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Smartkarma Daily Briefs

Daily Brief South Korea: Sam A Aluminum, Samsung Electronics , Douzone Bizon, Samsung C&T, Korean Air Lines and more

By | Daily Briefs, South Korea

In today’s briefing:

  • End of Mandatory Lock-Up Periods for 53 Companies in Korea in February 2024
  • Samsung Memory Revenues Up Impressively
  • KRX New Deal Index Rebalance Preview: Douzone Bizon Does It Again
  • Samsung C&T: Share Cancellation of Nearly 1.1 Trillion Won Worth of Treasury Shares in 2023
  • Korean Air – 4Q Loss Driven by Exceptional Financial Costs; Underlying Picture Healthier


End of Mandatory Lock-Up Periods for 53 Companies in Korea in February 2024

By Douglas Kim

  • We discuss the end of the mandatory lock-up periods for 53 stocks in Korea in February 2024, among which 3 are in KOSPI and 50 are in KOSDAQ.
  • These 53 stocks on average could be subject to further selling pressures in February and could underperform relative to the market.
  • The top five market cap stocks including those with 1% or higher A/B ratio include the following: Sam A Aluminum, Jeio, HLB Therapeutics,  Polaris Office, and Mirae Asset Venture Investment. 

Samsung Memory Revenues Up Impressively

By Jim Handy

  • Samsung’s earnings was recently reported, with memory revenues up nearly 50% in the fourth quarter
  • This gain has been driven by very strong growth in AI and a normalization of inventory levels
  • The memory business is approaching positive margins once again, and SK hynix is already profitable

KRX New Deal Index Rebalance Preview: Douzone Bizon Does It Again

By Brian Freitas

  • The review period for the March rebalance ended yesterday, the changes will be announced early March and implemented at the close of trading on 14 March.
  • We forecast one change for each of the Secondary Battery, Bio, Internet and Game indices. There could be two changes for the BBIG Index.
  • Douzone Bizon (012510 KS) is up 65.5% in the last month and we’d look to lighten positions on this move higher.

Samsung C&T: Share Cancellation of Nearly 1.1 Trillion Won Worth of Treasury Shares in 2023

By Douglas Kim

  • Samsung C&T announced that it plans to cancel treasury shares including 7,807,563 shares of common stock (4.2% of outstanding shares) and 159,835 shares of preferred stock (9.8% of outstanding shares). 
  • This would represent share cancellation amount of 1.1 trillion won and 17 billion won for Samsung C&T (028260 KS) (common) and Samsung C&T (02826K KS) (preferred).
  • For the remaining treasury shares, the company will cancel 7.8 million shares in 2025 and 7.8 million shares in 2026. 

Korean Air – 4Q Loss Driven by Exceptional Financial Costs; Underlying Picture Healthier

By Neil Glynn

  • Korean Air has reported a 4Q23 net loss of KRW235bn, which is down from a profit of KRW354bn in 4Q22. We had expected KRW264bn profit but higher opex/financing costs weighed
  • We highlight 4Q23 saw KRW409bn in other financial expenses, which compared to an income of KRW322bn in 9M23. Without this, KAL would have generated profit of around KRW200bn in 4Q23
  • Pre-Pandemic, 4Q saw a near-breakeven performance (KRW17-38bn losses in 4Q18-4Q19) so a KRW184bn profit in 4Q23 still remains strong relative to pre-pandemic levels

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Daily Brief Indonesia: Ultrajaya Milk, Bank Negara Indonesia Persero and more

By | Daily Briefs, Indonesia

In today’s briefing:

  • Ultrajaya Milk (ULTJ IJ) – The Milkmaid Cometh
  • BBNI IJ Initiation: On a Rewarding Journey to 20% ROE


Ultrajaya Milk (ULTJ IJ) – The Milkmaid Cometh

By Angus Mackintosh

  • Ultrajaya Milk (ULTJ IJ) is back to the boil in terms of sales growth for both its dairy and carton tea businesses, which both benefit from a nominalisation of mobility. 
  • The company’s margins have improved in the dairy business as cost pressure has abated with falling powdered milk prices. Competition has picked up but the overall market is growing sufficiently. 
  • Ultrajaya Milk will open a new distribution centre in 1Q2024, which should help to drive growth plus it looks to launch new product categories in 2024. Valuations are attractive.

BBNI IJ Initiation: On a Rewarding Journey to 20% ROE

By Raj Saya, CA, CFA

  • Bank Negara Indonesia Persero (BBNI IJ) has stated its target of achieving an FY28e ROE of 20%, with ambition to join the other three big Indonesian Banks already doing it. 
  • Although the current results are not on par with the other three, the bank has outlined its strategy to reach the target (1% credit cost; 37% CIR by 2028 exit)
  • Projecting a gradual re-rating to align with peers by 2028 and extrapolating book value growth over the 5-year period provides a shareholder return of 30% CAGR

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Daily Brief Singapore: Sasseur REIT and more

By | Daily Briefs, Singapore

In today’s briefing:

  • kopi-C with Sasseur REIT’s CEO: “Consumption downgrade benefits us”


kopi-C with Sasseur REIT’s CEO: “Consumption downgrade benefits us”

By Geoff Howie

  • kopi-C with Sasseur REIT’s CEO: “Consumption downgrade benefits us” Sasseur REIT, which focuses on outlet malls in China, has achieved strong growth despite the country’s economic slowdown.
  • Sasseur REIT is the first retail outlet mall REIT listed in Asia.

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Daily Brief United States: Amer Sports , Delek US Holdings , Arlo Technologies Inc, Marsh & Mclennan, Science Applications Inte, Penn National Gaming, Advance Auto Parts, Soluna Holdings , HashiCorp , Lifevantage and more

By | Daily Briefs, United States

In today’s briefing:

  • Amer Sports IPO Trading – Downsized and Cornered, Close to Optimistic Fair Value
  • StubWorld: Upside To Delek (DK US)’s Downstream Ops
  • ARLO: Pixel of a Quarter
  • Marsh McLennan: Initiation of Coverage – Recent Acquisitions & Key Drivers
  • Science Applications International Corp (SAIC): Initiation of Coverage – Growth Story: How SAIC’s Bold Organic Strategy is Redefining the Industry! – Major Drivers
  • Penn Entertainment Inc: 5 Reasons Why Their IGaming Expansion Is Set to Skyrocket!
  • Advance Auto Parts Inc (AAP) – Wednesday, Nov 1, 2023
  • CLIMATETECH & SUSTAINABLE INVESTING – Soluna Holdings, Inc.
  • HashiCorp Inc: Initiation of Coverage – AI-Powered Business Boom! Discover How HCP Is Harnessing AI to Skyrocket App Development! – Major Drivers
  • UPDATE NOTE – LifeVantage Corporation


Amer Sports IPO Trading – Downsized and Cornered, Close to Optimistic Fair Value

By Sumeet Singh

  • Amer Sports (AS US) raised around US$1.3bn in its US IPO, after pricing its IPO below its initial range, as per media reports.
  • Amer Sports is a sports and outdoor brands company making clothing and other sporting equipment for use in snow sports, running, climbing, baseball, american football, tennis and other sports.
  • We have looked at the company’s performance and valuation in our past note. In this note, we talk about the trading dynamics.

StubWorld: Upside To Delek (DK US)’s Downstream Ops

By David Blennerhassett

  • A change of pace from the usual Asia-Pac stubs: Delek US (DK US), a deep value downstream refining and logistic (via 78.7% held Delek Logistics Partners (DKL US)) play
  • Preceding my comments on Delek are the current setup/unwind tables for Asia-Pacific Holdcos.
  • These relationships trade with a minimum liquidity of US$1mn, and a % market capitalisation >20%.

ARLO: Pixel of a Quarter

By Hamed Khorsand

  • ARLO maintained a steady presence of inventory and pricing during the holiday shopping of the fourth quarter and now ARLO is scheduled to report Q4 results in February
  • ARLO introduced a line of Essential cameras at Wal-Mart, which we believe was a success and should contribute to fourth quarter 2023 revenue and first quarter 2024 net subscriber adds
  • ARLO ended the September quarter with approximately 2.5 million paid subscribers. We are projecting ARLO added 170 thousand paid subscribers in the fourth quarter

Marsh McLennan: Initiation of Coverage – Recent Acquisitions & Key Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • This is our first report on global insurance major, Marsh McLennan.
  • The company had a mixed quarterly result as it failed to meet the revenue expectations of analysts but managed an earnings beat.
  • The company recently announced the acquisition of MZI (McDonald Zaring Insurance), a full-service agency situated in Walla Walla, Washington.

Science Applications International Corp (SAIC): Initiation of Coverage – Growth Story: How SAIC’s Bold Organic Strategy is Redefining the Industry! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Analyzing the recent earnings call of Science Applications International Corporation (SAIC), it appears that the company’s strategy for future growth focuses on four strategic pivots: the solutions portfolio, go-to-market strategy, company culture, and brand strength.
  • Following this strategy, SAIC seek to maintain its leading position in the market and deliver long-term value for stakeholders.
  • Baptista Research looks to evaluate the different factors that could influence the company’s price in the near future and attempts to carry out an independent valuation of the company using a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) methodology.

Penn Entertainment Inc: 5 Reasons Why Their IGaming Expansion Is Set to Skyrocket!

By Baptista Research

  • This is our first report on entertainment major, Penn National Gaming.
  • The company generated revenues of $1.62 billion and an adjusted EBITDAR of $445.1 million in the third quarter.
  • In this report, we have carried out a fundamental analysis of the historical financial statements of the company.

Advance Auto Parts Inc (AAP) – Wednesday, Nov 1, 2023

By Value Investors Club

Key points (machine generated)

  • Advance Auto Parts (AAP) is considered a value trap and not a good investment due to its stagnant stock price since July 2010 and declining operating income over the past 14 years.
  • The author suggests that AAP could present a good short opportunity and could serve as a hedge against industry and macro risks for a long position in competitor O’Reilly Automotive (ORLY).
  • The author highlights the challenges of retail in general and the failure of many tier 2 and tier 3 players in the past.

This article is sourced from an online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


CLIMATETECH & SUSTAINABLE INVESTING – Soluna Holdings, Inc.

By Water Tower Research

  • Soluna’s AI datacenter initiative advancing. Progress continues on the ‘Helix’ AI pilot that is part of Project Dorothy 2, with its engineering team working on the new design with a leading datacenter design firm.
  • In addition, Soluna has retained BitOoda Technologies LLC as a financial advisor to assist with raising capital for the new AI business venture that we expect will house the company’s AI-related assets going forward.
  • We continue to see AI as driving the next phase in Soluna’s growth, opening it to a market opportunity well in excess of the still-growing Bitcoin mining market.

HashiCorp Inc: Initiation of Coverage – AI-Powered Business Boom! Discover How HCP Is Harnessing AI to Skyrocket App Development! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • This is our first report on HashiCorp, a software company that offers cloud infrastructure automation.
  • The company recently reported on its third-quarter fiscal 2024 financial results.
  • In this report, we have carried out a fundamental analysis of the historical financial statements of the company.

UPDATE NOTE – LifeVantage Corporation

By Water Tower Research

  • 2QFY24 (December) ongoing EPS was $0.10 versus ($0.07) in 2QFY23 and ahead of our $0.04 estimate.
  • Ongoing EBITDA was $3.1MM in the quarter, well above the $0.8MM in 2QFY23 and ahead of our $2.5MM estimate.
  • EBITDA margins of 6.0% exceeded our 4.6% estimate.

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Daily Brief India: Shriram Finance and more

By | Daily Briefs, India

In today’s briefing:

  • [Week 18] Namaste India 🙏 | Earnings Edition | Troubled Financials


[Week 18] Namaste India 🙏 | Earnings Edition | Troubled Financials

By Pranav Bhavsar


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Daily Brief Japan: Fast Retailing, Socionext, Advantest Corp, Digital Garage, Outsourcing Inc, Benefit One Inc, Nihon M&A Center, Ana Holdings, M3 Inc and more

By | Daily Briefs, Japan

In today’s briefing:

  • Nikkei 225 Index Rebalance Preview (Mar 2024): Update on Ranking, Capping, Funding & Fast Retailing
  • FINAL PREDICTIONS: March 2024 Nikkei 225 Rebal (Socionext, Disco, and 1 Consumer Goods Stock to ADD)
  • Advantest (6587) | Testing the Limits of AI
  • Quiddity JPX-Nikkei 400 Rebal 2024: End-Jan 2024
  • Outsourcing (2427 JP): Tender Start Delayed, but Does Bain Need to Bump?
  • (Mostly) Asia M&A, Jan 2024: Newmark, Eureka, Aoki, Medley, Payroll, Kerry Express, Genetron, TDCX
  • Nihon M&A: Earnings Begin to Recover..
  • ANA Holdings -Big Upgrade with Big Read Across for JAL
  • M3: Earnings Slowdown Is Inevitable


Nikkei 225 Index Rebalance Preview (Mar 2024): Update on Ranking, Capping, Funding & Fast Retailing

By Brian Freitas

  • The review period for the Nikkei 225 (NKY INDEX) March rebalance ends yesterday. There could be three changes at the rebalance with sector balance in focus.
  • Depending on the changes, passive trackers will need to buy between 1.3-19x ADV (7.1-24% of real float) on the inclusions and sell between 3.5-47x ADV on the deletions.
  • Fast Retailing (9983 JP) avoids capping in March, passives will buy Nitori Holdings (9843 JP), and 25 stocks have over 0.5x ADV to sell as part of the funding trade.

FINAL PREDICTIONS: March 2024 Nikkei 225 Rebal (Socionext, Disco, and 1 Consumer Goods Stock to ADD)

By Travis Lundy

  • The Nikkei 225 data for the March 2024 rebalance is a wrap. The names are the same as before but there is likely less DISCO Corp (6146 JP) to buy.
  • It’s still big, but smaller than before because of the difference between performance and the change in PAF required to be below 1%. A 4:1 share split would be optimal.
  • I recommend a few positioning changes from before, and the Fast Retailing trade loses one short-term option but the longer-term one stays in place.

Advantest (6587) | Testing the Limits of AI

By Mark Chadwick

  • Advantest reported strong Q3 results, driven by robust demand for memory testers
  • The company raised its full-year guidance for revenue and operating profit to inline with analyst estimates
  • Advantest’s stock price remains overvalued on AI-hype. We remain bearish with a potential downside of 25%.

Quiddity JPX-Nikkei 400 Rebal 2024: End-Jan 2024

By Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

  • JPX-Nikkei 400 is composed of common stocks listed on the Tokyo Stock Exchange. It is a free-float-adjusted market-value-weighted (capped) index composed of 400 constituents.
  • A periodic review is conducted by the Index providers, the JPX Group and Nikkei Inc, in August every year. We look at the rankings of the potential ADDs/DELs every month.
  • Below is a look at potential ADDs/DELs for the JPX-Nikkei 400 index rebal event to come in August 2024 based on trading data as of end-January 2024.

Outsourcing (2427 JP): Tender Start Delayed, but Does Bain Need to Bump?

By Arun George

  • Bain has delayed the Outsourcing Inc (2427 JP) tender start from late January due to more time required to satisfy the European regulatory approval pre-condition.
  • Potential reasons for bumping are opportunistic timing, re-rating of Japanese peers, a high minority acceptance rate, and an offer below the mid-point of the IFA DCF valuation range.
  • Potential reasons for keeping terms unchanged are no activists, a 52.1% premium to the undisturbed price, and an offer still attractive compared to Japanese peers’ multiples and price ratios.  

(Mostly) Asia M&A, Jan 2024: Newmark, Eureka, Aoki, Medley, Payroll, Kerry Express, Genetron, TDCX

By David Blennerhassett

  • For the month of January 2024, 8 new transactions (firm and non-binding) were discussed on Smartkarma with an overall announced deal size of ~US$2bn.
  • The average premium for the new transactions announced (or first discussed) in January was ~34%
  • This compares to the average premium for transactions in 2023 (117 transactions), 2022 (106), 2021 (165), 2020 (158), and 2019 (145 ) of 39%, 41%, 33%, 31%, and 31% respectively.

Nihon M&A: Earnings Begin to Recover..

By Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

  • Nihon M&A Center (2127 JP) reported 3QFY03/2024 results yesterday. Both revenue and OP increased 22.5% and 64.6% YoY respectively and were above consensus estimates.
  • M&A revenues for the quarter saw significant growth after seeing two consecutive quarters of YoY decline driven by growth in the no. of deals and revenue per transaction.
  • The company’s share price has moved up by around 15% following the earnings announcement, however, share price has been down by more than 30% over the last 12-months.  

ANA Holdings -Big Upgrade with Big Read Across for JAL

By Neil Glynn

  • ANA has revised its FY24 to March 2024 profit guidance upward on higher revenues; EBIT up from ¥120bn to ¥190bn in line with consensus (AIRCT ¥182bn).
  • Air Transportation naturally drives the upgrade, with its EBIT guide up ¥60bn as higher revenues outweigh higher costs.
  • This upgrade also has major relevance for JAL, where expect a FY24 EBIT guidance upgrade. We are at ¥177bn versus consensus of ¥142bn/guidance of ¥130bn.

M3: Earnings Slowdown Is Inevitable

By Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

  • M3 Inc (2413 JP) reported 3QFY03/2024 results today. Both revenue and OP decreased 1.6% and 7.5% YoY respectively and fell below consensus estimates.
  • Medical Platform’s revenues declined YoY while overseas segment’s top line growth has been slowing down raising concerns over m3’s growth prospects.
  • Given continued decline in earnings, it seems that m3 will struggle to meet its full-year guidance suggesting there is further downside.

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Daily Brief China: Suzhou Novosense Microelectron, L’Occitane, Wuxi Biologics, Atour Lifestyle Holdings and more

By | China, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • STAR50 Index Rebalance Preview: Sustaining Outperformance on Expected Impact
  • L’Occitane (973 HK):  Operational Update Shows Strong Growth Momentum
  • Wuxi Biologics (2269.HK) – The Latest Updates Related to 2024 Performance Worth the Attention
  • [Atour Lifestyle (ATAT US, BUY, TP US$37.5) ]: Hotel Scale Leverage Is Still the Main Driver in 2024


STAR50 Index Rebalance Preview: Sustaining Outperformance on Expected Impact

By Brian Freitas

  • The review period for the March rebalance ended 31 January. We expect the changes to be announced 23 February with the implementation taking place after the close on 8 March.
  • We expect the index committee to continue using a 6-month minimum listing history resulting in three changes to the index.
  • The potential inclusions have dropped but there has been significant outperformance versus the potential deletions. That could continue as positioning continues for the high expected impact on the stocks.

L’Occitane (973 HK):  Operational Update Shows Strong Growth Momentum

By Steve Zhou, CFA

  • L’Occitane (973 HK) announced a strong 3QFY24 operational update last night.  Share price is up 7% today and up 36% since interim results announcement late November last year.
  • Sol de Janeiro, the Brazilian-inspired premium body care brand, continued to shine in the quarter, growing 199% at reported sales and 214% at constant currency. 
  • Recommend to take advantage of the current weak sentiment on such companies trading on the HK stock exchange but are actually not reliant on China in terms of business fundamentals.

Wuxi Biologics (2269.HK) – The Latest Updates Related to 2024 Performance Worth the Attention

By Xinyao (Criss) Wang

  • Li Ge has begun increasing his holdings, but we’re not sure whether this move is really confident about the prospects of WuXi Bio, or another buy low sell high/capital operation.
  • The actual situation of WuXi Bio is not necessarily optimistic. Due to geopolitical risks, WuXi Bio has to start striving for more domestic orders. However, price reduction seems inevitable.
  • Although WuXi Bio released optimistic expectations for 2024 project number/outlook, there may be another announcement of lower-than-expected performance in the future,which would be a devastating blow to investors’ confidence/management’s credibility.

[Atour Lifestyle (ATAT US, BUY, TP US$37.5) ]: Hotel Scale Leverage Is Still the Main Driver in 2024

By Eric Wen

  • We expect Atour to report 4Q23 revenue 3.5% higher than consensus, and non-GAAP NI 15.1% higher than consensus, mainly due to (1) stable business travellers in tourism off-season;
  • (2) raising retail sales drive up gross margin. We think hotel supply and demand will turn to equilibrium in 2024.
  • Occupancy may stabilize but ADR will fall, especially economy hotels. Atour, however, will be immune to the price fall, in our view.

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Daily Brief Industrials: Samsung C&T, Bizlink Holding, Samsung SDI, Boeing Co, FTAI Aviation , Jetblue Airways, Epwin Group PLC and more

By | Daily Briefs, Industrials

In today’s briefing:

  • Korean FSC’s Official Disclosure of New Treasury Share Regulations & Potential Trading Dynamics
  • Quiddity Leaderboard TDIV Mar 24: Potential DEL and AUM Assumption Change to Trigger Index Flows
  • Samsung SDI (006400): No Catalyst in Sight
  • Boeing Exposure and Q4 Trends Impacting the Airline Industry
  • Ftai Aviation Ltd (FTAI) – Tuesday, Oct 31, 2023
  • JetBlue – Profitability Distant but Scope for Recovery Prospects to Become Clearer Through 2024
  • Epwin Group – Solid H223 leads to useful earnings upgrade


Korean FSC’s Official Disclosure of New Treasury Share Regulations & Potential Trading Dynamics

By Sanghyun Park

  • Today, the Financial Services Commission of Korea announced treasury stock rule improvements: (1) No new share allocation to treasury shares during equity spinoffs. (2) Strengthened disclosure requirements.
  • No mandatory cancellation may disappoint the market. Nevertheless, the decision not to issue new shares during equity spinoffs amplifies the volume targeted during subsequent tender offers, potentially intensifying price impacts.
  • Also, enhanced disclosure for treasury stocks, especially for companies with over 10% holdings, may trigger significant trading events based on pre-information about holdings and disposals.

Quiddity Leaderboard TDIV Mar 24: Potential DEL and AUM Assumption Change to Trigger Index Flows

By Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

  • In this insight, we take a look at Quiddity’s flow expectations for the March 2024 index rebal event.
  • Based on current data, I expect there to be one DEL for the TDIV index in March. I also expect the AUM assumption to change.
  • According to my calculations, these changes could collectively trigger index flows of ~US$150mn one-way resulting in some index members expected to have multiple days of volume to trade.

Samsung SDI (006400): No Catalyst in Sight

By Henry Soediarko

  • The de facto beneficiary of the EU EV subsidy, and historically, 46% of the sales were generated from Audi and BMW EVs. 
  • Valuation has hit the trough, but with no positive catalyst in sight, it is difficult to make a bull case for Samsung SDI (006400 KS) .
  • If the EU put up higher trade tariff for Chinese EV, it could jolt up SDI’s share price but until then, stay away. 

Boeing Exposure and Q4 Trends Impacting the Airline Industry

By Bedrock AI

  • Now that the U.S Big 4 airlines have all reported their earnings, let’s look at some of the key trends underpinning the airline industry this quarter.
  • The industry continues to be marred by several macro trends, including a triple whammy of inflation-driven increasing maintenance and labor costs, supply chain issues, and the unreliability of a major supplier (Boeing).
  • Boeing’s perennial woes seemed to be a major point of discussion as every Big 4 airline faced an analyst question about it during their earnings calls.

Ftai Aviation Ltd (FTAI) – Tuesday, Oct 31, 2023

By Value Investors Club

Key points (machine generated)

  • FTAI’s Module Swap offering is expected to have strong growth potential based on the company’s performance and market conditions.
  • The number of Module Swap customers is projected to increase from 25 in 2022 to potentially 75-100 by 2025.
  • The average number of Module Swap orders per customer is expected to increase from 2 in 2022 to potentially 3 in 2023.

This article is sourced from an online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


JetBlue – Profitability Distant but Scope for Recovery Prospects to Become Clearer Through 2024

By Neil Glynn

  • Following JetBlue’s 2023 results, we refresh estimates to reflect a small operating loss and a near-$200m net loss in 2024.
  • Management is focused on cutting costs and restructuring the network, but without meaningful self-help, losses and cash burn may continue in 2025.
  • Liquidity and leverage concerns are significant for JetBlue but we highlight reduced capacity could boost commercial performance as early as 2Q, providing a glimpse of distant recovery prospects.

Epwin Group – Solid H223 leads to useful earnings upgrade

By Edison Investment Research

Epwin Group’s H223 trading was robust and management has navigated inflationary pressures well. As a result we have increased our FY23 and FY24 underlying operating profit estimates by 13.6% and 10.3%, respectively. Longer term, well-established growth trends imply that Epwin is well placed to leverage off increasing demand for its energy-efficient and low-maintenance building products. Management action contributed to overall margin expansion, a feature that we expect to continue in FY24. Epwin offers an attractive investment case with the potential for uplifts from additional self-funded M&A. It trades on a P/E ratio of 7.4x, some 30% below the long-term average of 10.7x, and yields 6%.


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Daily Brief TMT/Internet: Sindoh Co Ltd, Canon Inc, KLA-Tencor Corp, Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) – ADR, Sprout Social Inc, Rapid7 Inc, Globalstar Inc, JFrog, Cogent Communications Holdings and more

By | Daily Briefs, TMT/Internet

In today’s briefing:

  • Top 10 Stocks in Korea With Highest Net Cash as Percentage of Market Cap
  • Canon (7751) – OK 2023 Results, Better Guidance, Bigger, Longer, Slower Buyback
  • KLAC. Looks a Lot Like LRCX!
  • Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: Can TSMC Sustain Extreme ADR Spread?; UMC Results Catalyst Tomorrow
  • Taiwan Tech Weekly: Semiconductors Surging in Southeast Asia; UMC & Mediatek Results Today
  • Sprout Social: Initiation of Coverage – AI Revolution in Social Media! Sneak Peek into Their Groundbreaking 2024 Features! – Major Drivers
  • Rapid7 Inc.: Initiation of Coverage – Revolutionizing the Tech World with Strategic Partnerships – What’s Coming in 2024? – Major Drivers
  • Globalstar: Initiation of Coverage – 5 Surprising Ways This Tech Giant is Revolutionizing Connectivity with Satellite Innovation! – Major Drivers
  • JFrog Ltd.: Initiation of Coverage – Unleashing the Power of AI in DevOps – A Game-Changer You Can’t Afford to Miss! – Major Drivers
  • Cogent Communications Holdings: Initiation of Coverage – 4 Factors Driving Their Stock Price! – Financial Forecasts


Top 10 Stocks in Korea With Highest Net Cash as Percentage of Market Cap

By Douglas Kim

  • One of the emerging trends in the Korean equity markets in the past several weeks has been the shift out of high beta, high P/E stocks to deep value stocks.
  • In this insight, we will discuss about the top 10 stocks in Korea with highest net cash as percentage of market cap. 
  • These 10 stocks are up on average 2.9% YTD, outperforming KOSPI which is down 5.9% in the same period.

Canon (7751) – OK 2023 Results, Better Guidance, Bigger, Longer, Slower Buyback

By Travis Lundy

  • Canon Inc (7751 JP) announced 2023 full-year results on 30 January. Results were mixed. Revenues did OK. Net Profit underperformed expectations. 2024 Net Profit Guidance is 1% higher than consensus.
  • Canon has a 15yr history of one kind of buyback. ¥50bn every time. 19 times in a row. Short (10 weeks max), sharp, executions (executed in 3-5 weeks). Every time. 
  • This time offers a new buyback. ¥100bn. Over the space of a year. That’s only 3% of ADV but the shareholder structure is different than you think it is.

KLAC. Looks a Lot Like LRCX!

By William Keating

  • Q423 revenues of $2.49 billion, marginally above the guided midpoint, up 3.6% QoQ but down 15.6% YoY. Net income was $583 million, down $158 million QoQ.
  • Current quarter guidance of $2.3 billion, down 8% QoQ and also down around 5% YoY
  • Interesting Q&A discussion on backlog. KLAC’s order book is risker than their peers due to their shorter lead times. Something to watch…

Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: Can TSMC Sustain Extreme ADR Spread?; UMC Results Catalyst Tomorrow

By Vincent Fernando, CFA

  • TSMC: +13.5% ADR Premium, Historically High Spread Represents Short Opportunity
  • UMC: -0.9% ADR Discount, Results Tomorrow Could Open Up Trade Opportunity
  • ASE: +9.1% Premium, Historically High But Likely Best to Wait for Higher Levels

Taiwan Tech Weekly: Semiconductors Surging in Southeast Asia; UMC & Mediatek Results Today

By Vincent Fernando, CFA

  • UMC & Mediatek Results Today in Taiwan, Samsung Also Reporting; Taiwan AI Names Flying; Himax & Novatek Top Losers Ahead of Results.
  • Semiconductor Surge: Southeast Asia Taking Center Stage Amid Taiwan’s Geopolitical Shift
  • First Run of Tech/Semis’ Guidance Tells Us What Industries and Companies to Avoid

Sprout Social: Initiation of Coverage – AI Revolution in Social Media! Sneak Peek into Their Groundbreaking 2024 Features! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • This is our first report on web-based social media management solution provider, Sprout Social.
  • In its most recent quarter, a comprehensive social media management software company, delivered positive Q3 results reflecting good progress in meeting their objectives.
  • In this report, we have carried out a fundamental analysis of the historical financial statements of the company.

Rapid7 Inc.: Initiation of Coverage – Revolutionizing the Tech World with Strategic Partnerships – What’s Coming in 2024? – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • This is our first report on Rapid7, a renowned cybersecurity solutions provider.
  • The company posted its third quarter 2023 financial results, highlighting an Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR) of $777 million and a growth of 14% over the previous year.
  • Rapid7 also showcased strong demand for its integrated security operations solutions, particularly its consolidated offerings.

Globalstar: Initiation of Coverage – 5 Surprising Ways This Tech Giant is Revolutionizing Connectivity with Satellite Innovation! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • This is our first report on mobile satellite services provider, Globalstar.
  • Baptista Research looks to evaluate the different factors that could influence the company’s price in the near future and attempts to carry out an independent valuation of the company using a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) methodology.
  • We have added reasonable forecasts of the annualized income statement and cash flows and carried out a DCF valuation of the company using its Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC) to determine a forecasted share price.

JFrog Ltd.: Initiation of Coverage – Unleashing the Power of AI in DevOps – A Game-Changer You Can’t Afford to Miss! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • This is our first report on DevOps platform provider, JFrog.
  • Most importantly, the year-over-year growth of JFrog’s cloud business rose by 46%, contributing $30.6 million to the total revenue.
  • Non-GAAP profit stood at $16.6 million, generating a free cash flow of $25.4 million.

Cogent Communications Holdings: Initiation of Coverage – 4 Factors Driving Their Stock Price! – Financial Forecasts

By Baptista Research

  • This is our first report on Cogent Communications Holdings.
  • The company had a decent performance in the third quarter of 2023 highlighting the recent acquisition of the Sprint business on May 1, 2023, which expanded Cogent’s network and customer base and materially increased the scope and scale of their business.
  • In this report, we have carried out a fundamental analysis of the historical financial statements of the company.

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Daily Brief Industrials: Samsung C&T, Bizlink Holding, Samsung SDI, Boeing Co, FTAI Aviation , Jetblue Airways, Epwin Group PLC and more

By | Daily Briefs, Industrials

In today’s briefing:

  • Korean FSC’s Official Disclosure of New Treasury Share Regulations & Potential Trading Dynamics
  • Quiddity Leaderboard TDIV Mar 24: Potential DEL and AUM Assumption Change to Trigger Index Flows
  • Samsung SDI (006400): No Catalyst in Sight
  • Boeing Exposure and Q4 Trends Impacting the Airline Industry
  • Ftai Aviation Ltd (FTAI) – Tuesday, Oct 31, 2023
  • JetBlue – Profitability Distant but Scope for Recovery Prospects to Become Clearer Through 2024
  • Epwin Group – Solid H223 leads to useful earnings upgrade


Korean FSC’s Official Disclosure of New Treasury Share Regulations & Potential Trading Dynamics

By Sanghyun Park

  • Today, the Financial Services Commission of Korea announced treasury stock rule improvements: (1) No new share allocation to treasury shares during equity spinoffs. (2) Strengthened disclosure requirements.
  • No mandatory cancellation may disappoint the market. Nevertheless, the decision not to issue new shares during equity spinoffs amplifies the volume targeted during subsequent tender offers, potentially intensifying price impacts.
  • Also, enhanced disclosure for treasury stocks, especially for companies with over 10% holdings, may trigger significant trading events based on pre-information about holdings and disposals.

Quiddity Leaderboard TDIV Mar 24: Potential DEL and AUM Assumption Change to Trigger Index Flows

By Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

  • In this insight, we take a look at Quiddity’s flow expectations for the March 2024 index rebal event.
  • Based on current data, I expect there to be one DEL for the TDIV index in March. I also expect the AUM assumption to change.
  • According to my calculations, these changes could collectively trigger index flows of ~US$150mn one-way resulting in some index members expected to have multiple days of volume to trade.

Samsung SDI (006400): No Catalyst in Sight

By Henry Soediarko

  • The de facto beneficiary of the EU EV subsidy, and historically, 46% of the sales were generated from Audi and BMW EVs. 
  • Valuation has hit the trough, but with no positive catalyst in sight, it is difficult to make a bull case for Samsung SDI (006400 KS) .
  • If the EU put up higher trade tariff for Chinese EV, it could jolt up SDI’s share price but until then, stay away. 

Boeing Exposure and Q4 Trends Impacting the Airline Industry

By Bedrock AI

  • Now that the U.S Big 4 airlines have all reported their earnings, let’s look at some of the key trends underpinning the airline industry this quarter.
  • The industry continues to be marred by several macro trends, including a triple whammy of inflation-driven increasing maintenance and labor costs, supply chain issues, and the unreliability of a major supplier (Boeing).
  • Boeing’s perennial woes seemed to be a major point of discussion as every Big 4 airline faced an analyst question about it during their earnings calls.

Ftai Aviation Ltd (FTAI) – Tuesday, Oct 31, 2023

By Value Investors Club

Key points (machine generated)

  • FTAI’s Module Swap offering is expected to have strong growth potential based on the company’s performance and market conditions.
  • The number of Module Swap customers is projected to increase from 25 in 2022 to potentially 75-100 by 2025.
  • The average number of Module Swap orders per customer is expected to increase from 2 in 2022 to potentially 3 in 2023.

This article is sourced from an online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


JetBlue – Profitability Distant but Scope for Recovery Prospects to Become Clearer Through 2024

By Neil Glynn

  • Following JetBlue’s 2023 results, we refresh estimates to reflect a small operating loss and a near-$200m net loss in 2024.
  • Management is focused on cutting costs and restructuring the network, but without meaningful self-help, losses and cash burn may continue in 2025.
  • Liquidity and leverage concerns are significant for JetBlue but we highlight reduced capacity could boost commercial performance as early as 2Q, providing a glimpse of distant recovery prospects.

Epwin Group – Solid H223 leads to useful earnings upgrade

By Edison Investment Research

Epwin Group’s H223 trading was robust and management has navigated inflationary pressures well. As a result we have increased our FY23 and FY24 underlying operating profit estimates by 13.6% and 10.3%, respectively. Longer term, well-established growth trends imply that Epwin is well placed to leverage off increasing demand for its energy-efficient and low-maintenance building products. Management action contributed to overall margin expansion, a feature that we expect to continue in FY24. Epwin offers an attractive investment case with the potential for uplifts from additional self-funded M&A. It trades on a P/E ratio of 7.4x, some 30% below the long-term average of 10.7x, and yields 6%.


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