All Posts By

Smartkarma Daily Briefs

Daily Brief Indonesia: Bank Central Asia and more

By | Daily Briefs, Indonesia

In today’s briefing:

  • Bank Central Asia (BBCA IJ) – Transacting for a Hybrid Society


Bank Central Asia (BBCA IJ) – Transacting for a Hybrid Society

By Angus Mackintosh

  • Bank Central Asia (BBCA IJ) booked a strong finish to the year with PPOP rising by +15.4% YoY and zero provisioning in 4Q2023, driven by loan growth of +13.9% YoY. 
  • The bank’s net interest income grew by +19.5% YoY, with a stable NIM of 5.5% in 4Q2023 and CASA growth of +4.3% YoY, bringing the CASA ratio to 80.3%.
  • BCA remains a core holding amongst Indonesian banks, with conservative bank guidance of +9%-10% loan growth, stable NIMs and CoC in 2024. Valuations reflect bank returns and quality.

💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars



Daily Brief United States: KLA-Tencor Corp, Goldman Sachs Group, Sprout Social Inc, S&P 500 INDEX, LianBio, Rapid7 Inc, Boeing Co, Globalstar Inc, Cogent Communications Holdings, JFrog and more

By | Daily Briefs, United States

In today’s briefing:

  • KLAC. Looks a Lot Like LRCX!
  • Goldman Sachs Positioned to Outperform in 2024 with Strong Tailwinds (Part 2)
  • Sprout Social: Initiation of Coverage – AI Revolution in Social Media! Sneak Peek into Their Groundbreaking 2024 Features! – Major Drivers
  • EQD | SPX WEEKLY Rally Is About to Stop (Temporarily), Then Continue Into April
  • Lianbio -Ads (LIAN) – Tuesday, Oct 31, 2023
  • Rapid7 Inc.: Initiation of Coverage – Revolutionizing the Tech World with Strategic Partnerships – What’s Coming in 2024? – Major Drivers
  • Boeing Exposure and Q4 Trends Impacting the Airline Industry
  • Globalstar: Initiation of Coverage – 5 Surprising Ways This Tech Giant is Revolutionizing Connectivity with Satellite Innovation! – Major Drivers
  • Cogent Communications Holdings: Initiation of Coverage – 4 Factors Driving Their Stock Price! – Financial Forecasts
  • JFrog Ltd.: Initiation of Coverage – Unleashing the Power of AI in DevOps – A Game-Changer You Can’t Afford to Miss! – Major Drivers


KLAC. Looks a Lot Like LRCX!

By William Keating

  • Q423 revenues of $2.49 billion, marginally above the guided midpoint, up 3.6% QoQ but down 15.6% YoY. Net income was $583 million, down $158 million QoQ.
  • Current quarter guidance of $2.3 billion, down 8% QoQ and also down around 5% YoY
  • Interesting Q&A discussion on backlog. KLAC’s order book is risker than their peers due to their shorter lead times. Something to watch…

Goldman Sachs Positioned to Outperform in 2024 with Strong Tailwinds (Part 2)

By Pranay Yadav

  • Outlook for interest rates in 2024 remains uncertain with market expectations diverging from Fed’s dot plot. Overall, rate cuts are expected in 2024.
  • Lower rate outlook for 2024 will drive higher deal-making which is likely to benefit Goldman. A slowdown in the US economy could hamper Goldman’s recovery.
  • Market metrics point to a positive sentiment around Goldman Sachs stock amongst analysts with summary analyst recommendation pointing to a Buy rating and average upside of 11%.

Sprout Social: Initiation of Coverage – AI Revolution in Social Media! Sneak Peek into Their Groundbreaking 2024 Features! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • This is our first report on web-based social media management solution provider, Sprout Social.
  • In its most recent quarter, a comprehensive social media management software company, delivered positive Q3 results reflecting good progress in meeting their objectives.
  • In this report, we have carried out a fundamental analysis of the historical financial statements of the company.

EQD | SPX WEEKLY Rally Is About to Stop (Temporarily), Then Continue Into April

By Nico Rosti

  • The S&P 500 INDEX is WEEKLY OVERBOUGHT, it may continue higher this week or the next but a pullback is behind the corner.
  • Currently the index has reached beyond the Q3 resistance target (4897) and it’s up 4 weeks in a row.
  • Cover your LONG holdings for the upcoming pullback, going SHORT is also possible but maybe won’t be much profitable as we expect the index main rally to last into April.

Lianbio -Ads (LIAN) – Tuesday, Oct 31, 2023

By Value Investors Club

Key points (machine generated)

  • LianBio is winding down its portfolio of in-licensed drug candidates and returning cash to shareholders.
  • The company recently sold exclusive rights to develop and commercialize mavacamten in certain areas of Asia to Bristol Myers Squibb for $350 million.
  • LianBio will have approximately $600 million in net cash after the transaction, exceeding its current market capitalization of around $434 million. A strategic review is ongoing, and it is expected that the company will wind down its business and distribute cash to shareholders, potentially leading to a higher share price reflecting its cash holdings.

This article is sourced from an online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


Rapid7 Inc.: Initiation of Coverage – Revolutionizing the Tech World with Strategic Partnerships – What’s Coming in 2024? – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • This is our first report on Rapid7, a renowned cybersecurity solutions provider.
  • The company posted its third quarter 2023 financial results, highlighting an Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR) of $777 million and a growth of 14% over the previous year.
  • Rapid7 also showcased strong demand for its integrated security operations solutions, particularly its consolidated offerings.

Boeing Exposure and Q4 Trends Impacting the Airline Industry

By Bedrock AI

  • Now that the U.S Big 4 airlines have all reported their earnings, let’s look at some of the key trends underpinning the airline industry this quarter.
  • The industry continues to be marred by several macro trends, including a triple whammy of inflation-driven increasing maintenance and labor costs, supply chain issues, and the unreliability of a major supplier (Boeing).
  • Boeing’s perennial woes seemed to be a major point of discussion as every Big 4 airline faced an analyst question about it during their earnings calls.

Globalstar: Initiation of Coverage – 5 Surprising Ways This Tech Giant is Revolutionizing Connectivity with Satellite Innovation! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • This is our first report on mobile satellite services provider, Globalstar.
  • Baptista Research looks to evaluate the different factors that could influence the company’s price in the near future and attempts to carry out an independent valuation of the company using a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) methodology.
  • We have added reasonable forecasts of the annualized income statement and cash flows and carried out a DCF valuation of the company using its Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC) to determine a forecasted share price.

Cogent Communications Holdings: Initiation of Coverage – 4 Factors Driving Their Stock Price! – Financial Forecasts

By Baptista Research

  • This is our first report on Cogent Communications Holdings.
  • The company had a decent performance in the third quarter of 2023 highlighting the recent acquisition of the Sprint business on May 1, 2023, which expanded Cogent’s network and customer base and materially increased the scope and scale of their business.
  • In this report, we have carried out a fundamental analysis of the historical financial statements of the company.

JFrog Ltd.: Initiation of Coverage – Unleashing the Power of AI in DevOps – A Game-Changer You Can’t Afford to Miss! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • This is our first report on DevOps platform provider, JFrog.
  • Most importantly, the year-over-year growth of JFrog’s cloud business rose by 46%, contributing $30.6 million to the total revenue.
  • Non-GAAP profit stood at $16.6 million, generating a free cash flow of $25.4 million.

💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars



Daily Brief India: Avanti Feeds, Ola Electric, FirstCry, Cipla Ltd and more

By | Daily Briefs, India

In today’s briefing:

  • Shrimp Industry Shakeup: Ecuador Crisis Sparks Opportunities for Indian Seafood Companies
  • Ola Electric Pre-IPO – The Negatives – Still a Long Road Ahead with Ample Competition
  • Brainbees Solutions (FirstCry) IPO: The Bear Case
  • Cipla (CIPLA IN): Q3FY24 Result- Continued Growth Trajectory Across Key Markets; Positive Outlook


Shrimp Industry Shakeup: Ecuador Crisis Sparks Opportunities for Indian Seafood Companies

By Nimish Maheshwari

  • Ecuador’s crisis, driven by violence and narco-gang threats, impacts the global seafood supply chain, especially the lucrative shrimp exports sector.
  • Resilient amid challenges, India holds its position as the second-largest global shrimp producer, balancing opportunities and persistent challenges in logistics and competition.
  • Investors urged caution in the Indian seafood boom, yet potential opportunities arise from Ecuador’s supply disruptions, with reduced import duty enhancing India’s competitiveness.

Ola Electric Pre-IPO – The Negatives – Still a Long Road Ahead with Ample Competition

By Sumeet Singh

  • Ola Electric is looking to raise about US$1bn in its upcoming India IPO.
  • Ola Electric Mobility is a vertically integrated pure EV player in India with manufacturing capabilities for EVs and EV components, including cells.
  • In this note, we talk about the not-so-positive aspects of the deal.

Brainbees Solutions (FirstCry) IPO: The Bear Case

By Arun George

  • FirstCry (0172540D IN), India’s largest multi-channel retailing platform for mothers’, babies’ and kids’ products, has filed for a US$700 million IPO. 
  • In Brainbees Solutions (FirstCry) IPO: The Bull Case, we highlighted the key elements of the bull case. In this note, we outline the bear case.
  • The bear case rests on the worrying trend of India’s KPIs, margin pressures, cash burn, and deteriorating balance sheet strength. 

Cipla (CIPLA IN): Q3FY24 Result- Continued Growth Trajectory Across Key Markets; Positive Outlook

By Tina Banerjee

  • In Q3FY24, Cipla Ltd (CIPLA IN) recorded revenue of INR66B, up 14% YoY, and EBITDA margin of 24.2%, driven by double-digit growth across India, North America, and South Africa.
  • North America business reported highest ever revenue of $230M. India revenue is up 12% YoY, supported by growth across branded prescription, trade generics, and consumer health.
  • EBITDA margin for the full year is trending at a higher end of earlier guidance range of 23–24%. Peptide product launches in the U.S. should strengthen near-term growth prospect.

💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars



Daily Brief China: Guoco Group Ltd, Alibaba Group Holding , Road King Infrastructure, Zhangzhou Pientzehuang Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd., Sunny Optical Technology Group and more

By | China, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • Guoco (53 HK): Fourth Time’s A Charm?
  • Alibaba (9988 HK) 3Q24 Earnings Preview: Could Be Unimpressive, But Just Reorganized Main Business
  • Morning Views Asia: Lippo Malls Indonesia Retail Trust, Road King Infrastructure
  • Zhangzhou Pientzehuang Pharmaceutical (600436.CH) 2023 Results – Get Ready for More Downside Ahead
  • Morning Views Asia: Sunny Optical Technology Group


Guoco (53 HK): Fourth Time’s A Charm?

By David Blennerhassett

  • Conglomerate Guoco Group (53 HK) has fielded three privatisation Offers from Guoline (the Quek family) over the past twenty years. 
  • Elliott Advisors, then holding 9.72% of shares out, backed the most recent Offer of HK$135/share in November 2018; but it was voted down at a Scheme Meeting. 
  • Elliott has now, surprisingly, exited. This may open the door for a fourth Offer. Shares popped 14% on the news.  

Alibaba (9988 HK) 3Q24 Earnings Preview: Could Be Unimpressive, But Just Reorganized Main Business

By Ming Lu

  • Alibaba Changed its Tmall Taobao business unit from three centers to six departments.
  • We believe the change means Alibaba is moving its focus from cost cut to revenue growth.
  • We set the stock upside at 26% and the price target at HK$91. Buy.

Morning Views Asia: Lippo Malls Indonesia Retail Trust, Road King Infrastructure

By Leonard Law, CFA

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.


Zhangzhou Pientzehuang Pharmaceutical (600436.CH) 2023 Results – Get Ready for More Downside Ahead

By Xinyao (Criss) Wang

  • Pientzehuang’s 2023 results were well below expectations. The performance in 23Q4 was terrible. 2024 performance would continue to be under pressure, without any reversal signals to be seen.
  • In the process of China’s de-financialization, growth potential of assets with strong financial attributes would weaken.Pientzehuang’s ability to raise prices won’t be as strong as rigid-demands such as telecommunications tariffs.
  • Pientzehuang’s stock price performance doesn’t follow traditional TCM companies.It’s not surprising if Pientzehuang’s valuation drops to PE of 15x or even lower. We recommend investors not to rush to bottom-fish.

Morning Views Asia: Sunny Optical Technology Group

By Leonard Law, CFA

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.


💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars



Daily Brief Japan: Canon Inc, TSE Tokyo Price Index TOPIX and more

By | Daily Briefs, Japan

In today’s briefing:

  • Canon (7751) – OK 2023 Results, Better Guidance, Bigger, Longer, Slower Buyback
  • To Raise ROE, Breaking Away from Familiar Relationships and Creating Tension in Management Is Key


Canon (7751) – OK 2023 Results, Better Guidance, Bigger, Longer, Slower Buyback

By Travis Lundy

  • Canon Inc (7751 JP) announced 2023 full-year results on 30 January. Results were mixed. Revenues did OK. Net Profit underperformed expectations. 2024 Net Profit Guidance is 1% higher than consensus.
  • Canon has a 15yr history of one kind of buyback. ¥50bn every time. 19 times in a row. Short (10 weeks max), sharp, executions (executed in 3-5 weeks). Every time. 
  • This time offers a new buyback. ¥100bn. Over the space of a year. That’s only 3% of ADV but the shareholder structure is different than you think it is.

To Raise ROE, Breaking Away from Familiar Relationships and Creating Tension in Management Is Key

By Aki Matsumoto

  • If the ISS ROE criteria, which seems somewhat slow, were to be resumed, many companies would still be below 5%. However, how many companies are feeling threatened?
  • About 40% of the companies have large shareholders holding more than 20% of their shares, which is one reason why many companies do not feel a sense of threat.
  • Domestic institutional investors should apply the Proxy Voting Guidelines more strictly to companies that do not make maximum efforts to increase their ROE.

💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars



Daily Brief Industrials: S.F. Holding, Ryanair Holdings, ATS , Millennium Services Group Ltd and more

By | Daily Briefs, Industrials

In today’s briefing:

  • Monthly Chinese Express Tracker | Volumes Remain Firm | Domestic Pricing Worsens (January 2024)
  • Ryanair – Further Corroboration of Strong Summer Prospects
  • ATS Corporation: Innovation Invasion!” The Game-Changing Products Set to Dominate the Market!
  • Millennium Services Group Ltd – Q2 FY24 Revenue Beat Our Estimates Due to Ad-Hoc Work


Monthly Chinese Express Tracker | Volumes Remain Firm | Domestic Pricing Worsens (January 2024)

By Daniel Hellberg

  • December: strong volume growth, but worsening price declines for STO, Yunda
  • Recent trends in X-border parcel volume growth & pricing moderated in December
  • In 2024, look for SF to continue its outpeformance; STO, Yunda should still lag

Ryanair – Further Corroboration of Strong Summer Prospects

By Neil Glynn

  • Ryanair trimmed its FY24 (March 2024) net income guidance from €1,850m-€2,050m to €1,850m-€1,950m. We cut our forecast 4% to €1,944m.
  • Ryanair guidance on summer pricing is encouraging. It sees fares up low-single digit % yoy at this point but expects an improvement as we near the summer.
  • This commentary follows bullish pricing updates from easyJet, Wizz Air on short haul as well as the US carriers on Transatlantic routes, suggesting strong 2024 pricing on European routes.

ATS Corporation: Innovation Invasion!” The Game-Changing Products Set to Dominate the Market!

By Baptista Research

  • This is our first report on automation solutions provider, ATS Corporation.
  • The company has maintained a consistent performance for the last quarter, with solid order bookings, organic revenue growth, and robust operations across its business.
  • In this report, we have carried out a fundamental analysis of the historical financial statements of the company.

Millennium Services Group Ltd – Q2 FY24 Revenue Beat Our Estimates Due to Ad-Hoc Work

By Research as a Service (RaaS)

  • Human services company Millennium Services Group Ltd (ASX:MIL) has released its Q2 FY24 cash-flow report and a Q2/H1 FY24 revenue update.
  • Total Q2 FY24 revenue increased 17.7% on the pcp, accelerating from Q1 FY24 and above RaaS estimates with ad-hoc revenue the key surprise, up 40% due to additional extended trading hours at retail malls and new security project work.
  • MIL is on track to achieve its FY24 revenue guidance of $300m to $305m. 

💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars



Daily Brief Energy/Materials: Holcim , Natural Gas, Empire Energy, Chariot Limited, Trigon Metals and more

By | Daily Briefs, Energy & Materials Sector

In today’s briefing:

  • Value from US Spin-Off
  • Goodbye El Nino – Hello again La Nina // The case for Bitcoin
  • Empire Energy Group Ltd – Getting Close to the FID Pointy End
  • Chariot Limited (AIM: CHAR):Onshore drilling to start in 1Q24
  • TM: High-Grade Results & Positive Underground Update


Value from US Spin-Off

By Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

  • Having lagged competitors on share price basis since Holcim/Lafarge merger, on 29 January, Holcim (HOLN SW) announced plans to spin-off and list its North American business in the US.
  • Infrastructure and housing are reponsible for U.S. comparables to trade on 14.7x median EV/NTM Fwd EBITDA, in sharp contrast to 5.4x median EV/NTM Fwd EBITDA of European comparables. 
  • Even if valuing the RoW business at the lower median European multiples, the spin-off should be value accretive. My fair value estimate of CHF 84.47/share represents 25.7% upside.

Goodbye El Nino – Hello again La Nina // The case for Bitcoin

By The Commodity Report

  • “El Nino has peaked and is declining, indicating a return to neutral in the southern hemisphere autumn 2024 (March-June),” the Australian Bureau of Meteorology wrote last week.
  • Even more the institute forecasts that El Nino may completely dissipate by June.
  • For our clients, that won’t come as a surprise as we highlighted this scenario over a couple of weeks.

Empire Energy Group Ltd – Getting Close to the FID Pointy End

By Research as a Service (RaaS)

  • Empire Energy Group Limited (ASX:EEG) is an oil and gas producer/developer with onshore Northern Territory (NT) and US oil/gas production assets.
  • EEG has the largest tenement position in the highly prospective Greater McArthur Basin, which includes the Beetaloo Sub-basin.
  • The investment case continues to build with a FID point on the Carpentaria Pilot Project tantalisingly close. 

Chariot Limited (AIM: CHAR):Onshore drilling to start in 1Q24

By Auctus Advisors

  • Drilling at Loukos in Morocco is expected to start around the end of 1Q24 with Chariot expecting the imminent approval of environment permit for up to 20 drilling locations.
  • The first prospect to be drilled will be Gaufrette (in line with previous indications).
  • Energean and Chariot are negotiation a contract for a drilling rig for the 2024 campaign.

TM: High-Grade Results & Positive Underground Update

By Atrium Research

  • Trigon announced stellar drill results from its ongoing at-surface confirmatory drill campaign.
  • Last week, Trigon Metals Inc. (TM:TSXV) announced strong confirmatory drill results at its Kombat Mine in Namibia.
  • Today’s drill results have successfully confirmed mineralized zones identified from the historical drill results.

💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars



Daily Brief TMT/Internet: Glosel , Hollysys Automation Technologies, Lam Research, Prosus NV, Intel Corp, Mitek Systems, Centralnic and more

By | Daily Briefs, TMT/Internet

In today’s briefing:

  • Japan Activism – Bumpity Bumpity – Lowball Macnica Bid for Glosel (9995) Is Bumped! (+16.3% to ¥750)
  • Hollysys (HOLI US): Critiquing ISS & Glass Lewis’ Critiques
  • LRCX. Recovery Stalls As Outlook Remains Stubbornly Muted
  • Glosel (9995 JP): Murakami’s Tactics Result in Macnica (3132 JP) Bumping to JPY750
  • Naspers (NPN) X Prosus (PRX): Time to Close Out Pairs Trade as Discount Falls to 8.9% from 13.7%
  • Intel 18A is in Sight, Does it Matter?
  • Mitek Systems (MITK) – Monday, Oct 30, 2023
  • Team Internet Group – Solid on all fronts


Japan Activism – Bumpity Bumpity – Lowball Macnica Bid for Glosel (9995) Is Bumped! (+16.3% to ¥750)

By Travis Lundy

  • Two months ago, Macnica Holdings Inc (3132 JP) launched a tender on semiconductor trading house Glosel (9995 JP). OK, but… it was too cheap at 0.71x book. Why?  
  • Glosel is special because it has three main assets. 1) 61% of net assets are inventory (<3mos), 2) 34% of net assets are net receivables (<3mos), 3) 8+% is securities.
  • It took two months to get approvals in place and two months of trading well through terms, and so now the terms have been bumped 16%. Thank Murakami-san.

Hollysys (HOLI US): Critiquing ISS & Glass Lewis’ Critiques

By David Blennerhassett

  • On the 26th January, proxy advisor Glass Lewis issued a report recommending Hollysys (HOLI US) shareholders vote against Ascendent’s merger. Two days later, ISS issued a similar opinion.  
  • Both reports targeted HOLI’s efforts to maximize an Offer price. Elsewhere, some salient points were raised. But overall, there exists an air of naivety in their conclusions.
  • HOLI’s EGM is scheduled for February 8th. The merger consideration of US$26.50/share is in line with, or above, the estimated values of Deutsche Bank’s fairness opinion.

LRCX. Recovery Stalls As Outlook Remains Stubbornly Muted

By William Keating

  • LRCX reported Q423 revenues of $3.76 billion, marginally ahead of the guided midpoint, up 8% QoQ but down 29% YoY
  • Looking ahead, LRCX forecasted Q124 revenues of $3.7 billion, essentially flat sequentially.
  • The memory recovery is happening, but only for HBM and node transitions. No spending on memory capacity additions means limited upside for LRCX. 

Glosel (9995 JP): Murakami’s Tactics Result in Macnica (3132 JP) Bumping to JPY750

By Arun George

  • Glosel (9995 JP) has recommended Macnica Holdings Inc (3132 JP)’s revised tender offer of JPY750 per share, a 16.3% premium to the previous JPY645 offer. 
  • Murakami’s clever manoeuvring to build a 12.67% stake and propose a JPY750 competing offer has forced Macnica to bump its offer. 
  • The minimum acceptance condition requires a 66.7% minority acceptance rate. This acceptance rate is achievable because the offer is attractive and Murakami is supportive. 

Naspers (NPN) X Prosus (PRX): Time to Close Out Pairs Trade as Discount Falls to 8.9% from 13.7%

By Charlotte van Tiddens, CFA

  • On the 17th of January, we published an insight flagging an opportunity to put on a pairs trade long Naspers, short Prosus.
  • Since the start of the year, Naspers’ underperformance relative to Prosus was, in our view, overdone.
  • Naspers has outperformed Prosus by 3.98% over the last 8 trading days. We suggest closing out at current levels.

Intel 18A is in Sight, Does it Matter?

By Douglas O’Laughlin

  • Intel reported earnings last week. Intel was one of my favorite stocks last year, and I wrote about it here in “Is This the Intel Inflection”, where I successfully called the bottom in the stock.
  • It’s worked pretty well, even against the SOXX index since then.
  • I’ll summarize my thesis back then, update you now on what I think about Intel, and write about results and read-throughs.

Mitek Systems (MITK) – Monday, Oct 30, 2023

By Value Investors Club

Key points (machine generated)

  • Mitek specializes in mobile image capture and digital identity verification solutions, with approximately 60% of its business in mobile image capture and 40% in digital identity verification.
  • The company has experienced strong revenue growth, with a compound annual growth rate of 18% to 22% over the past one, three, and five years, reaching approximately $170 million as of September 2023.
  • Mitek has focused on using profits from its mature mobile image capture business to build its identity verification segment, but the mobile deposit business has also grown at a similar rate, limiting portfolio rebalancing in recent years.

This article is sourced from an online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


Team Internet Group – Solid on all fronts

By Edison Investment Research

Team Internet’s FY23 trading update confirmed that trading has remained robust with double-digit sales growth across Online Marketing and Online Presence. The total revenue and EBITDA margin were slightly ahead of market consensus and our forecasts, both of which were upgraded in November 2023. Estimated FY23 net debt of US$74m was lower than our US$80.9m forecast, with operating cash conversion reverting to close to 100%. We maintain our FY24 estimates, but these could prove conservative, especially if advertising spend recovers. At 4.8x FY24e EV/EBITDA and 6.4x FY24e P/E, Team Internet’s rating looks low given the company’s growth profile, diversity and growing track record.


💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars



Daily Brief Industrials: S.F. Holding, Ryanair Holdings, ATS , Millennium Services Group Ltd and more

By | Daily Briefs, Industrials

In today’s briefing:

  • Monthly Chinese Express Tracker | Volumes Remain Firm | Domestic Pricing Worsens (January 2024)
  • Ryanair – Further Corroboration of Strong Summer Prospects
  • ATS Corporation: Innovation Invasion!” The Game-Changing Products Set to Dominate the Market!
  • Millennium Services Group Ltd – Q2 FY24 Revenue Beat Our Estimates Due to Ad-Hoc Work


Monthly Chinese Express Tracker | Volumes Remain Firm | Domestic Pricing Worsens (January 2024)

By Daniel Hellberg

  • December: strong volume growth, but worsening price declines for STO, Yunda
  • Recent trends in X-border parcel volume growth & pricing moderated in December
  • In 2024, look for SF to continue its outpeformance; STO, Yunda should still lag

Ryanair – Further Corroboration of Strong Summer Prospects

By Neil Glynn

  • Ryanair trimmed its FY24 (March 2024) net income guidance from €1,850m-€2,050m to €1,850m-€1,950m. We cut our forecast 4% to €1,944m.
  • Ryanair guidance on summer pricing is encouraging. It sees fares up low-single digit % yoy at this point but expects an improvement as we near the summer.
  • This commentary follows bullish pricing updates from easyJet, Wizz Air on short haul as well as the US carriers on Transatlantic routes, suggesting strong 2024 pricing on European routes.

ATS Corporation: Innovation Invasion!” The Game-Changing Products Set to Dominate the Market!

By Baptista Research

  • This is our first report on automation solutions provider, ATS Corporation.
  • The company has maintained a consistent performance for the last quarter, with solid order bookings, organic revenue growth, and robust operations across its business.
  • In this report, we have carried out a fundamental analysis of the historical financial statements of the company.

Millennium Services Group Ltd – Q2 FY24 Revenue Beat Our Estimates Due to Ad-Hoc Work

By Research as a Service (RaaS)

  • Human services company Millennium Services Group Ltd (ASX:MIL) has released its Q2 FY24 cash-flow report and a Q2/H1 FY24 revenue update.
  • Total Q2 FY24 revenue increased 17.7% on the pcp, accelerating from Q1 FY24 and above RaaS estimates with ad-hoc revenue the key surprise, up 40% due to additional extended trading hours at retail malls and new security project work.
  • MIL is on track to achieve its FY24 revenue guidance of $300m to $305m. 

💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars



Daily Brief Health Care: Shenzhen Mindray Bio-Medical Electronics, Avadel Pharmaceuticals PLC, Oryzon Genomics and more

By | Daily Briefs, Healthcare

In today’s briefing:

  • Mindray to Acquire $927 Million Stake in APT Medical – the Logic and Concerns Behind
  • Avadel Pharmaceuticals -Adr (AVDL) – Monday, Oct 30, 2023
  • Oryzon Genomics – KOL event: Offering a real-world solution in BPD


Mindray to Acquire $927 Million Stake in APT Medical – the Logic and Concerns Behind

By Xinyao (Criss) Wang

  • Mindray has encountered bottleneck in performance growth. So, it urgently hopes to bring “new growth stories”. APT Medical’s current growth momentum is commendable, and could also complement Mindray’s product line.
  • We saw poor stock price performance of both after the announcement. High acquisition premium and the possibility that APT Medical’s future performance fall short of expectations are among the reasons. 
  • In fact, both sides got what they wanted. We advise investors to be patient.Perhaps, Mindray would indeed make a breakthrough from this acquisition, which is also a blow to Microport.  

Avadel Pharmaceuticals -Adr (AVDL) – Monday, Oct 30, 2023

By Value Investors Club

Key points (machine generated)

  • AVDL is a pharmaceutical company that has recently launched LUMRYZ, a drug used to treat Narcolepsy, a rare sleeping disorder.
  • LUMRYZ is an improved version of two existing drugs, Xyrem and Xywav, which generate $1.9 billion in annual revenue and have around 16,000 patients on the drug.
  • LUMRYZ aims to address the inconvenience of the unusual dosing profile of Xyrem and Xywav, which require patients to take two doses, with the second dose taken in the middle of the night.

This article is sourced from an online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


Oryzon Genomics – KOL event: Offering a real-world solution in BPD

By Edison Investment Research

Oryzon hosted a key opinion leader (KOL) event highlighting the potential of vafidemstat in borderline personality disorder (BPD). The KOLs discussed the limited options for treating BPD, as there are no approved drugs, and the current therapies are often ineffective. While the PORTICO trial did not reach statistical significance on its primary endpoints, vafidemstat was favoured over placebo in all efficacy measures, with statistical significance in two key secondary endpoints. During the event, the KOLs shared their perspectives from working with BPD patients, and claimed that improvements of 25% or over, across any measure of overall severity and agitation/aggression, would mark a clinically meaningful outcome. As this was achieved in PORTICO, we believe that vafidemstat has the potential to be an effective treatment option for this underserved patient population. Oryzon is conducting a detailed analysis of the trial results and plans to request an end-of-Phase II (EoP2) meeting with the FDA in Q224 to discuss a registrational Phase III programme.


💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars