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Smartkarma Daily Briefs

Daily Brief South Korea: Hyundai Motor, LS Materials , Hyundai Hyms , Korean Air Lines, Orion Corp, Dongwon Industries and more

By | Daily Briefs, South Korea

In today’s briefing:

  • 40 Names for Dividend Arbitrage in 1Q, Marking a Pioneering Initiative in Korea
  • KOSDAQ150 Index Rebalance Preview: Potential Adds Soaring; Short Sell Ban Not Helping
  • Hyundai Hyms IPO Bookbuilding Results Analysis
  • Korean Air – US Blocking of JetBlue/Spirit Continues Trend of M&A Opposition
  • Orion Corp: Concerns About Diversification into LegoChem Bioscience
  • Dongwon Industries – Announces Cancellation of 22.5% of Outstanding Shares


40 Names for Dividend Arbitrage in 1Q, Marking a Pioneering Initiative in Korea

By Sanghyun Park

  • K200 futures’ yearend contango exceeded expectations, triggering a surge in buy arbitrage. The subsequent selling pressure intensified, with strategic shifts observed in January futures/options, contributing to KOSPI’s underperformance this year.
  • Still, significant closure of K200 futures buy arbitrage should come around March, impacting February or March single-stock futures, potentially introducing substantial contango and suggesting lucrative dividend arbitrage in select stocks.
  • These 40 K200 constituents, with single-stock futures, are vital for our pioneering dividend arbitrage in Korea, directly influenced by buy arbitrage closures using K200 futures from last year.

KOSDAQ150 Index Rebalance Preview: Potential Adds Soaring; Short Sell Ban Not Helping

By Brian Freitas


Hyundai Hyms IPO Bookbuilding Results Analysis

By Douglas Kim

  • Hyundai Hyms reported excellent IPO bookbuilding results. IPO price has been determined at 7,300 won per share, which is 16% higher than the high end of the IPO price range.
  • A total of 2,099 institutional investors participated in this IPO book building. The demand ratio was 681 to 1. Hyundai Hyms IPO will start trading on 26 January.
  • Given the solid upside, we expect investors to push up the share price above the high end of our IPO sensitivity analysis (9,092 won) in the first day of trading. 

Korean Air – US Blocking of JetBlue/Spirit Continues Trend of M&A Opposition

By Neil Glynn

  • The US Supreme Court has just blocked JetBlue’s planned acquisition of Spirit Airlines, ruling on the side of the US DOJ, which had sued to block the proposed deal.
  • Reuters has reported that the European Commission should approve Korean Air/Asiana imminently following analysis of concessions provided. However, the US and Japan also need to approve the deal.
  • In “Korean Air – Plan B should Asiana merger fail to gain approval” on 26 October 2023, we highlighted Korean Air is well positioned to continue as a standalone entity.

Orion Corp: Concerns About Diversification into LegoChem Bioscience

By Douglas Kim

  • On 15 January, Orion Corp announced that its subsidiary PAN Orion Corp will purchase a 25.7% stake in Legochem Biosciences for 549 billion won. 
  • LegoChem Bio specializes in antibody-drug conjugate (ADC) technology. Legochem Bio signed a total of 13 technology transfer contracts amounting to 8.7 trillion won in the past 9 years. 
  • Most investors in Orion Corp would rather have the company focus on its core confectionery/snack business, rather than expand into high risk/high reward biotech business.

Dongwon Industries – Announces Cancellation of 22.5% of Outstanding Shares

By Douglas Kim

  • On 16 January, Dongwon Industries (006040 KS) announced that it will cancel 10.46 million shares, representing 22.5% of outstanding shares.
  • We are positive on Dongwon Industries. This large amount of share cancellation will boost the company’s earnings per share and book value per share.
  • The shares subject to cancellation are the treasury stocks acquired by Dongwon Industries when it merged with Dongwon Enterprises in 2022.

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Daily Brief Singapore: Longfor Properties and more

By | Daily Briefs, Singapore

In today’s briefing:

  • Morning Views Asia: Lippo Malls Indonesia Retail Trust


Morning Views Asia: Lippo Malls Indonesia Retail Trust

By Charles Macgregor

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.


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Daily Brief United States: Amer Sports , Gold, Citigroup Inc, Mohawk Industries, Tyson Foods Inc Cl A, Advisorshares Pure Us Cann, ASP Isotopes , International General Insura, Flexsteel Inds and more

By | Daily Briefs, United States

In today’s briefing:

  • Amer Sports IPO: Valuation First-Look
  • Rising on Geopolitical Tides, Gold Braces for Pressure in 2024
  • Citigroup – Impairment Costs Far Higher than Any Recent Quarter & Net Interest Income near Halting
  • Mohawk (MHK) – Tuesday, Oct 17, 2023
  • Tyson Foods Inc -Cl A (TSN) – Tuesday, Oct 17, 2023
  • Dope or Nope?
  • ASP Isotopes: New Alliance With PET Labs
  • International Gen Ins Hl Ltd (IGIC) – Tuesday, Oct 17, 2023
  • Furniture/Furnishings Weekly – FLXS Announces Positive Surprise Ahead of Conference


Amer Sports IPO: Valuation First-Look

By Arun George


Rising on Geopolitical Tides, Gold Braces for Pressure in 2024

By Pranay Yadav

  • Geopolitical risk has driven a resurgence in gold with price 1.5% higher following heightened tensions in the middle-east. 
  • In a soft-landing scenario in 2024, gold faces downside risk from investor rotation to other assets.  
  • Options metrics point to bullish positioning in gold, central bank demand remains a strong driver in H2 2023.

Citigroup – Impairment Costs Far Higher than Any Recent Quarter & Net Interest Income near Halting

By Daniel Tabbush

  • Total impairment costs are soaring now at Citigroup up to USD3.5bn in 4Q23 compared with an average charge of USD1.8-1.9bn in the recent preceding quarters.
  • Net interest income appears to be topping out now, as there is generally a lagged impact on funding in a rising rate environment.
  • The implications of the Citi results, steeped in geopolitical risk, are not positive for large global banks, major US banks in particular and HSBC Holdings (5 HK) specifically.

Mohawk (MHK) – Tuesday, Oct 17, 2023

By Value Investors Club

Key points (machine generated)

  • Mohawk Industries has a stock price of $80 per share, and despite a decline in the global construction market, the company has a strong market position and is considered a medium+ quality business.
  • The current valuation at 8 times EBIT is seen as an attractive entry point, with expectations for EBIT in 2024 already lowered but still indicating a promising earnings power of $10-14 net income per share in the medium term.
  • Mohawk Industries is seen as a cheap investment opportunity with significant growth potential in the future, and previous VIC notes have highlighted its potential. Readers are recommended to review the analyses provided by dsteiner84, Value1929, and Glory_Warriors.

This article is sourced from an online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


Tyson Foods Inc -Cl A (TSN) – Tuesday, Oct 17, 2023

By Value Investors Club

Key points (machine generated)

  • Tyson denies any involvement in illegal activities and believes the allegations made against it are baseless.
  • The company is committed to defending itself and operating in compliance with all laws and regulations.
  • The investigation into alleged collusion and price-fixing in the chicken industry is ongoing and the outcome is uncertain.

This article is sourced from an online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


Dope or Nope?

By Fallacy Alarm

  • Investing into cannabis stocks has been a soul-crushing experience for investors over the past 10 years.
  • Check out the performance of the Global Cannabis Stock Index below.
  • It’s effectively a complete wipe-out.

ASP Isotopes: New Alliance With PET Labs

By Baptista Research

  • In the evolving landscape of isotope production, ASP Isotopes stands poised for significant growth.
  • With production scalability and a substantial interest backlog, ASP Isotopes is on the cusp of substantial free cash flow realization in 2024.
  • Currently undervalued, the stock presents a rare opportunity for early investors to capitalize on ASP Isotopes’ anticipated market ascendancy and potential to redefine secure isotope supply chains globally.

International Gen Ins Hl Ltd (IGIC) – Tuesday, Oct 17, 2023

By Value Investors Club

Key points (machine generated)

  • Significant investment in insurance companies, particularly niche providers, has been seen since the Covid pandemic.
  • The S&P Insurance ETF has outperformed the SPY by 25% over the past 3 years, indicating the success of these investments.
  • Despite their growth in intrinsic value, the share prices of many insurance companies are not reflecting this, possibly due to overlooking the potential impact of higher interest rates on future profitability. However, some companies have managed their investment portfolios prudently and are in a favorable position.

This article is sourced from an online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


Furniture/Furnishings Weekly – FLXS Announces Positive Surprise Ahead of Conference

By Water Tower Research

  • Flexsteel led the news in the furniture and furnishings industry last week with a positive preannouncement.
  • The company said 2QFY24 EPS will be $0.57 versus preannouncement consensus of $0.27.
  • Sales are expected to hit $100 million in the quarter, ahead of the preannouncement consensus of $96 million.

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Daily Brief India: State Bank Of India and more

By | Daily Briefs, India

In today’s briefing:

  • State Bank Of India (SBIN IN): Initiation –  Convergence with Private Peers, Poised for Re-Rating


State Bank Of India (SBIN IN): Initiation –  Convergence with Private Peers, Poised for Re-Rating

By Raj Saya, CA, CFA

  • State Bank Of India (SBIN IN) is the best-performing PSU bank in India and shows clear convergence with private peers across fundamental metrics beyond what its valuations might suggest
  • Medium-Term ROE Forecast of 16% to 18% and loan growth forecast of 14% to 16%; ROA ~1.2% consistently; Strong fee income; successful cross-selling through subsidiaries; Strong asset quality.
  • P/BV is cheap at 1.3x FY25e, compared private peers’ valuations of 2.5x to 3.0x. SBIN can potentially re-rate to P/BV of ~1.6x FY25e in the near term (~35% upside).

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Daily Brief China: Flowing Cloud Technology, China Unicom Hong Kong, Orient Overseas International, Alibaba (ADR), Longfor Properties and more

By | China, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • Hang Seng Internet & IT Index Rebalance Preview: ZX Inc Could Replace Flowing Cloud
  • StubWorld: Unicom’s “Hs” Are Still Cheap
  • Orient Overseas Intl (316 HK): Is It Time for a Reversal?
  • Aequitas 2024 Asia IPO Pipeline – US ADRs
  • Morning Views Asia: Lippo Malls Indonesia Retail Trust


Hang Seng Internet & IT Index Rebalance Preview: ZX Inc Could Replace Flowing Cloud

By Brian Freitas


StubWorld: Unicom’s “Hs” Are Still Cheap

By David Blennerhassett

  • China Unicom Hong Kong (762 HK) remains inexpensive with respect to parent China United Network A (600050 CH) – its hybrid domestic A-share twin – and to peers.
  • Preceding my comments on Unicom, are the current setup/unwind tables for Asia-Pacific Holdcos.
  • These relationships trade with a minimum liquidity of US$1mn, and a % market capitalisation >20%.

Orient Overseas Intl (316 HK): Is It Time for a Reversal?

By Osbert Tang, CFA

  • The Shanghai Containerised Freight Index has popped by 25% in the first two weeks of 2024 due to the Red Sea crisis. Orient Overseas International (316 HK) is a beneficiary.
  • There are already signs of bottoming out of realised freight rate and load factor in 4Q23. The spike in freight rate means that consensus forecasts are too bearish. 
  • OOIL’s net cash of US$5.6bn equals 58% of its market capitalisation, making its 0.7x P/B and 8% yield attractive. There is also a possibility for a higher dividend payout. 

Aequitas 2024 Asia IPO Pipeline – US ADRs

By Sumeet Singh

  • In this note, we will look at the Asia Pacific IPO pipeline for 2024, following up with US ADRs, after having looked at HK, India, Japan and Korea earlier.
  • This list has been compiled on a best effort basis from tracking the company filings and through various other sources
  • The deals you see in this note are only a part of our full IPO pipeline tracker. Feel free to drop us a message for additional information on these IPOs.

Morning Views Asia: Lippo Malls Indonesia Retail Trust

By Charles Macgregor

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.


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Daily Brief Japan: Benefit One Inc and more

By | Daily Briefs, Japan

In today’s briefing:

  • Benefit One (2412): The Plot Thickens
  • Benefit One (2412 JP): Who Will Blink First as M3 Extends the Closing Date?


Benefit One (2412): The Plot Thickens

By Travis Lundy

  • Today, the day before the previously extended M3 Inc (2413 JP) Partial Tender Offer for Benefit One Inc (2412 JP) was due to expire, M3 extended it another 20 days.
  • Dai Ichi Life Insurance (8750 JP) several days ago extended their expected start date by weeks – from mid-January to early February. 
  • The wording in the new document from M3 is curious. It bears examination. As does the strategy positioning and choice of each of the participants. 

Benefit One (2412 JP): Who Will Blink First as M3 Extends the Closing Date?

By Arun George

  • Ahead of the 17 January close, M3 Inc (2413 JP) has extended the close of its offer to 15 February due to a request from Benefit One Inc (2412 JP).
  • The merger arb situation has four parties with different priorities – the Board, Pasona Group (2168 JP), Dai Ichi Life Insurance (8750 JP) (with a pre-conditional JPY2,123 offer) and M3.
  • The Board and Pasona want the highest possible price. M3’s inability to table a revised offer suggests that Dai-ichi Life has set the bar too high. 

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Daily Brief Industrials: Zhejiang Expressway Co H, TRYT , Medi Assist Healthcare Services, Ryanair Holdings and more

By | Daily Briefs, Industrials

In today’s briefing:

  • Zhejiang Expressway (576 HK): Life In The (Too) Fast Lane
  • TRYT Lock-Up – 60% of Outstanding to Be Released, Baring Would Have to Exit Sooner or Later
  • Medi Assist Healthcare Services IPO – Benefited from the Pandemic, but Marred with Risks
  • Ryanair Holdings Plc (RYAAY) – Monday, Oct 16, 2023


Zhejiang Expressway (576 HK): Life In The (Too) Fast Lane

By David Blennerhassett


TRYT Lock-Up – 60% of Outstanding to Be Released, Baring Would Have to Exit Sooner or Later

By Clarence Chu

  • TRYT (9164 JP) was listed on the TSE on 22nd July 2023. The IPO had been a 100% secondary offering. 
  • TRYT offers employee placement services and temporary staffing services for the elderly care, nursing care and childcare workers segments.
  • Coming up for six-month lockup is the sole pre-IPO investor who had sold some of its stake earlier in the IPO.

Medi Assist Healthcare Services IPO – Benefited from the Pandemic, but Marred with Risks

By Clarence Chu

  • Medi Assist Healthcare Services (0886371D IN) is looking to raise around US$140m in its India IPO.
  • Medi Assist Healthcare Services (Medi Assist) provides third party administration services to insurance companies via its subsidiaries.
  • In this note, we will look at the firm’s past performance, and share our thoughts on valuation.

Ryanair Holdings Plc (RYAAY) – Monday, Oct 16, 2023

By Value Investors Club

Key points (machine generated)

  • Ryanair Holdings is the largest and best capitalized airline in Europe with a low-cost business model.
  • Despite being in an industry known for destroying capital, Ryanair has been able to achieve attractive returns on capital and successful growth.
  • The author believes Ryanair is a profitable investment option, but recommends readers to conduct their own research before making any investment decisions.

This article is sourced from an online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


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Daily Brief Energy/Materials: Newmont , Crude Palm Oil Active Contract, Nippon Sanso Holdings, Callon Petroleum , Nanoco Group PLC and more

By | Daily Briefs, Energy & Materials Sector

In today’s briefing:

  • S&P/​​​​​​​​​ASX Index Rebalance Preview: Lots of Changes; A$1bn to Sell in Newmont
  • Another Textbook Buy the Rumor Sell the Fact Trade Incoming?
  • Ownership of Company Stock Is a Key in Managing the Company with the Same Goals as Shareholders
  • Callon Petroleum’s Sale Saga: A Golden Opportunity for Investors or a Risky Gamble? – Major Drivers
  • Nanoco Group – Another major milestone delivered


S&P/​​​​​​​​​ASX Index Rebalance Preview: Lots of Changes; A$1bn to Sell in Newmont

By Brian Freitas

  • With over 80% of the review period complete, there could be 26 adds/deletes across the S&P/ASX family of indices in March.
  • The largest flow will be on Newmont (NEM AU) due to the potential S&P/ASX 20 Index deletion and a large decrease in the number of shares held in Australia.
  • There will be 1.2-38 days of ADV to buy in the inclusions while the impact on the deletions will range between 1-21 days of ADV.

Another Textbook Buy the Rumor Sell the Fact Trade Incoming?

By The Commodity Report

  • Conditions in the Energy Industry Continue To Worsen The quarterly Dallas Fed Energy Survey highlighted that business uncertainty is worsening again.
  • It seems like the past two quarterly reports were only outliers – the trend remains worsening business conditions for gas and oil companies.
  • The conflict in the Red Sea started to impact shipping rates. But as we wrote over the past couple of weeks, it is not substantially higher

Ownership of Company Stock Is a Key in Managing the Company with the Same Goals as Shareholders

By Aki Matsumoto

  • Wouldn’t the shareholders of Mitsubishi Chemical want to either TOB for the growth of the subsidiary or invest the cash from the sale of shares in a value-generating business?
  • It’s difficult to exclude the influence of the parent company in business decisions that impact significantly on the parent’s earnings and shareholding. Is continued parent-subsidiary listing desirable for subsidiary’s shareholders?
  • The management of Nippon Sanso wants to continue the parent-subsidiary listing, but their small shareholding may make it difficult to manage the company from the same perspective as the shareholders.

Callon Petroleum’s Sale Saga: A Golden Opportunity for Investors or a Risky Gamble? – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • This is a special, one-time report Callon Petroleum, currently exploring a sale, which presents a nuanced investment opportunity with several critical factors to consider.
  • The company has demonstrated consistent financial performance, notably its 14th consecutive quarter of adjusted free cash flow generation, which is being strategically used for debt reduction and share repurchases.
  • This fiscal prudence, coupled with a clear focus on cost reduction and operational efficiency, positions Callon well in the competitive energy sector.

Nanoco Group – Another major milestone delivered

By Edison Investment Research

Following a successful proof of concept, Nanoco recently announced a new joint development agreement (JDA) with its existing European customer, now confirmed as STMicroelectronics. This milestone further validates Nanoco’s smart materials capabilities, building on the first commercial orders for first-generation materials shipped in late 2023 and the expanded partnership with its Asian customer. With an improved financial position, Nanoco has been able to proactively invest in accelerating the development of new materials and services. The non-licence fee income and additional test material sales from the JDA help de-risk our FY24 revenue forecasts. Securing collaborations like this JDA will be key for Nanoco to continue scaling commercial production and delivering on management’s goal of becoming self-financing in CY25.


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Daily Brief Health Care: Porton Pharma Solutions, Zoetis Inc, Shandong Weigao Group Medical Polymer Co and more

By | Daily Briefs, Healthcare

In today’s briefing:

  • Quiddity Leaderboard ChiNext & ChiNext 50 Jun 24: Double Impacts for Some Names
  • Under The Lens of Disruption: Zoetis – VetKiosk
  • Shandong Weigao Group Medical Polymer Co (1066.HK) – 2023 Full-Year Results Could Be Ugly


Quiddity Leaderboard ChiNext & ChiNext 50 Jun 24: Double Impacts for Some Names

By Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

  • The ChiNext Index represents the performance of the 100 largest and most liquid A-share stocks listed on the ChiNext Market of the Shenzhen Stock Exchange.
  • The ChiNext 50 index is a subset of the ChiNext Index and it consists of the top 50 names in the ChiNext index with the highest daily average turnover.
  • In this insight, we take a look at the names leading the race to become ADDs and DELs in the June 2024 index rebal event.

Under The Lens of Disruption: Zoetis – VetKiosk

By From 0 to 1 in the Stock Market

  • Honestly, I’m stunned I’m writing this. I did my research on Zoetis during June, July and August, and my conclusion seemed, funnily, conclusive.
  • My suspicion was that Zoetis was as close to being a truly durable company as possible.
  • Even though the object of this article does not claim otherwise, it does indeed reveal something I completely overlooked. My conclusion was ultimately drawn from the following:

Shandong Weigao Group Medical Polymer Co (1066.HK) – 2023 Full-Year Results Could Be Ugly

By Xinyao (Criss) Wang

  • Due to centralized procurement and anti-corruption campaign in 23H2, negative YoY revenue growth in 2023 seems to be inevitable. We are not optimistic about Weigao’s performance turnaround in 2024.
  • After new policy strictly prohibiting borrowing to purchase medical equipment in public hospitals was released, the investment logic of medical device sector changes, which would negatively affect Weigao’s outlook.
  • Weigao feels like “living off its past gains”.Current valuation is reasonable not undervalued. There’s no need to rush to long this stock when downward trend in share price hasn’t reversed.

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Daily Brief Industrials: Zhejiang Expressway Co H, TRYT , Medi Assist Healthcare Services, Ryanair Holdings and more

By | Daily Briefs, Industrials

In today’s briefing:

  • Zhejiang Expressway (576 HK): Life In The (Too) Fast Lane
  • TRYT Lock-Up – 60% of Outstanding to Be Released, Baring Would Have to Exit Sooner or Later
  • Medi Assist Healthcare Services IPO – Benefited from the Pandemic, but Marred with Risks
  • Ryanair Holdings Plc (RYAAY) – Monday, Oct 16, 2023


Zhejiang Expressway (576 HK): Life In The (Too) Fast Lane

By David Blennerhassett


TRYT Lock-Up – 60% of Outstanding to Be Released, Baring Would Have to Exit Sooner or Later

By Clarence Chu

  • TRYT (9164 JP) was listed on the TSE on 22nd July 2023. The IPO had been a 100% secondary offering. 
  • TRYT offers employee placement services and temporary staffing services for the elderly care, nursing care and childcare workers segments.
  • Coming up for six-month lockup is the sole pre-IPO investor who had sold some of its stake earlier in the IPO.

Medi Assist Healthcare Services IPO – Benefited from the Pandemic, but Marred with Risks

By Clarence Chu

  • Medi Assist Healthcare Services (0886371D IN) is looking to raise around US$140m in its India IPO.
  • Medi Assist Healthcare Services (Medi Assist) provides third party administration services to insurance companies via its subsidiaries.
  • In this note, we will look at the firm’s past performance, and share our thoughts on valuation.

Ryanair Holdings Plc (RYAAY) – Monday, Oct 16, 2023

By Value Investors Club

Key points (machine generated)

  • Ryanair Holdings is the largest and best capitalized airline in Europe with a low-cost business model.
  • Despite being in an industry known for destroying capital, Ryanair has been able to achieve attractive returns on capital and successful growth.
  • The author believes Ryanair is a profitable investment option, but recommends readers to conduct their own research before making any investment decisions.

This article is sourced from an online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


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