living off its past gains”.Current valuation is reasonable not undervalued. There’s no need to rush to long this stock when downward trend in share price hasn’t reversed.

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Daily Brief Macro: 2024 High Conviction Idea: The Case for a Rotation Out of Japan into Hong Kong – Part 4 and more

By | Daily Briefs, Macro

In today’s briefing:

  • 2024 High Conviction Idea: The Case for a Rotation Out of Japan into Hong Kong – Part 4
  • The Liquidity Conundrum
  • Another Textbook Buy the Rumor Sell the Fact Trade Incoming?
  • US: Haley Leads Biden by 8pp; Iowa Could Make It a Trump-Haley GOP Contest
  • Positioning Watch – Where to Find Value Currently
  • CrossASEAN Ground Zero – BYD in Indonesia, Grab’s Digibank Commitments, and Home Credit Indonesia
  • The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma – Matahari Department Store, Avian’s Glosy, and Vinfast
  • Charting Beyond the Global Headlines
  • US Policy Watch: Is Trump’s Nomination Done and Dusted After Tonight?
  • Energy Cable: 4 Charts that Should Keep Largarde up at Night


2024 High Conviction Idea: The Case for a Rotation Out of Japan into Hong Kong – Part 4

By Rikki Malik

  • A shift in composition needed in a Japanese portfolio this year
  • A weaker US and Japanese economy together with a stronger Yen will  make sector allocation key.
  • Some sectors to avoid or invest in during this next phase.

The Liquidity Conundrum

By Alfonso Peccatiello (Alf)

  • The Fed has been running QT for a while and yet there is still abundant liquidity in the financial system.
  • Fed’s bond holdings are down $1.3 trillion from their peak (due to QT), yet only half of this supposed tightening has actually impacted bank reserves (aka ‘’liquidity’’) which are down a meagre $0.7 trillion.
  • This ongoing ‘’money mystery’’ has caught many off-guard, and it has helped fuel several bullish narratives: the most famous one being that higher ‘’liquidity’’ has supported stock markets in 2023.

Another Textbook Buy the Rumor Sell the Fact Trade Incoming?

By The Commodity Report

  • Conditions in the Energy Industry Continue To Worsen The quarterly Dallas Fed Energy Survey highlighted that business uncertainty is worsening again.
  • It seems like the past two quarterly reports were only outliers – the trend remains worsening business conditions for gas and oil companies.
  • The conflict in the Red Sea started to impact shipping rates. But as we wrote over the past couple of weeks, it is not substantially higher

US: Haley Leads Biden by 8pp; Iowa Could Make It a Trump-Haley GOP Contest

By Prasenjit K. Basu

  • Trump is likely to win a substantial victory in the Iowa caucuses, with the real contest being for second place between Haley and DeSantis, with the latter banking on Iowa.
  • In the New Hampshire primary, Haley has closed the gap with Trump, to near a dead-heat with Christie’s withdrawal. A post-Iowa withdrawal by DeSantis would mean “Advantage Haley’ in NH. 
  • Haley will likely win at home (South Carolina), with that momentum reducing Trump’s huge organizational advantage on Super Tuesday. A 2-horse GOP race is market-positive, promising a less chaotic outcome.  

Positioning Watch – Where to Find Value Currently

By Andreas Steno

  • Hello everyone, and welcome back to our weekly positioning overview.
  • We’ve been working on some new ways to look at positioning data across asset classes, and we’ll share some of the inaugural charts in today’s piece and will extend them, week by week.
  • Markets have more or less traded sideways since the start of the year, as the risk-on party has taken a bit of a breather it seems, despite rate cut expectations becoming even more embedded after the hawkish US CPI surprise last Thursday – strange move, and we’ll be surprised if probabilities don’t reverse within the next couple of price data points.

CrossASEAN Ground Zero – BYD in Indonesia, Grab’s Digibank Commitments, and Home Credit Indonesia

By Angus Mackintosh

  • CrossASEAN Ground Zero is a new thematic weekly product that focuses on key Southeast Asian digital themes and technology trends with a core focus on Indonesia.
  • This week we look at the positive responses to the latest changes to policy in support of EV manufacturing in Indonesia which appears to have won the support of BYD. 
  • We also look at Grab‘s upcoming commitments to digibanks but it looks well prepared and has bigger fish to fry and we also look at Home Credit Indonesia and MUFG.

The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma – Matahari Department Store, Avian’s Glosy, and Vinfast

By Angus Mackintosh


Charting Beyond the Global Headlines

By Thomas Lam

  • My Global Activity Barometer shows that the sequential pace of economic activity has decelerated in 2Q and 3Q 2023
  • The dispersion of the deceleration across countries is potentially becoming more widespread
  • This appears to be consistent with the ongoing shift in monetary policy slant globally

US Policy Watch: Is Trump’s Nomination Done and Dusted After Tonight?

By Anne Sandager

  • We have gotten a few questions from readers asking if the Republican primary race will be effectively over after tonight’s Iowa caucus.
  • The speculation comes after New Jersey Governor, Chris Christie, was caught on a hot mic on Thursday saying that he believed presidential candidate, Ron DeSantis, would terminate his campaign after the Iowa ballot.
  • The short answer is no – the Republican primary will still be competitive after tonight, albeit, Trump will be the clear favorite to win the nomination as he is now.

Energy Cable: 4 Charts that Should Keep Largarde up at Night

By Ulrik Simmelholt

  • Takeaways: Price increases in goods likely to show up in Europe after the Summer
  • Watch out for energy prices once we start to fill up for next heating season
  • The recent turmoil in freight rates will likely exacerbate the divergence between US and the Eurozone

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