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Smartkarma Daily Briefs

Daily Brief United States: USD, Inter Parfums, SurgePays , YETI Holdings Inc, Express and more

By | Daily Briefs, United States

In today’s briefing:

  • US Rates: Polar Vortex Duration Extension
  • IPAR: Scent of Momentum
  • SurgePays, Inc. – Wireless Provider Turns Emerging Fintech Platform
  • Yeti Holdings Inc (YETI) – Wednesday, Oct 25, 2023
  • EXPR: Snapping the Store; Clearing Out for a New Year; Reiterate Buy Rating, PT


US Rates: Polar Vortex Duration Extension

By At Any Rate

  • The bond basis is a significant concern for investors, as the long end of the curve has been steepening and rates are rising, increasing the probability of shifts in the cheapest deliverable (CTD).
  • There are several bonds that are nearly equally cheap, meaning they are not currently the CTD but are close enough to potentially become the CTD. This could impact futures pricing.
  • Investors who are long the March bond futures contract can hedge against the risk of CTD duration extension by buying March bond contract puts with a strike price of 118. This can mimic a long basis position.

This podcast is sourced from an online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only.


IPAR: Scent of Momentum

By Hamed Khorsand

  • IPAR closed out 2023 with the same momentum that has been generating sales growth the last several years.
  • The consumer has been receptive to fragrance and there has been no sign of slowing demand for the category
  • IPAR provided preliminary fourth quarter sales of $329 million versus our estimate of $316.5 million. Sales growth within IPAR’s top selling brands was through Coach and Guess

SurgePays, Inc. – Wireless Provider Turns Emerging Fintech Platform

By Water Tower Research

  • We are initiating coverage of SurgePays (SURG), a forward- looking financial technology and telecommunications firm dedicated to serving the underbanked.
  • Its wireless subsidiaries provide mobile broadband, voice, and SMS services to subsidized and direct retail prepaid customers primarily through the US Federal Affordable Connectivity Program (ACP).
  • SURG has built a profitable business in the ACP segment of the wireless market.

Yeti Holdings Inc (YETI) – Wednesday, Oct 25, 2023

By Value Investors Club

Key points (machine generated)

  • YETI is recommended as a short investment for the next few years due to its declining growth and loss of ground to competitors like Stanley Tumbler.
  • The sustainability of YETI’s brand advantage is questioned, comparing it to other companies that have failed in the past.
  • The author suggests that YETI may face a similar fate if it does not reverse its current trends.

This article is sourced from an online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


EXPR: Snapping the Store; Clearing Out for a New Year; Reiterate Buy Rating, PT

By Small Cap Consumer Research

  • We are reiterating our Buy rating and $20 price target for Express, but lowering our 4QFY23 projections after visiting stores in Long Island and Connecticut.
  • That said, we believe the near term impact will be to reduce gross margins; as such, while we are maintaining our 4Q23 top line projections, we are lowering our gross margin projections, which results in increased 4Q losses.
  • We believe the negative impact will be localized into FY23 and are leaving our FY24 projections unchanged.

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Daily Brief Japan: Payroll, Resona Holdings, Nidec Corp and more

By | Daily Briefs, Japan

In today’s briefing:

  • Payroll (4489 JP) MBO (¥1,380/Share) By New Japan PE Deal Entrant TA Associates
  • Bank of Japan Meeting Signals– Our Take on the Implications for Japanese Banks
  • Payroll (4489 JP): TA Associates’ Tender Offer at the IPO Price (JPY1,380)
  • Nidec (6594) | A Mixed Quarter


Payroll (4489 JP) MBO (¥1,380/Share) By New Japan PE Deal Entrant TA Associates

By Travis Lundy

  • Payroll (4489 JP) today announced that it would go private in a deal led by US PE Firm TA Associates (Japan office led by a former Carlyle person it appears).
  • Payroll IPOed in June 2021 at ¥1,380. Then it fell. Now this takeout is at ¥1,380/share. Not a great look but not egregiously unfair by the looks of it. 
  • This deal is going to get done easily as agreed participants and probable-friendlies get them past the minimum without retail or foreign holders participating.

Bank of Japan Meeting Signals– Our Take on the Implications for Japanese Banks

By Victor Galliano

  • In the post meeting press briefing, governor Kazuo Ueda said there was an increasing chance of the BoJ’s 2% inflation target being hit; JGB 10Y yields rose as a result
  • This implies that the BoJ could change from negative interest rate policy in the near future, perhaps as soon as March, which is positive for the Japanese bank sector’s fundamentals
  • We believe that this new will give further impetus to Japanese bank shares, especially those banks that are well geared into rising domestic interest rates; we highlight eight banks

Payroll (4489 JP): TA Associates’ Tender Offer at the IPO Price (JPY1,380)

By Arun George

  • Payroll (4489 JP) has recommended TA Associates’ sponsored MBO tender offer of JPY1,380 per share, a 42.4% premium to the undisturbed (23 January). 
  • The transaction is a two-step acquisition through a cash tender offer and subsequent squeeze-out. The lower limit of the tender offer is set at a 61.28% ownership ratio. 
  • Based on the irrevocables, the minimum acceptance condition requires a 30.5% minority acceptance rate, which is achievable as the offer is marginally short of the all-time high. 

Nidec (6594) | A Mixed Quarter

By Mark Chadwick

  • Consolidated net sales increased by +4.4% YoY to ¥594,026 million
  • Operating profit increased by 90% YoY to ¥53,562 million, but were down 3.7% QoQ.
  • Full-Year guidance for OP was revised down by 20% to ¥180,000 million. We remain bullish on long-term structural electrification thesis

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Daily Brief China: Brilliance China Automotive, Budweiser Brewing APAC , Jiangsu Hoperun Software, Tencent, Miniso, Greentown China, Shanghai RAAS Blood Products C, Greenland Technologies Holdi and more

By | China, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • More Hong Kong Stocks Priced For Liquidation
  • Hong Kong: Where Could Shorts Be Covered?
  • ChiNext/​​​ChiNext50 Index Rebalance Preview: Overlapping Names Increases Flow
  • [Blue Lotus Hardware Sector Update]: What Does AI Phone Bring to the Tech Competition?
  • [Miniso Group(MNSO US,BUY,TP US$33)TP Change]:Investor Day Called for Growth on Supply Chain and IP
  • Morning Views Asia: Anton Oilfield, Greentown China, Reliance Industries
  • Haier Group to Buy $1.8B Stake in Shanghai RAAS from Grifols – A New Chapter Begins
  • Greenland Technologies Holding Corp.


More Hong Kong Stocks Priced For Liquidation

By David Blennerhassett

  • With the Hang Seng Index dipping below the 15,000 mark earlier this week, it’s time to dust off some old school perspective.
  • This insight looks at Benjamin Graham’s Net Nets, (current assets less current liabilities), then subtract any debt not included in current liabilities. More simply, current assets less total liabilities.
  • Graham would conclude these stocks are priced for liquidation.  Stocks discussed include Brilliance China (1114 HK), Ming Yuan (909 HK), Yidu Tech (2158 HK), and A-Living Smart City (3319 HK).

Hong Kong: Where Could Shorts Be Covered?

By Brian Freitas


ChiNext/​​​ChiNext50 Index Rebalance Preview: Overlapping Names Increases Flow

By Brian Freitas

  • Nearly halfway through the review period, we forecast 7 changes for the ChiNext Index (SZ399006 INDEX EQUITY) and 5 changes for the ChiNext 50 Index in June.
  • Some of the potential changes will also have passive flows from the CSI 500 Index trackers at the same time as the ChiNext Index rebalance.
  • The potential inclusions and deletions have slipped over the last couple of months along with the ChiNext Index, but the potential inclusions have outperformed as the deletions have dropped more.

[Blue Lotus Hardware Sector Update]: What Does AI Phone Bring to the Tech Competition?

By Eric Wen

  • US-Led tech chain may push for AI phone features, which itself is a great strategy to pull the tech industry out of doldrums. It will pressure Huawei, in our opinion;
  • We believe there are other stories unfolding in the AI era, including availability of AI killer apps, the rivalry between super apps and OS vendors, and the growing China/Ex-China chasm.
  • Our Top Pick is Tencent and Kuaishou. We maintain Xiaomi at SELL.

[Miniso Group(MNSO US,BUY,TP US$33)TP Change]:Investor Day Called for Growth on Supply Chain and IP

By Eric Wen

  • We attended Miniso’s Investor Day on January 18-19 and came away positively. Management outlined growth strategy of fostering strong connection with Chinese supply chain to achieve fast turnaround of…
  • We expect MNSO to report C4Q23 revenue and non-GAAP NI at 2.9% and 4.0% higher than consensus mainly due to new store openings;
  • We maintain the stock as BUY and raise TP by US$2 to US$33/ADS to reflect our endorsement of the growth strategy.

Morning Views Asia: Anton Oilfield, Greentown China, Reliance Industries

By Leonard Law, CFA

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.


Haier Group to Buy $1.8B Stake in Shanghai RAAS from Grifols – A New Chapter Begins

By Xinyao (Criss) Wang

  • Geopolitical risks have led to foreign companies planning to withdraw from China.It’s also difficult to allow foreign companies to control China’s core strategic assets.So, Grifols and RAAS’ “breakup” is inevitable.
  • This acquisition is an important milestone in the development of Haier’s big health industry. RAAS’s valuation also has room to rise further after being acquire by Haier due to synergies.
  • In the case of slowing growth in the home appliance market, this is a wise move for Haier.However, potential goodwill impairment in GDS is a risk for Haier/RAAS and investors.

Greenland Technologies Holding Corp.

By Water Tower Research

  • HEVI announced the addition of Amerit Fleet Solutions as an Authorized Service Provider to support the company’s electric powered heavy industrial equipment.
  • Amerit Fleet Solutions, which has more than 800 locations nationwide, joins Mid-Atlantic-focused Quality Truck Center as the second multi- location service company that has partnered with HEVI to support customers with its equipment.
  • The addition of another service provider should help boost the growth of HEVI’s products. In addition to expanding awareness of the brand, this should help alleviate any concerns that potential customers might have about supporting and servicing their equipment.

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Most Read: Kasumigaseki Capital and more

By | Daily Briefs, Most Read

In today’s briefing:

  • Kasumigaseki Capital (3498 JP) – An Offering Worth Examining


Kasumigaseki Capital (3498 JP) – An Offering Worth Examining

By Travis Lundy

  • Kasumigaseki Capital is a small cap consulting real estate speculator/developer. They have an interesting, aggressive model. People will recognise the model from pre-GFC but this one is structured better.
  • The company had planned explosive growth and in October, brought growth plans forward and guidance way up. Now there is an offering to fund that growth. 
  • It appears to also be an offering to get a very large short position out of a risk of potential squeeze. For that, I expect this goes smoothly.

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Daily Brief Industrials: Recruit Holdings, Qantm Intellectual Property and more

By | Daily Briefs, Industrials

In today’s briefing:

  • Recruit: More Challenges Ahead for HR Tech Business
  • QANTM Intellectual Property Ltd – Guidance for EPS of 20-25% Above Consensus


Recruit: More Challenges Ahead for HR Tech Business

By Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

  • Recruit’s share price had rallied 38% since November 2023 driven by the stake acquisition by the hedge fund ValueAct despite there being a decline in the company’s earnings.
  • Labour markets have further weakened in the December quarter while web traffic on Recruit’s job platforms Indeed and Glassdoor have significantly declined during the quarter.
  • Though Recruit Holdings (6098 JP) has guided for a decline in earnings, we think there is further downside to the company’s guidance.

QANTM Intellectual Property Ltd – Guidance for EPS of 20-25% Above Consensus

By Research as a Service (RaaS)

  • QANTM Intellectual Property Ltd (ASX:QIP) owns a group of intellectual property (IP) services businesses operating under the independent brands of Davies Collison Cave (DCC), FPA Patent Attorneys, and Sortify.tm.
  • It is a major player in the mature and regulated Australian patent, trade marks and IP legal services market, and has a diversified mix of local and foreign clients (~45%/55% split; ~50% US$ revenue).
  • The company has provided a trading update that it expects underlying EBITDA (post AASB 16) to be between 8% and 10% higher than the analyst estimate of $31m and that reported EPS will be between 20% and 25% higher than the analyst estimate of $0.081/share. 

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Daily Brief Energy/Materials: JSR Corp, EcoPro Materials, Calumet Specialty Products Par, PetroTal, Rent.com.au Ltd and more

By | Daily Briefs, Energy & Materials Sector

In today’s briefing:

  • JSR (4185) – Very Juicy Arb Return At Expected Timeline
  • A Sharp Downturn in Price Momentum of Rechargeable Battery Stocks in Korea in January 2024
  • Calumet Specialty Prods -Lp (CLMT) – Tuesday, Oct 24, 2023
  • PetroTal Corp (AIM: PTAL): FY24 Production Expected to Grow by 20%.
  • Rent.com.au Ltd – RentPay Payments Accelerating, $200m Milestone Passed


JSR (4185) – Very Juicy Arb Return At Expected Timeline

By Travis Lundy

  • Five weeks ago, JIC announced a delay in the commencement of the Tender Offer to buy JSR Corp (4185 JP), originally scheduled to start by end-December 2023. 
  • In the announcement, they said they expected the deal to start by end-February. In the press conference afterwards, JIC CEO Yokoo said “no particular issues with the Chinese regulator.” 
  • He then added he expected the deal to be done by March-end. Language is vague. I expect that means to start by then, but even then, annualised is now 30%.

A Sharp Downturn in Price Momentum of Rechargeable Battery Stocks in Korea in January 2024

By Douglas Kim

  • In this insight, we discuss the sharp share price declines of rechargeable battery related stocks in Korea so far in 2024. 
  • The top 20 market cap rechargeable battery related stocks in Korea are down on average 15.9% YTD, underperforming KOSPI which is down 6.7% in the same period.
  • Many rechargeable battery related names in Korea continue to have lofty valuations. The 20 rechargeable battery names are trading at median P/E of 79.7x in 2023 and 39x in 2024.

Calumet Specialty Prods -Lp (CLMT) – Tuesday, Oct 24, 2023

By Value Investors Club

Key points (machine generated)

  • Calumet is expected to experience positive catalysts in the next six months despite facing challenges such as its MLP structure, operational issues, and credibility concerns.
  • The company has the potential to generate significant EBITDA numbers from its Specialty and MRL divisions, indicating strong growth prospects.
  • The Performance Brands and legacy refinery businesses are also expected to contribute to EBITDA, assuming favorable market conditions.

This article is sourced from an online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


PetroTal Corp (AIM: PTAL): FY24 Production Expected to Grow by 20%.

By Auctus Advisors

  • The FY24 production guidance stands at 16.5-17.5 mbbl/d (we forecasted 18.6 mbbl/d assuming a moderate dry season) with US$135 mm capex (broadly in line with our expectations of US$130 mm).
  • The FY24 production guidance assumes a dry season as severe as in 2023 with production of only 13 mbbl/d in 3Q24 and 17.5 mbbl/d in 4Q24.
  • The Ecuador export route through the OCP will be operational in October (2 mbbl/d) while a new route via Yurimaguas to Bayovar (2 mbbl/d) could be operational in July.

Rent.com.au Ltd – RentPay Payments Accelerating, $200m Milestone Passed

By Research as a Service (RaaS)

  • Rent.com.au Limited (ASX:RNT) is a purpose-led company seeking to empower home renters through its technology platform and a growing number of aligned transactional services.
  • The company has provided a trading update noting that its RentPay rental payments platform had now processed $200m in payments since its relaunch.
  • Achieving the $200m milestone comes just three months after passing the $150m mark, demonstrating a continued acceleration in the take-up of the platform. 

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Daily Brief TMT/Internet: Shinko Electric Industries, L&F Co Ltd, Zee Entertainment Enterprises, S&P 500 INDEX, nCino, Kuaishou Technology, Marathon Digital Holdings, Silicon Laboratories, Vontier Corp, Power Integrations and more

By | Daily Briefs, TMT/Internet

In today’s briefing:

  • Shinko Electric (6967 JP): Tender Offer Risk/Reward
  • KOSPI200 Index Rebalance (March): Fast Entry for PoscoDX; Will L&F Make It Too?
  • Zee Entertainment- What Lies Ahead?
  • Breakouts Proliferate; Bullish Outlook Intact; Small- And Mid-Caps to Lead?
  • nCino Inc: Initiation of Coverage – How nCino’s Digital Solutions are Capturing the Financial Market! – Major Drivers
  • [Kuaishou (1024 HK, BUY, TP HK$79) TP Change]: Robust Organic Traffic Supports Robust Growth
  • Marathon Digital Holdings: Initiation of Coverage – The Power of Smart Cash Management! How Its Financial Strategy is Winning in the Crypto World! – Major Drivers
  • Silicon Labs: Initiation of Coverage – What Is The Core Business Strategy Driving Growth?
  • Vontier Corporation: Initiation of Coverage – Its 6 Biggest Growth Catalysts! – Financial Forecasts
  • Power Integrations: Initiation of Coverage – Design Wins Defying Odds! How Power Integrations Is Capturing the Tech Market Amidst Challenges! – Major Drivers


Shinko Electric (6967 JP): Tender Offer Risk/Reward

By Arun George

  • Shinko Electric Industries (6967 JP)‘s pre-conditional tender offer from the JIC alliance is JPY5,920 per share. Since the deal announcement, the gross spread has averaged 8.3%.
  • The wide gross spread reflects the risk in satisfying the pre-conditions related to country approvals, particularly China and shareholder approval, due to Ibiden Co Ltd (4062 JP)’s re-rating.
  • Ibiden’s re-rating is not necessarily an issue. JIC’s confidence in securing SAMR approval for the JSR Corp (4185 JP) transaction by March is a positive for Shinko’s SAMR approval. 

KOSPI200 Index Rebalance (March): Fast Entry for PoscoDX; Will L&F Make It Too?

By Brian Freitas


Zee Entertainment- What Lies Ahead?

By Nitin Mangal

  • We have been covering Zee Entertainment Enterprises (Z IN) during the entire merger saga and had already highlighted several financial and governance issues with the entire group.
  • The $10 bn merger deal with Sony has now been terminated but it is not a surprise to us, considering the events that were unraveled in the last two years.
  • But where does ZEEL go from here is a question that lacks some clarity. There are uncertainties looming around and ZEEL can face further brunt. 

Breakouts Proliferate; Bullish Outlook Intact; Small- And Mid-Caps to Lead?

By Joe Jasper

  • The SPX, Nasdaq 100, and DJI breaking out to new all-time highs following 3-week consolidations. Russell 2000 (IWM), S&P 400 (IJH), Vanguard ExtendedMarket (VXF), countless other Sectors/industries breaking out also.
  • This is classic bull market behavior. Considering market dynamics remain healthy, this is all evidence that supports our ongoing bullish outlook.
  • Software, Data Storage buys: NTAP, NTNX, DBX, VRNS, and CVLT. Investment Banking & Brokerage, Mid-Cap buys: JEF, SF, EVR, MC, and LAZ

nCino Inc: Initiation of Coverage – How nCino’s Digital Solutions are Capturing the Financial Market! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • This is our first report on SaaS player, nCino Inc.
  • The company’s third quarter fiscal 2024 performance presented both opportunities and challenges in the midst of a complex economic environment.
  • The company announced a significant product win in relation to a consumer lending deal with an enterprise bank in the United States of over $200 billion.

[Kuaishou (1024 HK, BUY, TP HK$79) TP Change]: Robust Organic Traffic Supports Robust Growth

By Ying Pan

  • We expect Kuaishou to report C4Q23 revenue, IFRS op. profit and IFRS net income in-line, 34% and 29% vs. consensus, thanks to margin improvements;
  • Playlet continued to generate significant organic traffic, leading to decreasing sales marketing cost and growth in advertising inventories. We further expect AI to drive playlet market expansions;
  • E-Commerce GMV growth was robust. Kuaishou will likely increase take rate in the future. We maintain BUY and raise TP to HK$79, implying an 17x PE.

Marathon Digital Holdings: Initiation of Coverage – The Power of Smart Cash Management! How Its Financial Strategy is Winning in the Crypto World! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • This is our first report on Marathon Digital Holdings, a renowned cryptocurrency technology company.
  • Improved operational efficiency also resulted in a lower cost per bitcoin mined and a drop in all-in cost per coin.
  • In this report, we have carried out a fundamental analysis of the historical financial statements of the company.

Silicon Labs: Initiation of Coverage – What Is The Core Business Strategy Driving Growth?

By Baptista Research

  • This is our first report on fabless semiconductors player, Silicon Labs.
  • The third quarter of 2023 has been a difficult period for Silicon Labs amidst a backdrop of weak demand and heightened inventory levels.
  • In this report, we have carried out a fundamental analysis of the historical financial statements of the company.

Vontier Corporation: Initiation of Coverage – Its 6 Biggest Growth Catalysts! – Financial Forecasts

By Baptista Research

  • This is our first report on critical technical equipment, components, software, and services provider, Vontier Corporation.
  • The company, in its latest earnings, exhibited noteworthy progress in its strategies and performance for the third quarter.
  • The top-line performance recorded for the quarter outperformed expectations with baseline core revenue growth of 10%, reflecting gains from the company’s connected mobility strategy.

Power Integrations: Initiation of Coverage – Design Wins Defying Odds! How Power Integrations Is Capturing the Tech Market Amidst Challenges! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • This is our first report on analog and mixed-signal integrated circuits manufacturer, Power Integrations.
  • The company’ Q3 2021 Financial Results depict a mixed picture with modest sequential growth but a contraction in sales year-over-year.
  • For Q4, Power Integrations expects a sequential decrease to $90 million at the midpoint of the range, largely reflecting broad-based weakness echoed by industry peers amid challenging macroeconomic conditions.

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Daily Brief Industrials: Recruit Holdings, Qantm Intellectual Property and more

By | Daily Briefs, Industrials

In today’s briefing:

  • Recruit: More Challenges Ahead for HR Tech Business
  • QANTM Intellectual Property Ltd – Guidance for EPS of 20-25% Above Consensus


Recruit: More Challenges Ahead for HR Tech Business

By Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

  • Recruit’s share price had rallied 38% since November 2023 driven by the stake acquisition by the hedge fund ValueAct despite there being a decline in the company’s earnings.
  • Labour markets have further weakened in the December quarter while web traffic on Recruit’s job platforms Indeed and Glassdoor have significantly declined during the quarter.
  • Though Recruit Holdings (6098 JP) has guided for a decline in earnings, we think there is further downside to the company’s guidance.

QANTM Intellectual Property Ltd – Guidance for EPS of 20-25% Above Consensus

By Research as a Service (RaaS)

  • QANTM Intellectual Property Ltd (ASX:QIP) owns a group of intellectual property (IP) services businesses operating under the independent brands of Davies Collison Cave (DCC), FPA Patent Attorneys, and Sortify.tm.
  • It is a major player in the mature and regulated Australian patent, trade marks and IP legal services market, and has a diversified mix of local and foreign clients (~45%/55% split; ~50% US$ revenue).
  • The company has provided a trading update that it expects underlying EBITDA (post AASB 16) to be between 8% and 10% higher than the analyst estimate of $31m and that reported EPS will be between 20% and 25% higher than the analyst estimate of $0.081/share. 

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Daily Brief Financials: Bank of Jiangsu , Eureka Group Holdings and more

By | Daily Briefs, Financials

In today’s briefing:

  • SSE50 Index Rebalance Preview: Financials Staging a Comeback as Expected Trade Tops US$2bn
  • Eureka Group (EGH AU): Aspen’s Sweetened Offer


SSE50 Index Rebalance Preview: Financials Staging a Comeback as Expected Trade Tops US$2bn

By Brian Freitas

  • Completing three-quarters of the review period, 6 stocks are in inclusion zone and 9 in deletion zone. However, there can be a maximum of 5 changes at a review.
  • We estimate a one-way turnover of 6.8% at the June rebalance leading to a one-way trade of CNY 7.35bn (US$1.02bn). Index arb balances could increase the impact on the stocks.
  • The potential adds have outperformed the potential deletes and the SSE50 Index (SSE50 INDEX) over the last few months and could continue to do so as positioning builds up.

Eureka Group (EGH AU): Aspen’s Sweetened Offer

By David Blennerhassett

  • On the 2 March 2023, Aspen Group (APZ AU) made an all-scrip NBIO for Eureka Group (EGH AU), a senior accommodation rental play. The implied A$0.399/share Offer was subsequently rejected.  
  • Aspen held 13.7% of shares out at the time, having acquired the stake in December 2022. Aspen has returned with all-scrip off-market Offer with an improved implied price of A$0.431/share. 
  • The Offer is contingent of Aspen getting to 50.1% of shares out. Eureka said it hasn’t received a formal approach. I think they’ll ask for more gruel.

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Daily Brief Health Care: New Horizon Health , Shouhui Tech, Johnson & Johnson, SIGA Technologies and more

By | Daily Briefs, Healthcare

In today’s briefing:

  • New Horizon Health: Positive Alert, Upgrades ’23 Revenue Guidance
  • Pre-IPO Shouhui Tech – The Business Outlook and Stock Price Performance Are Not Optimistic
  • Johnson & Johnson’s Covid-19 Operations
  • SIGA Technologies – New captain to steer the ship


New Horizon Health: Positive Alert, Upgrades ’23 Revenue Guidance

By Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

  • New Horizon Health announced a positive profit alert yesterday after market close and held a conference call.
  • We participated in the call and spoke with the management to understand the recent developments.
  • The company upgraded ’23 revenue guidance and provided revenue guidance for ’24.

Pre-IPO Shouhui Tech – The Business Outlook and Stock Price Performance Are Not Optimistic

By Xinyao (Criss) Wang

  • The essence of Shouhui’s business model is to “sell insurance” rather than provide services with technological attributes. So, Shouhui has relatively single business composition and lacks diversified sources of revenue.
  • The trend of “disintermediation” is becoming increasingly evident, which may lead to customers deciding to purchase insurance directly from insurance companies not from Shouhui, resulting declining demand for Shouhui’s services/products.
  • The business nature of insurance is incompatible with the Internet’s pursuit of rapid expansion. Cooling “Internet +insurance” investment in recent years proves the decline of market’s enthusiasm for this business.

Johnson & Johnson’s Covid-19 Operations

By Calcbench

  • Like everyone else on the planet, Calcbench has been relieved to see the covid-19 pandemic recede into the background of daily life.
  • Now, however, Johnson & Johnson ’s latest earnings report gives us a glimpse of what that fade means for corporate earnings.
  • J&J ($JNJ) filed its earnings report on Tuesday morning .

SIGA Technologies – New captain to steer the ship

By Edison Investment Research

SIGA Technologies has appointed Dr Diem Nguyen as its new chief executive officer (CEO), effective 27 January 2024. She will be spearheading the company efforts to expand its commercial operations, following the retirement of incumbent CEO, Dr Phil Gomez (who had announced plans to retire in January 2023). Dr Nguyen has over 25 years of experience in the pharmaceutical industry and joins from Xalud Therapeutics, a clinical-stage biotechnology company, where she was the CEO. Prior to Xalud, she served as executive vice president of PPD Inc, a global contract research organization (CRO) and had previously been associated with Pfizer across various commercial roles. We expect SIGA to benefit from her broad industry exposure and commercial know-how in scaling the international footprint of SIGA’s antiviral treatment, TPOXX, the only approved antiviral treatment for smallpox globally.


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